Washington State at San Diego State - 2024 Matchup Preview

Washington State Cougars at San Diego State Aztecs

Saturday, October 26th 2024 (10:30 PM EDT)
Washington State -17.0 (56.5) (-625) Open: -14.5 | 57.0
Washington State 29 - San Diego State: 26

Cougars (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (15 - 16)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (16 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SDSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Washington State -14.5 (SP+ WSU -16.5)
Projected Score: WSU: 31 - SDSU: 17 (48)
WSU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
WSU Travel: 964 miles

Aztecs (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Sean Lewis (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 15 (31 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WSU Players
SDSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Washington State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Washington State vs Portland State	-26.5	57.5	W 70 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Washington State vs Texas Tech	+2.5	64.5	W 37 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Washington State vs Washington	+4.0	56.0	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Fri 9/20	Washington State vs San José State	-13.0	55.5	W 54 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/28	Washington State at Boise State	+6.5	66.0	L 24 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Washington State at Fresno State	-3.5	60.5	W 25 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Washington State vs Hawai'i	-18.5	55.5	W 42 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Washington State at San Diego State	-17.0	56.5	W 29 - 26	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Washington State vs Utah State	-20.5	69.0	W 49 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Washington State at New Mexico	-10.5	72.5	L 35 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/23	Washington State at Oregon State	-11.0	57.0	L 38 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/30	Washington State vs Wyoming	-18.5	55.5	L 14 - 15	U	N
Fri 12/27	Washington State vs Syracuse	+19.0	58.5	L 35 - 52	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule

San Diego State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	San Diego State vs East Texas A&M	-16
Sat 9/7	San Diego State vs Oregon State	+5.5	54.5	L 0 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/14	San Diego State at California	+18.5	48.5	L 10 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	San Diego State at Central Michigan	+2.5	47.5	L 21 - 22	U	Y
Sat 10/5	San Diego State vs Hawai'i	-1.5	47.5	W 27 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/12	San Diego State at Wyoming	+1.5	43.0	W 27 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	San Diego State vs Washington State	+17.0	56.5	L 26 - 29	U	Y
Fri 11/1	San Diego State at Boise State	+24.5	55.5	L 24 - 56	O	N
Fri 11/8	San Diego State vs New Mexico	-1.5	65.5	L 16 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/16	San Diego State at UNLV	+22.0	55.5	L 20 - 41	O	Y
Sat 11/23	San Diego State at Utah State	+5.0	60.0	L 20 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/30	San Diego State vs Air Force	+6.5	43.5	L 20 - 31	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WSU	#65 (.2)	45% (40)	22.5	47% (24)	2.85 (110)	84	44% (47)	336	4.17 (41)	#62 (.17)	42% (64)	20.2	45% (95)	39% (34)	4.22 (108)	49.8	1.8	1.3
SDSU	#96 (.14)	42% (70)	26.4	43% (69)	3.08 (77)	154	41% (77)	172	3.2 (116)	#108 (.24)	47% (127)	15.4	53% (130)	43% (86)	3.38 (30)	44	1.4	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SDSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WSU Offense	12	22.5	16.3	44.9%	4.17	1.8	23	420	84	336	3	34%	65%	47%	44%	18%	.2
SDSU Defense	12	15.4	6.8	46.9%	3.38	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	53%	43%	16%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WSU Defense	12	20.2	23.7	41.7%	4.22	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	45%	39%	15%	.17
SDSU Offense	12	26.4	31.2	41.9%	3.2	1.4	17	326	154	172	4.1	56%	43%	43%	41%	15%	.14

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Washington State	12	29:43	22.7	42%	46%	6.1	49.8	1.8	1.3	5.2	2	3	29.4
San Diego State	12	32:47	17.2	35%	57%	4.9	44	1.4	1.5	4.1	1.5	1	31.6

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WSU Offense	12	34% (132)	47% (24)	28.4	84.3	3	17 (81)	.09 (98)	2.85 (110)	72% (80)	11% (96)	0.98 (80)
SDSU Defense	12	46% (22)	53% (130)	-	-	-	-	.27 (126)	3.44 (123)	83% (114)	8% (118)	0.93 (36)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WSU Defense	12	49% (54)	45% (95)	-	-	-	-	.12 (53)	3.03 (53)	68% (39)	9% (87)	0.98 (60)
SDSU Offense	12	56% (22)	43% (69)	37.8	154.3	4.1	16 (89)	.12 (85)	3.08 (77)	74% (66)	10% (67)	0.9 (111)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WSU Offense	12	65% (3)	44% (47)	28.4	42.6	335.7	7.9	11.8	27 (25)	9 (40)	.29 (69)	1.5 (117)	31% (58)	34% (37)	.43 (34)	6% (80)	2.1 (65)
SDSU Defense	12	52% (110)	43% (86)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.27 (68)	1.5 (33)	28% (128)	32% (100)	.34 (80)	8% (18)	2 (40)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WSU Defense	12	50% (82)	39% (34)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.24 (50)	1.6 (66)	32% (59)	29% (54)	.26 (39)	6% (93)	2.1 (78)
SDSU Offense	12	43% (112)	41% (77)	16.8	26.6	171.8	6.5	10.2	10 (120)	10 (56)	.21 (91)	1.4 (125)	32% (69)	27% (100)	.1 (128)	5% (28)	1.6 (133)

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: -2.40 #72
Washington State's Offense Rating: 24.60 #22
Washington State's Defense Rating: 14.60 #107
2024 Talent Rating: 237.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Washington State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Washington State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #21
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #97

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 259.75
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington State: -2.40 San Diego State: -15.23

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington State: 1.3 San Diego State: -15.4

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: -15.23 #122
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 12.55 #117
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 15.20 #109
2024 Talent Rating: 297.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
San Diego State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
San Diego State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4 #119
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 259.75
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Washington State Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.3
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Washington State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Washington State 31
San Diego State 17

Projected Total Points: 48

San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 15.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 6.8

San Diego State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/06	Washington State	36	San Diego State	13	Washington State -2.0	Washington State	46.5	Over
2024	10/26	San Diego State	26	Washington State	29	Washington State -17.0	San Diego State	56.5	Under
2011	09/17	San Diego State	42	Washington State	24
2007	09/08	Washington State	45	San Diego State	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
San Diego State	1	1	1 Overs
Washington State	3	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 3	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1

(#72) WSU at (#122) SDSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WSU	SDSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#72	#122
SP+SP+	#68	#119
Perf GradeGrade	#48	#108
OffenseOff	#45	#91
DefenseDef	#44	#116
Spec TeamsST	#101	#24
TalentTal	#102	#75
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#97

Washington State Notes(12/29) Hired HC Jimmy Rogers (SDSU, 27-3)
(12/18) HC Dickert left for Wake Forest
(11/18) Shocking L to NM, Mateer great, Def torched
(9/20) QB Mateer can sling it & has 3 good WR options
(9/8) Rushed for 301 yds vs T Tech. Outgained but 4 D TOs
(9/1) QB Mateer. 70 on Port St, gave up 30 (215 ground)
(7/30) Roster going down. 27 Transfers out/12 in (not P5)
(7/30) OC & DC in 2nd year. G5 sched will mask issues
(7/30) Most skill players new and JAG's. D looks meh
Washington State Injury Report

San Diego State Notes(11/18) Rgame only 2 guys, one the QB O'Neil? L to Rebs
(11/3) Fought vs Boise, Pass D torched. QB/Rgame bad
(10/30) Playing better and still fighting hard for Lewis
(10/27) Off is just awful, Success, Expl, Poss Time bad
(10/27) Good fight vs Wazzu, Run D was good, Off better
(10/13) QB O'Neil good, Rgame meh, 9 more penalties
(9/26) Most penalized CFB team, 116 YPG in Wk 5.
(9/8) Shutout, only 180 yds by Oreg St. Run D bad
(7/30) Over bet shots esp. early, will play tempo
(7/30) QB Duffy (FSU)/FR O'Neil, RB/TE/WR's from portal
(7/30) Total roster turnover, 24 in, 37 out via Portal
San Diego State Injury Report

Washington State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	WSU Off	SDSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#45	#116
SuccessSuc	#40	#127
ExplosiveExp	#75	#22
PPAPPA	#65	#108
PowerPwr	#22	#109
SP+SP+	#21	#104
Pts POPPO	#41	#30
HavocHav	#94	#79

Washington State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	WSU Off	SDSU Def
Run GameRun	#25	#126
Run SuccessRSuc	#24	#130
Run ExplRExp	#80	#36
PPAExp	#98	#126
Run BlockR Blk	#112	-
OL YdsOLY	#110	#123
Stuff RateStuff	#86	#121
TackleTak	-	#125

Washington State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	WSU Off	SDSU Def
Pass GamePass	#51	#90
Pass SuccessPSuc	#47	#86
Pass ExplPExl	#117	#33
PPAExp	#69	#68
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#3	#87
F7 HavocF7	#96	#118
DB HavocDB	#80	#18

San Diego State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	SDSU Off	WSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#91	#44
SuccessSuc	#70	#64
ExplosiveExp	#130	#54
PPAPPA	#96	#62
PowerPwr	#117	#107
SP+SP+	#122	#97
Pts POPPO	#116	#108
HavocHav	#49	#94

San Diego State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	SDSU Off	WSU Def
Run GameRun	#118	#69
Run SuccessRSuc	#69	#95
Run ExplRExp	#111	#60
PPAExp	#85	#53
Run BlockR Blk	#76	-
OL YdsOLY	#77	#53
Stuff RateStuff	#50	#55
TackleTak	-	#132

San Diego State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	SDSU Off	WSU Def
Pass GamePass	#62	#42
Pass SuccessPSuc	#77	#34
Pass ExplPExl	#125	#66
PPAExp	#91	#50
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#63	#43
F7 HavocF7	#67	#87
DB HavocDB	#28	#93

Program Comparison
SDSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'24 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

WSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Snapdragon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Washington State 17.0 (56.5)
Washington State won at San Diego State this year (29-26)

Previous Matchups
Washington State beat San Diego State last year (36-13)
Washington State beat San Diego State in 2024 (29-26)

WSU's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
John Mateer	224	347	65%	3139	29	7	9.0
Zevi Eckhaus (Tr)	37	50	74%	424	4	2	8.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
John Mateer	178	826	15	4.6	68
Wayshawn Parker	137	735	4	5.4	75
Leo Pulalasi	65	302	2	4.6	22
Djouvensky Schlenbaker	43	149	3	3.5	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kyle Williams	70	1193	14	17.0	66
Kris Hutson (Tr)	55	691	2	12.6	59
Josh Meredith	39	477	2	12.2	39
Carlos Hernandez	31	397	5	12.8	42

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Jeff Schmedding (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Taariq Al-Uqdah	69	5	0	5	2
Kyle Thornton	66	7	1	4	1
Kapena Gushiken	48	3	0	0	6
Tanner Moku	48	0	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ansel Din-Mbuh	24	7	6	2	0
Khalil Laufau	15	4	3	0	1
Andrew Edson	38	7	3	4	2
Quinn Roff	18	4	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Ethan O'Connor	30	1	1	8
Kapena Gushiken	48	3	0	6
Tyson Durant (Tr)	45	2	2	6

SDSU's OC Sean Lewis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Danny O'Neil	209	330	63%	2181	12	6	6.6
Javance Tupou'ata-Johnson	20	39	51%	222	2	2	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marquez Cooper (Tr)	292	1274	12	4.4	47
Danny O'Neil	74	89	1	1.2	34
Cam Davis	14	76	0	5.4	38
Jaylon Armstead	13	42	0	3.2	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Louis Brown	38	620	3	16.3	44
Ja'Shaun Poke (Tr)	50	459	1	9.2	46
Jordan Napier	43	440	4	10.2	53
Nate Bennett (Tr)	22	314	1	14.3	48

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC Eric Schmidt (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tano Letuli (Tr)	67	4	2	2	0
Chris Johnson	59	0	0	1	3
Kyle Moretti (Tr)	58	3	1	0	0
Trey White	56	19	13	5	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey White	56	19	13	5	1
Tupu Alualu	21	5	4	0	0
Marlem Louis (Tr)	10	4	4	0	0
Ryan Henderson	12	3	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deshawn McCuin	26	2	1	1	5
Chris Johnson	59	0	0	1	3
Eric Butler	44	3	0	0	3