Michigan at Maryland - 2025 Matchup Preview
Michigan logo   Michigan Wolverines at Maryland Terrapins  Maryland logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (4:00 PM EST)
Michigan -14 (46.5) (-520)  Open: -11.5
Michigan 45 - Maryland: 20  (Big Ten)

 
Wolverines (9 - 4) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Sherrone Moore (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (26 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 3.5 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
MICH 2nd straight Road Game
MD is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Michigan -11  (SP+ MICH -12)

Projected Score: MICH: 30 - MD: 19 (49)
MICH Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
MICH Travel: 422 miles
Terrapins (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (33 - 41)
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (26 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
 
Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Michigan vs New Mexico-36.552.5W 34 - 17UN
Sat 9/6 Michigan at Oklahoma+3.047.5L 13 - 24UN
Sat 9/13 Michigan vs Central Michigan-27.542.5W 63 - 3OY
Sat 9/20 Michigan at Nebraska-1.547.5W 30 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Michigan vs Wisconsin-17.542.5W 24 - 10UN
Sat 10/11 Michigan at USC+3.058.5L 13 - 31UN
Sat 10/18 Michigan vs Washington-4.550.5W 24 - 7UY
Sat 10/25 Michigan at Michigan State-13.547.5W 31 - 20ON
Sat 11/1 Michigan vs Purdue-21.048.5W 21 - 16UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Michigan vs Northwestern-10.041.5W 24 - 22ON
Sat 11/22 Michigan at Maryland-14.046.5W 45 - 20OY
Sat 11/29 Michigan vs Ohio State+9.543.5L 9 - 27UN
Wed 12/31 Michigan vs Texas+7.050.0L 27 - 41ON

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 3, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Maryland's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Maryland vs Florida Atlantic-16.557.5W 39 - 7UY
Fri 9/5 Maryland vs Northern Illinois-17.044.5W 20 - 9UN
Sat 9/13 Maryland vs Towson-28.553.5W 44 - 17ON
Sat 9/20 Maryland at Wisconsin+10.544.5W 27 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Maryland vs Washington+5.552.5L 20 - 24UY
Sat 10/11 Maryland vs Nebraska+7.047.5L 31 - 34OY
Sat 10/18 Maryland at UCLA+3.552.5L 17 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Maryland vs Indiana+21.050.5L 10 - 55ON
Sat 11/8 Maryland at Rutgers+1.556.5L 20 - 35UN
Sat 11/15 Maryland at Illinois+15.551.5L 6 - 24UN
Sat 11/22 Maryland vs Michigan+14.046.5L 20 - 45ON
Sat 11/29 Maryland vs Michigan State+4.049.5L 28 - 38ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH#113 (.1)40% (102)27.541% (101)3 (80)14940% (92)1234.18 (45)#40 (.13)38% (28)20.438% (18)39% (42)3.48 (36)36.81.51.2
MD#106 (.13)41% (92)23.541% (97)2.89 (94)11141% (74)2763.62 (95)#84 (.19)43% (86)26.542% (65)44% (107)4.34 (116)58.61.71.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MD0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Offense1327.526.440.1%4.181.5152721491234.560%39%41%40%15%.1
MD Defense1226.527.343.3%4.341.4 - - - - - 50%50%42%44%14%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Defense1320.424.438.3%3.481.2 - - - - - 42%57%38%39%19%.13
MD Offense1223.526.340.9%3.621.7223861112763.640%60%41%41%17%.13

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan1328:5715.243%71%3.736.81.51.25.62.4230
Maryland1230:0521.540%45%6.458.61.71.45.71.2027.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Offense1360% (9)41% (101)33.3148.54.518 (78).1 (86)3 (80)84% (7)10% (73)0.91 (91)
MD Defense1250% (60)42% (65) - - - - .05 (28)2.73 (27)75% (75)10% (71)0.89 (27)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Defense1342% (1)38% (18) - - - - .04 (24)2.72 (24)82% (120)11% (50)0.85 (11)
MD Offense1240% (125)41% (97)30.8110.63.615 (96).03 (113)2.89 (94)69% (100)9% (45)0.95 (78)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Offense1339% (126)40% (92)13.822.5123.35.5911 (122)12 (85).12 (119)1.4 (131)33% (90)30% (92).26 (96)5% (51)1.7 (133)
MD Defense1250% (78)44% (107) - - - - - - 10 (66).34 (109)1.5 (44)30% (97)32% (91).3 (67)4% (122)1.8 (25)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Defense1357% (134)39% (42) - - - - - - 11 (52).21 (56)1.6 (71)36% (12)28% (28).27 (54)8% (10)2.2 (109)
MD Offense1260% (10)41% (74)26.341.1275.76.710.521 (51)14 (115).19 (97)1.4 (124)32% (77)32% (64).24 (101)8% (120)1.8 (123)

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 15.18  #21
Michigan's Offense Rating: 16.26  #52
Michigan's Defense Rating: 1.08  #13
2025 Talent Rating: 1042.00  #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 50%  #16
Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 3.5
Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.4  #25
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9  #48
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.0  #15

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 15.18   Maryland: 2.875

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 12.4   Maryland: 0.6




Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 2.875  #69
Maryland's Offense Rating: 12.66  #71
Maryland's Defense Rating: 12.51  #59
2025 Talent Rating: 806.00  #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 17  #29
Maryland's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Maryland's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.6  #75
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #90
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7  #55

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.4
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 30
Maryland 19


Projected Total Points: 49
Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.3
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Maryland's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Maryland20Michigan45Michigan -14Michigan46.5Over
202311/18Maryland24Michigan31Michigan -17.5Maryland50.5Over
202209/24Michigan34Maryland27Michigan -17Maryland66.0Under
202111/20Maryland18Michigan59Michigan -16Michigan58.5Over
201911/02Maryland7Michigan38Michigan -21.5Michigan57.5Under
201810/06Michigan42Maryland21Michigan -17.5Michigan44.0Over
201711/11Maryland10Michigan35Michigan -16.5Michigan48.5Under
201611/05Michigan59Maryland3Michigan -26.5Michigan54.5Over
201510/03Maryland0Michigan28Michigan -12Michigan45.0Under
201411/22Michigan16Maryland23Michigan -3Maryland0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Maryland135 Overs
Michigan974 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 73 - 72 - 21 - 5
Road Teams7 - 37 - 35 - 12 - 2

(#21) MICH at (#69) MD
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMICHMD
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #21 #69
SP+SP+ #25 #75
Perf GradeGrade #32 #104
OffenseOff #47 #106
DefenseDef #31 #73
Spec TeamsST #3 #104
TalentTal #8 #51
Blue ChipsBC% #16 #29
Michigan Notes
(12/10) Sherrone Moore fired for cause. Messy situation
(11/18) RB Justice Haynes out regular season (foot inj)
(11/16) Keep eking by B1G bottom feeders. Overrated
(10/18) Dominated UW up front both sides, Def was great
(10/12) Off is terrible, will not score vs Def w/ a pulse
(9/21) Skill positions on outside both Off & Def are bad
(9/20) Huge win at Neb, Run Off great, Run Def better
(9/14) Underwood unleashed, Run Off awful so far
(9/8) Biff Poggi will be acting HC vs CMU/Neb
(9/8) HC Moore a minus for lack of aggressiveness
(9/7) OL is not as good as thought. WR are awful
(8/24) QB1 Fr. Bryce Underwood is starting QB
Michigan Injury Report
Maryland Notes
(11/29) 8 straight L's to finish, but Locksley is back next year?
(11/22) 7 straight L's, 4th straight no show. Team quit
(11/9) Only 3 2H points in bad L to Rutgers. Bowl doubts
(11/5) 1-11 run after wk 4 past 2 years, last 3/4 by 1 score
(11/2) Locksley now 17-45 in B1G games, 20-0 OOC
(10/12) Blew Neb game. Is it same ole MD time now it's Oct?
(10/6) Locksley is now 0-10 following a bye week
(9/24) Fr DEs Stewart & Mathis have been huge finds
(9/20) Huge W at Wisc, Fr QB Washington the real deal
(9/5) Run game awful. QB Wash & WR entire Off
(8/30) QB Wash. great start, run game awful, Def OK
(8/21) Fr QB Washington may be real deal, big add
Maryland Injury Report
Michigan on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
MICH OffMD Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #47 #73
SuccessSuc #102 #86
ExplosiveExp #133 #39
PPAPPA #113 #84
PowerPwr #52 #59
SP+SP+ #48 #55
Pts POPPO #45 #116
HavocHav #58 #103
Michigan Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
MICH OffMD Def
Run GameRun #16 #81
Run SuccessRSuc #101 #65
Run ExplRExp #91 #27
PPAExp #86 #28
Run BlockR Blk #29 -
OL YdsOLY #80 #27
Stuff RateStuff #27 #42
TackleTak -  #83
Michigan Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
MICH OffMD Def
Pass GamePass #92 #70
Pass SuccessPSuc #92 #107
Pass ExplPExl #131 #44
PPAExp #119 #109
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #74 #43
F7 HavocF7 #73 #71
DB HavocDB #51 #122
Maryland on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 35%
CategoryCatMD OffMICH Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #106 #31
SuccessSuc #92 #28
ExplosiveExp #89 #73
PPAPPA #106 #40
PowerPwr #71 #13
SP+SP+ #90 #15
Pts POPPO #95 #36
HavocHav #88 #23
Maryland Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 35%
CategoryCat
MD OffMICH Def
Run GameRun #86 #19
Run SuccessRSuc #97 #18
Run ExplRExp #78 #11
PPAExp #113 #24
Run BlockR Blk #136 -
OL YdsOLY #94 #24
Stuff RateStuff #73 #61
TackleTak -  #32
Maryland Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 35%
CategoryCatMD OffMICH Def
Pass GamePass #56 #66
Pass SuccessPSuc #74 #42
Pass ExplPExl #124 #71
PPAExp #97 #56
Pass Block/RushP Blk #28 #30
F7 HavocF7 #45 #50
DB HavocDB #120 #10
Program Comparison
MD 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Maryland Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 55° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 13
Michigan 14.0 (46.5)
Michigan won at Maryland this year (45-20)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Maryland last year (45-20)
Michigan beat Maryland in 2023 (31-24)

  
MICH's OC Chip Lindsey (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryce Underwood20233560%24281197.2
Jadyn Davis020%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Marshall150932106.265
Justice Haynes (Tr)121857107.175
Bryce Underwood8839264.537
Bryson Kuzdzal7632644.322
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Andrew Marsh45651414.569
Donaven McCulley (Tr)39588315.144
Marlin Klein24248110.327
Semaj Morgan20223111.232

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC Don Martindale (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jimmy Rolder737221
Ernest Hausmann686141
TJ Metcalf (Tr)583004
Brandyn Hillman493003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Derrick Moore29101033
Jaishawn Barham3210454
Jimmy Rolder737221
Cole Sullivan445201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zeke Berry3300010
Jyaire Hill363105
TJ Metcalf (Tr)583004

MD's OC Pep Hamilton (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Malik Washington27347358%29631796.3
Khristian Martin111765%105106.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DeJuan Williams12850133.940
Malik Washington5531745.873
Nolan Ray6728924.353
Iverson Howard3912503.210
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Shaleak Knotts44717616.362
Jalil Farooq (Tr)5854549.429
Octavian Smith Jr.43529012.353
DeJuan Williams4542619.555

View Maryland's Full Roster

MD's DC Brian Williams (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daniel Wingate1027221
Jalen Huskey722002
Carlton Smith642140
Lavain Scruggs641013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sidney Stewart3211772
Zahir Mathis359631
Nahsir Taylor193220
Trey Reddick536202
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dontay Joyner (Tr)401008
Jamare Glasker (Tr)326006
Messiah Delhomme391003