Portland State at Hawai'i - 2025 Matchup Preview

Portland State Vikings at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Saturday, September 13th 2025 (11:59 PM EDT)
Hawai'i -35.5 (54.5) (0) Open: -38.5
Hawai'i 23 - Portland State: 3

Vikings (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 2 - 46 (2 - 46 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 12.7 MPH
HAW 2nd straight Home Game
PRST coming off BYE
Our Line: -2 (SP+ HAW -1)
HAW Win prob: 98% | Cover: 46%

Rainbow Warriors (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Timmy Chang (13 - 25)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (31 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)

Matchup
Schedules
PRST Players
HAW Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Portland State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Portland State at BYU	+43.5	61.5	L 0 - 69	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13	Portland State at Hawai'i	+35.5	54.5	L 3 - 23	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Portland State's Schedule

Hawai'i's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/23	Hawai'i vs Stanford	-1.5	53.5	W 23 - 20	U	Y
Sat 8/30	Hawai'i at Arizona	+13.5	55.5	L 6 - 40	U	N
Sat 9/6	Hawai'i vs Sam Houston	-7.0	47.5	W 37 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Hawai'i vs Portland State	-35.5	54.5	W 23 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/20	Hawai'i vs Fresno State	+2.5	47.5	L 21 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/27	Hawai'i at Air Force	+7.0	52.5	W 44 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Hawai'i vs Utah State	+1.5	57.5	W 44 - 26	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Hawai'i at Colorado State	+2.5	53.5	W 31 - 19	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	Hawai'i at San José State	+2.5	55.5	L 38 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/8	Hawai'i vs San Diego State	+6.5	48.5	W 38 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/21	Hawai'i at UNLV	+2.5	64.5	L 10 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/29	Hawai'i vs Wyoming	-8.5	45.0	W 27 - 7	U	Y
Wed 12/24	Hawai'i vs California	-1.5	50.5	W 35 - 31	O	Y

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 7, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PRST		0%	1.5	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	46	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
HAW	#62 (.18)	41% (88)	29	38% (118)	2.8 (98)	98	44% (49)	267	3.77 (61)	#72 (.17)	42% (67)	24.1	43% (74)	40% (58)	3.35 (41)	61.5	1.3	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PRST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
HAW	#82 (.17)	44% (52)		46% (45)	3.29 (26)	99	44% (50)	268	3.81 (81)	#81 (.19)	42% (71)		45% (85)	40% (58)	4.15 (103)	70.3	1.6	0.9

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PRST Offense	2	1.5	1.5	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
HAW Defense	13	24.1	17	41.6%	3.35	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	43%	40%	16%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PRST Defense	2	46	46	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
HAW Offense	13	29	31	41.2%	3.77	1.3	19	365	98	267	3.7	37%	62%	38%	44%	12%	.18

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Portland State	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Hawai'i	13	29:37	18.6	45%	53%	7.1	61.5	1.3	1.1	4.6	2.2	3	29.9

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PRST Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
HAW Defense	13	46% (26)	43% (74)	-	-	-	-	.1 (66)	3.21 (119)	81% (124)	9% (82)	0.97 (76)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PRST Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
HAW Offense	13	37% (133)	38% (118)	26.3	97.5	3.7	8 (122)	.02 (118)	2.8 (98)	59% (131)	7% (13)	0.91 (90)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PRST Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
HAW Defense	13	52% (110)	40% (58)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (55)	.25 (71)	1.6 (77)	34% (36)	31% (82)	.42 (124)	7% (41)	2.2 (118)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PRST Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
HAW Offense	13	62% (3)	44% (49)	24.3	37.8	267.4	7.1	11	26 (14)	12 (127)	.31 (47)	1.6 (61)	34% (113)	33% (31)	.37 (41)	5% (39)	2.2 (17)

Portland State's Power Ratings
Portland State's Power Rating: NR
Portland State's Offense Rating: NR
Portland State's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Portland State's 2025 Expected Record: -
Portland State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Portland State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Portland State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Portland State: Hawai'i: -1.96

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Portland State: Hawai'i: 0.9

Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -1.96 #108
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 1.56 #118
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 11.38 #87
2025 Talent Rating: 454.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Hawai'i's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
Hawai'i's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #68
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #75
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #65

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Portland State Scoring
Offense: 1.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 1.5
Defense: 46 PPG
Defense on Road: 46

Portland State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Hawai'i 40
Portland State 16

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Hawai'i 43
Portland State 21

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
Hawai'i 38
Portland State 11

Total Points: 49

Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 29 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Hawai'i's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 7 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/13	Hawai'i	23	Portland State	3	Hawai'i -35.5	Portland State	54.5	Under
2021	09/04	Hawai'i	49	Portland State	35	Hawai'i -26.0	Portland State	57.5	Over
2000	09/08	Hawai'i	20	Portland State	45

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Hawai'i	2	0	1 Overs
Portland State	1	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 2	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#NR) PRST at (#108) HAW

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PRST	HAW
Power RatePwr	NR	#108
SP+SP+	NR	#68
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#100
OffenseOff	NR	#107
DefenseDef	NR	#96
Spec TeamsST	NR	#71
TalentTal	NR	#125
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#101

Portland State Injury Report

Hawai'i Notes(10/19) Great W @ CSU, Alejado another 300+. Bowling
(10/19) Great job by Chang & staff, 6-2 and bowling
(10/9) Def played hard vs Fresno, good bounce back W AFA
(9/24) QB Alejado playing hurt and looks defeated
(8/23) Def top 5 tacklers return from 2024
(8/1) QB M. Alejado fun find late LY, but vs bad teams
(8/1) Front 7 are strength of defense, DL improved?
(8/1) Chang is 2-15 on the road & road sched rough
(8/1) 1/2 schedule by Sept 27 when at Air Force, yikes
(6/14) WR good, Ashlock & Cenacle back. Have depth
(4/7) RB no used much, JAGs at best
(4/7) Portal WR Harris (Stan) may take #2 job
Hawai'i Injury Report

Portland State on Offense


CategoryCat	PRST Off	HAW Def
Perf GradePerf	NR	#96
SuccessSuc	NR	#67
ExplosiveExp	NR	#87
PPAPPA	NR	#72
PowerPwr	NR	#87
SP+SP+	NR	#65
Pts POPPO	NR	#41
HavocHav	NR	#63

Portland State Run Game


CategoryCat	PRST Off	HAW Def
Run GameRun	NR	#128
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#74
Run ExplRExp	NR	#76
PPAExp	NR	#66
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#119
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#117
TackleTak	-	#128

Portland State Pass Game


CategoryCat	PRST Off	HAW Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#36
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#58
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#77
PPAExp	NR	#71
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#29
F7 HavocF7	NR	#82
DB HavocDB	NR	#41

Hawai'i on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat	HAW Off	PRST Def
Perf GradePerf	#107	NR
SuccessSuc	#88	NR
ExplosiveExp	#29	NR
PPAPPA	#62	NR
PowerPwr	#118	NR
SP+SP+	#75	NR
Pts POPPO	#61	NR
HavocHav	#16	NR

Hawai'i Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat	HAW Off	PRST Def
Run GameRun	#111	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#118	NR
Run ExplRExp	#90	NR
PPAExp	#118	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#97	-
OL YdsOLY	#98	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#98	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Hawai'i Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat	HAW Off	PRST Def
Pass GamePass	#45	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#49	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#61	NR
PPAExp	#47	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#109	NR
F7 HavocF7	#13	NR
DB HavocDB	#39	NR

Program Comparison
HAW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

PRST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 82° - Wind: 13 mph

Rematch from Week 3
Hawai'i -35.5 (54.5)
Hawai'i won vs Portland State this year (23-3)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

PRST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
John-Keawe Sagapolutele (Tr)	148	261	57%	1623	4	16	6.2
CJ Jordan	8	14	57%	58	0	0	4.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	YPC	LONG
Terence Loville	9	37	4.1	16
John-Keawe Sagapolutele (Tr)	32	32	1.0	12
Jacques Badolato-Birdsell	12	28	2.3	18
Chance Miller	2	19	9.5	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Terence Loville	33	517	1	15.7	54
Zachary Dodson-Green	36	290	1	8.1	42
Jaylen Lynch	20	250	1	12.5	44
Chance Miller	6	86	0	14.3	31

View Portland State's Full Roster

PRST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	PD
Jaxson Helmstetler	15	0
Aedan Seiuli	12	0
Dionte Thornton (Tr)	10	2
Slade Shufelt	3	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jayden Brannan	2	1	1	0
Jaxson Helmstetler	15	0	0	0
Aedan Seiuli	12	0	0	0
Dionte Thornton (Tr)	10	0	0	2

Pass D	Tack	PD
Dionte Thornton (Tr)	10	2
Jaxson Helmstetler	15	0
Aedan Seiuli	12	0

HAW's OC Timmy Chang (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Micah Alejado	285	430	66%	3106	24	9	7.2
Luke Weaver	63	105	60%	628	6	3	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Landon Sims	122	559	3	4.6	43
Cam Barfield	80	371	4	4.6	41
Micah Alejado	81	105	1	1.3	30
Christian Vaughn	19	97	0	5.1	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jackson Harris (Tr)	49	963	12	19.7	78
Pofele Ashlock	76	827	8	10.9	47
Brandon White (Tr)	38	399	2	10.5	46
Karsyn Pupunu	33	306	0	9.3	22

View Hawai'i's Full Roster

HAW's DC Dennis Thurman (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Peter Manuma	73	3	1	1	7
Jalen Smith	54	3	1	0	2
Jamih Otis	54	3	0	4	0
Elijah Palmer	51	7	0	0	10

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Jackie Johnson III	28	8	7	3
De'jon Benton (Tr)	29	9	6	7
Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina	37	8	4	3
Qwyn Williams (Tr)	28	5	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah Palmer	51	7	0	0	10
Peter Manuma	73	3	1	1	7
Virdel Edwards	31	1	0	0	6