South Carolina at LSU - 2025 Matchup Preview
South Carolina logo South Carolina Gamecocks at LSU Tigers(#11)LSU logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (7:45 PM EDT)
LSU -8.5 (44.5) (-325)  Open: -10.5
LSU 20 - South Carolina: 10  (SEC)

 
Gamecocks (3 - 3) (3 - 3 - 0)
Coach Shane Beamer (29 - 21)
Avg Score : 22 - 19 (15 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 6.9 (#94)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
SC coming off BYE
LSU coming off BYE
Our Line: LSU -13  (SP+ LSU -9)

Projected Score: SC: 15 - LSU: 28 (44)
LSU Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
SC Travel: 643 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (5 - 1) (3 - 3 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (28 - 11)
Avg Score : 26 - 12 (30 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 3.4 (#33)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
 
South Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 South Carolina vs Virginia Tech-8.548.5W 24 - 11UY
Sat 9/6 South Carolina vs South Carolina State-43.054.0W 38 - 10UN
Sat 9/13 South Carolina vs Vanderbilt-3.048.5L 7 - 31UN
Sat 9/20 South Carolina at Missouri+10.048.5L 20 - 29OY
Sat 9/27 South Carolina vs Kentucky-5.546.5W 35 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 South Carolina at LSU+8.544.5L 10 - 20UN
Sat 10/18 South Carolina vs Oklahoma+5.543.5
Sat 10/25 South Carolina vs Alabama+12
Sat 11/1 South Carolina at Ole Miss+16
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 South Carolina at Texas A&M+17.5
Sat 11/22 South Carolina vs Coastal Carolina-27
Sat 11/29 South Carolina vs Clemson+3

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Carolina's Schedule
LSU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 LSU at Clemson+3.557.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 9/6 LSU vs Louisiana Tech-36.549.5W 23 - 7UN
Sat 9/13 LSU vs Florida-5.547.5W 20 - 10UY
Sat 9/20 LSU vs SE Louisiana-49.060.0W 56 - 10ON
Sat 9/27 LSU at Ole Miss+2.557.5L 19 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 LSU vs South Carolina-8.544.5W 20 - 10UY
Sat 10/18 LSU at Vanderbilt+2.548.5
Sat 10/25 LSU vs Texas A&M+2
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 LSU at Alabama+6.5
Sat 11/15 LSU vs Arkansas-15
Sat 11/22 LSU vs Western Kentucky-24.5
Sat 11/29 LSU at Oklahoma+6.5

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SC#102 (.14)37% (125)22.336% (126)2.72 (103)11638% (112)1952.79 (130)#20 (.05)42% (75)1941% (59)43% (91)3.43 (45)68.712
LSU#99 (.14)43% (75)25.838% (120)2.31 (131)11747% (34)2593.74 (86)#16 (.04)38% (25)11.839% (41)36% (25)2.78 (14)621.31.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SC#48 (.22)44% (58)44% (74)3.01 (73)17544% (42)2033.97 (62)#15 (.08)42% (73)45% (93)40% (61)3.19 (16)53.81.51.7
LSU#30 (.25)45% (38)42% (89)2.92 (90)10847% (24)2913.99 (60)#92 (.21)41% (60)41% (54)41% (73)3.44 (30)45.71.21



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SC Offense622.31537%2.791183111161953.356%44%36%38%17%.14
LSU Defense611.89.337.6%2.781.7 - - - - - 45%55%39%36%18%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SC Defense61924.542%3.432 - - - - - 55%45%41%43%15%.05
LSU Offense625.829.842.8%3.741.3223751172594.143%56%38%47%16%.14

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Carolina627:0717.836%46%9.268.7125.52.3426.8
LSU631:082242%83%6.8621.31.75.32.7129.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SC Offense656% (32)36% (126)35.7116.33.37 (95).08 (98)2.72 (103)74% (62)12% (126)1.14 (18)
LSU Defense645% (26)39% (41) - - - - (26)2.65 (37)80% (114)9% (88)0.77 (9)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SC Defense655% (111)41% (59) - - - - -.06 (10)2.79 (52)73% (81)11% (51)0.78 (12)
LSU Offense643% (114)38% (120)28.5116.74.17 (95).04 (108)2.31 (131)68% (95)9% (72)0.94 (78)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SC Offense644% (105)38% (112)15.323.8194.78.212.74 (125)3 (26).23 (86)1.6 (51)39% (135)22% (128).16 (112)4% (30)2 (78)
LSU Defense655% (113)36% (25) - - - - - - 8 (12).06 (17)1.4 (41)35% (22)22% (12).04 (7)9% (5)1.9 (60)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SC Defense645% (28)43% (91) - - - - - - 8 (12).18 (49)1.5 (65)31% (91)30% (81).09 (16)5% (106)1.9 (50)
LSU Offense656% (23)47% (34)24.336.2258.57.210.610 (60)5 (77).24 (84)1.3 (125)32% (83)35% (32).29 (81)7% (103)1.8 (104)

South Carolina's Power Ratings
South Carolina's Power Rating: 13.66  #44
South Carolina's Offense Rating: 10.81  #71
South Carolina's Defense Rating: -2.85  #22
2025 Talent Rating: 902.00  #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 36%  #20
South Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 5.1 - 6.9
South Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.1  #40
South Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4  #68
South Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4  #18

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
South Carolina: 13.66   LSU: 24.935

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Carolina: 10.1   LSU: 19.5




LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 24.935  #20
LSU's Offense Rating: 16.21  #49
LSU's Defense Rating: -9.16  #9
2025 Talent Rating: 1042.00  #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 71  #4
LSU's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
LSU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.5  #17
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9  #45
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.6  #4

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


South Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 15
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.5

South Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
LSU 28
South Carolina 15


Total Points: 44

Based on Last 4 Games
LSU 28
South Carolina 17

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
LSU 25
South Carolina 15

Total Points: 40
LSU Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.8
Defense: 11.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 9.3

LSU's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11LSU20South Carolina10LSU -8.5LSU44.5Under
202409/14South Carolina33LSU36LSU -7South Carolina50.0Over
202010/24LSU52South Carolina24LSU -4.5LSU54.0Over
201510/10LSU45South Carolina24South Carolina -13LSU50.5Over
201210/13LSU23South Carolina21
200810/18South Carolina17LSU24
200709/22LSU28South Carolina16
200310/18South Carolina7LSU33
200210/19LSU38South Carolina14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
LSU933 Overs
South Carolina011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 34 - 02 - 02 - 0
Road Teams3 - 60 - 40 - 20 - 2

(#44) SC at (#20) LSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSCLSU
Power RatePwr #44 #20
SP+SP+ #40 #17
Perf GradeGrade #82 #58
OffenseOff #111 #83
DefenseDef #65 #29
Spec TeamsST #86 #89
TalentTal #24 #8
Blue ChipsBC% #20 #4

South Carolina Notes
(10/12) Scored 37 pts in 3 SEC games not vs Kentucky
(10/12) OL coach Lonnie Teasley fired after LSU game.
(9/22) RB Faison has issues blocking/protecting
(9/21) Run Off is awful, Run Def run over by Mizzu
(9/21) 51 car, 77 yds in SEC play, 431 rush yds allowed
(9/15) Sellers left Vandy game (concussion), ? Mizzu
(8/26) RB Faison (USU) cleared by NCAA to play TY
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp but 51% is via portals
(5/3) ST's lost K, P, holder and LS. Could be notable
(5/1) Fr WR Malik Clark has flashed early, will play
(4/19) WR Harbor huge talent. Lots of talent, incl Fr

LSU Notes
(10/12) Cannot score +20 pts vs FBS teams, Def really good
(10/10) Lead WR Aaron Anderson doubtful for S Car (knee)
(9/30) OL has been a big issue, injuries & portal misses hurt
(9/28) Off a mess, can't run, Nuss playing hurt. OC Sloan ?
(9/27) RB Durham is douobful for Ole Miss
(9/15) Off struggles are a big issue, esp w/ good Def
(9/15) Nussmeier dealing w/ torso injury after UF
(8/30) Def incredible vs Clemson, Off enough in W
(6/26) WRs Brown (UK) & Anderson(OU) are weapons
(6/7) Big yr for staff. Clemson/UF early set the tone
(6/7) LB Whit Weeks a top LB via PFF, LB Unit good
South Carolina on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
SC OffLSU Def
Perf GradePerf #111 #29
SuccessSuc #125 #25
ExplosiveExp #25 #22
PPAPPA #102 #16
PowerPwr #71 #9
SP+SP+ #68 #4
Pts POPPO #130 #14
HavocHav #94 #29
South Carolina Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
SC OffLSU Def
Run GameRun #103 #54
Run SuccessRSuc #126 #41
Run ExplRExp #18 #9
PPAExp #98 #26
Run BlockR Blk #123 -
OL YdsOLY #103 #37
Stuff RateStuff #42 #66
TackleTak -  #104
South Carolina Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
SC OffLSU Def
Pass GamePass #42 #9
Pass SuccessPSuc #112 #25
Pass ExplPExl #51 #41
PPAExp #86 #17
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #106 #71
F7 HavocF7 #126 #88
DB HavocDB #30 #5
LSU on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatLSU OffSC Def
Perf GradePerf #83 #65
SuccessSuc #75 #75
ExplosiveExp #105 #19
PPAPPA #99 #20
PowerPwr #49 #22
SP+SP+ #45 #18
Pts POPPO #86 #45
HavocHav #85 #81
LSU Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
LSU OffSC Def
Run GameRun #121 #36
Run SuccessRSuc #120 #59
Run ExplRExp #78 #12
PPAExp #108 #10
Run BlockR Blk #121 -
OL YdsOLY #131 #52
Stuff RateStuff #130 #23
TackleTak -  #50
LSU Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatLSU OffSC Def
Pass GamePass #22 #99
Pass SuccessPSuc #34 #91
Pass ExplPExl #125 #65
PPAExp #84 #49
Pass Block/RushP Blk #60 #54
F7 HavocF7 #72 #51
DB HavocDB #103 #106
Program Comparison
LSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

SC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 81° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 7
LSU -8.5 (44.5)
LSU won vs South Carolina this year (20-10)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat South Carolina last year (36-33)

  
SC's OC Mike Shula (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Lanorris Sellers7311464%1010428.9
Luke Doty182864%148015.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rahsul Faison (Tr)5423134.330
Matthew Fuller3315424.772
Oscar Adaway III3312113.723
Lanorris Sellers7011711.720
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Vandrevious Jacobs20341217.159
Nyck Harbor13256119.764
Donovan Murph594018.827
Brady Hunt108908.920

View South Carolina's Full Roster

SC's DC Clayton White (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DQ Smith321000
Fred Johnson291121
Jalon Kilgore270011
Justin Okoronkwo (Tr)261001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dylan Stewart259351
Bryan Thomas Jr.215350
Nick Barrett213201
Jatius Geer72210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Cisse (Tr)182013
Vicari Swain180002
Gerald Kilgore71001

LSU's OC Joe Sloan (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Nussmeier13520466%1413956.9
Michael Van Buren Jr. (Tr)101283%1221010.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caden Durham6728324.251
Ju'Juan Johnson2713625.056
Harlem Berry2611114.343
Zavion Thomas149306.648
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Aaron Anderson23305013.339
Barion Brown (Tr)2726119.719
Bauer Sharp (Tr)16190111.965
Zavion Thomas15184212.350

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Blake Baker (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
West Weeks403100
A.J. Haulcy (Tr)381001
Davhon Keys321121
Tamarcus Cooley (Tr)292002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damien Shanklin22200
Harold Perkins274232
Jacobian Guillory72200
Whit Weeks253260
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mansoor Delane (Tr)250015
P.J. Woodland201114
Ashton Stamps10002