West Virginia at BYU - 2025 Matchup Preview
West Virginia logo West Virginia Mountaineers at BYU CougarsBYU logo
Friday, October 3rd 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
LaVell Edwards Stadium - Provo, UT  (Big 12)

 
Mountaineers (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (60 - 26)
Avg Score : 29 - 15 (10 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
WVU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: BYU -8.5   (SP+ BYU -7)

Projected Score: WVU: 17 - BYU: 25 (42)
BYU Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
WVU Travel: 1671 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Cougars (2 - 0) (2 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (71 - 43)
Avg Score : 48 - 2 (48 - 2 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 4.5 (#49)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 0)
 
West Virginia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 West Virginia vs Robert Morris-40.056.5W 45 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 West Virginia at Ohio-3.558.5L 10 - 17UN
Sat 9/13 West Virginia vs Pittsburgh+6.554.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 9/20 West Virginia at Kansas+13.554.5
Sat 9/27 West Virginia vs Utah+11
Fri 10/3 West Virginia at BYU+8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 West Virginia at UCF+2
Sat 10/25 West Virginia vs TCU+8.5
Sat 11/1 West Virginia at Houston+0.5
Sat 11/8 West Virginia vs Colorado-6
Sat 11/15 West Virginia at Arizona State+10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 West Virginia vs Texas Tech+14

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule
BYU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 BYU vs Portland State-43.561.5W 69 - 0OY
Sat 9/6 BYU vs Stanford-20.544.5W 27 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 BYU at East Carolina-7.549.5
Sat 9/27 BYU at Colorado-7
Fri 10/3 BYU vs West Virginia-8.5
Sat 10/11 BYU at Arizona-1.5
Sat 10/18 BYU vs Utah+5
Sat 10/25 BYU at Iowa State+4
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 BYU at Texas Tech+13
Sat 11/15 BYU vs TCU+2.5
Sat 11/22 BYU at Cincinnati+3
Sat 11/29 BYU vs UCF-9

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for BYU's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WVU#82 (.16)42% (85)28.744% (78)2.84 (84)21339% (96)2234.33 (51)#17 (-.04)32% (19)14.734% (30)32% (28)2.53 (36)71.32.32
BYU#38 (.32)47% (45)4850% (40)3.66 (18)31343% (74)1574.5 (46)#2 (-.2)24% (3)1.517% (2)30% (18)0.75 (1)450.52
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WVU#63 (.2)43% (69)44% (75)3.05 (64)19641% (73)2104.6 (16)#124 (.3)45% (103)41% (46)49% (128)4.74 (131)33.91.51.1
BYU#51 (.22)45% (44)47% (30)3.23 (37)14843% (59)2163.73 (88)#41 (.13)41% (65)46% (99)37% (28)3.79 (68)371.42.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WVU Offense328.71041.7%4.332.3224362132234.656%44%44%39%15%.16
BYU Defense21.51.524.2%0.752 - - - - - 47%53%17%30%24%-.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WVU Defense314.71732.5%2.532 - - - - - 51%48%34%32%20%-.04
BYU Offense2484846.7%4.50.523469313157756%44%50%43%8%.32

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
West Virginia325:0322.329%50%7.771.32.327.34.3029.4
BYU234:392346%67%4.5450.528.52.5035.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WVU Offense356% (33)44% (78)46.32134.69 (17).12 (77)2.84 (84)71% (67)11% (105)0.96 (66)
BYU Defense247% (45)17% (2) - - - - -.32 (2)0.35 (1)100% (127)21% (2)0.64 (8)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WVU Defense351% (85)34% (30) - - - - -.1 (22)2.32 (30)71% (72)13% (30)0.9 (60)
BYU Offense256% (41)50% (40)44.5312.577 (38).48 (4)3.66 (18)100% (1)6% (23)1.33 (16)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WVU Offense344% (97)39% (96)18.327.7223.38.112.22 (102)3 (92).21 (88)1.4 (110)30% (61)25% (106).19 (101)4% (45)1.7 (104)
BYU Defense253% (94)30% (18) - - - - - - 2 (56)-.09 (16)0.9 (2)40% (7)12% (6)-.07 (13)3% (124)1.7 (37)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WVU Defense348% (53)32% (28) - - - - - - 4 (12).03 (24)1.5 (64)35% (53)27% (56).15 (42)7% (45)1.6 (31)
BYU Offense244% (93)43% (74)14.522.5156.5710.83 (90)0 (1).11 (115)1.4 (105)29% (52)27% (100)-.02 (126)2% (10)1.5 (120)

West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 9.16 #56
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 11.55 #75
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 2.39 #39
2025 Talent Rating: 808.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
West Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8
West Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #55
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #51
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #51

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 9.16   BYU: 15.875

SP+ Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 5.6   BYU: 12.5




BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 15.875 #41
BYU's Offense Rating: 14.19 #59
BYU's Defense Rating: -0.06 #26
2025 Talent Rating: 686.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
BYU's 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5
BYU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.5 #27
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #48
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #21

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 14.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

West Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
BYU 25
West Virginia 17


Total Points: 42

BYU Scoring
Offense: 48 PPG
Offense at Home: 48
Defense: 1.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 1.5

BYU's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/04West Virginia37BYU7West VirginiaWest Virginia -13West Virginia48.5Under
201609/24West Virginia35BYU32West VirginiaWest Virginia -3.5BYU53.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
BYU011 Overs
West Virginia211 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#56) West Virginia Info
Power Rating: 9.16 #56
Offense Rating: 11.55 #75
Defense Rating: 2.39 #39
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #51
Talent Rating: 808.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.33 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 32%
Good in Scoring Position 2.53 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

West Virginia has lost 2 straight
West Virginia has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

West Virginia Notes
(9/8) Star RB Jahiem White out for season (knee)
(9/8) Starting WR J Bray out for season (leg)
(8/30) Ran for nearly 400< Marchiol efficient vs RMU
(8/20) DE/LB Robinson likely academically ineligible
(6/11) RB White a top B12 RB, Edwards (FCS) 1k LY
(5/29) OL has bottom 20 exp & 94% is from 10 portals
(5/29) Def bad LY, added 5 DL, 4 LB & 13 portal DBs
(5/29) Over 1/2 roster new. 54 portal adds + new staff
(5/15) OT's are a huge ? IOL exp'd but not good.
(5/8) LB J Robinson was AAC Def POY in 2024 (UTSA)

West Virginia Highlights
West Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#26)
West Virginia Defense Sacks the QB a lot

West Virginia has a really good defense (#19)
West Virginia has a good run defense (#30)
West Virginia has a good pass defense (#28)
West Virginia Defensive Line is very good (#30)
West Virginia Front 7 is disruptive (#30)
West Virginia defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

West Virginia Deficiencies
West Virginia has a bad TO Margin (#125)
West Virginia Fumbles a Lot (#128)
West Virginia Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
West Virginia offense is not Explosive (#107)
West Virginia Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#102)
West Virginia offense is bad on 3rd Downs

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatBYUWVU
OverallOver#12#62
OffenseOff#15#92
DefenseDef#35#29
Special TeamsST#11#40
PassingPass#61#89
RushingRush#20#75
Run BlockRBLK#9#105
Pass BlockPBLK#34#66
Route RunningWR Rt#59#67
TacklingTkl#34#77
Run DefenseR Def#20#12
Pass Rush DefPRush#44#78
Coverage DefCov#49#45

Previous Matchups
West Virginia beat BYU in 2023 (37-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in LaVell Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WVU | BYU
Depth Chart: WVU | BYU
Rosters: WVU | BYU
(#41) BYU Info
Power Rating: 15.875 #41
Offense Rating: 14.19 #59
Defense Rating: -0.06 #26
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.5 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #48
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #21
Talent Rating: 686.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 47%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.5 PPO
Good Run Success 50%
Bad Pass Success 43%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 24%
Great in Scoring Position 0.75 PPO
Great Run Def Success 17%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

BYU has lost 2 straight
BYU has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

BYU Notes
(8/16) QB1 - Fr Bear Bachmeier looks like starter
(7/30) Def good LY, but lost 8 starters, most of DL
(6/29) QB Retzlaff left after legal trouble, honor code
(6/29) QB huge ? into fall camp, Hillstead early leader
(5/29) DL added 6 portals + 1 meh LB and 1 S
(5/29) WR serious hit with #2 Lassiter denied '25
(5/29) OL returns 3/5, need new T's. 2 portal add
(3/20) RB Martin returns, need #2/depth
(3/20) Sitake & staff incredible job in '24. Tough team

BYU Highlights
BYU is Undefeated vs Spread
BYU in Undefeated
BYU is Undefeated at Home
BYU is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

BYU has Really Good Running Game (#29)
BYU has a top Offensive Line (#18)
BYU offense is good on 3rd downs
BYU does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#7)

BYU has a really good defense (#3)
BYU defense does not give up big plays (#1)
BYU defense is really good in red zone (#1)
BYU has a good run defense (#2)
BYU has a good pass defense (#18)
BYU Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#1)
BYU Defensive Line is very good (#1)
BYU Front 7 is disruptive (#2)
BYU has a great TO Margin (#11)
BYU commits very few Penalties (#6)

BYU Deficiencies


  
West Virginia's OC Rich Rodriguez
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nicco Marchiol517172%594218.4
Jaylen Henderson (Tr)2729%12001.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tye Edwards (Tr)2514135.627
Jahiem White2413335.532
Scotty Fox Jr.86518.159
Clay Ash216203.011
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Vaughn (Tr)12203116.946
Grayson Barnes (Tr)997110.834
Jaden Bray795013.645
Rodney Gallagher87309.120

View West Virginia's Full Roster
West Virginia's DC Zac Alley
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fred Perry (Tr)213212
Darrian Lewis (Tr)210000
Ben Cutter182011
Kekoura Tarnue151002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chase Wilson (Tr)134311
Fred Perry (Tr)213212
Hammond Russell IV93200
Edward Vesterinen92200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fred Perry (Tr)213212
Kekoura Tarnue151002
Eddie Kelly81102

BYU's OC Aaron Roderick
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bear Bachmeier (Tr)243863%272307.2
McCae Hillstead4580%33006.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
LJ Martin2624109.349
Sione I Moa106216.219
Cody Hagen257128.557
Jovesa Damuni85006.312
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Roberts688114.741
Carsen Ryan (Tr)583116.625
Cody Hagen235017.524
Jojo Phillips330010.021

View BYU's Full Roster
BYU's DC Jay Hill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Logan Lutui83000
Isaiah Glasker73120
Jack Kelly63120
Faletau Satuala62000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Choe Bryant-Strother21100
Jack Kelly63120
Keanu Tanuvasa (Tr)51110
Anisi Purcell (Tr)41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bodie Schoonover20011
Logan Lutui83000
Talan Alfrey31000