Arizona at Cincinnati - 2025 Matchup Preview
Arizona logo Arizona Wildcats at Cincinnati Bearcats(#25)Cincinnati logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 PM EST)
Cincinnati -6.5 (56.5) (-210)  Open: -5.5 | 56.5
Arizona 30 - Cincinnati: 24  (Big 12)

 
Wildcats (9 - 3) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 33 - 19 (29 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 3.7 (#30)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 14.9 MPH
CIN coming off BYE
Our Line: Cincinnati -5.5  (SP+ ARIZ -7.5)

Projected Score: ARIZ: 25 - CIN: 30 (55)
CIN Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
ARIZ Travel: 1552 miles, 2 hrs behind
Bearcats (7 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (34 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 5.2 (#57)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
 
Arizona's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arizona vs Hawai'i-13.555.5W 40 - 6UY
Sat 9/6 Arizona vs Weber State-31.556.5W 48 - 3UY
Fri 9/12 Arizona vs Kansas State+1.555.5W 23 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Arizona at Iowa State+4.048.5L 14 - 39ON
Sat 10/4 Arizona vs Oklahoma State-21.556.5W 41 - 13UY
Sat 10/11 Arizona vs BYU+2.546.5L 27 - 33ON
Sat 10/18 Arizona at Houston-1.547.5L 28 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Arizona at Colorado-4.052.5W 52 - 17OY
Sat 11/8 Arizona vs Kansas-5.556.5W 24 - 20UN
Sat 11/15 Arizona at Cincinnati+6.556.5W 30 - 24UY
Sat 11/22 Arizona vs Baylor-6.561.5W 41 - 17UY
Fri 11/28 Arizona at Arizona State-2.048.5W 23 - 7UY
Fri 1/2 Arizona vs SMU+1.052.0

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule
Cincinnati's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Cincinnati vs Nebraska+6.552.5L 17 - 20UY
Sat 9/6 Cincinnati vs Bowling Green-21.546.5W 34 - 20ON
Sat 9/13 Cincinnati vs Northwestern State-48.555.5W 70 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Cincinnati at Kansas+5.555.5W 37 - 34OY
Sat 10/4 Cincinnati vs Iowa State-1.555.5W 38 - 30OY
Sat 10/11 Cincinnati vs UCF-10.055.5W 20 - 11UN
Sat 10/18 Cincinnati at Oklahoma State-23.557.5W 49 - 17OY
Sat 10/25 Cincinnati vs Baylor-3.568.5W 41 - 20UY
Sat 11/1 Cincinnati at Utah+11.557.5L 14 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Cincinnati vs Arizona-6.556.5L 24 - 30UN
Sat 11/22 Cincinnati vs BYU+2.556.5L 14 - 26UN
Sat 11/29 Cincinnati at TCU+3.058.5L 23 - 45ON
Fri 1/2 Cincinnati vs Navy+4.054.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ#49 (.2)43% (63)32.642% (92)3.05 (49)15143% (51)2543.57 (81)#34 (.09)38% (26)18.945% (96)33% (6)3.38 (46)51.612.3
CIN#11 (.32)48% (16)31.851% (8)3.6 (1)18047% (24)2414.66 (12)#105 (.21)45% (110)24.846% (114)43% (86)3.81 (84)64.210.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ#93 (.15)39% (117)37% (126)2.64 (123)10740% (91)2483.53 (101)#109 (.24)45% (100)45% (90)44% (109)4.55 (125)57.61.71.2
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)44% (67)3.03 (69)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)46% (94)39% (43)3.51 (40)44.41.51.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Offense1232.629.442.5%3.571224051512544.346%54%42%43%15%.2
CIN Defense1224.819.644.7%3.810.8 - - - - - 52%47%46%43%13%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Defense1218.923.638.2%3.382.3 - - - - - 52%46%45%33%21%.09
CIN Offense1231.834.448.1%4.66120422180241648%50%51%47%12%.32

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona1230:452240%67%5.651.612.36.51.8234.2
Cincinnati1224:0620.340%73%6.964.210.84.51.8129.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Offense1246% (100)42% (92)35.3150.84.320 (88).13 (61)3.05 (49)76% (46)9% (64)1.05 (34)
CIN Defense1252% (101)46% (114) - - - - .17 (107)3.26 (124)77% (111)8% (113)0.93 (54)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Defense1252% (92)45% (96) - - - - .11 (73)2.85 (61)72% (75)11% (20)0.92 (45)
CIN Offense1248% (81)51% (8)30.3180.4620 (40).26 (9)3.6 (1)76% (43)6% (6)1.01 (52)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Offense1254% (29)43% (51)21.133.7254.47.612.126 (14)7 (88).26 (63)1.5 (90)31% (64)31% (67).41 (30)6% (59)2.1 (40)
CIN Defense1247% (48)43% (86) - - - - - - 2 (132).26 (76)1.5 (36)29% (113)33% (108).34 (93)5% (122)2 (61)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Defense1246% (35)33% (6) - - - - - - 19 (12).14 (27)1.6 (107)33% (42)24% (13).18 (25)9% (2)2.1 (89)
CIN Offense1250% (64)47% (24)17.728.6241.38.413.728 (6)5 (3).46 (11)1.6 (41)29% (29)34% (27).45 (19)6% (54)2.2 (22)

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 4.09  #55
Arizona's Offense Rating: 10.86  #58
Arizona's Defense Rating: 6.77  #57
2025 Talent Rating: 704.00  #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #65
Arizona's 2025 Expected Record: 9.3 - 3.7
Arizona's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.9  #25
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1  #26
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.6  #24

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 4.09   Cincinnati: 14.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 13.9   Cincinnati: 6.3




Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 14.4  #26
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 23.54  #11
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 6.04  #52
2025 Talent Rating: 798.00  #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #79
Cincinnati's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 5.2
Cincinnati's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.3  #49
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2  #39
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2  #64

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Arizona Scoring
Offense: 32.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Arizona's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Cincinnati 30
Arizona 25


Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Arizona 28
Cincinnati 28

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Arizona 27
Cincinnati 27

Total Points: 54
Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.4
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Cincinnati's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15Cincinnati24Arizona30Cincinnati -6.5Arizona56.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Cincinnati000 Overs
Arizona111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#55) ARIZ at (#26) CIN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARIZCIN
Power RatePwr #55 #26
SP+SP+ #25 #49
Perf GradeGrade #37 #31
OffenseOff #59 #12
DefenseDef #18 #77
Spec TeamsST #95 #88
TalentTal #73 #53
Blue ChipsBC% #65 #79
Arizona Notes
(11/29) 5-0 run to finish 9-3. Incredible season by Brennan
(11/23) Brennan was almost fired last year. Now 8-3 & rolling
(11/22) Killed Baylor for 4 straight wins. Great season
(10/18) 2 straight hard L's vs BYU/Hou. Def awful in B12 play
(9/26) Off based on Expl or bust, Success #'s bad
(9/26) Def #'s incredible, but haven't faced good Off yet
(9/13) Def great, Run Off mauled K St. Huge W
(9/13) Fifita looks reborn, balling out, good decisions
(7/30) WR Hunter back, 4 portals. Better talent/depth
(5/11) 64% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(3/22) Added 16 players that started LY via portal
(3/22) RB adds Mahdi (Tx St), 3 total portals
Arizona Injury Report
Cincinnati Notes
(11/16) Was Cincy overrated? Finish BYU/TCU will tell
(10/30) RB1 Evan Pryor out for the Utah game
(10/22) OL is criminally underrated, one of best in CFB
(10/12) Five straight wins after ugly W over UCF. Outgained
(10/4) Huge W vs ISU, Run Off mauled for 260+ yds, 8 ypc
(9/23) OL has been great early, int if that will hold up
(9/23) QB Sorsby has really upped his game, dynamic
(8/29) Sorsby passing awful vs Neb, tough runner.
(8/29) Run Off good vs Neb, Run Def good, Pass not
(7/30) Def good LY, lost all DBs. 4 DE/4 DB portals
(6/21) QB, TE good, RB/WR portals, OL ok, Off jump?
(5/31) TE Royer good, can FCS Caldwell be a #1 WR?
Cincinnati Injury Report
Arizona on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffCIN Def
Perf GradePerf #59 #77
SuccessSuc #63 #110
ExplosiveExp #40 #29
PPAPPA #49 #105
PowerPwr #58 #52
SP+SP+ #26 #64
Pts POPPO #81 #84
HavocHav #59 #121
Arizona Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffCIN Def
Run GameRun #76 #37
Run SuccessRSuc #92 #114
Run ExplRExp #34 #54
PPAExp #61 #107
Run BlockR Blk #63 -
OL YdsOLY #49 #124
Stuff RateStuff #70 #121
TackleTak -  #44
Arizona Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffCIN Def
Pass GamePass #31 #64
Pass SuccessPSuc #51 #86
Pass ExplPExl #90 #36
PPAExp #63 #76
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #42 #133
F7 HavocF7 #64 #113
DB HavocDB #59 #122
Cincinnati on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatCIN OffARIZ Def
Perf GradePerf #12 #18
SuccessSuc #16 #26
ExplosiveExp #44 #42
PPAPPA #11 #34
PowerPwr #11 #57
SP+SP+ #39 #24
Pts POPPO #12 #46
HavocHav #14 #5
Cincinnati Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
CIN OffARIZ Def
Run GameRun #20 #43
Run SuccessRSuc #8 #96
Run ExplRExp #52 #45
PPAExp #9 #73
Run BlockR Blk #9 -
OL YdsOLY #1 #61
Stuff RateStuff #36 #72
TackleTak -  #45
Cincinnati Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatCIN OffARIZ Def
Pass GamePass #8 #3
Pass SuccessPSuc #24 #6
Pass ExplPExl #41 #107
PPAExp #11 #27
Pass Block/RushP Blk #60 #122
F7 HavocF7 #6 #20
DB HavocDB #54 #2
Program Comparison
CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 65° - Wind: 15 mph
Rematch from Week 12
Cincinnati -6.5 (56.5)
Arizona won at Cincinnati this year (30-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ARIZ's OC Seth Doege (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Fifita24738664%29632657.7
Braedyn Locke (Tr)51533%68014.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ismail Mahdi (Tr)12278546.468
Kedrick Reescano8339494.750
Quincy Craig (Tr)5533526.154
Noah Fifita10214931.519
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kris Hutson (Tr)57740413.040
Javin Whatley (Tr)38443411.785
Tre Spivey (Tr)21359617.170
Chris Hunter25351214.035

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Danny Gonzales (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dalton Johnson972107
Taye Brown849231
Genesis Smith773018
Max Harris (Tr)754051
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chase Kennedy398460
Riley Wilson (Tr)497344
Deshawn McKnight (Tr)2611220
Taye Brown849231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Genesis Smith773018
Ayden Garnes (Tr)341028
Michael Dansby (Tr)171008

CIN's OC Brad Glenn (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendan Sorsby20633562%27862658.3
Brady Lichtenberg4667%56109.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tawee Walker (Tr)12070945.954
Brendan Sorsby10058095.841
Evan Pryor7652236.946
Manny Covey1611617.324
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cyrus Allen (Tr)486511113.688
Caleb Goodie (Tr)29484216.782
Jeff Caldwell (Tr)32478614.940
Joe Royer29416414.373

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Tyson Veidt (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jake Golday954423
Trevon Gola-Callard674003
Jonathan Thompson598120
Christian Harrison (Tr)553007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jake Golday954423
Jalen Hunt246400
Jack Dingle453230
Montay Weedon243200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Harrison (Tr)553007
Logan Wilson332006
Jiquan Sanks452004