West Virginia at BYU - 2025 Matchup Preview
West Virginia logo   West Virginia Mountaineers at BYU Cougars  BYU logo
Friday, October 3rd 2025 (10:30 PM EDT)
BYU -19.5 (46.5) (-1400)  Open: -20.5 | 49.5
BYU 38 - West Virginia: 24  (Big 12)

 
Mountaineers (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (60 - 26)
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (21 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
WVU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: BYU -22  (SP+ BYU -23)

Projected Score: WVU: 14 - BYU: 36 (50)
BYU Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
WVU Travel: 1671 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Cougars (12 - 2) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (71 - 43)
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (41 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.7 - 2.3 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
 
West Virginia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 West Virginia vs Robert Morris-40.056.5W 45 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 West Virginia at Ohio-3.558.5L 10 - 17UN
Sat 9/13 West Virginia vs Pittsburgh+6.554.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 9/20 West Virginia at Kansas+12.554.5L 10 - 41UN
Sat 9/27 West Virginia vs Utah+13.546.5L 14 - 48ON
Fri 10/3 West Virginia at BYU+19.546.5L 24 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 West Virginia at UCF+6.546.5L 13 - 45ON
Sat 10/25 West Virginia vs TCU+16.555.5L 17 - 23UY
Sat 11/1 West Virginia at Houston+13.548.5W 45 - 35OY
Sat 11/8 West Virginia vs Colorado-6.551.5W 29 - 22UY
Sat 11/15 West Virginia at Arizona State+10.046.5L 23 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 West Virginia vs Texas Tech+24.553.5L 0 - 49UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule
BYU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 BYU vs Portland State-43.561.5W 69 - 0OY
Sat 9/6 BYU vs Stanford-20.544.5W 27 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 BYU at East Carolina-6.549.5W 34 - 13UY
Sat 9/27 BYU at Colorado-6.548.5W 24 - 21UN
Fri 10/3 BYU vs West Virginia-19.546.5W 38 - 24ON
Sat 10/11 BYU at Arizona-2.546.5W 33 - 27OY
Sat 10/18 BYU vs Utah+4.049.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 10/25 BYU at Iowa State+2.548.5W 41 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 BYU at Texas Tech+13.550.5L 7 - 29UN
Sat 11/15 BYU vs TCU-3.051.5W 44 - 13OY
Sat 11/22 BYU at Cincinnati-2.556.5W 26 - 14UY
Sat 11/29 BYU vs UCF-17.546.5W 41 - 21OY
Sat 12/6 BYU vs Texas Tech+12.550.5L 7 - 34UN
Sat 12/27 BYU vs Georgia Tech-3.555.0W 25 - 21UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WVU#63 (.2)43% (69)21.844% (75)3.05 (64)19641% (73)2104.6 (16)#124 (.3)45% (103)30.841% (46)49% (128)4.74 (131)33.91.51.1
BYU#51 (.22)45% (44)31.447% (30)3.23 (37)14843% (59)2163.73 (88)#41 (.13)41% (65)19.146% (99)37% (28)3.79 (68)371.42.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WVU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BYU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WVU Offense1321.820.842.5%4.61.5234061962104.956%44%44%41%16%.2
BYU Defense1319.113.741.4%3.792.1 - - - - - 51%49%46%37%17%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WVU Defense1330.833.544.8%4.741.1 - - - - - 51%49%41%49%13%.3
BYU Offense1331.440.544.7%3.731.4203631482164.752%48%47%43%16%.22

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
West Virginia1331:3622.642%62%4.333.91.51.14.81.5128.4
BYU1328:3220.535%75%4.4371.42.14.51.2531.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WVU Offense1356% (28)44% (75)40.11964.927 (30).16 (52)3.05 (64)78% (33)10% (82)1.07 (35)
BYU Defense1351% (70)46% (99) - - - - .14 (78)2.8 (36)72% (59)9% (86)0.97 (61)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WVU Defense1351% (68)41% (46) - - - - .08 (46)2.83 (41)64% (21)9% (97)1.02 (86)
BYU Offense1352% (62)47% (30)31.6147.74.718 (78).2 (36)3.23 (37)75% (60)9% (44)0.99 (56)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WVU Offense1344% (107)41% (73)17.428.6210.37.412.120 (58)14 (115).26 (65)1.8 (16)34% (117)32% (63).37 (52)6% (75)2.3 (8)
BYU Defense1349% (65)37% (28) - - - - - - 20 (2).12 (21)1.5 (24)31% (83)31% (73).27 (52)8% (11)2 (49)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WVU Defense1349% (68)49% (128) - - - - - - 5 (117).53 (133)1.8 (127)31% (84)38% (128).61 (133)4% (126)2.3 (123)
BYU Offense1348% (74)43% (59)15.627.3215.87.913.820 (58)11 (72).27 (60)1.7 (33)32% (83)33% (49).34 (65)7% (101)2 (96)

West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: -3.16  #75
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 7.84  #101
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 11.00  #53
2025 Talent Rating: 808.00  #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #56
West Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
West Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.8  #93
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.8  #102
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #91

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: -3.16   BYU: 17.225

SP+ Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: -6.8   BYU: 15.9




BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 17.225  #28
BYU's Offense Rating: 18.12  #37
BYU's Defense Rating: 4.57  #22
2025 Talent Rating: 686.00  #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #56
BYU's 2025 Expected Record: 11.7 - 2.3
BYU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9  #18
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #24
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.8  #22

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.5

West Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
BYU 36
West Virginia 14


Projected Total Points: 50
BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.5
Defense: 19.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

BYU's 2025 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/03BYU38West Virginia24BYU -19.5West Virginia46.5Over
202311/04West Virginia37BYU7West Virginia -13West Virginia48.5Under
201609/24West Virginia35BYU32West Virginia -3.5BYU53.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
BYU112 Overs
West Virginia221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 01 - 21 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 32 - 10 - 02 - 1

(#75) WVU at (#28) BYU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWVUBYU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #75 #28
SP+SP+ #93 #18
Perf GradeGrade #127 #29
OffenseOff #131 #26
DefenseDef #115 #56
Spec TeamsST #53 #2
TalentTal #50 #79
Blue ChipsBC% #56 #56
West Virginia Notes
(10/27) Def spirited vs TCU, Fox 300 yds, but can't run
(10/18) Getting real bad, killed by UCF. Just too many injuries
(10/18) Outgained 550+ to 200 yds vs UCF? Coming unglued
(10/4) QB1 is Fr Khalil Wilkins, mobile and not ready. Woof
(10/1) Starting QB Marchiol redshirting & transferring
(9/20) Killed by KU, just don't have Off weapons or QB
(9/14) Gutsy comeback W vs Pitt. Plays hard for staff
(9/8) Star RB Jahiem White out for season (knee)
(9/8) Starting WR J Bray out for season (leg)
(8/30) Ran for nearly 400< Marchiol efficient vs RMU
(8/20) DE/LB Robinson likely academically ineligible
(6/11) RB White a top B12 RB, Edwards (FCS) 1k LY
West Virginia Injury Report
BYU Notes
(11/16) Have taken advantage of bad B12 mids. Def good
(8/16) QB1 - Fr Bear Bachmeier looks like starter
(7/30) Def good LY, but lost 8 starters, most of DL
(6/29) QB Retzlaff left after legal trouble, honor code
(6/29) QB huge ? into fall camp, Hillstead early leader
(5/29) DL added 6 portals + 1 meh LB and 1 S
(5/29) WR serious hit with #2 Lassiter denied '25
(5/29) OL returns 3/5, need new T's. 2 portal add
(3/20) RB Martin returns, need #2/depth
(3/20) Sitake & staff incredible job in '24. Tough team
BYU Injury Report
West Virginia on Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
WVU OffBYU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #131 #56
SuccessSuc #69 #65
ExplosiveExp #13 #34
PPAPPA #63 #41
PowerPwr #101 #22
SP+SP+ #102 #22
Pts POPPO #16 #68
HavocHav #79 #49
West Virginia Run Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
WVU OffBYU Def
Run GameRun #133 #67
Run SuccessRSuc #75 #99
Run ExplRExp #35 #61
PPAExp #52 #78
Run BlockR Blk #123 -
OL YdsOLY #64 #36
Stuff RateStuff #74 #76
TackleTak -  #102
West Virginia Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
WVU OffBYU Def
Pass GamePass #127 #41
Pass SuccessPSuc #73 #28
Pass ExplPExl #16 #24
PPAExp #65 #21
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #64 #90
F7 HavocF7 #82 #86
DB HavocDB #75 #11
BYU on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatBYU OffWVU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #26 #115
SuccessSuc #44 #103
ExplosiveExp #48 #128
PPAPPA #51 #124
PowerPwr #37 #53
SP+SP+ #24 #91
Pts POPPO #88 #131
HavocHav #64 #119
BYU Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
BYU OffWVU Def
Run GameRun #27 #70
Run SuccessRSuc #30 #46
Run ExplRExp #56 #86
PPAExp #36 #46
Run BlockR Blk #17 -
OL YdsOLY #37 #41
Stuff RateStuff #89 #53
TackleTak -  #123
BYU Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatBYU OffWVU Def
Pass GamePass #62 #122
Pass SuccessPSuc #59 #128
Pass ExplPExl #33 #127
PPAExp #60 #133
Pass Block/RushP Blk #40 #101
F7 HavocF7 #44 #97
DB HavocDB #101 #126
Program Comparison
BYU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

WVU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in LaVell Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
BYU -19.5 (46.5)
BYU won vs West Virginia this year (38-24)

Previous Matchups
BYU beat West Virginia last year (38-24)
West Virginia beat BYU in 2023 (37-7)

  
WVU's OC Rich Rodriguez (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Scotty Fox Jr.10117059%1276767.5
Nicco Marchiol669867%720227.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diore Hubbard9633543.529
Cyncir Bowers6324924.026
Khalil Wilkins5824324.222
Scotty Fox Jr.8420132.459
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Vaughn (Tr)35540415.446
Jeff Weimer (Tr)21383218.275
Rodney Gallagher2824308.726
Grayson Barnes (Tr)21232211.034

View West Virginia's Full Roster

WVU's DC Zac Alley (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fred Perry (Tr)7810323
Darrian Lewis (Tr)751010
Reid Carrico698551
Chase Wilson (Tr)465312
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reid Carrico698551
Fred Perry (Tr)7810323
Chase Wilson (Tr)465312
Devin Grant (Tr)205301
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Coats Jr. (Tr)302007
Jason Chambers (Tr)343004
Derek Carter (Tr)312004

BYU's OC Aaron Roderick (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bear Bachmeier (Tr)25138765%30331577.8
Parker Kingston1617%22003.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
LJ Martin2361305125.549
Bear Bachmeier (Tr)147527113.622
Parker Kingston2612334.720
Jovesa Damuni1911115.819
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Parker Kingston66924514.075
Chase Roberts54802614.985
Carsen Ryan (Tr)45620313.843
LJ Martin3625507.126

View BYU's Full Roster

BYU's DC Jay Hill (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Faletau Satuala798114
Tanner Wall641000
Isaiah Glasker639391
Jack Kelly52141071
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Kelly52141071
Isaiah Glasker639391
Bodie Schoonover335333
Keanu Tanuvasa (Tr)225233
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Evan Johnson422107
Logan Lutui505045
Therrian Alexander313125