Arkansas at LSU Game Matchup
Arkansas logo Arkansas Razorbacks at LSU TigersLSU logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Tiger Stadium - Baton Rouge, LA  (SEC)

 
Razorbacks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (29 - 31)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (34 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 6.9 (#91)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 6) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
ARK coming off BYE
Our Line: LSU -18.5   (SP+ LSU -15)

Projected Score: ARK: 19 - LSU: 38 (56)
LSU Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
ARK Travel: 427 miles
Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (28 - 11)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (32 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 3 (#18)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 6) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
 
Arkansas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Arkansas vs Alabama A&M-33
Sat 9/6 Arkansas vs Arkansas State-23
Sat 9/13 Arkansas at Ole Miss+11.5
Sat 9/20 Arkansas at Memphis-5
Sat 9/27 Arkansas vs Notre Dame+14
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Arkansas at Tennessee+10.5
Sat 10/18 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+10
Sat 10/25 Arkansas vs Auburn+5
Sat 11/1 Arkansas vs Mississippi State-10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Arkansas at LSU+18.5
Sat 11/22 Arkansas at Texas+21.5
Sat 11/29 Arkansas vs Missouri+1

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule
LSU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 LSU at Clemson+3.056.5
Sat 9/6 LSU vs Louisiana Tech-44.5
Sat 9/13 LSU vs Florida-8.5
Sat 9/20 LSU vs SE Louisiana-49
Sat 9/27 LSU at Ole Miss-5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 LSU vs South Carolina-12
Sat 10/18 LSU at Vanderbilt-18
Sat 10/25 LSU vs Texas A&M-6
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 LSU at Alabama+6.5
Sat 11/15 LSU vs Arkansas-18.5
Sat 11/22 LSU vs Western Kentucky-40
Sat 11/29 LSU at Oklahoma-4

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for LSU's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK#27 (.25)48% (13)30.952% (5)3.23 (38)16844% (41)2483.95 (64)#45 (.13)42% (66)2539% (32)44% (100)3.31 (22)56.31.71
LSU#30 (.25)45% (38)30.542% (89)2.92 (90)10847% (24)2913.99 (60)#92 (.21)41% (60)24.341% (54)41% (73)3.44 (30)45.71.21
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Offense1330.933.548.2%3.951.7234161682484.951%48%52%44%19%.25
LSU Defense1324.321.441.1%3.441 - - - - - 51%49%41%41%18%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Defense132526.541.5%3.311 - - - - - 50%50%39%44%14%.13
LSU Offense1330.531.944.9%3.991.2223991082914.139%61%42%47%13%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas1328:0722.643%59%6.456.31.714.41.9027.3
LSU1329:4722.150%50%5.845.71.215.12.5127.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Offense1351% (64)52% (5)34.4167.94.932 (14).21 (29)3.23 (38)82% (13)12% (109)0.97 (67)
LSU Defense1351% (67)41% (54) - - - - .18 (97)2.94 (55)84% (125)12% (29)1.23 (132)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Defense1350% (64)39% (32) - - - - -.01 (11)2.84 (42)79% (104)8% (123)0.82 (8)
LSU Offense1339% (128)42% (89)26.4108.24.114 (98).12 (79)2.92 (90)82% (13)6% (5)0.89 (103)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Offense1348% (71)44% (41)18.830.2248.48.213.214 (108)9 (48).3 (46)1.6 (42)32% (72)37% (17).43 (25)7% (106)2.2 (25)
LSU Defense1349% (69)41% (73) - - - - - - 5 (117).25 (75)1.6 (68)35% (28)31% (76).36 (93)7% (41)2.2 (104)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Defense1350% (70)44% (100) - - - - - - 8 (93).28 (92)1.5 (43)33% (48)27% (23).2 (25)7% (45)1.9 (37)
LSU Offense1361% (7)47% (24)24.538.4290.87.611.926 (26)11 (72).33 (37)1.5 (96)33% (89)37% (16).42 (28)7% (97)2 (84)

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 11.84 #29
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 21.75 #28
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 9.91 #37
2025 Talent Rating: 806.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #31
Arkansas's 2025 Expected Record: 5.1 - 6.9
Arkansas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.0 #38
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.0 #37
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #40

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 11.84   LSU: 28.165

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 7.0   LSU: 22.1




LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 28.165 #6
LSU's Offense Rating: 30.64 #3
LSU's Defense Rating: 1.41 #12
2025 Talent Rating: 1032.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 63 #3
LSU's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0
LSU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.1 #9
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.7 #2
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #23

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.5

Arkansas's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
LSU 38
Arkansas 19


Projected Total Points: 56
LSU Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.9
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

LSU's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Arkansas10LSU34LSULSU -3LSU57.0Under
202309/23LSU34Arkansas31LSULSU -17.5Arkansas55.0Over
202211/12Arkansas10LSU13LSULSU -5Arkansas59.0Under
202111/13LSU13Arkansas16ArkansasArkansas -3NA59.5Under
202011/21Arkansas24LSU27LSULSU -1.5LSU64.5Under
201911/23LSU56Arkansas20LSULSU -42Arkansas69.5Over
201811/10Arkansas17LSU24LSULSU -12.5Arkansas49.5Under
201711/11LSU33Arkansas10LSULSU -19LSU54.5Under
201611/12Arkansas10LSU38LSULSU -7LSU46.5Over
201511/14LSU14Arkansas31ArkansasLSU -9Arkansas54.0Under
201411/15Arkansas17LSU0ArkansasArkansas -1.5Arkansas0
201311/29LSU31Arkansas27LSULSU -24.5Arkansas0
201211/23Arkansas13LSU20LSU
201111/25LSU41Arkansas17LSU
201011/27Arkansas31LSU23Arkansas
200911/28LSU33Arkansas30LSU
200811/28Arkansas31LSU30Arkansas
200711/23LSU48Arkansas50Arkansas
200611/24Arkansas26LSU31LSU
200511/25LSU19Arkansas17LSU
200411/26Arkansas14LSU43LSU
200311/28LSU55Arkansas24LSU
200111/23LSU41Arkansas38LSU
200011/23Arkansas14LSU3Arkansas
TeamWinsCoversO/U
LSU1743 Overs
Arkansas777 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 114 - 72 - 42 - 3
Road Teams11 - 137 - 43 - 24 - 2

(#29) Arkansas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.84 #29
Offense Rating: 21.75 #28
Defense Rating: 9.91 #37
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.0 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.0 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #40
Talent Rating: 806.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #31
Expected Record: 5.1 - 6.9

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.95 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Good Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 42%
Great in Scoring Position 3.31 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Arkansas Notes
(5/23) OL returns 3/5. 5 portals. Best left via portal
(5/23) Def front 7 biggest issue, DL 5 portal adds
(5/18) WR J Anthony a track star, hasn't played much
(5/15) WR top 5 are portals, 7 total. Blake (Char) good
(5/12) WR core bolted due to T Green? DBs a big issue
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp, 63% returning, 37% portals
(3/18) QB Green back, electric but inconsistent LY
(3/18) RBs rebuild. Good Run game LY needs RB1
(3/18) Def lacked ballers, pressure, TO's
(3/18) HC Pittman hotseat again. Petrino stab coming?
Arkansas     Ratings Matchup     LSU
Power #29
#6
Off #28
#3
Def #37
#12
Talent #47
#8
SP+ #38
#9
SP+ Off #37
#2
SP+ Def #40
#23

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Arkansas last year (34-10)
LSU beat Arkansas in 2023 (34-31)
LSU beat Arkansas in 2022 (13-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ARK | LSU
Depth Chart: ARK | LSU
Rosters: ARK | LSU
(#6) LSU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 28.165 #6
Offense Rating: 30.64 #3
Defense Rating: 1.41 #12
Overall SP+ Rating: 22.1 #9
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.7 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #23
Talent Rating: 1032.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 63 #3
Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.99 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Good Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


LSU Notes
(5/16) DE portals Pyburn (UF) & Payton (FSU) huge
(4/4) LB Whit Weeks a top 10 LB via PFF
(3/22) Top portal class, 10 P4 starters from LY
(3/20) WR Anderson(OU) a weapon if/when healthy
(3/20) TE's are massive. Sharp (OU) v athletic.
(3/18) QB Nussmeier could be special, good depth
(3/18) RB Durham good Fr yr, talented depth
(3/18) WRs deep/talented. A top unit in CFB TY.
(3/18) OL replacing both T's, must improve from LY
(3/18) Def better LY, next step in DC Baker 2nd yr?


  
Arkansas's OC Bobby Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taylen Green23038160%31531598.3
KJ Jackson44100%590014.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Michael Washington15871384.547
Taylen Green15660283.941
Braylen Russell6735435.375
Rodney Hill2818426.670
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
O'Mega Blake (Tr)32795924.875
Kameran Shanks62656610.667
Raylen Sharpe (Tr)51523310.338
Ismael Cisse (Tr)2624129.325

View Arkansas's Full Roster
Arkansas's DC Travis Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavian Sorey Jr.9910231
Stephen Dix Jr.703231
Quentavius Scandrett (Tr)540012
Larry Worth532102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Phillip Lee (Tr)3011571
Xavian Sorey Jr.9910231
Stephen Dix Jr.703231
Ken Talley (Tr)62220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kani Walker (Tr)242006
Jordan Young (Tr)351005
Julian Neal (Tr)324104

LSU's OC Joe Sloan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Nussmeier33652464%403929127.7
Michael Van Buren Jr. (Tr)14025655%18861177.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caden Durham13875465.586
Kaleb Jackson4714903.219
Zavion Thomas97608.426
Barion Brown (Tr)135013.823
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Aaron Anderson61875514.376
Barion Brown (Tr)29361312.463
Bauer Sharp (Tr)4232427.743
Caden Durham2826029.371

View LSU's Full Roster
LSU's DC Blake Baker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Whit Weeks1118344
A.J. Haulcy (Tr)740007
Jack Pyburn (Tr)604100
Mansoor Delane (Tr)541007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Patrick Payton (Tr)3210440
Whit Weeks1118344
Dominick McKinley73310
Jimari Butler (Tr)227250
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Stamps5000211
A.J. Haulcy (Tr)740007
Mansoor Delane (Tr)541007