Kansas at UCF Game Matchup

Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Bright House Networks Stadium - Orlando, FL (Big 12)

Jayhawks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (22 - 28)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (23 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.3 - 5.7 (#71)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)

Our Line: Kansas -2.5 (SP+ KU -2.5)
Projected Score: KU: 29 - UCF: 26 (56)
KU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
KU Travel: 1076 miles, 1 hrs behind

Knights (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Frost (19 - 7)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (33 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#88)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)

Matchup
Schedules
KU Players
UCF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kansas's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/22	Kansas vs Fresno State	-14.5	0.0
Thu 8/28	Kansas vs Wagner	-27
Sat 9/6	Kansas at Missouri	+11.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	Kansas vs West Virginia	-6.5
Sat 9/27	Kansas vs Cincinnati	-2
Sat 10/4	Kansas at UCF	-2.5
Sat 10/11	Kansas at Texas Tech	+11.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25	Kansas vs Kansas State	+9
Sat 11/1	Kansas vs Oklahoma State	-7
Sat 11/8	Kansas at Arizona	-3
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22	Kansas at Iowa State	+10
Sat 11/29	Kansas vs Utah	+4

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule

UCF's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Wed 8/27	UCF vs Jacksonville State	-16.5	0.0
Sat 9/6	UCF vs North Carolina A&T	-22
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	UCF vs North Carolina	+0.5
Sat 9/27	UCF at Kansas State	+19
Sat 10/4	UCF vs Kansas	+2.5
Sat 10/11	UCF at Cincinnati	+8
Sat 10/18	UCF vs West Virginia	-1.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	UCF at Baylor	+13
Sat 11/8	UCF vs Houston	-0.5
Sat 11/15	UCF at Texas Tech	+16.5
Sat 11/22	UCF vs Oklahoma State	-2
Sat 11/29	UCF at BYU	+14.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UCF's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KU	#9 (.32)	48% (16)	29.7	49% (15)	3.6 (3)	213	48% (11)	209	4.68 (11)	#108 (.23)	45% (99)	26	46% (104)	43% (95)	3.83 (73)	38.4	1.4	1.4
UCF	#58 (.21)	46% (28)	30.4	52% (8)	3.62 (2)	248	38% (103)	200	3.75 (86)	#63 (.16)	40% (45)	26.9	37% (12)	42% (84)	4.37 (118)	54.4	1.6	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UCF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KU Offense	12	29.7	22.8	48.1%	4.68	1.4	22	421	213	209	5.6	58%	41%	49%	48%	12%	.32
UCF Defense	12	26.9	23	39.9%	4.37	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	37%	42%	16%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KU Defense	12	26	29.5	44.5%	3.83	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	46%	43%	17%	.23
UCF Offense	12	30.4	32.9	46.1%	3.75	1.6	24	448	248	200	5.8	58%	41%	52%	38%	15%	.21

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kansas	12	30:54	21.5	51%	67%	4.5	38.4	1.4	1.4	5.8	2.3	2	25.3
UCF	12	28:19	23.6	42%	54%	6.5	54.4	1.6	0.9	6.9	1.8	1	30.6

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KU Offense	12	58% (19)	49% (15)	37.8	212.7	5.6	29 (18)	.33 (4)	3.6 (3)	83% (8)	7% (20)	1.08 (29)
UCF Defense	12	50% (54)	37% (12)	-	-	-	-	.07 (39)	2.57 (13)	79% (106)	12% (28)	1.03 (90)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KU Defense	12	50% (58)	46% (104)	-	-	-	-	.22 (117)	3.4 (124)	82% (117)	10% (62)	1 (78)
UCF Offense	12	58% (16)	52% (8)	43	248.1	5.8	33 (12)	.31 (7)	3.62 (2)	72% (80)	10% (66)	1.13 (11)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KU Offense	12	41% (122)	48% (11)	14.7	25.5	208.8	8.2	14.2	15 (98)	12 (85)	.38 (17)	1.6 (62)	30% (38)	36% (26)	.38 (51)	5% (31)	1.9 (117)
UCF Defense	12	50% (82)	42% (84)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.26 (81)	1.6 (64)	36% (16)	30% (67)	.38 (99)	5% (118)	2.2 (117)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KU Defense	12	50% (72)	43% (95)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.3 (101)	1.7 (110)	32% (60)	33% (104)	.29 (61)	7% (31)	2.1 (80)
UCF Offense	12	41% (121)	38% (103)	15.1	25.8	199.7	7.7	13.2	14 (108)	11 (72)	.1 (123)	1.6 (76)	29% (33)	33% (53)	.16 (122)	5% (48)	1.8 (126)

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 4.28 #56
Kansas's Offense Rating: 20.60 #34
Kansas's Defense Rating: 16.32 #79
2025 Talent Rating: 730.00 #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Kansas's 2025 Expected Record: 6.3 - 5.7
Kansas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #49
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #31
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #74

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 4.28 UCF: 1.185

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 3.0 UCF: 0.4

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 1.185 #75
UCF's Offense Rating: 11.99 #82
UCF's Defense Rating: 15.02 #69
2025 Talent Rating: 700.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #27
UCF's 2025 Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8
UCF's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #61
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #57
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #61

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Kansas Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.8
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.5

Kansas's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Kansas 29
UCF 26

Projected Total Points: 56

UCF Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.9
Defense: 26.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 23

UCF's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/07	Kansas	51	UCF	22	Kansas	UCF -2	Kansas	65.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UCF	0	0	1 Overs
Kansas	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0

(#56) Kansas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.28 #56
Offense Rating: 20.60 #34
Defense Rating: 16.32 #79
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #31
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #74
Talent Rating: 730.00 #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Expected Record: 6.3 - 5.7

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.68 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Kansas Notes
(5/23) KU was 1-5 in 1 score games LY (of 7 L's)
(4/4) QB Daniels back, electric when healthy
(4/4) RB rebuild. Hishaw exp'd, added Williams (Iowa)
(4/4) OL 2/5 back, good LY. 3 portal adds
(4/4) Def bad LY, replaces a lot. 11 portal adds
(3/21) WR total rebuild. 3 portals. Pickett (BG) #1?
(3/21) New OC Zebrowski was Co-OC/QB LY
(3/21) New DC McDonald promoted? Why?
(3/21) Strange '24, 1-5 to 5-7. Underachieved

Kansas Ratings Matchup UCF

Power #56

#75

Off #34

#82

Def #79

#69

Talent #67

#72

SP+ #49

#61

SP+ Off #31

#57

SP+ Def #74

#61

Previous Matchups
Kansas beat UCF in 2023 (51-22)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: KU | UCF
Depth Chart: KU | UCF
Rosters: KU | UCF

(#75) UCF Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.185 #75
Offense Rating: 11.99 #82
Defense Rating: 15.02 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #61
Talent Rating: 700.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #27
Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.37 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

UCF Notes
(5/23) UCF was 1-3 in 1 score games LY
(4/22) Starting OT Justin Royes (VU) will miss season (inj)
(4/9) QB Fancher (FAU) or Jackson (IU). Rizk portal
(4/7) WR all new. Charles/Jenkins Jr future. 3 portals.
(4/5) Def bad LY, replacing most. 15 portal adds
(4/5) New staff, over 50% new roster. We'll see
(4/5) OL rebuild 1/5 back. 5 portal adds
(3/21) RB Monty back (#2 LY), Nixon (WMU) added
(3/21) New DC Grinch fired from USC
(3/21) HC Frost is back. UCF in new conf/reality

Kansas's OC Jim Zebrowski

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jalon Daniels	171	300	57%	2454	14	12	8.2
Cole Ballard	5	6	83%	51	1	0	8.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalon Daniels	93	447	6	4.8	33
Daniel Hishaw Jr.	65	376	3	5.8	32
Cam Pickett (Tr)	17	170	2	10.0	34
Cole Ballard	5	42	0	8.4	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Pickett (Tr)	49	528	2	10.8	65
Emmanuel Henderson Jr. (Tr)	4	82	0	20.5	34
Daniel Hishaw Jr.	3	33	0	11.0	17
Leshon Williams (Tr)	4	26	0	6.5	11

View Kansas's Full Roster

Kansas's DC D.K. McDonald

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joseph Sipp Jr. (Tr)	79	12	7	1	2
Trey Lathan (Tr)	79	9	2	3	0
D.J. Graham	42	3	0	0	2
Taylor Davis	33	1	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joseph Sipp Jr. (Tr)	79	12	7	1	2
Dean Miller	32	10	5	4	3
D.J. Withers	21	4	3	0	1
Trey Lathan (Tr)	79	9	2	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dean Miller	32	10	5	4	3
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)	23	0	0	0	3
Joseph Sipp Jr. (Tr)	79	12	7	1	2

UCF's OC Steve Cooper

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cam Fancher (Tr)	126	212	59%	1528	6	6	7.2
Jacurri Brown	34	66	52%	387	1	4	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaden Nixon (Tr)	132	874	12	6.6	92
Jacurri Brown	53	401	4	7.6	67
Cam Fancher (Tr)	99	365	3	3.7	76
Myles Montgomery	51	293	3	5.7	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dylan Wade (Tr)	29	374	2	12.9	44
Jaden Nixon (Tr)	9	74	0	8.2	16
Marcus Burke (Tr)	8	69	2	8.6	20
Myles Montgomery	3	66	1	22.0	49

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC Alex Grinch

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nyjalik Kelly	53	10	6	1	1
Phillip Dunnam (Tr)	48	3	0	1	4
Keli Lawson (Tr)	40	2	0	0	4
R.J. Jackson	35	4	3	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nyjalik Kelly	53	10	6	1	1
Malachi Lawrence	15	6	5	4	1
R.J. Jackson	35	4	3	0	2
Sincere Edwards (Tr)	17	6	3	4	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jayden Bellamy (Tr)	34	1	6
DJ Bell (Tr)	16	0	5
Keli Lawson (Tr)	40	2	4