Wyoming at Hawai'i - 2025 Matchup Preview
Wyoming logo Wyoming Cowboys at Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsHawai
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex - Honolulu, HI  (Mountain West)

 
Cowboys (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Jay Sawvel (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 16 - 13 (10 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8 (#60)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
Our Line: Wyoming -1   (SP+ WYO -2)
Projected Score: WYO: 18 - HAW: 17 (34)
WYO Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
WYO Travel: 3322 miles, 4 hrs ahead
Rainbow Warriors (3 - 1) (2 - 2 - 0)
Coach Timmy Chang (13 - 25)
Avg Score : 22 - 21 (28 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
 
Wyoming's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Wyoming at Akron-8.549.5W 10 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Wyoming vs Northern Iowa-14.047.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/13 Wyoming vs Utah+24.547.5L 6 - 31UN
Sat 9/20 Wyoming at Colorado+12.544.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Wyoming vs UNLV+1.5
Sat 10/11 Wyoming vs San José State-6
Sat 10/18 Wyoming at Air Force-4.5
Sat 10/25 Wyoming vs Colorado State-4
Sat 11/1 Wyoming at San Diego State+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Wyoming at Fresno State+2
Sat 11/22 Wyoming vs Nevada-14
Sat 11/29 Wyoming at Hawai'i-1

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule
Hawai'i's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Hawai'i vs Stanford-1.553.5W 23 - 20UY
Sat 8/30 Hawai'i at Arizona+13.555.5L 6 - 40UN
Sat 9/6 Hawai'i vs Sam Houston-7.047.5W 37 - 20OY
Sat 9/13 Hawai'i vs Portland State-35.554.5W 23 - 3UN
Sat 9/20 Hawai'i vs Fresno State+3.047.5
Sat 9/27 Hawai'i at Air Force-1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Hawai'i vs Utah State-6
Sat 10/18 Hawai'i at Colorado State+4
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Hawai'i at San José State+2.5
Sat 11/8 Hawai'i vs San Diego State+1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Hawai'i at UNLV+10
Sat 11/29 Hawai'i vs Wyoming+1

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 7, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WYO#102 (.1)44% (60)15.747% (49)2.93 (74)12542% (82)1692.82 (119)#7 (-.12)36% (45)12.741% (82)33% (36)0.77 (2)53.311.3
HAW#114 (.07)40% (97)22.341% (92)2.82 (85)9940% (94)2443.26 (106)#50 (.07)35% (38)20.837% (58)34% (37)3.15 (56)86.520.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WYO#127 (.05)36% (126)39% (111)2.64 (122)13834% (125)1893.07 (126)#102 (.23)44% (96)43% (70)45% (113)3.97 (86)49.61.30.9
HAW#82 (.17)44% (52)46% (45)3.29 (26)9944% (50)2683.81 (81)#81 (.19)42% (71)45% (85)40% (58)4.15 (103)70.31.60.9



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WYO Offense315.71044.3%2.821172951251694.151%49%47%42%15%.1
HAW Defense420.814.335.2%3.150.8 - - - - - 47%52%37%34%16%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WYO Defense312.712.736.1%0.771.3 - - - - - 45%53%41%33%10%-.12
HAW Offense422.327.740%3.26221343992443.436%64%41%40%17%.07

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wyoming324:2416.739%33%753.311.32.72024.5
Hawai'i431:3920.837%71%8.586.520.84.82.3128.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WYO Offense351% (67)47% (49)30.3125.34.12 (109).05 (96)2.93 (74)54% (122)10% (96)0.85 (96)
HAW Defense447% (50)37% (58) - - - - .1 (89)3.07 (100)86% (112)9% (90)1.11 (100)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WYO Defense345% (35)41% (82) - - - - (47)3.09 (103)60% (34)5% (133)0.69 (13)
HAW Offense436% (131)41% (92)28.8993.40 (135)-.12 (130)2.82 (85)67% (86)9% (80)0.64 (130)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WYO Offense349% (70)42% (82)14.324.3169.3711.83 (90)1 (23).16 (99)1.3 (116)28% (50)19% (126).1 (116)5% (72)1.9 (78)
HAW Defense452% (85)34% (37) - - - - - - 3 (28).08 (33)1.2 (9)35% (49)23% (36).17 (50)8% (30)1.9 (54)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WYO Defense353% (95)33% (36) - - - - - - 3 (28)-.09 (15)1 (6)35% (44)18% (21)-.12 (8)6% (73)1.4 (7)
HAW Offense464% (4)40% (94)26.843.8244.35.69.17 (23)4 (121).18 (97)1.4 (109)35% (110)29% (87).3 (77)8% (122)2 (64)

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -2.94 #85
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 4.85 #105
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 7.79 #70
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Wyoming's 2025 Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8
Wyoming's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #92
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #115
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -2.94   Hawai'i: -6.295

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -8.1   Hawai'i: -10.3




Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -6.295 #100
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 2.77 #117
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 10.06 #82
2025 Talent Rating: 454.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Hawai'i's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Hawai'i's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #105
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #128
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 15.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 12.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 12.7

Wyoming's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Wyoming 18
Hawai'i 17


Total Points: 34

Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.7
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

Hawai'i's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/18Wyoming42Hawai'i9WyomingWyoming -13.5Wyoming45.5Over
202210/29Hawai'i20Wyoming27WyomingWyoming -11.5Hawai'i50.5Under
202111/27Wyoming14Hawai'i38Hawai'iWyoming -13Hawai'i48.5Over
202010/30Wyoming31Hawai'i7WyomingHawai'i -2.5Wyoming60.0Under
201810/06Hawai'i17Wyoming13Hawai'iHawai'i -1Hawai'i55.0Under
201709/23Wyoming28Hawai'i21WyomingWyoming -5.5Wyoming54.5Under
201410/12Hawai'i38Wyoming28Hawai'iHawai'i -5Hawai'i47.0Over
201311/23Wyoming59Hawai'i56WyomingWyoming -6.5Hawai'i0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Hawai'i353 Overs
Wyoming534 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 26 - 24 - 22 - 0
Road Teams2 - 62 - 60 - 22 - 4

(#85) Wyoming Info
Power Rating: -2.94 #85
Offense Rating: 4.85 #105
Defense Rating: 7.79 #70
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #115
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 562.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.82 PPO
Avg Run Success 47%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 36%
Great in Scoring Position 0.77 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 41%
Good Pass Def Success 33%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Wyoming has lost 9 straight
Wyoming has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Wyoming Notes
(8/1) OL was awful LY, but 4/5 back. No portals?
(8/1) Def was awful, lost a ton, added 12 portals
(8/1) Back 7 of Def has almost no exp. Pass D awful
(5/2) QB K Anderson likely. JAG- so far, depth??
(5/2) RB Scott back, Kellman (Char) added. Meh
(5/2) WR Sargent electric, Durr back as well. C+
(5/2) HC Sawvel awful 1st year. Doesn't look better TY
(5/2) TE Gyllenborg a nice target w/ 55 career rec

Wyoming Highlights
Wyoming defense does not give up big plays (#3)
Wyoming defense is really good in red zone (#2)
Wyoming defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Wyoming Deficiencies
Wyoming has a really bad Offense
Wyoming Can Not Run the Ball (#100)
Wyoming offense is not Explosive (#122)
Wyoming Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#104)
Wyoming offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#119)
Wyoming Does Not Stuff Runs (#109)
Wyoming has a bad defensive line (#103)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatHAWWYO
OverallOver#87#67
OffenseOff#107#82
DefenseDef#47#56
Special TeamsST#59#48
PassingPass#101#83
RushingRush#82#65
Run BlockRBLK#84#69
Pass BlockPBLK#102#60
Route RunningWR Rt#105#92
TacklingTkl#90#61
Run DefenseR Def#98#62
Pass Rush DefPRush#45#99
Coverage DefCov#4#23

Previous Matchups
Wyoming beat Hawai'i in 2023 (42-9)
Wyoming beat Hawai'i in 2022 (27-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WYO | HAW
Depth Chart: WYO | HAW
Rosters: WYO | HAW
(#100) Hawai'i Info
Power Rating: -6.295 #100
Offense Rating: 2.77 #117
Defense Rating: 10.06 #82
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #105
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #128
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Talent Rating: 454.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.26 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.15 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Hawai'i has lost 7 straight
Hawai'i has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 0 (2 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Hawai'i Notes
(8/1) QB M. Alejado fun find late LY, but vs bad teams
(8/1) Front 7 are strength of defense, DL improved?
(8/1) Chang is 2-15 on the road & road sched rough
(8/1) 1/2 schedule by Sept 27 when at Air Force, yikes
(6/14) WR good, Ashlock & Cenacle back. Have depth
(4/7) RB no used much, JAGs at best
(4/7) Portal WR Harris (Stan) may take #2 job
(4/7) OL 4/5 back, good LY, some size/depth
(4/7) Def bad LY, returns some. 4 portal DL added
(4/7) Offense could jump TY, can Def improve?

Hawai'i Highlights
Hawai'i is Undefeated at Home

Hawai'i Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Hawai'i Secondary is very good (#30)
Hawai'i defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Hawai'i Deficiencies
Hawai'i has a bad TO Margin (#131)
Hawai'i Fumbles a Lot (#128)
Hawai'i Commits a Lot of Penalties (#136)
Hawai'i throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Hawai'i offense is not Explosive (#113)
Hawai'i offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#106)
Hawai'i Does Not Stuff Runs (#108)
Hawai'i has a bad defensive line (#100)


  
Wyoming's OC Jay Johnson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaden Anderson488259%535326.5
Landon Sims33100%23007.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Scott4420314.628
Terron Kellman (Tr)1813717.633
Samuel Harris1813017.228
Max White (Tr)82202.810
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Durr Jr.17284216.749
Johnmichael Gyllenborg884110.523
Jackson Holman (Tr)43809.520
Samuel Harris43609.032

View Wyoming's Full Roster
Wyoming's DC Aaron Bohl
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andrew Johnson201100
Evan Eller201010
Brayden Johnson (Tr)200011
Jones Thomas140003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Florentine103300
Lucas Samsula52200
Andrew Johnson201100
Chisom Ifeanyi (Tr)41110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jones Thomas140003
Tyrese Boss130002
Dainsus Miller60001

Hawai'i's OC Timmy Chang
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luke Weaver6110260%600535.9
Micah Alejado457064%367215.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Landon Sims3915403.919
Cam Barfield218904.213
Luke Weaver277302.713
Christian Vaughn32207.313
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Pofele Ashlock2623539.047
Landon Sims1815518.628
Karsyn Pupunu1311408.815
Brandon White (Tr)1211109.327

View Hawai'i's Full Roster
Hawai'i's DC Dennis Thurman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Peter Manuma251114
Jalen Smith180001
Elijah Palmer173003
Jamih Otis170000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackie Johnson III93320
Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina124220
Qwyn Williams (Tr)92200
Peter Manuma251114
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Peter Manuma251114
Elijah Palmer173003
Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen110003