Central Michigan at Michigan - 2025 Matchup Preview
Central Michigan logo Central Michigan Chippewas at Michigan Wolverines(#23)Michigan logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Michigan -27.5 (42.5) (-4500)  Open: 0.0
Michigan 63 - Central Michigan: 3

 
Chippewas (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Matt Drinkall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (19 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#66)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
CMU 3rd straight Road Game
Our Line: Michigan -25  (SP+ MICH -20)

Projected Score: CMU: 10 - MICH: 35 (44)
MICH Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
CMU Travel: 104 miles
Wolverines (9 - 4) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Biff Pogi (Int) ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (29 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 3.5 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
 
Central Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Central Michigan at San José State+11.550.5W 16 - 14UY
Sat 9/6 Central Michigan at Pittsburgh+21.548.5L 17 - 45ON
Sat 9/13 Central Michigan at Michigan+27.542.5L 3 - 63ON
Sat 9/20 Central Michigan vs Wagner-29.047.0W 49 - 10OY
Sat 9/27 Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan-3.055.5W 24 - 13UY
Sat 10/4 Central Michigan at Akron-7.047.5L 22 - 28ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Central Michigan at Bowling Green+3.043.5W 27 - 6UY
Sat 10/25 Central Michigan vs Massachusetts-16.546.5W 38 - 13OY
Sat 11/1 Central Michigan at Western Michigan+6.043.5L 21 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/12 Central Michigan vs Buffalo-2.544.5W 38 - 19OY
Wed 11/19 Central Michigan at Kent State-7.550.5W 28 - 16UY
Sat 11/29 Central Michigan vs Toledo+11.546.5L 3 - 21UN
Fri 12/26 Central Michigan vs Northwestern+13.543.5L 7 - 34UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule
Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Michigan vs New Mexico-36.552.5W 34 - 17UN
Sat 9/6 Michigan at Oklahoma+3.047.5L 13 - 24UN
Sat 9/13 Michigan vs Central Michigan-27.542.5W 63 - 3OY
Sat 9/20 Michigan at Nebraska-1.547.5W 30 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Michigan vs Wisconsin-17.542.5W 24 - 10UN
Sat 10/11 Michigan at USC+3.058.5L 13 - 31UN
Sat 10/18 Michigan vs Washington-4.550.5W 24 - 7UY
Sat 10/25 Michigan at Michigan State-13.547.5W 31 - 20ON
Sat 11/1 Michigan vs Purdue-21.048.5W 21 - 16UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Michigan vs Northwestern-10.041.5W 24 - 22ON
Sat 11/22 Michigan at Maryland-14.046.5W 45 - 20OY
Sat 11/29 Michigan vs Ohio State+9.543.5L 9 - 27UN
Wed 12/31 Michigan vs Texas+7.050.0L 27 - 41ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CMU#70 (.17)41% (89)22.540% (103)2.79 (102)15844% (41)1533.6 (79)#38 (.1)40% (45)23.541% (56)39% (43)3.14 (27)45.20.91.5
MICH#45 (.2)45% (36)27.548% (17)3.25 (20)19843% (59)1713.67 (75)#39 (.1)42% (70)20.441% (51)44% (102)3.67 (69)31.81.11.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CMU#96 (.15)39% (115)42% (88)3.2 (41)16934% (124)1633.82 (80)#96 (.21)40% (44)41% (48)39% (50)3.6 (45)60.920.4
MICH#113 (.1)40% (102)41% (101)3 (80)14940% (92)1234.18 (45)#40 (.13)38% (28)38% (18)39% (42)3.48 (36)36.81.51.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CMU Offense1322.519.141.1%3.60.9163111581534.163%35%40%44%16%.17
MICH Defense1320.413.341.9%3.671.3 - - - - - 46%53%41%44%17%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CMU Defense1323.52839.5%3.141.5 - - - - - 47%51%41%39%17%.1
MICH Offense1327.529.245.3%3.671.1193691981715.655%43%48%43%12%.2

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Central Michigan1329:3515.835%60%5.645.20.91.54.92.2229
Michigan1327:1418.746%17%3.731.81.11.35.52.2030.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CMU Offense1363% (7)40% (103)38.8158.14.117 (78).07 (87)2.79 (102)75% (49)12% (121)0.92 (85)
MICH Defense1346% (20)41% (51) - - - - .04 (30)2.67 (24)61% (10)10% (53)0.81 (7)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CMU Defense1347% (39)41% (56) - - - - .04 (32)2.83 (57)62% (12)10% (61)0.9 (38)
MICH Offense1355% (31)48% (17)35.3197.85.632 (23).22 (20)3.25 (20)75% (49)7% (23)0.98 (63)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CMU Offense1335% (130)44% (41)11.917.5153.48.812.915 (106)6 (3).4 (23)1.6 (40)32% (73)26% (115).31 (69)4% (16)2.1 (35)
MICH Defense1353% (117)44% (102) - - - - - - 13 (4).2 (52)1.3 (3)30% (103)32% (96).37 (107)7% (34)2 (64)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CMU Defense1351% (97)39% (43) - - - - - - 12 (12).19 (44)1.5 (64)32% (59)27% (33).25 (55)7% (24)2 (74)
MICH Offense1343% (107)43% (59)13.822.8171.57.512.59 (106)7 (20).25 (68)1.5 (107)30% (39)32% (44).31 (67)4% (16)1.7 (132)

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -5.43  #89
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 4.11  #100
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 9.54  #78
2025 Talent Rating: 514.00  #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Central Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 5.7
Central Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9  #92
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.5  #115
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2  #57

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -5.43   Michigan: 19.24

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -5.9   Michigan: 13.6




Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 19.24  #17
Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.47  #39
Michigan's Defense Rating: -4.41  #18
2025 Talent Rating: 1042.00  #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 50  #16
Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 3.5
Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6  #26
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #50
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.5  #12

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.1
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Central Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 35
Central Michigan 10


Total Points: 44

Based on Last 4 Games
Michigan 28
Central Michigan 18

Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
Michigan 27
Central Michigan 19

Total Points: 46
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.2
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.3

Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Michigan63Central Michigan3Michigan -27.5Michigan42.5Over
201308/31Michigan59Central Michigan9Michigan -26Michigan0
200609/09Michigan41Central Michigan17
200308/30Michigan45Central Michigan7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan421 Overs
Central Michigan000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 40 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#89) CMU at (#17) MICH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCMUMICH
Power RatePwr #89 #17
SP+SP+ #92 #26
Perf GradeGrade #78 #21
OffenseOff #75 #47
DefenseDef #70 #17
Spec TeamsST #117 #7
TalentTal #116 #8
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #16
Central Michigan Notes
(10/31) QB1 Labas meh but QB2 Flores incredible runner
(10/31) 5-1 outside of paycheck games but lost @ Akron
(8/30) Ground & Pound offense, good vs SJSU 200+
(8/25) QB1 - Joe Labas starting, inj after 6 starts LY
(7/28) Is Drinkall running Army offense?
(6/12) Skill positions very weak on paper. Risers?
(3/26) QB Labas PT starter LY, Glasser has exp
(3/26) RB rebuild, Cornist (Tul) added, some depth
(3/26) WR complete rebuild, 13 rec back. No portals
(3/26) OL 3/5 back, meh LY. 4 portals, 3 via Valpo
(3/26) Def bad LY, return some. 3 portals
(3/26) New HC Drinkall was Army OL coach.
Central Michigan Injury Report
Michigan Notes
(12/10) Sherrone Moore fired for cause. Messy situation
(11/18) RB Justice Haynes out regular season (foot inj)
(11/16) Keep eking by B1G bottom feeders. Overrated
(10/18) Dominated UW up front both sides, Def was great
(10/12) Off is terrible, will not score vs Def w/ a pulse
(9/21) Skill positions on outside both Off & Def are bad
(9/20) Huge win at Neb, Run Off great, Run Def better
(9/14) Underwood unleashed, Run Off awful so far
(9/8) Biff Poggi will be acting HC vs CMU/Neb
(9/8) HC Moore a minus for lack of aggressiveness
(9/7) OL is not as good as thought. WR are awful
(8/24) QB1 Fr. Bryce Underwood is starting QB
Michigan Injury Report
Central Michigan on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat
CMU OffMICH Def
Perf GradePerf #75 #17
SuccessSuc #89 #70
ExplosiveExp #110 #7
PPAPPA #70 #39
PowerPwr #100 #18
SP+SP+ #115 #12
Pts POPPO #79 #69
HavocHav #71 #45
Central Michigan Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat
CMU OffMICH Def
Run GameRun #66 #5
Run SuccessRSuc #103 #51
Run ExplRExp #85 #7
PPAExp #87 #30
Run BlockR Blk #87 -
OL YdsOLY #102 #24
Stuff RateStuff #81 #94
TackleTak -  #13
Central Michigan Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat
CMU OffMICH Def
Pass GamePass #59 #52
Pass SuccessPSuc #41 #102
Pass ExplPExl #40 #3
PPAExp #23 #52
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #134 #30
F7 HavocF7 #121 #53
DB HavocDB #16 #34
Michigan on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCatMICH OffCMU Def
Perf GradePerf #47 #70
SuccessSuc #36 #45
ExplosiveExp #116 #55
PPAPPA #45 #38
PowerPwr #39 #78
SP+SP+ #50 #57
Pts POPPO #75 #27
HavocHav #9 #45
Michigan Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
MICH OffCMU Def
Run GameRun #24 #117
Run SuccessRSuc #17 #56
Run ExplRExp #63 #38
PPAExp #20 #32
Run BlockR Blk #38 -
OL YdsOLY #20 #57
Stuff RateStuff #8 #29
TackleTak -  #36
Michigan Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCatMICH OffCMU Def
Pass GamePass #80 #43
Pass SuccessPSuc #59 #43
Pass ExplPExl #107 #64
PPAExp #68 #44
Pass Block/RushP Blk #49 #21
F7 HavocF7 #23 #61
DB HavocDB #16 #24
Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Average P4

CMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 79° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Michigan -27.5 (42.5)
Michigan won vs Central Michigan this year (63-3)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
CMU's OC Jim Chapin (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Labas14720871%18541368.9
Angel H Flores192868%195217.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nahree Biggins10554025.158
Angel H Flores10752784.937
Trey Cornist (Tr)10446914.529
Brock Townsend8241845.146
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Langston Lewis43596313.977
Tommy Mcintosh31422313.647
Tyson Davis25323212.936
Nahree Biggins1918519.788

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC Sean Cronin (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Kwiatkowski11214324
Dakota Cochran816153
Caleb Spann541004
Kalen Carroll (Tr)492014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Heldman48171284
Korver Demma289451
Jordan Kwiatkowski11214324
Jaion Jackson454227
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brenden Deasfernandes250008
Jaion Jackson454227
Jordan Kwiatkowski11214324

MICH's OC Chip Lindsey (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryce Underwood17929361%2229967.6
Jadyn Davis020%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Marshall150932106.265
Justice Haynes (Tr)121857107.175
Bryce Underwood7432354.437
Bryson Kuzdzal5624444.422
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Andrew Marsh42641315.369
Donaven McCulley (Tr)35534315.344
Semaj Morgan19214111.332
Marlin Klein20209110.527

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC Don Martindale (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jimmy Rolder697221
Ernest Hausmann686141
TJ Metcalf (Tr)513003
Brandyn Hillman483003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Derrick Moore29101033
Jaishawn Barham3210454
Jimmy Rolder697221
TJ Guy173220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zeke Berry2800010
Jyaire Hill332105
Jaishawn Barham3210454