UCF at BYU - 2025 Matchup Preview
UCF logo UCF Knights at BYU CougarsBYU logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
LaVell Edwards Stadium - Provo, UT  (Big 12)

 
Knights (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Frost (19 - 7)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (27 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 6.5 (#81)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
BYU is playing their 4th straight game
UCF is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: BYU -10.5   (SP+ BYU -11)
Projected Score: UCF: 22 - BYU: 33 (54)
BYU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
UCF Travel: 1901 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Cougars (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (71 - 43)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (34 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.6 - 4.4 (#40)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)
 
UCF's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 UCF vs Jacksonville State-16.556.5
Sat 9/6 UCF vs North Carolina A&T-22
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UCF vs North Carolina+0.5
Sat 9/27 UCF at Kansas State+19
Sat 10/4 UCF vs Kansas+2.5
Sat 10/11 UCF at Cincinnati+8
Sat 10/18 UCF vs West Virginia-2
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UCF at Baylor+13
Sat 11/8 UCF vs Houston-0.5
Sat 11/15 UCF at Texas Tech+16
Sat 11/22 UCF vs Oklahoma State-2.5
Sat 11/29 UCF at BYU+10.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
BYU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 BYU vs Portland State-30
Sat 9/6 BYU vs Stanford-14.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 BYU at East Carolina-11.5
Sat 9/27 BYU at Colorado+0
Fri 10/3 BYU vs West Virginia-10
Sat 10/11 BYU at Arizona-6
Sat 10/18 BYU vs Utah+1.5
Sat 10/25 BYU at Iowa State+7
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 BYU at Texas Tech+8.5
Sat 11/15 BYU vs TCU+2.5
Sat 11/22 BYU at Cincinnati+0.5
Sat 11/29 BYU vs UCF-10.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for BYU's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)30.452% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)26.937% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9
BYU#51 (.22)45% (44)31.247% (30)3.23 (37)14843% (59)2163.73 (88)#41 (.13)41% (65)19.646% (99)37% (28)3.79 (68)371.42.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BYU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1230.42746.1%3.751.6244482482005.858%41%52%38%15%.21
BYU Defense1319.618.541.4%3.792.1 - - - - - 51%49%46%37%17%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1226.932.439.9%4.370.9 - - - - - 50%50%37%42%16%.16
BYU Offense1331.233.544.7%3.731.4203631482164.752%48%47%43%16%.22

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1228:1923.642%54%6.554.41.60.96.91.8130.6
BYU1328:3220.535%75%4.4371.42.14.51.2531.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1258% (16)52% (8)43248.15.833 (12).31 (7)3.62 (2)72% (80)10% (66)1.13 (11)
BYU Defense1351% (70)46% (99) - - - - .14 (78)2.8 (36)72% (59)9% (86)0.97 (61)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1250% (54)37% (12) - - - - .07 (39)2.57 (13)79% (106)12% (28)1.03 (90)
BYU Offense1352% (62)47% (30)31.6147.74.718 (78).2 (36)3.23 (37)75% (60)9% (44)0.99 (56)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1241% (121)38% (103)15.125.8199.77.713.214 (108)11 (72).1 (123)1.6 (76)29% (33)33% (53).16 (122)5% (48)1.8 (126)
BYU Defense1349% (65)37% (28) - - - - - - 20 (2).12 (21)1.5 (24)31% (83)31% (73).27 (52)8% (11)2 (49)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1250% (82)42% (84) - - - - - - 9 (76).26 (81)1.6 (64)36% (16)30% (67).38 (99)5% (118)2.2 (117)
BYU Offense1348% (74)43% (59)15.627.3215.87.913.820 (58)11 (72).27 (60)1.7 (33)32% (83)33% (49).34 (65)7% (101)2 (96)

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: -3.03 #73
UCF's Offense Rating: 11.99 #81
UCF's Defense Rating: 15.02 #68
2025 Talent Rating: 700.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #26
UCF's 2025 Expected Record: 5.5 - 6.5
UCF's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #61
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #57
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #61

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 769.5
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF: -3.03   BYU: 8.955

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF: 0.4   BYU: 11.5




BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 8.955 #61
BYU's Offense Rating: 14.38 #66
BYU's Defense Rating: 12.97 #59
2025 Talent Rating: 710.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #61
BYU's 2025 Expected Record: 7.6 - 4.4
BYU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.5 #27
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #29
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #28

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 769.5
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74


UCF Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 27
Defense: 26.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.4

UCF's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
BYU 33
UCF 22

Projected Total Points: 54
BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

BYU's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26UCF24BYU37BYUUCF -2.5BYU53.5Over
202012/22BYU49UCF23BYUBYU -6BYU80.0Under
201410/09UCF31BYU24UCFUCF -3UCF0
201109/23BYU24UCF17BYU
TeamWinsCoversO/U
BYU321 Overs
UCF111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 12 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 31 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#73) UCF Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.03 #73
Offense Rating: 11.99 #81
Defense Rating: 15.02 #68
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #61
Talent Rating: 700.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #26
Expected Record: 5.5 - 6.5

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.37 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


UCF Notes
(5/23) UCF was 1-3 in 1 score games LY
(4/22) Starting OT Justin Royes (VU) will miss season (inj)
(4/9) QB Fancher (FAU) or Jackson (IU). Rizk portal
(4/7) WR all new. Charles/Jenkins Jr future. 3 portals.
(4/5) Def bad LY, replacing most. 15 portal adds
(4/5) New staff, over 50% new roster. We'll see
(4/5) OL rebuild 1/5 back. 5 portal adds
(3/21) RB Monty back (#2 LY), Nixon (WMU) added
(3/21) New DC Grinch fired from USC
(3/21) HC Frost is back. UCF in new conf/reality
UCF     Ratings Matchup     BYU
Power #73
#61
Off #81
#66
Def #68
#59
Talent #70
#69
SP+ #61
#27
SP+ Off #57
#29
SP+ Def #61
#28

Previous Matchups
BYU beat UCF last year (37-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in LaVell Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UCF | BYU
Depth Chart: UCF | BYU
Rosters: UCF | BYU
(#61) BYU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.955 #61
Offense Rating: 14.38 #66
Defense Rating: 12.97 #59
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.5 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #28
Talent Rating: 710.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #61
Expected Record: 7.6 - 4.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


BYU Notes
(6/29) QB Retzlaff left after legal trouble, honor code
(6/29) QB huge ? into fall camp, Hillstead early leader
(5/29) DL added 6 portals + 1 meh LB and 1 S
(5/29) WR serious hit with #2 Lassiter denied '25
(5/29) OL returns 3/5, need new T's. 2 portal add
(3/20) RB Martin returns, need #2/depth
(3/20) Def was good LY but replaces a lot, esp DL
(3/20) Sitake & staff incredible job in '24. Tough team


  
UCF's OC Steve Cooper
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cam Fancher (Tr)12621259%1528667.2
Jacurri Brown346652%387145.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Nixon (Tr)132874126.692
Jacurri Brown5340147.667
Cam Fancher (Tr)9936533.776
Myles Montgomery5129335.725
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Wade (Tr)29374212.944
Jaden Nixon (Tr)97408.216
Marcus Burke (Tr)86928.620
Myles Montgomery366122.049

View UCF's Full Roster
UCF's DC Alex Grinch
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nyjalik Kelly5310611
Phillip Dunnam (Tr)483014
Keli Lawson (Tr)402004
R.J. Jackson354302
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nyjalik Kelly5310611
Malachi Lawrence156541
R.J. Jackson354302
Sincere Edwards (Tr)176342
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden Bellamy (Tr)341006
DJ Bell (Tr)160005
Keli Lawson (Tr)402004

BYU's OC Aaron Roderick
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Kingston1333%331011.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
LJ Martin13872375.239
Sione I Moa2312735.524
Pokaiaua Haunga177604.514
Parker Kingston64307.220
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Roberts50803316.162
Jojo Phillips10211221.157
Parker Kingston13196115.136
Carsen Ryan (Tr)10113111.325

View BYU's Full Roster
BYU's DC Jay Hill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Glasker7015424
Tanner Wall530001
Jack Kelly50105131
Raider Damuni263100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Kelly50105131
Isaiah Glasker7015424
Raider Damuni263100
Justin Kirkland (Tr)184110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mory Bamba170004
Isaiah Glasker7015424
Keanu Tanuvasa (Tr)165124