Florida at LSU Game Matchup
Florida logo Florida Gators at LSU TigersLSU logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Tiger Stadium - Baton Rouge, LA  (SEC)

 
Gators (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (28 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 6) (Good: 1) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 1)
LSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: LSU -8.5   (SP+ LSU -5)

Projected Score: FLA: 22 - LSU: 31 (53)
LSU Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
FLA Travel: 531 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (28 - 11)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (32 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 3 (#18)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 6) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
 
Florida's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Florida vs Long Island University-43
Sat 9/6 Florida vs South Florida-21.5
Sat 9/13 Florida at LSU+8.5
Sat 9/20 Florida at Miami+3
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Florida vs Texas+6.5
Sat 10/11 Florida at Texas A&M+5
Sat 10/18 Florida vs Mississippi State-20.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Florida vs Georgia+5.5
Sat 11/8 Florida at Kentucky-12
Sat 11/15 Florida at Ole Miss+1
Sat 11/22 Florida vs Tennessee-5
Sat 11/29 Florida vs Florida State-14.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida's Schedule
LSU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 LSU at Clemson+3.056.5
Sat 9/6 LSU vs Louisiana Tech-44.5
Sat 9/13 LSU vs Florida-8.5
Sat 9/20 LSU vs SE Louisiana-49
Sat 9/27 LSU at Ole Miss-5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 LSU vs South Carolina-12
Sat 10/18 LSU at Vanderbilt-18
Sat 10/25 LSU vs Texas A&M-6
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 LSU at Alabama+6.5
Sat 11/15 LSU vs Arkansas-18.5
Sat 11/22 LSU vs Western Kentucky-40
Sat 11/29 LSU at Oklahoma-4

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for LSU's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA#72 (.18)43% (64)28.345% (54)3.04 (66)16441% (82)2264.17 (46)#53 (.14)44% (95)23.149% (118)39% (44)3.12 (14)541.41.9
LSU#30 (.25)45% (38)30.542% (89)2.92 (90)10847% (24)2913.99 (60)#92 (.21)41% (60)24.341% (54)41% (73)3.44 (30)45.71.21
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Offense1328.327.543%4.171.4193891642264.654%46%45%41%16%.18
LSU Defense1324.321.441.1%3.441 - - - - - 51%49%41%41%18%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Defense1323.127.843.9%3.121.9 - - - - - 51%49%49%39%18%.14
LSU Offense1330.531.944.9%3.991.2223991082914.139%61%42%47%13%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida1328:3519.239%47%5.9541.41.96.43.1130.2
LSU1329:4722.150%50%5.845.71.215.12.5127.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Offense1354% (42)45% (54)35.4163.74.626 (36).14 (63)3.04 (66)79% (27)9% (56)0.94 (82)
LSU Defense1351% (67)41% (54) - - - - .18 (97)2.94 (55)84% (125)12% (29)1.23 (132)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Defense1351% (71)49% (118) - - - - .13 (73)3.06 (78)67% (29)11% (37)0.84 (10)
LSU Offense1339% (128)42% (89)26.4108.24.114 (98).12 (79)2.92 (90)82% (13)6% (5)0.89 (103)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Offense1346% (91)41% (82)1626.1225.78.714.118 (68)14 (115).25 (73)1.6 (48)31% (54)28% (105).22 (107)7% (90)1.8 (118)
LSU Defense1349% (69)41% (73) - - - - - - 5 (117).25 (75)1.6 (68)35% (28)31% (76).36 (93)7% (41)2.2 (104)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Defense1349% (67)39% (44) - - - - - - 14 (23).16 (34)1.6 (87)31% (86)37% (124).42 (108)7% (43)2 (58)
LSU Offense1361% (7)47% (24)24.538.4290.87.611.926 (26)11 (72).33 (37)1.5 (96)33% (89)37% (16).42 (28)7% (97)2 (84)

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 21.93 #12
Florida's Offense Rating: 26.96 #9
Florida's Defense Rating: 5.03 #17
2025 Talent Rating: 970.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 46% #12
Florida's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.3 #14
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #16
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.2 #21

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida: 21.93   LSU: 28.165

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 17.3   LSU: 22.1




LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 28.165 #6
LSU's Offense Rating: 30.64 #3
LSU's Defense Rating: 1.41 #12
2025 Talent Rating: 1032.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 63 #3
LSU's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0
LSU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.1 #9
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.7 #2
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #23

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Florida Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Florida's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
LSU 31
Florida 22


Projected Total Points: 53
LSU Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.9
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

LSU's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16Florida27LSU16FloridaLSU -3Florida57.0Under
202311/11LSU52Florida35LSULSU -14LSU68.5Over
202210/15Florida35LSU45LSUFlorida -2LSU51.5Over
202110/16LSU49Florida42LSUFlorida -12.5LSU61.0Over
202012/12Florida34LSU37LSUFlorida -23LSU65.5Over
201910/12LSU42Florida28LSULSU -14Push55.5Over
201810/06Florida27LSU19FloridaLSU -1Florida44.0Over
201710/07Florida16LSU17LSULSU -1.5Florida44.0Under
201611/19LSU10Florida16FloridaLSU -10.5Florida38.0Under
201510/17LSU35Florida28LSULSU -6.5LSU43.5Over
201410/11Florida27LSU30LSULSU -1LSU0
201310/12LSU17Florida6LSULSU -5LSU0
201210/06Florida14LSU6Florida
201110/08LSU41Florida11LSU
201010/09Florida29LSU33LSU
200910/10LSU3Florida13Florida
200810/11Florida51LSU21Florida
200710/06LSU28Florida24LSU
200610/07Florida23LSU10Florida
200510/15LSU21Florida17LSU
200410/09Florida21LSU24LSU
200310/11LSU7Florida19Florida
200210/12Florida7LSU36LSU
200110/06LSU15Florida44Florida
200010/06Florida41LSU9Florida
TeamWinsCoversO/U
LSU1577 Overs
Florida1043 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 117 - 43 - 34 - 1
Road Teams11 - 144 - 71 - 43 - 3

(#12) Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 21.93 #12
Offense Rating: 26.96 #9
Defense Rating: 5.03 #17
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.3 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #16
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.2 #21
Talent Rating: 970.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 46% #12
Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.17 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Great in Scoring Position 3.12 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Good Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Florida Notes
(5/23) OL 2 starters, 2 w/ exp. Could be top 10 in CFB
(5/6) Proj starting CB D Johnson arrested (serious)
(5/1) Fr WR D Wilson dominated spring ball, will play
(4/4) DE T Sapp/DT C Banks both top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OT Jake Slaughter the top T via PFF
(3/29) QB Lagway is special, has inj history though
(3/29) WR lost top 2, Wilson fast, Jackson hurt LY
(3/22) DE Sapp a top CFB Edge, great run, good rush
(3/18) RB Jaden Baugh (Fr) a breakout in '24
(3/18) Def improved LY, good returning prod in '25
Florida     Ratings Matchup     LSU
Power #12
#6
Off #9
#3
Def #17
#12
Talent #15
#8
SP+ #14
#9
SP+ Off #16
#2
SP+ Def #21
#23

Previous Matchups
Florida beat LSU last year (27-16)
LSU beat Florida in 2023 (52-35)
LSU beat Florida in 2022 (45-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: FLA | LSU
Depth Chart: FLA | LSU
Rosters: FLA | LSU
(#6) LSU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 28.165 #6
Offense Rating: 30.64 #3
Defense Rating: 1.41 #12
Overall SP+ Rating: 22.1 #9
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.7 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #23
Talent Rating: 1032.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 63 #3
Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.99 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Good Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


LSU Notes
(5/16) DE portals Pyburn (UF) & Payton (FSU) huge
(4/4) LB Whit Weeks a top 10 LB via PFF
(3/22) Top portal class, 10 P4 starters from LY
(3/20) WR Anderson(OU) a weapon if/when healthy
(3/20) TE's are massive. Sharp (OU) v athletic.
(3/18) QB Nussmeier could be special, good depth
(3/18) RB Durham good Fr yr, talented depth
(3/18) WRs deep/talented. A top unit in CFB TY.
(3/18) OL replacing both T's, must improve from LY
(3/18) Def better LY, next step in DC Baker 2nd yr?


  
Florida's OC Rob Sale
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
D.J. Lagway11519260%191512910.0
Aidan Warner215042%228034.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jadan Baugh13367375.155
Ja'Kobi Jackson9350075.420
D.J. Lagway5110102.022
Treyaun Webb219314.414
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
J.Michael Sturdivant (Tr)22315214.345
Eugene Wilson19266114.085
Hayden Hansen15207113.840
Aidan Mizell17202211.943

View Florida's Full Roster
Florida's DC Ron Roberts
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Castell551009
Jaden Robinson524410
Tyreak Sapp4613750
Bryce Thornton412013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyreak Sapp4613750
George Gumbs369642
Caleb Banks217561
Jaden Robinson524410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Castell551009
Bryce Thornton412013
Aaron Gates274013

LSU's OC Joe Sloan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Nussmeier33652464%403929127.7
Michael Van Buren Jr. (Tr)14025655%18861177.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caden Durham13875465.586
Kaleb Jackson4714903.219
Zavion Thomas97608.426
Barion Brown (Tr)135013.823
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Aaron Anderson61875514.376
Barion Brown (Tr)29361312.463
Bauer Sharp (Tr)4232427.743
Caden Durham2826029.371

View LSU's Full Roster
LSU's DC Blake Baker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Whit Weeks1118344
A.J. Haulcy (Tr)740007
Jack Pyburn (Tr)604100
Mansoor Delane (Tr)541007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Patrick Payton (Tr)3210440
Whit Weeks1118344
Dominick McKinley73310
Jimari Butler (Tr)227250
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Stamps5000211
A.J. Haulcy (Tr)740007
Mansoor Delane (Tr)541007