Michigan at Northwestern - 2025 Matchup Preview
Michigan logo Michigan Wolverines vs Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Wrigley Field - Chicago, IL  (Big Ten)

 
Wolverines (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sherrone Moore (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 22 - 20 (13 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 2.1 (#9)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
MICH coming off BYE
Our Line: Michigan -23.5   (SP+ MICH -27.5)
Projected Score: MICH: 32 - NW: 9 (43)
MICH Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
MICH Travel: 202 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Wildcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach David Braun (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 18 - 26 (18 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#123)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
 
Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Michigan vs New Mexico-34.552.5
Sat 9/6 Michigan at Oklahoma+0.5
Sat 9/13 Michigan vs Central Michigan-37.5
Sat 9/20 Michigan at Nebraska-7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Michigan vs Wisconsin-16.5
Sat 10/11 Michigan at USC-7.5
Sat 10/18 Michigan vs Washington-15.5
Sat 10/25 Michigan at Michigan State-15.5
Sat 11/1 Michigan vs Purdue-36
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Michigan vs Northwestern-21
Sat 11/22 Michigan at Maryland-22
Sat 11/29 Michigan vs Ohio State+7.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Northwestern's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Northwestern at Tulane+6.547.5
Sat 9/6 Northwestern vs Western Illinois-21.5
Sat 9/13 Northwestern vs Oregon+26
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Northwestern vs UCLA-0.5
Sat 10/4 Northwestern vs UL Monroe-15
Sat 10/11 Northwestern at Penn State+33.5
Sat 10/18 Northwestern vs Purdue-13
Sat 10/25 Northwestern at Nebraska+16
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Northwestern at USC+15.5
Sat 11/15 Northwestern vs Michigan+21
Sat 11/22 Northwestern vs Minnesota+9
Sat 11/29 Northwestern at Illinois+18.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH#113 (.1)40% (102)2241% (101)3 (80)14940% (92)1234.18 (45)#40 (.13)38% (28)19.938% (18)39% (42)3.48 (36)36.81.51.2
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)17.839% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)26.344% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Offense13221340.1%4.181.5152721491234.560%39%41%40%15%.1
NW Defense1226.326.345%3.741.3 - - - - - 47%53%44%46%15%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Defense1319.919.538.3%3.481.2 - - - - - 42%57%38%39%19%.13
NW Offense1217.817.837.1%3.021.516285991863.445%54%39%36%19%.02

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan1328:5715.243%71%3.736.81.51.25.62.4230
Northwestern1229:491633%50%4.838.81.51.34.81.9328
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Offense1360% (9)41% (101)33.3148.54.518 (78).1 (86)3 (80)84% (7)10% (73)0.91 (91)
NW Defense1247% (26)44% (80) - - - - .07 (42)2.99 (63)69% (47)8% (107)0.86 (15)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Defense1342% (1)38% (18) - - - - .04 (24)2.72 (24)82% (120)11% (50)0.85 (11)
NW Offense1245% (106)39% (113)29.398.63.412 (114).07 (102)2.63 (124)66% (112)11% (98)1.1 (20)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Offense1339% (126)40% (92)13.822.5123.35.5911 (122)12 (85).12 (119)1.4 (131)33% (90)30% (92).26 (96)5% (51)1.7 (133)
NW Defense1253% (110)46% (117) - - - - - - 10 (66).25 (77)1.4 (13)27% (128)35% (116).28 (55)7% (33)1.8 (24)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Defense1357% (134)39% (42) - - - - - - 11 (52).21 (56)1.6 (71)36% (12)28% (28).27 (54)8% (10)2.2 (109)
NW Offense1254% (31)36% (116)17.632.7186.15.710.67 (130)11 (72).02 (132)1.3 (134)35% (119)31% (79).2 (109)8% (121)1.8 (119)

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 21.05 #15
Michigan's Offense Rating: 20.45 #33
Michigan's Defense Rating: -0.60 #5
2025 Talent Rating: 1024.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 48% #11
Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 9.9 - 2.1
Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.5 #10
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #32
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.3 #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 886.56
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 21.05   Northwestern: -2.035

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 21.5   Northwestern: -6.1




Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: -2.035 #58
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 11.09 #86
Northwestern's Defense Rating: 9.06 #31
2025 Talent Rating: 826.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #61
Northwestern's 2025 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Northwestern's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1 #87
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #129
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #39

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 886.56
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74


Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 19.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.5

Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 32
Northwestern 9

Projected Total Points: 43
Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.8
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.3

Northwestern's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Michigan50Northwestern6MichiganMichigan -10.5Michigan35.5Over
202110/23Michigan33Northwestern7MichiganMichigan -23.5Michigan51.5Under
201809/29Northwestern17Michigan20MichiganMichigan -14.5Northwestern46.5Under
201510/10Michigan38Northwestern0MichiganMichigan -10Michigan37.0Over
201411/08Northwestern9Michigan10MichiganNorthwestern -2Michigan0
201311/16Northwestern19Michigan27MichiganNorthwestern -1.5Michigan0
201211/10Michigan38Northwestern31Michigan
201110/08Northwestern24Michigan42Michigan
200811/15Michigan14Northwestern21Northwestern
200709/29Northwestern16Michigan28Michigan
200610/28Michigan17Northwestern3Michigan
200510/29Northwestern17Michigan33Michigan
200411/13Michigan42Northwestern20Michigan
200311/15Northwestern10Michigan41Michigan
200011/03Northwestern54Michigan51Northwestern
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northwestern212 Overs
Michigan1352 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 84 - 23 - 21 - 0
Road Teams8 - 72 - 40 - 12 - 3

(#15) Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 21.05 #15
Offense Rating: 20.45 #33
Defense Rating: -0.60 #5
Overall SP+ Rating: 21.5 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 10.3 #3
Talent Rating: 1024.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 48% #11
Expected Record: 9.9 - 2.1

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.18 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Michigan Notes
(7/12) OL 3/5 back. Has talent but depth a concern TY
(7/12) Signed J Garcia (ECU) late, Keene health?
(5/5) Def F7 still great, but lost top 5 tacklers, leaders
(5/5) HC Moore suspended for CMU/Neb games
(5/2) S Rod Moore a top 10 DB via PFF
(4/27) WRs lacking. Unless Fr are ready, bad unit TY
(4/4) DE Moore/DT Penny both top 10 PFF, great duo
(3/20) QB1 Keene early, Fr Underwood late?
(3/20) New OC Lindsey not inspiring. We'll see
(3/19) RBs rebuild w/ Haynes (Bama)/Marshall
Michigan     Ratings Matchup     Northwestern
Power #15
#58
Off #33
#86
Def #5
#31
Talent #10
#37
SP+ #10
#87
SP+ Off #32
#129
SP+ Def #3
#39

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Northwestern last year (50-6)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wrigley Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MICH | NW
Depth Chart: MICH | NW
Rosters: MICH | NW
(#58) Northwestern Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.035 #58
Offense Rating: 11.09 #86
Defense Rating: 9.06 #31
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1 #87
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #129
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #39
Talent Rating: 826.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #61
Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.02 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Awful Pass Success 36%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.74 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Northwestern Notes
(5/21) Can WR Wilde (FCS SDSU) bring hope?
(5/21) DL is light, but has exp and some pass rush
(5/21) CBs exp'd but avg, Safeties are good though
(5/21) WR complete rebuild. Depth looks meh, huge ?
(5/21) OL 3/5 back, awful LY. 3 portals, OT Tiernan great
(4/4) RB Porter back, some depth. Run game awful LY
(4/4) Def good LY, returns a lot. 3 portal adds
(4/4) HC Braun dropped from 8 to 4 wins in year 2
(3/22) QB likely Stone (SMU), Lausch started LY


  
Michigan's OC Chip Lindsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mikey Keene (Tr)27639270%288718117.4
Davis Warren13320764%1198795.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
C.J. Hester (Tr)11952944.424
Justice Haynes (Tr)7944875.785
Jordan Marshall3112003.924
Jake Garcia (Tr)404621.219
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Semaj Morgan2713915.131
Fredrick Moore11128111.620
Marlin Klein1310808.333
Peyton O'Leary10102110.222

View Michigan's Full Roster
Michigan's DC Don Martindale
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ernest Hausmann897221
Jaishawn Barham664152
TJ Metcalf (Tr)561007
Zeke Berry373029
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Guy327660
Derrick Moore236442
Cameron Brandt134312
Ernest Hausmann897221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zeke Berry373029
Jyaire Hill356108
TJ Metcalf (Tr)561007

Northwestern's OC Zach Lujan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jack Lausch15929654%1714785.8
Preston Stone (Tr)305159%421518.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Porter12650164.044
Joseph Himon II5225724.951
Jack Lausch8721322.429
Caleb Komolafe5013902.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Griffin Wilde (Tr)6410401016.360
Cam Porter2317407.628
Frank Covey IV109809.827
Joseph Himon II159616.422

View Northwestern's Full Roster
Northwestern's DC Tim McGarigle
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Uihlein844201
Yanni Karlaftis (Tr)572121
Robert Fitzgerald461100
Damon Walters424002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aidan Hubbard337671
Anto Saka155440
Michael Kilbane203300
Mac Uihlein844201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Fussell391005
Fred Davis II (Tr)173004
Evan Smith282003