Tulsa at Oklahoma State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Tulsa logo Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Oklahoma State CowboysOklahoma State logo
Friday, September 19th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Oklahoma State -13.5 (55.5) (-550)  Open: -13.5 | 55.5
Boone Pickens Stadium - Stillwater, OK

 
Golden Hurricane (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Tre Lamb (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 23 (14 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.6 - 8.4 (#122)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)
OKST coming off BYE
TLSA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Oklahoma State -8.5   (SP+ OKST -7)

Projected Score: TLSA: 20 - OKST: 29 (49)
OKST Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
TLSA Travel: 63 miles
Cowboys (1 - 1) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (169 - 88)
Avg Score : 15 - 38 (27 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
 
Tulsa's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Tulsa vs Abilene Christian-5.059.5W 35 - 7UY
Sat 9/6 Tulsa at New Mexico State-3.052.5L 14 - 21UN
Sat 9/13 Tulsa vs Navy+14.052.5L 23 - 42ON
Fri 9/19 Tulsa at Oklahoma State+13.555.5
Sat 9/27 Tulsa vs Tulane+13
Sat 10/4 Tulsa at Memphis+29
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/16 Tulsa at East Carolina+15.5
Sat 10/25 Tulsa vs Temple+7
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Tulsa at Florida Atlantic+5
Sat 11/15 Tulsa vs Oregon State+6
Sat 11/22 Tulsa at Army+7
Sat 11/29 Tulsa vs UAB-5.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 5, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Oklahoma State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Oklahoma State vs UT Martin-26.056.5W 27 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Oklahoma State at Oregon+28.555.5L 3 - 69ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/19 Oklahoma State vs Tulsa-13.555.5
Sat 9/27 Oklahoma State vs Baylor+14.5
Sat 10/4 Oklahoma State at Arizona+16.5
Sat 10/11 Oklahoma State vs Houston+8
Sat 10/18 Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati+16
Sat 10/25 Oklahoma State at Texas Tech+31.5
Sat 11/1 Oklahoma State at Kansas+18
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Oklahoma State vs Kansas State+9.5
Sat 11/22 Oklahoma State at UCF+14.5
Sat 11/29 Oklahoma State vs Iowa State+17.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA#99 (.11)41% (88)2437% (111)2.61 (103)18347% (49)2203.82 (79)#68 (.13)44% (102)23.343% (90)45% (103)3.83 (83)40.71.31.7
OKST#96 (.13)36% (123)1533% (124)2.57 (104)13639% (95)1503.75 (82)#131 (.43)46% (111)3849% (116)43% (94)4.67 (112)5010.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA#124 (.06)34% (131)35% (128)2.88 (97)15133% (126)2393.54 (100)#127 (.31)42% (75)38% (23)46% (115)4.7 (130)511.91.3
OKST#52 (.21)43% (63)43% (86)2.79 (107)11444% (47)2654.22 (42)#131 (.34)46% (109)47% (107)44% (108)3.93 (82)43.21.81.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Offense3241441.4%3.821.3244031832204.950%49%37%47%13%.11
OKST Defense238746.2%4.670.5 - - - - - 58%41%49%43%13%.43
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Defense323.32144.3%3.831.7 - - - - - 56%43%43%45%14%.13
OKST Offense2152735.5%3.751152851361503.257%43%33%39%18%.13

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulsa328:5724.338%67%6.740.71.31.76.72.7026.9
Oklahoma State231:2014.541%100%6.55010.562023.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense350% (71)37% (111)37.71834.95 (62).04 (97)2.61 (103)59% (108)6% (27)1.2 (30)
OKST Defense258% (121)49% (116) - - - - .44 (134)3.52 (130)100% (127)10% (65)1.33 (126)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense356% (111)43% (90) - - - - .04 (59)2.62 (51)68% (61)10% (72)0.94 (72)
OKST Offense257% (30)33% (124)42135.53.22 (109)- (107)2.57 (104)83% (28)10% (83)0.78 (116)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense349% (69)47% (49)23.73722069.34 (72)3 (92).2 (89)1.1 (132)32% (85)26% (105).14 (110)7% (104)2 (61)
OKST Defense241% (16)43% (94) - - - - - - 1 (87).51 (122)1.8 (118)32% (82)21% (28).13 (39)3% (128)1.5 (22)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense343% (25)45% (103) - - - - - - 3 (28).22 (72)1.3 (28)31% (91)36% (114).42 (102)4% (110)2 (73)
OKST Offense243% (103)39% (95)12.524.5149.56.1121 (123)2 (60).3 (67)1.6 (49)41% (133)30% (85).41 (52)8% (125)2 (69)

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -10.98 #107
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 4.03 #110
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 15.01 #101
2025 Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Tulsa's 2025 Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4
Tulsa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.1 #108
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.7 #101
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -10.98   Oklahoma State: -2.335

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -11.1   Oklahoma State: -3.8




Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: -2.335 #95
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 12.49 #71
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 18.36 #111
2025 Talent Rating: 872.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Oklahoma State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Oklahoma State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #82
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #65
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #97

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 21

Tulsa's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Oklahoma State 29
Tulsa 20


Total Points: 49

Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 15 PPG
Offense at Home: 27
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense at Home: 7

Oklahoma State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14Tulsa10Oklahoma State45Oklahoma StateOklahoma State -17.5Oklahoma State62.5Under
202109/11Oklahoma State28Tulsa23Oklahoma StateOklahoma State -11.5Tulsa51.0Push
202009/19Oklahoma State16Tulsa7Oklahoma StateOklahoma State -23.5Tulsa67.0Under
201909/14Tulsa21Oklahoma State40Oklahoma StateOklahoma State -14Oklahoma State64.0Under
201708/31Oklahoma State59Tulsa24Oklahoma StateOklahoma State -19.5Oklahoma State71.5Over
201109/17Tulsa33Oklahoma State59Oklahoma State
201009/18Oklahoma State65Tulsa28Oklahoma State
200409/11Oklahoma State38Tulsa21Oklahoma State
200009/08Tulsa26Oklahoma State36Oklahoma State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oklahoma State931 Overs
Tulsa023 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 41 - 41 - 20 - 2
Road Teams4 - 54 - 12 - 02 - 1

(#107) Tulsa Info
Power Rating: -10.98 #107
Offense Rating: 4.03 #110
Defense Rating: 15.01 #101
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.1 #108
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.7 #101
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109
Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.82 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 43%
Poor Pass Def Success 45%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Tulsa has lost 2 straight
Tulsa has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Tulsa Notes
(9/13) QB1 Kirk Francis out vs Navy (concussion)
(5/23) QB Francis, meh LY but was a Fr. Depth??
(5/23) RB rebuild. 4 portals, nothing special looking
(5/23) WR complete rebuild. 5 good looking portals
(5/23) OL bad LY, 1/5 back, 8 portal adds, some exp
(5/23) Def awful LY, return some, 12 meh portals
(5/23) New HC Lamb a fast riser, ETSU LY, G. Webb
(3/24) Roster looks rough, year 0 situation

Tulsa Highlights
Tulsa defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Tulsa Deficiencies
Tulsa Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#117)
Tulsa run game is really bad (#111)
Tulsa has a bad defense (#102)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatOKSTTLSA
OverallOver#80#43
OffenseOff#94#83
DefenseDef#76#5
Special TeamsST#53#65
PassingPass#96#81
RushingRush#79#40
Run BlockRBLK#66#99
Pass BlockPBLK#60#68
Route RunningWR Rt#97#83
TacklingTkl#27#31
Run DefenseR Def#51#5
Pass Rush DefPRush#70#2
Coverage DefCov#99#63

Previous Matchups
Oklahoma State beat Tulsa last year (45-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TLSA | OKST
Depth Chart: TLSA | OKST
Rosters: TLSA | OKST
(#95) Oklahoma State Info
Power Rating: -2.335 #95
Offense Rating: 12.49 #71
Defense Rating: 18.36 #111
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #82
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #97
Talent Rating: 872.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Awful Run Success 33%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.67 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Oklahoma State has lost 1 straight
Oklahoma State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Oklahoma State Notes
(8/28) QB1 Henjy hurt vs UT Martin, Z Flores is QB2
(8/26) QB1 Hauss Hejny (TCU) start, Flores will play
(7/30) 65 total new players, 35 added after spring
(5/23) Def added 18 portals, 9 DL, 3 LB, 6 DB. Improve?
(5/23) Need to see Off because it looks bad on paper
(5/23) RB bad LY. Can Brock (Ga St)/Hicks (OU) help?
(5/23) WR rebuild. Took 5 portals. Some talent
(5/23) OL rebuild 0/5 back. 7 not so great portals
(5/11) OL exp ranked #60 & 94% of that is from portals
(3/22) QBs Hejny (TCU)? came w/ OC Meacham

Oklahoma State Highlights
Oklahoma State is Undefeated at Home

Oklahoma State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Oklahoma State commits very few Penalties (#30)

Oklahoma State Deficiencies
Oklahoma State has a really bad Offense
Oklahoma State Can Not Run the Ball (#125)
Oklahoma State offense is really bad (#123)
Oklahoma State run game is really bad (#124)
Oklahoma State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Oklahoma State has a bad defense (#111)
Oklahoma State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#125)
Oklahoma State Does Not Stuff Runs (#124)
Oklahoma State has a bad defensive line (#130)
Oklahoma State has a bad red zone defense (#112)


  
Tulsa's OC Ty Darlington
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Baylor Hayes (Tr)365467%324226.0
Kirk Francis335461%318215.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dominic Richardson (Tr)5329625.657
Ajay Allen (Tr)1811016.140
Braylin Presley149907.128
Baylor Hayes (Tr)122722.324
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Zion Booker (Tr)2321419.336
Micah Tease (Tr)7119017.027
Mekhi Miller (Tr)95806.48
Brody Foley (Tr)352217.322

View Tulsa's Full Roster
Tulsa's DC Mike Gray
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ray Coney (Tr)362011
Zach Williams200001
Lento Smith Jr. (Tr)151000
Tim Hardiman (Tr)140020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J'Dan Burnett (Tr)105401
Byron Turner Jr. (Tr)74410
Nahki Johnson (Tr)123100
Ray Coney (Tr)362011
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Green130002
Ray Coney (Tr)362011
J'Dan Burnett (Tr)105401

Oklahoma State's OC Doug Meacham
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zane Flores203951%203025.2
Hauss Hejny (Tr)51050%96109.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kalib Hicks (Tr)3511903.414
Sesi Vailahi93213.610
Trenten Howland63105.28
Rodney Fields Jr.103003.08
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Terrill Davis (Tr)378026.041
Shamar Rigby (Tr)357019.041
Gavin Freeman64918.212
Christian Fitzpatrick (Tr)335011.735

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster
Oklahoma State's DC Todd Grantham
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan McCoy (Tr)231010
Brandon Rawls192100
Jaleel Johnson83030
De'Marion Thomas (Tr)70000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wendell Gregory (Tr)54310
Brandon Rawls192100
Bryan McCoy (Tr)231010
Iman Oates20010
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sitiveni Kaufusi10001
Cam Smith00001
Aden Kelley30010