Mercer at Auburn - 2025 Matchup Preview
Mercer logo Mercer Bears at Auburn TigersAuburn logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (2:00 PM EST)
Auburn -26.5 (51.5) (-5000)  Open: 0.0
Auburn 62 - Mercer: 17

 
Bears (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 62 (17 - 62 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
AUB coming off BYE
Our Line: Auburn -17.5  (SP+ AUB -12)
AUB Win prob: 97% | Cover: 51%
Tigers (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach D. J. Durkin (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (26 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 4) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Mercer's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Mercer at Auburn+26.551.5L 17 - 62ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mercer's Schedule
Auburn's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Auburn at Baylor-1.557.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 9/6 Auburn vs Ball State-43.052.5W 42 - 3UN
Sat 9/13 Auburn vs South Alabama-26.556.5W 31 - 15UN
Sat 9/20 Auburn at Oklahoma+6.547.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 9/27 Auburn at Texas A&M+6.551.5L 10 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Auburn vs Georgia+4.545.5L 10 - 20UN
Sat 10/18 Auburn vs Missouri+1.543.5L 17 - 23UN
Sat 10/25 Auburn at Arkansas+2.555.5W 33 - 24OY
Sat 11/1 Auburn vs Kentucky-11.544.5L 3 - 10UN
Sat 11/8 Auburn at Vanderbilt+6.046.5L 38 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Auburn vs Mercer-26.551.5W 62 - 17OY
Sat 11/29 Auburn vs Alabama+6.548.5L 20 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MER0%170%000%000%620%0%0000
AUB#71 (.17)43% (57)26.847% (31)3.19 (26)17740% (89)1973.9 (52)#21 (.07)38% (28)20.733% (5)44% (97)3.37 (44)63.70.71.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MER0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)48% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)38% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MER Offense117170%00000000%0%0%0%0%
AUB Defense1220.716.438.3%3.371.4 - - - - - 48%51%33%44%17%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MER Defense162620%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
AUB Offense1226.826.443.4%3.90.7213741771974.751%48%47%40%17%.17

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Mercer10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Auburn1229:2520.839%52%7.863.70.71.46.62.6326.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MER Offense10%0%000000%0%0
AUB Defense1248% (45)33% (5) - - - - -.11 (3)2.25 (4)70% (58)11% (24)0.89 (29)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MER Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
AUB Offense1251% (60)47% (31)37.8176.94.723 (36).24 (15)3.19 (26)80% (18)11% (117)1 (55)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MER Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
AUB Defense1251% (96)44% (97) - - - - - - 11 (75).27 (80)1.6 (82)32% (56)31% (88).3 (71)5% (90)2 (60)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MER Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
AUB Offense1248% (78)40% (89)18.430.2197.16.510.711 (121)4 (3).13 (120)1.3 (134)31% (61)27% (106).21 (104)6% (54)2 (87)

Mercer's Power Ratings
Mercer's Power Rating: NR
Mercer's Offense Rating: NR
Mercer's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Mercer's 2025 Expected Record: -
Mercer's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mercer's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mercer's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southern Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Mercer:    Auburn: 17.39

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mercer:    Auburn: 11.9




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 17.39  #24
Auburn's Offense Rating: 11.58  #55
Auburn's Defense Rating: -6.30  #10
2025 Talent Rating: 988.00  #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 52  #12
Auburn's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Auburn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9  #29
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #58
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6  #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Mercer Scoring
Offense: 17 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 62 PPG
Defense on Road: 62

Mercer's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Auburn 36
Mercer 18

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Auburn 35
Mercer 16

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Auburn 44
Mercer 18

Total Points: 62
Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.4

Auburn's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Auburn62Mercer17Auburn -26.5Auburn51.5Over
202209/03Auburn42Mercer16Auburn -30Mercer51.5Over
201709/16Auburn24Mercer10Auburn -41Mercer0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn312 Overs
Mercer020 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 01 - 21 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 32 - 10 - 02 - 1

(#NR) MER at (#24) AUB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMERAUB
Power RatePwrNR #24
SP+SP+NR #29
Perf GradeGradeNR #87
OffenseOffNR #95
DefenseDefNR #51
Spec TeamsSTNR #99
TalentTalNR #12
Blue ChipsBC%NR #12
Auburn Notes
(12/2) DC D. J. Durkin will remain on Golesh staff in '26
(11/30) Hired Alex Golesh (S Florida, former Tenn OC).
(11/20) QB1 Fr Deuce Knight will start vs Mercer, Bama
(11/2) HC Hugh Freeze fired after UK loss
(11/1) Home L to UK w/ 241 total yds. Freeze done
(10/31) Ashton Daniels will start vs UK, Arnold benched
(10/25) WR Coleman & Singleton both hurt vs Ark
(10/24) QB1 battle in week 9, Arnold still the starter. Yikes
(10/23) Auburn on a 3-11 run vs P4 teams since '24
(10/22) K A McPherson bad, longest FG is 34 yards
(10/20) Top OL Center Connor Lew out for season (ACL)
(10/13) RB2 Damari Alston left team, will transfer
Auburn Injury Report
Mercer on Offense
CategoryCat
MER OffAUB Def
Perf GradePerfNR #51
SuccessSucNR #28
ExplosiveExpNR #92
PPAPPANR #21
PowerPwrNR #10
SP+SP+NR #15
Pts POPPONR #44
HavocHavNR #50
Mercer Run Game
CategoryCat
MER OffAUB Def
Run GameRunNR #13
Run SuccessRSucNR #5
Run ExplRExpNR #29
PPAExpNR #3
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #4
Stuff RateStuffNR #5
TackleTak -  #75
Mercer Pass Game
CategoryCat
MER OffAUB Def
Pass GamePassNR #115
Pass SuccessPSucNR #97
Pass ExplPExlNR #82
PPAExpNR #80
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #44
F7 HavocF7NR #24
DB HavocDBNR #90
Auburn on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatAUB OffMER Def
Perf GradePerf #95NR
SuccessSuc #57NR
ExplosiveExp #130NR
PPAPPA #71NR
PowerPwr #55NR
SP+SP+ #58NR
Pts POPPO #52NR
HavocHav #99NR
Auburn Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
AUB OffMER Def
Run GameRun #47NR
Run SuccessRSuc #31NR
Run ExplRExp #55NR
PPAExp #15NR
Run BlockR Blk #54 -
OL YdsOLY #26NR
Stuff RateStuff #20NR
TackleTak - NR
Auburn Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatAUB OffMER Def
Pass GamePass #108NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #89NR
Pass ExplPExl #134NR
PPAExp #120NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #75NR
F7 HavocF7 #117NR
DB HavocDB #54NR
Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

MER 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 76° - Wind: 12 mph
Rematch from Week 13
Auburn -26.5 (51.5)
Auburn won vs Mercer this year (62-17)

Previous Matchups
Auburn beat Mercer in 2022 (42-16)

  
MER's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Braden Atkinson26840766%361134118.9
DJ Smith233861%161114.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
CJ Miller168953145.779
Ty Doughty6633225.032
Micah Bell4621804.724
Tyrell Coard3316805.134
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Adjatay Dabbs45856819.084
Brayden Smith61734712.075
Adonis McDaniel52676613.056
Kendall Harris37478312.949

View Mercer's Full Roster

MER's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drew Clare71000
Tommy Bliss71000
Juwan Johnson50000
Isaac Prince53100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dan Hicks31100
Isaac Prince53100
Drew Clare71000
Tommy Bliss71000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KJ Thomas30001
Carmelo O'neal30001
Donovan Watkins20001

AUB's OC Derrick Nix (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jackson Arnold (Tr)13621563%1309626.1
Ashton Daniels (Tr)6811957%797326.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Cobb17596955.546
Jackson Arnold (Tr)11231182.856
Ashton Daniels (Tr)6328024.426
Deuce Knight13178413.775
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Coleman57725512.746
Eric Singleton Jr. (Tr)5853439.248
Malcolm Simmons25457218.391
Perry Thompson1715409.134

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC D. J. Durkin (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Atkins (Tr)8417971
Robert Woodyard Jr.677251
Kaleb Harris502101
Keyron Crawford36105100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Atkins (Tr)8417971
Keyron Crawford36105100
Chris Murray (Tr)154410
Keldric Faulk275264
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kayin Lee310004
Jay Crawford151004
Keldric Faulk275264