UT Martin at Oklahoma State - 2025 Matchup Preview

UT Martin Skyhawks at Oklahoma State Cowboys

Thursday, August 28th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Oklahoma State -26.0 (56.5) (-1300) Open: -19.5 | 55.5
Oklahoma State 27 - UT Martin: 7

Skyhawks (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 12 - 35 (12 - 35 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ OKST -4)
OKST Win prob: 95% | Cover: 58%

Cowboys (1 - 1) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (169 - 88)
Avg Score : 15 - 38 (27 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
UTM Players
OKST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UT Martin's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	UT Martin at Oklahoma State	+26.0	56.5	L 7 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/6	UT Martin at UTEP	+7.5	49.5	L 17 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	UT Martin at Missouri State	-15.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UT Martin's Schedule

Oklahoma State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Oklahoma State vs UT Martin	-26.0	56.5	W 27 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/6	Oklahoma State at Oregon	+28.5	55.5	L 3 - 69	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 9/19	Oklahoma State vs Tulsa	-13.5	55.5
Sat 9/27	Oklahoma State vs Baylor	+14.5
Sat 10/4	Oklahoma State at Arizona	+16.5
Sat 10/11	Oklahoma State vs Houston	+8
Sat 10/18	Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati	+16
Sat 10/25	Oklahoma State at Texas Tech	+31.5
Sat 11/1	Oklahoma State at Kansas	+18
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Oklahoma State vs Kansas State	+9.5
Sat 11/22	Oklahoma State at UCF	+14.5
Sat 11/29	Oklahoma State vs Iowa State	+17.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTM		0%	12	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	34.5	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OKST	#96 (.13)	36% (123)	15	33% (124)	2.57 (104)	136	39% (95)	150	3.75 (82)	#131 (.43)	46% (111)	38	49% (116)	43% (94)	4.67 (112)	50	1	0.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OKST	#52 (.21)	43% (63)		43% (86)	2.79 (107)	114	44% (47)	265	4.22 (42)	#131 (.34)	46% (109)		47% (107)	44% (108)	3.93 (82)	43.2	1.8	1.3

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTM Offense	2	12	12	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
OKST Defense	2	38	7	46.2%	4.67	0.5	-	-	-	-	-	58%	41%	49%	43%	13%	.43

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTM Defense	2	34.5	34.5	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
OKST Offense	2	15	27	35.5%	3.75	1	15	285	136	150	3.2	57%	43%	33%	39%	18%	.13

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UT Martin	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Oklahoma State	2	31:20	14.5	41%	100%	6.5	50	1	0.5	6	2	0	23.5

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTM Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
OKST Defense	2	58% (121)	49% (116)	-	-	-	-	.44 (134)	3.52 (130)	100% (127)	10% (65)	1.33 (126)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTM Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
OKST Offense	2	57% (30)	33% (124)	42	135.5	3.2	2 (109)	- (107)	2.57 (104)	83% (28)	10% (83)	0.78 (116)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTM Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
OKST Defense	2	41% (16)	43% (94)	-	-	-	-	-	-	1 (87)	.51 (122)	1.8 (118)	32% (82)	21% (28)	.13 (39)	3% (128)	1.5 (22)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTM Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
OKST Offense	2	43% (103)	39% (95)	12.5	24.5	149.5	6.1	12	1 (123)	2 (60)	.3 (67)	1.6 (49)	41% (133)	30% (85)	.41 (52)	8% (125)	2 (69)

UT Martin's Power Ratings
UT Martin's Power Rating: #NR
UT Martin's Offense Rating: #NR
UT Martin's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
UT Martin's 2025 Expected Record: -
UT Martin's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
UT Martin's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
UT Martin's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average OVC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
UT Martin: Oklahoma State: -2.335

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UT Martin: Oklahoma State: -3.8

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: -2.335 #95
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 12.49 #71
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 18.36 #111
2025 Talent Rating: 872.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Oklahoma State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Oklahoma State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #82
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #65
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #97

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

UT Martin Scoring
Offense: 12 PPG
Offense on Road: 12
Defense: 34.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.5

UT Martin's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Oklahoma State 28
UT Martin 17

Total Points: 45

Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 15 PPG
Offense at Home: 27
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense at Home: 7

Oklahoma State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/28	Oklahoma State	27	UT Martin	7	Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State -26.0	UT Martin	56.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oklahoma State	1	0	0 Overs
UT Martin	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#NR) UT Martin Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

UT Martin Highlights

UT Martin Deficiencies
UT Martin has a really bad Offense
UT Martin Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	OKST	UTM
OverallOver	#80	—
OffenseOff	#94	—
DefenseDef	#76	—
Special TeamsST	#53	—
PassingPass	#96	—
RushingRush	#79	—
Run BlockRBLK	#66	—
Pass BlockPBLK	#60	—
Route RunningWR Rt	#97	—
TacklingTkl	#27	—
Run DefenseR Def	#51	—
Pass Rush DefPRush	#70	—
Coverage DefCov	#99	—

Rematch from Week 1
Oklahoma State -26.0 (56.5)
Oklahoma State won vs UT Martin this year (27-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UTM | OKST
Depth Chart: UTM | OKST
Rosters: UTM | OKST

(#95) Oklahoma State Info
Power Rating: -2.335 #95
Offense Rating: 12.49 #71
Defense Rating: 18.36 #111
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #82
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #97
Talent Rating: 872.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Awful Run Success 33%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.67 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Record at home: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Oklahoma State Notes
(8/28) QB1 Henjy hurt vs UT Martin, Z Flores is QB2
(8/26) QB1 Hauss Hejny (TCU) start, Flores will play
(7/30) 65 total new players, 35 added after spring
(5/23) Def added 18 portals, 9 DL, 3 LB, 6 DB. Improve?
(5/23) Need to see Off because it looks bad on paper
(5/23) RB bad LY. Can Brock (Ga St)/Hicks (OU) help?
(5/23) WR rebuild. Took 5 portals. Some talent
(5/23) OL rebuild 0/5 back. 7 not so great portals
(5/11) OL exp ranked #60 & 94% of that is from portals
(3/22) QBs Hejny (TCU)? came w/ OC Meacham

Oklahoma State Highlights
Oklahoma State is Undefeated at Home

Oklahoma State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Oklahoma State commits very few Penalties (#30)

Oklahoma State Deficiencies
Oklahoma State has a really bad Offense
Oklahoma State Can Not Run the Ball (#125)
Oklahoma State offense is really bad (#123)
Oklahoma State run game is really bad (#124)
Oklahoma State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Oklahoma State has a bad defense (#111)
Oklahoma State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#125)
Oklahoma State Does Not Stuff Runs (#124)
Oklahoma State has a bad defensive line (#130)
Oklahoma State has a bad red zone defense (#112)

UT Martin's OC

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jase Bauer (Tr)	54	78	69%	516	2	1	6.6
Julian Calvez	2	5	40%	27	0	0	5.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	YPC	LONG
John Gentry	41	125	3.0	25
Jase Bauer (Tr)	32	89	2.8	24
Thomas Ansley	10	46	4.6	13
Chris Franklin	11	18	1.6	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bryce Bailey	12	179	0	14.9	71
Phaizon Wilson (Tr)	10	93	1	9.3	20
John Gentry	8	86	1	10.8	39
Hyatt Timosciek	5	49	0	9.8	30

View UT Martin's Full Roster

UT Martin's DC

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jacob Stevenson	15	0	0	0
Jabaree Dawkins	11	3	1	0
Shamari Weir	10	3	2	0
Joshua Hastings	8	1	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS
Keyshawn Johnson	5	3	2
Shamari Weir	10	3	2
Jabaree Dawkins	11	3	1
Jacob Stevenson	15	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Joel Castleberry	3	0	1
Zamaryion Farmer-McCray	3	0	1
Joshua Hastings	8	1	1

Oklahoma State's OC Doug Meacham

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Zane Flores	20	39	51%	203	0	2	5.2
Hauss Hejny (Tr)	5	10	50%	96	1	0	9.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kalib Hicks (Tr)	35	119	0	3.4	14
Sesi Vailahi	9	32	1	3.6	10
Trenten Howland	6	31	0	5.2	8
Rodney Fields Jr.	10	30	0	3.0	8

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Terrill Davis (Tr)	3	78	0	26.0	41
Shamar Rigby (Tr)	3	57	0	19.0	41
Gavin Freeman	6	49	1	8.2	12
Christian Fitzpatrick (Tr)	3	35	0	11.7	35

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

Oklahoma State's DC Todd Grantham

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Bryan McCoy (Tr)	23	1	0	1
Brandon Rawls	19	2	1	0
Jaleel Johnson	8	3	0	3
De'Marion Thomas (Tr)	7	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Wendell Gregory (Tr)	5	4	3	1
Brandon Rawls	19	2	1	0
Bryan McCoy (Tr)	23	1	0	1
Iman Oates	2	0	0	1

Pass D	Tack	PRESS	PD
Sitiveni Kaufusi	1	0	1
Cam Smith	0	0	1
Aden Kelley	3	1	0