Tulsa at Oklahoma State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Tulsa logo Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Oklahoma State CowboysOklahoma State logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Boone Pickens Stadium - Stillwater, OK

 
Golden Hurricane (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tre Lamb (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 43 (21 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.5 - 8.5 (#128)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 9)
OKST coming off BYE
TLSA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Oklahoma State -19   (SP+ OKST -17)
Projected Score: TLSA: 23 - OKST: 42 (65)
OKST Win prob: 91% | Cover: 51%
TLSA Travel: 63 miles
Cowboys (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (169 - 88)
Avg Score : 27 - 36 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#100)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 2)
 
Tulsa's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Tulsa vs Abilene Christian-6
Sat 9/6 Tulsa at New Mexico State+1.5
Sat 9/13 Tulsa vs Navy+10.5
Sat 9/20 Tulsa at Oklahoma State+19
Sat 9/27 Tulsa vs Tulane+18.5
Sat 10/4 Tulsa at Memphis+21.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/16 Tulsa at East Carolina+12.5
Sat 10/25 Tulsa vs Temple-3
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Tulsa at Florida Atlantic+6.5
Sat 11/15 Tulsa vs Oregon State+12
Sat 11/22 Tulsa at Army+16.5
Sat 11/29 Tulsa vs UAB+0.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Oklahoma State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Oklahoma State vs UT Martin-22
Sat 9/6 Oklahoma State at Oregon+30.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Oklahoma State vs Tulsa-19
Sat 9/27 Oklahoma State vs Baylor+8.5
Sat 10/4 Oklahoma State at Arizona+1.5
Sat 10/11 Oklahoma State vs Houston-0.5
Sat 10/18 Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati+3
Sat 10/25 Oklahoma State at Texas Tech+16
Sat 11/1 Oklahoma State at Kansas+7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Oklahoma State vs Kansas State+14
Sat 11/22 Oklahoma State at UCF+2.5
Sat 11/29 Oklahoma State vs Iowa State+10

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA#124 (.06)34% (131)2535% (128)2.88 (97)15133% (126)2393.54 (100)#127 (.31)42% (75)42.538% (23)46% (115)4.7 (130)511.91.3
OKST#52 (.21)43% (63)27.243% (86)2.79 (107)11444% (47)2654.22 (42)#131 (.34)46% (109)35.647% (107)44% (108)3.93 (82)43.21.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OKST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Offense122521.334.1%3.541.920390151239447%53%35%33%18%.06
OKST Defense1235.634.845.6%3.931.3 - - - - - 50%50%47%44%15%.34
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Defense1242.540.342.2%4.71.3 - - - - - 48%52%38%46%15%.31
OKST Offense1227.230.843.1%4.221.8203791142653.942%58%43%44%15%.21

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulsa1229:4420.437%32%5.9511.91.36.61.5328.9
Oklahoma State1227:0320.435%65%543.21.81.35.52.1127.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense1247% (93)35% (128)37.5151.4411 (116)-.03 (125)2.88 (97)74% (65)12% (110)0.9 (102)
OKST Defense1250% (65)47% (107) - - - - .31 (133)3.43 (126)73% (68)8% (112)1.25 (133)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense1248% (40)38% (23) - - - - .11 (65)2.82 (40)69% (42)11% (42)1.2 (130)
OKST Offense1242% (117)43% (86)29.4114.23.918 (78).04 (109)2.79 (107)74% (61)7% (19)0.87 (119)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense1253% (43)33% (126)20.736.4238.66.611.523 (41)12 (85).16 (104)1.8 (21)34% (116)22% (131).17 (118)6% (77)2.2 (16)
OKST Defense1250% (73)44% (108) - - - - - - 12 (39).37 (123)1.8 (124)32% (56)36% (119).46 (120)6% (53)2.1 (88)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense1252% (97)46% (115) - - - - - - 9 (76).51 (131)1.9 (133)32% (64)33% (100).45 (118)4% (130)2.3 (132)
OKST Offense1258% (17)44% (47)22.337.5264.77.111.922 (46)17 (127).34 (30)1.6 (67)31% (66)31% (82).32 (77)7% (109)1.9 (99)

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -19.65 #123
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 3.21 #126
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 22.86 #108
2025 Talent Rating: 560.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #80
Tulsa's 2025 Expected Record: 3.5 - 8.5
Tulsa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.6 #120
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #103
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #124

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 528.57
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -19.65   Oklahoma State: 1.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -15.6   Oklahoma State: 0.9




Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: 1.15 #76
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 13.89 #68
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 17.49 #83
2025 Talent Rating: 814.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #70
Oklahoma State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Oklahoma State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #58
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #39
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #84

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 769.5
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74


Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.3
Defense: 42.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.3

Tulsa's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Oklahoma State 42
Tulsa 23

Projected Total Points: 65
Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.8
Defense: 35.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.8

Oklahoma State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14Tulsa10Oklahoma State45Oklahoma StateOklahoma State -17.5Oklahoma State62.5Under
202109/11Oklahoma State28Tulsa23Oklahoma StateOklahoma State -11.5Tulsa51.0Push
202009/19Oklahoma State16Tulsa7Oklahoma StateOklahoma State -23.5Tulsa67.0Under
201909/14Tulsa21Oklahoma State40Oklahoma StateOklahoma State -14Oklahoma State64.0Under
201708/31Oklahoma State59Tulsa24Oklahoma StateOklahoma State -19.5Oklahoma State71.5Over
201109/17Tulsa33Oklahoma State59Oklahoma State
201009/18Oklahoma State65Tulsa28Oklahoma State
200409/11Oklahoma State38Tulsa21Oklahoma State
200009/08Tulsa26Oklahoma State36Oklahoma State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oklahoma State931 Overs
Tulsa023 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 41 - 41 - 20 - 2
Road Teams4 - 54 - 12 - 02 - 1

(#123) Tulsa Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -19.65 #123
Offense Rating: 3.21 #126
Defense Rating: 22.86 #108
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.6 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #124
Talent Rating: 560.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #80
Expected Record: 3.5 - 8.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 34%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.54 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.7 PPO
Good Run Def Success 38%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Tulsa Notes
(5/23) QB Francis, meh LY but was a Fr. Depth??
(5/23) RB rebuild. 4 portals, nothing special looking
(5/23) WR complete rebuild. 5 good looking portals
(5/23) OL bad LY, 1/5 back, 8 portal adds, some exp
(5/23) Def awful LY, return some, 12 meh portals
(5/23) New HC Lamb a fast riser, ETSU LY, G. Webb
(3/24) Roster looks rough, year 0 situation
Tulsa     Ratings Matchup     Oklahoma State
Power #123
#76
Off #126
#68
Def #108
#83
Talent #92
#43
SP+ #120
#58
SP+ Off #103
#39
SP+ Def #124
#84

Previous Matchups
Oklahoma State beat Tulsa last year (45-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TLSA | OKST
Depth Chart: TLSA | OKST
Rosters: TLSA | OKST
(#76) Oklahoma State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.15 #76
Offense Rating: 13.89 #68
Defense Rating: 17.49 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #39
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #84
Talent Rating: 814.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #70
Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 46%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Oklahoma State Notes
(5/23) Def added 18 portals, 9 DL, 3 LB, 6 DB. Improve?
(5/23) Need to see Off because it looks bad on paper
(5/23) RB bad LY. Can Brock (Ga St)/Hicks (OU) help?
(5/23) WR rebuild. Took 5 portals. Some talent
(5/23) OL rebuild 0/5 back. 7 not so great portals
(5/11) OL exp ranked #60 & 94% of that is from portals
(3/22) QBs Hejny (TCU)? came w/ OC Meacham
(3/19) 3rd & Grantham comes to Stillwater
(3/19) Not sure Gundy survives this roster


  
Tulsa's OC Ty Darlington
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kirk Francis14925359%1585966.3
Stephen Kittleman33100%510017.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Viron Ellison Jr.6235315.732
Ajay Allen (Tr)2418327.656
Sevion Morrison (Tr)2716426.138
Dominic Richardson (Tr)3110903.510
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Zion Steptoe15203013.534
Grayson Tempest1613808.643
CJ Johnson II11121011.023
Viron Ellison Jr.149016.423

View Tulsa's Full Roster
Tulsa's DC Mike Gray
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Drew451002
Chris Thompson Jr.445110
Nunu Campbell381002
Buddha Garrett381003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J'Dan Burnett (Tr)213321
Joah Cash (Tr)163211
Ashton Williams192100
Elijah Wilson194100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keuan Parker200004
Buddha Garrett381003
Jordan Drew451002

Oklahoma State's OC Doug Meacham
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Shamar Rigby (Tr)11100%8008.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Freddie Brock (Tr)15181985.457
Trenten Howland4123015.623
Sesi Vailahi429922.411
Rodney Fields Jr.219914.722
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylen Lloyd (Tr)13255019.659
Talyn Shettron12245120.478
Oscar Hammond (Tr)19238112.538
Freddie Brock (Tr)2116617.931

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster
Oklahoma State's DC Todd Grantham
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan McCoy (Tr)1203032
Darius Thomas (Tr)547430
Parker Robertson492001
Kyran Duhon (Tr)437702
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyran Duhon (Tr)437702
Darius Thomas (Tr)547430
Taje Mccoy (Tr)244420
Iman Oates253211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cam Smith341007
Kale Smith310005
Mordecai McDaniel (Tr)422113