Wyoming at Hawai'i - 2025 Matchup Preview
Wyoming logo Wyoming Cowboys at Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsHawai
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (11:00 PM EST)
Hawai'i -8.5 (45.0) (-350)  Open: -10.5 | 44.5
Hawai'i 27 - Wyoming: 7  (Mountain West)

 
Cowboys (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jay Sawvel (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 16 - 21 (11 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Our Line: Hawai'i -4.5  (SP+ HAW -11)
Projected Score: WYO: 19 - HAW: 24 (43)
HAW Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
WYO Travel: 3322 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Rainbow Warriors (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Timmy Chang (13 - 25)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (31 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Wyoming's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Wyoming at Akron-8.549.5W 10 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Wyoming vs Northern Iowa-14.047.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/13 Wyoming vs Utah+24.547.5L 6 - 31UN
Sat 9/20 Wyoming at Colorado+12.545.5L 20 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Wyoming vs UNLV+4.550.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 10/11 Wyoming vs San José State+1.550.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 10/18 Wyoming at Air Force+4.056.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/25 Wyoming vs Colorado State-5.546.5W 28 - 0UY
Sat 11/1 Wyoming at San Diego State+10.042.5L 7 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Wyoming at Fresno State+3.040.5L 3 - 24UN
Sat 11/22 Wyoming vs Nevada-6.039.5L 7 - 13UN
Sat 11/29 Wyoming at Hawai'i+8.545.0L 7 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 3

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule
Hawai'i's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Hawai'i vs Stanford-1.553.5W 23 - 20UY
Sat 8/30 Hawai'i at Arizona+13.555.5L 6 - 40UN
Sat 9/6 Hawai'i vs Sam Houston-7.047.5W 37 - 20OY
Sat 9/13 Hawai'i vs Portland State-35.554.5W 23 - 3UN
Sat 9/20 Hawai'i vs Fresno State+2.547.5L 21 - 23UY
Sat 9/27 Hawai'i at Air Force+7.052.5W 44 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Hawai'i vs Utah State+1.557.5W 44 - 26OY
Sat 10/18 Hawai'i at Colorado State+2.553.5W 31 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Hawai'i at San José State+2.555.5L 38 - 45ON
Sat 11/8 Hawai'i vs San Diego State+6.548.5W 38 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/21 Hawai'i at UNLV+2.564.5L 10 - 38UN
Sat 11/29 Hawai'i vs Wyoming-8.545.0W 27 - 7UY
Wed 12/24 Hawai'i vs California-1.550.5W 35 - 31OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1

Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WYO#122 (.05)38% (116)1638% (117)2.74 (109)13239% (100)1832.9 (127)#26 (.07)38% (25)20.540% (46)37% (22)2.77 (12)56.31.51.3
HAW#62 (.18)41% (88)2938% (118)2.8 (98)9844% (49)2673.77 (61)#72 (.17)42% (67)24.143% (74)40% (58)3.35 (41)61.51.31.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WYO#127 (.05)36% (126)39% (111)2.64 (122)13834% (125)1893.07 (126)#102 (.23)44% (96)43% (70)45% (113)3.97 (86)49.61.30.9
HAW#82 (.17)44% (52)46% (45)3.29 (26)9944% (50)2683.81 (81)#81 (.19)42% (71)45% (85)40% (58)4.15 (103)70.31.60.9



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WYO Offense121611.338.1%2.91.5183151321834.147%51%38%39%19%.05
HAW Defense1324.11741.6%3.351.1 - - - - - 46%52%43%40%16%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WYO Defense1220.522.738%2.771.3 - - - - - 55%44%40%37%13%.07
HAW Offense13293141.2%3.771.319365982673.737%62%38%44%12%.18

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wyoming1228:3117.734%52%6.656.31.51.34.41.3325.5
Hawai'i1329:3718.645%53%7.161.51.31.14.62.2329.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WYO Offense1247% (94)38% (117)32.4131.84.19 (107).02 (119)2.74 (109)56% (135)10% (89)0.96 (68)
HAW Defense1346% (26)43% (74) - - - - .1 (66)3.21 (119)81% (124)9% (82)0.97 (76)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WYO Defense1255% (120)40% (46) - - - - .09 (60)3 (94)74% (94)8% (122)0.93 (53)
HAW Offense1337% (133)38% (118)26.397.53.78 (122).02 (118)2.8 (98)59% (131)7% (13)0.91 (90)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WYO Offense1251% (50)39% (100)17.9321835.710.213 (86)12 (108).12 (122)1.4 (131)35% (122)25% (116).16 (118)9% (132)1.8 (123)
HAW Defense1352% (110)40% (58) - - - - - - 8 (55).25 (71)1.6 (77)34% (36)31% (82).42 (124)7% (41)2.2 (118)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WYO Defense1244% (17)37% (22) - - - - - - 10 (75).13 (21)1.6 (93)34% (27)27% (25).17 (22)6% (87)1.9 (43)
HAW Offense1362% (3)44% (49)24.337.8267.47.11126 (14)12 (127).31 (47)1.6 (61)34% (113)33% (31).37 (41)5% (39)2.2 (17)

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -2.63  #80
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 1.98  #115
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 4.61  #43
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00  #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Wyoming's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wyoming's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5  #107
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3  #131
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #55

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -2.63   Hawai'i: -1.96

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -10.5   Hawai'i: 0.9




Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -1.96  #108
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 1.56  #118
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 11.38  #87
2025 Talent Rating: 454.00  #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Hawai'i's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
Hawai'i's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9  #68
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6  #75
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5  #65

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 16 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.3
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.7

Wyoming's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Hawai'i 24
Wyoming 19


Total Points: 43

Based on Last 4 Games
Hawai'i 27
Wyoming 12

Total Points: 39

Based on Entire Season
Hawai'i 26
Wyoming 17

Total Points: 43
Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 29 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Hawai'i's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 7 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Hawai'i27Wyoming7Hawai'i -8.5Hawai'i45.0Under
202311/18Wyoming42Hawai'i9Wyoming -13.5Wyoming45.5Over
202210/29Hawai'i20Wyoming27Wyoming -11.5Hawai'i50.5Under
202111/27Wyoming14Hawai'i38Wyoming -13Hawai'i48.5Over
202010/30Wyoming31Hawai'i7Hawai'i -2.5Wyoming60.0Under
201810/06Hawai'i17Wyoming13Hawai'i -1Hawai'i55.0Under
201709/23Wyoming28Hawai'i21Wyoming -5.5Wyoming54.5Under
201410/12Hawai'i38Wyoming28Hawai'i -5Hawai'i47.0Over
201311/23Wyoming59Hawai'i56Wyoming -6.5Hawai'i0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Hawai'i463 Overs
Wyoming535 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 27 - 25 - 22 - 0
Road Teams2 - 72 - 70 - 22 - 5

(#80) WYO at (#108) HAW
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWYOHAW
Power RatePwr #80 #108
SP+SP+ #107 #68
Perf GradeGrade #117 #100
OffenseOff #130 #107
DefenseDef #52 #96
Spec TeamsST #132 #71
TalentTal #103 #125
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #101
Wyoming Notes
(8/1) OL was awful LY, but 4/5 back. No portals?
(8/1) Def was awful, lost a ton, added 12 portals
(8/1) Back 7 of Def has almost no exp. Pass D awful
(5/2) QB K Anderson likely. JAG- so far, depth??
(5/2) RB Scott back, Kellman (Char) added. Meh
(5/2) WR Sargent electric, Durr back as well. C+
(5/2) HC Sawvel awful 1st year. Doesn't look better TY
(5/2) TE Gyllenborg a nice target w/ 55 career rec
Wyoming Injury Report
Hawai'i Notes
(10/19) Great W @ CSU, Alejado another 300+. Bowling
(10/19) Great job by Chang & staff, 6-2 and bowling
(10/9) Def played hard vs Fresno, good bounce back W AFA
(9/24) QB Alejado playing hurt and looks defeated
(8/23) Def top 5 tacklers return from 2024
(8/1) QB M. Alejado fun find late LY, but vs bad teams
(8/1) Front 7 are strength of defense, DL improved?
(8/1) Chang is 2-15 on the road & road sched rough
(8/1) 1/2 schedule by Sept 27 when at Air Force, yikes
(6/14) WR good, Ashlock & Cenacle back. Have depth
(4/7) RB no used much, JAGs at best
(4/7) Portal WR Harris (Stan) may take #2 job
Hawai'i Injury Report
Wyoming on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
WYO OffHAW Def
Perf GradePerf #130 #96
SuccessSuc #116 #67
ExplosiveExp #115 #87
PPAPPA #122 #72
PowerPwr #115 #87
SP+SP+ #131 #65
Pts POPPO #127 #41
HavocHav #124 #63
Wyoming Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
WYO OffHAW Def
Run GameRun #98 #128
Run SuccessRSuc #117 #74
Run ExplRExp #68 #76
PPAExp #119 #66
Run BlockR Blk #58 -
OL YdsOLY #109 #119
Stuff RateStuff #115 #117
TackleTak -  #128
Wyoming Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
WYO OffHAW Def
Pass GamePass #133 #36
Pass SuccessPSuc #100 #58
Pass ExplPExl #131 #77
PPAExp #122 #71
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #101 #29
F7 HavocF7 #89 #82
DB HavocDB #132 #41
Hawai'i on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCatHAW OffWYO Def
Perf GradePerf #107 #52
SuccessSuc #88 #25
ExplosiveExp #29 #48
PPAPPA #62 #26
PowerPwr #118 #43
SP+SP+ #75 #55
Pts POPPO #61 #12
HavocHav #16 #119
Hawai'i Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat
HAW OffWYO Def
Run GameRun #111 #55
Run SuccessRSuc #118 #46
Run ExplRExp #90 #53
PPAExp #118 #60
Run BlockR Blk #97 -
OL YdsOLY #98 #94
Stuff RateStuff #98 #105
TackleTak -  #56
Hawai'i Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCatHAW OffWYO Def
Pass GamePass #45 #45
Pass SuccessPSuc #49 #22
Pass ExplPExl #61 #93
PPAExp #47 #21
Pass Block/RushP Blk #109 #112
F7 HavocF7 #13 #122
DB HavocDB #39 #87
Program Comparison
HAW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

WYO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 76° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 14
Hawai'i -8.5 (45.0)
Hawai'i won vs Wyoming this year (27-7)

Previous Matchups
Wyoming beat Hawai'i in 2023 (42-9)
Wyoming beat Hawai'i in 2022 (27-20)

  
WYO's OC Jay Johnson (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaden Anderson18933656%197112105.9
Mason Drube203853%187014.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Samuel Harris10055215.550
Sam Scott8940824.637
Terron Kellman (Tr)6533145.133
Landon Sims159716.537
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Durr Jr.46513411.249
Jaylen Sargent20240012.029
Michael Fitzgerald (Tr)16228314.335
Johnmichael Gyllenborg2421719.024

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Aaron Bohl (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brayden Johnson (Tr)745013
Evan Eller627221
Jones Thomas461004
Tyce Westland438242
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Florentine336413
Brayden Wilson (Tr)224210
Tyce Westland438242
Evan Eller627221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyrese Boss360005
Dainsus Miller253005
Desman Hearns (Tr)283005

HAW's OC Timmy Chang (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Micah Alejado28543066%31062497.2
Luke Weaver6310560%628636.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Landon Sims12255934.643
Cam Barfield8037144.641
Micah Alejado8110511.330
Christian Vaughn199705.114
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jackson Harris (Tr)499631219.778
Pofele Ashlock76827810.947
Brandon White (Tr)38399210.546
Karsyn Pupunu3330609.322

View Hawai'i's Full Roster

HAW's DC Dennis Thurman (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Peter Manuma733117
Jalen Smith543102
Jamih Otis543040
Elijah Palmer5170010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackie Johnson III288730
De'jon Benton (Tr)299670
Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina378430
Qwyn Williams (Tr)285320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Palmer5170010
Peter Manuma733117
Virdel Edwards311006