UCF at BYU - 2025 Matchup Preview
UCF logo UCF Knights at BYU CougarsBYU logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
LaVell Edwards Stadium - Provo, UT  (Big 12)

 
Knights (2 - 0) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Scott Frost (19 - 7)
Avg Score : 43 - 9 (43 - 9 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 5.2 (#66)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
BYU is playing their 4th straight game
UCF is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: BYU -9   (SP+ BYU -8)

Projected Score: UCF: 21 - BYU: 30 (50)
BYU Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
UCF Travel: 1901 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Cougars (2 - 0) (2 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (71 - 43)
Avg Score : 48 - 2 (48 - 2 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 4.5 (#49)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 UCF vs Jacksonville State-16.553.5W 17 - 10UN
Sat 9/6 UCF vs North Carolina A&T-38.051.0W 68 - 7OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UCF vs North Carolina-6.548.5
Sat 9/27 UCF at Kansas State+2.5
Sat 10/4 UCF vs Kansas+1
Sat 10/11 UCF at Cincinnati+9.5
Sat 10/18 UCF vs West Virginia-2
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UCF at Baylor+8
Sat 11/8 UCF vs Houston-4
Sat 11/15 UCF at Texas Tech+19.5
Sat 11/22 UCF vs Oklahoma State-14.5
Sat 11/29 UCF at BYU+9

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
BYU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 BYU vs Portland State-43.561.5W 69 - 0OY
Sat 9/6 BYU vs Stanford-20.544.5W 27 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 BYU at East Carolina-7.549.5
Sat 9/27 BYU at Colorado-7
Fri 10/3 BYU vs West Virginia-8.5
Sat 10/11 BYU at Arizona-1.5
Sat 10/18 BYU vs Utah+5
Sat 10/25 BYU at Iowa State+4
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 BYU at Texas Tech+13
Sat 11/15 BYU vs TCU+2.5
Sat 11/22 BYU at Cincinnati+3
Sat 11/29 BYU vs UCF-9

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for BYU's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF#37 (.32)41% (90)42.538% (107)2.52 (111)23344% (68)2594.25 (53)#25 (-)36% (40)8.539% (70)31% (21)2.13 (18)67.50.52
BYU#38 (.32)47% (45)4850% (40)3.66 (18)31343% (74)1574.5 (46)#2 (-.2)24% (3)1.517% (2)30% (18)0.75 (1)450.52
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9
BYU#51 (.22)45% (44)47% (30)3.23 (37)14843% (59)2163.73 (88)#41 (.13)41% (65)46% (99)37% (28)3.79 (68)371.42.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense242.542.541%4.250.5224922332596.946%54%38%44%12%.32
BYU Defense21.51.524.2%0.752 - - - - - 47%53%17%30%24%-.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense28.58.535.6%2.132 - - - - - 60%39%39%31%24%0
BYU Offense2484846.7%4.50.523469313157756%44%50%43%8%.32

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF227:5821.546%100%7.567.50.528.52132.5
BYU234:392346%67%4.5450.528.52.5035.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense246% (95)38% (107)342336.97 (38).17 (56)2.52 (111)75% (52)9% (71)1.62 (2)
BYU Defense247% (45)17% (2) - - - - -.32 (2)0.35 (1)100% (127)21% (2)0.64 (8)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense260% (125)39% (70) - - - - .08 (72)2.69 (59)71% (72)16% (12)1.22 (114)
BYU Offense256% (41)50% (40)44.5312.577 (38).48 (4)3.66 (18)100% (1)6% (23)1.33 (16)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense254% (39)44% (68)1828.52599.114.42 (102)0 (1).44 (37)1.9 (11)34% (106)33% (54).63 (26)3% (30)2.5 (12)
BYU Defense253% (94)30% (18) - - - - - - 2 (56)-.09 (16)0.9 (2)40% (7)12% (6)-.07 (13)3% (124)1.7 (37)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense239% (12)31% (21) - - - - - - 2 (56)-.12 (13)1 (4)36% (40)28% (62).17 (48)9% (19)1.4 (9)
BYU Offense244% (93)43% (74)14.522.5156.5710.83 (90)0 (1).11 (115)1.4 (105)29% (52)27% (100)-.02 (126)2% (10)1.5 (120)

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 9.52 #54
UCF's Offense Rating: 12.94 #68
UCF's Defense Rating: 3.42 #47
2025 Talent Rating: 706.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 15% #32
UCF's 2025 Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2
UCF's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #59
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #60
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #49

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF: 9.52   BYU: 15.875

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF: 4.5   BYU: 12.5




BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 15.875 #41
BYU's Offense Rating: 14.19 #59
BYU's Defense Rating: -0.06 #26
2025 Talent Rating: 686.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
BYU's 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5
BYU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.5 #27
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #48
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #21

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


UCF Scoring
Offense: 42.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 42.5
Defense: 8.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 8.5

UCF's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
BYU 30
UCF 21


Total Points: 50

BYU Scoring
Offense: 48 PPG
Offense at Home: 48
Defense: 1.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 1.5

BYU's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26UCF24BYU37BYUUCF -2.5BYU53.5Over
202012/22BYU49UCF23BYUBYU -6BYU80.0Under
201410/09UCF31BYU24UCFUCF -3UCF0
201109/23BYU24UCF17BYU
TeamWinsCoversO/U
BYU321 Overs
UCF111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 12 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 31 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#54) UCF Info
Power Rating: 9.52 #54
Offense Rating: 12.94 #68
Defense Rating: 3.42 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #59
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #49
Talent Rating: 706.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 15% #32
Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.25 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 36%
Great in Scoring Position 2.13 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 31%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

UCF has lost 9 straight
UCF has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

UCF Notes
(8/29) Run game alarmingly bad in opener vs Jax St
(8/21) QB1 Fancher (FAU) wins starting job in camp
(7/30) New staff, over 70 newcomers, big mystery
(7/22) UCF 13th in YPP margin, +108 YPG in '24
(5/23) UCF was 1-3 in 1 score games LY
(4/22) Starting OT Justin Royes (VU) will miss season (inj)
(4/9) QB Fancher (FAU) or Jackson (IU). Rizk portal
(4/7) WR all new. Charles/Jenkins Jr future. 3 portals.
(4/5) Def bad LY, replacing most. 15 portal adds
(4/5) OL rebuild 1/5 back. 5 portal adds

UCF Highlights
UCF in Undefeated

UCF offense is explosive (#3)
UCF offense is good on 3rd downs
UCF defense is really good in red zone (#18)
UCF has a good pass defense (#21)
UCF Front 7 is disruptive (#12)
UCF Secondary is very good (#19)
UCF has a great TO Margin (#11)

UCF Deficiencies
UCF Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#108)
UCF run game is really bad (#107)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatBYUUCF
OverallOver#12#28
OffenseOff#15#52
DefenseDef#35#29
Special TeamsST#11#3
PassingPass#61#71
RushingRush#20#16
Run BlockRBLK#9#57
Pass BlockPBLK#34#57
Route RunningWR Rt#59#67
TacklingTkl#34#53
Run DefenseR Def#20#31
Pass Rush DefPRush#44#6
Coverage DefCov#49#66

Previous Matchups
BYU beat UCF last year (37-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in LaVell Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UCF | BYU
Depth Chart: UCF | BYU
Rosters: UCF | BYU
(#41) BYU Info
Power Rating: 15.875 #41
Offense Rating: 14.19 #59
Defense Rating: -0.06 #26
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.5 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #48
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #21
Talent Rating: 686.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 47%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.5 PPO
Good Run Success 50%
Bad Pass Success 43%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 24%
Great in Scoring Position 0.75 PPO
Great Run Def Success 17%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

BYU has lost 9 straight
BYU has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

BYU Notes
(8/16) QB1 - Fr Bear Bachmeier looks like starter
(7/30) Def good LY, but lost 8 starters, most of DL
(6/29) QB Retzlaff left after legal trouble, honor code
(6/29) QB huge ? into fall camp, Hillstead early leader
(5/29) DL added 6 portals + 1 meh LB and 1 S
(5/29) WR serious hit with #2 Lassiter denied '25
(5/29) OL returns 3/5, need new T's. 2 portal add
(3/20) RB Martin returns, need #2/depth
(3/20) Sitake & staff incredible job in '24. Tough team

BYU Highlights
BYU is Undefeated vs Spread
BYU in Undefeated
BYU is Undefeated at Home
BYU is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

BYU has Really Good Running Game (#29)
BYU has a top Offensive Line (#18)
BYU offense is good on 3rd downs
BYU does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#7)

BYU has a really good defense (#3)
BYU defense does not give up big plays (#1)
BYU defense is really good in red zone (#1)
BYU has a good run defense (#2)
BYU has a good pass defense (#18)
BYU Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#1)
BYU Defensive Line is very good (#1)
BYU Front 7 is disruptive (#2)
BYU has a great TO Margin (#11)
BYU commits very few Penalties (#6)

BYU Deficiencies


  
UCF's OC Steve Cooper
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tayven Jackson (Tr)294564%4712010.5
Cam Fancher (Tr)5956%32003.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Nixon (Tr)6150225.087
Myles Montgomery2911403.915
Jacurri Brown5106221.260
Cam Fancher (Tr)43909.825
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Duane Thomas Jr. (Tr)7117016.741
Myles Montgomery4103025.864
DJ Black686114.333
Dylan Wade (Tr)454113.539

View UCF's Full Roster
UCF's DC Alex Grinch
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cole Kozlowski (Tr)111001
Antoine Jackson90001
Lewis Carter (Tr)90000
Phillip Dunnam (Tr)91000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rodney Lora (Tr)84100
Horace Lockett (Tr)71111
Nyjalik Kelly73121
Malachi Lawrence42102
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DJ Bell (Tr)10002
Malachi Lawrence42102
Cole Kozlowski (Tr)111001

BYU's OC Aaron Roderick
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bear Bachmeier (Tr)243863%272307.2
McCae Hillstead4580%33006.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
LJ Martin2624109.349
Sione I Moa106216.219
Cody Hagen257128.557
Jovesa Damuni85006.312
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Roberts688114.741
Carsen Ryan (Tr)583116.625
Cody Hagen235017.524
Jojo Phillips330010.021

View BYU's Full Roster
BYU's DC Jay Hill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Logan Lutui83000
Isaiah Glasker73120
Jack Kelly63120
Faletau Satuala62000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Choe Bryant-Strother21100
Jack Kelly63120
Keanu Tanuvasa (Tr)51110
Anisi Purcell (Tr)41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bodie Schoonover20011
Logan Lutui83000
Talan Alfrey31000