Washington State at San Diego State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Washington State logo Washington State Cougars at San Diego State AztecsSan Diego State logo
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (10:30 PM EDT)
Washington State -17.0 (56.5) (-625)  Open: -14.5 | 57.0
Washington State 29 - San Diego State: 26

 
Cougars (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (15 - 16)
Avg Score : 37 - 30 (30 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SDSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Washington State -14.5  (SP+ WSU -16.5)

Projected Score: WSU: 35 - SDSU: 21 (56)
WSU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
WSU Travel: 964 miles
Aztecs (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Sean Lewis (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (22 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Washington State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Washington State vs Portland State-26.557.5W 70 - 30OY
Sat 9/7 Washington State vs Texas Tech+2.564.5W 37 - 16UY
Sat 9/14 Washington State vs Washington+4.056.0W 24 - 19UY
Fri 9/20 Washington State vs San José State-13.055.5W 54 - 52ON
Sat 9/28 Washington State at Boise State+6.566.0L 24 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Washington State at Fresno State-3.560.5W 25 - 17UY
Sat 10/19 Washington State vs Hawai'i-18.555.5W 42 - 10UY
Sat 10/26 Washington State at San Diego State-17.056.5W 29 - 26UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Washington State vs Utah State-20.569.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 11/16 Washington State at New Mexico-10.572.5L 35 - 38ON
Sat 11/23 Washington State at Oregon State-11.057.0L 38 - 41ON
Sat 11/30 Washington State vs Wyoming-18.555.5L 14 - 15UN
Fri 12/27 Washington State vs Syracuse+19.058.5L 35 - 52OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule
San Diego State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 San Diego State vs East Texas A&M-16
Sat 9/7 San Diego State vs Oregon State+5.554.5L 0 - 21UN
Sat 9/14 San Diego State at California+18.548.5L 10 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 San Diego State at Central Michigan+2.547.5L 21 - 22UY
Sat 10/5 San Diego State vs Hawai'i-1.547.5W 27 - 24OY
Sat 10/12 San Diego State at Wyoming+1.543.0W 27 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 San Diego State vs Washington State+17.056.5L 26 - 29UY
Fri 11/1 San Diego State at Boise State+24.555.5L 24 - 56ON
Fri 11/8 San Diego State vs New Mexico-1.565.5L 16 - 21UN
Sat 11/16 San Diego State at UNLV+22.055.5L 20 - 41OY
Sat 11/23 San Diego State at Utah State+5.060.0L 20 - 41ON
Sat 11/30 San Diego State vs Air Force+6.543.5L 20 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WSU#19 (.29)48% (15)36.647% (27)3.1 (54)15949% (8)2484.43 (23)#99 (.22)46% (112)29.951% (129)43% (91)4.18 (107)54.80.81.7
SDSU#108 (.12)37% (120)21.337% (124)3 (78)12938% (109)2063.44 (107)#103 (.23)46% (113)29.649% (117)43% (98)4.28 (111)81.80.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WSU#19 (.29)48% (15)47% (27)3.1 (54)15949% (8)2484.43 (23)#99 (.22)46% (112)51% (129)43% (91)4.18 (107)54.80.81.7
SDSU#108 (.12)37% (120)37% (124)3 (78)12938% (109)2063.44 (107)#103 (.23)46% (113)49% (117)43% (98)4.28 (111)81.80.81



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WSU Offense1336.630.248.1%4.430.8214071592484.751%49%47%49%14%.29
SDSU Defense1229.623.346.1%4.281 - - - - - 55%44%49%43%12%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WSU Defense1329.933.446%4.181.7 - - - - - 44%55%51%43%15%.22
SDSU Offense1221.322.337.4%3.440.8193351292063.747%52%37%38%18%.12

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Washington State1326:1921.141%54%5.954.80.81.74.61.5330.1
San Diego State1227:0818.536%53%9.181.80.815.42.6231
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WSU Offense1351% (66)47% (27)33.6158.84.727 (30).23 (22)3.1 (54)67% (108)10% (72)1.12 (14)
SDSU Defense1255% (117)49% (117) - - - - .21 (113)3.49 (130)80% (109)9% (98)0.94 (47)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WSU Defense1344% (7)51% (129) - - - - .25 (123)3.28 (110)69% (45)9% (102)1.03 (89)
SDSU Offense1247% (87)37% (124)35.3128.93.713 (105).1 (84)3 (78)69% (97)12% (114)1.06 (37)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WSU Offense1349% (69)49% (8)17.827.4248.29.113.930 (9)7 (26).37 (20)1.6 (68)27% (13)37% (14).43 (27)4% (19)2.1 (44)
SDSU Defense1244% (17)43% (98) - - - - - - 7 (104).28 (96)1.6 (75)29% (112)38% (126).52 (126)3% (133)2.1 (79)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WSU Defense1355% (126)43% (91) - - - - - - 14 (23).24 (74)1.5 (54)30% (98)32% (93).35 (87)6% (64)2.2 (114)
SDSU Offense1252% (45)38% (109)19.531.3205.76.610.615 (98)8 (40).15 (107)1.5 (99)36% (125)26% (114).29 (87)6% (61)2 (77)

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: -2.40  #72
Washington State's Offense Rating: 24.60  #22
Washington State's Defense Rating: 14.60  #107
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #102
Washington State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Washington State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3  #68
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0  #21
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #97

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington State: -2.40   San Diego State: -15.23

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington State: 1.3   San Diego State: -15.4




San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: -15.23  #122
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 12.55  #117
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 15.20  #109
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #97
San Diego State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
San Diego State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4  #119
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7  #122
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1  #104

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Washington State Scoring
Offense: 36.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.2
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.4

Washington State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Washington State 35
San Diego State 21


Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
San Diego State 28
Washington State 28

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Washington State 30
San Diego State 27

Total Points: 57
San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.3
Defense: 29.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3

San Diego State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Washington State36San Diego State13Washington State -2.0Washington State46.5Over
202410/26San Diego State26Washington State29Washington State -17.0San Diego State56.5Under
201109/17San Diego State42Washington State24
200709/08Washington State45San Diego State17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
San Diego State111 Overs
Washington State311 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 12 - 01 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 30 - 20 - 10 - 1

(#72) WSU at (#122) SDSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWSUSDSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #72 #122
SP+SP+ #68 #119
Perf GradeGrade #48 #108
OffenseOff #45 #91
DefenseDef #44 #116
Spec TeamsST #101 #24
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #102 #97
Washington State Notes
(12/29) Hired HC Jimmy Rogers (SDSU, 27-3)
(12/18) HC Dickert left for Wake Forest
(11/18) Shocking L to NM, Mateer great, Def torched
(9/20) QB Mateer can sling it & has 3 good WR options
(9/8) Rushed for 301 yds vs T Tech. Outgained but 4 D TOs
(9/1) QB Mateer. 70 on Port St, gave up 30 (215 ground)
(7/30) Roster going down. 27 Transfers out/12 in (not P5)
(7/30) OC & DC in 2nd year. G5 sched will mask issues
(7/30) Most skill players new and JAG's. D looks meh
Washington State Injury Report
San Diego State Notes
(11/18) Rgame only 2 guys, one the QB O'Neil? L to Rebs
(11/3) Fought vs Boise, Pass D torched. QB/Rgame bad
(10/30) Playing better and still fighting hard for Lewis
(10/27) Off is just awful, Success, Expl, Poss Time bad
(10/27) Good fight vs Wazzu, Run D was good, Off better
(10/13) QB O'Neil good, Rgame meh, 9 more penalties
(9/26) Most penalized CFB team, 116 YPG in Wk 5.
(9/8) Shutout, only 180 yds by Oreg St. Run D bad
(7/30) Over bet shots esp. early, will play tempo
(7/30) QB Duffy (FSU)/FR O'Neil, RB/TE/WR's from portal
(7/30) Total roster turnover, 24 in, 37 out via Portal
San Diego State Injury Report
Washington State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
WSU OffSDSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #45 #116
SuccessSuc #15 #113
ExplosiveExp #24 #44
PPAPPA #19 #103
PowerPwr #22 #109
SP+SP+ #21 #104
Pts POPPO #23 #111
HavocHav #43 #131
Washington State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
WSU OffSDSU Def
Run GameRun #25 #126
Run SuccessRSuc #27 #117
Run ExplRExp #14 #47
PPAExp #22 #113
Run BlockR Blk #112 -
OL YdsOLY #54 #130
Stuff RateStuff #99 #132
TackleTak -  #125
Washington State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
WSU OffSDSU Def
Pass GamePass #51 #90
Pass SuccessPSuc #8 #98
Pass ExplPExl #68 #75
PPAExp #20 #96
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #3 #87
F7 HavocF7 #72 #98
DB HavocDB #19 #133
San Diego State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatSDSU OffWSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #91 #44
SuccessSuc #120 #112
ExplosiveExp #51 #82
PPAPPA #108 #99
PowerPwr #117 #107
SP+SP+ #122 #97
Pts POPPO #107 #107
HavocHav #99 #88
San Diego State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
SDSU OffWSU Def
Run GameRun #118 #69
Run SuccessRSuc #124 #129
Run ExplRExp #37 #89
PPAExp #84 #123
Run BlockR Blk #76 -
OL YdsOLY #78 #110
Stuff RateStuff #35 #82
TackleTak -  #132
San Diego State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatSDSU OffWSU Def
Pass GamePass #62 #42
Pass SuccessPSuc #109 #91
Pass ExplPExl #99 #54
PPAExp #107 #74
Pass Block/RushP Blk #63 #43
F7 HavocF7 #114 #102
DB HavocDB #61 #64
Program Comparison
SDSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'24 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

WSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Snapdragon Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 64°
Rematch from Week 9
Washington State 17.0 (56.5)
Washington State won at San Diego State this year (29-26)

Previous Matchups
Washington State beat San Diego State last year (29-26)

  
WSU's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
John Mateer22434765%31392979.0
Zevi Eckhaus (Tr)375074%424428.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
John Mateer178826154.668
Wayshawn Parker13773545.475
Leo Pulalasi6530224.622
Djouvensky Schlenbaker4314933.514
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kyle Williams7011931417.066
Kris Hutson (Tr)55691212.659
Josh Meredith39477212.239
Carlos Hernandez31397512.842

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Jeff Schmedding (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taariq Al-Uqdah695052
Kyle Thornton667141
Kapena Gushiken483006
Tanner Moku480001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ansel Din-Mbuh247620
Khalil Laufau154301
Andrew Edson387342
Quinn Roff184320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan O'Connor301018
Kapena Gushiken483006
Tyson Durant (Tr)452026

SDSU's OC Sean Lewis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Danny O'Neil20933063%21811266.6
Javance Tupou'ata-Johnson203951%222225.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marquez Cooper (Tr)2921274124.447
Danny O'Neil748911.234
Cam Davis147605.438
Jaylon Armstead134203.215
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Louis Brown38620316.344
Ja'Shaun Poke (Tr)5045919.246
Jordan Napier43440410.253
Nate Bennett (Tr)22314114.348

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC Eric Schmidt (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tano Letuli (Tr)674220
Chris Johnson590013
Kyle Moretti (Tr)583100
Trey White56191351
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey White56191351
Tupu Alualu215400
Marlem Louis (Tr)104400
Ryan Henderson123320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshawn McCuin262115
Chris Johnson590013
Eric Butler443003