Arkansas at LSU - 2025 Matchup Preview
Arkansas logo Arkansas Razorbacks at LSU Tigers(#3)LSU logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Tiger Stadium - Baton Rouge, LA  (SEC)

 
Razorbacks (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (29 - 31)
Avg Score : 48 - 21 (35 - 41 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#90)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
ARK coming off BYE
Our Line: LSU -10   (SP+ LSU -4)

Projected Score: ARK: 21 - LSU: 31 (51)
LSU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
ARK Travel: 427 miles
Tigers (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (28 - 11)
Avg Score : 20 - 9 (22 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 3 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
Arkansas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arkansas vs Alabama A&M-45.562.5W 52 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Arkansas vs Arkansas State-23.562.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 9/13 Arkansas at Ole Miss+3.560.5L 35 - 41ON
Sat 9/20 Arkansas at Memphis-7.063.5
Sat 9/27 Arkansas vs Notre Dame+0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Arkansas at Tennessee+9
Sat 10/18 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+4.5
Sat 10/25 Arkansas vs Auburn+6
Sat 11/1 Arkansas vs Mississippi State-4
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Arkansas at LSU+10
Sat 11/22 Arkansas at Texas+11
Sat 11/29 Arkansas vs Missouri+6

Total: Elite: 8, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule
LSU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 LSU at Clemson+3.557.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 9/6 LSU vs Louisiana Tech-36.549.5W 23 - 7UN
Sat 9/13 LSU vs Florida-5.547.5W 20 - 10UY
Sat 9/20 LSU vs SE Louisiana-46.5
Sat 9/27 LSU at Ole Miss+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 LSU vs South Carolina-13
Sat 10/18 LSU at Vanderbilt-2.5
Sat 10/25 LSU vs Texas A&M-2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 LSU at Alabama+8.5
Sat 11/15 LSU vs Arkansas-10
Sat 11/22 LSU vs Western Kentucky-29.5
Sat 11/29 LSU at Oklahoma+6

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for LSU's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK#5 (.55)56% (12)47.758% (12)3.98 (3)24556% (13)3245.55 (11)#108 (.22)49% (122)20.757% (133)42% (82)3.93 (86)5411.3
LSU#109 (.09)39% (103)2032% (126)2.07 (129)11144% (65)2352.63 (123)#20 (-.03)38% (60)943% (91)35% (44)2.7 (40)63.31.32
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK#27 (.25)48% (13)52% (5)3.23 (38)16844% (41)2483.95 (64)#45 (.13)42% (66)39% (32)44% (100)3.31 (22)56.31.71
LSU#30 (.25)45% (38)42% (89)2.92 (90)10847% (24)2913.99 (60)#92 (.21)41% (60)41% (54)41% (73)3.44 (30)45.71.21



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Offense347.73556.5%5.551295692453246.947%52%58%56%11%.55
LSU Defense398.538%2.72 - - - - - 36%64%43%35%18%-.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Defense320.74148.7%3.931.3 - - - - - 46%54%57%42%19%.22
LSU Offense32021.538.6%2.631.3213451112353.744%55%32%44%17%.09

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas329:572972%0%65411.36.72.3027.1
LSU332:0520.741%0%7.363.31.3242.3129
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Offense347% (89)58% (12)35.3245.36.98 (26).51 (3)3.98 (3)100% (1)5% (10)1.24 (24)
LSU Defense336% (3)43% (91) - - - - -.02 (42)2.58 (50)100% (127)6% (120)0.58 (5)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Defense346% (40)57% (133) - - - - .16 (104)2.78 (69)76% (96)11% (51)0.71 (18)
LSU Offense344% (104)32% (126)30110.73.72 (109)-.03 (115)2.07 (129)58% (109)10% (97)1.04 (49)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Offense352% (49)56% (13)22.733.33249.714.312 (3)2 (60).63 (13)1.7 (30)28% (48)52% (2).84 (6)6% (96)2.2 (47)
LSU Defense364% (134)35% (44) - - - - - - 6 (2)-.04 (17)1.4 (40)35% (50)17% (19)-.2 (3)12% (3)2.1 (78)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Defense354% (99)42% (82) - - - - - - 2 (56).28 (91)1.6 (91)27% (123)37% (118).46 (109)8% (26)1.9 (62)
LSU Offense355% (36)44% (65)23.335.72356.610.13 (90)2 (60).2 (92)1.4 (111)33% (96)34% (53).23 (93)7% (104)1.9 (75)

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 18.05 #34
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 28.44 #9
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 10.39 #84
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #33
Arkansas's 2025 Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6
Arkansas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.9 #25
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.9 #11
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #46

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 18.05   LSU: 25.73

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 13.9   LSU: 17.4




LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 25.73 #12
LSU's Offense Rating: 20.50 #30
LSU's Defense Rating: -8.56 #5
2025 Talent Rating: 1042.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #4
LSU's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0
LSU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.4 #17
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #25
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 47.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 41

Arkansas's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
LSU 31
Arkansas 21


Total Points: 51

LSU Scoring
Offense: 20 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.5
Defense: 9 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5

LSU's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Arkansas10LSU34LSULSU -3LSU57.0Under
202309/23LSU34Arkansas31LSULSU -17.5Arkansas55.0Over
202211/12Arkansas10LSU13LSULSU -5Arkansas59.0Under
202111/13LSU13Arkansas16ArkansasArkansas -3NA59.5Under
202011/21Arkansas24LSU27LSULSU -1.5LSU64.5Under
201911/23LSU56Arkansas20LSULSU -42Arkansas69.5Over
201811/10Arkansas17LSU24LSULSU -12.5Arkansas49.5Under
201711/11LSU33Arkansas10LSULSU -19LSU54.5Under
201611/12Arkansas10LSU38LSULSU -7LSU46.5Over
201511/14LSU14Arkansas31ArkansasLSU -9Arkansas54.0Under
201411/15Arkansas17LSU0ArkansasArkansas -1.5Arkansas0
201311/29LSU31Arkansas27LSULSU -24.5Arkansas0
201211/23Arkansas13LSU20LSU
201111/25LSU41Arkansas17LSU
201011/27Arkansas31LSU23Arkansas
200911/28LSU33Arkansas30LSU
200811/28Arkansas31LSU30Arkansas
200711/23LSU48Arkansas50Arkansas
200611/24Arkansas26LSU31LSU
200511/25LSU19Arkansas17LSU
200411/26Arkansas14LSU43LSU
200311/28LSU55Arkansas24LSU
200111/23LSU41Arkansas38LSU
200011/23Arkansas14LSU3Arkansas
TeamWinsCoversO/U
LSU1743 Overs
Arkansas777 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 114 - 72 - 42 - 3
Road Teams11 - 137 - 43 - 24 - 2

(#34) Arkansas Info
Power Rating: 18.05 #34
Offense Rating: 28.44 #9
Defense Rating: 10.39 #84
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.9 #25
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.9 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #46
Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #33
Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Great Offense Success Rate of 56%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.55 PPO
Great Run Success 58%
Great Pass Success 56%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 57%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Arkansas has lost 7 straight
Arkansas has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Arkansas Notes
(8/17) Def front 7 biggest issue, pass rush SEC worst
(5/23) Hogs getting picked clean by portal, NIL bad
(5/23) OL returns 3/5. 5 portals. Best left via portal
(5/18) WR J Anthony a track star, hasn't played much
(5/15) WR top 5 are portals, 7 total. Blake (Char) good
(5/12) WR core bolted due to T Green? DBs a big issue
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp, 63% returning, 37% portals
(3/18) QB Green back, electric but inconsistent LY
(3/18) RBs rebuild. Good Run game LY needs RB1
(3/18) Def lacked ballers, pressure, TO's

Arkansas Highlights
Arkansas has Really Good Running Game (#8)
Arkansas offense is efficent (#12)
Arkansas offense is explosive (#15)
Arkansas has a top Offensive Line (#3)
Arkansas offense is good in red zone (#11)
Arkansas offense is good on 3rd downs
Arkansas does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#7)

Arkansas Secondary is very good (#26)

Arkansas Deficiencies
Arkansas has a bad defense (#122)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatLSUARK
OverallOver#63#17
OffenseOff#89#15
DefenseDef#32#39
Special TeamsST#98#34
PassingPass#31#20
RushingRush#96#6
Run BlockRBLK#110#52
Pass BlockPBLK#22#14
Route RunningWR Rt#86#38
TacklingTkl#64#16
Run DefenseR Def#26#61
Pass Rush DefPRush#79#16
Coverage DefCov#12#36

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Arkansas last year (34-10)
LSU beat Arkansas in 2023 (34-31)
LSU beat Arkansas in 2022 (13-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ARK | LSU
Depth Chart: ARK | LSU
Rosters: ARK | LSU
(#12) LSU Info
Power Rating: 25.73 #12
Offense Rating: 20.50 #30
Defense Rating: -8.56 #5
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.4 #17
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #15
Talent Rating: 1042.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #4
Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.63 PPO
Awful Run Success 32%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 2.7 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 35%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

LSU has lost 6 straight
LSU has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

LSU Notes
(9/15) Nussmeier dealing w/ torso injury after UF
(8/30) Def incredible vs Clemson, Off enough in W
(6/26) WRs Brown (UK) & Anderson(OU) are weapons
(6/7) Big yr for staff. Clemson/UF early set the tone
(6/7) LB Whit Weeks a top LB via PFF, LB Unit good
(5/23) Safeties Cooley & Haulcy a top duo in CFB
(5/16) DE portals Pyburn (UF) & Payton (FSU) huge
(3/22) Top portal class, 10 P4 starters from LY
(3/20) TE's are massive. Sharp (OU) v athletic.
(3/18) QB Nussmeier could be special, good depth

LSU Highlights
LSU in Undefeated
LSU is Undefeated at Home

LSU defense does not give up big plays (#19)
LSU Secondary is very good (#3)
LSU defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#2)

LSU Deficiencies
LSU has a really bad Offense
LSU Can Not Run the Ball (#116)
LSU Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
LSU offense is really bad (#103)
LSU Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#122)
LSU offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#123)
LSU run game is really bad (#126)


  
Arkansas's OC Bobby Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taylen Green639269%8661129.4
KJ Jackson5771%1061015.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Taylen Green3230729.664
Michael Washington3126038.453
Braylen Russell2510324.18
Rodney Hill73705.318
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
O'Mega Blake (Tr)18266314.830
Jalen Brown (Tr)10114211.429
CJ Brown9111212.326
Raylen Sharpe (Tr)7107215.337

View Arkansas's Full Roster
Arkansas's DC Travis Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavian Sorey Jr.232120
Stephen Dix Jr.231000
Julian Neal (Tr)211004
Caleb Wooden (Tr)142000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quincy Rhodes Jr.93330
Phillip Lee (Tr)123240
Miguel Mitchell111100
Shakur Smalls (Tr)51101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Julian Neal (Tr)211004
Kani Walker (Tr)131004
Keshawn Davila00001

LSU's OC Joe Sloan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Nussmeier6910665%689326.5
Zavion Thomas11100%160016.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caden Durham4519624.451
Zavion Thomas98008.948
Harlem Berry85907.443
Barion Brown (Tr)115015.015
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Aaron Anderson18247013.739
Barion Brown (Tr)1514509.719
Bauer Sharp (Tr)997010.865
Zavion Thomas98919.923

View LSU's Full Roster
LSU's DC Blake Baker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
West Weeks272100
Davhon Keys231110
Tamarcus Cooley (Tr)180000
Harold Perkins132132
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacobian Guillory21100
Dominick McKinley31100
Harold Perkins132132
P.J. Woodland121112
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mansoor Delane (Tr)90014
Ashton Stamps10002
Harold Perkins132132