Iowa State at Oklahoma State - 2025 Matchup Preview

(#12)Iowa State Cyclones at Oklahoma State Cowboys

Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Boone Pickens Stadium - Stillwater, OK (Big 12)

Cyclones (4 - 0) (2 - 1 - 1)
Coach Matt Campbell (63 - 51)
Avg Score : 30 - 14 (24 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 2.8 (#18)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)

Our Line: Iowa State -17.5 (SP+ ISU -18)
Projected Score: ISU: 30 - OKST: 13 (43)
ISU Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
ISU Travel: 446 miles

Cowboys (1 - 1) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (169 - 88)
Avg Score : 15 - 38 (27 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
ISU Players
OKST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Iowa State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/23	Iowa State vs Kansas State	+2.5	51.5	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Sat 8/30	Iowa State vs South Dakota	-16.5	47.5	W 55 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/6	Iowa State vs Iowa	-3.0	43.0	W 16 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/13	Iowa State at Arkansas State	-21.0	55.5	W 24 - 16	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Iowa State vs Arizona	-8.5
Sat 10/4	Iowa State at Cincinnati	+1.5
Sat 10/11	Iowa State at Colorado	-8.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25	Iowa State vs BYU	-4
Sat 11/1	Iowa State vs Arizona State	-2
Sat 11/8	Iowa State at TCU	+6
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22	Iowa State vs Kansas	-6.5
Sat 11/29	Iowa State at Oklahoma State	-17.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule

Oklahoma State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Oklahoma State vs UT Martin	-26.0	56.5	W 27 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/6	Oklahoma State at Oregon	+28.5	55.5	L 3 - 69	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 9/19	Oklahoma State vs Tulsa	-13.5	55.5
Sat 9/27	Oklahoma State vs Baylor	+14.5
Sat 10/4	Oklahoma State at Arizona	+16.5
Sat 10/11	Oklahoma State vs Houston	+8
Sat 10/18	Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati	+16
Sat 10/25	Oklahoma State at Texas Tech	+31.5
Sat 11/1	Oklahoma State at Kansas	+18
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Oklahoma State vs Kansas State	+9.5
Sat 11/22	Oklahoma State at UCF	+14.5
Sat 11/29	Oklahoma State vs Iowa State	+17.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU	#45 (.29)	45% (56)	29.8	40% (94)	2.87 (82)	161	51% (28)	222	4.14 (63)	#41 (.05)	36% (48)	14.3	40% (75)	33% (35)	3 (50)	27	1	1.5
OKST	#96 (.13)	36% (123)	15	33% (124)	2.57 (104)	136	39% (95)	150	3.75 (82)	#131 (.43)	46% (111)	38	49% (116)	43% (94)	4.67 (112)	50	1	0.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU	#62 (.2)	40% (99)		40% (106)	2.83 (102)	150	41% (77)	236	4.23 (37)	#79 (.18)	43% (81)		46% (101)	38% (41)	3.44 (29)	25.9	1.1	1.5
OKST	#52 (.21)	43% (63)		43% (86)	2.79 (107)	114	44% (47)	265	4.22 (42)	#131 (.34)	46% (109)		47% (107)	44% (108)	3.93 (82)	43.2	1.8	1.3

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Offense	4	29.8	24	45.5%	4.14	1	20	383	161	222	4.2	54%	46%	40%	51%	14%	.29
OKST Defense	2	38	7	46.2%	4.67	0.5	-	-	-	-	-	58%	41%	49%	43%	13%	.43

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Defense	4	14.3	16	36.4%	3	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	40%	33%	19%	.05
OKST Offense	2	15	27	35.5%	3.75	1	15	285	136	150	3.2	57%	43%	33%	39%	18%	.13

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Iowa State	4	30:50	20.3	50%	100%	3	27	1	1.5	6	1.8	0	31.5
Oklahoma State	2	31:20	14.5	41%	100%	6.5	50	1	0.5	6	2	0	23.5

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Offense	4	54% (50)	40% (94)	38	161	4.2	7 (38)	.12 (76)	2.87 (82)	71% (67)	8% (53)	0.95 (70)
OKST Defense	2	58% (121)	49% (116)	-	-	-	-	.44 (134)	3.52 (130)	100% (127)	10% (65)	1.33 (126)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Defense	4	50% (67)	40% (75)	-	-	-	-	-.03 (39)	2.75 (66)	69% (63)	12% (44)	0.7 (15)
OKST Offense	2	57% (30)	33% (124)	42	135.5	3.2	2 (109)	- (107)	2.57 (104)	83% (28)	10% (83)	0.78 (116)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Offense	4	46% (84)	51% (28)	17.3	26.3	222	8.5	12.9	7 (23)	1 (23)	.48 (26)	1.4 (93)	29% (51)	30% (77)	.35 (63)	6% (95)	1.9 (87)
OKST Defense	2	41% (16)	43% (94)	-	-	-	-	-	-	1 (87)	.51 (122)	1.8 (118)	32% (82)	21% (28)	.13 (39)	3% (128)	1.5 (22)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Defense	4	50% (71)	33% (35)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (12)	.12 (42)	1.8 (116)	35% (43)	27% (50)	.12 (36)	7% (38)	1.7 (36)
OKST Offense	2	43% (103)	39% (95)	12.5	24.5	149.5	6.1	12	1 (123)	2 (60)	.3 (67)	1.6 (49)	41% (133)	30% (85)	.41 (52)	8% (125)	2 (69)

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 15.62 #38
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 18.04 #36
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 2.42 #41
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Iowa State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8
Iowa State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #23
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #43
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #15

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 15.62 Oklahoma State: -2.335

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 14.3 Oklahoma State: -3.8

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: -2.335 #95
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 12.49 #71
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 18.36 #111
2025 Talent Rating: 872.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Oklahoma State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Oklahoma State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #82
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #65
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #97

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 14.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 16

Iowa State's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa State 30
Oklahoma State 13

Total Points: 43

Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 15 PPG
Offense at Home: 27
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense at Home: 7

Oklahoma State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/23	Iowa State	34	Oklahoma State	27	Iowa State	Iowa State -3.5	Iowa State	36.0	Over
2022	11/12	Oklahoma State	20	Iowa State	14	Oklahoma State	Iowa State -2.5	Oklahoma State	47.5	Under
2021	10/23	Iowa State	24	Oklahoma State	21	Iowa State	Iowa State -7.5	Oklahoma State	47.0	Under
2020	10/24	Oklahoma State	24	Iowa State	21	Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State -3.0	Push	54.0	Under
2019	10/26	Iowa State	27	Oklahoma State	34	Oklahoma State	Iowa State -11.5	Oklahoma State	64.5	Under
2018	10/06	Oklahoma State	42	Iowa State	48	Iowa State	Oklahoma State -10	Iowa State	55.0	Over
2017	11/11	Iowa State	42	Oklahoma State	49	Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State -7.5	Iowa State	61.0	Over
2016	10/08	Oklahoma State	38	Iowa State	31	Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State -16.5	Iowa State	68.5	Over
2015	11/14	Iowa State	31	Oklahoma State	35	Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State -13.5	Iowa State	56.5	Over
2014	10/04	Oklahoma State	37	Iowa State	20	Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State -17	Push	0
2013	10/26	Iowa State	27	Oklahoma State	58	Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State -14	Oklahoma State	0
2012	10/20	Oklahoma State	31	Iowa State	10	Oklahoma State
2011	11/18	Iowa State	37	Oklahoma State	31	Iowa State
2009	11/07	Iowa State	8	Oklahoma State	34	Oklahoma State
2008	11/01	Oklahoma State	59	Iowa State	17	Oklahoma State
2005	10/22	Iowa State	37	Oklahoma State	10	Iowa State
2004	10/02	Oklahoma State	36	Iowa State	7	Oklahoma State
2001	10/20	Iowa State	28	Oklahoma State	14	Iowa State
2000	10/13	Oklahoma State	26	Iowa State	33	Iowa State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oklahoma State	12	4	5 Overs
Iowa State	7	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 7	4 - 5	1 - 4	3 - 1
Road Teams	7 - 12	5 - 4	1 - 3	4 - 1

(#38) Iowa State Info
Power Rating: 15.62 #38
Offense Rating: 18.04 #36
Defense Rating: 2.42 #41
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #23
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #43
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #15
Talent Rating: 750.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.14 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 51%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 36%
Avg in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Good Pass Def Success 33%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Iowa State has lost 7 straight
Iowa State has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Iowa State Notes
(8/30) Run game improved, Becht a tough gamer
(7/30) Fewest portal adds in Big 12 (8), good sign
(5/23) ISU was 5-1 in 1 score games LY
(4/4) CB Jontez Williams a top 10 CB via PFF
(4/4) DT D. Orange a top 10 DT via PFF
(3/20) QB Becht returns, dynamic & clutch
(3/20) RB Hansen/Sama return, v good combo
(3/20) WR rebuild, portal Sowell (ECU) helps a lot
(3/20) OL 3/5 back, 2 w/ good exp. Must improve TY
(3/20) Def exposed LY, need new DE's & more

Iowa State Highlights
Iowa State in Undefeated

Iowa State has Really Good Running Game (#22)
Iowa State offense is good on 3rd downs
Iowa State commits very few Penalties (#25)
Iowa State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Iowa State Deficiencies
Iowa State Fumbles a Lot (#113)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	OKST	ISU
OverallOver	#80	#19
OffenseOff	#94	#19
DefenseDef	#76	#53
Special TeamsST	#53	#14
PassingPass	#96	#10
RushingRush	#79	#48
Run BlockRBLK	#66	#32
Pass BlockPBLK	#60	#58
Route RunningWR Rt	#97	#31
TacklingTkl	#27	#72
Run DefenseR Def	#51	#43
Pass Rush DefPRush	#70	#91
Coverage DefCov	#99	#42

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat Oklahoma State in 2023 (34-27)
Oklahoma State beat Iowa State in 2022 (20-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ISU | OKST
Depth Chart: ISU | OKST
Rosters: ISU | OKST

(#95) Oklahoma State Info
Power Rating: -2.335 #95
Offense Rating: 12.49 #71
Defense Rating: 18.36 #111
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #82
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #97
Talent Rating: 872.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Awful Run Success 33%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.67 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Oklahoma State has lost 10 straight
Oklahoma State has lost 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Oklahoma State Notes
(8/28) QB1 Henjy hurt vs UT Martin, Z Flores is QB2
(8/26) QB1 Hauss Hejny (TCU) start, Flores will play
(7/30) 65 total new players, 35 added after spring
(5/23) Def added 18 portals, 9 DL, 3 LB, 6 DB. Improve?
(5/23) Need to see Off because it looks bad on paper
(5/23) RB bad LY. Can Brock (Ga St)/Hicks (OU) help?
(5/23) WR rebuild. Took 5 portals. Some talent
(5/23) OL rebuild 0/5 back. 7 not so great portals
(5/11) OL exp ranked #60 & 94% of that is from portals
(3/22) QBs Hejny (TCU)? came w/ OC Meacham

Oklahoma State Highlights
Oklahoma State is Undefeated at Home

Oklahoma State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Oklahoma State commits very few Penalties (#30)

Oklahoma State Deficiencies
Oklahoma State has a really bad Offense
Oklahoma State Can Not Run the Ball (#125)
Oklahoma State offense is really bad (#123)
Oklahoma State run game is really bad (#124)
Oklahoma State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Oklahoma State has a bad defense (#111)
Oklahoma State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#125)
Oklahoma State Does Not Stuff Runs (#124)
Oklahoma State has a bad defensive line (#130)
Oklahoma State has a bad red zone defense (#112)

Iowa State's OC Taylor Mouser

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Rocco Becht	65	100	65%	860	7	1	8.6
Alex Manske	4	5	80%	28	0	0	5.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Carson Hansen	54	252	0	4.7	38
Abu Sama III	38	182	2	4.8	44
Dylan Lee	13	81	1	6.2	28
Rocco Becht	27	48	2	1.8	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brett Eskildsen	7	162	1	23.1	66
Gabe Burkle	10	149	1	14.9	44
Xavier Townsend (Tr)	7	132	0	18.9	44
Benjamin Brahmer	14	109	3	7.8	21

View Iowa State's Full Roster

Iowa State's DC Jon Heacock

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marcus Neal	29	5	1	0	1
Jamison Patton	21	0	0	0	1
Caleb Bacon	19	3	0	2	0
Kooper Ebel	18	2	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tamatoa McDonough (Tr)	8	3	2	2	0
Marcus Neal	29	5	1	0	1
Kooper Ebel	18	2	1	1	0
Ikenna Ezeogu	4	3	1	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jeremiah Cooper	9	2	3
Ta'Shawn James	8	0	3
Jontez Williams	12	2	2

Oklahoma State's OC Doug Meacham

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Zane Flores	20	39	51%	203	0	2	5.2
Hauss Hejny (Tr)	5	10	50%	96	1	0	9.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kalib Hicks (Tr)	35	119	0	3.4	14
Sesi Vailahi	9	32	1	3.6	10
Trenten Howland	6	31	0	5.2	8
Rodney Fields Jr.	10	30	0	3.0	8

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Terrill Davis (Tr)	3	78	0	26.0	41
Shamar Rigby (Tr)	3	57	0	19.0	41
Gavin Freeman	6	49	1	8.2	12
Christian Fitzpatrick (Tr)	3	35	0	11.7	35

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

Oklahoma State's DC Todd Grantham

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Bryan McCoy (Tr)	23	1	0	1
Brandon Rawls	19	2	1	0
Jaleel Johnson	8	3	0	3
De'Marion Thomas (Tr)	7	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Wendell Gregory (Tr)	5	4	3	1
Brandon Rawls	19	2	1	0
Bryan McCoy (Tr)	23	1	0	1
Iman Oates	2	0	0	1

Pass D	Tack	PRESS	PD
Sitiveni Kaufusi	1	0	1
Cam Smith	0	0	1
Aden Kelley	3	1	0