Kansas State at Oklahoma State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Kansas State logo Kansas State Wildcats at Oklahoma State CowboysOklahoma State logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 PM EST)
Kansas State -19.5 (50.5) (-1600)  Open: -19.5 | 54.5
Kansas State 14 - Oklahoma State: 6  (Big 12)

 
Wildcats (6 - 6) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (47 - 28)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#82)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
KSU coming off BYE
OKST coming off BYE
Our Line: Kansas State -17.5  (SP+ KSU -22)

Projected Score: KSU: 35 - OKST: 18 (53)
KSU Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
KSU Travel: 214 miles
Cowboys (1 - 11) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Doug Meacham (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 33 (17 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#133)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
 
Kansas State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Kansas State vs Iowa State-2.551.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 8/30 Kansas State vs North Dakota-27.555.5W 38 - 35ON
Sat 9/6 Kansas State vs Army-17.048.5L 21 - 24UN
Fri 9/12 Kansas State at Arizona-1.555.5L 17 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Kansas State vs UCF-5.548.5W 34 - 20OY
Sat 10/4 Kansas State at Baylor+4.559.5L 34 - 35OY
Sat 10/11 Kansas State vs TCU+3.054.5W 41 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Kansas State at Kansas+3.555.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 11/1 Kansas State vs Texas Tech+7.551.5L 20 - 43ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Kansas State at Oklahoma State-19.550.5W 14 - 6UN
Sat 11/22 Kansas State at Utah+18.552.5L 47 - 51OY
Sat 11/29 Kansas State vs Colorado-16.550.5W 24 - 14UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule
Oklahoma State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Oklahoma State vs UT Martin-26.056.5W 27 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Oklahoma State at Oregon+28.555.5L 3 - 69ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/19 Oklahoma State vs Tulsa-10.554.5L 12 - 19UN
Sat 9/27 Oklahoma State vs Baylor+21.058.5L 27 - 45OY
Sat 10/4 Oklahoma State at Arizona+21.556.5L 13 - 41UN
Sat 10/11 Oklahoma State vs Houston+14.547.5L 17 - 39ON
Sat 10/18 Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati+23.557.5L 17 - 49ON
Sat 10/25 Oklahoma State at Texas Tech+37.556.5L 0 - 42UN
Sat 11/1 Oklahoma State at Kansas+24.554.5L 21 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Oklahoma State vs Kansas State+19.550.5L 6 - 14UY
Sat 11/22 Oklahoma State at UCF+13.547.5L 14 - 17UY
Sat 11/29 Oklahoma State vs Iowa State+13.547.5L 13 - 20UY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU#46 (.2)41% (92)29.441% (94)2.82 (96)17241% (82)1984.15 (33)#57 (.13)39% (44)26.741% (61)38% (35)3.45 (52)38.31.32.2
OKST#133 (.01)35% (129)14.236% (128)2.59 (127)11835% (126)1742.96 (125)#129 (.28)45% (111)33.343% (75)48% (130)4 (100)47.31.41.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU#17 (.3)44% (55)46% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#29 (.11)36% (6)34% (4)38% (32)3.54 (43)41.31.21.1
OKST#52 (.21)43% (63)43% (86)2.79 (107)11444% (47)2654.22 (42)#131 (.34)46% (109)47% (107)44% (108)3.93 (82)43.21.81.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Offense1229.430.840.8%4.151.3173711721985.251%47%41%41%18%.2
OKST Defense1233.327.644.8%41.1 - - - - - 52%46%43%48%15%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Defense1226.726.439.5%3.452.2 - - - - - 52%47%41%38%17%.13
OKST Offense1214.21735.4%2.961.4162931181743.547%52%36%35%19%.01

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas State1229:0017.237%56%4.138.31.32.262.3230.2
Oklahoma State1228:5215.635%40%5.347.31.41.15.61.8125.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Offense1251% (51)41% (94)33.2172.35.223 (88).18 (41)2.82 (96)67% (101)11% (115)1.2 (3)
OKST Defense1252% (103)43% (75) - - - - .16 (98)2.98 (88)67% (39)10% (45)1.07 (118)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Defense1252% (94)41% (61) - - - - .12 (79)2.73 (38)70% (55)10% (49)1.12 (127)
OKST Offense1247% (95)36% (128)33.6118.43.510 (107)-.04 (134)2.59 (127)69% (87)11% (117)0.89 (97)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Offense1247% (86)41% (82)1728.5198.3711.718 (42)7 (20).25 (66)1.6 (39)34% (120)31% (66).28 (79)7% (91)1.8 (118)
OKST Defense1246% (39)48% (130) - - - - - - 6 (100).44 (133)1.7 (112)30% (101)31% (87).37 (108)5% (119)2 (58)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Defense1247% (53)38% (35) - - - - - - 13 (38).15 (31)1.6 (87)33% (38)28% (52).24 (51)7% (37)2.1 (96)
OKST Offense1252% (43)35% (126)17.530.4174.15.7107 (128)10 (60).07 (128)1.4 (125)36% (133)23% (131).15 (121)8% (121)2 (79)

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 8.09  #49
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 11.85  #52
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 3.76  #39
2025 Talent Rating: 830.00  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #56
Kansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.0 - 6.0
Kansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.5  #47
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #45
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3  #58

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 8.09   Oklahoma State: -10.415

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 6.5   Oklahoma State: -15.6




Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: -10.415  #110
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 1.64  #117
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 11.87  #92
2025 Talent Rating: 872.00  #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Oklahoma State's 2025 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Oklahoma State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.6  #125
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.9  #128
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9  #99

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.4

Kansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas State 35
Oklahoma State 18


Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Kansas State 40
Oklahoma State 22

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Kansas State 30
Oklahoma State 21

Total Points: 51
Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 14.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.6

Oklahoma State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15Oklahoma State6Kansas State14Kansas State -19.5Oklahoma State50.5Under
202409/28Kansas State42Oklahoma State20Kansas State -6Kansas State58.0Over
202310/06Oklahoma State29Kansas State21Kansas State -11.5Oklahoma State53.5Under
202210/29Kansas State48Oklahoma State0Kansas State -2.5Kansas State57.5Under
202109/25Oklahoma State31Kansas State20Oklahoma State -6Oklahoma State47.5Over
202011/07Kansas State18Oklahoma State20Oklahoma State -14Kansas State48.5Under
201909/28Oklahoma State26Kansas State13Oklahoma State -4Oklahoma State60.0Under
201810/13Kansas State31Oklahoma State12Oklahoma State -8Kansas State62.0Under
201711/18Oklahoma State40Kansas State45Oklahoma State -19.5Kansas State63.5Over
201611/05Kansas State37Oklahoma State43Kansas State -2.5Oklahoma State58.0Over
201510/03Oklahoma State36Kansas State34Oklahoma State -3.5Kansas State47.0Over
201411/01Kansas State48Oklahoma State14Kansas State -12.5Kansas State0
201310/05Oklahoma State33Kansas State29Oklahoma State -15Kansas State0
201211/03Kansas State44Oklahoma State30
201111/05Oklahoma State52Kansas State45
201010/30Kansas State14Oklahoma State24
200710/20Oklahoma State41Kansas State39
200610/07Kansas State31Oklahoma State27
200310/11Oklahoma State38Kansas State34
200210/12Kansas State44Oklahoma State9
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oklahoma State1155 Overs
Kansas State986 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 59 - 45 - 44 - 0
Road Teams5 - 154 - 90 - 44 - 5

(#49) KSU at (#110) OKST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKSUOKST
Power RatePwr #49 #110
SP+SP+ #47 #125
Perf GradeGrade #67 #131
OffenseOff #67 #135
DefenseDef #84 #112
Spec TeamsST #14 #128
TalentTal #46 #32
Blue ChipsBC% #56 #65
Kansas State Notes
(12/11) OC Matt Wells was a disaster hire for K St
(12/3) HC Klieman retiring. A&M OC Colin Klen new HC
(11/24) RB Joe Jackson torched Utah for 293 yds, still lost
(10/22) RB Dylan Edwards out again vs Kansas, shocker...
(10/12) Off mat W over TCU, forced 3 TOs. Still not good
(10/5) Blew 14 pt 4Q lead @ Baylor. Season turner/ender?
(10/4) QB2 Blake Barnett is clearly not ready
(9/13) Broken team, QB Johnson unplayable, Off awful
(9/13) Offense is terrible, can't run, throw, block
(9/10) OT George Fitzpatrick out until mid Oct
(7/30) S Maldonado (Az, inj LY) was captain, big add
(6/6) LB unit ranked top 10 via PFF, have depth
Kansas State Injury Report
Oklahoma State Notes
(12/13) Hired DC Skyler Cassity from N Tex w/ Morris
(11/25) Hired N Tex HC Eric Morris, will join after season
(10/26) Starting OT Grant Seagren entered portal
(10/22) OL Noah McKinney left for the portal, starting OG
(10/10) Sam Jackson now QB1, was WR. Prev Cal QB
(9/23) HC Gundy fired. What next? OSU invest level?
(9/23) Gundy firing a mess, staff not notified, bad juju
(9/19) Physically dominated by Tulsa. Bottom P5 team
(9/19) Have lost 11 straight games to FBS teams
(8/29) Top portal DE Kyran Duhon DNP vs UT Martin
(8/28) QB1 Henjy hurt vs UT Martin, Z Flores is QB2
(8/26) QB1 Hauss Hejny (TCU) start, Flores will play
Oklahoma State Injury Report
Kansas State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KSU OffOKST Def
Perf GradePerf #67 #112
SuccessSuc #92 #111
ExplosiveExp #8 #124
PPAPPA #46 #129
PowerPwr #52 #92
SP+SP+ #45 #99
Pts POPPO #33 #100
HavocHav #109 #84
Kansas State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KSU OffOKST Def
Run GameRun #102 #49
Run SuccessRSuc #94 #75
Run ExplRExp #3 #118
PPAExp #41 #98
Run BlockR Blk #27 -
OL YdsOLY #96 #88
Stuff RateStuff #118 #49
TackleTak -  #92
Kansas State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KSU OffOKST Def
Pass GamePass #62 #127
Pass SuccessPSuc #82 #130
Pass ExplPExl #39 #112
PPAExp #66 #133
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #62 #106
F7 HavocF7 #115 #45
DB HavocDB #91 #119
Oklahoma State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatOKST OffKSU Def
Perf GradePerf #135 #84
SuccessSuc #129 #44
ExplosiveExp #113 #113
PPAPPA #133 #57
PowerPwr #117 #39
SP+SP+ #128 #58
Pts POPPO #125 #52
HavocHav #125 #48
Oklahoma State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
OKST OffKSU Def
Run GameRun #131 #67
Run SuccessRSuc #128 #61
Run ExplRExp #97 #127
PPAExp #134 #79
Run BlockR Blk #125 -
OL YdsOLY #127 #38
Stuff RateStuff #90 #56
TackleTak -  #103
Oklahoma State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatOKST OffKSU Def
Pass GamePass #134 #76
Pass SuccessPSuc #126 #35
Pass ExplPExl #125 #87
PPAExp #128 #31
Pass Block/RushP Blk #46 #100
F7 HavocF7 #117 #49
DB HavocDB #121 #37
Program Comparison
OKST 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

KSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 79°
Rematch from Week 12
Kansas State 19.5 (50.5)
Kansas State won at Oklahoma State this year (14-6)

Previous Matchups
Kansas State beat Oklahoma State last year (42-20)
Oklahoma State beat Kansas State in 2023 (29-21)
Kansas State beat Oklahoma State in 2022 (48-0)

  
KSU's OC Matt Wells (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Avery Johnson20434160%23801867.0
Linkon Cure010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Joe Jackson16991185.480
Avery Johnson10947784.458
Dylan Edwards3420526.075
Antonio Martin1912916.837
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayce Brown41712517.478
Jaron Tibbs (Tr)47595312.738
Garrett Oakley38389610.235
Jerand Bradley (Tr)13184214.265

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Joe Klanderman (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Desmond Purnell729464
Austin Romaine667172
VJ Payne593003
Zashon Rich5731010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cody Stufflebean225550
Ryan Davis146414
Tobi Osunsanmi206420
Desmond Purnell729464
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zashon Rich5731010
Desmond Purnell729464
Donovan McIntosh330004

OKST's OC Doug Meacham (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zane Flores15526259%1454375.5
Sam Jackson356653%351125.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rodney Fields Jr.12461415.041
Trenten Howland6324333.924
Sesi Vailahi4215223.614
Kalib Hicks (Tr)4412802.914
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Gavin Freeman5348149.133
Terrill Davis (Tr)29373012.941
Shamar Rigby (Tr)25351114.048
Rodney Fields Jr.2827619.963

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Clint Bowen (Int) (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Parker Robertson779115
Bryan McCoy (Tr)712041
Brandon Rawls685200
Mordecai McDaniel (Tr)392101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wendell Gregory (Tr)2712471
Malik Charles (Tr)283310
Taje Mccoy (Tr)214211
Jacobi Oliphant Jr.242211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Parker Robertson779115
Kenneth Harris332115
Cam Smith341014