Old Dominion at Virginia Tech - 2025 Matchup Preview

Old Dominion Monarchs at Virginia Tech Hokies

Saturday, September 13th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Virginia Tech -5.5 (50.5) (-225) Open: 0.0
Old Dominion 45 - Virginia Tech: 26

Monarchs (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (20 - 30)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (31 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#33)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)

VT 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Virginia Tech -0.5 (SP+ ODU -16)
Projected Score: ODU: 26 - VT: 27 (53)
VT Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
ODU Travel: 228 miles

Hokies (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (16 - 20)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (26 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
ODU Players
VT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Old Dominion's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Old Dominion at Indiana	+23.5	54.5	L 14 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Old Dominion vs North Carolina Central	-22.0	50.5	W 54 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Old Dominion at Virginia Tech	+5.5	50.5	W 45 - 26	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Old Dominion vs Liberty	-14.5	53.5	W 21 - 7	U	N
Sat 10/4	Old Dominion vs Coastal Carolina	-18.5	53.5	W 47 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/11	Old Dominion at Marshall	-14.5	57.5	L 24 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/18	Old Dominion at James Madison	+3.0	47.5	L 27 - 63	O	N
Sat 10/25	Old Dominion vs App State	-12.5	60.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/1	Old Dominion at UL Monroe	-16.5	55.5	W 31 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/13	Old Dominion vs Troy	-9.5	53.5	W 33 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/22	Old Dominion at Georgia Southern	-10.0	62.0	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Old Dominion vs Georgia State	-29.0	58.5	W 27 - 10	U	N
Wed 12/17	Old Dominion vs South Florida	+4.0	52.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Old Dominion's Schedule

Virginia Tech's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 8/31	Virginia Tech vs South Carolina	+8.5	48.5	L 11 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/6	Virginia Tech vs Vanderbilt	-2.5	46.5	L 20 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/13	Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion	-5.5	50.5	L 26 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/20	Virginia Tech vs Wofford	-35.5	51.5	W 38 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/27	Virginia Tech at NC State	+10.0	57.5	W 23 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/4	Virginia Tech vs Wake Forest	-4.5	51.5	L 23 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/11	Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech	+14.0	55.5	L 20 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/24	Virginia Tech vs California	-6.5	50.5	W 42 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/1	Virginia Tech vs Louisville	+10.5	52.5	L 16 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Virginia Tech at Florida State	+13.5	53.5	L 14 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/22	Virginia Tech vs Miami	+18.5	49.0	L 17 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/29	Virginia Tech at Virginia	+9.5	53.5	L 7 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ODU	#47 (.22)	42% (71)	32	45% (55)	3.24 (34)	211	40% (89)	193	4.75 (6)	#71 (.17)	39% (33)	18.5	38% (22)	40% (64)	3.64 (50)	54.2	1.7	1.4
VT	#75 (.18)	42% (87)	21.4	44% (66)	3.01 (76)	173	39% (102)	178	4.22 (40)	#18 (.09)	39% (34)	30.2	42% (56)	36% (15)	2.97 (7)	46.3	1.2	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ODU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
VT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ODU Offense	12	32	31	42.4%	4.75	1.7	20	404	211	193	5.4	55%	44%	45%	40%	16%	.22
VT Defense	13	30.2	31.6	38.9%	2.97	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	42%	36%	20%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ODU Defense	12	18.5	30	38.8%	3.64	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	38%	40%	16%	.17
VT Offense	13	21.4	26	41.6%	4.22	1.2	18	351	173	178	4.9	55%	44%	44%	39%	18%	.18

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Old Dominion	12	27:59	19.7	43%	64%	6.2	54.2	1.7	1.4	6.2	1.9	0	27.3
Virginia Tech	13	27:18	17.9	37%	42%	5.5	46.3	1.2	1.8	5.9	2.7	1	30.2

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ODU Offense	12	55% (34)	45% (55)	39.5	211.3	5.4	27 (30)	.21 (30)	3.24 (34)	67% (108)	11% (105)	1.16 (8)
VT Defense	13	52% (88)	42% (56)	-	-	-	-	.05 (32)	2.86 (45)	71% (55)	12% (17)	0.85 (14)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ODU Defense	12	53% (101)	38% (22)	-	-	-	-	.1 (61)	3.01 (71)	77% (94)	11% (49)	1.03 (91)
VT Offense	13	55% (32)	44% (66)	35.2	173.2	4.9	27 (30)	.21 (31)	3.01 (76)	77% (38)	13% (124)	1.1 (23)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ODU Offense	12	44% (104)	40% (89)	16.3	27.8	192.6	6.9	11.9	17 (79)	9 (48)	.27 (61)	1.6 (41)	33% (107)	30% (86)	.36 (56)	5% (30)	2.2 (17)
VT Defense	13	47% (44)	36% (15)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (23)	.18 (41)	1.8 (116)	34% (41)	25% (6)	.26 (47)	8% (14)	2.3 (127)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ODU Defense	12	46% (32)	40% (64)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.28 (95)	1.8 (126)	35% (24)	31% (78)	.4 (104)	5% (98)	2.3 (129)
VT Offense	13	44% (105)	39% (102)	14.6	24.7	177.9	7.2	12.2	15 (98)	8 (40)	.17 (100)	1.5 (87)	34% (109)	27% (112)	.27 (94)	5% (49)	2.2 (26)

Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: -9.72 #101
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: 6.98 #108
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: 16.70 #91
2025 Talent Rating: 328.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Old Dominion's 2025 Expected Record: 9.2 - 3.8
Old Dominion's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #49
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #39
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #48

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 564.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: -9.72 Virginia Tech: -1.615

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: 5.9 Virginia Tech: -10.1

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: -1.615 #58
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 15.55 #53
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 13.68 #68
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Virginia Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Virginia Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.1 #105
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #109
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #96

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

Old Dominion's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Virginia Tech 27
Old Dominion 26

Projected Total Points: 53

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.6

Virginia Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/13	Virginia Tech	26	Old Dominion	45	Virginia Tech -5.5	Old Dominion	50.5	Over
2024	09/14	Old Dominion	17	Virginia Tech	37	Virginia Tech -15.5	Virginia Tech	47.5	Over
2023	09/02	Virginia Tech	36	Old Dominion	17	Virginia Tech -16	Virginia Tech	48.0	Over
2022	09/02	Old Dominion	20	Virginia Tech	17	Virginia Tech -6	Old Dominion	48.5	Under
2019	09/07	Virginia Tech	31	Old Dominion	17	Virginia Tech -30	Old Dominion	57.5	Under
2018	09/22	Old Dominion	49	Virginia Tech	35	Virginia Tech -28.5	Old Dominion	52.5	Over
2017	09/23	Virginia Tech	38	Old Dominion	0	Virginia Tech -28.5	Virginia Tech	52.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Virginia Tech	4	3	4 Overs
Old Dominion	3	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 2	4 - 3	2 - 2	2 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 5	3 - 4	1 - 2	2 - 2

(#101) ODU at (#58) VT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ODU	VT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#101	#58
SP+SP+	#49	#105
Perf GradeGrade	#40	#115
OffenseOff	#60	#119
DefenseDef	#19	#98
Spec TeamsST	#99	#127
TalentTal	#130	#33
Blue ChipsBC%	#79	#54

Old Dominion Notes(12/2) QB Colton Joseph will enter portal. Huge loss
(10/21) Killed by JMU, Def dogwalked, Rush Off tanked, 3 TO
(10/12) Def torched in awful L vs Marshall. Season derailer?
(10/7) Off is dropping big time #'s, Monarchs #1 SBC team?
(10/7) QB Colton Joseph is the best QB no one has heard of
(9/15) Joseph torched VT, great W for ODU, Off good
(9/7) LB Henderson retired. Big loss & blow to Def
(8/30) Run game good vs IU, Run Def torched 300+
(8/1) QB Joseph back, mobile. Good red zone runner
(8/1) WR/TE rebuild, little exp. Rahne like units though
(8/1) Def Avg LY, returns a ton. Added 8 DB portals
(8/1) Emerging team with upward trajectory this year
Old Dominion Injury Report

Virginia Tech Notes(11/1) Playing hard, but Run def mauled by Louisville
(9/30) Ran all over NC St, 229 yds vs 59 allowed, huge W
(9/26) LB Michael Short opting out after Pry fired, redshirt
(9/14) HC Pry fired, OC Philip Montgomery interim
(9/14) Defense is atrocious, new DC Siefkes a disaster
(8/28) New DC Siefkes is a big upgrade for staff
(7/30) OL 0/5 back, lost 3 starters to portal. 6 OL adds
(7/30) OG Tomas Rimac (WVU) a top G via PFF
(7/28) Losing portals, added 31 in yr 4? Not much hope
(7/15) VT is 1-12 in 1 score games under Pry (0-5 LY)
(7/5) DL & LBs are ?, 2ndary built from 7 portal adds
(7/5) RB rebuild, 4 portals w/ Stewart/Bennett good
Virginia Tech Injury Report

Old Dominion on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	ODU Off	VT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#60	#98
SuccessSuc	#71	#34
ExplosiveExp	#16	#56
PPAPPA	#47	#18
PowerPwr	#108	#68
SP+SP+	#39	#96
Pts POPPO	#6	#7
HavocHav	#76	#10

Old Dominion Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	ODU Off	VT Def
Run GameRun	#56	#56
Run SuccessRSuc	#55	#56
Run ExplRExp	#8	#14
PPAExp	#30	#32
Run BlockR Blk	#110	-
OL YdsOLY	#34	#45
Stuff RateStuff	#39	#45
TackleTak	-	#95

Old Dominion Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	ODU Off	VT Def
Pass GamePass	#74	#125
Pass SuccessPSuc	#89	#15
Pass ExplPExl	#41	#116
PPAExp	#61	#41
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#28	#51
F7 HavocF7	#105	#17
DB HavocDB	#30	#14

Virginia Tech on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	VT Off	ODU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#119	#19
SuccessSuc	#87	#33
ExplosiveExp	#67	#116
PPAPPA	#75	#71
PowerPwr	#53	#91
SP+SP+	#109	#48
Pts POPPO	#40	#50
HavocHav	#111	#68

Virginia Tech Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	VT Off	ODU Def
Run GameRun	#43	#46
Run SuccessRSuc	#66	#22
Run ExplRExp	#23	#91
PPAExp	#31	#61
Run BlockR Blk	#114	-
OL YdsOLY	#76	#71
Stuff RateStuff	#90	#68
TackleTak	-	#110

Virginia Tech Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	VT Off	ODU Def
Pass GamePass	#100	#3
Pass SuccessPSuc	#102	#64
Pass ExplPExl	#87	#126
PPAExp	#100	#95
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#130	#80
F7 HavocF7	#124	#49
DB HavocDB	#49	#98

Program Comparison
VT 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ODU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
Virginia Tech -5.5 (50.5)
Old Dominion won at Virginia Tech this year (45-26)

Previous Matchups
Old Dominion beat Virginia Tech last year (45-26)
Virginia Tech beat Old Dominion in 2024 (37-17)
Virginia Tech beat Old Dominion in 2023 (36-17)

ODU's OC Kevin Decker (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Colton Joseph	173	288	60%	2619	21	10	9.1
Quinn Henicle	17	40	43%	184	0	0	4.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Colton Joseph	157	1011	13	6.4	78
Trequan Jones	105	792	6	7.5	93
Devin Roche	111	634	4	5.7	67
Ke'Travion Hargrove (Tr)	64	268	4	4.2	29

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre' Brown III	38	762	4	20.1	98
Ja'Cory Thomas	41	714	5	17.4	55
Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding	51	667	6	13.1	46
Ke'Travion Hargrove (Tr)	6	192	2	32.0	80

View Old Dominion's Full Roster

ODU's DC Blake Seiler (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mario Easterly	80	2	0	3	4
Jerome Carter	76	3	0	2	2
Jeremy Mack Jr.	75	10	6	3	3
Jahleel Culbreath	71	10	3	3	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jeremy Mack Jr.	75	10	6	3	3
Jackson Forrest	52	7	5	1	0
Kris Trinidad	33	7	4	4	3
Javen Gibson	24	5	4	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Brandon Crutchfield	35	0	6
Zion Frink	60	1	6
Nickendre Stiger (Tr)	46	3	5

VT's OC Philip Montgomery (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kyron Drones	178	315	57%	1919	17	9	6.1
William Watson III	2	4	50%	77	0	0	19.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marcellous Hawkins (Tr)	118	749	1	6.3	40
Kyron Drones	170	644	9	3.8	33
Terion Stewart (Tr)	82	469	0	5.7	85
Jeffrey Overton Jr.	25	146	1	5.8	38

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ayden Greene	31	516	3	16.6	67
Donavon Greene (Tr)	16	267	2	16.7	37
Takye Heath	22	200	3	9.1	44
Isaiah Spencer (Tr)	14	194	0	13.9	38

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Sam Siefkes (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kaleb Spencer	67	9	1	0	1
Caleb Woodson	57	3	0	1	1
Jaden Keller	50	3	1	0	1
Tyson Flowers (Tr)	48	0	0	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Kemari Copeland	48	8	5	1
Ben Bell (Tr)	40	6	3	6
Elhadj Fall (Tr)	25	4	3	2
Jason Abbey	17	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Thomas Williams	32	1	6
Isaiah Brown-Murray (Tr)	39	2	5
Christian Ellis (Tr)	7	1	3