Cincinnati at Oklahoma State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Cincinnati logo Cincinnati Bearcats at Oklahoma State CowboysOklahoma State logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Boone Pickens Stadium - Stillwater, OK  (Big 12)

 
Bearcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (24 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#65)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)
OKST 2nd straight Home Game
OKST is playing their 5th straight game
CIN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Cincinnati -3   (SP+ OKST -1)
Projected Score: CIN: 31 - OKST: 28 (56)
CIN Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
CIN Travel: 717 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Cowboys (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (169 - 88)
Avg Score : 27 - 36 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#99)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 2)
 
Cincinnati's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Cincinnati vs Nebraska+7.050.5
Sat 9/6 Cincinnati vs Bowling Green-20.5
Sat 9/13 Cincinnati vs Northwestern State-27.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Cincinnati at Kansas+2
Sat 10/4 Cincinnati vs Iowa State+4
Sat 10/11 Cincinnati vs UCF-8
Sat 10/18 Cincinnati at Oklahoma State-3
Sat 10/25 Cincinnati vs Baylor+2.5
Sat 11/1 Cincinnati at Utah+9
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Cincinnati vs Arizona-9
Sat 11/22 Cincinnati vs BYU-0.5
Sat 11/29 Cincinnati at TCU+9.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Oklahoma State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Oklahoma State vs UT Martin-22
Sat 9/6 Oklahoma State at Oregon+30.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Oklahoma State vs Tulsa-19
Sat 9/27 Oklahoma State vs Baylor+8.5
Sat 10/4 Oklahoma State at Arizona+1.5
Sat 10/11 Oklahoma State vs Houston-0.5
Sat 10/18 Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati+3
Sat 10/25 Oklahoma State at Texas Tech+16
Sat 11/1 Oklahoma State at Kansas+7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Oklahoma State vs Kansas State+14
Sat 11/22 Oklahoma State at UCF+2.5
Sat 11/29 Oklahoma State vs Iowa State+10

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)25.244% (67)3.03 (69)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)24.646% (94)39% (43)3.51 (40)44.41.51.2
OKST#52 (.21)43% (63)27.243% (86)2.79 (107)11444% (47)2654.22 (42)#131 (.34)46% (109)35.647% (107)44% (108)3.93 (82)43.21.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OKST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Offense1225.223.744.7%3.331.5224221852375.250%50%44%45%16%.21
OKST Defense1235.634.845.6%3.931.3 - - - - - 50%50%47%44%15%.34
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Defense1224.630.342.2%3.511.2 - - - - - 51%49%46%39%16%.18
OKST Offense1227.230.843.1%4.221.8203791142653.942%58%43%44%15%.21

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cincinnati1231:4222.142%55%5.344.41.51.25.41.6026.4
Oklahoma State1227:0320.435%65%543.21.81.35.52.1127.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Offense1250% (72)44% (67)35.31855.219 (73).15 (59)3.03 (69)71% (84)11% (93)1.07 (34)
OKST Defense1250% (65)47% (107) - - - - .31 (133)3.43 (126)73% (68)8% (112)1.25 (133)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Defense1251% (75)46% (94) - - - - .14 (77)3.19 (98)73% (63)11% (51)0.95 (49)
OKST Offense1242% (117)43% (86)29.4114.23.918 (78).04 (109)2.79 (107)74% (61)7% (19)0.87 (119)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Offense1250% (63)45% (32)2132.9236.57.211.318 (68)7 (26).26 (63)1.4 (121)30% (41)36% (20).5 (10)5% (33)2.1 (67)
OKST Defense1250% (73)44% (108) - - - - - - 12 (39).37 (123)1.8 (124)32% (56)36% (119).46 (120)6% (53)2.1 (88)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Defense1249% (63)39% (43) - - - - - - 5 (117).23 (71)1.7 (108)31% (93)31% (79).34 (86)5% (87)2 (66)
OKST Offense1258% (17)44% (47)22.337.5264.77.111.922 (46)17 (127).34 (30)1.6 (67)31% (66)31% (82).32 (77)7% (109)1.9 (99)

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 8.79 #41
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 18.44 #41
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 9.65 #34
2025 Talent Rating: 782.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #72
Cincinnati's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Cincinnati's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #65
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #49

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 767.63
Average Power Five Talent: 856.9
Average FBS Talent: 681.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 8.79   Oklahoma State: 1.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: -0.3   Oklahoma State: 0.9




Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: 1.15 #76
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 13.89 #68
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 17.49 #83
2025 Talent Rating: 814.00 #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #72
Oklahoma State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Oklahoma State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #58
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #39
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #84

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 767.63
Average Power Five Talent: 856.9
Average FBS Talent: 681.31


Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.3

Cincinnati's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Cincinnati 31
Oklahoma State 28

Projected Total Points: 56
Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.8
Defense: 35.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.8

Oklahoma State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28Oklahoma State45Cincinnati13Oklahoma StateOklahoma State -7Oklahoma State53.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oklahoma State111 Overs
Cincinnati000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#41) Cincinnati Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.79 #41
Offense Rating: 18.44 #41
Defense Rating: 9.65 #34
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #65
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #49
Talent Rating: 782.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #72
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Good in Scoring Position 3.51 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 39%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Cincinnati Notes
(5/31) TE Royer good, can FCS Caldwell be a #1 WR?
(5/31) Pass rush? DE has 1 good portal, lots of ?
(5/31) LB & DB should be strong, DB portals good
(5/31) RB bad LY, Walker (Wisc) a big add, Pryor exp'd
(5/31) WR meh LY, 3 portals should improve things
(5/31) OL 2/5 back. OT's upgrade w/ 2 portal adds
(5/31) Def good LY, return a lot. 2 DE/4 DB portals
(4/4) DT Dontay Corleone a top 10 DT via PFF
(3/21) QB Sorsby improved. Serviceable
(3/21) HC Satt. hasn't inspired much since App St.
Cincinnati     Ratings Matchup     Oklahoma State
Power #41
#76
Off #41
#68
Def #34
#83
Talent #49
#42
SP+ #65
#58
SP+ Off #84
#39
SP+ Def #49
#84

Previous Matchups
Oklahoma State beat Cincinnati in 2023 (45-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CIN | OKST
Depth Chart: CIN | OKST
Rosters: CIN | OKST
(#76) Oklahoma State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.15 #76
Offense Rating: 13.89 #68
Defense Rating: 17.49 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #39
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #84
Talent Rating: 814.00 #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #72
Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 46%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Oklahoma State Notes
(5/23) Def added 18 portals, 9 DL, 3 LB, 6 DB. Improve?
(5/23) Need to see Off because it looks bad on paper
(5/23) RB bad LY. Can Brock (Ga St)/Hicks (OU) help?
(5/23) WR rebuild. Took 5 portals. Some talent
(5/23) OL rebuild 0/5 back. 7 not so great portals
(5/11) OL exp ranked #60 & 94% of that is from portals
(3/22) QBs Hejny (TCU)? came w/ OC Meacham
(3/19) 3rd & Grantham comes to Stillwater
(3/19) Not sure Gundy survives this roster


  
Cincinnati's OC Brad Glenn
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendan Sorsby24938964%28131877.2
Brady Lichtenberg3560%25005.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tawee Walker (Tr)190864104.555
Brendan Sorsby10644594.241
Evan Pryor5641867.565
Caleb Goodie (Tr)587017.446
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeff Caldwell (Tr)499431019.293
Joe Royer51532310.438
Caleb Goodie (Tr)21436420.885
Cyrus Allen (Tr)18269114.973

View Cincinnati's Full Roster
Cincinnati's DC Tyson Veidt
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Williams (Tr)753003
Jake Golday577102
Tayden Barnes (Tr)572016
Antwan Peek Jr.541001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dontay Corleone265340
Jonathan Thompson495213
Jaylon White-McClain (Tr)424222
Jake Golday577102
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew McDoom (Tr)3630010
Tayden Barnes (Tr)572016
Xavier Williams (Tr)753003

Oklahoma State's OC Doug Meacham
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Shamar Rigby (Tr)11100%8008.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Freddie Brock (Tr)15181985.457
Trenten Howland4123015.623
Sesi Vailahi429922.411
Rodney Fields Jr.219914.722
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylen Lloyd (Tr)13255019.659
Talyn Shettron12245120.478
Oscar Hammond (Tr)19238112.538
Freddie Brock (Tr)2116617.931

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster
Oklahoma State's DC Todd Grantham
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan McCoy (Tr)1203032
Darius Thomas (Tr)547430
Parker Robertson492001
Kyran Duhon (Tr)437702
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyran Duhon (Tr)437702
Darius Thomas (Tr)547430
Taje Mccoy (Tr)244420
Iman Oates253211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cam Smith341007
Kale Smith310005
Mordecai McDaniel (Tr)422113