San Diego State Aztecs at Utah State Aggies
Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Utah State -5 (60.0) (-198) Open: -4.5
Utah State 41 - San Diego State: 20 (Mountain West)
Aztecs (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Sean Lewis (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (20 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Coach Sean Lewis (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (20 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
SDSU 2nd straight Road Game
USU 2nd straight Home Game
SDSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Utah State -9 (SP+ USU -5)
Projected Score: SDSU: 26 - USU: 35 (61)
USU Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
SDSU Travel: 685 miles, 1 hrs behind
USU 2nd straight Home Game
SDSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Utah State -9 (SP+ USU -5)
Projected Score: SDSU: 26 - USU: 35 (61)
USU Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
SDSU Travel: 685 miles, 1 hrs behind
Aggies (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Nate Dreiling (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (39 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Coach Nate Dreiling (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (39 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
| San Diego State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | San Diego State vs East Texas A&M | -16 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | San Diego State vs Oregon State | +5.5 | 54.5 | L 0 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | San Diego State at California | +18.5 | 48.5 | L 10 - 31 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/28 | San Diego State at Central Michigan | +2.5 | 47.5 | L 21 - 22 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | San Diego State vs Hawai'i | -1.5 | 47.5 | W 27 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | San Diego State at Wyoming | +1.5 | 43.0 | W 27 - 24 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/26 | San Diego State vs Washington State | +17.0 | 56.5 | L 26 - 29 | U | Y | |
| Fri 11/1 | San Diego State at Boise State | +24.5 | 55.5 | L 24 - 56 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/8 | San Diego State vs New Mexico | -1.5 | 65.5 | L 16 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | San Diego State at UNLV | +22.0 | 55.5 | L 20 - 41 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | San Diego State at Utah State | +5.0 | 60.0 | L 20 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | San Diego State vs Air Force | +6.5 | 43.5 | L 20 - 31 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
| Utah State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Utah State vs Robert Morris | -18.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Utah State at USC | +30.5 | 62.5 | L 0 - 48 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Utah State vs Utah | +20.5 | 43.5 | L 21 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Utah State at Temple | -6.5 | 53.5 | L 29 - 45 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Utah State at Boise State | +28.0 | 66.5 | L 30 - 62 | O | N | |
| Fri 10/11 | Utah State vs UNLV | +19.0 | 67.5 | L 34 - 50 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Utah State vs New Mexico | +1.0 | 78.5 | L 45 - 50 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Utah State at Wyoming | -2.5 | 57.0 | W 27 - 25 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Utah State at Washington State | +20.5 | 69.0 | L 28 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Utah State vs Hawai'i | +2.5 | 62.0 | W 55 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Utah State vs San Diego State | -5.0 | 60.0 | W 41 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Fri 11/29 | Utah State at Colorado State | +5.5 | 56.5 | L 37 - 42 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU | #96 (.14) | 42% (70) | 21.3 | 43% (69) | 3.08 (77) | 154 | 41% (77) | 172 | 3.2 (116) | #108 (.24) | 47% (127) | 29.6 | 53% (130) | 43% (86) | 3.38 (30) | 44 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| USU | #50 (.22) | 42% (67) | 31.9 | 45% (52) | 3.36 (19) | 184 | 42% (68) | 254 | 3.27 (109) | #98 (.23) | 45% (114) | 37.8 | 49% (124) | 43% (82) | 4.41 (119) | 70.8 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| USU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU Offense | 12 | 21.3 | 20.3 | 41.9% | 3.2 | 1.4 | 17 | 326 | 154 | 172 | 4.1 | 56% | 43% | 43% | 41% | 15% | .14 |
| USU Defense | 13 | 37.8 | 30.3 | 45.4% | 4.41 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 45% | 49% | 43% | 18% | .23 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU Defense | 12 | 29.6 | 35.8 | 46.9% | 3.38 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 46% | 52% | 53% | 43% | 16% | .24 |
| USU Offense | 13 | 31.9 | 38.7 | 42.2% | 3.27 | 1.9 | 22 | 439 | 184 | 254 | 4.8 | 48% | 50% | 45% | 42% | 20% | .22 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State | 12 | 32:47 | 17.2 | 35% | 57% | 4.9 | 44 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 1 | 31.6 |
| Utah State | 13 | 26:56 | 21.7 | 36% | 56% | 7.5 | 70.8 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 29.2 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU Offense | 12 | 56% (22) | 43% (69) | 37.8 | 154.3 | 4.1 | 16 (89) | .12 (85) | 3.08 (77) | 74% (66) | 10% (67) | 0.9 (111) |
| USU Defense | 13 | 54% (113) | 49% (124) | - | - | - | - | .18 (93) | 3.1 (68) | 83% (118) | 11% (39) | 0.93 (34) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU Defense | 12 | 46% (22) | 53% (130) | - | - | - | - | .27 (126) | 3.44 (123) | 83% (114) | 8% (118) | 0.93 (36) |
| USU Offense | 13 | 48% (89) | 45% (52) | 38.2 | 184.5 | 4.8 | 18 (77) | .21 (33) | 3.36 (19) | 77% (40) | 12% (104) | 1 (68) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU Offense | 12 | 43% (112) | 41% (77) | 16.8 | 26.6 | 171.8 | 6.5 | 10.2 | 10 (120) | 10 (56) | .21 (91) | 1.4 (125) | 32% (69) | 27% (100) | .1 (128) | 5% (28) | 1.6 (133) |
| USU Defense | 13 | 45% (22) | 43% (82) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (67) | .31 (95) | 1.6 (71) | 30% (108) | 31% (77) | .31 (70) | 7% (23) | 1.9 (32) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU Defense | 12 | 52% (110) | 43% (86) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (37) | .27 (68) | 1.5 (33) | 28% (128) | 32% (100) | .34 (80) | 8% (18) | 2 (40) |
| USU Offense | 13 | 50% (56) | 42% (68) | 20.7 | 33.5 | 254.2 | 7.6 | 12.3 | 35 (7) | 19 (131) | .34 (48) | 1.8 (19) | 33% (87) | 33% (53) | .42 (40) | 8% (122) | 2.2 (30) |
San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: -20.06 #122
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 12.55 #117
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 15.20 #109
2024 Talent Rating: 596.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
San Diego State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
San Diego State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4 #119
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
San Diego State's Power Rating: -20.06 #122
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 12.55 #117
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 15.20 #109
2024 Talent Rating: 596.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
San Diego State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
San Diego State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4 #119
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: -20.06 Utah State: -8.715
SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: -15.4 Utah State: -10.4
San Diego State: -20.06 Utah State: -8.715
SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: -15.4 Utah State: -10.4
Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -8.715 #105
Utah State's Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Utah State's Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
2024 Talent Rating: 408.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Utah State's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Utah State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Utah State's Power Rating: -8.715 #105
Utah State's Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Utah State's Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
2024 Talent Rating: 408.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Utah State's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Utah State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.3
Defense: 29.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8
San Diego State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.3
Defense: 29.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8
San Diego State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Utah State 35
San Diego State 26
Projected Total Points: 61
Utah State 35
San Diego State 26
Projected Total Points: 61
Utah State Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3
Utah State's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3
Utah State's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/23 | Utah State | 41 | San Diego State | 20 | Utah State | Utah State -5 | Utah State | 60.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/04 | San Diego State | 24 | Utah State | 32 | Utah State | Utah State -2.0 | Utah State | 56.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 12/04 | San Diego State | 13 | Utah State | 46 | Utah State | San Diego State -6.5 | Utah State | 49.5 | Over |
| 2020 | 10/31 | Utah State | 7 | San Diego State | 38 | San Diego State | San Diego State -7.5 | San Diego State | 0 | |
| 2019 | 09/21 | San Diego State | 17 | Utah State | 23 | Utah State | Utah State -4 | Utah State | 53.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/28 | Utah State | 13 | San Diego State | 40 | San Diego State | San Diego State -3 | San Diego State | 45.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 10/23 | San Diego State | 48 | Utah State | 14 | San Diego State | Utah State -5 | San Diego State | 44.5 | Over |
| 2010 | 09/25 | San Diego State | 41 | Utah State | 7 | San Diego State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utah State | 4 | 4 | 4 Overs |
| San Diego State | 4 | 3 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 3 - 5 | 2 - 5 | 1 - 1 | 1 - 4 |
| Road Teams | 5 - 3 | 5 - 2 | 4 - 1 | 1 - 1 |
(#122) San Diego State Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -20.06 #122
Offense Rating: 12.55 #117
Defense Rating: 15.20 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4 #119
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104
Talent Rating: 596.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.28 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
San Diego State Notes
(11/3) Fought vs Boise, Pass D torched. QB/Rgame bad
(10/30) Playing better and still fighting hard for Lewis
(10/27) Off is just awful, Success, Expl, Poss Time bad
(10/27) Good fight vs Wazzu, Run D was good, Off better
(10/13) QB O'Neil good, Rgame meh, 9 more penalties
(9/26) Most penalized CFB team, 116 YPG in Wk 5.
(9/8) Shutout, only 180 yds by Oreg St. Run D bad
(7/30) Over bet shots esp. early, will play tempo
(7/30) QB Duffy (FSU)/FR O'Neil, RB/TE/WR's from portal
(7/30) Total roster turnover, 24 in, 37 out via Portal
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -20.06 #122
Offense Rating: 12.55 #117
Defense Rating: 15.20 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4 #119
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104
Talent Rating: 596.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.28 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
San Diego State Notes
(11/3) Fought vs Boise, Pass D torched. QB/Rgame bad
(10/30) Playing better and still fighting hard for Lewis
(10/27) Off is just awful, Success, Expl, Poss Time bad
(10/27) Good fight vs Wazzu, Run D was good, Off better
(10/13) QB O'Neil good, Rgame meh, 9 more penalties
(9/26) Most penalized CFB team, 116 YPG in Wk 5.
(9/8) Shutout, only 180 yds by Oreg St. Run D bad
(7/30) Over bet shots esp. early, will play tempo
(7/30) QB Duffy (FSU)/FR O'Neil, RB/TE/WR's from portal
(7/30) Total roster turnover, 24 in, 37 out via Portal
Power #122
#105Off #117
#19Def #109
#123Talent #75
#115SP+ #119
#106SP+ Off #122
#45SP+ Def #104
#129Rematch from Week 13
Utah State -5.0 (60.0)
Utah State won vs San Diego State this year (41-20)
Previous Matchups
Utah State beat San Diego State last year (41-20)
Utah State beat San Diego State in 2023 (32-24)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Romney Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 51° - Wind: 9 mph
Team Information
Injuries: SDSU | USU
Depth Chart: SDSU | USU
Rosters: SDSU | USU
(#105) Utah State Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.715 #105
Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 408.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Good Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.44 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Utah State Notes
(11/29) Rgame great vs CSU, 296/6.0. Pass D torched in L
(11/18) 5 INT's vs Hawaii, Rgame great (321, 7.6 ypc)
(11/9) Top WR Jalen Royals out for season (foot)
(10/22) Def stop rate 39% (#130) into week 9
(10/20) Petras 360 yds (NM), forced 4 TOs in near upset
(10/16) Monitor for quit watch. Def/Int Coach/Bad vibes
(10/11) Def is likely worst in CFB. #130+ all metrics
(10/10) Def is awful. Worst 2nd quarter D (nearly 21 ppg!)
(10/10) QB now Petras, hasn't been as awful as expected
(8/4) Portal lost #2 WR Davis (Ole Miss) this late??
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.715 #105
Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 408.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Good Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.44 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Utah State Notes
(11/29) Rgame great vs CSU, 296/6.0. Pass D torched in L
(11/18) 5 INT's vs Hawaii, Rgame great (321, 7.6 ypc)
(11/9) Top WR Jalen Royals out for season (foot)
(10/22) Def stop rate 39% (#130) into week 9
(10/20) Petras 360 yds (NM), forced 4 TOs in near upset
(10/16) Monitor for quit watch. Def/Int Coach/Bad vibes
(10/11) Def is likely worst in CFB. #130+ all metrics
(10/10) Def is awful. Worst 2nd quarter D (nearly 21 ppg!)
(10/10) QB now Petras, hasn't been as awful as expected
(8/4) Portal lost #2 WR Davis (Ole Miss) this late??
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny O'Neil | 209 | 330 | 63% | 2181 | 12 | 6 | 6.6 |
| Javance Tupou'ata-Johnson | 20 | 39 | 51% | 222 | 2 | 2 | 5.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquez Cooper (Tr) | 292 | 1274 | 12 | 4.4 | 47 |
| Danny O'Neil | 74 | 89 | 1 | 1.2 | 34 |
| Cam Davis | 14 | 76 | 0 | 5.4 | 38 |
| Jaylon Armstead | 13 | 42 | 0 | 3.2 | 15 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Brown | 38 | 620 | 3 | 16.3 | 44 |
| Ja'Shaun Poke (Tr) | 50 | 459 | 1 | 9.2 | 46 |
| Jordan Napier | 43 | 440 | 4 | 10.2 | 53 |
| Nate Bennett (Tr) | 22 | 314 | 1 | 14.3 | 48 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tano Letuli (Tr) | 67 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Chris Johnson | 59 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Kyle Moretti (Tr) | 58 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Trey White | 56 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey White | 56 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 |
| Tupu Alualu | 21 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Marlem Louis (Tr) | 10 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Henderson | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deshawn McCuin | 26 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| Jelani Whitmore | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Chris Johnson | 59 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Petras (Tr) | 214 | 327 | 65% | 2315 | 17 | 11 | 7.1 |
| Bryson Barnes (Tr) | 77 | 126 | 61% | 856 | 12 | 6 | 6.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rahsul Faison | 198 | 1109 | 8 | 5.6 | 37 |
| Bryson Barnes (Tr) | 68 | 530 | 5 | 7.8 | 63 |
| Herschel Turner | 79 | 405 | 4 | 5.1 | 43 |
| Derrick Jameson | 15 | 140 | 2 | 9.3 | 72 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otto Tia | 44 | 434 | 7 | 9.9 | 51 |
| Jack Hestera (Tr) | 24 | 340 | 4 | 14.2 | 32 |
| Grant Page | 33 | 281 | 2 | 8.5 | 35 |
| Josh Sterzer | 20 | 202 | 4 | 10.1 | 37 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Vincent (Tr) | 117 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Ike Larsen | 80 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Jon Ross Maye | 57 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| John Miller (Tr) | 52 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cian Slone | 49 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| Bronson Olevao | 23 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Lawrence Falatea (Tr) | 28 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| John Miller (Tr) | 52 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ike Larsen | 80 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Avante Dickerson | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jordan Vincent (Tr) | 117 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |