West Virginia Mountaineers at UCF Knights
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Bright House Networks Stadium - Orlando, FL (Big 12)
Mountaineers (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (60 - 26)
Avg Score : 29 - 15 (10 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (60 - 26)
Avg Score : 29 - 15 (10 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
WVU coming off BYE
UCF is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: UCF -2 (SP+ WVU -1)
Projected Score: WVU: 21 - UCF: 23 (43)
UCF Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
WVU Travel: 766 miles
UCF is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: UCF -2 (SP+ WVU -1)
Projected Score: WVU: 21 - UCF: 23 (43)
UCF Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
WVU Travel: 766 miles
Knights (2 - 0) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Scott Frost (19 - 7)
Avg Score : 43 - 9 (43 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 5.2 (#66)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
Coach Scott Frost (19 - 7)
Avg Score : 43 - 9 (43 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 5.2 (#66)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
| West Virginia's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | West Virginia vs Robert Morris | -40.0 | 56.5 | W 45 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | West Virginia at Ohio | -3.5 | 58.5 | L 10 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | West Virginia vs Pittsburgh | +6.5 | 54.5 | W 31 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | West Virginia at Kansas | +13.5 | 54.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | West Virginia vs Utah | +11 | |||||
| Fri 10/3 | West Virginia at BYU | +8.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | West Virginia at UCF | +2 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | West Virginia vs TCU | +8.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | West Virginia at Houston | +0.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | West Virginia vs Colorado | -6 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | West Virginia at Arizona State | +10.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/29 | West Virginia vs Texas Tech | +14 | |||||
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
| UCF's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | UCF vs Jacksonville State | -16.5 | 53.5 | W 17 - 10 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | UCF vs North Carolina A&T | -38.0 | 51.0 | W 68 - 7 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | UCF vs North Carolina | -6.5 | 48.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | UCF at Kansas State | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | UCF vs Kansas | +1 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | UCF at Cincinnati | +9.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | UCF vs West Virginia | -2 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | UCF at Baylor | +8 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | UCF vs Houston | -4 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | UCF at Texas Tech | +19.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | UCF vs Oklahoma State | -14.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | UCF at BYU | +9 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WVU | #82 (.16) | 42% (85) | 28.7 | 44% (78) | 2.84 (84) | 213 | 39% (96) | 223 | 4.33 (51) | #17 (-.04) | 32% (19) | 14.7 | 34% (30) | 32% (28) | 2.53 (36) | 71.3 | 2.3 | 2 |
| UCF | #37 (.32) | 41% (90) | 42.5 | 38% (107) | 2.52 (111) | 233 | 44% (68) | 259 | 4.25 (53) | #25 (-) | 36% (40) | 8.5 | 39% (70) | 31% (21) | 2.13 (18) | 67.5 | 0.5 | 2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WVU | #63 (.2) | 43% (69) | 44% (75) | 3.05 (64) | 196 | 41% (73) | 210 | 4.6 (16) | #124 (.3) | 45% (103) | 41% (46) | 49% (128) | 4.74 (131) | 33.9 | 1.5 | 1.1 | ||
| UCF | #58 (.21) | 46% (28) | 52% (8) | 3.62 (2) | 248 | 38% (103) | 200 | 3.75 (86) | #63 (.16) | 40% (45) | 37% (12) | 42% (84) | 4.37 (118) | 54.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WVU Offense | 3 | 28.7 | 10 | 41.7% | 4.33 | 2.3 | 22 | 436 | 213 | 223 | 4.6 | 56% | 44% | 44% | 39% | 15% | .16 |
| UCF Defense | 2 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 35.6% | 2.13 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 60% | 39% | 39% | 31% | 24% | - |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WVU Defense | 3 | 14.7 | 17 | 32.5% | 2.53 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 34% | 32% | 20% | -.04 |
| UCF Offense | 2 | 42.5 | 42.5 | 41% | 4.25 | 0.5 | 22 | 492 | 233 | 259 | 6.9 | 46% | 54% | 38% | 44% | 12% | .32 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Virginia | 3 | 25:03 | 22.3 | 29% | 50% | 7.7 | 71.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 7.3 | 4.3 | 0 | 29.4 |
| UCF | 2 | 27:58 | 21.5 | 46% | 100% | 7.5 | 67.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 8.5 | 2 | 1 | 32.5 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WVU Offense | 3 | 56% (33) | 44% (78) | 46.3 | 213 | 4.6 | 9 (17) | .12 (77) | 2.84 (84) | 71% (67) | 11% (105) | 0.96 (66) |
| UCF Defense | 2 | 60% (125) | 39% (70) | - | - | - | - | .08 (72) | 2.69 (59) | 71% (72) | 16% (12) | 1.22 (114) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WVU Defense | 3 | 51% (85) | 34% (30) | - | - | - | - | -.1 (22) | 2.32 (30) | 71% (72) | 13% (30) | 0.9 (60) |
| UCF Offense | 2 | 46% (95) | 38% (107) | 34 | 233 | 6.9 | 7 (38) | .17 (56) | 2.52 (111) | 75% (52) | 9% (71) | 1.62 (2) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WVU Offense | 3 | 44% (97) | 39% (96) | 18.3 | 27.7 | 223.3 | 8.1 | 12.2 | 2 (102) | 3 (92) | .21 (88) | 1.4 (110) | 30% (61) | 25% (106) | .19 (101) | 4% (45) | 1.7 (104) |
| UCF Defense | 2 | 39% (12) | 31% (21) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | -.12 (13) | 1 (4) | 36% (40) | 28% (62) | .17 (48) | 9% (19) | 1.4 (9) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WVU Defense | 3 | 48% (53) | 32% (28) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (12) | .03 (24) | 1.5 (64) | 35% (53) | 27% (56) | .15 (42) | 7% (45) | 1.6 (31) |
| UCF Offense | 2 | 54% (39) | 44% (68) | 18 | 28.5 | 259 | 9.1 | 14.4 | 2 (102) | 0 (1) | .44 (37) | 1.9 (11) | 34% (106) | 33% (54) | .63 (26) | 3% (30) | 2.5 (12) |
West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 9.16 #56
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 11.55 #75
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 2.39 #39
2025 Talent Rating: 808.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
West Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8
West Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #55
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #51
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #51
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
West Virginia's Power Rating: 9.16 #56
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 11.55 #75
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 2.39 #39
2025 Talent Rating: 808.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
West Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8
West Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #55
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #51
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #51
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 9.16 UCF: 9.51
SP+ Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 5.6 UCF: 4.5
West Virginia: 9.16 UCF: 9.51
SP+ Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 5.6 UCF: 4.5
UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 9.51 #54
UCF's Offense Rating: 12.94 #68
UCF's Defense Rating: 3.42 #47
2025 Talent Rating: 706.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 15 #32
UCF's 2025 Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2
UCF's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #59
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #60
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #49
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
UCF's Power Rating: 9.51 #54
UCF's Offense Rating: 12.94 #68
UCF's Defense Rating: 3.42 #47
2025 Talent Rating: 706.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 15 #32
UCF's 2025 Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2
UCF's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #59
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #60
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #49
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 14.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 17
West Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 14.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 17
West Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 23
West Virginia 21
Total Points: 43
UCF 23
West Virginia 21
Total Points: 43
UCF Scoring
Offense: 42.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.5
Defense: 8.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5
UCF's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 42.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.5
Defense: 8.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5
UCF's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/23 | West Virginia | 31 | UCF | 21 | West Virginia | UCF -3 | West Virginia | 60.0 | Under |
| 2023 | 10/28 | UCF | 28 | West Virginia | 41 | West Virginia | UCF -6.5 | West Virginia | 59.5 | Over |
| 2004 | 09/11 | UCF | 20 | West Virginia | 45 | West Virginia | ||||
| 2003 | 11/01 | West Virginia | 36 | UCF | 18 | West Virginia |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCF | 0 | 0 | 1 Overs |
| West Virginia | 4 | 2 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 2 - 2 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 1 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 2 - 2 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 1 - 0 |
(#56) West Virginia Info
Power Rating: 9.16 #56
Offense Rating: 11.55 #75
Defense Rating: 2.39 #39
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #51
Talent Rating: 808.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.33 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 32%
Good in Scoring Position 2.53 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
West Virginia has lost 3 straight
West Virginia has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
West Virginia Notes
(9/8) Star RB Jahiem White out for season (knee)
(9/8) Starting WR J Bray out for season (leg)
(8/30) Ran for nearly 400< Marchiol efficient vs RMU
(8/20) DE/LB Robinson likely academically ineligible
(6/11) RB White a top B12 RB, Edwards (FCS) 1k LY
(5/29) OL has bottom 20 exp & 94% is from 10 portals
(5/29) Def bad LY, added 5 DL, 4 LB & 13 portal DBs
(5/29) Over 1/2 roster new. 54 portal adds + new staff
(5/15) OT's are a huge ? IOL exp'd but not good.
(5/8) LB J Robinson was AAC Def POY in 2024 (UTSA)
West Virginia Highlights
West Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#26)
West Virginia Defense Sacks the QB a lot
West Virginia has a really good defense (#19)
West Virginia has a good run defense (#30)
West Virginia has a good pass defense (#28)
West Virginia Defensive Line is very good (#30)
West Virginia Front 7 is disruptive (#30)
West Virginia defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
West Virginia Deficiencies
West Virginia has a bad TO Margin (#125)
West Virginia Fumbles a Lot (#128)
West Virginia Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
West Virginia offense is not Explosive (#107)
West Virginia Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#102)
West Virginia offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Power Rating: 9.16 #56
Offense Rating: 11.55 #75
Defense Rating: 2.39 #39
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #51
Talent Rating: 808.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.33 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 32%
Good in Scoring Position 2.53 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
West Virginia has lost 3 straight
West Virginia has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
West Virginia Notes
(9/8) Star RB Jahiem White out for season (knee)
(9/8) Starting WR J Bray out for season (leg)
(8/30) Ran for nearly 400< Marchiol efficient vs RMU
(8/20) DE/LB Robinson likely academically ineligible
(6/11) RB White a top B12 RB, Edwards (FCS) 1k LY
(5/29) OL has bottom 20 exp & 94% is from 10 portals
(5/29) Def bad LY, added 5 DL, 4 LB & 13 portal DBs
(5/29) Over 1/2 roster new. 54 portal adds + new staff
(5/15) OT's are a huge ? IOL exp'd but not good.
(5/8) LB J Robinson was AAC Def POY in 2024 (UTSA)
West Virginia Highlights
West Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#26)
West Virginia Defense Sacks the QB a lot
West Virginia has a really good defense (#19)
West Virginia has a good run defense (#30)
West Virginia has a good pass defense (#28)
West Virginia Defensive Line is very good (#30)
West Virginia Front 7 is disruptive (#30)
West Virginia defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
West Virginia Deficiencies
West Virginia has a bad TO Margin (#125)
West Virginia Fumbles a Lot (#128)
West Virginia Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
West Virginia offense is not Explosive (#107)
West Virginia Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#102)
West Virginia offense is bad on 3rd Downs
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UCF | WVU |
| OverallOver | #28 | #62 |
| OffenseOff | #52 | #92 |
| DefenseDef | #29 | #29 |
| Special TeamsST | #3 | #40 |
| PassingPass | #71 | #89 |
| RushingRush | #16 | #75 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #57 | #105 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #57 | #66 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #67 | #67 |
| TacklingTkl | #53 | #77 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #31 | #12 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #6 | #78 |
| Coverage DefCov | #66 | #45 |
(#54) UCF Info
Power Rating: 9.51 #54
Offense Rating: 12.94 #68
Defense Rating: 3.42 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #59
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #49
Talent Rating: 706.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 15 #32
Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.25 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 36%
Great in Scoring Position 2.13 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 31%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
UCF has lost 4 straight
UCF has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
UCF Notes
(8/29) Run game alarmingly bad in opener vs Jax St
(8/21) QB1 Fancher (FAU) wins starting job in camp
(7/30) New staff, over 70 newcomers, big mystery
(7/22) UCF 13th in YPP margin, +108 YPG in '24
(5/23) UCF was 1-3 in 1 score games LY
(4/22) Starting OT Justin Royes (VU) will miss season (inj)
(4/9) QB Fancher (FAU) or Jackson (IU). Rizk portal
(4/7) WR all new. Charles/Jenkins Jr future. 3 portals.
(4/5) Def bad LY, replacing most. 15 portal adds
(4/5) OL rebuild 1/5 back. 5 portal adds
UCF Highlights
UCF in Undefeated
UCF is Undefeated at Home
UCF offense is explosive (#3)
UCF offense is good on 3rd downs
UCF defense is really good in red zone (#18)
UCF has a good pass defense (#21)
UCF Front 7 is disruptive (#12)
UCF Secondary is very good (#19)
UCF has a great TO Margin (#11)
UCF Deficiencies
UCF Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#108)
UCF run game is really bad (#107)
Power Rating: 9.51 #54
Offense Rating: 12.94 #68
Defense Rating: 3.42 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #59
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #49
Talent Rating: 706.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 15 #32
Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.25 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 36%
Great in Scoring Position 2.13 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 31%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
UCF has lost 4 straight
UCF has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
UCF Notes
(8/29) Run game alarmingly bad in opener vs Jax St
(8/21) QB1 Fancher (FAU) wins starting job in camp
(7/30) New staff, over 70 newcomers, big mystery
(7/22) UCF 13th in YPP margin, +108 YPG in '24
(5/23) UCF was 1-3 in 1 score games LY
(4/22) Starting OT Justin Royes (VU) will miss season (inj)
(4/9) QB Fancher (FAU) or Jackson (IU). Rizk portal
(4/7) WR all new. Charles/Jenkins Jr future. 3 portals.
(4/5) Def bad LY, replacing most. 15 portal adds
(4/5) OL rebuild 1/5 back. 5 portal adds
UCF Highlights
UCF in Undefeated
UCF is Undefeated at Home
UCF offense is explosive (#3)
UCF offense is good on 3rd downs
UCF defense is really good in red zone (#18)
UCF has a good pass defense (#21)
UCF Front 7 is disruptive (#12)
UCF Secondary is very good (#19)
UCF has a great TO Margin (#11)
UCF Deficiencies
UCF Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#108)
UCF run game is really bad (#107)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicco Marchiol | 51 | 71 | 72% | 594 | 2 | 1 | 8.4 |
| Jaylen Henderson (Tr) | 2 | 7 | 29% | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tye Edwards (Tr) | 25 | 141 | 3 | 5.6 | 27 |
| Jahiem White | 24 | 133 | 3 | 5.5 | 32 |
| Scotty Fox Jr. | 8 | 65 | 1 | 8.1 | 59 |
| Clay Ash | 21 | 62 | 0 | 3.0 | 11 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Vaughn (Tr) | 12 | 203 | 1 | 16.9 | 46 |
| Grayson Barnes (Tr) | 9 | 97 | 1 | 10.8 | 34 |
| Jaden Bray | 7 | 95 | 0 | 13.6 | 45 |
| Rodney Gallagher | 8 | 73 | 0 | 9.1 | 20 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Perry (Tr) | 21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Darrian Lewis (Tr) | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Cutter | 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Kekoura Tarnue | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Wilson (Tr) | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Fred Perry (Tr) | 21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Hammond Russell IV | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Edward Vesterinen | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Perry (Tr) | 21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Kekoura Tarnue | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Eddie Kelly | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayven Jackson (Tr) | 29 | 45 | 64% | 471 | 2 | 0 | 10.5 |
| Cam Fancher (Tr) | 5 | 9 | 56% | 32 | 0 | 0 | 3.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Nixon (Tr) | 6 | 150 | 2 | 25.0 | 87 |
| Myles Montgomery | 29 | 114 | 0 | 3.9 | 15 |
| Jacurri Brown | 5 | 106 | 2 | 21.2 | 60 |
| Cam Fancher (Tr) | 4 | 39 | 0 | 9.8 | 25 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duane Thomas Jr. (Tr) | 7 | 117 | 0 | 16.7 | 41 |
| Myles Montgomery | 4 | 103 | 0 | 25.8 | 64 |
| DJ Black | 6 | 86 | 1 | 14.3 | 33 |
| Dylan Wade (Tr) | 4 | 54 | 1 | 13.5 | 39 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Kozlowski (Tr) | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Antoine Jackson | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Lewis Carter (Tr) | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Phillip Dunnam (Tr) | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Lora (Tr) | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Horace Lockett (Tr) | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Nyjalik Kelly | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Malachi Lawrence | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Bell (Tr) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Malachi Lawrence | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Cole Kozlowski (Tr) | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |