Auburn at Arkansas - 2025 Matchup Preview
Auburn logo Auburn Tigers at Arkansas RazorbacksArkansas logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:45 PM EDT)
Arkansas -2.5 (55.5) (-125)  Open: -1.5
Auburn 33 - Arkansas: 24  (SEC)

 
Tigers (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (11 - 14)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (27 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
ARK 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Auburn -4.5  (SP+ AUB -6.5)

Projected Score: AUB: 31 - ARK: 26 (57)
ARK Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
AUB Travel: 550 miles
Razorbacks (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (29 - 31)
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Auburn's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Auburn at Baylor-1.557.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 9/6 Auburn vs Ball State-43.052.5W 42 - 3UN
Sat 9/13 Auburn vs South Alabama-26.556.5W 31 - 15UN
Sat 9/20 Auburn at Oklahoma+6.547.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 9/27 Auburn at Texas A&M+6.551.5L 10 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Auburn vs Georgia+4.545.5L 10 - 20UN
Sat 10/18 Auburn vs Missouri+1.543.5L 17 - 23UN
Sat 10/25 Auburn at Arkansas+2.555.5W 33 - 24OY
Sat 11/1 Auburn vs Kentucky-11.544.5L 3 - 10UN
Sat 11/8 Auburn at Vanderbilt+6.046.5L 38 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Auburn vs Mercer-26.551.5W 62 - 17OY
Sat 11/29 Auburn vs Alabama+6.548.5L 20 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 4, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Arkansas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arkansas vs Alabama A&M-45.562.5W 52 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Arkansas vs Arkansas State-23.562.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 9/13 Arkansas at Ole Miss+3.560.5L 35 - 41ON
Sat 9/20 Arkansas at Memphis-7.059.5L 31 - 32ON
Sat 9/27 Arkansas vs Notre Dame+5.564.5L 13 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Arkansas at Tennessee+10.068.5L 31 - 34UY
Sat 10/18 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+7.557.5L 42 - 45OY
Sat 10/25 Arkansas vs Auburn-2.555.5L 24 - 33ON
Sat 11/1 Arkansas vs Mississippi State-5.566.5L 35 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Arkansas at LSU+4.058.5L 22 - 23UY
Sat 11/22 Arkansas at Texas+10.557.5L 37 - 52ON
Sat 11/29 Arkansas vs Missouri+4.554.5L 17 - 31UN

Total: Elite: 7, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)26.848% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)20.738% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1
ARK#27 (.25)48% (13)32.952% (5)3.23 (38)16844% (41)2483.95 (64)#45 (.13)42% (66)33.839% (32)44% (100)3.31 (22)56.31.71
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Offense1226.827.244.9%3.421.821430166264548%52%48%42%17%.24
ARK Defense1333.83541.5%3.311 - - - - - 50%50%39%44%14%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Defense1220.726.637.8%3.351.1 - - - - - 53%47%38%38%15%.09
ARK Offense1332.930.548.2%3.951.7234161682484.951%48%52%44%19%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Auburn1227:1320.941%47%5.849.31.81.15.72.3127.9
Arkansas1328:0722.643%59%6.456.31.714.41.9027.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Offense1248% (85)48% (21)33.4165.7513 (105).16 (55)3.32 (23)69% (95)10% (67)0.92 (89)
ARK Defense1350% (64)39% (32) - - - - -.01 (11)2.84 (42)79% (104)8% (123)0.82 (8)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Defense1253% (98)38% (19) - - - - -.02 (7)2.49 (6)80% (108)10% (81)0.93 (44)
ARK Offense1351% (64)52% (5)34.4167.94.932 (14).21 (29)3.23 (38)82% (13)12% (109)0.97 (67)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Offense1252% (47)42% (67)19.230.8263.98.613.827 (20)13 (103).31 (45)1.6 (39)31% (55)32% (69).41 (34)7% (113)1.9 (101)
ARK Defense1350% (70)44% (100) - - - - - - 8 (93).28 (92)1.5 (43)33% (48)27% (23).2 (25)7% (45)1.9 (37)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Defense1247% (42)38% (34) - - - - - - 8 (93).22 (63)1.7 (104)35% (19)28% (34).21 (31)6% (77)2.1 (85)
ARK Offense1348% (71)44% (41)18.830.2248.48.213.214 (108)9 (48).3 (46)1.6 (42)32% (72)37% (17).43 (25)7% (106)2.2 (25)

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 16.68  #16
Auburn's Offense Rating: 16.79  #48
Auburn's Defense Rating: 0.11  #10
2025 Talent Rating: 988.00  #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 52%  #12
Auburn's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Auburn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.6  #29
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #59
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4  #16

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 16.68   Arkansas: 9.605

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 11.6   Arkansas: 5.1




Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 9.605  #43
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 24.32  #14
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 15.21  #80
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00  #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 14  #33
Arkansas's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Arkansas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1  #53
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8  #16
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4  #99

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.6

Auburn's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Auburn 31
Arkansas 26


Projected Total Points: 57
Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35

Arkansas's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Arkansas24Auburn33Arkansas -2.5Auburn55.5Over
202409/21Auburn14Arkansas24Auburn -2.5Arkansas53.5Under
202311/11Arkansas10Auburn48Arkansas -2.5Auburn46.5Over
202210/29Auburn27Arkansas41Arkansas -4Arkansas60.0Over
202110/16Arkansas23Auburn38Arkansas -4.5Auburn54.0Over
202010/10Auburn30Arkansas28Auburn -13.5Arkansas46.0Over
201910/19Arkansas10Auburn51Auburn -20.5Auburn56.0Over
201809/22Auburn34Arkansas3Auburn -30Auburn57.5Under
201710/21Arkansas20Auburn52Auburn -17Auburn51.0Over
201610/22Auburn56Arkansas3Auburn -17Auburn53.0Over
201510/24Arkansas54Auburn46Arkansas -4Arkansas55.0Over
201408/30Auburn45Arkansas21Auburn -21Auburn0
201311/02Arkansas17Auburn35Auburn -8Auburn0
201210/06Auburn7Arkansas24
201110/08Arkansas38Auburn14
201010/16Auburn65Arkansas43
200910/10Arkansas44Auburn23
200810/11Auburn22Arkansas25
200710/13Arkansas7Auburn9
200610/07Auburn10Arkansas27
200510/15Arkansas17Auburn34
200410/16Auburn38Arkansas20
200310/11Arkansas3Auburn10
200210/12Auburn17Arkansas38
200110/27Arkansas42Auburn17
200010/27Auburn21Arkansas19
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas1049 Overs
Auburn1692 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 154 - 94 - 50 - 4
Road Teams15 - 119 - 44 - 05 - 4

(#16) AUB at (#43) ARK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAUBARK
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #16 #43
SP+SP+ #29 #53
Perf GradeGrade #81 #77
OffenseOff #95 #42
DefenseDef #48 #112
Spec TeamsST #91 #116
TalentTal #12 #48
Blue ChipsBC% #12 #33
Auburn Notes
(12/2) DC D. J. Durkin will remain on Golesh staff in '26
(11/30) Hired Alex Golesh (S Florida, former Tenn OC).
(11/20) QB1 Fr Deuce Knight will start vs Mercer, Bama
(11/2) HC Hugh Freeze fired after UK loss
(11/1) Home L to UK w/ 241 total yds. Freeze done
(10/31) Ashton Daniels will start vs UK, Arnold benched
(10/25) WR Coleman & Singleton both hurt vs Ark
(10/24) QB1 battle in week 9, Arnold still the starter. Yikes
(10/23) Auburn on a 3-11 run vs P4 teams since '24
(10/22) K A McPherson bad, longest FG is 34 yards
(10/20) Top OL Center Connor Lew out for season (ACL)
(10/13) RB2 Damari Alston left team, will transfer
Auburn Injury Report
Arkansas Notes
(11/30) Hired Ryan Silverfield (Memphis). Meh hire IMO
(10/22) Defense is worst in CFB in Success Rate, Off great
(10/18) Off great vs A&M, Def torched as usual. 9 flags hurt
(9/30) Def has no players, schematics almost don't matter
(9/30) Pittman fired, Petrino Interim, Def staff fired
(9/27) Damn break vs ND, Def mauled, Off awful. Green bad
(9/23) Have fumbled away 2 straight games, brutal
(9/23) QB Taylen Green leads CFB in total offense (Wk 5)
(9/19) Off hot start, QB Green great, WR Blake weapon
(9/19) Pass Def torched by Ole Miss, Run D held up
(8/17) OC & DC are fighting, nearly physically?
(8/17) Def front 7 biggest issue, pass rush SEC worst
Arkansas Injury Report
Auburn on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
AUB OffARK Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #95 #112
SuccessSuc #40 #66
ExplosiveExp #71 #29
PPAPPA #42 #45
PowerPwr #48 #80
SP+SP+ #59 #99
Pts POPPO #110 #22
HavocHav #94 #101
Auburn Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
AUB OffARK Def
Run GameRun #46 #74
Run SuccessRSuc #21 #32
Run ExplRExp #89 #8
PPAExp #55 #11
Run BlockR Blk #55 -
OL YdsOLY #23 #42
Stuff RateStuff #60 #112
TackleTak -  #19
Auburn Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
AUB OffARK Def
Pass GamePass #105 #126
Pass SuccessPSuc #67 #100
Pass ExplPExl #39 #43
PPAExp #45 #92
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #74 #69
F7 HavocF7 #67 #123
DB HavocDB #113 #45
Arkansas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatARK OffAUB Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #42 #48
SuccessSuc #13 #20
ExplosiveExp #80 #74
PPAPPA #27 #21
PowerPwr #14 #10
SP+SP+ #16 #16
Pts POPPO #64 #25
HavocHav #114 #79
Arkansas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
ARK OffAUB Def
Run GameRun #2 #11
Run SuccessRSuc #5 #19
Run ExplRExp #67 #44
PPAExp #29 #7
Run BlockR Blk #70 -
OL YdsOLY #38 #6
Stuff RateStuff #83 #20
TackleTak -  #65
Arkansas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatARK OffAUB Def
Pass GamePass #67 #115
Pass SuccessPSuc #41 #34
Pass ExplPExl #42 #104
PPAExp #46 #63
Pass Block/RushP Blk #80 #46
F7 HavocF7 #109 #81
DB HavocDB #106 #77
Program Comparison
ARK 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 59°
Rematch from Week 9
Arkansas -2.5 (55.5)
Auburn won at Arkansas this year (33-24)

Previous Matchups
Auburn beat Arkansas last year (33-24)
Arkansas beat Auburn in 2024 (24-14)
Auburn beat Arkansas in 2023 (48-10)

  
AUB's OC Derrick Nix (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jackson Arnold (Tr)13621563%1309626.1
Ashton Daniels (Tr)6811957%797326.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Cobb17596955.546
Jackson Arnold (Tr)11231182.856
Ashton Daniels (Tr)6328024.426
Deuce Knight13178413.775
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Coleman57725512.746
Eric Singleton Jr. (Tr)5853439.248
Malcolm Simmons25457218.391
Perry Thompson1715409.134

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC D. J. Durkin (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Atkins (Tr)8417971
Robert Woodyard Jr.677251
Kaleb Harris502101
Keyron Crawford36105100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Atkins (Tr)8417971
Keyron Crawford36105100
Chris Murray (Tr)154410
Keldric Faulk275264
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kayin Lee310004
Jay Crawford151004
Keldric Faulk275264

ARK's OC Bobby Petrino (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taylen Green19832661%271419118.3
KJ Jackson335461%441308.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Michael Washington168106886.457
Taylen Green13877985.664
Braylen Russell5528655.223
Raylen Sharpe (Tr)65409.041
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
O'Mega Blake (Tr)57760513.336
Raylen Sharpe (Tr)41592314.458
Rohan Jones (Tr)19519427.362
CJ Brown28319311.426

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Travis Williams (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavian Sorey Jr.818333
Stephen Dix Jr.794100
Larry Worth641001
Caleb Wooden (Tr)593013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quincy Rhodes Jr.4316860
Phillip Lee (Tr)316440
Xavian Sorey Jr.818333
Bradley Shaw505211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kani Walker (Tr)5231011
Julian Neal (Tr)5520010
Jordan Young (Tr)280016