San Diego State at UNLV Game Matchup
San Diego State logo San Diego State Aztecs at UNLV RebelsUNLV logo
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (10:30 PM EST)
UNLV -22 (55.5) (-2100)  Open: -18.5
UNLV 41 - San Diego State: 20  (Mountain West)

 
Aztecs (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Sean Lewis (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (20 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
SDSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UNLV -27   (SP+ UNLV -25)

Projected Score: SDSU: 15 - UNLV: 42 (54)
UNLV Win prob: 96% | Cover: 52%
SDSU Travel: 259 miles
Rebels (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (9 - 5)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (46 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
San Diego State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 San Diego State vs East Texas A&M-16
Sat 9/7 San Diego State vs Oregon State+5.554.5L 0 - 21UN
Sat 9/14 San Diego State at California+18.548.5L 10 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 San Diego State at Central Michigan+2.547.5L 21 - 22UY
Sat 10/5 San Diego State vs Hawai'i-1.547.5W 27 - 24OY
Sat 10/12 San Diego State at Wyoming+1.543.0W 27 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 San Diego State vs Washington State+17.056.5L 26 - 29UY
Fri 11/1 San Diego State at Boise State+24.555.5L 24 - 56ON
Fri 11/8 San Diego State vs New Mexico-1.565.5L 16 - 21UN
Sat 11/16 San Diego State at UNLV+22.055.5L 20 - 41OY
Sat 11/23 San Diego State at Utah State+5.060.0L 20 - 41ON
Sat 11/30 San Diego State vs Air Force+6.543.5L 20 - 31ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 3

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule
UNLV's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 UNLV at Houston+3.056.0W 27 - 7UY
Sat 9/7 UNLV vs Utah Tech-41.555.5W 72 - 14OY
Fri 9/13 UNLV vs Kansas+7.057.0W 23 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 UNLV vs Fresno State-2.551.0W 59 - 14OY
Fri 10/4 UNLV vs Syracuse-5.555.5L 41 - 44ON
Fri 10/11 UNLV at Utah State-19.067.5W 50 - 34ON
Sat 10/19 UNLV at Oregon State-6.561.0W 33 - 25UY
Fri 10/25 UNLV vs Boise State+4.064.0L 24 - 29UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 UNLV at Hawai'i-12.051.5W 29 - 27ON
Sat 11/16 UNLV vs San Diego State-22.055.5W 41 - 20ON
Fri 11/22 UNLV at San José State-7.559.5W 27 - 16UY
Sat 11/30 UNLV vs Nevada-17.554.5W 38 - 14UY
Fri 12/6 UNLV at Boise State+3.557.5L 7 - 21UN
Wed 12/18 UNLV vs California-3.045.0W 24 - 13UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU#96 (.14)42% (70)21.343% (69)3.08 (77)15441% (77)1723.2 (116)#108 (.24)47% (127)29.653% (130)43% (86)3.38 (30)441.41.5
UNLV#38 (.27)43% (58)35.440% (101)3.17 (58)17446% (28)2394.19 (40)#115 (.26)42% (65)21.341% (52)43% (93)4.08 (94)61.81.41.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNLV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Offense1221.320.341.9%3.21.4173261541724.156%43%43%41%15%.14
UNLV Defense1421.322.541.7%4.081.9 - - - - - 53%46%41%43%13%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Defense1229.635.846.9%3.381.5 - - - - - 46%52%53%43%16%.24
UNLV Offense1435.445.842.5%4.191.4204131742394.554%45%40%46%13%.27

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
San Diego State1232:4717.235%57%4.9441.41.54.11.5131.6
UNLV1428:0620.349%45%6.961.81.41.941.4133.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Offense1256% (22)43% (69)37.8154.34.116 (89).12 (85)3.08 (77)74% (66)10% (67)0.9 (111)
UNLV Defense1453% (109)41% (52) - - - - .11 (50)3.1 (69)78% (101)8% (113)0.95 (42)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Defense1246% (22)53% (130) - - - - .27 (126)3.44 (123)83% (114)8% (118)0.93 (36)
UNLV Offense1454% (36)40% (101)38.4173.54.539 (2).2 (40)3.17 (58)76% (43)8% (29)1.18 (3)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Offense1243% (112)41% (77)16.826.6171.86.510.210 (120)10 (56).21 (91)1.4 (125)32% (69)27% (100).1 (128)5% (28)1.6 (133)
UNLV Defense1446% (24)43% (93) - - - - - - 17 (3).48 (133)1.9 (133)33% (52)29% (55).32 (72)4% (128)2.1 (69)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Defense1252% (110)43% (86) - - - - - - 12 (37).27 (68)1.5 (33)28% (128)32% (100).34 (80)8% (18)2 (40)
UNLV Offense1445% (96)46% (28)17.928.9239.28.313.317 (85)12 (85).37 (30)1.6 (56)32% (81)33% (43).4 (44)5% (42)2.1 (59)

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: -20.06 #122
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 12.55 #117
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 15.20 #109
2024 Talent Rating: 596.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
San Diego State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
San Diego State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4 #119
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: -20.06   UNLV: 9.22

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: -15.4   UNLV: 9.3




UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: 9.22 #46
UNLV's Offense Rating: 18.48 #81
UNLV's Defense Rating: 5.05 #27
2024 Talent Rating: 504.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
UNLV's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
UNLV's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #36
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #31
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #55

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.3
Defense: 29.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

San Diego State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 42
San Diego State 15


Projected Total Points: 54
UNLV Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

UNLV's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16UNLV41San Diego State20UNLVUNLV -22San Diego State55.5Over
202211/05San Diego State14UNLV10San Diego StateSan Diego State -5UNLV47.0Under
202111/19UNLV20San Diego State28San Diego StateSan Diego State -11UNLV41.0Over
202010/24San Diego State34UNLV6San Diego StateSan Diego State -14San Diego State51.0Under
201910/26UNLV17San Diego State20San Diego StateSan Diego State -12UNLV45.0Under
201811/10San Diego State24UNLV27UNLVSan Diego State -24UNLV51.5Under
201710/07UNLV10San Diego State41San Diego StateSan Diego State -9.5San Diego State56.5Under
201610/08San Diego State26UNLV7San Diego StateSan Diego State -17.5San Diego State53.5Under
201511/21UNLV14San Diego State52San Diego StateSan Diego State -11San Diego State50.5Over
201409/27San Diego State34UNLV17San Diego StateSan Diego State -17Push0
201311/30UNLV45San Diego State19UNLVSan Diego State -3UNLV0
201210/27San Diego State24UNLV13San Diego State
201111/26UNLV14San Diego State31San Diego State
201011/27San Diego State48UNLV14San Diego State
200911/28UNLV28San Diego State24UNLV
200811/22San Diego State42UNLV21San Diego State
200711/10UNLV30San Diego State38San Diego State
200611/11San Diego State21UNLV7San Diego State
200510/08UNLV13San Diego State10UNLV
200411/20San Diego State21UNLV3San Diego State
200311/08UNLV0San Diego State7San Diego State
200210/26San Diego State31UNLV21San Diego State
200110/13UNLV31San Diego State3UNLV
200011/24San Diego State24UNLV31UNLV
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UNLV753 Overs
San Diego State1756 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 95 - 52 - 33 - 2
Road Teams9 - 155 - 52 - 33 - 2

(#122) San Diego State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -20.06 #122
Offense Rating: 12.55 #117
Defense Rating: 15.20 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4 #119
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104
Talent Rating: 596.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.28 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


San Diego State Notes
(11/3) Fought vs Boise, Pass D torched. QB/Rgame bad
(10/30) Playing better and still fighting hard for Lewis
(10/27) Off is just awful, Success, Expl, Poss Time bad
(10/27) Good fight vs Wazzu, Run D was good, Off better
(10/13) QB O'Neil good, Rgame meh, 9 more penalties
(9/26) Most penalized CFB team, 116 YPG in Wk 5.
(9/8) Shutout, only 180 yds by Oreg St. Run D bad
(7/30) Over bet shots esp. early, will play tempo
(7/30) QB Duffy (FSU)/FR O'Neil, RB/TE/WR's from portal
(7/30) Total roster turnover, 24 in, 37 out via Portal
San Diego State     Ratings Matchup     UNLV
Power #122
#46
Off #117
#81
Def #109
#27
Talent #75
#96
SP+ #119
#36
SP+ Off #122
#31
SP+ Def #104
#55

Rematch from Week 12
UNLV -22.0 (55.5)
UNLV won vs San Diego State this year (41-20)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat San Diego State last year (41-20)
San Diego State beat UNLV in 2022 (14-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Allegiant Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: SDSU | UNLV
Depth Chart: SDSU | UNLV
Rosters: SDSU | UNLV
(#46) UNLV Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.22 #46
Offense Rating: 18.48 #81
Defense Rating: 5.05 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #31
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #55
Talent Rating: 504.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.26 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.05 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


UNLV Notes
(12/12) Hired HC Dan Mullen? Feels like a lazy hire
(11/25) 3 str W's, beat Nevada = MWC title gm vs Boise
(11/18) Beat Haw,SDSU. Rgame/QB great, Def good
(10/26) Even w/ Boise, Run D good, TO and late D cost
(10/23) WR R White gets 44% of targets, #1 in CFB
(9/28) Killed Fresno, Rgame great, QB Williams eff
(9/25) QB Sluka no longer with team (redshirt/portal)
(9/13) 2-0 vs B12, great W at Kan. Outgained but TOs won
(9/1) Great W @ Houston, bullied lines, 195 (4.1) vs 38 (1.5)
(7/31) New QBs Sluka/Williams (FCS/mobiles) will be great


  
San Diego State's OC Sean Lewis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Danny O'Neil20933063%21811266.6
Javance Tupou'ata-Johnson203951%222225.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marquez Cooper (Tr)2921274124.447
Danny O'Neil748911.234
Cam Davis147605.438
Jaylon Armstead134203.215
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Louis Brown38620316.344
Ja'Shaun Poke (Tr)5045919.246
Jordan Napier43440410.253
Nate Bennett (Tr)22314114.348

View San Diego State's Full Roster
San Diego State's DC Eric Schmidt
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tano Letuli (Tr)674220
Chris Johnson590013
Kyle Moretti (Tr)583100
Trey White56191351
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey White56191351
Tupu Alualu215400
Marlem Louis (Tr)104400
Ryan Henderson123320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshawn McCuin262115
Jelani Whitmore100003
Chris Johnson590013

UNLV's OC Brennan Marion
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hajj-Malik Williams (Tr)15025260%19411957.7
Matthew Sluka (Tr)214844%318616.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jai'Den Thomas16191575.754
Hajj-Malik Williams (Tr)16185195.371
Kylin James (Tr)8965357.386
Matthew Sluka (Tr)3925316.546
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob De Jesus36512314.243
Jaden Bradley (Tr)9173119.242
Kaleo Ballungay1715268.929
Casey Cain (Tr)7136219.450

View UNLV's Full Roster
UNLV's DC Michael Scherer
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jett Elad845126
Jalen Catalon (Tr)775213
Mani Powell (Tr)589440
Antonio Doyle Jr. (Tr)568743
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fisher Camac4615815
Antonio Doyle Jr. (Tr)568743
Mani Powell (Tr)589440
Marsel McDuffie468214
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jett Elad845126
Fisher Camac4615815
Tony Grimes (Tr)200015