Wyoming at Hawai'i - 2025 Matchup Preview
Wyoming logo   Wyoming Cowboys at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors  Hawai
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (11:00 PM EST)
Hawai'i -8.5 (45.0) (-350)  Open: -10.5 | 44.5
Hawai'i 27 - Wyoming: 7  (Mountain West)

 
Cowboys (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jay Sawvel (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 16 - 21 (11 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Our Line: Hawai'i -7.5  (SP+ HAW -13)
Projected Score: WYO: 18 - HAW: 26 (44)
HAW Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
WYO Travel: 3322 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Rainbow Warriors (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Timmy Chang (13 - 25)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (31 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Wyoming's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Wyoming at Akron-8.549.5W 10 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Wyoming vs Northern Iowa-14.047.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/13 Wyoming vs Utah+24.547.5L 6 - 31UN
Sat 9/20 Wyoming at Colorado+12.545.5L 20 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Wyoming vs UNLV+4.550.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 10/11 Wyoming vs San José State+1.550.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 10/18 Wyoming at Air Force+4.056.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/25 Wyoming vs Colorado State-5.546.5W 28 - 0UY
Sat 11/1 Wyoming at San Diego State+10.042.5L 7 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Wyoming at Fresno State+3.040.5L 3 - 24UN
Sat 11/22 Wyoming vs Nevada-6.039.5L 7 - 13UN
Sat 11/29 Wyoming at Hawai'i+8.545.0L 7 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 3

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule
Hawai'i's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Hawai'i vs Stanford-1.553.5W 23 - 20UY
Sat 8/30 Hawai'i at Arizona+13.555.5L 6 - 40UN
Sat 9/6 Hawai'i vs Sam Houston-7.047.5W 37 - 20OY
Sat 9/13 Hawai'i vs Portland State-35.554.5W 23 - 3UN
Sat 9/20 Hawai'i vs Fresno State+2.547.5L 21 - 23UY
Sat 9/27 Hawai'i at Air Force+7.052.5W 44 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Hawai'i vs Utah State+1.557.5W 44 - 26OY
Sat 10/18 Hawai'i at Colorado State+2.553.5W 31 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Hawai'i at San José State+2.555.5L 38 - 45ON
Sat 11/8 Hawai'i vs San Diego State+6.548.5W 38 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/21 Hawai'i at UNLV+2.564.5L 10 - 38UN
Sat 11/29 Hawai'i vs Wyoming-8.545.0W 27 - 7UY
Wed 12/24 Hawai'i vs California-1.550.5W 35 - 31OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1

Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WYO#127 (.05)36% (126)1639% (111)2.64 (122)13834% (125)1893.07 (126)#102 (.23)44% (96)20.543% (70)45% (113)3.97 (86)49.61.30.9
HAW#82 (.17)44% (52)2946% (45)3.29 (26)9944% (50)2683.81 (81)#81 (.19)42% (71)24.145% (85)40% (58)4.15 (103)70.31.60.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WYO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
HAW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WYO Offense121611.336.4%3.071.3173271381893.654%46%39%34%17%.05
HAW Defense1224.11742%4.150.9 - - - - - 50%50%45%40%16%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WYO Defense1220.522.744%3.970.9 - - - - - 52%48%43%45%15%.23
HAW Offense12293144.2%3.811.621367992683.636%64%46%44%19%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wyoming1230:5217.336%60%5.549.61.30.951.3228
Hawai'i1230:1920.837%55%870.31.60.95.72.3125.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WYO Offense1254% (40)39% (111)38.2138.13.614 (98).02 (117)2.64 (122)62% (121)11% (92)0.94 (83)
HAW Defense1250% (57)45% (85) - - - - .16 (90)3.27 (108)79% (103)10% (74)0.97 (62)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WYO Defense1252% (82)43% (70) - - - - .21 (112)3.09 (85)62% (12)9% (87)1.19 (128)
HAW Offense1236% (134)46% (45)27.8993.67 (131).13 (68)3.29 (26)80% (23)11% (88)0.83 (124)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WYO Offense1246% (93)34% (125)15.128.9188.66.512.511 (122)11 (72).08 (126)1.8 (19)34% (110)25% (118).15 (126)6% (72)2.1 (62)
HAW Defense1250% (79)40% (58) - - - - - - 6 (109).22 (58)1.4 (19)31% (82)30% (63).31 (72)6% (73)1.8 (13)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WYO Defense1248% (55)45% (113) - - - - - - 6 (109).25 (78)1.4 (10)31% (81)32% (85).32 (73)5% (102)1.8 (16)
HAW Offense1264% (1)44% (50)23.840.1268.26.711.325 (31)15 (123).21 (92)1.4 (130)32% (80)33% (49).31 (81)8% (127)2 (94)

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -7.35  #87
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 8.24  #98
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 15.59  #85
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00  #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Wyoming's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wyoming's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.3  #110
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3  #129
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7  #55

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 500.89
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -7.35   Hawai'i: -1.87

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -11.3   Hawai'i: 1.7




Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -1.87  #104
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 7.60  #105
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 18.04  #97
2025 Talent Rating: 454.00  #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Hawai'i's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
Hawai'i's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7  #68
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3  #66
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3  #69

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 500.89
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 16 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.3
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.7

Wyoming's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Hawai'i 26
Wyoming 18


Projected Total Points: 44
Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 29 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Hawai'i's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 7 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Hawai'i27Wyoming7Hawai'i -8.5Hawai'i45.0Under
202311/18Wyoming42Hawai'i9Wyoming -13.5Wyoming45.5Over
202210/29Hawai'i20Wyoming27Wyoming -11.5Hawai'i50.5Under
202111/27Wyoming14Hawai'i38Wyoming -13Hawai'i48.5Over
202010/30Wyoming31Hawai'i7Hawai'i -2.5Wyoming60.0Under
201810/06Hawai'i17Wyoming13Hawai'i -1Hawai'i55.0Under
201709/23Wyoming28Hawai'i21Wyoming -5.5Wyoming54.5Under
201410/12Hawai'i38Wyoming28Hawai'i -5Hawai'i47.0Over
201311/23Wyoming59Hawai'i56Wyoming -6.5Hawai'i0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Hawai'i463 Overs
Wyoming535 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 27 - 25 - 22 - 0
Road Teams2 - 72 - 70 - 22 - 5

(#87) WYO at (#104) HAW
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWYOHAW
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #87 #104
SP+SP+ #110 #68
Perf GradeGrade #109 #96
OffenseOff #126 #96
DefenseDef #51 #93
Spec TeamsST #128 #44
TalentTal #103 #125
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #101
Wyoming Notes
(8/1) OL was awful LY, but 4/5 back. No portals?
(8/1) Def was awful, lost a ton, added 12 portals
(8/1) Back 7 of Def has almost no exp. Pass D awful
(5/2) QB K Anderson likely. JAG- so far, depth??
(5/2) RB Scott back, Kellman (Char) added. Meh
(5/2) WR Sargent electric, Durr back as well. C+
(5/2) HC Sawvel awful 1st year. Doesn't look better TY
(5/2) TE Gyllenborg a nice target w/ 55 career rec
Wyoming Injury Report
Hawai'i Notes
(10/19) Great W @ CSU, Alejado another 300+. Bowling
(10/19) Great job by Chang & staff, 6-2 and bowling
(10/9) Def played hard vs Fresno, good bounce back W AFA
(9/24) QB Alejado playing hurt and looks defeated
(8/23) Def top 5 tacklers return from 2024
(8/1) QB M. Alejado fun find late LY, but vs bad teams
(8/1) Front 7 are strength of defense, DL improved?
(8/1) Chang is 2-15 on the road & road sched rough
(8/1) 1/2 schedule by Sept 27 when at Air Force, yikes
(6/14) WR good, Ashlock & Cenacle back. Have depth
(4/7) RB no used much, JAGs at best
(4/7) Portal WR Harris (Stan) may take #2 job
Hawai'i Injury Report
Wyoming on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
WYO OffHAW Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #126 #93
SuccessSuc #126 #71
ExplosiveExp #60 #35
PPAPPA #127 #81
PowerPwr #98 #97
SP+SP+ #129 #69
Pts POPPO #126 #103
HavocHav #86 #74
Wyoming Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
WYO OffHAW Def
Run GameRun #96 #121
Run SuccessRSuc #111 #85
Run ExplRExp #83 #62
PPAExp #117 #90
Run BlockR Blk #61 -
OL YdsOLY #122 #108
Stuff RateStuff #108 #96
TackleTak -  #130
Wyoming Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
WYO OffHAW Def
Pass GamePass #124 #56
Pass SuccessPSuc #125 #58
Pass ExplPExl #19 #19
PPAExp #126 #58
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #104 #34
F7 HavocF7 #92 #74
DB HavocDB #72 #73
Hawai'i on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCatHAW OffWYO Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #96 #51
SuccessSuc #52 #96
ExplosiveExp #120 #65
PPAPPA #82 #102
PowerPwr #105 #85
SP+SP+ #66 #55
Pts POPPO #81 #86
HavocHav #117 #92
Hawai'i Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat
HAW OffWYO Def
Run GameRun #105 #55
Run SuccessRSuc #45 #70
Run ExplRExp #124 #128
PPAExp #68 #112
Run BlockR Blk #107 -
OL YdsOLY #26 #85
Stuff RateStuff #59 #58
TackleTak -  #63
Hawai'i Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCatHAW OffWYO Def
Pass GamePass #38 #39
Pass SuccessPSuc #50 #113
Pass ExplPExl #130 #10
PPAExp #92 #78
Pass Block/RushP Blk #105 #117
F7 HavocF7 #88 #87
DB HavocDB #127 #102
Program Comparison
HAW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

WYO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 14
Hawai'i -8.5 (45.0)
Hawai'i won vs Wyoming this year (27-7)

Previous Matchups
Hawai'i beat Wyoming last year (27-7)
Wyoming beat Hawai'i in 2023 (42-9)

  
WYO's OC Jay Johnson (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaden Anderson18933656%197112105.9
Mason Drube203853%187014.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Samuel Harris10055215.550
Sam Scott8940824.637
Terron Kellman (Tr)6533145.133
Landon Sims159716.537
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Durr Jr.46513411.249
Jaylen Sargent20240012.029
Michael Fitzgerald (Tr)16228314.335
Johnmichael Gyllenborg2421719.024

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Aaron Bohl (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brayden Johnson (Tr)745013
Evan Eller627221
Jones Thomas461004
Tyce Westland438242
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Florentine336413
Brayden Wilson (Tr)224210
Tyce Westland438242
Evan Eller627221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Desman Hearns (Tr)283005
Tyrese Boss360005
Dainsus Miller253005

HAW's OC Timmy Chang (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Micah Alejado28543066%31062497.2
Luke Weaver6310560%628636.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Landon Sims12255934.643
Cam Barfield8037144.641
Micah Alejado8110511.330
Christian Vaughn199705.114
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jackson Harris (Tr)499631219.778
Pofele Ashlock76827810.947
Brandon White (Tr)38399210.546
Karsyn Pupunu3330609.322

View Hawai'i's Full Roster

HAW's DC Dennis Thurman (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Peter Manuma733117
Jamih Otis543040
Jalen Smith543102
Elijah Palmer5170010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackie Johnson III288730
De'jon Benton (Tr)299670
Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina378430
Qwyn Williams (Tr)285320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Palmer5170010
Peter Manuma733117
Virdel Edwards311006