Louisiana Tech at LSU - 2025 Matchup Preview
Louisiana Tech logo Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at LSU Tigers(#3)LSU logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
LSU -36.5 (49.5) (0)  Open: -38.0 | 52.5
LSU 23 - Louisiana Tech: 7

 
Bulldogs (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (11 - 25)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (19 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 5.2 (#57)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
Temp: 93.4° (46% Hum)
Our Line: LSU -20.5  (SP+ LSU -10)

Projected Score: LT: 13 - LSU: 34 (47)
LSU Win prob: 94% | Cover: 38%
LT Travel: 170 miles
Tigers (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Frank Wilson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (26 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 5.3 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Louisiana Tech vs SE Louisiana-14.550.5W 24 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Louisiana Tech at LSU+36.549.5L 7 - 23UY
Sat 9/13 Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State-10.042.5W 49 - 14OY
Sat 9/20 Louisiana Tech vs Southern Miss-3.051.5W 30 - 20UY
Sat 9/27 Louisiana Tech at UTEP-3.548.5W 30 - 11UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State-4.546.5L 7 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/21 Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky-5.549.5L 27 - 28ON
Fri 10/31 Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston-16.548.0W 55 - 14OY
Sat 11/8 Louisiana Tech at Delaware-5.557.5L 24 - 25UN
Sat 11/15 Louisiana Tech at Washington State+10.043.5L 3 - 28UN
Sat 11/22 Louisiana Tech vs Liberty+1.545.5W 34 - 28OY
Sat 11/29 Louisiana Tech at Missouri State+2.545.0W 42 - 30OY
Tue 12/30 Louisiana Tech vs Coastal Carolina-10.051.0W 23 - 14UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule
LSU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 LSU at Clemson+3.557.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 9/6 LSU vs Louisiana Tech-36.549.5W 23 - 7UN
Sat 9/13 LSU vs Florida-5.547.5W 20 - 10UY
Sat 9/20 LSU vs SE Louisiana-49.060.0W 56 - 10ON
Sat 9/27 LSU at Ole Miss+2.557.5L 19 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 LSU vs South Carolina-8.544.5W 20 - 10UY
Sat 10/18 LSU at Vanderbilt+1.548.5L 24 - 31ON
Sat 10/25 LSU vs Texas A&M+1.550.5L 25 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 LSU at Alabama+10.549.5L 9 - 20UN
Sat 11/15 LSU vs Arkansas-4.058.5W 23 - 22UN
Sat 11/22 LSU vs Western Kentucky-24.552.0W 13 - 10UN
Sat 11/29 LSU at Oklahoma+11.536.5L 13 - 17UY
Sat 12/27 LSU vs Houston+1.543.5L 35 - 38ON

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LT#85 (.15)41% (93)27.343% (80)2.98 (60)18139% (103)1553.33 (107)#27 (.07)39% (30)20.840% (40)38% (38)3.05 (22)68.711.7
LSU#125 (.04)38% (111)22.837% (122)2.46 (132)9940% (90)2093.2 (115)#20 (.06)38% (23)19.839% (29)37% (31)2.98 (17)5211.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LT#130 (.02)37% (119)37% (122)2.62 (125)10938% (111)2113.09 (124)#26 (.1)37% (13)39% (36)35% (11)3.72 (61)46.71.51.2
LSU#30 (.25)45% (38)42% (89)2.92 (90)10847% (24)2913.99 (60)#92 (.21)41% (60)41% (54)41% (73)3.44 (30)45.71.21



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LT Offense1327.318.840.8%3.331183371811554.858%40%43%39%14%.15
LSU Defense1319.816.937.7%2.981.6 - - - - - 47%52%39%37%18%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LT Defense1320.825.338.6%3.051.7 - - - - - 45%53%40%38%19%.07
LSU Offense1322.825.738.4%3.2117308992093.743%56%37%40%18%.04

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisiana Tech1327:3518.243%50%6.868.711.75.31.4728.3
LSU1328:3617.535%58%6.35211.64.82.1129.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LT Offense1358% (15)43% (80)37.5181.24.828 (88).16 (47)2.98 (60)75% (49)8% (42)1.05 (35)
LSU Defense1347% (33)39% (29) - - - - .01 (21)2.6 (18)64% (23)9% (83)0.92 (48)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LT Defense1345% (15)40% (40) - - - - .05 (41)2.72 (33)68% (47)9% (78)1.12 (128)
LSU Offense1343% (118)37% (122)26.898.83.79 (107)- (124)2.46 (132)66% (105)11% (111)0.9 (93)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LT Offense1340% (124)39% (103)14.422.6155.46.910.87 (121)9 (34).19 (99)1.5 (70)30% (40)26% (112).23 (97)6% (54)2.3 (9)
LSU Defense1352% (115)37% (31) - - - - - - 17 (22).14 (26)1.6 (78)35% (23)27% (35).2 (29)9% (6)2 (70)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LT Defense1353% (121)38% (38) - - - - - - 20 (4).14 (25)1.6 (79)35% (19)32% (94).25 (56)10% (1)1.9 (46)
LSU Offense1356% (20)40% (90)21.232.12096.59.917 (50)7 (60).16 (112)1.4 (128)36% (129)30% (79).21 (99)7% (103)1.9 (93)

Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -9.48  #107
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 0.92  #122
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 10.40  #81
2025 Talent Rating: 472.00  #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 2%  #79
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 5.2
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.8  #76
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.4  #77
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1  #70

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -9.48   LSU: 15.165

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -0.8   LSU: 9.6




LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 15.165  #31
LSU's Offense Rating: 6.88  #80
LSU's Defense Rating: -8.85  #7
2025 Talent Rating: 1042.00  #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 71  #4
LSU's 2025 Expected Record: 7.7 - 5.3
LSU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6  #33
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5  #90
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.0  #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.8
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.3

Louisiana Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
LSU 34
Louisiana Tech 13


Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
LSU 27
Louisiana Tech 19

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
LSU 24
Louisiana Tech 21

Total Points: 45
LSU Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.9

LSU's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06LSU23Louisiana Tech7LSU -36.5Louisiana Tech49.5Under
201809/22LSU38Louisiana Tech21LSU -19.5Louisiana Tech51.0Over
200911/14LSU24Louisiana Tech16
200711/10LSU58Louisiana Tech10
200311/01LSU49Louisiana Tech10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
LSU501 Overs
Louisiana Tech021 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 00 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 52 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#107) LT at (#31) LSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLTLSU
Power RatePwr #107 #31
SP+SP+ #76 #33
Perf GradeGrade #85 #83
OffenseOff #97 #102
DefenseDef #50 #39
Spec TeamsST #49 #65
TalentTal #122 #8
Blue ChipsBC% #79 #4
Louisiana Tech Notes
(11/10) QB1 Blake Baker out for season (torn ACL)
(10/22) Criminal clock management costly vs WKU
(10/22) QB Baker torched WKU for 340 yds and 49 rushing
(10/22) Most penalized team in CUSA, Def good but leaking
(10/21) QB1 Blake Baker, JAG w/ some mobility
(10/10) Give Cumbie 2 weeks he gets routed by Kennesaw St
(10/9) Lead CFB w/ 13 TOs & 5 Def TD. Allow 14 ppg
(9/21) Shockingly good start, box score ugly vs SMiss
(9/21) Off 2-13 on 3rd down, 2.7 ypc vs S Miss and won?
(9/17) Played hard vs LSU, Def great in red zone early
(5/20) OC Franklin - a legend of tempo, simplicity
(5/2) TE Eli Finley a good target, best on team
Louisiana Tech Injury Report
LSU Notes
(12/6) DC Blake Baker will stay on under Kiffin
(12/1) Hired Lane Kiffin, Weis will be OC, more to come
(11/26) Nussmeier doubtful vs OU, Van Buren gets 3rd start
(10/27) OC Joe Sloan fired, Alex Atkins (TE/RGC) int.
(10/26) Brian Kelly fired, AHS Frank Wilson interim
(10/25) OTs exposed vs A&M. 2 straight L's, Off sucks
(10/24) Have real issues at LT. May play BU C Chester, woof
(10/22) LB Whit Weeks out for A&M game (ankle)
(10/20) LT Tyree Adams out multiple games (A&M/Bama)
(10/18) Def was bad vs Vandy, Run Off bad, Nuss had no time
(10/18) Kelly now 11-11 on the road after Vandy loss.
(10/12) Cannot score +20 pts vs FBS teams, Def really good
LSU Injury Report
Louisiana Tech on Offense
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat
LT OffLSU Def
Perf GradePerf #97 #39
SuccessSuc #93 #23
ExplosiveExp #74 #66
PPAPPA #85 #20
PowerPwr #122 #7
SP+SP+ #77 #9
Pts POPPO #107 #17
HavocHav #48 #26
Louisiana Tech Run Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat
LT OffLSU Def
Run GameRun #28 #64
Run SuccessRSuc #80 #29
Run ExplRExp #35 #48
PPAExp #47 #21
Run BlockR Blk #110 -
OL YdsOLY #60 #18
Stuff RateStuff #46 #10
TackleTak -  #86
Louisiana Tech Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat
LT OffLSU Def
Pass GamePass #117 #22
Pass SuccessPSuc #103 #31
Pass ExplPExl #70 #78
PPAExp #99 #26
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #62 #96
F7 HavocF7 #42 #83
DB HavocDB #54 #6
LSU on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatLSU OffLT Def
Perf GradePerf #102 #50
SuccessSuc #111 #30
ExplosiveExp #114 #119
PPAPPA #125 #27
PowerPwr #80 #81
SP+SP+ #90 #70
Pts POPPO #115 #22
HavocHav #111 #12
LSU Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
LSU OffLT Def
Run GameRun #121 #55
Run SuccessRSuc #122 #40
Run ExplRExp #93 #128
PPAExp #124 #41
Run BlockR Blk #134 -
OL YdsOLY #132 #33
Stuff RateStuff #131 #12
TackleTak -  #79
LSU Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatLSU OffLT Def
Pass GamePass #39 #30
Pass SuccessPSuc #90 #38
Pass ExplPExl #128 #79
PPAExp #112 #25
Pass Block/RushP Blk #60 #120
F7 HavocF7 #111 #78
DB HavocDB #103 #1
Program Comparison
LSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to Average P4

LT 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 93°
Rematch from Week 2
LSU -36.5 (49.5)
LSU won vs Louisiana Tech this year (23-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
LT's OC Tony Franklin (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Blake Baker10215566%1252538.1
Trey Kukuk588767%530236.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Clay Thevenin12160585.050
Trey Kukuk7948856.258
Omiri Wiggins9746844.837
Andrew Burnette7745385.998
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Finley37441011.973
Devin Gandy (Tr)21366217.442
Marlion Jackson17283116.642
Clay Thevenin2925108.730

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

LT's DC Luke Olson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Fields903015
Mekhi Mason6215434
Jadon Mayfield579440
Jakari Foster511034
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jadon Mayfield579440
Mekhi Mason6215434
Donovan Rieman285301
Sifa Leota489268
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jhamal Shelby Jr.472009
Sifa Leota489268
Cedric Woods321008

LSU's OC Alex Atkins (Int) (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Nussmeier19428867%19271256.7
Michael Van Buren Jr. (Tr)9415162%1010826.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caden Durham11150534.551
Harlem Berry10449124.743
Ju'Juan Johnson4115523.856
Michael Van Buren Jr. (Tr)4812912.735
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Barion Brown (Tr)53532110.041
Zavion Thomas41488411.962
Trey'Dez Green33433713.142
Aaron Anderson33398012.139

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Blake Baker (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davhon Keys894162
A.J. Haulcy (Tr)881004
West Weeks768311
Tamarcus Cooley (Tr)702012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Harold Perkins558462
West Weeks768311
DJ Pickett353203
Damien Shanklin22200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mansoor Delane (Tr)4500111
P.J. Woodland382128
Patrick Payton (Tr)335126