Kansas State at Oklahoma State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Kansas State logo Kansas State Wildcats at Oklahoma State CowboysOklahoma State logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Boone Pickens Stadium - Stillwater, OK  (Big 12)

 
Wildcats (3 - 4) (3 - 4 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (47 - 28)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (26 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#97)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
KSU coming off BYE
OKST coming off BYE
Our Line: Kansas State -14.5  (SP+ KSU -19)

Projected Score: KSU: 34 - OKST: 20 (54)
KSU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
KSU Travel: 214 miles
Cowboys (1 - 5) (1 - 5 - 0)
Coach Doug Meacham (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 17 - 37 (21 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 1.4 - 10.6 (#134)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
 
Kansas State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Kansas State vs Iowa State-2.551.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 8/30 Kansas State vs North Dakota-27.555.5W 38 - 35ON
Sat 9/6 Kansas State vs Army-17.048.5L 21 - 24UN
Fri 9/12 Kansas State at Arizona-1.555.5L 17 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Kansas State vs UCF-5.548.5W 34 - 20OY
Sat 10/4 Kansas State at Baylor+4.559.5L 34 - 35OY
Sat 10/11 Kansas State vs TCU+3.054.5W 41 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Kansas State at Kansas+7.5
Sat 11/1 Kansas State vs Texas Tech+19.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Kansas State at Oklahoma State-14.5
Sat 11/22 Kansas State at Utah+19.5
Sat 11/29 Kansas State vs Colorado-4

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule
Oklahoma State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Oklahoma State vs UT Martin-26.056.5W 27 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Oklahoma State at Oregon+28.555.5L 3 - 69ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/19 Oklahoma State vs Tulsa-10.554.5L 12 - 19UN
Sat 9/27 Oklahoma State vs Baylor+21.058.5L 27 - 45OY
Sat 10/4 Oklahoma State at Arizona+21.556.5L 13 - 41UN
Sat 10/11 Oklahoma State vs Houston+14.547.5L 17 - 39ON
Sat 10/18 Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati+21.557.5
Sat 10/25 Oklahoma State at Texas Tech+41.5
Sat 11/1 Oklahoma State at Kansas+24.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Oklahoma State vs Kansas State+14.5
Sat 11/22 Oklahoma State at UCF+17.5
Sat 11/29 Oklahoma State vs Iowa State+20

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU#79 (.17)41% (97)29.439% (109)2.75 (93)14542% (70)2224 (69)#62 (.15)39% (39)2740% (48)38% (42)3.48 (48)33.411.9
OKST#129 (.04)33% (134)16.535% (130)2.53 (123)12531% (131)1763.46 (109)#130 (.3)45% (107)36.741% (54)50% (130)4.05 (88)60.70.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU#17 (.3)44% (55)46% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#29 (.11)36% (6)34% (4)38% (32)3.54 (43)41.31.21.1
OKST#52 (.21)43% (63)43% (86)2.79 (107)11444% (47)2654.22 (42)#131 (.34)46% (109)47% (107)44% (108)3.93 (82)43.21.81.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Offense729.425.540.9%41183671452224.749%51%39%42%17%.17
OKST Defense636.727.544.9%4.051.2 - - - - - 51%48%41%50%16%.3
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Defense7272939%3.481.9 - - - - - 52%48%40%38%17%.15
OKST Offense616.520.833%3.460.8153011251763.646%54%35%31%19%.04

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas State729:0618.138%50%3.333.411.95.62230.6
Oklahoma State627:3015.333%38%6.560.70.81.25.82125.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Offense749% (81)39% (109)31145.14.79 (77).08 (93)2.75 (93)67% (97)10% (87)1.04 (45)
OKST Defense651% (84)41% (54) - - - - .14 (95)2.9 (79)74% (83)10% (69)1.17 (121)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Defense752% (90)40% (48) - - - - .09 (65)2.49 (23)68% (49)10% (69)1.06 (102)
OKST Offense646% (96)35% (130)35124.73.65 (115)-.03 (128)2.53 (123)71% (76)11% (107)0.92 (92)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Offense751% (54)42% (70)2032222.3711.113 (27)3 (26).26 (74)1.6 (43)34% (117)31% (73).23 (98)7% (97)1.8 (118)
OKST Defense648% (52)50% (130) - - - - - - 3 (93).49 (132)1.7 (103)29% (113)31% (88).43 (119)6% (80)2 (68)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Defense748% (49)38% (42) - - - - - - 6 (29).21 (60)1.7 (114)34% (30)28% (63).28 (68)7% (45)2.2 (122)
OKST Offense654% (38)31% (131)16.730.7176.25.710.64 (125)4 (50).1 (120)1.6 (60)40% (136)21% (132).17 (109)8% (125)2.1 (43)

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 6.33  #57
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 10.68  #72
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 4.35  #46
2025 Talent Rating: 830.00  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #56
Kansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.6  #47
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5  #51
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1  #54

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 6.33   Oklahoma State: -8.21

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 6.6   Oklahoma State: -12.2




Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: -8.21  #108
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 4.05  #110
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 13.27  #97
2025 Talent Rating: 872.00  #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Oklahoma State's 2025 Expected Record: 1.4 - 10.6
Oklahoma State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.2  #112
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3  #111
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7  #109

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.5
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Kansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas State 34
Oklahoma State 20


Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Kansas State 32
Oklahoma State 23

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Kansas State 30
Oklahoma State 23

Total Points: 53
Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 16.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.8
Defense: 36.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.5

Oklahoma State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Kansas State42Oklahoma State20Kansas State -6Kansas State58.0Over
202310/06Oklahoma State29Kansas State21Kansas State -11.5Oklahoma State53.5Under
202210/29Kansas State48Oklahoma State0Kansas State -2.5Kansas State57.5Under
202109/25Oklahoma State31Kansas State20Oklahoma State -6Oklahoma State47.5Over
202011/07Kansas State18Oklahoma State20Oklahoma State -14Kansas State48.5Under
201909/28Oklahoma State26Kansas State13Oklahoma State -4Oklahoma State60.0Under
201810/13Kansas State31Oklahoma State12Oklahoma State -8Kansas State62.0Under
201711/18Oklahoma State40Kansas State45Oklahoma State -19.5Kansas State63.5Over
201611/05Kansas State37Oklahoma State43Kansas State -2.5Oklahoma State58.0Over
201510/03Oklahoma State36Kansas State34Oklahoma State -3.5Kansas State47.0Over
201411/01Kansas State48Oklahoma State14Kansas State -12.5Kansas State0
201310/05Oklahoma State33Kansas State29Oklahoma State -15Kansas State0
201211/03Kansas State44Oklahoma State30
201111/05Oklahoma State52Kansas State45
201010/30Kansas State14Oklahoma State24
200710/20Oklahoma State41Kansas State39
200610/07Kansas State31Oklahoma State27
200310/11Oklahoma State38Kansas State34
200210/12Kansas State44Oklahoma State9
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oklahoma State1145 Overs
Kansas State885 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 48 - 45 - 43 - 0
Road Teams4 - 154 - 80 - 34 - 5

(#57) KSU at (#108) OKST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKSUOKST
Power RatePwr #57 #108
SP+SP+ #47 #112
Perf GradeGrade #68 #129
OffenseOff #83 #134
DefenseDef #54 #97
Spec TeamsST #12 #88
TalentTal #46 #32
Blue ChipsBC% #56 #65

Kansas State Notes
(10/12) Off mat W over TCU, forced 3 TOs. Still not good
(10/10) RB D Edwards out again vs TCU (3rd missed game)
(10/5) Blew 14 pt 4Q lead @ Baylor. Season turner/ender?
(10/4) QB2 Blake Barnett is clearly not ready
(9/13) Broken team, QB Johnson unplayable, Off awful
(9/13) Offense is terrible, can't run, throw, block
(9/10) OT George Fitzpatrick out until mid Oct
(7/30) S Maldonado (Az, inj LY) was captain, big add
(6/6) LB unit ranked top 10 via PFF, have depth
(5/9) RB Martin Jr 230/1,228/11 TD, 5.3 ypc SE La LY
(4/7) QB Johnson exciting, but Opps don't respect arm

Oklahoma State Notes
(10/10) Sam Jackson now QB1, was WR. Prev Cal QB
(9/23) HC Gundy fired. What next? OSU invest level?
(9/23) Gundy firing a mess, staff not notified, bad juju
(9/19) Physically dominated by Tulsa. Bottom P5 team
(9/19) Have lost 11 straight games to FBS teams
(8/29) Top portal DE Kyran Duhon DNP vs UT Martin
(8/28) QB1 Henjy hurt vs UT Martin, Z Flores is QB2
(8/26) QB1 Hauss Hejny (TCU) start, Flores will play
(7/30) 65 total new players, 35 added after spring
(5/23) Def added 18 portals, 9 DL, 3 LB, 6 DB. Improve?
(5/23) Need to see Off because it looks bad on paper
Kansas State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
KSU OffOKST Def
Perf GradePerf #83 #97
SuccessSuc #97 #107
ExplosiveExp #28 #126
PPAPPA #79 #130
PowerPwr #72 #97
SP+SP+ #51 #109
Pts POPPO #69 #88
HavocHav #94 #73
Kansas State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
KSU OffOKST Def
Run GameRun #131 #50
Run SuccessRSuc #109 #54
Run ExplRExp #45 #121
PPAExp #93 #95
Run BlockR Blk #70 -
OL YdsOLY #93 #79
Stuff RateStuff #121 #70
TackleTak -  #114
Kansas State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
KSU OffOKST Def
Pass GamePass #47 #126
Pass SuccessPSuc #70 #130
Pass ExplPExl #43 #103
PPAExp #74 #132
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #33 #67
F7 HavocF7 #87 #69
DB HavocDB #97 #80
Oklahoma State on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatOKST OffKSU Def
Perf GradePerf #134 #54
SuccessSuc #134 #39
ExplosiveExp #64 #117
PPAPPA #129 #62
PowerPwr #110 #46
SP+SP+ #111 #54
Pts POPPO #109 #48
HavocHav #123 #56
Oklahoma State Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
OKST OffKSU Def
Run GameRun #100 #69
Run SuccessRSuc #130 #48
Run ExplRExp #92 #102
PPAExp #128 #65
Run BlockR Blk #116 -
OL YdsOLY #123 #23
Stuff RateStuff #91 #31
TackleTak -  #56
Oklahoma State Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatOKST OffKSU Def
Pass GamePass #132 #49
Pass SuccessPSuc #131 #42
Pass ExplPExl #60 #114
PPAExp #120 #60
Pass Block/RushP Blk #42 #112
F7 HavocF7 #107 #69
DB HavocDB #125 #45
Program Comparison
OKST 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

KSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Kansas State beat Oklahoma State last year (42-20)
Oklahoma State beat Kansas State in 2023 (29-21)
Kansas State beat Oklahoma State in 2022 (48-0)

  
KSU's OC Matt Wells (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Avery Johnson14022363%15561327.0
Linkon Cure010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Joe Jackson7531314.221
Avery Johnson6023834.031
Dylan Edwards3420526.075
Jayce Brown3104134.775
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayce Brown32417313.048
Jaron Tibbs (Tr)30360212.032
Garrett Oakley25271410.835
Jerand Bradley (Tr)12178214.865

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Joe Klanderman (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Austin Romaine495042
Desmond Purnell374133
VJ Payne373001
Zashon Rich293107
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tobi Osunsanmi206420
Cody Stufflebean143340
Travis Bates92251
Jordan Allen51101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zashon Rich293107
Donovan McIntosh220003
Desmond Purnell374133

OKST's OC Doug Meacham (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zane Flores7714055%696035.0
Sam Jackson142752%161116.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rodney Fields Jr.5525704.736
Kalib Hicks (Tr)3911703.014
Zane Flores3011413.827
Trenten Howland2710824.018
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Gavin Freeman19203210.733
Rodney Fields Jr.16188111.863
Shamar Rigby (Tr)12171014.341
Terrill Davis (Tr)12149012.441

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Clint Bowen (Int) (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan McCoy (Tr)401011
Brandon Rawls402200
Parker Robertson353002
Mordecai McDaniel (Tr)260001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wendell Gregory (Tr)199341
Brandon Rawls402200
Malik Charles (Tr)162200
Poasa Utu62200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cam Smith120013
Kenneth Harris150013
Landyn Cleveland151002