Florida Gators at LSU Tigers(#3)
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
LSU -5.5 (47.5) (-210) Open: -5.5 | 54.5
LSU 20 - Florida: 10 (SEC)
Gators (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 27 - 13 (10 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Coach Billy Napier (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 27 - 13 (10 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
LSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: LSU -8 (SP+ LSU -6)
Projected Score: FLA: 16 - LSU: 24 (40)
LSU Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
FLA Travel: 531 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Our Line: LSU -8 (SP+ LSU -6)
Projected Score: FLA: 16 - LSU: 24 (40)
LSU Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
FLA Travel: 531 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (28 - 11)
Avg Score : 20 - 9 (22 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 3 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 6) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Coach Brian Kelly (28 - 11)
Avg Score : 20 - 9 (22 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 3 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 6) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
| Florida's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Florida vs Long Island University | -46.5 | 56.5 | W 55 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Florida vs South Florida | -18.5 | 58.0 | L 16 - 18 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Florida at LSU | +5.5 | 47.5 | L 10 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Florida at Miami | +7.5 | 51.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Florida vs Texas | +4 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Florida at Texas A&M | +8 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Florida vs Mississippi State | -5.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Florida vs Georgia | +6.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Florida at Kentucky | -6 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Florida at Ole Miss | +7.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Florida vs Tennessee | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Florida vs Florida State | -0.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Florida's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| LSU's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | LSU at Clemson | +3.5 | 57.5 | W 17 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | LSU vs Louisiana Tech | -36.5 | 49.5 | W 23 - 7 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | LSU vs Florida | -5.5 | 47.5 | W 20 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | LSU vs SE Louisiana | -46.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/27 | LSU at Ole Miss | +2.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/11 | LSU vs South Carolina | -13 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | LSU at Vanderbilt | -2.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | LSU vs Texas A&M | -2.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/8 | LSU at Alabama | +8.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | LSU vs Arkansas | -10 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | LSU vs Western Kentucky | -29.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | LSU at Oklahoma | +6 | |||||
Total: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | #91 (.13) | 45% (56) | 27 | 51% (33) | 3.41 (32) | 137 | 42% (77) | 253 | 3.89 (72) | #27 (-) | 32% (18) | 12.7 | 27% (7) | 38% (55) | 2.36 (29) | 53.3 | 2 | 1 |
| LSU | #109 (.09) | 39% (103) | 20 | 32% (126) | 2.07 (129) | 111 | 44% (65) | 235 | 2.63 (123) | #20 (-.03) | 38% (60) | 9 | 43% (91) | 35% (44) | 2.7 (40) | 63.3 | 1.3 | 2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | #72 (.18) | 43% (64) | 45% (54) | 3.04 (66) | 164 | 41% (82) | 226 | 4.17 (46) | #53 (.14) | 44% (95) | 49% (118) | 39% (44) | 3.12 (14) | 54 | 1.4 | 1.9 | ||
| LSU | #30 (.25) | 45% (38) | 42% (89) | 2.92 (90) | 108 | 47% (24) | 291 | 3.99 (60) | #92 (.21) | 41% (60) | 41% (54) | 41% (73) | 3.44 (30) | 45.7 | 1.2 | 1 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA Offense | 3 | 27 | 10 | 45.5% | 3.89 | 2 | 23 | 391 | 137 | 253 | 4.3 | 40% | 59% | 51% | 42% | 16% | .13 |
| LSU Defense | 3 | 9 | 8.5 | 38% | 2.7 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 36% | 64% | 43% | 35% | 18% | -.03 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA Defense | 3 | 12.7 | 20 | 32.1% | 2.36 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 49% | 27% | 38% | 15% | 0 |
| LSU Offense | 3 | 20 | 21.5 | 38.6% | 2.63 | 1.3 | 21 | 345 | 111 | 235 | 3.7 | 44% | 55% | 32% | 44% | 17% | .09 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida | 3 | 35:28 | 23.3 | 40% | 100% | 6 | 53.3 | 2 | 1 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0 | 30.3 |
| LSU | 3 | 32:05 | 20.7 | 41% | 0% | 7.3 | 63.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 4 | 2.3 | 1 | 29 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA Offense | 3 | 40% (125) | 51% (33) | 32 | 137.3 | 4.3 | 1 (127) | .21 (45) | 3.41 (32) | 100% (1) | 10% (88) | 0.83 (102) |
| LSU Defense | 3 | 36% (3) | 43% (91) | - | - | - | - | -.02 (42) | 2.58 (50) | 100% (127) | 6% (120) | 0.58 (5) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA Defense | 3 | 51% (78) | 27% (7) | - | - | - | - | -.21 (6) | 2.01 (11) | 63% (43) | 8% (96) | 0.9 (62) |
| LSU Offense | 3 | 44% (104) | 32% (126) | 30 | 110.7 | 3.7 | 2 (109) | -.03 (115) | 2.07 (129) | 58% (109) | 10% (97) | 1.04 (49) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA Offense | 3 | 59% (12) | 42% (77) | 27.7 | 39.3 | 253.3 | 6.4 | 9.2 | 7 (23) | 6 (132) | .13 (107) | 1.4 (106) | 30% (60) | 31% (72) | .12 (114) | 6% (92) | 1.8 (93) |
| LSU Defense | 3 | 64% (134) | 35% (44) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 (2) | -.04 (17) | 1.4 (40) | 35% (50) | 17% (19) | -.2 (3) | 12% (3) | 2.1 (78) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA Defense | 3 | 49% (68) | 38% (55) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .22 (68) | 1.5 (59) | 35% (46) | 20% (27) | .18 (52) | 6% (56) | 2.2 (109) |
| LSU Offense | 3 | 55% (36) | 44% (65) | 23.3 | 35.7 | 235 | 6.6 | 10.1 | 3 (90) | 2 (60) | .2 (92) | 1.4 (111) | 33% (96) | 34% (53) | .23 (93) | 7% (104) | 1.9 (75) |
Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 23.99 #18
Florida's Offense Rating: 17.79 #38
Florida's Defense Rating: -6.20 #7
2025 Talent Rating: 976.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #12
Florida's 2025 Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1
Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.6 #30
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #47
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #24
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Florida's Power Rating: 23.99 #18
Florida's Offense Rating: 17.79 #38
Florida's Defense Rating: -6.20 #7
2025 Talent Rating: 976.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #12
Florida's 2025 Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1
Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.6 #30
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #47
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #24
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Florida: 23.99 LSU: 25.73
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 11.6 LSU: 17.4
Florida: 23.99 LSU: 25.73
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 11.6 LSU: 17.4
LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 25.73 #12
LSU's Offense Rating: 20.50 #30
LSU's Defense Rating: -8.56 #5
2025 Talent Rating: 1042.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #4
LSU's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0
LSU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.4 #17
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #25
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #15
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
LSU's Power Rating: 25.73 #12
LSU's Offense Rating: 20.50 #30
LSU's Defense Rating: -8.56 #5
2025 Talent Rating: 1042.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #4
LSU's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0
LSU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.4 #17
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #25
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #15
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Florida Scoring
Offense: 27 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 12.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 20
Florida's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 27 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 12.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 20
Florida's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
LSU 24
Florida 16
Total Points: 40
LSU 24
Florida 16
Total Points: 40
LSU Scoring
Offense: 20 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.5
Defense: 9 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5
LSU's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 20 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.5
Defense: 9 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5
LSU's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 09/13 | LSU | 20 | Florida | 10 | LSU | LSU -5.5 | LSU | 47.5 | Under |
| 2024 | 11/16 | Florida | 27 | LSU | 16 | Florida | LSU -3 | Florida | 57.0 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/11 | LSU | 52 | Florida | 35 | LSU | LSU -14 | LSU | 68.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/15 | Florida | 35 | LSU | 45 | LSU | Florida -2 | LSU | 51.5 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/16 | LSU | 49 | Florida | 42 | LSU | Florida -12.5 | LSU | 61.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 12/12 | Florida | 34 | LSU | 37 | LSU | Florida -23 | LSU | 65.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 10/12 | LSU | 42 | Florida | 28 | LSU | LSU -14 | Push | 55.5 | Over |
| 2018 | 10/06 | Florida | 27 | LSU | 19 | Florida | LSU -1 | Florida | 44.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 10/07 | Florida | 16 | LSU | 17 | LSU | LSU -1.5 | Florida | 44.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/19 | LSU | 10 | Florida | 16 | Florida | LSU -10.5 | Florida | 38.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 10/17 | LSU | 35 | Florida | 28 | LSU | LSU -6.5 | LSU | 43.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 10/11 | Florida | 27 | LSU | 30 | LSU | LSU -1 | LSU | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/12 | LSU | 17 | Florida | 6 | LSU | LSU -5 | LSU | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/06 | Florida | 14 | LSU | 6 | Florida | ||||
| 2011 | 10/08 | LSU | 41 | Florida | 11 | LSU | ||||
| 2010 | 10/09 | Florida | 29 | LSU | 33 | LSU | ||||
| 2009 | 10/10 | LSU | 3 | Florida | 13 | Florida | ||||
| 2008 | 10/11 | Florida | 51 | LSU | 21 | Florida | ||||
| 2007 | 10/06 | LSU | 28 | Florida | 24 | LSU | ||||
| 2006 | 10/07 | Florida | 23 | LSU | 10 | Florida | ||||
| 2005 | 10/15 | LSU | 21 | Florida | 17 | LSU | ||||
| 2004 | 10/09 | Florida | 21 | LSU | 24 | LSU | ||||
| 2003 | 10/11 | LSU | 7 | Florida | 19 | Florida | ||||
| 2002 | 10/12 | Florida | 7 | LSU | 36 | LSU | ||||
| 2001 | 10/06 | LSU | 15 | Florida | 44 | Florida | ||||
| 2000 | 10/06 | Florida | 41 | LSU | 9 | Florida |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | 16 | 8 | 7 Overs |
| Florida | 10 | 4 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 15 - 11 | 8 - 4 | 4 - 3 | 4 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 11 - 15 | 4 - 8 | 1 - 4 | 3 - 4 |
(#18) Florida Info
Power Rating: 23.99 #18
Offense Rating: 17.79 #38
Defense Rating: -6.20 #7
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.6 #30
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #24
Talent Rating: 976.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #12
Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Good Run Success 51%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 32%
Good in Scoring Position 2.36 PPO
Great Run Def Success 27%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Florida has lost 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Florida Notes
(9/7) Allowed 18 TFL through two games, Off a mess
(8/20) QB2 uncertain, but massive drop off either way
(8/13) Lagway health an issue, missing camp w/ others.
(6/30) DT Banks game wrecker, top 10 PFF w/ DE Sapp
(6/6) DL a top 5 unit via PFF, front line + depth
(6/6) OL 2 starters, 2 w/ exp. PFF rates at top 5 OL
(5/23) Safety duo of Thorton & Castell a top unit in CFB
(5/6) Proj starting CB D Johnson arrested (serious)
(5/1) Fr WR D Wilson dominated spring ball, will play
(4/4) OT Jake Slaughter the top T via PFF
Florida Highlights
Florida has a really good defense (#18)
Florida defense is really good in red zone (#29)
Florida has a good run defense (#7)
Florida Defensive Line is very good (#11)
Florida Deficiencies
Florida has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Florida throws a Lot of Interceptions (#132)
Florida offense is not Explosive (#103)
Florida does not Sack the QB (#130)
Power Rating: 23.99 #18
Offense Rating: 17.79 #38
Defense Rating: -6.20 #7
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.6 #30
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #24
Talent Rating: 976.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #12
Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Good Run Success 51%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 32%
Good in Scoring Position 2.36 PPO
Great Run Def Success 27%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Florida has lost 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Florida Notes
(9/7) Allowed 18 TFL through two games, Off a mess
(8/20) QB2 uncertain, but massive drop off either way
(8/13) Lagway health an issue, missing camp w/ others.
(6/30) DT Banks game wrecker, top 10 PFF w/ DE Sapp
(6/6) DL a top 5 unit via PFF, front line + depth
(6/6) OL 2 starters, 2 w/ exp. PFF rates at top 5 OL
(5/23) Safety duo of Thorton & Castell a top unit in CFB
(5/6) Proj starting CB D Johnson arrested (serious)
(5/1) Fr WR D Wilson dominated spring ball, will play
(4/4) OT Jake Slaughter the top T via PFF
Florida Highlights
Florida has a really good defense (#18)
Florida defense is really good in red zone (#29)
Florida has a good run defense (#7)
Florida Defensive Line is very good (#11)
Florida Deficiencies
Florida has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Florida throws a Lot of Interceptions (#132)
Florida offense is not Explosive (#103)
Florida does not Sack the QB (#130)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | LSU | FLA |
| OverallOver | #63 | #19 |
| OffenseOff | #89 | #44 |
| DefenseDef | #32 | #15 |
| Special TeamsST | #98 | #61 |
| PassingPass | #31 | #50 |
| RushingRush | #96 | #76 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #110 | #22 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #22 | #4 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #86 | #57 |
| TacklingTkl | #64 | #14 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #26 | #3 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #79 | #80 |
| Coverage DefCov | #12 | #35 |
Rematch from Week 3
LSU -5.5 (47.5)
LSU won vs Florida this year (20-10)
Previous Matchups
Florida beat LSU last year (27-16)
LSU beat Florida in 2023 (52-35)
LSU beat Florida in 2022 (45-35)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: FLA | LSU
Depth Chart: FLA | LSU
Rosters: FLA | LSU
(#12) LSU Info
Power Rating: 25.73 #12
Offense Rating: 20.50 #30
Defense Rating: -8.56 #5
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.4 #17
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #15
Talent Rating: 1042.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #4
Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.63 PPO
Awful Run Success 32%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 2.7 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 35%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
LSU has won 2 straight
LSU has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
LSU Notes
(9/15) Nussmeier dealing w/ torso injury after UF
(8/30) Def incredible vs Clemson, Off enough in W
(6/26) WRs Brown (UK) & Anderson(OU) are weapons
(6/7) Big yr for staff. Clemson/UF early set the tone
(6/7) LB Whit Weeks a top LB via PFF, LB Unit good
(5/23) Safeties Cooley & Haulcy a top duo in CFB
(5/16) DE portals Pyburn (UF) & Payton (FSU) huge
(3/22) Top portal class, 10 P4 starters from LY
(3/20) TE's are massive. Sharp (OU) v athletic.
(3/18) QB Nussmeier could be special, good depth
LSU Highlights
LSU in Undefeated
LSU is Undefeated at Home
LSU defense does not give up big plays (#19)
LSU Secondary is very good (#3)
LSU defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#2)
LSU Deficiencies
LSU has a really bad Offense
LSU Can Not Run the Ball (#116)
LSU Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
LSU offense is really bad (#103)
LSU Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#122)
LSU offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#123)
LSU run game is really bad (#126)
Power Rating: 25.73 #12
Offense Rating: 20.50 #30
Defense Rating: -8.56 #5
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.4 #17
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #15
Talent Rating: 1042.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #4
Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.63 PPO
Awful Run Success 32%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 2.7 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 35%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
LSU has won 2 straight
LSU has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
LSU Notes
(9/15) Nussmeier dealing w/ torso injury after UF
(8/30) Def incredible vs Clemson, Off enough in W
(6/26) WRs Brown (UK) & Anderson(OU) are weapons
(6/7) Big yr for staff. Clemson/UF early set the tone
(6/7) LB Whit Weeks a top LB via PFF, LB Unit good
(5/23) Safeties Cooley & Haulcy a top duo in CFB
(5/16) DE portals Pyburn (UF) & Payton (FSU) huge
(3/22) Top portal class, 10 P4 starters from LY
(3/20) TE's are massive. Sharp (OU) v athletic.
(3/18) QB Nussmeier could be special, good depth
LSU Highlights
LSU in Undefeated
LSU is Undefeated at Home
LSU defense does not give up big plays (#19)
LSU Secondary is very good (#3)
LSU defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#2)
LSU Deficiencies
LSU has a really bad Offense
LSU Can Not Run the Ball (#116)
LSU Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
LSU offense is really bad (#103)
LSU Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#122)
LSU offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#123)
LSU run game is really bad (#126)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Lagway | 71 | 100 | 71% | 629 | 5 | 6 | 6.3 |
| Tramell Jones Jr. | 12 | 18 | 67% | 131 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadan Baugh | 37 | 243 | 1 | 6.6 | 26 |
| Ja'Kobi Jackson | 20 | 59 | 0 | 3.0 | 13 |
| D.J. Lagway | 18 | 31 | 0 | 1.7 | 10 |
| Anthony Rubio | 5 | 27 | 0 | 5.4 | 12 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vernell Brown III | 16 | 197 | 0 | 12.3 | 41 |
| Hayden Hansen | 13 | 117 | 1 | 9.0 | 28 |
| J.Michael Sturdivant (Tr) | 7 | 71 | 1 | 10.1 | 18 |
| Eugene Wilson | 14 | 66 | 2 | 4.7 | 32 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Graham | 17 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Jaden Robinson | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Brendan Bett (Tr) | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| George Gumbs | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreak Sapp | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Myles Graham | 17 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Titus Bullard | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Javion Toombs | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Thornton | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Myles Graham | 17 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Devin Moore | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Nussmeier | 69 | 106 | 65% | 689 | 3 | 2 | 6.5 |
| Zavion Thomas | 1 | 1 | 100% | 16 | 0 | 0 | 16.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Durham | 45 | 196 | 2 | 4.4 | 51 |
| Zavion Thomas | 9 | 80 | 0 | 8.9 | 48 |
| Harlem Berry | 8 | 59 | 0 | 7.4 | 43 |
| Barion Brown (Tr) | 1 | 15 | 0 | 15.0 | 15 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Anderson | 18 | 247 | 0 | 13.7 | 39 |
| Barion Brown (Tr) | 15 | 145 | 0 | 9.7 | 19 |
| Bauer Sharp (Tr) | 9 | 97 | 0 | 10.8 | 65 |
| Zavion Thomas | 9 | 89 | 1 | 9.9 | 23 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Weeks | 27 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Davhon Keys | 23 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Tamarcus Cooley (Tr) | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Harold Perkins | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacobian Guillory | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Dominick McKinley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Harold Perkins | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| P.J. Woodland | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansoor Delane (Tr) | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Ashton Stamps | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Harold Perkins | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |