Oklahoma State at Kansas - 2025 Matchup Preview
Oklahoma State logo   Oklahoma State Cowboys at Kansas Jayhawks  Kansas logo
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (4:00 PM EDT)
Kansas -24.5 (54.5) (-2800)  Open: -24.5
Kansas 38 - Oklahoma State: 21  (Big 12)

 
Cowboys (1 - 11) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (169 - 88)
Avg Score : 14 - 33 (10 - 41 on Road)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#133)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
OKST 2nd straight Road Game
KU 2nd straight Home Game
OKST is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Kansas -18.5  (SP+ KU -19)

Projected Score: OKST: 18 - KU: 36 (54)
KU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
OKST Travel: 220 miles
Jayhawks (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (22 - 28)
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (33 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
 
Oklahoma State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Oklahoma State vs UT Martin-26.056.5W 27 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Oklahoma State at Oregon+28.555.5L 3 - 69ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/19 Oklahoma State vs Tulsa-10.554.5L 12 - 19UN
Sat 9/27 Oklahoma State vs Baylor+21.058.5L 27 - 45OY
Sat 10/4 Oklahoma State at Arizona+21.556.5L 13 - 41UN
Sat 10/11 Oklahoma State vs Houston+14.547.5L 17 - 39ON
Sat 10/18 Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati+23.557.5L 17 - 49ON
Sat 10/25 Oklahoma State at Texas Tech+37.556.5L 0 - 42UN
Sat 11/1 Oklahoma State at Kansas+24.554.5L 21 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Oklahoma State vs Kansas State+19.550.5L 6 - 14UY
Sat 11/22 Oklahoma State at UCF+13.547.5L 14 - 17UY
Sat 11/29 Oklahoma State vs Iowa State+13.547.5L 13 - 20UY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 6, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule
Kansas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Kansas vs Fresno State-14.051.5W 31 - 7UY
Fri 8/29 Kansas vs Wagner-45.557.5W 46 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Kansas at Missouri+5.551.0L 31 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Kansas vs West Virginia-12.554.5W 41 - 10UY
Sat 9/27 Kansas vs Cincinnati-5.555.5L 34 - 37ON
Sat 10/4 Kansas at UCF-4.053.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 10/11 Kansas at Texas Tech+13.558.5L 17 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Kansas vs Kansas State-3.555.5L 17 - 42ON
Sat 11/1 Kansas vs Oklahoma State-24.554.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 11/8 Kansas at Arizona+5.556.5L 20 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Kansas at Iowa State+3.055.5L 14 - 38UN
Fri 11/28 Kansas vs Utah+10.559.5L 21 - 31UY

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKST#52 (.21)43% (63)14.243% (86)2.79 (107)11444% (47)2654.22 (42)#131 (.34)46% (109)33.347% (107)44% (108)3.93 (82)43.21.81.3
KU#9 (.32)48% (16)28.149% (15)3.6 (3)21348% (11)2094.68 (11)#108 (.23)45% (99)26.846% (104)43% (95)3.83 (73)38.41.41.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
KU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKST Offense1214.210.243.1%4.221.8203791142653.942%58%43%44%15%.21
KU Defense1226.822.144.5%3.831.4 - - - - - 50%50%46%43%17%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKST Defense1233.341.445.6%3.931.3 - - - - - 50%50%47%44%15%.34
KU Offense1228.132.648.1%4.681.4224212132095.658%41%49%48%12%.32

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oklahoma State1227:0320.435%65%543.21.81.35.52.1127.1
Kansas1230:5421.551%67%4.538.41.41.45.82.3225.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKST Offense1242% (117)43% (86)29.4114.23.918 (78).04 (109)2.79 (107)74% (61)7% (19)0.87 (119)
KU Defense1250% (58)46% (104) - - - - .22 (117)3.4 (124)82% (117)10% (62)1 (78)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKST Defense1250% (65)47% (107) - - - - .31 (133)3.43 (126)73% (68)8% (112)1.25 (133)
KU Offense1258% (19)49% (15)37.8212.75.629 (18).33 (4)3.6 (3)83% (8)7% (20)1.08 (29)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKST Offense1258% (17)44% (47)22.337.5264.77.111.922 (46)17 (127).34 (30)1.6 (67)31% (66)31% (82).32 (77)7% (109)1.9 (99)
KU Defense1250% (72)43% (95) - - - - - - 12 (39).3 (101)1.7 (110)32% (60)33% (104).29 (61)7% (31)2.1 (80)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKST Defense1250% (73)44% (108) - - - - - - 12 (39).37 (123)1.8 (124)32% (56)36% (119).46 (120)6% (53)2.1 (88)
KU Offense1241% (122)48% (11)14.725.5208.88.214.215 (98)12 (85).38 (17)1.6 (62)30% (38)36% (26).38 (51)5% (31)1.9 (117)

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: -7.42  #89
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 7.49  #106
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 14.91  #77
2025 Talent Rating: 872.00  #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #65
Oklahoma State's 2025 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Oklahoma State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1  #121
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.2  #131
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #100

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: -7.42   Kansas: 7.025

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: -15.1   Kansas: 4.1




Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 7.025  #51
Kansas's Offense Rating: 19.97  #27
Kansas's Defense Rating: 15.02  #79
2025 Talent Rating: 770.00  #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #79
Kansas's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kansas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1  #58
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9  #48
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5  #76

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 14.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.2
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 41.4

Oklahoma State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas 36
Oklahoma State 18


Projected Total Points: 54
Kansas Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.1

Kansas's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Kansas38Oklahoma State21Kansas -24.5Oklahoma State54.5Over
202310/14Oklahoma State39Kansas32Kansas -3Oklahoma State54.0Over
202211/05Kansas37Oklahoma State16Kansas -3Kansas59.5Under
202110/30Oklahoma State55Kansas3Oklahoma State -28.5Oklahoma State54.5Over
202010/03Kansas7Oklahoma State47Oklahoma State -21.5Oklahoma State53.0Over
201911/16Oklahoma State31Kansas13Oklahoma State -17.5Oklahoma State70.0Under
201809/29Kansas28Oklahoma State48Oklahoma State -17Oklahoma State55.5Over
201711/25Oklahoma State58Kansas17Oklahoma State -41Push68.0Over
201610/22Kansas20Oklahoma State44Oklahoma State -28Kansas61.0Over
201510/24Oklahoma State58Kansas10Oklahoma State -35Oklahoma State56.0Over
201410/11Kansas20Oklahoma State27Oklahoma State -21Kansas0
201311/09Oklahoma State42Kansas6Oklahoma State -32Oklahoma State0
201210/13Kansas14Oklahoma State20
201110/08Oklahoma State70Kansas28
201011/20Kansas14Oklahoma State48
200711/10Oklahoma State28Kansas43
200610/14Kansas32Oklahoma State42
200311/15Oklahoma State44Kansas21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kansas338 Overs
Oklahoma State1582 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 88 - 35 - 13 - 2
Road Teams8 - 103 - 82 - 31 - 5

(#89) OKST at (#51) KU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOKSTKU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #89 #51
SP+SP+ #121 #58
Perf GradeGrade #131 #38
OffenseOff #133 #38
DefenseDef #118 #64
Spec TeamsST #125 #30
TalentTal #32 #62
Blue ChipsBC% #65 #79
Oklahoma State Notes
(12/13) Hired DC Skyler Cassity from N Tex w/ Morris
(11/25) Hired N Tex HC Eric Morris, will join after season
(10/26) Starting OT Grant Seagren entered portal
(10/22) OL Noah McKinney left for the portal, starting OG
(10/10) Sam Jackson now QB1, was WR. Prev Cal QB
(9/23) HC Gundy fired. What next? OSU invest level?
(9/23) Gundy firing a mess, staff not notified, bad juju
(9/19) Physically dominated by Tulsa. Bottom P5 team
(9/19) Have lost 11 straight games to FBS teams
(8/29) Top portal DE Kyran Duhon DNP vs UT Martin
(8/28) QB1 Henjy hurt vs UT Martin, Z Flores is QB2
(8/26) QB1 Hauss Hejny (TCU) start, Flores will play
Oklahoma State Injury Report
Kansas Notes
(9/24) RB Hinshaw doubtful for Cincy game
(9/24) Off good success not expl, Daniels a weapon
(9/24) Def Success #'s really good early, but bad Expl
(9/20) Run Off mauled WVU, Daniels efficient, Def decent
(7/30) RB Williams was Iowa leader (800+) in '23
(7/19) Replacing career 4.5k RB yds, 7k WR yds
(5/23) KU was 1-5 in 1 score games LY (of 7 L's)
(4/4) QB Daniels back, electric when healthy
(4/4) RB rebuild. Hishaw exp'd, added Williams (Iowa)
(4/4) OL 2/5 back, good LY. 3 portal adds
(4/4) Def bad LY, replaces a lot. 11 portal adds
(3/21) WR total rebuild. 3 portals. Pickett (BG) #1?
Kansas Injury Report
Oklahoma State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
OKST OffKU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #133 #64
SuccessSuc #63 #99
ExplosiveExp #69 #101
PPAPPA #52 #108
PowerPwr #106 #79
SP+SP+ #131 #76
Pts POPPO #42 #73
HavocHav #45 #54
Oklahoma State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
OKST OffKU Def
Run GameRun #126 #89
Run SuccessRSuc #86 #104
Run ExplRExp #119 #78
PPAExp #109 #117
Run BlockR Blk #114 -
OL YdsOLY #107 #124
Stuff RateStuff #80 #118
TackleTak -  #88
Oklahoma State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
OKST OffKU Def
Pass GamePass #133 #54
Pass SuccessPSuc #47 #95
Pass ExplPExl #67 #110
PPAExp #30 #101
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #37 #53
F7 HavocF7 #19 #62
DB HavocDB #109 #31
Kansas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatKU OffOKST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #38 #118
SuccessSuc #16 #109
ExplosiveExp #63 #132
PPAPPA #9 #131
PowerPwr #27 #77
SP+SP+ #48 #100
Pts POPPO #11 #82
HavocHav #19 #89
Kansas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KU OffOKST Def
Run GameRun #39 #72
Run SuccessRSuc #15 #107
Run ExplRExp #29 #133
PPAExp #4 #133
Run BlockR Blk #16 -
OL YdsOLY #3 #126
Stuff RateStuff #5 #119
TackleTak -  #89
Kansas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatKU OffOKST Def
Pass GamePass #53 #127
Pass SuccessPSuc #11 #108
Pass ExplPExl #62 #124
PPAExp #17 #123
Pass Block/RushP Blk #88 #111
F7 HavocF7 #20 #112
DB HavocDB #31 #53
Program Comparison
KU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

OKST 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Kansas -24.5 (54.5)
Kansas won vs Oklahoma State this year (38-21)

Previous Matchups
Kansas beat Oklahoma State last year (38-21)
Oklahoma State beat Kansas in 2023 (39-32)

  
OKST's OC Doug Meacham (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zane Flores15526259%1454375.5
Sam Jackson356653%351125.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rodney Fields Jr.12461415.041
Trenten Howland6324333.924
Sesi Vailahi4215223.614
Kalib Hicks (Tr)4412802.914
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Gavin Freeman5348149.133
Terrill Davis (Tr)29373012.941
Shamar Rigby (Tr)25351114.048
Rodney Fields Jr.2827619.963

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Todd Grantham (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Parker Robertson779115
Bryan McCoy (Tr)712041
Brandon Rawls685200
Mordecai McDaniel (Tr)392101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wendell Gregory (Tr)2712471
Malik Charles (Tr)283310
Taje Mccoy (Tr)214211
Jacobi Oliphant Jr.242211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenneth Harris332115
Parker Robertson779115
Cam Smith341014

KU's OC Matt Lubick (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalon Daniels19831962%25042277.8
Cole Ballard102246%108114.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daniel Hishaw Jr.12458754.722
Leshon Williams (Tr)9756575.862
Jalon Daniels11742343.638
Isaiah Marshall15160010.743
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Emmanuel Henderson Jr. (Tr)45766517.093
Boden Groen (Tr)36450512.546
Cam Pickett (Tr)45449310.038
Levi Wentz16258216.150

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC D.K. McDonald (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Lathan (Tr)867265
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)721037
Bangally Kamara (Tr)549114
Austin Alexander464002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leroy Harris III (Tr)317518
D.J. Withers165310
Tommy Dunn264321
Jalen Todd442214
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leroy Harris III (Tr)317518
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)721037
Trey Lathan (Tr)867265