Louisiana Tech at LSU - 2025 Matchup Preview
Louisiana Tech logo Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at LSU Tigers(#3)LSU logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
LSU -36.5 (49.5) (0)  Open: -38.0 | 52.5
LSU 23 - Louisiana Tech: 7

 
Bulldogs (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (11 - 25)
Avg Score : 27 - 12 (7 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 4.5 (#49)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
Our Line: LSU -33   (SP+ LSU -24)
Projected Score: LT: 4 - LSU: 37 (41)
LSU Win prob: 94% | Cover: 38%
LT Travel: 170 miles
Tigers (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (28 - 11)
Avg Score : 20 - 9 (22 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 3 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Louisiana Tech vs SE Louisiana-14.550.5W 24 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Louisiana Tech at LSU+36.549.5L 7 - 23UY
Sat 9/13 Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State-10.042.5W 49 - 14OY
Sat 9/20 Louisiana Tech vs Southern Miss-3.051.5
Sat 9/27 Louisiana Tech at UTEP+2.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State-9
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/21 Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky+1
Tue 10/28 Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston-14
Sat 11/8 Louisiana Tech at Delaware+1.5
Sat 11/15 Louisiana Tech at Washington State+2
Sat 11/22 Louisiana Tech vs Liberty+2.5
Sat 11/29 Louisiana Tech at Missouri State-8.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule
LSU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 LSU at Clemson+3.557.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 9/6 LSU vs Louisiana Tech-36.549.5W 23 - 7UN
Sat 9/13 LSU vs Florida-5.547.5W 20 - 10UY
Sat 9/20 LSU vs SE Louisiana-46.5
Sat 9/27 LSU at Ole Miss+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 LSU vs South Carolina-13
Sat 10/18 LSU at Vanderbilt-2.5
Sat 10/25 LSU vs Texas A&M-2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 LSU at Alabama+8.5
Sat 11/15 LSU vs Arkansas-10
Sat 11/22 LSU vs Western Kentucky-29.5
Sat 11/29 LSU at Oklahoma+6

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for LSU's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LT#129 (-.01)38% (109)26.745% (66)2.18 (127)18130% (128)1493.43 (99)#24 (-.01)39% (67)12.336% (48)43% (93)1.45 (6)93.70.32.3
LSU#109 (.09)39% (103)2032% (126)2.07 (129)11144% (65)2352.63 (123)#20 (-.03)38% (60)943% (91)35% (44)2.7 (40)63.31.32
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LT#130 (.02)37% (119)37% (122)2.62 (125)10938% (111)2113.09 (124)#26 (.1)37% (13)39% (36)35% (11)3.72 (61)46.71.51.2
LSU#30 (.25)45% (38)42% (89)2.92 (90)10847% (24)2913.99 (60)#92 (.21)41% (60)41% (54)41% (73)3.44 (30)45.71.21



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LT Offense326.7737.6%3.430.3183301811494.451%49%45%30%19%-.01
LSU Defense398.538%2.72 - - - - - 36%64%43%35%18%-.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LT Defense312.32339.1%1.452.3 - - - - - 50%49%36%43%25%-.01
LSU Offense32021.538.6%2.631.3213451112353.744%55%32%44%17%.09

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisiana Tech330:151840%50%9.393.70.32.38.33029.1
LSU332:0520.741%0%7.363.31.3242.3129
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LT Offense351% (70)45% (66)41.3181.34.44 (79)-.03 (113)2.18 (127)100% (1)12% (117)0.75 (120)
LSU Defense336% (3)43% (91) - - - - -.02 (42)2.58 (50)100% (127)6% (120)0.58 (5)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LT Defense350% (65)36% (48) - - - - -.07 (30)2.71 (62)63% (43)15% (16)1.1 (97)
LSU Offense344% (104)32% (126)30110.73.72 (109)-.03 (115)2.07 (129)58% (109)10% (97)1.04 (49)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LT Offense349% (66)30% (128)13.321.71496.911.24 (72)1 (23).02 (127)1.2 (125)34% (107)16% (131)- (123)7% (104)2 (72)
LSU Defense364% (134)35% (44) - - - - - - 6 (2)-.04 (17)1.4 (40)35% (50)17% (19)-.2 (3)12% (3)2.1 (78)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LT Defense349% (63)43% (93) - - - - - - 5 (6).13 (48)1.2 (18)35% (52)33% (93).31 (82)10% (11)2 (71)
LSU Offense355% (36)44% (65)23.335.72356.610.13 (90)2 (60).2 (92)1.4 (111)33% (96)34% (53).23 (93)7% (104)1.9 (75)

Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -8.47 #103
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: -0.42 #134
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 8.05 #71
2025 Talent Rating: 472.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1 #90
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #114
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #64

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -8.47   LSU: 25.73

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -6.1   LSU: 17.4




LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 25.73 #12
LSU's Offense Rating: 20.50 #30
LSU's Defense Rating: -8.56 #5
2025 Talent Rating: 1042.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #4
LSU's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0
LSU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.4 #17
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #25
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 26.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 12.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Louisiana Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
LSU 37
Louisiana Tech 4


Total Points: 41

LSU Scoring
Offense: 20 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.5
Defense: 9 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5

LSU's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06LSU23Louisiana Tech7LSULSU -36.5Louisiana Tech49.5Under
201809/22LSU38Louisiana Tech21LSULSU -19.5Louisiana Tech51.0Over
200911/14LSU24Louisiana Tech16LSU
200711/10LSU58Louisiana Tech10LSU
200311/01LSU49Louisiana Tech10LSU
TeamWinsCoversO/U
LSU501 Overs
Louisiana Tech021 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 00 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 52 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#103) Louisiana Tech Info
Power Rating: -8.47 #103
Offense Rating: -0.42 #134
Defense Rating: 8.05 #71
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #114
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #64
Talent Rating: 472.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 38%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 39%
Great in Scoring Position 1.45 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Louisiana Tech has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Louisiana Tech Notes
(5/20) OC Franklin - a legend of tempo, simplicity
(5/2) TE Eli Finley a good target, best on team
(3/24) QB Bullock back, JAG. Baker depth
(3/24) RB Wiggins has exp. No portals? Yikes
(3/24) WR rebuild, some exp. 2 portal adds
(3/24) OL awful LY, 3/5 back. 2 FCS portals
(3/24) Def played well LY, loses a ton. 3 portals?
(3/24) HC Cumbie is killing this program.

Louisiana Tech Highlights
Louisiana Tech is Undefeated vs Spread

Louisiana Tech Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Louisiana Tech defense is really good in red zone (#6)
Louisiana Tech Front 7 is disruptive (#16)
Louisiana Tech Secondary is very good (#11)
Louisiana Tech has a great TO Margin (#11)
Louisiana Tech defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)

Louisiana Tech Deficiencies
Louisiana Tech Commits a Lot of Penalties (#131)
Louisiana Tech offense is really bad (#109)
Louisiana Tech offense is not Explosive (#133)
Louisiana Tech pass game is really bad (#128)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatLSULT
OverallOver#63#41
OffenseOff#89#46
DefenseDef#32#48
Special TeamsST#98#28
PassingPass#31#91
RushingRush#96#5
Run BlockRBLK#110#25
Pass BlockPBLK#22#98
Route RunningWR Rt#86#85
TacklingTkl#64#38
Run DefenseR Def#26#44
Pass Rush DefPRush#79#82
Coverage DefCov#12#32

Rematch from Week 2
LSU -36.5 (49.5)
LSU won vs Louisiana Tech this year (23-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: LT | LSU
Depth Chart: LT | LSU
Rosters: LT | LSU
(#12) LSU Info
Power Rating: 25.73 #12
Offense Rating: 20.50 #30
Defense Rating: -8.56 #5
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.4 #17
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #15
Talent Rating: 1042.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #4
Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.63 PPO
Awful Run Success 32%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 2.7 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 35%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

LSU has won 1 straight
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

LSU Notes
(9/15) Nussmeier dealing w/ torso injury after UF
(8/30) Def incredible vs Clemson, Off enough in W
(6/26) WRs Brown (UK) & Anderson(OU) are weapons
(6/7) Big yr for staff. Clemson/UF early set the tone
(6/7) LB Whit Weeks a top LB via PFF, LB Unit good
(5/23) Safeties Cooley & Haulcy a top duo in CFB
(5/16) DE portals Pyburn (UF) & Payton (FSU) huge
(3/22) Top portal class, 10 P4 starters from LY
(3/20) TE's are massive. Sharp (OU) v athletic.
(3/18) QB Nussmeier could be special, good depth

LSU Highlights
LSU in Undefeated
LSU is Undefeated at Home

LSU defense does not give up big plays (#19)
LSU Secondary is very good (#3)
LSU defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#2)

LSU Deficiencies
LSU has a really bad Offense
LSU Can Not Run the Ball (#116)
LSU Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
LSU offense is really bad (#103)
LSU Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#122)
LSU offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#123)
LSU run game is really bad (#126)


  
Louisiana Tech's OC Tony Franklin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Trey Kukuk284070%224215.6
Blake Baker112446%228209.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Clay Thevenin2415116.333
Blake Baker2111615.538
Trey Kukuk2510404.224
Omiri Wiggins227213.317
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Gandy (Tr)378126.033
Eli Finley87709.623
David Pierro364021.356
Marques Singleton Jr.95806.413

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster
Louisiana Tech's DC Luke Olson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kolbe Fields292100
Mekhi Mason237301
Sifa Leota174022
Jacob Fields161003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mekhi Mason237301
Jadon Mayfield93200
Kameron Carter41100
Christian Davis41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jhamal Shelby Jr.101005
Jacob Fields161003
Sifa Leota174022

LSU's OC Joe Sloan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Nussmeier6910665%689326.5
Zavion Thomas11100%160016.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caden Durham4519624.451
Zavion Thomas98008.948
Harlem Berry85907.443
Barion Brown (Tr)115015.015
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Aaron Anderson18247013.739
Barion Brown (Tr)1514509.719
Bauer Sharp (Tr)997010.865
Zavion Thomas98919.923

View LSU's Full Roster
LSU's DC Blake Baker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
West Weeks272100
Davhon Keys231110
Tamarcus Cooley (Tr)180000
Harold Perkins132132
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacobian Guillory21100
Dominick McKinley31100
Harold Perkins132132
P.J. Woodland121112
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mansoor Delane (Tr)90014
Ashton Stamps10002
Harold Perkins132132