Missouri at Auburn - 2025 Matchup Preview
Missouri logo (#16)Missouri Tigers at Auburn TigersAuburn logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (7:45 PM EDT)
Missouri -1.5 (43.5) (-125)  Open: -1.5
Jordan-Hare Stadium - Auburn, AL  (SEC)

 
Tigers (5 - 1) (4 - 2 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (37 - 24)
Avg Score : 42 - 17 (42 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 2.8 (#22)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
AUB 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Missouri -4  (SP+ MIZ -8)

Projected Score: MIZ: 23 - AUB: 19 (42)
MIZ Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
MIZ Travel: 582 miles
Tigers (3 - 3) (2 - 4 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (11 - 14)
Avg Score : 25 - 17 (28 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 5.2 (#67)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
 
Missouri's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Missouri vs Central Arkansas-38.552.5W 61 - 6OY
Sat 9/6 Missouri vs Kansas-5.551.0W 42 - 31OY
Sat 9/13 Missouri vs Louisiana-27.547.5W 52 - 10OY
Sat 9/20 Missouri vs South Carolina-10.048.5W 29 - 20ON
Sat 9/27 Missouri vs Massachusetts-44.557.5W 42 - 6UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Missouri vs Alabama+3.550.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 10/18 Missouri at Auburn-1.543.5
Sat 10/25 Missouri at Vanderbilt-1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Missouri vs Texas A&M-2
Sat 11/15 Missouri vs Mississippi State-14.5
Sat 11/22 Missouri at Oklahoma+2.5
Sat 11/29 Missouri at Arkansas-14.5

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule
Auburn's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Auburn at Baylor-1.557.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 9/6 Auburn vs Ball State-43.052.5W 42 - 3UN
Sat 9/13 Auburn vs South Alabama-26.556.5W 31 - 15UN
Sat 9/20 Auburn at Oklahoma+6.547.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 9/27 Auburn at Texas A&M+6.551.5L 10 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Auburn vs Georgia+4.545.5L 10 - 20UN
Sat 10/18 Auburn vs Missouri+1.543.5
Sat 10/25 Auburn at Arkansas-8
Sat 11/1 Auburn vs Kentucky-19
Sat 11/8 Auburn at Vanderbilt+5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Auburn vs Mercer-43.5
Sat 11/29 Auburn vs Alabama+3.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIZ#16 (.35)53% (5)41.756% (4)3.67 (4)27149% (20)2415.12 (9)#22 (.06)32% (7)16.730% (5)35% (17)4.05 (89)46.510.8
AUB#86 (.16)43% (71)24.748% (39)3.01 (67)16438% (111)1674.7 (25)#31 (.07)36% (17)1728% (1)43% (88)3.24 (29)74.70.30.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)47% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)42% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)48% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)38% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIZ Offense641.741.752.8%5.12127512271241653%47%56%49%11%.35
AUB Defense61712.735.8%3.240.8 - - - - - 48%52%28%43%17%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIZ Defense616.716.732.4%4.050.8 - - - - - 44%56%30%35%22%.06
AUB Offense624.727.743%4.70.3193321641674.551%48%48%38%16%.16

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Missouri634:5026.755%80%4.746.510.86.82.8128.5
Auburn630:2819.337%54%9.274.70.30.87.33126.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIZ Offense653% (47)56% (4)45.5270.8619 (7).36 (4)3.67 (4)92% (2)7% (19)1.05 (41)
AUB Defense648% (51)28% (1) - - - - -.15 (2)1.83 (1)70% (65)13% (22)0.92 (52)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIZ Defense644% (18)30% (5) - - - - -.06 (9)2.44 (21)43% (1)14% (9)0.92 (51)
AUB Offense651% (65)48% (39)36.5164.34.513 (35).24 (22)3.01 (67)89% (7)11% (102)1 (54)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIZ Offense647% (85)49% (20)2230240.881112 (39)5 (77).34 (39)1.4 (111)23% (5)42% (5).56 (16)4% (16)2 (69)
AUB Defense652% (87)43% (88) - - - - - - 2 (114).29 (89)1.6 (83)35% (26)25% (27).21 (41)4% (127)2.2 (111)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIZ Defense656% (120)35% (17) - - - - - - 3 (93).17 (45)1.7 (112)35% (24)23% (17).29 (73)8% (13)2.2 (120)
AUB Offense648% (73)38% (111)1828.5167.25.99.35 (116)0 (1).09 (123)1.2 (134)29% (40)21% (131).09 (128)5% (42)1.8 (113)

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 31.64  #8
Missouri's Offense Rating: 27.90  #12
Missouri's Defense Rating: -4.87  #14
2025 Talent Rating: 856.00  #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 32%  #21
Missouri's 2025 Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8
Missouri's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.5  #6
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5  #14
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.9  #14

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 31.64   Auburn: 22.555

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 21.5   Auburn: 13.4




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 22.555  #18
Auburn's Offense Rating: 16.56  #47
Auburn's Defense Rating: -10.15  #6
2025 Talent Rating: 988.00  #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 52  #12
Auburn's 2025 Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2
Auburn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.4  #27
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #62
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5  #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Missouri Scoring
Offense: 41.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 41.7
Defense: 16.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.7

Missouri's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 23
Auburn 19


Total Points: 42

Based on Last 4 Games
Missouri 18
Auburn 13

Total Points: 32

Based on Entire Season
Missouri 28
Auburn 22

Total Points: 50
Auburn Scoring
Offense: 24.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.7
Defense: 17 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.7

Auburn's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Missouri21Auburn17Missouri -3.5Missouri49.5Under
202209/24Auburn17Missouri14Auburn -7.5Missouri51.0Under
201709/23Missouri14Auburn51Auburn -18.5Auburn60.5Over
201312/07Auburn59Missouri42Missouri -2Auburn0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn321 Overs
Missouri122 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 12 - 21 - 11 - 1
Road Teams1 - 32 - 21 - 11 - 1

(#8) MIZ at (#18) AUB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMIZAUB
Power RatePwr #8 #18
SP+SP+ #6 #27
Perf GradeGrade #3 #95
OffenseOff #4 #94
DefenseDef #8 #90
Spec TeamsST #18 #131
TalentTal #38 #12
Blue ChipsBC% #21 #12

Missouri Notes
(10/10) OT Cayden Green returns for Bama game, big add
(9/21) Big W over SCar, Run Off good, Run Def great
(9/8) QB Pribula a good passer, a dynamic weapon
(9/8) RBs Hardy & Roberts are a great duo
(8/28) QB Horn looks done for the year (leg)
(7/20) DBs really good w/ Catalon + Hall portal adds
(6/3) Off portals @ QB, RB, WR, 2-3 OL proj starters
(6/3) OL 2/5 back. Looks decent w/ 6 portal adds.
(5/23) Mizzu was 6-1 in 1 score games LY (4-0 in '23)
(4/4) OG Cayden Green a top G via PFF
(3/18) RB, Hardy (ULM) 1,300 yds as Fr LY

Auburn Notes
(10/13) RB2 Damari Alston left team, will transfer
(10/12) Freeze 5-14 in SEC games, 2-7 at home
(10/9) 59 car, 119 yds, 23 penalites, 154 yards in past 2
(9/27) OL penalized a lot, AU avgs 8.5 penalties per game
(9/24) WR H Fields out for the season (broken foot)
(9/20) Arnold bad vs OU, Run Off worse. Def fought
(9/18) Starting CB Jay Crawford doubtful for OU
(9/4) RB Damari Alston out week two (shoulder)
(8/29) Arnold much better, run off great, pass D awful
(7/16) WR2 (LY) Simmons arrested on serious charges
(6/6) OL returns 5/5, plus portal adds. PFF top 10 unit
Missouri on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
MIZ OffAUB Def
Perf GradePerf #4 #90
SuccessSuc #5 #17
ExplosiveExp #86 #107
PPAPPA #16 #31
PowerPwr #12 #6
SP+SP+ #14 #9
Pts POPPO #9 #29
HavocHav #12 #54
Missouri Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
MIZ OffAUB Def
Run GameRun #2 #11
Run SuccessRSuc #4 #1
Run ExplRExp #41 #52
PPAExp #4 #2
Run BlockR Blk #17 -
OL YdsOLY #4 #1
Stuff RateStuff #23 #1
TackleTak -  #88
Missouri Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
MIZ OffAUB Def
Pass GamePass #28 #135
Pass SuccessPSuc #20 #88
Pass ExplPExl #111 #83
PPAExp #39 #89
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #27 #62
F7 HavocF7 #19 #22
DB HavocDB #16 #127
Auburn on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatAUB OffMIZ Def
Perf GradePerf #94 #8
SuccessSuc #71 #7
ExplosiveExp #132 #119
PPAPPA #86 #22
PowerPwr #47 #14
SP+SP+ #62 #14
Pts POPPO #25 #89
HavocHav #77 #5
Auburn Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
AUB OffMIZ Def
Run GameRun #44 #4
Run SuccessRSuc #39 #5
Run ExplRExp #54 #51
PPAExp #22 #9
Run BlockR Blk #28 -
OL YdsOLY #67 #21
Stuff RateStuff #32 #19
TackleTak -  #14
Auburn Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatAUB OffMIZ Def
Pass GamePass #130 #38
Pass SuccessPSuc #111 #17
Pass ExplPExl #134 #112
PPAExp #123 #45
Pass Block/RushP Blk #67 #5
F7 HavocF7 #102 #9
DB HavocDB #42 #13
Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

MIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Auburn last year (21-17)
Auburn beat Missouri in 2022 (17-14)

  
MIZ's OC Kirby Moore (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Beau Pribula (Tr)12617373%13701157.9
Matt Zollers66100%751012.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ahmad Hardy (Tr)11578296.871
Jamal Roberts5340037.563
Marquise Davis3420025.923
Beau Pribula (Tr)5118243.631
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Coleman Jr. (Tr)4038819.750
Marquis Johnson21301214.349
Brett Norfleet2321259.227
Joshua Manning13144111.117

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Corey Batoon (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Trotter (Tr)366040
Jalen Catalon (Tr)230011
Khalil Jacobs205320
Santana Banner (Tr)200000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damon Wilson Jr.116670
Khalil Jacobs205320
Zion Young186372
Darris Smith72280
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dreyden Norwood112004
Caleb Flagg40002
Nicholas Rodriguez203102

AUB's OC Derrick Nix (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jackson Arnold (Tr)10616564%983506.0
Deuce Knight2540%20004.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Cobb7045346.546
Jackson Arnold (Tr)8324763.027
Damari Alston3212814.015
Durell Robinson (Tr)357119.054
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Coleman24305212.746
Eric Singleton Jr. (Tr)3027929.337
Horatio Fields (Tr)1210618.814
Malcolm Simmons1210208.526

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC D. J. Durkin (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Atkins (Tr)377331
Robert Woodyard Jr.273230
Keyron Crawford227420
Kaleb Harris191001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyron Crawford227420
Xavier Atkins (Tr)377331
Keldric Faulk113243
Robert Woodyard Jr.273230
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keldric Faulk113243
Xavier Atkins (Tr)377331
Demarcus Riddick111101