West Virginia at UCF Game Matchup
West Virginia logo West Virginia Mountaineers at UCF KnightsUCF logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Bright House Networks Stadium - Orlando, FL  (Big 12)

 
Mountaineers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (60 - 26)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (30 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#102)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 2)
WVU coming off BYE
UCF is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: UCF -1.5   (SP+ WVU -0.5)
Projected Score: WVU: 28 - UCF: 30 (59)
UCF Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
WVU Travel: 766 miles
Knights (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Frost (19 - 7)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (33 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#88)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
 
West Virginia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 West Virginia vs Robert Morris-23
Sat 9/6 West Virginia at Ohio-1.5
Sat 9/13 West Virginia vs Pittsburgh+2.5
Sat 9/20 West Virginia at Kansas+6.5
Sat 9/27 West Virginia vs Utah+8
Fri 10/3 West Virginia at BYU+13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 West Virginia at UCF+1.5
Sat 10/25 West Virginia vs TCU+9
Sat 11/1 West Virginia at Houston+3.5
Sat 11/8 West Virginia vs Colorado+2
Sat 11/15 West Virginia at Arizona State+17.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 West Virginia vs Texas Tech+10

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule
UCF's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 UCF vs Jacksonville State-16.50.0
Sat 9/6 UCF vs North Carolina A&T-22
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UCF vs North Carolina+0.5
Sat 9/27 UCF at Kansas State+19
Sat 10/4 UCF vs Kansas+2.5
Sat 10/11 UCF at Cincinnati+8
Sat 10/18 UCF vs West Virginia-1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UCF at Baylor+13
Sat 11/8 UCF vs Houston-0.5
Sat 11/15 UCF at Texas Tech+16.5
Sat 11/22 UCF vs Oklahoma State-2
Sat 11/29 UCF at BYU+14.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UCF's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WVU#63 (.2)43% (69)29.244% (75)3.05 (64)19641% (73)2104.6 (16)#124 (.3)45% (103)31.941% (46)49% (128)4.74 (131)33.91.51.1
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)30.452% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)26.937% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WVU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WVU Offense1329.229.842.5%4.61.5234061962104.956%44%44%41%16%.2
UCF Defense1226.92339.9%4.370.9 - - - - - 50%50%37%42%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WVU Defense1331.930.844.8%4.741.1 - - - - - 51%49%41%49%13%.3
UCF Offense1230.432.946.1%3.751.6244482482005.858%41%52%38%15%.21

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
West Virginia1331:3622.642%62%4.333.91.51.14.81.5128.4
UCF1228:1923.642%54%6.554.41.60.96.91.8130.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WVU Offense1356% (28)44% (75)40.11964.927 (30).16 (52)3.05 (64)78% (33)10% (82)1.07 (35)
UCF Defense1250% (54)37% (12) - - - - .07 (39)2.57 (13)79% (106)12% (28)1.03 (90)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WVU Defense1351% (68)41% (46) - - - - .08 (46)2.83 (41)64% (21)9% (97)1.02 (86)
UCF Offense1258% (16)52% (8)43248.15.833 (12).31 (7)3.62 (2)72% (80)10% (66)1.13 (11)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WVU Offense1344% (107)41% (73)17.428.6210.37.412.120 (58)14 (115).26 (65)1.8 (16)34% (117)32% (63).37 (52)6% (75)2.3 (8)
UCF Defense1250% (82)42% (84) - - - - - - 9 (76).26 (81)1.6 (64)36% (16)30% (67).38 (99)5% (118)2.2 (117)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WVU Defense1349% (68)49% (128) - - - - - - 5 (117).53 (133)1.8 (127)31% (84)38% (128).61 (133)4% (126)2.3 (123)
UCF Offense1241% (121)38% (103)15.125.8199.77.713.214 (108)11 (72).1 (123)1.6 (76)29% (33)33% (53).16 (122)5% (48)1.8 (126)

West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: -1.55 #69
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 15.73 #57
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 17.28 #84
2025 Talent Rating: 822.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #51
West Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
West Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #57
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #45
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #72

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: -1.55   UCF: 1.185

SP+ Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 1.0   UCF: 0.4




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 1.185 #75
UCF's Offense Rating: 11.99 #82
UCF's Defense Rating: 15.02 #69
2025 Talent Rating: 700.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #27
UCF's 2025 Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8
UCF's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #61
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #57
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #61

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31


West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8

West Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 30
West Virginia 28

Projected Total Points: 59
UCF Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.9
Defense: 26.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 23

UCF's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23West Virginia31UCF21West VirginiaUCF -3West Virginia60.0Under
202310/28UCF28West Virginia41West VirginiaUCF -6.5West Virginia59.5Over
200409/11UCF20West Virginia45West Virginia
200311/01West Virginia36UCF18West Virginia
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF001 Overs
West Virginia421 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams2 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#69) West Virginia Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.55 #69
Offense Rating: 15.73 #57
Defense Rating: 17.28 #84
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #72
Talent Rating: 822.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #51
Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.6 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.74 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


West Virginia Notes
(5/29) Def bad LY, added 5 DL, 4 LB & 13 portal DBs
(5/29) Over 1/2 roster new. 54 portal adds + new staff
(5/15) OT's are a huge ? IOL exp'd but not good.
(5/8) LB J Robinson was AAC Def POY in 2024 (UTSA)
(4/7) QB Henderson big arm, accuracy issues.
(3/22) QB1? Marchiol or J. Henderson (A&M)
(3/22) Added 16 players that started LY via portal
(3/21) RB White a top B12 back, 2 FCS portal adds
(3/21) WR rebuild. 5 portals. Vaughn/Singleton exp'd
(3/21) Portal DE Robinson (UTSA) poss big find
West Virginia     Ratings Matchup     UCF
Power #69
#75
Off #57
#82
Def #84
#69
Talent #43
#72
SP+ #57
#61
SP+ Off #45
#57
SP+ Def #72
#61

Previous Matchups
West Virginia beat UCF last year (31-21)
West Virginia beat UCF in 2023 (41-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WVU | UCF
Depth Chart: WVU | UCF
Rosters: WVU | UCF
(#75) UCF Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.185 #75
Offense Rating: 11.99 #82
Defense Rating: 15.02 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #61
Talent Rating: 700.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #27
Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.37 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


UCF Notes
(5/23) UCF was 1-3 in 1 score games LY
(4/22) Starting OT Justin Royes (VU) will miss season (inj)
(4/9) QB Fancher (FAU) or Jackson (IU). Rizk portal
(4/7) WR all new. Charles/Jenkins Jr future. 3 portals.
(4/5) Def bad LY, replacing most. 15 portal adds
(4/5) New staff, over 50% new roster. We'll see
(4/5) OL rebuild 1/5 back. 5 portal adds
(3/21) RB Monty back (#2 LY), Nixon (WMU) added
(3/21) New DC Grinch fired from USC
(3/21) HC Frost is back. UCF in new conf/reality


  
West Virginia's OC Chad Scott
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Max Brown (Tr)439346%561366.0
Nicco Marchiol375666%434527.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jahiem White14984575.755
Nicco Marchiol4012023.019
Max Brown (Tr)338502.620
Rodney Gallagher165103.210
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Vaughn (Tr)49804516.475
Oran Singleton Jr.64644210.144
Grayson Barnes (Tr)31338410.960
Rodney Gallagher26288311.133

View West Virginia's Full Roster
West Virginia's DC Zac Alley
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fred Perry (Tr)10910322
Chase Wilson (Tr)973061
Darrian Lewis (Tr)723006
Jordan Scruggs (Tr)705002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jimmori Robinson (Tr)44181181
Fred Perry (Tr)10910322
Hammond Russell IV174330
Braden Siders (Tr)204200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Coats Jr. (Tr)4110010
Devonte Nelson331007
Darrian Lewis (Tr)723006

UCF's OC Steve Cooper
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cam Fancher (Tr)12621259%1528667.2
Jacurri Brown346652%387145.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Nixon (Tr)132874126.692
Jacurri Brown5340147.667
Cam Fancher (Tr)9936533.776
Myles Montgomery5129335.725
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Wade (Tr)29374212.944
Jaden Nixon (Tr)97408.216
Marcus Burke (Tr)86928.620
Myles Montgomery366122.049

View UCF's Full Roster
UCF's DC Alex Grinch
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nyjalik Kelly5310611
Phillip Dunnam (Tr)483014
Keli Lawson (Tr)402004
R.J. Jackson354302
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nyjalik Kelly5310611
Malachi Lawrence156541
R.J. Jackson354302
Sincere Edwards (Tr)176342
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden Bellamy (Tr)341006
DJ Bell (Tr)160005
Keli Lawson (Tr)402004