Michigan at Northwestern - 2025 Matchup Preview
Michigan logo (#21)Michigan Wolverines vs Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Wrigley Field - Chicago, IL  (Big Ten)

 
Wolverines (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Sherrone Moore (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 15 (13 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 3.4 (#31)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
MICH coming off BYE
Our Line: Michigan -23   (SP+ MICH -21.5)

Projected Score: MICH: 34 - NW: 11 (45)
MICH Win prob: 95% | Cover: 56%
MICH Travel: 202 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Wildcats (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach David Braun (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 20 - 21 (28 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.6 - 8.4 (#122)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Michigan vs New Mexico-36.552.5W 34 - 17UN
Sat 9/6 Michigan at Oklahoma+3.047.5L 13 - 24UN
Sat 9/13 Michigan vs Central Michigan-27.542.5W 63 - 3OY
Sat 9/20 Michigan at Nebraska-2.546.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Michigan vs Wisconsin-16
Sat 10/11 Michigan at USC+5.5
Sat 10/18 Michigan vs Washington-8.5
Sat 10/25 Michigan at Michigan State-11.5
Sat 11/1 Michigan vs Purdue-29.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Michigan vs Northwestern-20.5
Sat 11/22 Michigan at Maryland-9.5
Sat 11/29 Michigan vs Ohio State+4.5

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Northwestern's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Northwestern at Tulane+6.547.5L 3 - 23UN
Fri 9/5 Northwestern vs Western Illinois-30.548.5W 42 - 7OY
Sat 9/13 Northwestern vs Oregon+25.550.5L 14 - 34UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Northwestern vs UCLA-8.5
Sat 10/4 Northwestern vs UL Monroe-22.5
Sat 10/11 Northwestern at Penn State+33
Sat 10/18 Northwestern vs Purdue-6.5
Sat 10/25 Northwestern at Nebraska+20.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Northwestern at USC+28.5
Sat 11/15 Northwestern vs Michigan+20.5
Sat 11/22 Northwestern vs Minnesota+11
Sat 11/29 Northwestern at Illinois+23.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH#41 (.3)40% (99)36.739% (103)3.02 (66)24341% (90)2094.8 (37)#42 (.05)39% (65)14.738% (59)41% (70)4 (89)47.30.72
NW#124 (.03)44% (69)19.747% (53)2.79 (88)17844% (70)1800.3 (135)#53 (.08)38% (55)21.347% (103)28% (15)2 (15)33.32.70.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH#113 (.1)40% (102)41% (101)3 (80)14940% (92)1234.18 (45)#40 (.13)38% (28)38% (18)39% (42)3.48 (36)36.81.51.2
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)39% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)44% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Offense336.71339.9%4.80.7224522432096.150%50%39%41%10%.3
NW Defense321.320.537.5%20.7 - - - - - 52%47%47%28%15%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Defense314.72438.8%42 - - - - - 44%55%38%41%20%.05
NW Offense319.72843.7%0.32.7193591781805.143%54%47%44%19%.03

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan329:1722.345%25%547.30.727.72.7031.8
Northwestern331:3719.341%43%4.733.32.70.73.31026.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Offense350% (71)39% (103)39.7242.76.112 (3).27 (35)3.02 (66)75% (52)7% (40)1.3 (18)
NW Defense352% (89)47% (103) - - - - .28 (123)3.6 (133)75% (80)5% (131)1.1 (99)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Defense344% (27)38% (59) - - - - .01 (52)2.78 (68)57% (28)12% (38)0.76 (26)
NW Offense343% (109)47% (53)35178.35.14 (79).06 (92)2.79 (88)71% (67)10% (88)0.87 (93)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Offense350% (62)41% (90)15.326.7209.37.913.72 (102)1 (23).34 (61)1.8 (18)32% (89)33% (54).54 (33)3% (26)2.1 (50)
NW Defense347% (46)28% (15) - - - - - - 2 (56)-.03 (18)1.4 (42)33% (66)32% (91).33 (85)11% (6)1.9 (61)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Defense355% (107)41% (70) - - - - - - 5 (6).12 (43)1.3 (25)29% (109)32% (88).37 (94)7% (34)1.9 (58)
NW Offense354% (41)44% (70)1729180.36.210.63 (90)6 (132).14 (104)1.2 (120)25% (26)20% (124).12 (113)9% (131)1.6 (116)

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 27.89 #16
Michigan's Offense Rating: 24.00 #22
Michigan's Defense Rating: -3.90 #12
2025 Talent Rating: 1042.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 50% #16
Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.4 #17
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #46
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.3 #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 27.89   Northwestern: -0.27

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 17.4   Northwestern: -4.3




Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: -0.27 #69
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 2.81 #116
Northwestern's Defense Rating: -0.96 #25
2025 Talent Rating: 840.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Northwestern's 2025 Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4
Northwestern's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3 #83
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #124
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #41

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Michigan Scoring
Offense: 36.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 14.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 34
Northwestern 11


Total Points: 45

Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 19.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 28
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.5

Northwestern's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Michigan50Northwestern6MichiganMichigan -10.5Michigan35.5Over
202110/23Michigan33Northwestern7MichiganMichigan -23.5Michigan51.5Under
201809/29Northwestern17Michigan20MichiganMichigan -14.5Northwestern46.5Under
201510/10Michigan38Northwestern0MichiganMichigan -10Michigan37.0Over
201411/08Northwestern9Michigan10MichiganNorthwestern -2Michigan0
201311/16Northwestern19Michigan27MichiganNorthwestern -1.5Michigan0
201211/10Michigan38Northwestern31Michigan
201110/08Northwestern24Michigan42Michigan
200811/15Michigan14Northwestern21Northwestern
200709/29Northwestern16Michigan28Michigan
200610/28Michigan17Northwestern3Michigan
200510/29Northwestern17Michigan33Michigan
200411/13Michigan42Northwestern20Michigan
200311/15Northwestern10Michigan41Michigan
200011/03Northwestern54Michigan51Northwestern
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northwestern212 Overs
Michigan1352 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 84 - 23 - 21 - 0
Road Teams8 - 72 - 40 - 12 - 3

(#16) Michigan Info
Power Rating: 27.89 #16
Offense Rating: 24.00 #22
Defense Rating: -3.90 #12
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.4 #17
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #46
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.3 #4
Talent Rating: 1042.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 50% #16
Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.8 PPO
Poor Run Success 39%
Poor Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 39%
Poor in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Michigan has lost 6 straight
Michigan has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Michigan Notes
(9/8) Biff Poggi will be acting HC vs CMU/Neb
(9/8) HC Moore a minus for lack of aggressiveness
(9/7) OL is not as good as thought. WR are awful
(8/24) QB1 Fr. Bryce Underwood is starting QB
(7/28) Schedule is easy, miss most outside OSU
(7/12) OL 3/5 back. Has talent but depth a concern TY
(7/12) Signed J Garcia (ECU) late, Keene health?
(5/5) Def F7 still great, but lost top 5 tacklers, leaders
(5/5) HC Moore suspended for CMU/Neb games
(5/2) S Rod Moore a top 10 DB via PFF

Michigan Highlights
Michigan has Really Good Running Game (#10)
Michigan offense is explosive (#10)
Michigan does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#16)

Michigan defense does not give up big plays (#20)
Michigan has a great TO Margin (#28)
Michigan defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)

Michigan Deficiencies
Michigan has a really bad Offense Away from Home
Michigan run game is really bad (#103)
Michigan Defense Gives up a Lot of Points Away from home

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatNWMICH
OverallOver#72#19
OffenseOff#45#36
DefenseDef#97#18
Special TeamsST#98#10
PassingPass#111#75
RushingRush#29#18
Run BlockRBLK#2#32
Pass BlockPBLK#62#35
Route RunningWR Rt#84#60
TacklingTkl#115#7
Run DefenseR Def#101#18
Pass Rush DefPRush#56#49
Coverage DefCov#82#11

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Northwestern last year (50-6)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wrigley Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MICH | NW
Depth Chart: MICH | NW
Rosters: MICH | NW
(#69) Northwestern Info
Power Rating: -0.27 #69
Offense Rating: 2.81 #116
Defense Rating: -0.96 #25
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3 #83
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #124
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #41
Talent Rating: 840.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 44%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 0.3 PPO
Avg Run Success 47%
Bad Pass Success 44%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 2 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Great Pass Def Success 28%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Northwestern has lost 7 straight
Northwestern has lost 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Northwestern Notes
(9/9) Top RB Cam Porter out for the season, ouch
(8/30) Stone 4 Int vs Tulane, Run Off & Run Def awful
(7/23) QB is Stone (SMU), no depth, Lausch retired
(5/21) Can WR Wilde (FCS SDSU) bring hope?
(5/21) DL is light, but has exp and some pass rush
(5/21) CBs exp'd but avg, Safeties are good though
(5/21) WR complete rebuild. Depth looks meh, huge ?
(5/21) OL 3/5 back, awful LY. 3 portals, OT Tiernan great
(4/4) RB Porter back, some depth. Run game awful LY
(4/4) Def good LY, returns a lot. 3 portal adds

Northwestern Highlights
Northwestern defense is really good in red zone (#15)
Northwestern has a good pass defense (#15)
Northwestern Secondary is very good (#6)

Northwestern Deficiencies
Northwestern has a really bad Offense
Northwestern has a bad TO Margin (#131)
Northwestern throws a Lot of Interceptions (#132)
Northwestern offense is not Explosive (#115)
Northwestern offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#135)
Northwestern does not Sack the QB (#112)
Northwestern Does Not Stuff Runs (#130)
Northwestern has a bad defensive line (#133)


  
Michigan's OC Chip Lindsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryce Underwood468058%628217.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Justice Haynes (Tr)4938857.975
Jordan Marshall3010923.615
Bryce Underwood1410827.728
Jasper Parker94515.011
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Donaven McCulley (Tr)10158015.844
Semaj Morgan9121113.432
Channing Goodwin6107017.839
Marlin Klein7101114.427

View Michigan's Full Roster
Michigan's DC Don Martindale
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ernest Hausmann201020
Jimmy Rolder161001
Brandyn Hillman131001
Cole Sullivan132200
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cole Sullivan132200
Jaishawn Barham123210
Dominic Nichols62210
Troy Bowles (Tr)42110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jyaire Hill112102
Zeke Berry20002
Jaden Mangham71102

Northwestern's OC Zach Lujan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Preston Stone (Tr)518659%541366.3
Frank Covey IV010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Komolafe3615014.224
Joseph Himon II2813704.916
Cam Porter1813717.643
Dashun Reeder492123.079
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Griffin Wilde (Tr)15213014.246
Ricky Ahumaraeze473018.321
Joseph Himon II75908.414
Hunter Welcing555111.028

View Northwestern's Full Roster
Northwestern's DC Tim McGarigle
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Robert Fitzgerald271000
Mac Uihlein212000
Braydon Brus120002
Garner Wallace90001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Carmine Bastone92201
Aidan Hubbard92120
Michael Kilbane72110
Robert Fitzgerald271000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Fussell40004
Fred Davis II (Tr)60003
Braydon Brus120002