Utah at West Virginia - 2025 Matchup Preview
Utah logo (#16)Utah Utes at West Virginia MountaineersWest Virginia logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Field at Milan Puskar Stadium - Morgantown, WV  (Big 12)

 
Utes (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (167 - 86)
Avg Score : 46 - 8 (37 - 8 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 2.3 (#10)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
WVU is playing their 5th straight game
UTAH is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Utah -11   (SP+ UTAH -13)

Projected Score: UTAH: 30 - WVU: 19 (49)
UTAH Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
UTAH Travel: 1676 miles, 2 hrs behind
Mountaineers (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (60 - 26)
Avg Score : 29 - 15 (38 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
 
Utah's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Utah at UCLA-6.550.5W 43 - 10OY
Sat 9/6 Utah vs Cal Poly-42.553.5W 63 - 9OY
Sat 9/13 Utah at Wyoming-24.547.5W 31 - 6UY
Sat 9/20 Utah vs Texas Tech-3.058.5
Sat 9/27 Utah at West Virginia-11
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Utah vs Arizona State-8
Sat 10/18 Utah at BYU-5
Sat 10/25 Utah vs Colorado-19.5
Sat 11/1 Utah vs Cincinnati-10
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Utah at Baylor-6
Sat 11/22 Utah vs Kansas State-16.5
Sat 11/29 Utah at Kansas-8

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Utah's Schedule
West Virginia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 West Virginia vs Robert Morris-40.056.5W 45 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 West Virginia at Ohio-3.558.5L 10 - 17UN
Sat 9/13 West Virginia vs Pittsburgh+6.554.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 9/20 West Virginia at Kansas+13.554.5
Sat 9/27 West Virginia vs Utah+11
Fri 10/3 West Virginia at BYU+8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 West Virginia at UCF+2
Sat 10/25 West Virginia vs TCU+8.5
Sat 11/1 West Virginia at Houston+0.5
Sat 11/8 West Virginia vs Colorado-6
Sat 11/15 West Virginia at Arizona State+10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 West Virginia vs Texas Tech+14

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTAH#28 (.35)58% (8)45.761% (5)3.77 (10)24054% (19)1844.58 (45)#3 (-.14)30% (14)8.332% (19)29% (16)2.71 (41)46.70.31.3
WVU#82 (.16)42% (85)28.744% (78)2.84 (84)21339% (96)2234.33 (51)#17 (-.04)32% (19)14.734% (30)32% (28)2.53 (36)71.32.32
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTAH#120 (.08)37% (125)38% (116)2.73 (114)13035% (119)1993.4 (111)#7 (.05)35% (4)37% (10)34% (6)3.13 (15)46.31.81.5
WVU#63 (.2)43% (69)44% (75)3.05 (64)19641% (73)2104.6 (16)#124 (.3)45% (103)41% (46)49% (128)4.74 (131)33.91.51.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTAH Offense345.73757.9%4.580.3224242401845.955%45%61%54%9%.35
WVU Defense314.713.532.5%2.532 - - - - - 51%48%34%32%20%-.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTAH Defense38.3830.4%2.711.3 - - - - - 49%51%32%29%20%-.14
WVU Offense328.73841.7%4.332.3224362132234.656%44%44%39%15%.16

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Utah328:5922.371%100%5.346.70.31.35.33131.3
West Virginia325:0322.329%50%7.771.32.327.34.3029.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTAH Offense355% (43)61% (5)41239.75.99 (17).39 (11)3.77 (10)83% (28)6% (25)0.85 (95)
WVU Defense351% (85)34% (30) - - - - -.1 (22)2.32 (30)71% (72)13% (30)0.9 (60)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTAH Defense349% (61)32% (19) - - - - -.04 (36)2.51 (43)63% (43)13% (37)0.98 (76)
WVU Offense356% (33)44% (78)46.32134.69 (17).12 (77)2.84 (84)71% (67)11% (105)0.96 (66)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTAH Offense345% (92)54% (19)1824.31847.610.25 (54)0 (1).29 (68)1 (135)20% (5)47% (9).51 (39)3% (26)1.1 (132)
WVU Defense348% (53)32% (28) - - - - - - 4 (12).03 (24)1.5 (64)35% (53)27% (56).15 (42)7% (45)1.6 (31)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTAH Defense351% (79)29% (16) - - - - - - 3 (28)-.24 (4)1.4 (48)32% (76)18% (22)-.42 (1)7% (34)1.4 (10)
WVU Offense344% (97)39% (96)18.327.7223.38.112.22 (102)3 (92).21 (88)1.4 (110)30% (61)25% (106).19 (101)4% (45)1.7 (104)

Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 23.29 #22
Utah's Offense Rating: 19.87 #33
Utah's Defense Rating: -3.42 #13
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 13% #36
Utah's 2025 Expected Record: 9.7 - 2.3
Utah's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.8 #14
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #35
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.8 #7

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah: 23.29   West Virginia: 9.88

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah: 18.8   West Virginia: 5.6




West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 9.88 #56
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 11.55 #75
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 2.39 #39
2025 Talent Rating: 808.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
West Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8
West Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #55
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #51
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #51

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Utah Scoring
Offense: 45.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 8.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 8

Utah's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Utah 30
West Virginia 19


Total Points: 49

West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 14.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.5

West Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201712/26West Virginia14Utah30UtahUtah -6.5Utah56.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
West Virginia000 Overs
Utah111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#22) Utah Info
Power Rating: 23.29 #22
Offense Rating: 19.87 #33
Defense Rating: -3.42 #13
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.8 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #35
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.8 #7
Talent Rating: 750.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 13% #36
Expected Record: 9.7 - 2.3

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Great Offense Success Rate of 58%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Great Run Success 61%
Great Pass Success 54%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 30%
Good in Scoring Position 2.71 PPO
Great Run Def Success 32%
Great Pass Def Success 29%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Utah has lost 1 straight
Utah has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Utah Notes
(7/22) WR rebuild. Top 2 from NM LY, 6 portal adds
(7/20) LB L Damuni has 4 years starting exp, hurt LY
(6/6) OL returns all 5 starters, top 5 unit in CFB
(5/27) QB Dampier (NM) full control of OC Beck's Off
(5/12) QB Dampier forced 54 missed tackles LY
(4/15) New OC Beck (NM) big improvement. Fun Off?
(4/4) OT Spencer Fano the #1 OT via PFF
(3/20) Def replaces a lot, but always v good.
(3/20) Def not many portals. Belief in depth
(3/20) DC Scalley named HC in waiting. Whit retiring?

Utah Highlights
Utah is Undefeated vs Spread
Utah in Undefeated

Utah has Really Good Running Game (#14)
Utah offense is efficent (#8)
Utah has a top Offensive Line (#10)
Utah offense is good on 3rd downs
Utah does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#12)

Utah Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Utah has a really good defense (#14)
Utah has a good run defense (#19)
Utah has a good pass defense (#16)
Utah Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#16)
Utah has a great TO Margin (#11)
Utah defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Utah Deficiencies
Utah offense is not Explosive (#135)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatWVUUTAH
OverallOver#62#25
OffenseOff#92#26
DefenseDef#29#25
Special TeamsST#40#22
PassingPass#89#44
RushingRush#75#15
Run BlockRBLK#105#35
Pass BlockPBLK#66#5
Route RunningWR Rt#67#55
TacklingTkl#77#29
Run DefenseR Def#12#29
Pass Rush DefPRush#78#14
Coverage DefCov#45#65

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Milan Puskar Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UTAH | WVU
Depth Chart: UTAH | WVU
Rosters: UTAH | WVU
(#56) West Virginia Info
Power Rating: 9.88 #56
Offense Rating: 11.55 #75
Defense Rating: 2.39 #39
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #51
Talent Rating: 808.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.33 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 32%
Good in Scoring Position 2.53 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

West Virginia has lost 1 straight
West Virginia has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

West Virginia Notes
(9/8) Star RB Jahiem White out for season (knee)
(9/8) Starting WR J Bray out for season (leg)
(8/30) Ran for nearly 400< Marchiol efficient vs RMU
(8/20) DE/LB Robinson likely academically ineligible
(6/11) RB White a top B12 RB, Edwards (FCS) 1k LY
(5/29) OL has bottom 20 exp & 94% is from 10 portals
(5/29) Def bad LY, added 5 DL, 4 LB & 13 portal DBs
(5/29) Over 1/2 roster new. 54 portal adds + new staff
(5/15) OT's are a huge ? IOL exp'd but not good.
(5/8) LB J Robinson was AAC Def POY in 2024 (UTSA)

West Virginia Highlights
West Virginia is Undefeated at Home
West Virginia is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
West Virginia is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

West Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#26)
West Virginia Defense Sacks the QB a lot

West Virginia has a really good defense (#19)
West Virginia has a good run defense (#30)
West Virginia has a good pass defense (#28)
West Virginia Defensive Line is very good (#30)
West Virginia Front 7 is disruptive (#30)
West Virginia defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

West Virginia Deficiencies
West Virginia has a bad TO Margin (#125)
West Virginia Fumbles a Lot (#128)
West Virginia Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
West Virginia offense is not Explosive (#107)
West Virginia Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#102)
West Virginia offense is bad on 3rd Downs


  
Utah's OC Jason Beck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Devon Dampier (Tr)658973%628707.1
Byrd Ficklin44100%530013.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devon Dampier (Tr)3319816.023
Wayshawn Parker (Tr)2719227.143
NaQuari Rogers (Tr)3615244.223
Hunter Andrews1210819.025
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Davis (Tr)1917119.027
Dallen Bentley11112210.224
Tobias Merriweather (Tr)588017.636
Hunter Andrews86307.914

View Utah's Full Roster
Utah's DC Morgan Scalley
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Henry Daley137501
Jackson Bennee120003
Lander Barton120010
Nate Ritchie121000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Henry Daley137501
Kash Dillon82200
Logan Fano62101
Paul Fitzgerald102100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Bennee120003
John Henry Daley137501
Johnathan Hall90001

West Virginia's OC Rich Rodriguez
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nicco Marchiol517172%594218.4
Jaylen Henderson (Tr)2729%12001.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tye Edwards (Tr)2514135.627
Jahiem White2413335.532
Scotty Fox Jr.86518.159
Clay Ash216203.011
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Vaughn (Tr)12203116.946
Grayson Barnes (Tr)997110.834
Jaden Bray795013.645
Rodney Gallagher87309.120

View West Virginia's Full Roster
West Virginia's DC Zac Alley
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fred Perry (Tr)213212
Darrian Lewis (Tr)210000
Ben Cutter182011
Kekoura Tarnue151002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chase Wilson (Tr)134311
Fred Perry (Tr)213212
Hammond Russell IV93200
Edward Vesterinen92200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fred Perry (Tr)213212
Kekoura Tarnue151002
Eddie Kelly81102