Central Michigan at Michigan - 2025 Matchup Preview

Central Michigan Chippewas at Michigan Wolverines

Saturday, September 13th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Michigan -27.5 (42.5) (-4500) Open: 0.0
Michigan 63 - Central Michigan: 3

Chippewas (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Matt Drinkall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (19 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#66)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)

CMU 3rd straight Road Game
Our Line: Michigan -25.5 (SP+ MICH -21)
Projected Score: CMU: 9 - MICH: 35 (44)
MICH Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
CMU Travel: 104 miles

Wolverines (9 - 4) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Sherrone Moore (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (29 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 3.5 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
CMU Players
MICH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Central Michigan's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Central Michigan at San José State	+11.5	50.5	W 16 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Central Michigan at Pittsburgh	+21.5	48.5	L 17 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/13	Central Michigan at Michigan	+27.5	42.5	L 3 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/20	Central Michigan vs Wagner	-29.0	47.0	W 49 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan	-3.0	55.5	W 24 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/4	Central Michigan at Akron	-7.0	47.5	L 22 - 28	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18	Central Michigan at Bowling Green	+3.0	43.5	W 27 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/25	Central Michigan vs Massachusetts	-16.5	46.5	W 38 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/1	Central Michigan at Western Michigan	+6.0	43.5	L 21 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/12	Central Michigan vs Buffalo	-2.5	44.5	W 38 - 19	O	Y
Wed 11/19	Central Michigan at Kent State	-7.5	50.5	W 28 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Central Michigan vs Toledo	+11.5	46.5	L 3 - 21	U	N
Fri 12/26	Central Michigan vs Northwestern	+13.5	43.5	L 7 - 34	U	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule

Michigan's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Michigan vs New Mexico	-36.5	52.5	W 34 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/6	Michigan at Oklahoma	+3.0	47.5	L 13 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/13	Michigan vs Central Michigan	-27.5	42.5	W 63 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Michigan at Nebraska	-1.5	47.5	W 30 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Michigan vs Wisconsin	-17.5	42.5	W 24 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/11	Michigan at USC	+3.0	58.5	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/18	Michigan vs Washington	-4.5	50.5	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/25	Michigan at Michigan State	-13.5	47.5	W 31 - 20	O	N
Sat 11/1	Michigan vs Purdue	-21.0	48.5	W 21 - 16	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Michigan vs Northwestern	-10.0	41.5	W 24 - 22	O	N
Sat 11/22	Michigan at Maryland	-14.0	46.5	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/29	Michigan vs Ohio State	+9.5	43.5	L 9 - 27	U	N
Wed 12/31	Michigan vs Texas	+7.0	50.0	L 27 - 41	O	N

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CMU	#96 (.15)	39% (115)	22.5	42% (88)	3.2 (41)	169	34% (124)	163	3.82 (80)	#96 (.21)	40% (44)	23.5	41% (48)	39% (50)	3.6 (45)	60.9	2	0.4
MICH	#113 (.1)	40% (102)	27.5	41% (101)	3 (80)	149	40% (92)	123	4.18 (45)	#40 (.13)	38% (28)	20.4	38% (18)	39% (42)	3.48 (36)	36.8	1.5	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MICH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CMU Offense	12	22.5	19.1	38.7%	3.82	2	18	332	169	163	4.5	57%	43%	42%	34%	20%	.15
MICH Defense	13	20.4	13.3	38.3%	3.48	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	38%	39%	19%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CMU Defense	12	23.5	28	39.9%	3.6	0.4	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	41%	39%	18%	.21
MICH Offense	13	27.5	29.2	40.1%	4.18	1.5	15	272	149	123	4.5	60%	39%	41%	40%	15%	.1

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Central Michigan	12	29:26	17.9	35%	58%	6.8	60.9	2	0.4	7.7	2.6	3	27.1
Michigan	13	28:57	15.2	43%	71%	3.7	36.8	1.5	1.2	5.6	2.4	2	30

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CMU Offense	12	57% (24)	42% (88)	37.3	168.9	4.5	17 (84)	.22 (24)	3.2 (41)	80% (23)	12% (108)	1.09 (27)
MICH Defense	13	42% (1)	38% (18)	-	-	-	-	.04 (24)	2.72 (24)	82% (120)	11% (50)	0.85 (11)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CMU Defense	12	52% (80)	41% (48)	-	-	-	-	.15 (82)	3 (66)	82% (117)	13% (14)	1.18 (127)
MICH Offense	13	60% (9)	41% (101)	33.3	148.5	4.5	18 (78)	.1 (86)	3 (80)	84% (7)	10% (73)	0.91 (91)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CMU Offense	12	43% (110)	34% (124)	13.9	25.2	163.4	6.5	11.7	11 (122)	12 (85)	.04 (129)	1.5 (85)	34% (112)	22% (132)	.18 (116)	8% (119)	2 (86)
MICH Defense	13	57% (134)	39% (42)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.21 (56)	1.6 (71)	36% (12)	28% (28)	.27 (54)	8% (10)	2.2 (109)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CMU Defense	12	48% (54)	39% (50)	-	-	-	-	-	-	2 (134)	.28 (93)	1.7 (102)	36% (18)	30% (60)	.37 (95)	5% (117)	2.2 (103)
MICH Offense	13	39% (126)	40% (92)	13.8	22.5	123.3	5.5	9	11 (122)	12 (85)	.12 (119)	1.4 (131)	33% (90)	30% (92)	.26 (96)	5% (51)	1.7 (133)

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -9.36 #98
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 6.88 #109
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 16.24 #90
2025 Talent Rating: 514.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Central Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 5.7
Central Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.8 #100
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #120
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #65

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -9.36 Michigan: 16.29

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -8.8 Michigan: 12.4

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 16.29 #21
Michigan's Offense Rating: 16.26 #52
Michigan's Defense Rating: 1.08 #13
2025 Talent Rating: 1042.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 50 #16
Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 3.5
Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.4 #25
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #48
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.0 #15

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.1
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Central Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Michigan 35
Central Michigan 9

Projected Total Points: 44

Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.2
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.3

Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/13	Michigan	63	Central Michigan	3	Michigan -27.5	Michigan	42.5	Over
2013	08/31	Michigan	59	Central Michigan	9	Michigan -26	Michigan	0
2006	09/09	Michigan	41	Central Michigan	17
2003	08/30	Michigan	45	Central Michigan	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan	4	2	1 Overs
Central Michigan	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 4	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

(#98) CMU at (#21) MICH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CMU	MICH
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#98	#21
SP+SP+	#100	#25
Perf GradeGrade	#73	#32
OffenseOff	#79	#47
DefenseDef	#46	#31
Spec TeamsST	#126	#3
TalentTal	#116	#8
Blue ChipsBC%	#101	#16

Central Michigan Notes(10/31) QB1 Labas meh but QB2 Flores incredible runner
(10/31) 5-1 outside of paycheck games but lost @ Akron
(8/30) Ground & Pound offense, good vs SJSU 200+
(8/25) QB1 - Joe Labas starting, inj after 6 starts LY
(7/28) Is Drinkall running Army offense?
(6/12) Skill positions very weak on paper. Risers?
(3/26) QB Labas PT starter LY, Glasser has exp
(3/26) RB rebuild, Cornist (Tul) added, some depth
(3/26) WR complete rebuild, 13 rec back. No portals
(3/26) OL 3/5 back, meh LY. 4 portals, 3 via Valpo
(3/26) Def bad LY, return some. 3 portals
(3/26) New HC Drinkall was Army OL coach.
Central Michigan Injury Report

Michigan Notes(12/10) Sherrone Moore fired for cause. Messy situation
(11/18) RB Justice Haynes out regular season (foot inj)
(11/16) Keep eking by B1G bottom feeders. Overrated
(10/18) Dominated UW up front both sides, Def was great
(10/12) Off is terrible, will not score vs Def w/ a pulse
(9/21) Skill positions on outside both Off & Def are bad
(9/20) Huge win at Neb, Run Off great, Run Def better
(9/14) Underwood unleashed, Run Off awful so far
(9/8) Biff Poggi will be acting HC vs CMU/Neb
(9/8) HC Moore a minus for lack of aggressiveness
(9/7) OL is not as good as thought. WR are awful
(8/24) QB1 Fr. Bryce Underwood is starting QB
Michigan Injury Report

Central Michigan on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat	CMU Off	MICH Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#79	#31
SuccessSuc	#115	#28
ExplosiveExp	#82	#73
PPAPPA	#96	#40
PowerPwr	#109	#13
SP+SP+	#120	#15
Pts POPPO	#80	#36
HavocHav	#124	#23

Central Michigan Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat	CMU Off	MICH Def
Run GameRun	#78	#19
Run SuccessRSuc	#88	#18
Run ExplRExp	#27	#11
PPAExp	#24	#24
Run BlockR Blk	#77	-
OL YdsOLY	#41	#24
Stuff RateStuff	#12	#61
TackleTak	-	#32

Central Michigan Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat	CMU Off	MICH Def
Pass GamePass	#55	#66
Pass SuccessPSuc	#124	#42
Pass ExplPExl	#85	#71
PPAExp	#129	#56
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#135	#30
F7 HavocF7	#108	#50
DB HavocDB	#119	#10

Michigan on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	MICH Off	CMU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#47	#46
SuccessSuc	#102	#44
ExplosiveExp	#133	#121
PPAPPA	#113	#96
PowerPwr	#52	#90
SP+SP+	#48	#65
Pts POPPO	#45	#45
HavocHav	#58	#45

Michigan Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	MICH Off	CMU Def
Run GameRun	#16	#99
Run SuccessRSuc	#101	#48
Run ExplRExp	#91	#127
PPAExp	#86	#82
Run BlockR Blk	#29	-
OL YdsOLY	#80	#66
Stuff RateStuff	#27	#72
TackleTak	-	#21

Michigan Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	MICH Off	CMU Def
Pass GamePass	#92	#26
Pass SuccessPSuc	#92	#50
Pass ExplPExl	#131	#102
PPAExp	#119	#93
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#74	#45
F7 HavocF7	#73	#14
DB HavocDB	#51	#117

Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

CMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
Michigan -27.5 (42.5)
Michigan won vs Central Michigan this year (63-3)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Central Michigan last year (63-3)

CMU's OC Jim Chapin (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joey Labas	147	208	71%	1854	13	6	8.9
Angel H Flores	19	28	68%	195	2	1	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nahree Biggins	105	540	2	5.1	58
Angel H Flores	107	527	8	4.9	37
Trey Cornist (Tr)	104	469	1	4.5	29
Brock Townsend	82	418	4	5.1	46

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Langston Lewis	43	596	3	13.9	77
Tommy Mcintosh	31	422	3	13.6	47
Tyson Davis	25	323	2	12.9	36
Nahree Biggins	19	185	1	9.7	88

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC Sean Cronin (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Kwiatkowski	112	14	3	2	4
Dakota Cochran	81	6	1	5	3
Caleb Spann	54	1	0	0	4
Kalen Carroll (Tr)	49	2	0	1	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Heldman	48	17	12	8	4
Korver Demma	28	9	4	5	1
Jordan Kwiatkowski	112	14	3	2	4
Jaion Jackson	45	4	2	2	7

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brenden Deasfernandes	25	0	0	0	8
Jaion Jackson	45	4	2	2	7
Jordan Kwiatkowski	112	14	3	2	4

MICH's OC Chip Lindsey (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bryce Underwood	202	335	60%	2428	11	9	7.2
Jadyn Davis	0	2	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Marshall	150	932	10	6.2	65
Justice Haynes (Tr)	121	857	10	7.1	75
Bryce Underwood	88	392	6	4.5	37
Bryson Kuzdzal	76	326	4	4.3	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Andrew Marsh	45	651	4	14.5	69
Donaven McCulley (Tr)	39	588	3	15.1	44
Marlin Klein	24	248	1	10.3	27
Semaj Morgan	20	223	1	11.2	32

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC Don Martindale (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jimmy Rolder	73	7	2	2	1
Ernest Hausmann	68	6	1	4	1
TJ Metcalf (Tr)	58	3	0	0	4
Brandyn Hillman	49	3	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Derrick Moore	29	10	10	3	3
Jaishawn Barham	32	10	4	5	4
Jimmy Rolder	73	7	2	2	1
Cole Sullivan	44	5	2	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Zeke Berry	33	0	0	10
Jyaire Hill	36	3	1	5
TJ Metcalf (Tr)	58	3	0	4