Central Michigan at Michigan - 2025 Matchup Preview
Central Michigan logo Central Michigan Chippewas at Michigan Wolverines(#23)Michigan logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Michigan -27.5 (42.5) (-4500)  Open: 0.0
Michigan 63 - Central Michigan: 3

 
Chippewas (5 - 4) (6 - 3 - 0)
Coach Matt Drinkall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (18 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#65)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
CMU 3rd straight Road Game
Our Line: Michigan -29.5  (SP+ MICH -25)

Projected Score: CMU: 7 - MICH: 37 (44)
MICH Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
CMU Travel: 104 miles
Wolverines (7 - 2) (3 - 6 - 0)
Coach Sherrone Moore (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 28 - 17 (33 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 3 (#23)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
 
Central Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Central Michigan at San José State+11.550.5W 16 - 14UY
Sat 9/6 Central Michigan at Pittsburgh+21.548.5L 17 - 45ON
Sat 9/13 Central Michigan at Michigan+27.542.5L 3 - 63ON
Sat 9/20 Central Michigan vs Wagner-29.047.0W 49 - 10OY
Sat 9/27 Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan-3.055.5W 24 - 13UY
Sat 10/4 Central Michigan at Akron-7.047.5L 22 - 28ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Central Michigan at Bowling Green+3.043.5W 27 - 6UY
Sat 10/25 Central Michigan vs Massachusetts-16.546.5W 38 - 13OY
Sat 11/1 Central Michigan at Western Michigan+6.043.5L 21 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/12 Central Michigan vs Buffalo+1.5
Wed 11/19 Central Michigan at Kent State-9
Sat 11/29 Central Michigan vs Toledo+13.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule
Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Michigan vs New Mexico-36.552.5W 34 - 17UN
Sat 9/6 Michigan at Oklahoma+3.047.5L 13 - 24UN
Sat 9/13 Michigan vs Central Michigan-27.542.5W 63 - 3OY
Sat 9/20 Michigan at Nebraska-1.547.5W 30 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Michigan vs Wisconsin-17.542.5W 24 - 10UN
Sat 10/11 Michigan at USC+3.058.5L 13 - 31UN
Sat 10/18 Michigan vs Washington-4.550.5W 24 - 7UY
Sat 10/25 Michigan at Michigan State-13.547.5W 31 - 20ON
Sat 11/1 Michigan vs Purdue-21.048.5W 21 - 16UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Michigan vs Northwestern-11.5
Sat 11/22 Michigan at Maryland-8.5
Sat 11/29 Michigan vs Ohio State+8.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CMU#50 (.2)41% (91)24.140% (100)2.83 (70)18843% (58)1543.73 (86)#68 (.14)41% (57)2440% (52)41% (73)3.77 (77)53.40.91.4
MICH#51 (.2)44% (54)28.147% (35)3.36 (12)22542% (75)1863.66 (90)#28 (.07)43% (85)17.242% (63)45% (106)3.49 (52)39.60.91.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CMU#96 (.15)39% (115)42% (88)3.2 (41)16934% (124)1633.82 (80)#96 (.21)40% (44)41% (48)39% (50)3.6 (45)60.920.4
MICH#113 (.1)40% (102)41% (101)3 (80)14940% (92)1234.18 (45)#40 (.13)38% (28)38% (18)39% (42)3.48 (36)36.81.51.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CMU Offense924.117.741%3.730.9173411881544.368%32%40%43%15%.2
MICH Defense917.210.642.9%3.491.7 - - - - - 45%54%42%45%18%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CMU Defense9243040.6%3.771.4 - - - - - 48%51%40%41%15%.14
MICH Offense928.133.244.1%3.660.920411225186655%44%47%42%11%.2

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Central Michigan932:0417.436%65%6.653.40.91.44.41.9129.7
Michigan929:2920.242%20%4.339.60.91.76.72.8030.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CMU Offense968% (5)40% (100)43.4187.74.314 (78).11 (68)2.83 (70)74% (55)11% (113)1 (50)
MICH Defense945% (20)42% (63) - - - - .03 (31)2.51 (40)57% (9)11% (32)0.77 (6)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CMU Defense948% (38)40% (52) - - - - .07 (64)2.8 (77)61% (19)8% (121)0.93 (54)
MICH Offense955% (27)47% (35)37.8225.2625 (23).21 (26)3.36 (12)74% (61)7% (17)0.94 (79)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CMU Offense932% (132)43% (58)11.816.7153.69.21311 (106)2 (3).43 (17)1.7 (18)33% (93)27% (101).33 (66)3% (7)2.1 (44)
MICH Defense954% (114)45% (106) - - - - - - 11 (4).15 (37)1.2 (2)28% (124)32% (97).36 (106)7% (45)2.1 (92)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CMU Defense951% (98)41% (73) - - - - - - 10 (12).23 (71)1.5 (52)31% (80)30% (72).33 (90)7% (35)2 (59)
MICH Offense944% (109)42% (75)14.924.9185.77.512.57 (106)4 (20).25 (73)1.5 (90)30% (42)31% (65).29 (78)4% (15)1.8 (120)

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -9.10  #110
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 5.01  #97
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 14.11  #110
2025 Talent Rating: 514.00  #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Central Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5
Central Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4  #104
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.6  #119
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #74

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -9.10   Michigan: 20.415

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -9.4   Michigan: 15.6




Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 20.415  #19
Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.36  #36
Michigan's Defense Rating: -4.87  #11
2025 Talent Rating: 1042.00  #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 50  #16
Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0
Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.6  #21
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.7  #41
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8  #9

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.7
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

Central Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 37
Central Michigan 7


Total Points: 44

Based on Last 4 Games
Michigan 30
Central Michigan 15

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Michigan 29
Central Michigan 18

Total Points: 47
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.2
Defense: 17.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.6

Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 2
Record vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Michigan63Central Michigan3Michigan -27.5Michigan42.5Over
201308/31Michigan59Central Michigan9Michigan -26Michigan0
200609/09Michigan41Central Michigan17
200308/30Michigan45Central Michigan7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan421 Overs
Central Michigan000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 40 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#110) CMU at (#19) MICH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCMUMICH
Power RatePwr #110 #19
SP+SP+ #104 #21
Perf GradeGrade #78 #19
OffenseOff #88 #38
DefenseDef #54 #15
Spec TeamsST #73 #12
TalentTal #116 #8
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #16
Central Michigan Notes
(10/31) QB1 Labas meh but QB2 Flores incredible runner
(10/31) 5-1 outside of paycheck games but lost @ Akron
(8/30) Ground & Pound offense, good vs SJSU 200+
(8/25) QB1 - Joe Labas starting, inj after 6 starts LY
(7/28) Is Drinkall running Army offense?
(6/12) Skill positions very weak on paper. Risers?
(3/26) QB Labas PT starter LY, Glasser has exp
(3/26) RB rebuild, Cornist (Tul) added, some depth
(3/26) WR complete rebuild, 13 rec back. No portals
(3/26) OL 3/5 back, meh LY. 4 portals, 3 via Valpo
(3/26) Def bad LY, return some. 3 portals
(3/26) New HC Drinkall was Army OL coach.
Central Michigan Injury Report
Michigan Notes
(11/3) RB Justice Haynes foot surgery, out weeks
(10/18) Dominated UW up front both sides, Def was great
(10/12) Off is terrible, will not score vs Def w/ a pulse
(9/21) Skill positions on outside both Off & Def are bad
(9/20) Huge win at Neb, Run Off great, Run Def better
(9/14) Underwood unleashed, Run Off awful so far
(9/8) Biff Poggi will be acting HC vs CMU/Neb
(9/8) HC Moore a minus for lack of aggressiveness
(9/7) OL is not as good as thought. WR are awful
(8/24) QB1 Fr. Bryce Underwood is starting QB
(7/28) Schedule is easy, miss most outside OSU
(7/12) OL 3/5 back. Has talent but depth a concern TY
Michigan Injury Report
Central Michigan on Offense
Option Offense 67%, Pass: 32%
CategoryCat
CMU OffMICH Def
Perf GradePerf #88 #15
SuccessSuc #91 #85
ExplosiveExp #68 #1
PPAPPA #50 #28
PowerPwr #97 #11
SP+SP+ #119 #9
Pts POPPO #86 #52
HavocHav #58 #35
Central Michigan Run Game
Option Offense 67%, Pass: 32%
CategoryCat
CMU OffMICH Def
Run GameRun #56 #15
Run SuccessRSuc #100 #63
Run ExplRExp #50 #6
PPAExp #68 #31
Run BlockR Blk #109 -
OL YdsOLY #70 #40
Stuff RateStuff #65 #112
TackleTak -  #8
Central Michigan Pass Game
Option Offense 67%, Pass: 32%
CategoryCat
CMU OffMICH Def
Pass GamePass #62 #37
Pass SuccessPSuc #58 #106
Pass ExplPExl #18 #2
PPAExp #17 #37
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #135 #14
F7 HavocF7 #113 #32
DB HavocDB #7 #45
Michigan on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCatMICH OffCMU Def
Perf GradePerf #38 #54
SuccessSuc #54 #57
ExplosiveExp #117 #58
PPAPPA #51 #68
PowerPwr #36 #110
SP+SP+ #41 #74
Pts POPPO #90 #77
HavocHav #8 #89
Michigan Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat
MICH OffCMU Def
Run GameRun #26 #97
Run SuccessRSuc #35 #52
Run ExplRExp #79 #54
PPAExp #26 #64
Run BlockR Blk #14 -
OL YdsOLY #12 #77
Stuff RateStuff #2 #26
TackleTak -  #38
Michigan Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCatMICH OffCMU Def
Pass GamePass #86 #50
Pass SuccessPSuc #75 #73
Pass ExplPExl #90 #52
PPAExp #73 #71
Pass Block/RushP Blk #34 #27
F7 HavocF7 #17 #121
DB HavocDB #15 #35
Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

CMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 79° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Michigan -27.5 (42.5)
Michigan won vs Central Michigan this year (63-3)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
CMU's OC Jim Chapin (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Labas7810972%1066829.8
Angel H Flores192770%195207.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Angel H Flores10351985.037
Nahree Biggins8142625.358
Trey Cornist (Tr)6829814.429
Brock Townsend5328825.446
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Langston Lewis21295214.077
Tommy Mcintosh14225116.147
Tyson Davis14181212.933
Nahree Biggins15158110.588

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC Sean Cronin (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Kwiatkowski695113
Dakota Cochran573131
Caleb Spann391003
Elijah Gordon381013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Heldman359752
Jaion Jackson284204
Korver Demma206231
Fernando Sanchez III191110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kalen Carroll (Tr)352014
Jaion Jackson284204
Jordan Kwiatkowski695113

MICH's OC Chip Lindsey (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryce Underwood13422061%1671737.6
Jadyn Davis020%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Justice Haynes (Tr)121857107.175
Jordan Marshall12472985.956
Bryce Underwood5127245.337
Jasper Parker166914.311
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Donaven McCulley (Tr)26383214.744
Andrew Marsh25376215.069
Semaj Morgan19214111.332
Marlin Klein15162110.827

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC Don Martindale (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ernest Hausmann665131
Jimmy Rolder526221
TJ Metcalf (Tr)353002
Brandyn Hillman342002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Derrick Moore259932
Jaishawn Barham257342
TJ Guy133220
Jimmy Rolder526221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zeke Berry180006
Jyaire Hill282105
TJ Metcalf (Tr)353002