Louisiana Tech at LSU - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 6th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
LSU -36.5 (49.5) (0) Open: -38.0 | 52.5
LSU 23 - Louisiana Tech: 7

Bulldogs (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (11 - 25)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (19 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 5.2 (#57)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)

Our Line: LSU -23.5 (SP+ LSU -12)
Projected Score: LT: 12 - LSU: 35 (47)
LSU Win prob: 94% | Cover: 38%
LT Travel: 170 miles

Tigers (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (28 - 11)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (26 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 5.3 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
LT Players
LSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisiana Tech's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Louisiana Tech vs SE Louisiana	-14.5	50.5	W 24 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Louisiana Tech at LSU	+36.5	49.5	L 7 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/13	Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State	-10.0	42.5	W 49 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Louisiana Tech vs Southern Miss	-3.0	51.5	W 30 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/27	Louisiana Tech at UTEP	-3.5	48.5	W 30 - 11	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9	Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State	-4.5	46.5	L 7 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/21	Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky	-5.5	49.5	L 27 - 28	O	N
Fri 10/31	Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston	-16.5	48.0	W 55 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/8	Louisiana Tech at Delaware	-5.5	57.5	L 24 - 25	U	N
Sat 11/15	Louisiana Tech at Washington State	+10.0	43.5	L 3 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/22	Louisiana Tech vs Liberty	+1.5	45.5	W 34 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/29	Louisiana Tech at Missouri State	+2.5	45.0	W 42 - 30	O	Y
Tue 12/30	Louisiana Tech vs Coastal Carolina	-10.0	51.0	W 23 - 14	U	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule

LSU's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	LSU at Clemson	+3.5	57.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/6	LSU vs Louisiana Tech	-36.5	49.5	W 23 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/13	LSU vs Florida	-5.5	47.5	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/20	LSU vs SE Louisiana	-49.0	60.0	W 56 - 10	O	N
Sat 9/27	LSU at Ole Miss	+2.5	57.5	L 19 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	LSU vs South Carolina	-8.5	44.5	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/18	LSU at Vanderbilt	+1.5	48.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/25	LSU vs Texas A&M	+1.5	50.5	L 25 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	LSU at Alabama	+10.5	49.5	L 9 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/15	LSU vs Arkansas	-4.0	58.5	W 23 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/22	LSU vs Western Kentucky	-24.5	52.0	W 13 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/29	LSU at Oklahoma	+11.5	36.5	L 13 - 17	U	Y
Sat 12/27	LSU vs Houston	+1.5	43.5	L 35 - 38	O	N

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for LSU's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LT	#130 (.02)	37% (119)	27.3	37% (122)	2.62 (125)	109	38% (111)	211	3.09 (124)	#26 (.1)	37% (13)	20.8	39% (36)	35% (11)	3.72 (61)	46.7	1.5	1.2
LSU	#30 (.25)	45% (38)	22.8	42% (89)	2.92 (90)	108	47% (24)	291	3.99 (60)	#92 (.21)	41% (60)	19.8	41% (54)	41% (73)	3.44 (30)	45.7	1.2	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LT Offense	13	27.3	18.8	37.5%	3.09	1.5	17	319	109	211	3.1	49%	51%	37%	38%	17%	.02
LSU Defense	13	19.8	16.9	41.1%	3.44	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	41%	41%	18%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LT Defense	13	20.8	25.3	37.2%	3.72	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	39%	35%	15%	.1
LSU Offense	13	22.8	25.7	44.9%	3.99	1.2	22	399	108	291	4.1	39%	61%	42%	47%	13%	.25

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisiana Tech	13	29:34	17.2	40%	35%	4.9	46.7	1.5	1.2	5.2	1.6	0	33.2
LSU	13	29:47	22.1	50%	50%	5.8	45.7	1.2	1	5.1	2.5	1	27.9

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LT Offense	13	49% (78)	37% (122)	35.2	108.5	3.1	14 (98)	-.09 (134)	2.62 (125)	66% (114)	12% (116)	0.69 (134)
LSU Defense	13	51% (67)	41% (54)	-	-	-	-	.18 (97)	2.94 (55)	84% (125)	12% (29)	1.23 (132)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LT Defense	13	56% (121)	39% (36)	-	-	-	-	.09 (54)	2.9 (50)	70% (48)	11% (52)	1.01 (82)
LSU Offense	13	39% (128)	42% (89)	26.4	108.2	4.1	14 (98)	.12 (79)	2.92 (90)	82% (13)	6% (5)	0.89 (103)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LT Offense	13	51% (56)	38% (111)	18.8	29.8	210.9	7.1	11.2	18 (68)	7 (26)	.13 (115)	1.7 (35)	33% (103)	26% (117)	.15 (127)	5% (22)	2.1 (27)
LSU Defense	13	49% (69)	41% (73)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.25 (75)	1.6 (68)	35% (28)	31% (76)	.36 (93)	7% (41)	2.2 (104)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LT Defense	13	43% (9)	35% (11)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.15 (26)	1.6 (72)	35% (20)	29% (46)	.28 (56)	5% (112)	1.9 (30)
LSU Offense	13	61% (7)	47% (24)	24.5	38.4	290.8	7.6	11.9	26 (26)	11 (72)	.33 (37)	1.5 (96)	33% (89)	37% (16)	.42 (28)	7% (97)	2 (84)

Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -14.83 #119
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 4.42 #120
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 19.25 #100
2025 Talent Rating: 472.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 5.2
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #77
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #77
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #68

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 564.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -14.83 LSU: 15.39

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -1.3 LSU: 10.3

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 15.39 #20
LSU's Offense Rating: 14.53 #60
LSU's Defense Rating: -0.95 #8
2025 Talent Rating: 1042.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #4
LSU's 2025 Expected Record: 7.7 - 5.3
LSU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #32
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #75
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #11

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.8
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.3

Louisiana Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
LSU 35
Louisiana Tech 12

Projected Total Points: 47

LSU Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.9

LSU's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/06	LSU	23	Louisiana Tech	7	LSU -36.5	Louisiana Tech	49.5	Under
2018	09/22	LSU	38	Louisiana Tech	21	LSU -19.5	Louisiana Tech	51.0	Over
2009	11/14	LSU	24	Louisiana Tech	16
2007	11/10	LSU	58	Louisiana Tech	10
2003	11/01	LSU	49	Louisiana Tech	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
LSU	5	0	1 Overs
Louisiana Tech	0	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 0	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 5	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#119) LT at (#20) LSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LT	LSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#119	#20
SP+SP+	#77	#32
Perf GradeGrade	#83	#63
OffenseOff	#108	#96
DefenseDef	#37	#30
Spec TeamsST	#32	#65
TalentTal	#122	#8
Blue ChipsBC%	#79	#4

Louisiana Tech Notes(11/10) QB1 Blake Baker out for season (torn ACL)
(10/22) Criminal clock management costly vs WKU
(10/22) QB Baker torched WKU for 340 yds and 49 rushing
(10/22) Most penalized team in CUSA, Def good but leaking
(10/21) QB1 Blake Baker, JAG w/ some mobility
(10/10) Give Cumbie 2 weeks he gets routed by Kennesaw St
(10/9) Lead CFB w/ 13 TOs & 5 Def TD. Allow 14 ppg
(9/21) Shockingly good start, box score ugly vs SMiss
(9/21) Off 2-13 on 3rd down, 2.7 ypc vs S Miss and won?
(9/17) Played hard vs LSU, Def great in red zone early
(5/20) OC Franklin - a legend of tempo, simplicity
(5/2) TE Eli Finley a good target, best on team
Louisiana Tech Injury Report

LSU Notes(12/6) DC Blake Baker will stay on under Kiffin
(12/1) Hired Lane Kiffin, Weis will be OC, more to come
(11/26) Nussmeier doubtful vs OU, Van Buren gets 3rd start
(10/27) OC Joe Sloan fired, Alex Atkins (TE/RGC) int.
(10/26) Brian Kelly fired, AHS Frank Wilson interim
(10/25) OTs exposed vs A&M. 2 straight L's, Off sucks
(10/24) Have real issues at LT. May play BU C Chester, woof
(10/22) LB Whit Weeks out for A&M game (ankle)
(10/20) LT Tyree Adams out multiple games (A&M/Bama)
(10/18) Def was bad vs Vandy, Run Off bad, Nuss had no time
(10/18) Kelly now 11-11 on the road after Vandy loss.
(10/12) Cannot score +20 pts vs FBS teams, Def really good
LSU Injury Report

Louisiana Tech on Offense

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	LT Off	LSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#108	#30
SuccessSuc	#119	#60
ExplosiveExp	#113	#118
PPAPPA	#130	#92
PowerPwr	#120	#8
SP+SP+	#77	#11
Pts POPPO	#124	#30
HavocHav	#83	#30

Louisiana Tech Run Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	LT Off	LSU Def
Run GameRun	#33	#39
Run SuccessRSuc	#122	#54
Run ExplRExp	#134	#132
PPAExp	#134	#97
Run BlockR Blk	#128	-
OL YdsOLY	#125	#55
Stuff RateStuff	#119	#50
TackleTak	-	#72

Louisiana Tech Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	LT Off	LSU Def
Pass GamePass	#120	#21
Pass SuccessPSuc	#111	#73
Pass ExplPExl	#35	#68
PPAExp	#115	#75
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#67	#78
F7 HavocF7	#116	#29
DB HavocDB	#22	#41

LSU on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	LSU Off	LT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#96	#37
SuccessSuc	#38	#13
ExplosiveExp	#57	#57
PPAPPA	#30	#26
PowerPwr	#60	#100
SP+SP+	#75	#68
Pts POPPO	#60	#61
HavocHav	#26	#76

LSU Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	LSU Off	LT Def
Run GameRun	#118	#34
Run SuccessRSuc	#89	#36
Run ExplRExp	#103	#82
PPAExp	#79	#54
Run BlockR Blk	#131	-
OL YdsOLY	#90	#50
Stuff RateStuff	#52	#41
TackleTak	-	#80

LSU Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	LSU Off	LT Def
Pass GamePass	#30	#25
Pass SuccessPSuc	#24	#11
Pass ExplPExl	#96	#72
PPAExp	#37	#26
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#71	#108
F7 HavocF7	#5	#52
DB HavocDB	#97	#112

Program Comparison
LSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to Average P4

LT 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
LSU -36.5 (49.5)
LSU won vs Louisiana Tech this year (23-7)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Louisiana Tech last year (23-7)

LT's OC Tony Franklin (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Blake Baker	102	155	66%	1252	5	3	8.1
Trey Kukuk	67	106	63%	644	3	4	6.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Clay Thevenin	131	634	8	4.8	50
Trey Kukuk	98	609	5	6.2	58
Andrew Burnette	94	486	9	5.2	98
Omiri Wiggins	97	468	4	4.8	37

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eli Finley	38	445	0	11.7	73
Marlion Jackson	20	370	2	18.5	52
Devin Gandy (Tr)	21	366	2	17.4	42
Clay Thevenin	33	269	0	8.2	30

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

LT's DC Jeremiah Johnson (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Fields	90	3	0	1	5
Mekhi Mason	62	15	4	3	4
Jadon Mayfield	61	9	4	5	1
Sifa Leota	58	12	4	7	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jadon Mayfield	61	9	4	5	1
Sifa Leota	58	12	4	7	8
Mekhi Mason	62	15	4	3	4
Donovan Rieman	29	5	3	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jhamal Shelby Jr.	47	2	0	0	9
Sifa Leota	58	12	4	7	8
Cedric Woods	34	1	0	1	8

LSU's OC Joe Sloan (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Garrett Nussmeier	194	288	67%	1927	12	5	6.7
Michael Van Buren Jr. (Tr)	94	151	62%	1010	8	2	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Caden Durham	111	505	3	4.5	51
Harlem Berry	104	491	2	4.7	43
Ju'Juan Johnson	41	155	2	3.8	56
Michael Van Buren Jr. (Tr)	48	129	1	2.7	35

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Barion Brown (Tr)	53	532	1	10.0	41
Zavion Thomas	41	488	4	11.9	62
Trey'Dez Green	33	433	7	13.1	42
Aaron Anderson	33	398	0	12.1	39

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Blake Baker (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davhon Keys	89	4	1	6	2
A.J. Haulcy (Tr)	88	1	0	0	4
West Weeks	76	8	3	1	1
Tamarcus Cooley (Tr)	70	2	0	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Harold Perkins	55	8	4	6	2
West Weeks	76	8	3	1	1
DJ Pickett	35	3	2	0	3
Damien Shanklin	2	2	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mansoor Delane (Tr)	45	0	0	1	11
P.J. Woodland	38	2	1	2	8
Patrick Payton (Tr)	33	5	1	2	6