Oklahoma State at UCF Game Matchup

Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Bright House Networks Stadium - Orlando, FL (Big 12)

Cowboys (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (169 - 88)
Avg Score : 27 - 36 (24 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 6.9 (#91)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 2)

UCF is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UCF -2 (SP+ OKST -0.5)
Projected Score: OKST: 29 - UCF: 31 (60)
UCF Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
OKST Travel: 1060 miles, 1 hrs behind

Knights (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Frost (19 - 7)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (33 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#88)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)

Matchup
Schedules
OKST Players
UCF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oklahoma State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Wed 8/27	Oklahoma State vs UT Martin	-23
Sat 9/6	Oklahoma State at Oregon	+30.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	Oklahoma State vs Tulsa	-19.5
Sat 9/27	Oklahoma State vs Baylor	+7.5
Sat 10/4	Oklahoma State at Arizona	+1
Sat 10/11	Oklahoma State vs Houston	-1
Sat 10/18	Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati	+2.5
Sat 10/25	Oklahoma State at Texas Tech	+15.5
Sat 11/1	Oklahoma State at Kansas	+7
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Oklahoma State vs Kansas State	+13.5
Sat 11/22	Oklahoma State at UCF	+2
Sat 11/29	Oklahoma State vs Iowa State	+9

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule

UCF's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Wed 8/27	UCF vs Jacksonville State	-16.5	0.0
Sat 9/6	UCF vs North Carolina A&T	-22
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	UCF vs North Carolina	+0.5
Sat 9/27	UCF at Kansas State	+19
Sat 10/4	UCF vs Kansas	+2.5
Sat 10/11	UCF at Cincinnati	+8
Sat 10/18	UCF vs West Virginia	-1.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	UCF at Baylor	+13
Sat 11/8	UCF vs Houston	-0.5
Sat 11/15	UCF at Texas Tech	+16.5
Sat 11/22	UCF vs Oklahoma State	-2
Sat 11/29	UCF at BYU	+14.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UCF's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OKST	#52 (.21)	43% (63)	27.2	43% (86)	2.79 (107)	114	44% (47)	265	4.22 (42)	#131 (.34)	46% (109)	35.6	47% (107)	44% (108)	3.93 (82)	43.2	1.8	1.3
UCF	#58 (.21)	46% (28)	30.4	52% (8)	3.62 (2)	248	38% (103)	200	3.75 (86)	#63 (.16)	40% (45)	26.9	37% (12)	42% (84)	4.37 (118)	54.4	1.6	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OKST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UCF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OKST Offense	12	27.2	23.5	43.1%	4.22	1.8	20	379	114	265	3.9	42%	58%	43%	44%	15%	.21
UCF Defense	12	26.9	23	39.9%	4.37	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	37%	42%	16%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OKST Defense	12	35.6	36.3	45.6%	3.93	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	47%	44%	15%	.34
UCF Offense	12	30.4	32.9	46.1%	3.75	1.6	24	448	248	200	5.8	58%	41%	52%	38%	15%	.21

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oklahoma State	12	27:03	20.4	35%	65%	5	43.2	1.8	1.3	5.5	2.1	1	27.1
UCF	12	28:19	23.6	42%	54%	6.5	54.4	1.6	0.9	6.9	1.8	1	30.6

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OKST Offense	12	42% (117)	43% (86)	29.4	114.2	3.9	18 (78)	.04 (109)	2.79 (107)	74% (61)	7% (19)	0.87 (119)
UCF Defense	12	50% (54)	37% (12)	-	-	-	-	.07 (39)	2.57 (13)	79% (106)	12% (28)	1.03 (90)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OKST Defense	12	50% (65)	47% (107)	-	-	-	-	.31 (133)	3.43 (126)	73% (68)	8% (112)	1.25 (133)
UCF Offense	12	58% (16)	52% (8)	43	248.1	5.8	33 (12)	.31 (7)	3.62 (2)	72% (80)	10% (66)	1.13 (11)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OKST Offense	12	58% (17)	44% (47)	22.3	37.5	264.7	7.1	11.9	22 (46)	17 (127)	.34 (30)	1.6 (67)	31% (66)	31% (82)	.32 (77)	7% (109)	1.9 (99)
UCF Defense	12	50% (82)	42% (84)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.26 (81)	1.6 (64)	36% (16)	30% (67)	.38 (99)	5% (118)	2.2 (117)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OKST Defense	12	50% (73)	44% (108)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.37 (123)	1.8 (124)	32% (56)	36% (119)	.46 (120)	6% (53)	2.1 (88)
UCF Offense	12	41% (121)	38% (103)	15.1	25.8	199.7	7.7	13.2	14 (108)	11 (72)	.1 (123)	1.6 (76)	29% (33)	33% (53)	.16 (122)	5% (48)	1.8 (126)

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: -2.24 #72
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 14.34 #67
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 16.58 #80
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00 #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #61
Oklahoma State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.1 - 6.9
Oklahoma State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #58
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #39
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #84

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: -2.24 UCF: 1.185

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: 0.9 UCF: 0.4

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 1.185 #75
UCF's Offense Rating: 11.99 #82
UCF's Defense Rating: 15.02 #69
2025 Talent Rating: 700.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #27
UCF's 2025 Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8
UCF's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #61
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #57
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #61

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24

Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.5
Defense: 35.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.3

Oklahoma State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
UCF 31
Oklahoma State 29

Projected Total Points: 60

UCF Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.9
Defense: 26.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 23

UCF's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/11	UCF	45	Oklahoma State	3	UCF	Oklahoma State -2.5	UCF	63.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UCF	1	1	0 Overs
Oklahoma State	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0

(#72) Oklahoma State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.24 #72
Offense Rating: 14.34 #67
Defense Rating: 16.58 #80
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #39
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #84
Talent Rating: 838.00 #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #61
Expected Record: 5.1 - 6.9

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 46%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Oklahoma State Notes
(5/23) Def added 18 portals, 9 DL, 3 LB, 6 DB. Improve?
(5/23) Need to see Off because it looks bad on paper
(5/23) RB bad LY. Can Brock (Ga St)/Hicks (OU) help?
(5/23) WR rebuild. Took 5 portals. Some talent
(5/23) OL rebuild 0/5 back. 7 not so great portals
(5/11) OL exp ranked #60 & 94% of that is from portals
(3/22) QBs Hejny (TCU)? came w/ OC Meacham
(3/19) 3rd & Grantham comes to Stillwater
(3/19) Not sure Gundy survives this roster

Oklahoma State Ratings Matchup UCF

Power #72

#75

Off #67

#82

Def #80

#69

Talent #34

#72

SP+ #58

#61

SP+ Off #39

#57

SP+ Def #84

#61

Previous Matchups
UCF beat Oklahoma State in 2023 (45-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: OKST | UCF
Depth Chart: OKST | UCF
Rosters: OKST | UCF

(#75) UCF Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.185 #75
Offense Rating: 11.99 #82
Defense Rating: 15.02 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #61
Talent Rating: 700.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #27
Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.37 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

UCF Notes
(5/23) UCF was 1-3 in 1 score games LY
(4/22) Starting OT Justin Royes (VU) will miss season (inj)
(4/9) QB Fancher (FAU) or Jackson (IU). Rizk portal
(4/7) WR all new. Charles/Jenkins Jr future. 3 portals.
(4/5) Def bad LY, replacing most. 15 portal adds
(4/5) New staff, over 50% new roster. We'll see
(4/5) OL rebuild 1/5 back. 5 portal adds
(3/21) RB Monty back (#2 LY), Nixon (WMU) added
(3/21) New DC Grinch fired from USC
(3/21) HC Frost is back. UCF in new conf/reality

Oklahoma State's OC Doug Meacham

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Shamar Rigby (Tr)	1	1	100%	8	0	0	8.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Freddie Brock (Tr)	151	819	8	5.4	57
Trenten Howland	41	230	1	5.6	23
Sesi Vailahi	42	99	2	2.4	11
Rodney Fields Jr.	21	99	1	4.7	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaylen Lloyd (Tr)	13	255	0	19.6	59
Talyn Shettron	12	245	1	20.4	78
Oscar Hammond (Tr)	19	238	1	12.5	38
Freddie Brock (Tr)	21	166	1	7.9	31

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

Oklahoma State's DC Todd Grantham

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryan McCoy (Tr)	120	3	0	3	2
Darius Thomas (Tr)	54	7	4	3	0
Parker Robertson	49	2	0	0	1
Kyran Duhon (Tr)	43	7	7	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyran Duhon (Tr)	43	7	7	0	2
Darius Thomas (Tr)	54	7	4	3	0
Taje Mccoy (Tr)	24	4	4	2	0
Iman Oates	25	3	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cam Smith	34	1	0	0	7
Kale Smith	31	0	0	0	5
Mordecai McDaniel (Tr)	42	2	1	1	3

UCF's OC Steve Cooper

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cam Fancher (Tr)	126	212	59%	1528	6	6	7.2
Jacurri Brown	34	66	52%	387	1	4	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaden Nixon (Tr)	132	874	12	6.6	92
Jacurri Brown	53	401	4	7.6	67
Cam Fancher (Tr)	99	365	3	3.7	76
Myles Montgomery	51	293	3	5.7	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dylan Wade (Tr)	29	374	2	12.9	44
Jaden Nixon (Tr)	9	74	0	8.2	16
Marcus Burke (Tr)	8	69	2	8.6	20
Myles Montgomery	3	66	1	22.0	49

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC Alex Grinch

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nyjalik Kelly	53	10	6	1	1
Phillip Dunnam (Tr)	48	3	0	1	4
Keli Lawson (Tr)	40	2	0	0	4
R.J. Jackson	35	4	3	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nyjalik Kelly	53	10	6	1	1
Malachi Lawrence	15	6	5	4	1
R.J. Jackson	35	4	3	0	2
Sincere Edwards (Tr)	17	6	3	4	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jayden Bellamy (Tr)	34	1	6
DJ Bell (Tr)	16	0	5
Keli Lawson (Tr)	40	2	4