South Carolina at LSU - 2025 Matchup Preview
South Carolina logo South Carolina Gamecocks at LSU TigersLSU logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Tiger Stadium - Baton Rouge, LA  (SEC)

 
Gamecocks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Shane Beamer (29 - 21)
Avg Score : 31 - 18 (27 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 5.2 (#60)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 6) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
SC coming off BYE
LSU coming off BYE
Our Line: LSU -12.5   (SP+ LSU -6)

Projected Score: SC: 18 - LSU: 31 (51)
LSU Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
SC Travel: 643 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (28 - 11)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (32 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 2.9 (#15)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 6) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
 
South Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 South Carolina vs Virginia Tech-9.545.5
Sat 9/6 South Carolina vs South Carolina State-39.5
Sat 9/13 South Carolina vs Vanderbilt-13
Sat 9/20 South Carolina at Missouri-0.5
Sat 9/27 South Carolina vs Kentucky-13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 South Carolina at LSU+12.5
Sat 10/18 South Carolina vs Oklahoma+0.5
Sat 10/25 South Carolina vs Alabama+11.5
Sat 11/1 South Carolina at Ole Miss+4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 South Carolina at Texas A&M+8.5
Sat 11/22 South Carolina vs Coastal Carolina-30
Sat 11/29 South Carolina vs Clemson+7

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Carolina's Schedule
LSU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 LSU at Clemson+3.056.5
Sat 9/6 LSU vs Louisiana Tech-44.5
Sat 9/13 LSU vs Florida-8.5
Sat 9/20 LSU vs SE Louisiana-49.5
Sat 9/27 LSU at Ole Miss-5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 LSU vs South Carolina-12.5
Sat 10/18 LSU at Vanderbilt-18
Sat 10/25 LSU vs Texas A&M-6.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 LSU at Alabama+6.5
Sat 11/15 LSU vs Arkansas-19
Sat 11/22 LSU vs Western Kentucky-40
Sat 11/29 LSU at Oklahoma-4.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for LSU's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SC#48 (.22)44% (58)30.544% (74)3.01 (73)17544% (42)2033.97 (62)#15 (.08)42% (73)18.145% (93)40% (61)3.19 (16)53.81.51.7
LSU#30 (.25)45% (38)30.542% (89)2.92 (90)10847% (24)2913.99 (60)#92 (.21)41% (60)24.341% (54)41% (73)3.44 (30)45.71.21
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SC Offense1330.527.243.7%3.971.5203781752034.458%41%44%44%17%.22
LSU Defense1324.321.441.1%3.441 - - - - - 51%49%41%41%18%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SC Defense1318.112.642.1%3.191.7 - - - - - 49%50%45%40%19%.08
LSU Offense1330.531.944.9%3.991.2223991082914.139%61%42%47%13%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Carolina1328:442042%50%6.253.81.51.76.53.1230.3
LSU1329:4722.150%50%5.845.71.215.12.5127.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SC Offense1358% (15)44% (74)39.5175.24.425 (41).13 (70)3.01 (73)79% (29)13% (121)0.95 (79)
LSU Defense1351% (67)41% (54) - - - - .18 (97)2.94 (55)84% (125)12% (29)1.23 (132)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SC Defense1349% (52)45% (93) - - - - .03 (23)2.87 (46)69% (43)13% (10)0.73 (4)
LSU Offense1339% (128)42% (89)26.4108.24.114 (98).12 (79)2.92 (90)82% (13)6% (5)0.89 (103)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SC Offense1341% (118)44% (42)15.523.6202.88.613.120 (58)7 (26).37 (23)1.8 (14)30% (45)32% (61).35 (63)4% (17)2.1 (47)
LSU Defense1349% (69)41% (73) - - - - - - 5 (117).25 (75)1.6 (68)35% (28)31% (76).36 (93)7% (41)2.2 (104)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SC Defense1350% (74)40% (61) - - - - - - 13 (31).15 (31)1.5 (35)30% (104)29% (49).26 (45)6% (76)2.1 (76)
LSU Offense1361% (7)47% (24)24.538.4290.87.611.926 (26)11 (72).33 (37)1.5 (96)33% (89)37% (16).42 (28)7% (97)2 (84)

South Carolina's Power Ratings
South Carolina's Power Rating: 16.00 #19
South Carolina's Offense Rating: 22.32 #22
South Carolina's Defense Rating: 6.32 #22
2025 Talent Rating: 864.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 33% #20
South Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2
South Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.1 #17
South Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #24
South Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 945
Average Power Five Talent: 856.78
Average FBS Talent: 681.16

Power Ratings Matchup
South Carolina: 16.00   LSU: 28.375

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Carolina: 16.1   LSU: 22.1




LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 28.375 #5
LSU's Offense Rating: 30.76 #3
LSU's Defense Rating: 1.11 #12
2025 Talent Rating: 1044.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 63 #3
LSU's 2025 Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
LSU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.1 #9
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.7 #2
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #23

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 945
Average Power Five Talent: 856.78
Average FBS Talent: 681.16


South Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 12.6

South Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
LSU 31
South Carolina 18


Projected Total Points: 51
LSU Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.9
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

LSU's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14South Carolina33LSU36LSULSU -7South Carolina50.0Over
202010/24LSU52South Carolina24LSULSU -4.5LSU54.0Over
201510/10LSU45South Carolina24LSUSouth Carolina -13LSU50.5Over
201210/13LSU23South Carolina21LSU
200810/18South Carolina17LSU24LSU
200709/22LSU28South Carolina16LSU
200310/18South Carolina7LSU33LSU
200210/19LSU38South Carolina14LSU
TeamWinsCoversO/U
LSU823 Overs
South Carolina010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 33 - 01 - 02 - 0
Road Teams3 - 50 - 30 - 20 - 1

(#19) South Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 16.00 #19
Offense Rating: 22.32 #22
Defense Rating: 6.32 #22
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.1 #17
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #24
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #15
Talent Rating: 864.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 33% #20
Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Great in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


South Carolina Notes
(5/7) RB Faison (USU) needs NCAA waiver to play TY
(5/3) ST's lost K, P, holder and LS. Could be notable
(5/1) Fr WR Malik Clark has flashed early, will play
(4/19) WR Harbor huge talent. Lots of talent, incl Fr
(4/4) DE Dylan Stewart a top 10 DE via PFF
(3/19) QB Sellers exciting, lotta hype/promise.
(3/19) RB rebuild, Faison (USU) big sign. Depth?
(3/19) OL returns 2/5, both T's. 3 portals in middle
(3/19) Def good LY, F7 rebuild but DE Stewart a star
(3/19) Shula now OC w/ Loggains now HC @ App
South Carolina     Ratings Matchup     LSU
Power #19
#5
Off #22
#3
Def #22
#12
Talent #26
#8
SP+ #17
#9
SP+ Off #24
#2
SP+ Def #15
#23

Previous Matchups
LSU beat South Carolina last year (36-33)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: SC | LSU
Depth Chart: SC | LSU
Rosters: SC | LSU
(#5) LSU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 28.375 #5
Offense Rating: 30.76 #3
Defense Rating: 1.11 #12
Overall SP+ Rating: 22.1 #9
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.7 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #23
Talent Rating: 1044.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 63 #3
Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.99 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Good Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


LSU Notes
(6/7) Big yr for staff. Clemson/UF early set the tone
(6/7) LB Whit Weeks a top LB via PFF, LB Unit good
(5/23) Safeties Cooley & Haulcy a top duo in CFB
(5/16) DE portals Pyburn (UF) & Payton (FSU) huge
(3/22) Top portal class, 10 P4 starters from LY
(3/20) TE's are massive. Sharp (OU) v athletic.
(3/18) QB Nussmeier could be special, good depth
(3/18) RB Durham good Fr yr, talented depth
(3/18) WRs deep/talented. A top unit in CFB TY.
(3/18) OL replacing both T's, must improve from LY


  
South Carolina's OC Mike Shula
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Lanorris Sellers19730066%25271878.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rahsul Faison (Tr)198110985.637
Lanorris Sellers16568174.175
Isaiah Augustave (Tr)8538444.537
Jawarn Howell1912326.527
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nyck Harbor26376314.543
Mazeo Bennett30337311.236
Jared Brown15244116.351
Vandrevious Jacobs12181015.141

View South Carolina's Full Roster
South Carolina's DC Clayton White
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalon Kilgore483035
Myles Norwood (Tr)382005
DQ Smith370003
Brandon Cisse (Tr)282005
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dylan Stewart2311731
Bryan Thomas Jr.237520
Demon Clowney (Tr)235210
Jatius Geer81100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Judge Collier283008
Jalon Kilgore483035
Brandon Cisse (Tr)282005

LSU's OC Joe Sloan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Nussmeier33652464%403929127.7
Michael Van Buren Jr. (Tr)14025655%18861177.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caden Durham13875465.586
Kaleb Jackson4714903.219
Zavion Thomas97608.426
Barion Brown (Tr)135013.823
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Aaron Anderson61875514.376
Barion Brown (Tr)29361312.463
Bauer Sharp (Tr)4232427.743
Caden Durham2826029.371

View LSU's Full Roster
LSU's DC Blake Baker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Whit Weeks1118344
A.J. Haulcy (Tr)740007
Jack Pyburn (Tr)604100
Mansoor Delane (Tr)541007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Patrick Payton (Tr)3210440
Whit Weeks1118344
Dominick McKinley73310
Jimari Butler (Tr)227250
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Stamps5000211
Mansoor Delane (Tr)541007
A.J. Haulcy (Tr)740007