Mercer at Auburn - 2025 Matchup Preview
Mercer logo Mercer Bears at Auburn Tigers(#22)Auburn logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Jordan-Hare Stadium - Auburn, AL

 
Bears (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 0 - 0 (0 - 0 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
AUB coming off BYE
Our Line: Auburn -27   (SP+ AUB -17)

AUB Win prob: 98% | Cover: 56%
Tigers (3 - 0) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (11 - 14)
Avg Score : 37 - 14 (37 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 3.3 (#29)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 6) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Mercer's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Mercer at Auburn+27

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mercer's Schedule
Auburn's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Auburn at Baylor-1.557.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 9/6 Auburn vs Ball State-43.052.5W 42 - 3UN
Sat 9/13 Auburn vs South Alabama-26.556.5W 31 - 15UN
Sat 9/20 Auburn at Oklahoma+6.548.5
Sat 9/27 Auburn at Texas A&M+1
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Auburn vs Georgia-0
Sat 10/18 Auburn vs Missouri-2.5
Sat 10/25 Auburn at Arkansas-6
Sat 11/1 Auburn vs Kentucky-18
Sat 11/8 Auburn at Vanderbilt-3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Auburn vs Mercer-48
Sat 11/29 Auburn vs Alabama+2

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MER0%00%000%000%00%0%0000
AUB#33 (.33)55% (14)3757% (14)3.61 (21)24252% (25)1745.63 (8)#58 (.11)31% (16)1423% (3)39% (64)3.38 (63)63.70.31
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MER0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)48% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)38% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MER Offense0000%00000000%0%0%0%0%
AUB Defense314931.3%3.381 - - - - - 47%53%23%39%19%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MER Defense0000%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
AUB Offense33736.555.3%5.630.3244162421745.861%39%57%52%12%.33

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Mercer00:000NAN%0%0000000100
Auburn330:3223.753%100%763.70.318.73.7128.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MER Offense00%0%000000%0%0
AUB Defense347% (48)23% (3) - - - - -.1 (19)1.89 (6)88% (118)15% (14)1.14 (104)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MER Defense00%0% - - - - 00%0%0
AUB Offense361% (14)57% (14)41.72425.810 (10).35 (23)3.61 (21)96% (12)9% (69)0.94 (75)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MER Offense00%0%000000000%0%0%0
AUB Defense353% (91)39% (64) - - - - - - 1 (87).3 (101)1.9 (120)39% (11)27% (55).3 (79)3% (120)2.3 (112)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MER Defense00%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
AUB Offense339% (123)52% (25)16.724.7173.7710.44 (72)0 (1).3 (66)1.2 (128)18% (2)30% (77).16 (108)4% (35)1.5 (121)

Mercer's Power Ratings
Mercer's Power Rating: #NR
Mercer's Offense Rating: #NR
Mercer's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Mercer's 2025 Expected Record: -
Mercer's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Mercer's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Mercer's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Southern Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Mercer:    Auburn: 26.98

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mercer:    Auburn: 16.9




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 26.98 #6
Auburn's Offense Rating: 28.70 #8
Auburn's Defense Rating: -5.55 #8
2025 Talent Rating: 988.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #12
Auburn's 2025 Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3
Auburn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.9 #19
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #13

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Mercer Scoring
Offense: 0 PPG
Offense on Road: 0
Defense: 0 PPG
Defense on Road: 0

Mercer's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Auburn 26
Mercer -1


Total Points: 25

Auburn Scoring
Offense: 37 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.5
Defense: 14 PPG
Defense at Home: 9

Auburn's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/03Auburn42Mercer16AuburnAuburn -30Mercer51.5Over
201709/16Auburn24Mercer10AuburnAuburn -41Mercer0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn201 Overs
Mercer020 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 00 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 22 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#NR) Mercer Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Mercer Highlights

Mercer Deficiencies
Mercer has a really bad Offense

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatAUBMER
OverallOver#32
OffenseOff#33
DefenseDef#50
Special TeamsST#83
PassingPass#94
RushingRush#9
Run BlockRBLK#20
Pass BlockPBLK#63
Route RunningWR Rt#61
TacklingTkl#91
Run DefenseR Def#6
Pass Rush DefPRush#36
Coverage DefCov#104

Previous Matchups
Auburn beat Mercer in 2022 (42-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MER | AUB
Depth Chart: MER | AUB
Rosters: MER | AUB
(#6) Auburn Info
Power Rating: 26.98 #6
Offense Rating: 28.70 #8
Defense Rating: -5.55 #8
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.9 #19
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #13
Talent Rating: 988.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #12
Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
Great Offense Success Rate of 55%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.63 PPO
Great Run Success 57%
Good Pass Success 52%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 31%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.38 PPO
Great Run Def Success 23%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Auburn has lost 7 straight
Auburn has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Auburn Notes
(8/29) Arnold much better, run off great, pass D awful
(8/16) WTF is calling plays? Hate what I'm hearing
(7/16) WR2 (LY) Simmons arrested on serious charges
(7/8) Freeze is 2-6 at home in SEC games
(6/6) OL returns 5/5, plus portal adds. PFF top 10 unit
(5/23) DE Faulk a star, duo w/ Crawford top unit
(5/23) Aub was 1-3 in 1 score games LY (1-3 in '23)
(5/23) Safeties Harris & Smith a top duo in CFB
(5/11) SEC most exp'd line, 67% returning, 33% portals
(4/4) QB Arnold (OU) likely starter, Daniels/Knight #2?

Auburn Highlights
Auburn in Undefeated
Auburn is Undefeated at Home

Auburn has Really Good Running Game (#11)
Auburn offense is efficent (#14)
Auburn has a top Offensive Line (#21)
Auburn offense is good in red zone (#8)
Auburn offense is good on 3rd downs
Auburn does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#13)

Auburn Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Auburn has a really good defense (#16)
Auburn has a good run defense (#3)
Auburn Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#9)
Auburn Defensive Line is very good (#6)
Auburn Front 7 is disruptive (#14)
Auburn has a great TO Margin (#11)

Auburn Deficiencies
Auburn offense is not Explosive (#125)
Auburn gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#131)


  
Mercer's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Braden Atkinson263770%316128.5
DJ Smith223661%154114.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
CJ Miller2610514.021
Micah Bell198904.724
Tyrell Coard72403.47
DJ Smith61101.86
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brayden Smith11130011.829
Kendall Harris6101016.832
Adjatay Dabbs87209.029
Adonis McDaniel97017.831

View Mercer's Full Roster
Mercer's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

Auburn's OC Derrick Nix
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jackson Arnold (Tr)486970%501407.3
Deuce Knight2540%20004.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Cobb4631446.846
Jackson Arnold (Tr)3519245.527
Damari Alston168415.311
Durell Robinson (Tr)357119.054
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Singleton Jr. (Tr)13149211.530
Cam Coleman10149114.932
Horatio Fields (Tr)108818.814
Malcolm Simmons563012.626

View Auburn's Full Roster
Auburn's DC D. J. Durkin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyron Crawford165310
Xavier Atkins (Tr)124210
Kaleb Harris121000
Sylvester Smith111000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyron Crawford165310
Xavier Atkins (Tr)124210
Jared Smith33200
Keldric Faulk82112
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keldric Faulk82112
Demarcus Riddick61101
Champ Anthony20001