Old Dominion at Virginia Tech - 2025 Matchup Preview
Old Dominion logo Old Dominion Monarchs at Virginia Tech HokiesVirginia Tech logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Virginia Tech -5.5 (50.5) (-225)  Open: 0.0
Old Dominion 45 - Virginia Tech: 26

 
Monarchs (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (20 - 30)
Avg Score : 38 - 20 (30 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 3.1 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
VT 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Old Dominion -1.5   (SP+ ODU -1)

Projected Score: ODU: 28 - VT: 27 (55)
VT Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
ODU Travel: 228 miles
Hokies (0 - 3) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Philip Montgomery (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 38 (23 - 45 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.2 - 9.8 (#134)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
 
Old Dominion's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Old Dominion at Indiana+23.554.5L 14 - 27UY
Sat 9/6 Old Dominion vs North Carolina Central-22.050.5W 54 - 6OY
Sat 9/13 Old Dominion at Virginia Tech+5.550.5W 45 - 26OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Old Dominion vs Liberty-4
Sat 10/4 Old Dominion vs Coastal Carolina-15.5
Sat 10/11 Old Dominion at Marshall-10.5
Sat 10/18 Old Dominion at James Madison+6.5
Sat 10/25 Old Dominion vs App State-11.5
Sat 11/1 Old Dominion at UL Monroe-17
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/13 Old Dominion vs Troy-9
Sat 11/22 Old Dominion at Georgia Southern-14.5
Sat 11/29 Old Dominion vs Georgia State-22.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Old Dominion's Schedule
Virginia Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Virginia Tech vs South Carolina+8.548.5L 11 - 24UN
Sat 9/6 Virginia Tech vs Vanderbilt-2.546.5L 20 - 44ON
Sat 9/13 Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion-5.550.5L 26 - 45ON
Sat 9/20 Virginia Tech vs Wofford-18.5
Sat 9/27 Virginia Tech at NC State+16
Sat 10/4 Virginia Tech vs Wake Forest+4.5
Sat 10/11 Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech+20
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/24 Virginia Tech vs California+11
Sat 11/1 Virginia Tech vs Louisville+19
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Virginia Tech at Florida State+27
Sat 11/22 Virginia Tech vs Miami+28.5
Sat 11/29 Virginia Tech at Virginia+16

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ODU#9 (.49)51% (29)37.751% (38)3.57 (23)24652% (27)2166.43 (1)#36 (.03)45% (107)19.755% (132)32% (32)2.84 (45)74.71.72
VT#113 (.07)43% (72)1955% (21)2.97 (70)13232% (123)2073.86 (77)#134 (.45)52% (131)37.749% (115)58% (133)5.81 (134)6120.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ODU#47 (.22)42% (71)45% (55)3.24 (34)21140% (89)1934.75 (6)#71 (.17)39% (33)38% (22)40% (64)3.64 (50)54.21.71.4
VT#75 (.18)42% (87)44% (66)3.01 (76)17339% (102)1784.22 (40)#18 (.09)39% (34)42% (56)36% (15)2.97 (7)46.31.21.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ODU Offense337.729.550.7%6.431.7224622462167.653%46%51%52%13%.49
VT Defense337.744.551.6%5.810.7 - - - - - 62%37%49%58%14%.45
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ODU Defense319.726.545%2.842 - - - - - 57%43%55%32%21%.03
VT Offense3192343.2%3.862203391322073.950%50%55%32%19%.07

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Old Dominion325:3721.738%100%7.774.71.7282.3026
Virginia Tech330:4219.744%25%6.36120.74.71.7025.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ODU Offense353% (56)51% (38)32.3245.77.610 (10).42 (7)3.57 (23)71% (67)8% (62)1.42 (10)
VT Defense362% (128)49% (115) - - - - .26 (120)3.03 (95)89% (119)10% (61)1.11 (101)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ODU Defense357% (114)55% (132) - - - - .13 (97)3.26 (116)56% (26)13% (30)0.78 (32)
VT Offense350% (73)55% (21)341323.92 (109).15 (64)2.97 (70)65% (95)11% (107)0.79 (109)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ODU Offense346% (83)52% (27)16.324.3216.38.913.25 (54)3 (92).57 (16)1.6 (44)27% (39)44% (19).67 (21)5% (56)2.2 (37)
VT Defense337% (8)58% (133) - - - - - - 1 (87).86 (135)2 (125)32% (77)46% (132).82 (133)4% (115)2.3 (116)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ODU Defense343% (22)32% (32) - - - - - - 3 (28)-.09 (14)1.2 (21)23% (131)31% (81).33 (87)8% (26)1.6 (27)
VT Offense350% (60)32% (123)19.334.3207610.74 (72)3 (92) (128)1.5 (85)29% (53)27% (102).11 (115)7% (115)1.5 (123)

Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: 2.21 #75
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: 15.86 #48
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: 13.65 #96
2025 Talent Rating: 328.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Old Dominion's 2025 Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1
Old Dominion's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #81
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #72
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #94

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: 2.21   Virginia Tech: -2.335

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: -3.5   Virginia Tech: -4.4




Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: -2.335 #93
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 12.12 #73
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 17.39 #108
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Virginia Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 2.2 - 9.8
Virginia Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #84
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #92

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 37.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.5
Defense: 19.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.5

Old Dominion's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Old Dominion 28
Virginia Tech 27


Total Points: 55

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 19 PPG
Offense at Home: 23
Defense: 37.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 44.5

Virginia Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Virginia Tech26Old Dominion45Old DominionVirginia Tech -5.5Old Dominion50.5Over
202409/14Old Dominion17Virginia Tech37Virginia TechVirginia Tech -15.5Virginia Tech47.5Over
202309/02Virginia Tech36Old Dominion17Virginia TechVirginia Tech -16Virginia Tech48.0Over
202209/02Old Dominion20Virginia Tech17Old DominionVirginia Tech -6Old Dominion48.5Under
201909/07Virginia Tech31Old Dominion17Virginia TechVirginia Tech -30Old Dominion57.5Under
201809/22Old Dominion49Virginia Tech35Old DominionVirginia Tech -28.5Old Dominion52.5Over
201709/23Virginia Tech38Old Dominion0Virginia TechVirginia Tech -28.5Virginia Tech52.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia Tech434 Overs
Old Dominion343 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 24 - 32 - 22 - 1
Road Teams2 - 53 - 41 - 22 - 2

(#75) Old Dominion Info
Power Rating: 2.21 #75
Offense Rating: 15.86 #48
Defense Rating: 13.65 #96
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #81
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #72
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #94
Talent Rating: 328.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
Good Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 6.43 PPO
Good Run Success 51%
Good Pass Success 52%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 2.84 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 55%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Old Dominion has won 1 straight
Old Dominion has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Old Dominion Notes
(9/7) LB Henderson retired. Big loss & blow to Def
(8/30) Run game good vs IU, Run Def torched 300+
(8/1) QB Joseph back, mobile. Good red zone runner
(8/1) WR/TE rebuild, little exp. Rahne like units though
(8/1) Def Avg LY, returns a ton. Added 8 DB portals
(8/1) Emerging team with upward trajectory this year
(8/1) QB Joseph, like all ODU, must limit TOs
(5/23) ODU was 3-6 in 1 score games LY
(5/16) Best G5 LB core w/ Henderson back from inj?
(3/24) RB rebuild, Duke/Roche have exp. Little depth

Old Dominion Highlights
Old Dominion is Undefeated vs Spread

Old Dominion has Really Good Running Game (#7)
Old Dominion offense is efficent (#29)
Old Dominion offense is explosive (#13)
Old Dominion has a top Offensive Line (#23)
Old Dominion offense is good in red zone (#1)
Old Dominion defense does not give up big plays (#4)
Old Dominion Front 7 is disruptive (#30)
Old Dominion Secondary is very good (#26)
Old Dominion defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Old Dominion Deficiencies
Old Dominion has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Old Dominion Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Old Dominion has a bad defense (#107)
Old Dominion has a bad defensive line (#116)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatVTODU
OverallOver#90#34
OffenseOff#87#23
DefenseDef#96#62
Special TeamsST#106#66
PassingPass#78#14
RushingRush#35#32
Run BlockRBLK#104#93
Pass BlockPBLK#106#34
Route RunningWR Rt#75#9
TacklingTkl#76#86
Run DefenseR Def#71#89
Pass Rush DefPRush#32#87
Coverage DefCov#116#17

Rematch from Week 3
Virginia Tech -5.5 (50.5)
Old Dominion won at Virginia Tech this year (45-26)

Previous Matchups
Virginia Tech beat Old Dominion last year (37-17)
Virginia Tech beat Old Dominion in 2023 (36-17)
Old Dominion beat Virginia Tech in 2022 (20-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ODU | VT
Depth Chart: ODU | VT
Rosters: ODU | VT
(#93) Virginia Tech Info
Power Rating: -2.335 #93
Offense Rating: 12.12 #73
Defense Rating: 17.39 #108
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #92
Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Expected Record: 2.2 - 9.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.86 PPO
Great Run Success 55%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Poor OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 52%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.81 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 58%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Virginia Tech has lost 2 straight
Virginia Tech has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Virginia Tech Notes
(9/14) Team has quit. Drones is bad but has zero help
(9/14) Defense is atrocious, new DC Siefkes a disaster
(8/28) New DC Siefkes is a big upgrade for staff
(7/30) OL 0/5 back, lost 3 starters to portal. 6 OL adds
(7/30) OG Tomas Rimac (WVU) a top G via PFF
(7/28) Losing portals, added 31 in yr 4? Not much hope
(7/15) VT is 1-12 in 1 score games under Pry (0-5 LY)
(7/5) DL & LBs are ?, 2ndary built from 7 portal adds
(7/5) RB rebuild, 4 portals w/ Stewart/Bennett good
(7/5) WR lost top 3, 2 meh portal adds, some talent

Virginia Tech Highlights

Virginia Tech Deficiencies
Virginia Tech has a really bad Offense
Virginia Tech has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Virginia Tech Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Virginia Tech offense is not Explosive (#123)
Virginia Tech pass game is really bad (#123)
Virginia Tech Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Virginia Tech Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Virginia Tech has a bad defense (#131)
Virginia Tech gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#116)
Virginia Tech Does Not Stuff Runs (#103)
Virginia Tech has a bad red zone defense (#134)


  
Old Dominion's OC Kevin Decker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Colton Joseph466868%629539.3
Quinn Henicle3560%20004.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Colton Joseph29294410.178
Trequan Jones18264414.793
Maurki James237913.410
Ke'Travion Hargrove (Tr)156804.512
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Cory Thomas11193117.538
Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding10140214.044
Tre' Brown III10136113.645
TJ Lott454113.534

View Old Dominion's Full Roster
Old Dominion's DC Blake Seiler
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mario Easterly261011
Jeremy Mack Jr.203201
Jerome Carter200001
Jahleel Culbreath162110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremy Mack Jr.203201
Javen Gibson62210
Jahleel Culbreath162110
Cole Daniels72101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Botros Alisandro (Tr)160004
Zion Frink90003
Nickendre Stiger (Tr)161002

Virginia Tech's OC Philip Montgomery
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyron Drones5810356%621436.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kyron Drones4312723.032
Marcellous Hawkins (Tr)2710804.011
Terion Stewart (Tr)116505.931
Jeremiah Coney64106.821
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Donavon Greene (Tr)9193221.437
Ayden Greene8148018.567
Isaiah Spencer (Tr)565013.028
Tucker Holloway348016.033

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster
Virginia Tech's DC Sam Siefkes
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Woodson242010
Michael Short (Tr)173001
Quentin Reddish150000
Isaiah Cash (Tr)110000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elhadj Fall (Tr)41100
Emmett Laws51100
Kelvin Gilliam81100
Kemari Copeland111100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Short (Tr)173001
Caleb Brown (Tr)20001
Krystian Williams20001