BYU at Arizona - 2025 Matchup Preview
BYU logo BYU Cougars at Arizona WildcatsArizona logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Arizona Stadium - Tucson, AZ  (Big 12)

 
Cougars (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (71 - 43)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.6 - 4.4 (#40)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)
ARIZ 2nd straight Home Game
BYU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: BYU -6   (SP+ BYU -11)
Projected Score: BYU: 29 - ARIZ: 23 (53)
BYU Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
BYU Travel: 556 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Wildcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 22 - 32 (25 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#105)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 3)
 
BYU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 BYU vs Portland State-30
Sat 9/6 BYU vs Stanford-14.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 BYU at East Carolina-11.5
Sat 9/27 BYU at Colorado+0
Fri 10/3 BYU vs West Virginia-10
Sat 10/11 BYU at Arizona-6
Sat 10/18 BYU vs Utah+1.5
Sat 10/25 BYU at Iowa State+7
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 BYU at Texas Tech+8.5
Sat 11/15 BYU vs TCU+2.5
Sat 11/22 BYU at Cincinnati+0.5
Sat 11/29 BYU vs UCF-10.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
Arizona's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arizona vs Hawai'i-13.053.5
Sat 9/6 Arizona vs Weber State-21.5
Fri 9/12 Arizona vs Kansas State+14.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Arizona at Iowa State+15.5
Sat 10/4 Arizona vs Oklahoma State-1.5
Sat 10/11 Arizona vs BYU+6
Sat 10/18 Arizona at Houston+5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Arizona at Colorado+9
Sat 11/8 Arizona vs Kansas+3
Sat 11/15 Arizona at Cincinnati+9
Sat 11/22 Arizona vs Baylor+9
Sat 11/29 Arizona at Arizona State+19.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU#51 (.22)45% (44)31.247% (30)3.23 (37)14843% (59)2163.73 (88)#41 (.13)41% (65)19.646% (99)37% (28)3.79 (68)371.42.1
ARIZ#93 (.15)39% (117)21.837% (126)2.64 (123)10740% (91)2483.53 (101)#109 (.24)45% (100)31.845% (90)44% (109)4.55 (125)57.61.71.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Offense1331.22844.7%3.731.4203631482164.752%48%47%43%16%.22
ARIZ Defense1231.827.744.6%4.551.2 - - - - - 51%48%45%44%14%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Defense1319.621.741.4%3.792.1 - - - - - 51%49%46%37%17%.13
ARIZ Offense1221.824.638.5%3.531.7193551072483.939%61%37%40%16%.15

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
BYU1328:3220.535%75%4.4371.42.14.51.2531.7
Arizona1229:4518.543%42%6.557.61.71.24.81.7027.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Offense1352% (62)47% (30)31.6147.74.718 (78).2 (36)3.23 (37)75% (60)9% (44)0.99 (56)
ARIZ Defense1251% (73)45% (90) - - - - .18 (100)3.32 (115)78% (99)9% (94)1.08 (109)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Defense1351% (70)46% (99) - - - - .14 (78)2.8 (36)72% (59)9% (86)0.97 (61)
ARIZ Offense1239% (127)37% (126)27.4106.73.911 (116).03 (112)2.64 (123)55% (134)9% (59)1.21 (6)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Offense1348% (74)43% (59)15.627.3215.87.913.820 (58)11 (72).27 (60)1.7 (33)32% (83)33% (49).34 (65)7% (101)2 (96)
ARIZ Defense1248% (61)44% (109) - - - - - - 6 (109).31 (103)1.6 (66)31% (88)32% (95).39 (101)5% (93)2.2 (105)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Defense1349% (65)37% (28) - - - - - - 20 (2).12 (21)1.5 (24)31% (83)31% (73).27 (52)8% (11)2 (49)
ARIZ Offense1261% (8)40% (91)21.836.4247.96.811.418 (68)13 (103).22 (88)1.6 (44)36% (124)31% (70).33 (71)6% (88)2.1 (35)

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 1.41 #61
BYU's Offense Rating: 14.38 #66
BYU's Defense Rating: 12.97 #59
2025 Talent Rating: 710.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #61
BYU's 2025 Expected Record: 7.6 - 4.4
BYU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.5 #27
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #29
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #28

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 767.63
Average Power Five Talent: 856.9
Average FBS Talent: 681.31

Power Ratings Matchup
BYU: 1.41   Arizona: 0.395

SP+ Ratings Matchup
BYU: 11.5   Arizona: 0.7




Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 0.395 #82
Arizona's Offense Rating: 13.39 #72
Arizona's Defense Rating: 18.30 #90
2025 Talent Rating: 664.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #72
Arizona's 2025 Expected Record: 4.6 - 7.4
Arizona's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.7 #60
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #51
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #66

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 767.63
Average Power Five Talent: 856.9
Average FBS Talent: 681.31


BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 28
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

BYU's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
BYU 29
Arizona 23

Projected Total Points: 53
Arizona Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.6
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.7

Arizona's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12BYU41Arizona19BYUBYU -3BYU48.5Over
202109/04Arizona16BYU24BYUBYU -13.5Arizona54.0Under
201809/01Arizona23BYU28BYUArizona -10BYU60.5Under
201609/03Arizona16BYU18BYUArizona -2.5BYU63.5Under
200812/20Arizona31BYU21Arizona
200709/01BYU20Arizona7BYU
200609/02Arizona16BYU13Arizona
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona211 Overs
BYU533 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 32 - 21 - 21 - 0
Road Teams3 - 42 - 20 - 12 - 1

(#61) BYU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.41 #61
Offense Rating: 14.38 #66
Defense Rating: 12.97 #59
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.5 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #28
Talent Rating: 710.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #61
Expected Record: 7.6 - 4.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


BYU Notes
(6/29) QB Retzlaff left after legal trouble, honor code
(6/29) QB huge ? into fall camp, Hillstead early leader
(5/29) DL added 6 portals + 1 meh LB and 1 S
(5/29) WR serious hit with #2 Lassiter denied '25
(5/29) OL returns 3/5, need new T's. 2 portal add
(3/20) RB Martin returns, need #2/depth
(3/20) Def was good LY but replaces a lot, esp DL
(3/20) Sitake & staff incredible job in '24. Tough team
BYU     Ratings Matchup     Arizona
Power #61
#82
Off #66
#72
Def #59
#90
Talent #69
#77
SP+ #27
#60
SP+ Off #29
#51
SP+ Def #28
#66

Previous Matchups
BYU beat Arizona last year (41-19)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BYU | ARIZ
Depth Chart: BYU | ARIZ
Rosters: BYU | ARIZ
(#82) Arizona Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.395 #82
Offense Rating: 13.39 #72
Defense Rating: 18.30 #90
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.7 #60
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #66
Talent Rating: 664.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #72
Expected Record: 4.6 - 7.4

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.53 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.55 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Arizona Notes
(5/11) 64% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(3/22) Added 16 players that started LY via portal
(3/22) RB adds Mahdi (Tx St), 3 total portals
(3/22) WR Hunter back, 4 portal adds. Some talent
(3/22) OL 1/5 back, 6 portal adds, need hits
(3/19) QB Fifita regressed LY. Locke (Wisc) added
(3/19) Def bad LY, F7 returns a lot, 4 DB portals
(3/19) New OC/DC. Doege interesting hire.
(3/19) HC Brennan needs to show something TY


  
BYU's OC Aaron Roderick
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Kingston1333%331011.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
LJ Martin13872375.239
Sione I Moa2312735.524
Pokaiaua Haunga177604.514
Parker Kingston64307.220
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Roberts50803316.162
Jojo Phillips10211221.157
Parker Kingston13196115.136
Carsen Ryan (Tr)10113111.325

View BYU's Full Roster
BYU's DC Jay Hill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Glasker7015424
Tanner Wall530001
Jack Kelly50105131
Raider Damuni263100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Kelly50105131
Isaiah Glasker7015424
Raider Damuni263100
Justin Kirkland (Tr)184110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mory Bamba170004
Isaiah Glasker7015424
Keanu Tanuvasa (Tr)165124

Arizona's OC Seth Doege
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Fifita26043061%295818126.9
Braedyn Locke (Tr)16429655%193613106.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ismail Mahdi (Tr)18399145.445
Kedrick Reescano7835914.656
Mike Mitchell (Tr)4715813.418
Luke Wysong (Tr)95506.115
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luke Wysong (Tr)69840112.253
Kris Hutson (Tr)55691212.659
Chris Hunter3532339.245
Keyan Burnett (Tr)18217112.135

View Arizona's Full Roster
Arizona's DC Danny Gonzales
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dalton Johnson785002
Taye Brown644312
Genesis Smith604006
Tre Smith487520
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tre Smith487520
Taye Brown644312
Jshawn Frausto-Ramos (Tr)222200
Chase Kennedy174221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Dansby (Tr)371006
Genesis Smith604006
Marquis Groves-Killebrew261104