Missouri at Auburn - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 18th 2025 (7:45 PM EDT)
Missouri -1.5 (43.5) (-118) Open: -1.5
Missouri 23 - Auburn: 17 (SEC)

Tigers (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (37 - 24)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (18 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#54)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)

AUB 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Auburn -1 (SP+ MIZ -4)
Projected Score: MIZ: 20 - AUB: 21 (41)
MIZ Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
MIZ Travel: 582 miles

Tigers (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach D. J. Durkin (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (26 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MIZ Players
AUB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Missouri's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Missouri vs Central Arkansas	-38.5	52.5	W 61 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/6	Missouri vs Kansas	-5.5	51.0	W 42 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Missouri vs Louisiana	-27.5	47.5	W 52 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Missouri vs South Carolina	-10.0	48.5	W 29 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/27	Missouri vs Massachusetts	-44.5	57.5	W 42 - 6	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Missouri vs Alabama	+3.5	50.5	L 24 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Missouri at Auburn	-1.5	43.5	W 23 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/25	Missouri at Vanderbilt	+3.0	52.5	L 10 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Missouri vs Texas A&M	+7.0	48.5	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/15	Missouri vs Mississippi State	-7.5	50.5	W 49 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/22	Missouri at Oklahoma	+4.5	42.5	L 6 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/29	Missouri at Arkansas	-4.5	54.5	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 12/27	Missouri vs Virginia	-4.0	43.5	L 7 - 13	U	N

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule

Auburn's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Auburn at Baylor	-1.5	57.5	W 38 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/6	Auburn vs Ball State	-43.0	52.5	W 42 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/13	Auburn vs South Alabama	-26.5	56.5	W 31 - 15	U	N
Sat 9/20	Auburn at Oklahoma	+6.5	47.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/27	Auburn at Texas A&M	+6.5	51.5	L 10 - 16	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Auburn vs Georgia	+4.5	45.5	L 10 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/18	Auburn vs Missouri	+1.5	43.5	L 17 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/25	Auburn at Arkansas	+2.5	55.5	W 33 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/1	Auburn vs Kentucky	-11.5	44.5	L 3 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/8	Auburn at Vanderbilt	+6.0	46.5	L 38 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22	Auburn vs Mercer	-26.5	51.5	W 62 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/29	Auburn vs Alabama	+6.5	48.5	L 20 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIZ	#51 (.2)	45% (43)	30.2	48% (23)	3.12 (37)	216	42% (65)	181	3.85 (56)	#11 (.04)	35% (7)	18.9	35% (8)	35% (13)	3.24 (33)	48.1	1.2	0.8
AUB	#71 (.17)	43% (57)	26.8	47% (31)	3.19 (26)	177	40% (89)	197	3.9 (52)	#21 (.07)	38% (28)	20.7	33% (5)	44% (97)	3.37 (44)	63.7	0.7	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIZ	#70 (.19)	44% (54)		47% (28)	3.04 (67)	159	41% (80)	202	3.91 (68)	#32 (.11)	41% (54)		42% (57)	39% (56)	3.38 (28)	46	0.7	1.2
AUB	#42 (.24)	45% (40)		48% (21)	3.32 (23)	166	42% (67)	264	3.42 (110)	#21 (.09)	38% (20)		38% (19)	38% (34)	3.35 (25)	49.3	1.8	1.1

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIZ Offense	13	30.2	17.5	44.8%	3.85	1.2	22	397	216	181	5.4	55%	43%	48%	42%	13%	.2
AUB Defense	12	20.7	16.4	38.3%	3.37	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	33%	44%	17%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIZ Defense	13	18.9	17	34.5%	3.24	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	35%	35%	20%	.04
AUB Offense	12	26.8	26.4	43.4%	3.9	0.7	21	374	177	197	4.7	51%	48%	47%	40%	17%	.17

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Missouri	13	30:11	22.1	46%	68%	5.1	48.1	1.2	0.8	6.6	2.8	4	28.1
Auburn	12	29:25	20.8	39%	52%	7.8	63.7	0.7	1.4	6.6	2.6	3	26.8

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIZ Offense	13	55% (32)	48% (23)	40.3	216.2	5.4	30 (4)	.23 (16)	3.12 (37)	89% (1)	9% (49)	1.08 (26)
AUB Defense	12	48% (45)	33% (5)	-	-	-	-	-.11 (3)	2.25 (4)	70% (58)	11% (24)	0.89 (29)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIZ Defense	13	47% (38)	35% (8)	-	-	-	-	.01 (19)	2.64 (23)	68% (49)	13% (9)	0.95 (64)
AUB Offense	12	51% (60)	47% (31)	37.8	176.9	4.7	23 (36)	.24 (15)	3.19 (26)	80% (18)	11% (117)	1 (55)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIZ Offense	13	43% (106)	42% (65)	16.7	26	180.6	7	10.8	15 (50)	10 (108)	.18 (106)	1.4 (115)	29% (34)	31% (60)	.28 (76)	4% (16)	2.1 (28)
AUB Defense	12	51% (96)	44% (97)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (75)	.27 (80)	1.6 (82)	32% (56)	31% (88)	.3 (71)	5% (90)	2 (60)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIZ Defense	13	51% (98)	35% (13)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (75)	.1 (16)	1.6 (83)	35% (20)	28% (39)	.27 (61)	7% (14)	2.1 (82)
AUB Offense	12	48% (78)	40% (89)	18.4	30.2	197.1	6.5	10.7	11 (121)	4 (3)	.13 (120)	1.3 (134)	31% (61)	27% (106)	.21 (104)	6% (54)	2 (87)

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 16.38 #29
Missouri's Offense Rating: 11.48 #56
Missouri's Defense Rating: -4.90 #15
2025 Talent Rating: 856.00 #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 32% #21
Missouri's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Missouri's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.1 #19
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #32
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.6 #13

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 16.38 Auburn: 17.39

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 16.1 Auburn: 11.9

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 17.39 #24
Auburn's Offense Rating: 11.58 #55
Auburn's Defense Rating: -6.30 #10
2025 Talent Rating: 988.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #12
Auburn's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Auburn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9 #29
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #58
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

Missouri's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Auburn 21
Missouri 20

Total Points: 41

Based on Last 4 Games
Missouri 18
Auburn 13

Total Points: 32

Based on Entire Season
Missouri 22
Auburn 22

Total Points: 44

Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.4

Auburn's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Auburn	17	Missouri	23	Missouri -1.5	Missouri	43.5	Under
2024	10/19	Missouri	21	Auburn	17	Missouri -3.5	Missouri	49.5	Under
2022	09/24	Auburn	17	Missouri	14	Auburn -7.5	Missouri	51.0	Under
2017	09/23	Missouri	14	Auburn	51	Auburn -18.5	Auburn	60.5	Over
2013	12/07	Auburn	59	Missouri	42	Missouri -2	Auburn	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Auburn	3	2	1 Overs
Missouri	2	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 2	2 - 3	1 - 1	1 - 2
Road Teams	2 - 3	3 - 2	2 - 1	1 - 1

(#29) MIZ at (#24) AUB

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MIZ	AUB
Power RatePwr	#29	#24
SP+SP+	#19	#29
Perf GradeGrade	#10	#87
OffenseOff	#11	#95
DefenseDef	#9	#51
Spec TeamsST	#12	#99
TalentTal	#38	#12
Blue ChipsBC%	#21	#12

Missouri Notes(12/28) 0-5 vs winning teams, 8 wins vs teams (30-67)
(12/21) Hired Chip Lindsey at OC (Mich). Awful hire
(11/27) HC Drinkwitz extended, makes almost 11 mil per
(11/21) QB Pribula will start vs OU
(11/16) Killed MSU, but QB3 Zollers ain't ready. Run Off++
(10/22) Starting Kicker inj, Fr R Meyer replacement
(10/10) OT Cayden Green returns for Bama game, big add
(9/21) Big W over SCar, Run Off good, Run Def great
(9/8) QB Pribula a good passer, a dynamic weapon
(9/8) RBs Hardy & Roberts are a great duo
(8/28) QB Horn looks done for the year (leg)
(7/20) DBs really good w/ Catalon + Hall portal adds
Missouri Injury Report

Auburn Notes(12/2) DC D. J. Durkin will remain on Golesh staff in '26
(11/30) Hired Alex Golesh (S Florida, former Tenn OC).
(11/20) QB1 Fr Deuce Knight will start vs Mercer, Bama
(11/2) HC Hugh Freeze fired after UK loss
(11/1) Home L to UK w/ 241 total yds. Freeze done
(10/31) Ashton Daniels will start vs UK, Arnold benched
(10/25) WR Coleman & Singleton both hurt vs Ark
(10/24) QB1 battle in week 9, Arnold still the starter. Yikes
(10/23) Auburn on a 3-11 run vs P4 teams since '24
(10/22) K A McPherson bad, longest FG is 34 yards
(10/20) Top OL Center Connor Lew out for season (ACL)
(10/13) RB2 Damari Alston left team, will transfer
Auburn Injury Report

Missouri on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	MIZ Off	AUB Def
Perf GradePerf	#11	#51
SuccessSuc	#43	#28
ExplosiveExp	#85	#92
PPAPPA	#51	#21
PowerPwr	#56	#10
SP+SP+	#32	#15
Pts POPPO	#56	#44
HavocHav	#25	#50

Missouri Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	MIZ Off	AUB Def
Run GameRun	#6	#13
Run SuccessRSuc	#23	#5
Run ExplRExp	#26	#29
PPAExp	#16	#3
Run BlockR Blk	#14	-
OL YdsOLY	#37	#4
Stuff RateStuff	#44	#5
TackleTak	-	#75

Missouri Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	MIZ Off	AUB Def
Pass GamePass	#73	#115
Pass SuccessPSuc	#65	#97
Pass ExplPExl	#115	#82
PPAExp	#106	#80
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#12	#44
F7 HavocF7	#49	#24
DB HavocDB	#16	#90

Auburn on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	AUB Off	MIZ Def
Perf GradePerf	#95	#9
SuccessSuc	#57	#7
ExplosiveExp	#130	#73
PPAPPA	#71	#11
PowerPwr	#55	#15
SP+SP+	#58	#13
Pts POPPO	#52	#33
HavocHav	#99	#9

Auburn Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	AUB Off	MIZ Def
Run GameRun	#47	#8
Run SuccessRSuc	#31	#8
Run ExplRExp	#55	#64
PPAExp	#15	#19
Run BlockR Blk	#54	-
OL YdsOLY	#26	#23
Stuff RateStuff	#20	#38
TackleTak	-	#11

Auburn Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	AUB Off	MIZ Def
Pass GamePass	#108	#28
Pass SuccessPSuc	#89	#13
Pass ExplPExl	#134	#83
PPAExp	#120	#16
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#75	#4
F7 HavocF7	#117	#9
DB HavocDB	#54	#14

Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

MIZ 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 75° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 8
Missouri 1.5 (43.5)
Missouri won at Auburn this year (23-17)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Auburn last year (21-17)
Auburn beat Missouri in 2022 (17-14)

MIZ's OC Kirby Moore (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Beau Pribula (Tr)	182	270	67%	1946	11	9	7.2
Matt Zollers	47	88	53%	503	4	2	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ahmad Hardy (Tr)	256	1649	16	6.4	72
Jamal Roberts	124	753	6	6.1	63
Beau Pribula (Tr)	95	297	6	3.1	49
Marquise Davis	34	200	2	5.9	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kevin Coleman Jr. (Tr)	66	732	1	11.1	50
Donovan Olugbode	30	401	2	13.4	34
Marquis Johnson	28	345	2	12.3	49
Joshua Manning	29	318	2	11.0	34

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Corey Batoon (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Josiah Trotter (Tr)	84	13	2	7	1
Nicholas Rodriguez	61	4	2	0	7
Santana Banner (Tr)	59	1	0	0	3
Marvin Burks Jr.	49	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Damon Wilson Jr.	22	9	9	13	2
Zion Young	42	16	7	14	2
Chris McClellan	48	8	6	6	2
Darris Smith	15	6	5	11	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nicholas Rodriguez	61	4	2	0	7
Dreyden Norwood	24	2	0	0	5
Daylan Carnell	41	7	0	1	4

AUB's OC Derrick Nix (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jackson Arnold (Tr)	136	215	63%	1309	6	2	6.1
Ashton Daniels (Tr)	68	119	57%	797	3	2	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jeremiah Cobb	175	969	5	5.5	46
Jackson Arnold (Tr)	112	311	8	2.8	56
Ashton Daniels (Tr)	63	280	2	4.4	26
Deuce Knight	13	178	4	13.7	75

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Coleman	57	725	5	12.7	46
Eric Singleton Jr. (Tr)	58	534	3	9.2	48
Malcolm Simmons	25	457	2	18.3	91
Perry Thompson	17	154	0	9.1	34

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC D. J. Durkin (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavier Atkins (Tr)	84	17	9	7	1
Robert Woodyard Jr.	67	7	2	5	1
Kaleb Harris	50	2	1	0	1
Keyron Crawford	36	10	5	10	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavier Atkins (Tr)	84	17	9	7	1
Keyron Crawford	36	10	5	10	0
Chris Murray (Tr)	15	4	4	1	0
Keldric Faulk	27	5	2	6	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kayin Lee	31	0	0	0	4
Jay Crawford	15	1	0	0	4
Keldric Faulk	27	5	2	6	4