Purdue at Michigan Game Matchup
Purdue logo Purdue Boilermakers at Michigan WolverinesMichigan logo
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Michigan Stadium - Ann Arbor, MI  (Big Ten)

 
Boilermakers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 16 - 40 (16 - 46 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.2 - 9.8 (#135)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
MICH is playing their 5th straight game
PUR is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Michigan -36.5   (SP+ MICH -32)
Projected Score: PUR: 8 - MICH: 44 (49)
MICH Win prob: 94% | Cover: 38%
PUR Travel: 207 miles
Wolverines (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sherrone Moore (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 22 - 20 (27 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 2.1 (#9)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
 
Purdue's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Purdue vs Ball State-16.50.0
Sat 9/6 Purdue vs Southern Illinois-11
Sat 9/13 Purdue vs USC+21
Sat 9/20 Purdue at Notre Dame+40.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Purdue vs Illinois+24
Sat 10/11 Purdue at Minnesota+24.5
Sat 10/18 Purdue vs Northwestern+13
Sat 10/25 Purdue vs Rutgers+16.5
Sat 11/1 Purdue at Michigan+36.5
Sat 11/8 Purdue vs Ohio State+41.5
Sat 11/15 Purdue at Washington+23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Purdue vs Indiana+22.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Michigan vs New Mexico-34.50.0
Sat 9/6 Michigan at Oklahoma+0
Sat 9/13 Michigan vs Central Michigan-37.5
Sat 9/20 Michigan at Nebraska-7
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Michigan vs Wisconsin-16
Sat 10/11 Michigan at USC-8
Sat 10/18 Michigan vs Washington-15.5
Sat 10/25 Michigan at Michigan State-15.5
Sat 11/1 Michigan vs Purdue-36.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Michigan vs Northwestern-21
Sat 11/22 Michigan at Maryland-22
Sat 11/29 Michigan vs Ohio State+7.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR#112 (.11)41% (96)15.842% (90)3.04 (65)11640% (93)1843.34 (115)#134 (.39)49% (129)39.949% (120)50% (129)4.82 (134)51.81.60.4
MICH#113 (.1)40% (102)2241% (101)3 (80)14940% (92)1234.18 (45)#40 (.13)38% (28)19.938% (18)39% (42)3.48 (36)36.81.51.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Offense1215.815.540.8%3.341.615299116184446%53%42%40%22%.11
MICH Defense1319.92138.3%3.481.2 - - - - - 42%57%38%39%19%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Defense1239.945.849.3%4.820.4 - - - - - 53%47%49%50%12%.39
MICH Offense132226.940.1%4.181.5152721491234.560%39%41%40%15%.1

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Purdue1226:5014.631%28%5.551.81.60.45.21.8026.8
Michigan1328:5715.243%71%3.736.81.51.25.62.4230
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Offense1246% (94)42% (90)28.8115.549 (125).04 (108)3.04 (65)59% (126)14% (128)0.8 (130)
MICH Defense1342% (1)38% (18) - - - - .04 (24)2.72 (24)82% (120)11% (50)0.85 (11)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Defense1253% (96)49% (120) - - - - .32 (134)3.39 (120)76% (79)8% (109)1.15 (124)
MICH Offense1360% (9)41% (101)33.3148.54.518 (78).1 (86)3 (80)84% (7)10% (73)0.91 (91)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Offense1253% (40)40% (93)15.827.4183.96.711.713 (116)9 (48).16 (103)1.5 (92)32% (78)31% (72).49 (14)8% (118)2.1 (29)
MICH Defense1357% (134)39% (42) - - - - - - 11 (52).21 (56)1.6 (71)36% (12)28% (28).27 (54)8% (10)2.2 (109)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Defense1247% (40)50% (129) - - - - - - 4 (125).48 (130)1.6 (88)28% (115)41% (134).63 (134)4% (125)2.1 (90)
MICH Offense1339% (126)40% (92)13.822.5123.35.5911 (122)12 (85).12 (119)1.4 (131)33% (90)30% (92).26 (96)5% (51)1.7 (133)

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -14.91 #105
Purdue's Offense Rating: 7.84 #106
Purdue's Defense Rating: 22.75 #107
2025 Talent Rating: 740.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Purdue's 2025 Expected Record: 2.2 - 9.8
Purdue's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.0 #101
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #110
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #90

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -14.91   Michigan: 23.805

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -10.0   Michigan: 21.5




Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 23.805 #14
Michigan's Offense Rating: 20.48 #35
Michigan's Defense Rating: -0.63 #5
2025 Talent Rating: 1024.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 48 #11
Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 9.9 - 2.1
Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.5 #10
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #32
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.3 #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Purdue Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 39.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.8

Purdue's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 44
Purdue 8

Projected Total Points: 49
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.9
Defense: 19.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/04Michigan41Purdue13MichiganMichigan -32.5Purdue52.5Over
202212/03Michigan43Purdue22MichiganMichigan -16Michigan53.0Over
201709/23Purdue10Michigan28MichiganMichigan -13Michigan51.0Under
201210/06Purdue13Michigan44Michigan
201110/29Michigan36Purdue14Michigan
201011/13Purdue16Michigan27Michigan
200911/07Michigan36Purdue38Purdue
200811/01Purdue48Michigan42Purdue
200710/13Michigan48Purdue21Michigan
200410/23Purdue14Michigan16Michigan
200310/25Michigan31Purdue3Michigan
200210/19Purdue21Michigan23Michigan
200110/13Michigan24Purdue10Michigan
200010/06Purdue32Michigan31Purdue
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan1122 Overs
Purdue311 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 61 - 21 - 10 - 1
Road Teams6 - 82 - 11 - 01 - 1

(#105) Purdue Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -14.91 #105
Offense Rating: 7.84 #106
Defense Rating: 22.75 #107
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.0 #101
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #90
Talent Rating: 740.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 2.2 - 9.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.34 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.82 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 50%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Purdue Notes
(5/11) Least exp'd P4 OL in CFB & 91% exp via portals
(5/7) QB Ryan Browne (NC) starter out of spring
(4/4) QB - Singleton (Ark) is small/shifty runner. Arm?
(3/20) RB Mockobee starter LY, hopefully more TY
(3/20) WR rebuild. 5 portal adds (3 P4/2 G5)
(3/20) OL rebuild 0/5 back. 3 UNLV portals w/ Odom
(3/20) Def awful LY, 11 portals. New DC (UNLV)
(3/20) New OC Henson was USC's OC past 2 yrs
(3/20) New DC Scherer from UNLV w/ Odom
(3/20) Odom is a great HC, but this is a rough job
Purdue     Ratings Matchup     Michigan
Power #105
#14
Off #106
#35
Def #107
#5
Talent #61
#9
SP+ #101
#10
SP+ Off #110
#32
SP+ Def #90
#3

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Purdue in 2023 (41-13)
Michigan beat Purdue in 2022 (43-22)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: PUR | MICH
Depth Chart: PUR | MICH
Rosters: PUR | MICH
(#14) Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 23.805 #14
Offense Rating: 20.48 #35
Defense Rating: -0.63 #5
Overall SP+ Rating: 21.5 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 10.3 #3
Talent Rating: 1024.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 48 #11
Expected Record: 9.9 - 2.1

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.18 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Michigan Notes
(5/5) Def F7 still great, but lost top 5 tacklers, leaders
(5/5) HC Moore suspended for CMU/Neb games
(5/2) S Rod Moore a top 10 DB via PFF
(4/27) WRs lacking. Unless Fr are ready, bad unit TY
(4/27) OL 3/5 back. Has talent, overall not sure for '25
(4/4) DE Moore/DT Penny both top 10 PFF, great duo
(3/20) QB1 Keene early, Fr Underwood late?
(3/20) New OC Lindsey not inspiring. We'll see
(3/19) RBs rebuild w/ Haynes (Bama)/Marshall


  
Purdue's OC Josh Henson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ryan Browne (Tr)437657%532427.0
Malachi Singleton (Tr)212875%3581012.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Mockobee13868745.063
Malachi Thomas (Tr)4316513.820
Ryan Browne (Tr)5015503.123
Jaheim Merriweather157715.135
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Corey Smith (Tr)12179214.938
Devin Mockobee17170110.021
De'Nylon Morrissette1110629.619
Chauncey Magwood (Tr)5102020.434

View Purdue's Full Roster
Purdue's DC Michael Scherer
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mani Powell (Tr)589440
C.J. Nunnally5512640
Hershey McLaurin (Tr)508113
Chad Brown (Tr)475006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Nunnally5512640
Breylon Charles (Tr)296531
Mani Powell (Tr)589440
Ian Jeffries (Tr)215450
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chad Brown (Tr)475006
Tony Grimes (Tr)200015
Ryan Turner (Tr)132104

Michigan's OC Chip Lindsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mikey Keene (Tr)27639270%288718117.4
Davis Warren13320764%1198795.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
C.J. Hester (Tr)11952944.424
Justice Haynes (Tr)7944875.785
Jordan Marshall3112003.924
Semaj Morgan63205.313
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Semaj Morgan2713915.131
Fredrick Moore11128111.620
Marlin Klein1310808.333
Peyton O'Leary10102110.222

View Michigan's Full Roster
Michigan's DC Don Martindale
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ernest Hausmann897221
Jaishawn Barham664152
TJ Metcalf (Tr)561007
Zeke Berry373029
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Guy327660
Derrick Moore236442
Cameron Brandt134312
Ernest Hausmann897221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zeke Berry373029
Jyaire Hill356108
TJ Metcalf (Tr)561007