Western Kentucky at LSU Game Matchup

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at LSU Tigers

Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Tiger Stadium - Baton Rouge, LA

Hilltoppers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (48 - 31)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (25 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)

LSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: LSU -40 (SP+ LSU -28)
Projected Score: WKU: 7 - LSU: 47 (53)
LSU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 58%
WKU Travel: 529 miles

Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (28 - 11)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (32 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 3 (#18)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 6) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
WKU Players
LSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Western Kentucky's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/22	Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston	-7.5	0.0
Fri 8/29	Western Kentucky vs North Alabama	-11.5
Sat 9/6	Western Kentucky at Toledo	+13
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	Western Kentucky vs Nevada	-8
Sat 9/27	Western Kentucky at Missouri State	-4
Fri 10/3	Western Kentucky at Delaware	-2.5
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14	Western Kentucky vs Florida International	-5.5
Tue 10/21	Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech	-2
Sat 11/1	Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State	-9.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee	-8.5
Sat 11/22	Western Kentucky at LSU	+40
Sat 11/29	Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State	-5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 10
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 10
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule

LSU's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	LSU at Clemson	+3.0	56.5
Sat 9/6	LSU vs Louisiana Tech	-44.5
Sat 9/13	LSU vs Florida	-8.5
Sat 9/20	LSU vs SE Louisiana	-49
Sat 9/27	LSU at Ole Miss	-5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	LSU vs South Carolina	-12
Sat 10/18	LSU at Vanderbilt	-18
Sat 10/25	LSU vs Texas A&M	-6
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	LSU at Alabama	+6.5
Sat 11/15	LSU vs Arkansas	-18.5
Sat 11/22	LSU vs Western Kentucky	-40
Sat 11/29	LSU at Oklahoma	-4

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for LSU's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WKU	#66 (.19)	42% (83)	24.9	38% (117)	2.78 (108)	110	45% (33)	265	3.83 (78)	#95 (.21)	45% (102)	24.6	48% (113)	40% (60)	3.66 (54)	41.3	1.7	1.5
LSU	#30 (.25)	45% (38)	30.5	42% (89)	2.92 (90)	108	47% (24)	291	3.99 (60)	#92 (.21)	41% (60)	24.3	41% (54)	41% (73)	3.44 (30)	45.7	1.2	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WKU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WKU Offense	14	24.9	24.9	41.8%	3.83	1.7	19	374	110	265	3.5	45%	55%	38%	45%	16%	.19
LSU Defense	13	24.3	21.4	41.1%	3.44	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	41%	41%	18%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WKU Defense	14	24.6	33.9	44.7%	3.66	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	63%	36%	48%	40%	13%	.21
LSU Offense	13	30.5	31.9	44.9%	3.99	1.2	22	399	108	291	4.1	39%	61%	42%	47%	13%	.25

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Western Kentucky	14	27:52	19.3	41%	59%	4.1	41.3	1.7	1.5	4.9	1.6	0	29.7
LSU	13	29:47	22.1	50%	50%	5.8	45.7	1.2	1	5.1	2.5	1	27.9

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WKU Offense	14	45% (105)	38% (117)	31.1	109.7	3.5	14 (98)	.01 (121)	2.78 (108)	69% (100)	11% (87)	0.95 (75)
LSU Defense	13	51% (67)	41% (54)	-	-	-	-	.18 (97)	2.94 (55)	84% (125)	12% (29)	1.23 (132)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WKU Defense	14	63% (134)	48% (113)	-	-	-	-	.19 (103)	3.36 (116)	77% (93)	9% (88)	0.9 (35)
LSU Offense	13	39% (128)	42% (89)	26.4	108.2	4.1	14 (98)	.12 (79)	2.92 (90)	82% (13)	6% (5)	0.89 (103)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WKU Offense	14	55% (26)	45% (33)	22.1	33.5	264.6	7.9	12	28 (15)	12 (85)	.36 (28)	1.6 (59)	33% (91)	30% (91)	.29 (89)	6% (56)	1.9 (100)
LSU Defense	13	49% (69)	41% (73)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.25 (75)	1.6 (68)	35% (28)	31% (76)	.36 (93)	7% (41)	2.2 (104)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WKU Defense	14	36% (1)	40% (60)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (66)	.29 (99)	1.8 (128)	28% (116)	29% (47)	.23 (37)	3% (132)	2.1 (92)
LSU Offense	13	61% (7)	47% (24)	24.5	38.4	290.8	7.6	11.9	26 (26)	11 (72)	.33 (37)	1.5 (96)	33% (89)	37% (16)	.42 (28)	7% (97)	2 (84)

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -17.79 #116
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 5.91 #119
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 23.70 #114
2025 Talent Rating: 504.00 #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Western Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Western Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.8 #85
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #102
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #68

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 385.5
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -17.79 LSU: 28.165

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -5.8 LSU: 22.1

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 28.165 #6
LSU's Offense Rating: 30.64 #3
LSU's Defense Rating: 1.41 #12
2025 Talent Rating: 1032.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 63 #3
LSU's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0
LSU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.1 #9
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.7 #2
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #23

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24

Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.9
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.9

Western Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
LSU 47
Western Kentucky 7

Projected Total Points: 53

LSU Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.9
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

LSU's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2015	10/24	LSU	48	Western Kentucky	20	LSU	LSU -17	LSU	65.0	Over
2011	11/12	LSU	42	Western Kentucky	9	LSU

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
LSU	2	1	1 Overs
Western Kentucky	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#116) Western Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -17.79 #116
Offense Rating: 5.91 #119
Defense Rating: 23.70 #114
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.8 #85
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #102
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #68
Talent Rating: 504.00 #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.66 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Western Kentucky Notes
(5/2) WR Henry (FCS W Ill) 1,179 yds, 6 TD LY
(3/22) Def avg CUSA, but must rebuild most
(3/22) Def portals 7 DL, 1 LB, 5 DBs.
(3/22) Almost 60% new roster, new OC/DC.
(3/22) New OC Bowie (Alb. Chr.) brought QB McIvor
(3/22) QB McIvor (3k yds/30 TD) a big find for '25
(3/22) RB rebuild. Hart has exp, Hampton some
(3/22) WR complete rebuild. Took 5 portals + 2 TEs
(3/22) OL rebuild. 5 portal adds. Very ?

Western Kentucky Ratings Matchup LSU

Power #116

Off #119

Def #114

#12

Talent #105

SP+ #85

SP+ Off #102

SP+ Def #68

#23

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WKU | LSU
Depth Chart: WKU | LSU
Rosters: WKU | LSU

(#6) LSU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 28.165 #6
Offense Rating: 30.64 #3
Defense Rating: 1.41 #12
Overall SP+ Rating: 22.1 #9
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.7 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #23
Talent Rating: 1032.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 63 #3
Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.99 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Good Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

LSU Notes
(5/16) DE portals Pyburn (UF) & Payton (FSU) huge
(4/4) LB Whit Weeks a top 10 LB via PFF
(3/22) Top portal class, 10 P4 starters from LY
(3/20) WR Anderson(OU) a weapon if/when healthy
(3/20) TE's are massive. Sharp (OU) v athletic.
(3/18) QB Nussmeier could be special, good depth
(3/18) RB Durham good Fr yr, talented depth
(3/18) WRs deep/talented. A top unit in CFB TY.
(3/18) OL replacing both T's, must improve from LY
(3/18) Def better LY, next step in DC Baker 2nd yr?

Western Kentucky's OC Rick Bowie

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Maverick McIvor (Tr)	312	496	63%	3847	30	7	7.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
George Hart III	44	204	2	4.6	30
Jalen Hampton	11	57	0	5.2	14
K.D. Hutchinson	8	51	0	6.4	42
John Cannon (Tr)	1	17	0	17.0	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jairus Mack (Tr)	19	418	0	22.0	59
K.D. Hutchinson	26	392	3	15.1	74
Isaiah Myers (Tr)	13	237	3	18.2	37
Noah Meyers	7	123	1	17.6	24

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

Western Kentucky's DC DaVon Brown

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jaylen Lewis (Tr)	43	2	0	5
Demarko Williams	37	2	0	1
Kent Robinson	33	4	2	4
Braxton Myers (Tr)	31	2	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kent Robinson	33	4	2	0	4
Jayden Gray (Tr)	14	3	2	1	1
Dominic Oliver (Tr)	15	2	1	1	0
Jaylen Lewis (Tr)	43	2	0	0	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jaylen Lewis (Tr)	43	2	0	5
Kent Robinson	33	4	2	4
Braxton Myers (Tr)	31	2	0	2

LSU's OC Joe Sloan

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Garrett Nussmeier	336	524	64%	4039	29	12	7.7
Michael Van Buren Jr. (Tr)	140	256	55%	1886	11	7	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Caden Durham	138	754	6	5.5	86
Kaleb Jackson	47	149	0	3.2	19
Zavion Thomas	9	76	0	8.4	26
Barion Brown (Tr)	13	50	1	3.8	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Aaron Anderson	61	875	5	14.3	76
Barion Brown (Tr)	29	361	3	12.4	63
Bauer Sharp (Tr)	42	324	2	7.7	43
Caden Durham	28	260	2	9.3	71

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Blake Baker

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Whit Weeks	111	8	3	4	4
A.J. Haulcy (Tr)	74	0	0	0	7
Jack Pyburn (Tr)	60	4	1	0	0
Mansoor Delane (Tr)	54	1	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Patrick Payton (Tr)	32	10	4	4	0
Whit Weeks	111	8	3	4	4
Dominick McKinley	7	3	3	1	0
Jimari Butler (Tr)	22	7	2	5	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Ashton Stamps	50	0	2	11
A.J. Haulcy (Tr)	74	0	0	7
Mansoor Delane (Tr)	54	1	0	7