San Diego State at Central Michigan - 2024 Matchup Preview
San Diego State logo San Diego State Aztecs at Central Michigan ChippewasCentral Michigan logo
Saturday, September 28th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Central Michigan -2.5 (47.5) (-130)  Open: -1.0
Central Michigan 22 - San Diego State: 21

 
Aztecs (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Sean Lewis (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (20 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CMU 2nd straight Home Game
SDSU coming off BYE
CMU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Central Michigan -5.5   (SP+ SDSU -0.5)

Projected Score: SDSU: 22 - CMU: 28 (50)
CMU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
SDSU Travel: 1894 miles, 3 hrs behind
Chippewas (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jim McElwain (29 - 28)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (30 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
San Diego State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 San Diego State vs East Texas A&M-16
Sat 9/7 San Diego State vs Oregon State+5.554.5L 0 - 21UN
Sat 9/14 San Diego State at California+18.548.5L 10 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 San Diego State at Central Michigan+2.547.5L 21 - 22UY
Sat 10/5 San Diego State vs Hawai'i-1.547.5W 27 - 24OY
Sat 10/12 San Diego State at Wyoming+1.543.0W 27 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 San Diego State vs Washington State+17.056.5L 26 - 29UY
Fri 11/1 San Diego State at Boise State+24.555.5L 24 - 56ON
Fri 11/8 San Diego State vs New Mexico-1.565.5L 16 - 21UN
Sat 11/16 San Diego State at UNLV+22.055.5L 20 - 41OY
Sat 11/23 San Diego State at Utah State+5.060.0L 20 - 41ON
Sat 11/30 San Diego State vs Air Force+6.543.5L 20 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule
Central Michigan's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Central Michigan vs Central Connecticut-33.554.5W 66 - 10OY
Sat 9/7 Central Michigan vs Florida International-3.551.5L 16 - 52ON
Sat 9/14 Central Michigan at Illinois+21.549.5L 9 - 30UY
Sat 9/21 Central Michigan vs Ball State-6.551.0W 37 - 34ON
Sat 9/28 Central Michigan vs San Diego State-2.547.5W 22 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Central Michigan vs Ohio+3.050.5L 25 - 27OY
Sat 10/19 Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan+3.552.5L 34 - 38ON
Sat 10/26 Central Michigan at Miami (OH)+10.548.5L 7 - 46ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5 Central Michigan vs Bowling Green+14.547.5L 13 - 23UY
Tue 11/12 Central Michigan at Toledo+15.052.5L 10 - 37UN
Tue 11/19 Central Michigan vs Western Michigan+6.056.0W 16 - 14UY
Sat 11/30 Central Michigan at Northern Illinois+16.541.5L 16 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU#108 (.12)37% (120)21.337% (124)3 (78)12938% (109)2063.44 (107)#103 (.23)46% (113)29.649% (117)43% (98)4.28 (111)81.80.81
CMU#96 (.15)39% (115)22.642% (88)3.2 (41)16934% (124)1633.82 (80)#96 (.21)40% (44)29.741% (48)39% (50)3.6 (45)60.920.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU#108 (.12)37% (120)37% (124)3 (78)12938% (109)2063.44 (107)#103 (.23)46% (113)49% (117)43% (98)4.28 (111)81.80.81
CMU#96 (.15)39% (115)42% (88)3.2 (41)16934% (124)1633.82 (80)#96 (.21)40% (44)41% (48)39% (50)3.6 (45)60.920.4



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Offense1221.320.337.4%3.440.8193351292063.747%52%37%38%18%.12
CMU Defense1229.721.539.9%3.60.4 - - - - - 52%48%41%39%18%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Defense1229.635.846.1%4.281 - - - - - 55%44%49%43%12%.23
CMU Offense1222.629.838.7%3.822183321691634.557%43%42%34%20%.15

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
San Diego State1227:0818.536%53%9.181.80.815.42.6231
Central Michigan1229:2617.935%58%6.860.920.47.72.6327.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Offense1247% (87)37% (124)35.3128.93.713 (105).1 (84)3 (78)69% (97)12% (114)1.06 (37)
CMU Defense1252% (80)41% (48) - - - - .15 (82)3 (66)82% (117)13% (14)1.18 (127)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Defense1255% (117)49% (117) - - - - .21 (113)3.49 (130)80% (109)9% (98)0.94 (47)
CMU Offense1257% (24)42% (88)37.3168.94.517 (84).22 (24)3.2 (41)80% (23)12% (108)1.09 (27)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Offense1252% (45)38% (109)19.531.3205.76.610.615 (98)8 (40).15 (107)1.5 (99)36% (125)26% (114).29 (87)6% (61)2 (77)
CMU Defense1248% (54)39% (50) - - - - - - 2 (134).28 (93)1.7 (102)36% (18)30% (60).37 (95)5% (117)2.2 (103)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Defense1244% (17)43% (98) - - - - - - 7 (104).28 (96)1.6 (75)29% (112)38% (126).52 (126)3% (133)2.1 (79)
CMU Offense1243% (110)34% (124)13.925.2163.46.511.711 (122)12 (85).04 (129)1.5 (85)34% (112)22% (132).18 (116)8% (119)2 (86)

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: -20.06 #122
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 12.55 #117
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 15.20 #109
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
San Diego State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
San Diego State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4 #119
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: -20.06   Central Michigan: -12.46

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: -15.4   Central Michigan: -15.8




Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -12.46 #111
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 17.21 #92
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 12.06 #88
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Central Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Central Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.8 #120
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.3
Defense: 29.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

San Diego State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Central Michigan 28
San Diego State 22


Total Points: 50

Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.8
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.5

Central Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Central Michigan22San Diego State21Central MichiganCentral Michigan -2.5San Diego State47.5Under
201912/21San Diego State48Central Michigan11San Diego StateSan Diego State -4.0San Diego State40.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Central Michigan101 Overs
San Diego State121 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#122) San Diego State Info
Power Rating: -20.06 #122
Offense Rating: 12.55 #117
Defense Rating: 15.20 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4 #119
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.28 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

San Diego State has lost 2 straight
San Diego State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

San Diego State Notes
(11/3) Fought vs Boise, Pass D torched. QB/Rgame bad
(10/30) Playing better and still fighting hard for Lewis
(10/27) Off is just awful, Success, Expl, Poss Time bad
(10/27) Good fight vs Wazzu, Run D was good, Off better
(10/13) QB O'Neil good, Rgame meh, 9 more penalties
(9/26) Most penalized CFB team, 116 YPG in Wk 5.
(9/8) Shutout, only 180 yds by Oreg St. Run D bad
(7/30) Over bet shots esp. early, will play tempo
(7/30) QB Duffy (FSU)/FR O'Neil, RB/TE/WR's from portal
(7/30) Total roster turnover, 24 in, 37 out via Portal

San Diego State Highlights
San Diego State has a great TO Margin (#1)

San Diego State Deficiencies
San Diego State Can Not Run the Ball (#121)
San Diego State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#30)
San Diego State offense is really bad (#95)
San Diego State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#49)
San Diego State run game is really bad (#44)
San Diego State pass game is really bad (#126)
San Diego State has a bad defense (#21)
San Diego State Does Not Stuff Runs (#73)
San Diego State has a bad defensive line (#79)
San Diego State has a bad red zone defense (#77)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatCMUSDSU
OverallOver#77#77
OffenseOff#105#74
DefenseDef#40#95
Special TeamsST#39#22
PassingPass#104#49
RushingRush#70#86
Run BlockRBLK#82#59
Pass BlockPBLK#112#56
Route RunningWR Rt#96#53
TacklingTkl#21#109
Run DefenseR Def#32#101
Pass Rush DefPRush#26#74
Coverage DefCov#71#73

Rematch from Week 5
Central Michigan -2.5 (47.5)
Central Michigan won vs San Diego State this year (22-21)

Previous Matchups
Central Michigan beat San Diego State last year (22-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: SDSU | CMU
Depth Chart: SDSU | CMU
Rosters: SDSU | CMU
(#111) Central Michigan Info
Power Rating: -12.46 #111
Offense Rating: 17.21 #92
Defense Rating: 12.06 #88
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.8 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #115
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.82 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Awful Pass Success 34%
Poor OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.6 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Central Michigan has won 1 straight
Central Michigan has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Central Michigan Notes
(11/20) McElwain retiring after final game vs N. Ill
(11/13) New QB Glasser bad vs Toledo, Rgame awful in L
(11/8) Off really bad, QB's unplayable, Rgame plodding
(10/27) 3 str L's, Def cooked, QBs are awful, Dogs last 4
(10/20) 45 runs/12 pass. Ran for 285, but Pass D torched
(10/15) Starting QB Labas out for season (arm)
(10/15) Backup QB Jefferson starting vs EMU
(10/13) QB's bad, Rgame OK, Run def mauled by Ohio
(10/4) Run Off/Def good, Pass Off/Def bad. OL & F7 good
(10/2) Rgame good/dominant vs poor D's. QB Labas JAG

Central Michigan Highlights
Central Michigan does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#96)

Central Michigan Front 7 is disruptive (#135)

Central Michigan Deficiencies
Central Michigan has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Central Michigan Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Central Michigan offense is really bad (#130)
Central Michigan pass game is really bad (#124)
Central Michigan gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#96)


  
San Diego State's OC Sean Lewis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Danny O'Neil20933063%21811266.6
Javance Tupou'ata-Johnson203951%222225.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marquez Cooper (Tr)2921274124.447
Danny O'Neil748911.234
Cam Davis147605.438
Jaylon Armstead134203.215
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Louis Brown38620316.344
Ja'Shaun Poke (Tr)5045919.246
Jordan Napier43440410.253
Nate Bennett (Tr)22314114.348

View San Diego State's Full Roster
San Diego State's DC Eric Schmidt
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tano Letuli (Tr)674220
Chris Johnson590013
Kyle Moretti (Tr)583100
Trey White56191351
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey White56191351
Tupu Alualu215400
Marlem Louis (Tr)104400
Ryan Henderson123320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshawn McCuin262115
Chris Johnson590013
Eric Butler443003

Central Michigan's OC Jim McElwain
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Labas9416059%1114777.0
Jadyn Glasser417654%439245.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marion Lukes16178854.966
BJ Harris9141834.671
Myles Bailey5129235.735
Tyler Jefferson4323315.444
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Parker29360312.444
Solomon Davis (Tr)19350218.472
Evan Boyd21302214.447
Jesse Prewitt III2318628.121

View Central Michigan's Full Roster
Central Michigan's DC Robb Akey
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Kwiatkowski9714011
Caleb Spann614205
Justin Whiteside586341
Elijah Rikard563100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jason Williams429610
Jonah Pace3411462
Michael Heldman296480
Dakota Cochran5411410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daraun McKinney532109
Donte Kent521007
Caleb Spann614205