Kansas at Arizona - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 8th 2025 (3:30 PM EST)
Arizona -5.5 (56.5) (-218) Open: -3.5
Arizona 24 - Kansas: 20 (Big 12)

Jayhawks (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (22 - 28)
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (22 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Arizona -6.5 (SP+ ARIZ -8)
Projected Score: KU: 24 - ARIZ: 31 (55)
ARIZ Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
KU Travel: 995 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Wildcats (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (35 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 3.7 (#30)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
KU Players
ARIZ Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kansas's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/23	Kansas vs Fresno State	-14.0	51.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Fri 8/29	Kansas vs Wagner	-45.5	57.5	W 46 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/6	Kansas at Missouri	+5.5	51.0	L 31 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	Kansas vs West Virginia	-12.5	54.5	W 41 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/27	Kansas vs Cincinnati	-5.5	55.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/4	Kansas at UCF	-4.0	53.5	W 27 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/11	Kansas at Texas Tech	+13.5	58.5	L 17 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25	Kansas vs Kansas State	-3.5	55.5	L 17 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/1	Kansas vs Oklahoma State	-24.5	54.5	W 38 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/8	Kansas at Arizona	+5.5	56.5	L 20 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22	Kansas at Iowa State	+3.0	55.5	L 14 - 38	U	N
Fri 11/28	Kansas vs Utah	+10.5	59.5	L 21 - 31	U	Y

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule

Arizona's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Arizona vs Hawai'i	-13.5	55.5	W 40 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Arizona vs Weber State	-31.5	56.5	W 48 - 3	U	Y
Fri 9/12	Arizona vs Kansas State	+1.5	55.5	W 23 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Arizona at Iowa State	+4.0	48.5	L 14 - 39	O	N
Sat 10/4	Arizona vs Oklahoma State	-21.5	56.5	W 41 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/11	Arizona vs BYU	+2.5	46.5	L 27 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/18	Arizona at Houston	-1.5	47.5	L 28 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	Arizona at Colorado	-4.0	52.5	W 52 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/8	Arizona vs Kansas	-5.5	56.5	W 24 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/15	Arizona at Cincinnati	+6.5	56.5	W 30 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/22	Arizona vs Baylor	-6.5	61.5	W 41 - 17	U	Y
Fri 11/28	Arizona at Arizona State	-2.0	48.5	W 23 - 7	U	Y
Fri 1/2	Arizona vs SMU	+2.5	55.5	L 19 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KU	#9 (.32)	48% (16)	28.1	49% (15)	3.6 (3)	213	48% (11)	209	4.68 (11)	#108 (.23)	45% (99)	26.8	46% (104)	43% (95)	3.83 (73)	38.4	1.4	1.4
ARIZ	#93 (.15)	39% (117)	31.5	37% (126)	2.64 (123)	107	40% (91)	248	3.53 (101)	#109 (.24)	45% (100)	19.3	45% (90)	44% (109)	4.55 (125)	57.6	1.7	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KU Offense	12	28.1	21.8	48.1%	4.68	1.4	22	421	213	209	5.6	58%	41%	49%	48%	12%	.32
ARIZ Defense	12	19.3	15.6	44.6%	4.55	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	45%	44%	14%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KU Defense	12	26.8	33.2	44.5%	3.83	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	46%	43%	17%	.23
ARIZ Offense	12	31.5	34.9	38.5%	3.53	1.7	19	355	107	248	3.9	39%	61%	37%	40%	16%	.15

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kansas	12	30:54	21.5	51%	67%	4.5	38.4	1.4	1.4	5.8	2.3	2	25.3
Arizona	12	29:45	18.5	43%	42%	6.5	57.6	1.7	1.2	4.8	1.7	0	27.6

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KU Offense	12	58% (19)	49% (15)	37.8	212.7	5.6	29 (18)	.33 (4)	3.6 (3)	83% (8)	7% (20)	1.08 (29)
ARIZ Defense	12	51% (73)	45% (90)	-	-	-	-	.18 (100)	3.32 (115)	78% (99)	9% (94)	1.08 (109)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KU Defense	12	50% (58)	46% (104)	-	-	-	-	.22 (117)	3.4 (124)	82% (117)	10% (62)	1 (78)
ARIZ Offense	12	39% (127)	37% (126)	27.4	106.7	3.9	11 (116)	.03 (112)	2.64 (123)	55% (134)	9% (59)	1.21 (6)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KU Offense	12	41% (122)	48% (11)	14.7	25.5	208.8	8.2	14.2	15 (98)	12 (85)	.38 (17)	1.6 (62)	30% (38)	36% (26)	.38 (51)	5% (31)	1.9 (117)
ARIZ Defense	12	48% (61)	44% (109)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (109)	.31 (103)	1.6 (66)	31% (88)	32% (95)	.39 (101)	5% (93)	2.2 (105)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KU Defense	12	50% (72)	43% (95)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.3 (101)	1.7 (110)	32% (60)	33% (104)	.29 (61)	7% (31)	2.1 (80)
ARIZ Offense	12	61% (8)	40% (91)	21.8	36.4	247.9	6.8	11.4	18 (68)	13 (103)	.22 (88)	1.6 (44)	36% (124)	31% (70)	.33 (71)	6% (88)	2.1 (35)

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 4.95 #51
Kansas's Offense Rating: 19.97 #27
Kansas's Defense Rating: 15.02 #79
2025 Talent Rating: 770.00 #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Kansas's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kansas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1 #58
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #48
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #76

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 4.95 Arizona: 10.995

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 4.1 Arizona: 12.0

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 10.995 #50
Arizona's Offense Rating: 17.18 #45
Arizona's Defense Rating: 12.19 #57
2025 Talent Rating: 704.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Arizona's 2025 Expected Record: 9.3 - 3.7
Arizona's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.0 #28
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #29
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #25

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Kansas Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.2

Kansas's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Arizona 31
Kansas 24

Projected Total Points: 55

Arizona Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.9
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Arizona's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/08	Arizona	24	Kansas	20	Arizona -5.5	Kansas	56.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arizona	1	0	0 Overs
Kansas	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#51) KU at (#50) ARIZ

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	KU	ARIZ
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#51	#50
SP+SP+	#58	#28
Perf GradeGrade	#38	#31
OffenseOff	#38	#55
DefenseDef	#64	#13
Spec TeamsST	#30	#88
TalentTal	#62	#73
Blue ChipsBC%	#79	#65

Kansas Notes(9/24) RB Hinshaw doubtful for Cincy game
(9/24) Off good success not expl, Daniels a weapon
(9/24) Def Success #'s really good early, but bad Expl
(9/20) Run Off mauled WVU, Daniels efficient, Def decent
(7/30) RB Williams was Iowa leader (800+) in '23
(7/19) Replacing career 4.5k RB yds, 7k WR yds
(5/23) KU was 1-5 in 1 score games LY (of 7 L's)
(4/4) QB Daniels back, electric when healthy
(4/4) RB rebuild. Hishaw exp'd, added Williams (Iowa)
(4/4) OL 2/5 back, good LY. 3 portal adds
(4/4) Def bad LY, replaces a lot. 11 portal adds
(3/21) WR total rebuild. 3 portals. Pickett (BG) #1?
Kansas Injury Report

Arizona Notes(11/29) 5-0 run to finish 9-3. Incredible season by Brennan
(11/23) Brennan was almost fired last year. Now 8-3 & rolling
(11/22) Killed Baylor for 4 straight wins. Great season
(10/18) 2 straight hard L's vs BYU/Hou. Def awful in B12 play
(9/26) Off based on Expl or bust, Success #'s bad
(9/26) Def #'s incredible, but haven't faced good Off yet
(9/13) Def great, Run Off mauled K St. Huge W
(9/13) Fifita looks reborn, balling out, good decisions
(7/30) WR Hunter back, 4 portals. Better talent/depth
(5/11) 64% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(3/22) Added 16 players that started LY via portal
(3/22) RB adds Mahdi (Tx St), 3 total portals
Arizona Injury Report

Kansas on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	KU Off	ARIZ Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#38	#13
SuccessSuc	#16	#100
ExplosiveExp	#63	#96
PPAPPA	#9	#109
PowerPwr	#27	#57
SP+SP+	#48	#25
Pts POPPO	#11	#125
HavocHav	#19	#99

Kansas Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	KU Off	ARIZ Def
Run GameRun	#39	#43
Run SuccessRSuc	#15	#90
Run ExplRExp	#29	#109
PPAExp	#4	#100
Run BlockR Blk	#16	-
OL YdsOLY	#3	#115
Stuff RateStuff	#5	#102
TackleTak	-	#47

Kansas Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	KU Off	ARIZ Def
Pass GamePass	#53	#2
Pass SuccessPSuc	#11	#109
Pass ExplPExl	#62	#66
PPAExp	#17	#103
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#88	#111
F7 HavocF7	#20	#94
DB HavocDB	#31	#93

Arizona on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	KU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#55	#64
SuccessSuc	#117	#99
ExplosiveExp	#3	#101
PPAPPA	#93	#108
PowerPwr	#45	#79
SP+SP+	#29	#76
Pts POPPO	#101	#73
HavocHav	#65	#54

Arizona Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	KU Def
Run GameRun	#73	#89
Run SuccessRSuc	#126	#104
Run ExplRExp	#6	#78
PPAExp	#112	#117
Run BlockR Blk	#68	-
OL YdsOLY	#123	#124
Stuff RateStuff	#133	#118
TackleTak	-	#88

Arizona Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	KU Def
Pass GamePass	#28	#54
Pass SuccessPSuc	#91	#95
Pass ExplPExl	#44	#110
PPAExp	#88	#101
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#54	#53
F7 HavocF7	#59	#62
DB HavocDB	#88	#31

Program Comparison
ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

KU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
Arizona -5.5 (56.5)
Arizona won vs Kansas this year (24-20)

Previous Matchups
Arizona beat Kansas last year (24-20)

KU's OC Matt Lubick (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jalon Daniels	198	319	62%	2504	22	7	7.8
Cole Ballard	10	22	46%	108	1	1	4.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daniel Hishaw Jr.	124	587	5	4.7	22
Leshon Williams (Tr)	97	565	7	5.8	62
Jalon Daniels	117	423	4	3.6	38
Isaiah Marshall	15	160	0	10.7	43

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Emmanuel Henderson Jr. (Tr)	45	766	5	17.0	93
Boden Groen (Tr)	36	450	5	12.5	46
Cam Pickett (Tr)	45	449	3	10.0	38
Levi Wentz	16	258	2	16.1	50

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC D.K. McDonald (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Lathan (Tr)	86	7	2	6	5
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)	72	1	0	3	7
Bangally Kamara (Tr)	54	9	1	1	4
Austin Alexander	46	4	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Leroy Harris III (Tr)	31	7	5	1	8
D.J. Withers	16	5	3	1	0
Tommy Dunn	26	4	3	2	1
Jalen Todd	44	2	2	1	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Leroy Harris III (Tr)	31	7	5	1	8
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)	72	1	0	3	7
Trey Lathan (Tr)	86	7	2	6	5

ARIZ's OC Seth Doege (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Noah Fifita	275	429	64%	3228	29	6	7.5
Braedyn Locke (Tr)	5	15	33%	68	0	1	4.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ismail Mahdi (Tr)	133	853	4	6.4	68
Kedrick Reescano	84	396	9	4.7	50
Quincy Craig (Tr)	65	364	2	5.6	54
Noah Fifita	115	222	3	1.9	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kris Hutson (Tr)	60	764	4	12.7	40
Javin Whatley (Tr)	41	490	5	12.0	85
Tre Spivey (Tr)	23	381	7	16.6	70
Chris Hunter	27	372	2	13.8	35

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Danny Gonzales (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dalton Johnson	97	2	1	0	7
Taye Brown	93	9	2	3	1
Max Harris (Tr)	78	4	0	7	1
Genesis Smith	77	3	0	1	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chase Kennedy	42	8	4	7	0
Riley Wilson (Tr)	51	8	3	5	4
Deshawn McKnight (Tr)	26	11	2	2	0
Taye Brown	93	9	2	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Michael Dansby (Tr)	19	1	0	10
Ayden Garnes (Tr)	43	2	2	8
Genesis Smith	77	3	1	8