Cincinnati at Oklahoma State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Cincinnati logo   Cincinnati Bearcats at Oklahoma State Cowboys  Oklahoma State logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (8:00 PM EDT)
Cincinnati -23.5 (57.5) (-2400)  Open: -21.5
Cincinnati 49 - Oklahoma State: 17  (Big 12)

 
Bearcats (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (31 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 5.2 (#57)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
OKST 2nd straight Home Game
OKST is playing their 5th straight game
CIN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Cincinnati -19  (SP+ CIN -19.5)

Projected Score: CIN: 37 - OKST: 18 (56)
CIN Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
CIN Travel: 717 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Cowboys (1 - 11) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (169 - 88)
Avg Score : 14 - 33 (17 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#133)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
 
Cincinnati's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Cincinnati vs Nebraska+6.552.5L 17 - 20UY
Sat 9/6 Cincinnati vs Bowling Green-21.546.5W 34 - 20ON
Sat 9/13 Cincinnati vs Northwestern State-48.555.5W 70 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Cincinnati at Kansas+5.555.5W 37 - 34OY
Sat 10/4 Cincinnati vs Iowa State-1.555.5W 38 - 30OY
Sat 10/11 Cincinnati vs UCF-10.055.5W 20 - 11UN
Sat 10/18 Cincinnati at Oklahoma State-23.557.5W 49 - 17OY
Sat 10/25 Cincinnati vs Baylor-3.568.5W 41 - 20UY
Sat 11/1 Cincinnati at Utah+11.557.5L 14 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Cincinnati vs Arizona-6.556.5L 24 - 30UN
Sat 11/22 Cincinnati vs BYU+2.556.5L 14 - 26UN
Sat 11/29 Cincinnati at TCU+3.058.5L 23 - 45ON
Fri 1/2 Cincinnati vs Navy+7.557.5L 13 - 35UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Oklahoma State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Oklahoma State vs UT Martin-26.056.5W 27 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Oklahoma State at Oregon+28.555.5L 3 - 69ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/19 Oklahoma State vs Tulsa-10.554.5L 12 - 19UN
Sat 9/27 Oklahoma State vs Baylor+21.058.5L 27 - 45OY
Sat 10/4 Oklahoma State at Arizona+21.556.5L 13 - 41UN
Sat 10/11 Oklahoma State vs Houston+14.547.5L 17 - 39ON
Sat 10/18 Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati+23.557.5L 17 - 49ON
Sat 10/25 Oklahoma State at Texas Tech+37.556.5L 0 - 42UN
Sat 11/1 Oklahoma State at Kansas+24.554.5L 21 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Oklahoma State vs Kansas State+19.550.5L 6 - 14UY
Sat 11/22 Oklahoma State at UCF+13.547.5L 14 - 17UY
Sat 11/29 Oklahoma State vs Iowa State+13.547.5L 13 - 20UY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)30.344% (67)3.03 (69)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)25.646% (94)39% (43)3.51 (40)44.41.51.2
OKST#52 (.21)43% (63)14.243% (86)2.79 (107)11444% (47)2654.22 (42)#131 (.34)46% (109)33.347% (107)44% (108)3.93 (82)43.21.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OKST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Offense1230.330.844.7%3.331.5224221852375.250%50%44%45%16%.21
OKST Defense1233.327.645.6%3.931.3 - - - - - 50%50%47%44%15%.34
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Defense1225.635.342.2%3.511.2 - - - - - 51%49%46%39%16%.18
OKST Offense1214.21743.1%4.221.8203791142653.942%58%43%44%15%.21

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cincinnati1231:4222.142%55%5.344.41.51.25.41.6026.4
Oklahoma State1227:0320.435%65%543.21.81.35.52.1127.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Offense1250% (72)44% (67)35.31855.219 (73).15 (59)3.03 (69)71% (84)11% (93)1.07 (34)
OKST Defense1250% (65)47% (107) - - - - .31 (133)3.43 (126)73% (68)8% (112)1.25 (133)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Defense1251% (75)46% (94) - - - - .14 (77)3.19 (98)73% (63)11% (51)0.95 (49)
OKST Offense1242% (117)43% (86)29.4114.23.918 (78).04 (109)2.79 (107)74% (61)7% (19)0.87 (119)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Offense1250% (63)45% (32)2132.9236.57.211.318 (68)7 (26).26 (63)1.4 (121)30% (41)36% (20).5 (10)5% (33)2.1 (67)
OKST Defense1250% (73)44% (108) - - - - - - 12 (39).37 (123)1.8 (124)32% (56)36% (119).46 (120)6% (53)2.1 (88)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Defense1249% (63)39% (43) - - - - - - 5 (117).23 (71)1.7 (108)31% (93)31% (79).34 (86)5% (87)2 (66)
OKST Offense1258% (17)44% (47)22.337.5264.77.111.922 (46)17 (127).34 (30)1.6 (67)31% (66)31% (82).32 (77)7% (109)1.9 (99)

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 16.34  #17
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 22.32  #19
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 5.98  #28
2025 Talent Rating: 798.00  #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 2%  #79
Cincinnati's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 5.2
Cincinnati's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5  #56
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2  #50
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4  #67

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 16.34   Oklahoma State: -8.76

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 4.5   Oklahoma State: -15.1




Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: -8.76  #89
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 7.49  #106
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 14.91  #77
2025 Talent Rating: 872.00  #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Oklahoma State's 2025 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Oklahoma State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1  #121
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.2  #131
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #100

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.3

Cincinnati's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Cincinnati 37
Oklahoma State 18


Projected Total Points: 56
Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 14.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.6

Oklahoma State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Oklahoma State17Cincinnati49Cincinnati -23.5Cincinnati57.5Over
202310/28Oklahoma State45Cincinnati13Oklahoma State -7Oklahoma State53.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oklahoma State112 Overs
Cincinnati110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#17) CIN at (#89) OKST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCINOKST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #17 #89
SP+SP+ #56 #121
Perf GradeGrade #34 #131
OffenseOff #20 #133
DefenseDef #78 #118
Spec TeamsST #66 #125
TalentTal #53 #32
Blue ChipsBC% #79 #65
Cincinnati Notes
(11/16) Was Cincy overrated? Finish BYU/TCU will tell
(10/30) RB1 Evan Pryor out for the Utah game
(10/22) OL is criminally underrated, one of best in CFB
(10/12) Five straight wins after ugly W over UCF. Outgained
(10/4) Huge W vs ISU, Run Off mauled for 260+ yds, 8 ypc
(9/23) OL has been great early, int if that will hold up
(9/23) QB Sorsby has really upped his game, dynamic
(8/29) Sorsby passing awful vs Neb, tough runner.
(8/29) Run Off good vs Neb, Run Def good, Pass not
(7/30) Def good LY, lost all DBs. 4 DE/4 DB portals
(6/21) QB, TE good, RB/WR portals, OL ok, Off jump?
(5/31) TE Royer good, can FCS Caldwell be a #1 WR?
Cincinnati Injury Report
Oklahoma State Notes
(12/13) Hired DC Skyler Cassity from N Tex w/ Morris
(11/25) Hired N Tex HC Eric Morris, will join after season
(10/26) Starting OT Grant Seagren entered portal
(10/22) OL Noah McKinney left for the portal, starting OG
(10/10) Sam Jackson now QB1, was WR. Prev Cal QB
(9/23) HC Gundy fired. What next? OSU invest level?
(9/23) Gundy firing a mess, staff not notified, bad juju
(9/19) Physically dominated by Tulsa. Bottom P5 team
(9/19) Have lost 11 straight games to FBS teams
(8/29) Top portal DE Kyran Duhon DNP vs UT Martin
(8/28) QB1 Henjy hurt vs UT Martin, Z Flores is QB2
(8/26) QB1 Hauss Hejny (TCU) start, Flores will play
Oklahoma State Injury Report
Cincinnati on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
CIN OffOKST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #20 #118
SuccessSuc #43 #109
ExplosiveExp #79 #132
PPAPPA #59 #131
PowerPwr #19 #77
SP+SP+ #50 #100
Pts POPPO #118 #82
HavocHav #69 #89
Cincinnati Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
CIN OffOKST Def
Run GameRun #30 #72
Run SuccessRSuc #67 #107
Run ExplRExp #34 #133
PPAExp #59 #133
Run BlockR Blk #14 -
OL YdsOLY #69 #126
Stuff RateStuff #105 #119
TackleTak -  #89
Cincinnati Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
CIN OffOKST Def
Pass GamePass #12 #127
Pass SuccessPSuc #32 #108
Pass ExplPExl #121 #124
PPAExp #63 #123
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #66 #111
F7 HavocF7 #93 #112
DB HavocDB #33 #53
Oklahoma State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatOKST OffCIN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #133 #78
SuccessSuc #63 #76
ExplosiveExp #69 #75
PPAPPA #52 #75
PowerPwr #106 #28
SP+SP+ #131 #67
Pts POPPO #42 #40
HavocHav #45 #67
Oklahoma State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
OKST OffCIN Def
Run GameRun #126 #58
Run SuccessRSuc #86 #94
Run ExplRExp #119 #49
PPAExp #109 #77
Run BlockR Blk #114 -
OL YdsOLY #107 #98
Stuff RateStuff #80 #56
TackleTak -  #35
Oklahoma State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatOKST OffCIN Def
Pass GamePass #133 #55
Pass SuccessPSuc #47 #43
Pass ExplPExl #67 #108
PPAExp #30 #71
Pass Block/RushP Blk #37 #130
F7 HavocF7 #19 #51
DB HavocDB #109 #87
Program Comparison
OKST 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Cincinnati 23.5 (57.5)
Cincinnati won at Oklahoma State this year (49-17)

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat Oklahoma State last year (49-17)
Oklahoma State beat Cincinnati in 2023 (45-13)

  
CIN's OC Brad Glenn (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendan Sorsby20633562%27862658.3
Brady Lichtenberg142167%134216.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tawee Walker (Tr)12070945.954
Brendan Sorsby10058095.841
Evan Pryor7652236.946
Manny Covey2719417.236
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cyrus Allen (Tr)506601213.288
Caleb Goodie (Tr)29484216.782
Jeff Caldwell (Tr)32478614.940
Joe Royer29416414.373

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Tyson Veidt (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jake Golday954423
Jonathan Thompson679120
Trevon Gola-Callard674003
Christian Harrison (Tr)553007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jake Golday954423
Jalen Hunt266400
Jack Dingle513230
Montay Weedon273200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Harrison (Tr)553007
Logan Wilson332006
Daniel James150004

OKST's OC Doug Meacham (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zane Flores15526259%1454375.5
Sam Jackson356653%351125.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rodney Fields Jr.12461415.041
Trenten Howland6324333.924
Sesi Vailahi4215223.614
Kalib Hicks (Tr)4412802.914
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Gavin Freeman5348149.133
Terrill Davis (Tr)29373012.941
Shamar Rigby (Tr)25351114.048
Rodney Fields Jr.2827619.963

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Todd Grantham (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Parker Robertson779115
Bryan McCoy (Tr)712041
Brandon Rawls685200
Mordecai McDaniel (Tr)392101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wendell Gregory (Tr)2712471
Malik Charles (Tr)283310
Taje Mccoy (Tr)214211
Jacobi Oliphant Jr.242211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenneth Harris332115
Parker Robertson779115
Cam Smith341014