North Carolina A&T at UCF - 2025 Matchup Preview
North Carolina A&T logo North Carolina A&T Aggies at UCF KnightsUCF logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
UCF -38.0 (51.0) (0)  Open: -39.5 | 50.5
UCF 68 - North Carolina A&T: 7

 
Aggies (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 7 - 68 (7 - 68 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UCF 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: UCF -1.5  (SP+ UCF -1)
UCF Win prob: 100% | Cover: 60%
Knights (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Scott Frost (19 - 7)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (33 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 1)
 
North Carolina A&T's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/6 North Carolina A&T at UCF+38.051.0L 7 - 68ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina A&T's Schedule
UCF's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 UCF vs Jacksonville State-16.553.5W 17 - 10UN
Sat 9/6 UCF vs North Carolina A&T-38.051.0W 68 - 7OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UCF vs North Carolina-7.046.5W 34 - 9UY
Sat 9/27 UCF at Kansas State+5.548.5L 20 - 34ON
Sat 10/4 UCF vs Kansas+4.053.5L 20 - 27UN
Sat 10/11 UCF at Cincinnati+10.055.5L 11 - 20UY
Sat 10/18 UCF vs West Virginia-6.546.5W 45 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UCF at Baylor+3.058.5L 3 - 30UN
Fri 11/7 UCF vs Houston-1.547.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 11/15 UCF at Texas Tech+24.548.5L 9 - 48ON
Sat 11/22 UCF vs Oklahoma State-13.547.5W 17 - 14UN
Sat 11/29 UCF at BYU+17.546.5L 21 - 41ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCAT0%70%000%000%680%0%0000
UCF#90 (.14)39% (106)24.339% (112)2.61 (126)15840% (93)2213.49 (90)#53 (.12)44% (94)23.647% (119)40% (54)3.52 (57)57.21.51.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCAT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCAT Offense1770%00000000%0%0%0%0%
UCF Defense1223.615.743.7%3.521.2 - - - - - 54%45%47%40%16%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCAT Defense168680%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
UCF Offense1224.332.639.1%3.491.5183791582214.945%53%39%40%17%.14

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Carolina A&T10:000NAN%0%0000000100
UCF1229:5518.234%56%7.657.21.51.25.62.1228.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCAT Offense10%0%000000%0%0
UCF Defense1254% (111)47% (119) - - - - .12 (82)3.06 (101)85% (132)10% (45)0.88 (28)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCAT Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
UCF Offense1245% (106)39% (112)32.3158.24.919 (26).11 (71)2.61 (126)62% (123)11% (106)1.25 (1)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCAT Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
UCF Defense1245% (28)40% (54) - - - - - - 9 (55).16 (32)1.4 (19)31% (81)25% (16).11 (7)6% (64)1.7 (5)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCAT Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
UCF Offense1253% (30)40% (93)20.833.6220.86.610.612 (114)12 (34).18 (104)1.5 (101)33% (106)24% (126).19 (114)7% (91)2.3 (8)

North Carolina A&T's Power Ratings
North Carolina A&T's Power Rating: NR
North Carolina A&T's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina A&T's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Carolina A&T's 2025 Expected Record: -
North Carolina A&T's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina A&T's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina A&T's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big South Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina A&T:    UCF: 1.365

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina A&T:    UCF: -0.9




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 1.365  #74
UCF's Offense Rating: 4.79  #90
UCF's Defense Rating: 6.16  #53
2025 Talent Rating: 706.00  #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 15  #32
UCF's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
UCF's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.9  #77
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7  #95
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #51

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


North Carolina A&T Scoring
Offense: 7 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 68 PPG
Defense on Road: 68

North Carolina A&T's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 27
North Carolina A&T 26

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
UCF 31
North Carolina A&T 18

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
UCF 48
North Carolina A&T 13

Total Points: 61
UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

UCF's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06UCF68North Carolina A&T7UCF -38.0UCF51.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF111 Overs
North Carolina A&T000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#NR) NCAT at (#74) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNCATUCF
Power RatePwrNR #74
SP+SP+NR #77
Perf GradeGradeNR #76
OffenseOffNR #118
DefenseDefNR #24
Spec TeamsSTNR #21
TalentTalNR #72
Blue ChipsBC%NR #32
UCF Notes
(10/18) Killed WVU, 550+ yds to 200, Run/Pass both great
(10/18) Stopped bleeding now 4-3 into bye, can they bowl?
(9/30) Off Success #'s poor but Expl high, all or nothing
(9/20) Killed NC, Jackson looked decent, Def was great
(8/29) QB T Jackson played OK w/ Fancher hurt (Jax St)
(8/29) Run game alarmingly bad in opener vs Jax St
(8/21) QB1 Fancher (FAU) wins starting job in camp
(7/30) New staff, over 70 newcomers, big mystery
(7/22) UCF 13th in YPP margin, +108 YPG in '24
(5/23) UCF was 1-3 in 1 score games LY
(4/22) Starting OT Justin Royes (VU) will miss season (inj)
(4/9) QB Fancher (FAU) or Jackson (IU). Rizk portal
UCF Injury Report
North Carolina A&T on Offense
CategoryCat
NCAT OffUCF Def
Perf GradePerfNR #24
SuccessSucNR #94
ExplosiveExpNR #8
PPAPPANR #53
PowerPwrNR #53
SP+SP+NR #51
Pts POPPONR #57
HavocHavNR #55
North Carolina A&T Run Game
CategoryCat
NCAT OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNR #28
Run SuccessRSucNR #119
Run ExplRExpNR #28
PPAExpNR #82
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #101
Stuff RateStuffNR #113
TackleTak -  #24
North Carolina A&T Pass Game
CategoryCat
NCAT OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNR #27
Pass SuccessPSucNR #54
Pass ExplPExlNR #19
PPAExpNR #32
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #39
F7 HavocF7NR #45
DB HavocDBNR #64
UCF on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatUCF OffNCAT Def
Perf GradePerf #118NR
SuccessSuc #106NR
ExplosiveExp #11NR
PPAPPA #90NR
PowerPwr #90NR
SP+SP+ #95NR
Pts POPPO #90NR
HavocHav #106NR
UCF Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UCF OffNCAT Def
Run GameRun #76NR
Run SuccessRSuc #112NR
Run ExplRExp #1NR
PPAExp #71NR
Run BlockR Blk #96 -
OL YdsOLY #126NR
Stuff RateStuff #128NR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatUCF OffNCAT Def
Pass GamePass #129NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #93NR
Pass ExplPExl #101NR
PPAExp #104NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #55NR
F7 HavocF7 #106NR
DB HavocDB #91NR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

NCAT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 84° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 2
UCF -38.0 (51.0)
UCF won vs North Carolina A&T this year (68-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NCAT's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kevin White11620357%1516767.5
Nelson Layne243667%236216.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Fredderick Graves14856953.840
Shimique Blizzard7929213.744
Nelson Layne4015313.860
J.T. Smith Jr.4814813.116
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayvonne Dillard43539212.549
Amonte Jones28408114.666
Elijah Kennedy25305012.260
Jamison Warren23286212.441

View North Carolina A&T's Full Roster

NCAT's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Williams Jr.61001
Cameren Dalrymple50000
Kamari Blankumsee30000
Tim Alderman30000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marquis Hood21100
Ty Williams Jr.61001
Sidiq Cabaniss-Ali10000
PeeWee Jones10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Williams Jr.61001
Tre Mittman10001
Kamari Blankumsee30000

UCF's OC Steve Cooper (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tayven Jackson (Tr)20031564%21511086.8
Cam Fancher (Tr)417257%333004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Myles Montgomery14370544.945
Jaden Nixon (Tr)7155477.887
Cam Fancher (Tr)3117015.525
Jacurri Brown1614228.960
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Duane Thomas Jr. (Tr)53528010.041
Dylan Wade (Tr)43523512.283
Waden Charles26290011.230
DJ Black22273212.482

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC Alex Grinch (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lewis Carter (Tr)954211
Cole Kozlowski (Tr)818213
Demari Henderson613101
Phillip Dunnam (Tr)603002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malachi Lawrence2811732
Lewis Carter (Tr)954211
Cole Kozlowski (Tr)818213
Nyjalik Kelly458283
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden Bellamy (Tr)270008
DJ Bell (Tr)170004
Antoine Jackson391004