Wisconsin at Michigan - 2025 Matchup Preview
Wisconsin logo Wisconsin Badgers at Michigan WolverinesMichigan logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Michigan Stadium - Ann Arbor, MI  (Big Ten)

 
Badgers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (13 - 13)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (25 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#84)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 5) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
WIS coming off BYE
MICH coming off BYE
Our Line: Michigan -16.5   (SP+ MICH -14)
Projected Score: WIS: 16 - MICH: 32 (44)
MICH Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
WIS Travel: 293 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wolverines (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sherrone Moore (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 22 - 20 (27 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 2.1 (#9)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
 
Wisconsin's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Wisconsin vs Miami (OH)-17.541.5
Sat 9/6 Wisconsin vs Middle Tennessee-27.5
Sat 9/13 Wisconsin at Alabama+25
Sat 9/20 Wisconsin vs Maryland-13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Wisconsin at Michigan+16.5
Sat 10/11 Wisconsin vs Iowa+1.5
Sat 10/18 Wisconsin vs Ohio State+21.5
Sat 10/25 Wisconsin at Oregon+21.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Wisconsin vs Washington-1.5
Sat 11/15 Wisconsin at Indiana+8
Sat 11/22 Wisconsin vs Illinois+4
Sat 11/29 Wisconsin at Minnesota+4.5

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule
Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Michigan vs New Mexico-34.552.5
Sat 9/6 Michigan at Oklahoma+0.5
Sat 9/13 Michigan vs Central Michigan-37.5
Sat 9/20 Michigan at Nebraska-7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Michigan vs Wisconsin-16.5
Sat 10/11 Michigan at USC-7.5
Sat 10/18 Michigan vs Washington-15.5
Sat 10/25 Michigan at Michigan State-15.5
Sat 11/1 Michigan vs Purdue-36
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Michigan vs Northwestern-21
Sat 11/22 Michigan at Maryland-22
Sat 11/29 Michigan vs Ohio State+7.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIS#97 (.14)42% (73)22.646% (39)3.16 (46)15438% (107)1974.02 (57)#80 (.18)43% (88)23.145% (86)42% (81)4.17 (105)37.51.51
MICH#113 (.1)40% (102)2241% (101)3 (80)14940% (92)1234.18 (45)#40 (.13)38% (28)19.938% (18)39% (42)3.48 (36)36.81.51.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIS Offense1222.624.542.2%4.021.5193511541974.451%49%46%38%17%.14
MICH Defense1319.92138.3%3.481.2 - - - - - 42%57%38%39%19%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIS Defense1223.132.843.4%4.171 - - - - - 54%45%45%42%12%.18
MICH Offense132226.940.1%4.181.5152721491234.560%39%41%40%15%.1

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wisconsin1229:2118.836%60%5.337.51.513.51.4027.7
Michigan1328:5715.243%71%3.736.81.51.25.62.4230
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIS Offense1251% (70)46% (39)34.9154.14.419 (73).12 (75)3.16 (46)75% (58)8% (37)0.8 (129)
MICH Defense1342% (1)38% (18) - - - - .04 (24)2.72 (24)82% (120)11% (50)0.85 (11)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIS Defense1254% (110)45% (86) - - - - .15 (81)3.27 (105)68% (36)7% (130)0.97 (60)
MICH Offense1360% (9)41% (101)33.3148.54.518 (78).1 (86)3 (80)84% (7)10% (73)0.91 (91)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIS Offense1249% (65)38% (107)17.330.4196.76.511.414 (108)10 (63).16 (102)1.5 (100)30% (34)27% (111).15 (128)9% (132)1.8 (122)
MICH Defense1357% (134)39% (42) - - - - - - 11 (52).21 (56)1.6 (71)36% (12)28% (28).27 (54)8% (10)2.2 (109)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIS Defense1245% (22)42% (81) - - - - - - 4 (125).25 (76)1.3 (5)28% (123)28% (32).24 (42)5% (92)1.8 (19)
MICH Offense1339% (126)40% (92)13.822.5123.35.5911 (122)12 (85).12 (119)1.4 (131)33% (90)30% (92).26 (96)5% (51)1.7 (133)

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 7.69 #44
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 18.23 #43
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 10.54 #41
2025 Talent Rating: 818.00 #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #24
Wisconsin's 2025 Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6
Wisconsin's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2 #36
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #72
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #24

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 886.56
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74

Power Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 7.69   Michigan: 23.775

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 7.2   Michigan: 21.5




Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 23.775 #15
Michigan's Offense Rating: 20.45 #33
Michigan's Defense Rating: -0.60 #5
2025 Talent Rating: 1024.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 48 #11
Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 9.9 - 2.1
Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.5 #10
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #32
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.3 #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 886.56
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74


Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.5
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Wisconsin's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 32
Wisconsin 16

Projected Total Points: 44
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.9
Defense: 19.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202110/02Wisconsin17Michigan38MichiganWisconsin -2Michigan43.5Over
202011/14Michigan11Wisconsin49WisconsinWisconsin -7.0Wisconsin51.5Over
201909/21Wisconsin35Michigan14WisconsinWisconsin -3Wisconsin46.0Over
201810/13Michigan38Wisconsin13MichiganMichigan -10Michigan47.5Over
201711/18Wisconsin24Michigan10WisconsinWisconsin -6.5Wisconsin40.5Under
201610/01Michigan14Wisconsin7MichiganMichigan -10Wisconsin44.5Under
201011/20Michigan28Wisconsin48Wisconsin
200911/14Wisconsin45Michigan24Wisconsin
200809/27Michigan27Wisconsin25Michigan
200711/10Wisconsin37Michigan21Wisconsin
200609/23Michigan27Wisconsin13Michigan
200509/24Wisconsin23Michigan20Wisconsin
200211/16Michigan21Wisconsin14Michigan
200111/17Wisconsin17Michigan20Michigan
200009/29Michigan13Wisconsin10Michigan
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan824 Overs
Wisconsin742 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 43 - 33 - 20 - 1
Road Teams4 - 113 - 31 - 02 - 3

(#44) Wisconsin Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.69 #44
Offense Rating: 18.23 #43
Defense Rating: 10.54 #41
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #72
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #24
Talent Rating: 818.00 #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #24
Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.17 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Wisconsin Notes
(5/15) LT Heywood out for season (ACL), big loss
(5/15) DB looks light on bodies, CB could be 2 portals?
(4/18) RBs Dupree & rFr Jones decent combo, depth?
(4/4) OT Riley Mahlman a top OT via PFF past 2 yrs
(3/31) QB portals Edwards (MD)/O'Neil (SDSU) meh
(3/31) Def was decent, return a lot. 13 portals, 7 DL
(3/31) 0-5 finish LY, scored over 13 pts only once.
(3/24) Portal WR Hamper (Idaho) great find/weapon
(3/19) WR meh LY, Anthony back, #2? Depth?
(3/19) OL 3/5 back. Lots of depth, should be good
Wisconsin     Ratings Matchup     Michigan
Power #44
#15
Off #43
#33
Def #41
#5
Talent #39
#10
SP+ #36
#10
SP+ Off #72
#32
SP+ Def #24
#3

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WIS | MICH
Depth Chart: WIS | MICH
Rosters: WIS | MICH
(#15) Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 23.775 #15
Offense Rating: 20.45 #33
Defense Rating: -0.60 #5
Overall SP+ Rating: 21.5 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 10.3 #3
Talent Rating: 1024.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 48 #11
Expected Record: 9.9 - 2.1

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.18 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Michigan Notes
(7/12) OL 3/5 back. Has talent but depth a concern TY
(7/12) Signed J Garcia (ECU) late, Keene health?
(5/5) Def F7 still great, but lost top 5 tacklers, leaders
(5/5) HC Moore suspended for CMU/Neb games
(5/2) S Rod Moore a top 10 DB via PFF
(4/27) WRs lacking. Unless Fr are ready, bad unit TY
(4/4) DE Moore/DT Penny both top 10 PFF, great duo
(3/20) QB1 Keene early, Fr Underwood late?
(3/20) New OC Lindsey not inspiring. We'll see
(3/19) RBs rebuild w/ Haynes (Bama)/Marshall


  
Wisconsin's OC Jeff Grimes
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Billy Edwards27342065%28811596.9
Danny O'Neil (Tr)20933063%21811266.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darrion Dupree7931714.032
Cade Yacamelli3327428.345
Billy Edwards8115051.915
Danny O'Neil (Tr)748911.234
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Vinny Anthony39672417.263
Lance Mason (Tr)32569617.882
Dekel Crowdus (Tr)16402425.174
Trech Kekahuna25339213.669

View Wisconsin's Full Roster
Wisconsin's DC Mike Tressel
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Alliegro665301
Preston Zachman583004
Austin Brown512103
Geimere Latimer (Tr)460005
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Corey Walker (Tr)387635
Christian Alliegro665301
Parker Peterson215320
Jay'Viar Suggs (Tr)104322
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Geimere Latimer (Tr)460005
Corey Walker (Tr)387635
Ben Barten220015

Michigan's OC Chip Lindsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mikey Keene (Tr)27639270%288718117.4
Davis Warren13320764%1198795.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
C.J. Hester (Tr)11952944.424
Justice Haynes (Tr)7944875.785
Jordan Marshall3112003.924
Jake Garcia (Tr)404621.219
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Semaj Morgan2713915.131
Fredrick Moore11128111.620
Marlin Klein1310808.333
Peyton O'Leary10102110.222

View Michigan's Full Roster
Michigan's DC Don Martindale
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ernest Hausmann897221
Jaishawn Barham664152
TJ Metcalf (Tr)561007
Zeke Berry373029
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Guy327660
Derrick Moore236442
Cameron Brandt134312
Ernest Hausmann897221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zeke Berry373029
Jyaire Hill356108
TJ Metcalf (Tr)561007