Hawai'i at Arizona - 2025 Matchup Preview
Hawai Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Arizona WildcatsArizona logo
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (10:30 PM EDT)
Arizona -13.5 (55.5) (-550)  Open: -13.5 | 55.5
Arizona 40 - Hawai'i: 6

 
Rainbow Warriors (3 - 1) (2 - 2 - 0)
Coach Timmy Chang (13 - 25)
Avg Score : 22 - 21 (6 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
Our Line: Arizona -20.5   (SP+ ARIZ -20)
Projected Score: HAW: 15 - ARIZ: 36 (51)
ARIZ Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
HAW Travel: 2965 miles, 3 hrs behind
Wildcats (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 37 - 9 (37 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 4.5 (#49)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 1)
 
Hawai'i's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Hawai'i vs Stanford-1.553.5W 23 - 20UY
Sat 8/30 Hawai'i at Arizona+13.555.5L 6 - 40UN
Sat 9/6 Hawai'i vs Sam Houston-7.047.5W 37 - 20OY
Sat 9/13 Hawai'i vs Portland State-35.554.5W 23 - 3UN
Sat 9/20 Hawai'i vs Fresno State+3.047.5
Sat 9/27 Hawai'i at Air Force-1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Hawai'i vs Utah State-6
Sat 10/18 Hawai'i at Colorado State+4
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Hawai'i at San José State+2.5
Sat 11/8 Hawai'i vs San Diego State+1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Hawai'i at UNLV+10
Sat 11/29 Hawai'i vs Wyoming+1

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule
Arizona's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arizona vs Hawai'i-13.555.5W 40 - 6UY
Sat 9/6 Arizona vs Weber State-31.556.5W 48 - 3UY
Fri 9/12 Arizona vs Kansas State+1.555.5W 23 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Arizona at Iowa State+8.5
Sat 10/4 Arizona vs Oklahoma State-16.5
Sat 10/11 Arizona vs BYU+1.5
Sat 10/18 Arizona at Houston-1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Arizona at Colorado-3
Sat 11/8 Arizona vs Kansas-1
Sat 11/15 Arizona at Cincinnati+7
Sat 11/22 Arizona vs Baylor+0.5
Sat 11/29 Arizona at Arizona State+8.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HAW#114 (.07)40% (97)22.341% (92)2.82 (85)9940% (94)2443.26 (106)#50 (.07)35% (38)20.837% (58)34% (37)3.15 (56)86.520.8
ARIZ#20 (.39)40% (96)3737% (113)3.44 (30)19045% (60)2482.83 (118)#13 (-.07)30% (11)8.735% (37)27% (11)1 (3)63.30.72.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HAW#82 (.17)44% (52)46% (45)3.29 (26)9944% (50)2683.81 (81)#81 (.19)42% (71)45% (85)40% (58)4.15 (103)70.31.60.9
ARIZ#93 (.15)39% (117)37% (126)2.64 (123)10740% (91)2483.53 (101)#109 (.24)45% (100)45% (90)44% (109)4.55 (125)57.61.71.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HAW Offense422.3640%3.26221343992443.436%64%41%40%17%.07
ARIZ Defense38.78.729.9%12.7 - - - - - 38%61%35%27%26%-.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HAW Defense420.84035.2%3.150.8 - - - - - 47%52%37%34%16%.07
ARIZ Offense3373740.2%2.830.7234381902484.956%44%37%45%12%.39

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Hawai'i431:3920.837%71%8.586.520.84.82.3128.5
Arizona331:1622.741%80%8.363.30.72.78.32.7139.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HAW Offense436% (131)41% (92)28.8993.40 (135)-.12 (130)2.82 (85)67% (86)9% (80)0.64 (130)
ARIZ Defense338% (5)35% (37) - - - - -.15 (13)2.24 (24)0% (2)14% (20)0.91 (65)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HAW Defense447% (50)37% (58) - - - - .1 (89)3.07 (100)86% (112)9% (90)1.11 (100)
ARIZ Offense356% (32)37% (113)38.7189.74.96 (49).4 (10)3.44 (30)71% (67)9% (76)1.62 (1)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HAW Offense464% (4)40% (94)26.843.8244.35.69.17 (23)4 (121).18 (97)1.4 (109)35% (110)29% (87).3 (77)8% (122)2 (64)
ARIZ Defense361% (133)27% (11) - - - - - - 5 (6)-.02 (19)1 (3)35% (45)18% (20).21 (58)11% (4)1.9 (59)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HAW Defense452% (85)34% (37) - - - - - - 3 (28).08 (33)1.2 (9)35% (49)23% (36).17 (50)8% (30)1.9 (54)
ARIZ Offense344% (98)45% (60)16.328.3248.38.815.26 (34)1 (23).39 (49)1.5 (80)26% (33)30% (76).66 (23)3% (22)2.3 (26)

Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -7.29 #100
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 2.77 #117
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 10.06 #82
2025 Talent Rating: 454.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Hawai'i's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Hawai'i's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #105
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #128
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -7.29   Arizona: 11.71

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -10.3   Arizona: 9.6




Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 11.71 #58
Arizona's Offense Rating: 12.17 #72
Arizona's Defense Rating: 3.35 #45
2025 Talent Rating: 704.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Arizona's 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5
Arizona's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #39
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #37

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 6
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 40

Hawai'i's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona 36
Hawai'i 15


Total Points: 51

Arizona Scoring
Offense: 37 PPG
Offense at Home: 37
Defense: 8.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.7

Arizona's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30Arizona40Hawai'i6ArizonaArizona -13.5Arizona55.5Under
201908/24Hawai'i45Arizona38Hawai'iArizona -10Hawai'i71.0Over
201609/17Arizona47Hawai'i28ArizonaArizona -23Hawai'i63.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona212 Overs
Hawai'i121 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 02 - 11 - 11 - 0
Road Teams0 - 31 - 20 - 11 - 1

(#100) Hawai'i Info
Power Rating: -7.29 #100
Offense Rating: 2.77 #117
Defense Rating: 10.06 #82
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #105
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #128
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Talent Rating: 454.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.26 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.15 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Hawai'i Notes
(8/1) QB M. Alejado fun find late LY, but vs bad teams
(8/1) Front 7 are strength of defense, DL improved?
(8/1) Chang is 2-15 on the road & road sched rough
(8/1) 1/2 schedule by Sept 27 when at Air Force, yikes
(6/14) WR good, Ashlock & Cenacle back. Have depth
(4/7) RB no used much, JAGs at best
(4/7) Portal WR Harris (Stan) may take #2 job
(4/7) OL 4/5 back, good LY, some size/depth
(4/7) Def bad LY, returns some. 4 portal DL added
(4/7) Offense could jump TY, can Def improve?

Hawai'i Highlights
Hawai'i Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Hawai'i Secondary is very good (#30)
Hawai'i defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Hawai'i Deficiencies
Hawai'i has a bad TO Margin (#131)
Hawai'i Fumbles a Lot (#128)
Hawai'i Commits a Lot of Penalties (#136)
Hawai'i throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Hawai'i offense is not Explosive (#113)
Hawai'i offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#106)
Hawai'i Does Not Stuff Runs (#108)
Hawai'i has a bad defensive line (#100)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatARIZHAW
OverallOver#26#87
OffenseOff#49#107
DefenseDef#10#47
Special TeamsST#105#59
PassingPass#34#101
RushingRush#26#82
Run BlockRBLK#30#84
Pass BlockPBLK#74#102
Route RunningWR Rt#87#105
TacklingTkl#57#90
Run DefenseR Def#24#98
Pass Rush DefPRush#37#45
Coverage DefCov#5#4

Rematch from Week 1
Arizona -13.5 (55.5)
Arizona won vs Hawai'i this year (40-6)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: HAW | ARIZ
Depth Chart: HAW | ARIZ
Rosters: HAW | ARIZ
(#58) Arizona Info
Power Rating: 11.71 #58
Offense Rating: 12.17 #72
Defense Rating: 3.35 #45
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #39
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #37
Talent Rating: 704.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.83 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 30%
Great in Scoring Position 1 PPO
Good Run Def Success 35%
Great Pass Def Success 27%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Record at home: 3 - 0 (3 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Arizona Notes
(9/13) Fifita looks reborn, balling out, good decisions
(7/30) WR Hunter back, 4 portals. Better talent/depth
(5/11) 64% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(3/22) Added 16 players that started LY via portal
(3/22) RB adds Mahdi (Tx St), 3 total portals
(3/22) OL 1/5 back, 6 portal adds, need hits
(3/19) QB Fifita regressed LY. Locke (Wisc) added
(3/19) Def bad LY, F7 returns a lot, 4 DB portals
(3/19) New OC/DC. Doege interesting hire.
(3/19) HC Brennan needs to show something TY

Arizona Highlights
Arizona is Undefeated vs Spread
Arizona in Undefeated
Arizona is Undefeated at Home
Arizona is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Arizona offense is explosive (#8)
Arizona has a top Offensive Line (#30)
Arizona has a really good defense (#11)
Arizona defense does not give up big plays (#6)
Arizona defense is really good in red zone (#3)
Arizona has a good pass defense (#11)
Arizona Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#19)
Arizona Defensive Line is very good (#24)
Arizona Front 7 is disruptive (#20)
Arizona Secondary is very good (#4)
Arizona has a great TO Margin (#28)
Arizona defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)

Arizona Deficiencies
Arizona Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Arizona offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#118)
Arizona run game is really bad (#113)


  
Hawai'i's OC Timmy Chang
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luke Weaver6110260%600535.9
Micah Alejado457064%367215.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Landon Sims3915403.919
Cam Barfield218904.213
Luke Weaver277302.713
Christian Vaughn32207.313
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Pofele Ashlock2623539.047
Landon Sims1815518.628
Karsyn Pupunu1311408.815
Brandon White (Tr)1211109.327

View Hawai'i's Full Roster
Hawai'i's DC Dennis Thurman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Peter Manuma251114
Jalen Smith180001
Elijah Palmer173003
Jamih Otis170000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackie Johnson III93320
Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina124220
Qwyn Williams (Tr)92200
Peter Manuma251114
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Peter Manuma251114
Elijah Palmer173003
Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen110003

Arizona's OC Seth Doege
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Fifita467859%712609.1
Braedyn Locke (Tr)2450%11002.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ismail Mahdi (Tr)3726317.160
Quincy Craig (Tr)1816519.254
Kedrick Reescano105115.113
Noah Fifita283731.315
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javin Whatley (Tr)13237218.285
Luke Wysong (Tr)597019.431
Brandon Phelps576115.242
Chris Hunter565013.018

View Arizona's Full Roster
Arizona's DC Danny Gonzales
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Genesis Smith191014
Taye Brown160010
Dalton Johnson160001
Max Harris (Tr)102010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chase Kennedy83230
Jay'Vion Cole (Tr)61101
Deshawn McKnight (Tr)85110
Jabari Mann62110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Genesis Smith191014
Michael Dansby (Tr)81003
Ayden Garnes (Tr)60013