Utah at West Virginia - 2025 Matchup Preview
Utah logo Utah Utes at West Virginia MountaineersWest Virginia logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Utah -13.5 (46.5) (-535)  Open: -12.5
Utah 48 - West Virginia: 14  (Big 12)

 
Utes (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (167 - 86)
Avg Score : 41 - 19 (38 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.9 - 2.1 (#13)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Rain Predicted
WVU is playing their 5th straight game
UTAH is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Utah -24  (SP+ UTAH -28.5)

Projected Score: UTAH: 36 - WVU: 12 (49)
UTAH Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
UTAH Travel: 1676 miles, 2 hrs behind
Mountaineers (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (60 - 26)
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (23 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
 
Utah's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Utah at UCLA-6.550.5W 43 - 10OY
Sat 9/6 Utah vs Cal Poly-42.553.5W 63 - 9OY
Sat 9/13 Utah at Wyoming-24.547.5W 31 - 6UY
Sat 9/20 Utah vs Texas Tech-3.558.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 9/27 Utah at West Virginia-13.546.5W 48 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Utah vs Arizona State-9.544.5W 42 - 10OY
Sat 10/18 Utah at BYU-4.049.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/25 Utah vs Colorado-14.550.5W 53 - 7OY
Sat 11/1 Utah vs Cincinnati-11.557.5W 45 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Utah at Baylor-9.560.5W 55 - 28OY
Sat 11/22 Utah vs Kansas State-18.552.5W 51 - 47ON
Fri 11/28 Utah at Kansas-10.559.5W 31 - 21UN
Wed 12/31 Utah vs Nebraska-13.551.5W 44 - 22OY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Utah's Schedule
West Virginia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 West Virginia vs Robert Morris-40.056.5W 45 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 West Virginia at Ohio-3.558.5L 10 - 17UN
Sat 9/13 West Virginia vs Pittsburgh+6.554.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 9/20 West Virginia at Kansas+12.554.5L 10 - 41UN
Sat 9/27 West Virginia vs Utah+13.546.5L 14 - 48ON
Fri 10/3 West Virginia at BYU+19.546.5L 24 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 West Virginia at UCF+6.546.5L 13 - 45ON
Sat 10/25 West Virginia vs TCU+16.555.5L 17 - 23UY
Sat 11/1 West Virginia at Houston+13.548.5W 45 - 35OY
Sat 11/8 West Virginia vs Colorado-6.551.5W 29 - 22UY
Sat 11/15 West Virginia at Arizona State+10.046.5L 23 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 West Virginia vs Texas Tech+24.553.5L 0 - 49UN

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTAH#5 (.35)49% (14)41.351% (7)3.56 (3)24946% (32)1934.95 (5)#23 (.07)39% (31)18.943% (76)34% (9)2.84 (15)46.10.91.3
WVU#119 (.07)37% (122)21.839% (114)2.66 (117)16134% (130)1893.53 (85)#64 (.16)40% (54)30.839% (34)43% (81)3.9 (94)561.51.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTAH#120 (.08)37% (125)38% (116)2.73 (114)13035% (119)1993.4 (111)#7 (.05)35% (4)37% (10)34% (6)3.13 (15)46.31.81.5
WVU#63 (.2)43% (69)44% (75)3.05 (64)19641% (73)2104.6 (16)#124 (.3)45% (103)41% (46)49% (128)4.74 (131)33.91.51.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTAH Offense1341.338.248.6%4.950.9234422491936.156%44%51%46%12%.35
WVU Defense1230.828.240.5%3.91.7 - - - - - 49%49%39%43%18%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTAH Defense1318.917.238.7%2.841.3 - - - - - 51%47%43%34%17%.07
WVU Offense1221.822.736.8%3.531.5193501611893.757%42%39%34%16%.07

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Utah1328:3623.553%64%5.646.10.91.35.82.4428.5
West Virginia1226:1818.830%45%5.8561.51.76.72.4128.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTAH Offense1356% (25)51% (7)40.6249.26.137 (11).35 (2)3.56 (3)81% (11)7% (15)1.1 (16)
WVU Defense1249% (58)39% (34) - - - - .02 (26)2.42 (8)73% (80)12% (14)0.95 (67)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTAH Defense1351% (81)43% (76) - - - - .17 (108)2.88 (70)73% (79)10% (57)1.1 (123)
WVU Offense1257% (20)39% (114)43.6160.73.722 (36)-.02 (126)2.66 (117)62% (121)10% (103)0.89 (98)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTAH Offense1344% (103)46% (32)16.526.3192.87.311.725 (33)5 (34).36 (36)1.5 (86)29% (25)39% (7).61 (3)5% (39)2.1 (54)
WVU Defense1249% (82)43% (81) - - - - - - 11 (22).33 (105)1.7 (125)34% (28)33% (113).42 (122)6% (70)2.1 (109)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTAH Defense1347% (46)34% (9) - - - - - - 14 (38).02 (4)1.7 (124)33% (48)26% (21).09 (6)7% (14)2.2 (121)
WVU Offense1242% (116)34% (130)1627.3188.96.911.810 (128)11 (88).2 (98)1.7 (23)30% (54)26% (114).21 (98)6% (59)2.1 (51)

Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 21.83  #14
Utah's Offense Rating: 22.48  #15
Utah's Defense Rating: 0.65  #31
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00  #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 13%  #36
Utah's 2025 Expected Record: 10.9 - 2.1
Utah's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.4  #10
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4  #11
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.1  #21

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah: 21.83   West Virginia: -2.49

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah: 21.4   West Virginia: -7.2




West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: -2.49  #81
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 3.22  #106
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 6.00  #51
2025 Talent Rating: 808.00  #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #56
West Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
West Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2  #93
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #102
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3  #90

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Utah Scoring
Offense: 41.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 38.2
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 17.2

Utah's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Utah 36
West Virginia 12


Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Utah 26
West Virginia 21

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
Utah 35
West Virginia 20

Total Points: 55
West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.7
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.2

West Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27West Virginia14Utah48Utah -13.5Utah46.5Over
201712/26West Virginia14Utah30Utah -6.5Utah56.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
West Virginia001 Overs
Utah221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 00 - 2
Road Teams2 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0

(#14) UTAH at (#81) WVU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUTAHWVU
Power RatePwr #14 #81
SP+SP+ #10 #93
Perf GradeGrade #22 #130
OffenseOff #26 #132
DefenseDef #46 #121
Spec TeamsST #25 #59
TalentTal #66 #50
Blue ChipsBC% #36 #56
Utah Notes
(10/29) QB Devon Dampier will play vs Cincy
(10/26) QB Byrd Ficklin (Fr) ran wild on Col, pass meh
(9/20) Killed by T Tech, Off awful, Dampier worse. Ugly
(9/20) Is Off any good or feasted on cupcakes early?
(7/22) RBs Parker (WSU) good, leads 4 portal adds
(7/22) WR rebuild. Top 2 from NM LY, 6 portal adds
(7/20) LB L Damuni has 4 years starting exp, hurt LY
(6/6) OL returns all 5 starters, top 5 unit in CFB
(5/27) QB Dampier (NM) full control of OC Beck's Off
(5/12) QB Dampier forced 54 missed tackles LY
(4/15) New OC Beck (NM) big improvement. Fun Off?
(4/4) OT Spencer Fano the #1 OT via PFF
Utah Injury Report
West Virginia Notes
(10/27) Def spirited vs TCU, Fox 300 yds, but can't run
(10/18) Getting real bad, killed by UCF. Just too many injuries
(10/18) Outgained 550+ to 200 yds vs UCF? Coming unglued
(10/4) QB1 is Fr Khalil Wilkins, mobile and not ready. Woof
(10/1) Starting QB Marchiol redshirting & transferring
(9/20) Killed by KU, just don't have Off weapons or QB
(9/14) Gutsy comeback W vs Pitt. Plays hard for staff
(9/8) Star RB Jahiem White out for season (knee)
(9/8) Starting WR J Bray out for season (leg)
(8/30) Ran for nearly 400< Marchiol efficient vs RMU
(8/20) DE/LB Robinson likely academically ineligible
(6/11) RB White a top B12 RB, Edwards (FCS) 1k LY
West Virginia Injury Report
Utah on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
UTAH OffWVU Def
Perf GradePerf #26 #121
SuccessSuc #14 #54
ExplosiveExp #51 #125
PPAPPA #5 #64
PowerPwr #15 #51
SP+SP+ #11 #90
Pts POPPO #5 #94
HavocHav #17 #28
Utah Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
UTAH OffWVU Def
Run GameRun #11 #92
Run SuccessRSuc #7 #34
Run ExplRExp #16 #67
PPAExp #2 #26
Run BlockR Blk #57 -
OL YdsOLY #3 #8
Stuff RateStuff #6 #17
TackleTak -  #119
Utah Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
UTAH OffWVU Def
Pass GamePass #50 #125
Pass SuccessPSuc #32 #81
Pass ExplPExl #86 #125
PPAExp #36 #105
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #9 #102
F7 HavocF7 #15 #14
DB HavocDB #39 #70
West Virginia on Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatWVU OffUTAH Def
Perf GradePerf #132 #46
SuccessSuc #122 #31
ExplosiveExp #81 #115
PPAPPA #119 #23
PowerPwr #106 #31
SP+SP+ #102 #21
Pts POPPO #85 #15
HavocHav #79 #35
West Virginia Run Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
WVU OffUTAH Def
Run GameRun #132 #76
Run SuccessRSuc #114 #76
Run ExplRExp #98 #123
PPAExp #126 #108
Run BlockR Blk #129 -
OL YdsOLY #117 #70
Stuff RateStuff #106 #58
TackleTak -  #112
West Virginia Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatWVU OffUTAH Def
Pass GamePass #127 #66
Pass SuccessPSuc #130 #9
Pass ExplPExl #23 #124
PPAExp #98 #4
Pass Block/RushP Blk #58 #28
F7 HavocF7 #103 #57
DB HavocDB #59 #14
Program Comparison
WVU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

UTAH 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Milan Puskar Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 67° - Wind: 7 mph
Rain: 0.035
Rematch from Week 5
Utah 13.5 (46.5)
Utah won at West Virginia this year (48-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UTAH's OC Jason Beck (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Devon Dampier (Tr)19330364%21802257.2
Byrd Ficklin213560%301308.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Wayshawn Parker (Tr)13393167.064
Devon Dampier (Tr)12768775.459
Byrd Ficklin56503109.074
NaQuari Rogers (Tr)95376104.023
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Davis (Tr)57659411.656
Dallen Bentley42514512.244
JJ Buchanan22351416.060
Larry Simmons (Tr)14271619.448

View Utah's Full Roster

UTAH's DC Morgan Scalley (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnathan Hall616304
Jackson Bennee593115
Tao Johnson473004
Lander Barton474221
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Henry Daley45181201
Logan Fano438532
Kash Dillon285410
Johnathan Hall616304
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Smith Snowden372009
Blake Cotton (Tr)222007
Jackson Bennee593115

WVU's OC Rich Rodriguez (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Scotty Fox Jr.10117059%1276767.5
Nicco Marchiol669867%720227.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diore Hubbard9633543.529
Cyncir Bowers6324924.026
Khalil Wilkins5824324.222
Scotty Fox Jr.8420132.459
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Vaughn (Tr)35540415.446
Jeff Weimer (Tr)21383218.275
Rodney Gallagher2824308.726
Grayson Barnes (Tr)21232211.034

View West Virginia's Full Roster

WVU's DC Zac Alley (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fred Perry (Tr)7810323
Darrian Lewis (Tr)751010
Reid Carrico698551
Chase Wilson (Tr)465312
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reid Carrico698551
Fred Perry (Tr)7810323
Chase Wilson (Tr)465312
Devin Grant (Tr)205301
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Coats Jr. (Tr)302007
Jason Chambers (Tr)343004
Derek Carter (Tr)312004