San Diego State at Wyoming - 2024 Matchup Preview

San Diego State Aztecs at Wyoming Cowboys

Saturday, October 12th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Wyoming -1.5 (43.0) (-122) Open: -1.0
San Diego State 27 - Wyoming: 24 (Mountain West)

Aztecs (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Sean Lewis (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 15 (18 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WYO coming off BYE
Our Line: Wyoming -4.5 (SP+ WYO -2)
Projected Score: SDSU: 18 - WYO: 23 (41)
WYO Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
SDSU Travel: 866 miles, 1 hrs behind

Cowboys (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jay Sawvel (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 16 - 21 (21 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SDSU Players
WYO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

San Diego State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	San Diego State vs East Texas A&M	-16
Sat 9/7	San Diego State vs Oregon State	+5.5	54.5	L 0 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/14	San Diego State at California	+18.5	48.5	L 10 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	San Diego State at Central Michigan	+2.5	47.5	L 21 - 22	U	Y
Sat 10/5	San Diego State vs Hawai'i	-1.5	47.5	W 27 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/12	San Diego State at Wyoming	+1.5	43.0	W 27 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	San Diego State vs Washington State	+17.0	56.5	L 26 - 29	U	Y
Fri 11/1	San Diego State at Boise State	+24.5	55.5	L 24 - 56	O	N
Fri 11/8	San Diego State vs New Mexico	-1.5	65.5	L 16 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/16	San Diego State at UNLV	+22.0	55.5	L 20 - 41	O	Y
Sat 11/23	San Diego State at Utah State	+5.0	60.0	L 20 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/30	San Diego State vs Air Force	+6.5	43.5	L 20 - 31	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule

Wyoming's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Wyoming at Arizona State	+6.5	47.0	L 7 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/7	Wyoming vs Idaho	-6.5	39.5	L 13 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/14	Wyoming vs BYU	+9.5	40.5	L 14 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/21	Wyoming at North Texas	+7.0	55.0	L 17 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/28	Wyoming vs Air Force	+4.0	33.5	W 31 - 19	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Wyoming vs San Diego State	-1.5	43.0	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/19	Wyoming at San José State	+13.0	53.0	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Wyoming vs Utah State	+2.5	57.0	L 25 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Wyoming at New Mexico	+7.5	60.5	W 49 - 45	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15	Wyoming at Colorado State	+8.5	47.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/23	Wyoming vs Boise State	+22.0	54.0	L 13 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Wyoming at Washington State	+18.5	55.5	W 15 - 14	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SDSU	#96 (.14)	42% (70)	26.4	43% (69)	3.08 (77)	154	41% (77)	172	3.2 (116)	#108 (.24)	47% (127)	15.4	53% (130)	43% (86)	3.38 (30)	44	1.4	1.5
WYO	#71 (.19)	43% (56)	16	44% (60)	3.25 (41)	158	43% (59)	169	3.97 (60)	#76 (.19)	43% (77)	20.5	42% (58)	44% (104)	3.44 (40)	33.4	0.8	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SDSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WYO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SDSU Offense	12	26.4	18.2	41.9%	3.2	1.4	17	326	154	172	4.1	56%	43%	43%	41%	15%	.14
WYO Defense	13	20.5	18.3	42.6%	3.44	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	42%	44%	14%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SDSU Defense	12	15.4	18.3	46.9%	3.38	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	53%	43%	16%	.24
WYO Offense	13	16	20.7	43.1%	3.97	0.8	19	327	158	169	4.4	56%	44%	44%	43%	14%	.19

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
San Diego State	12	32:47	17.2	35%	57%	4.9	44	1.4	1.5	4.1	1.5	1	31.6
Wyoming	13	30:15	18.6	37%	67%	3.9	33.4	0.8	1.7	3.8	1.5	1	28.9

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SDSU Offense	12	56% (22)	43% (69)	37.8	154.3	4.1	16 (89)	.12 (85)	3.08 (77)	74% (66)	10% (67)	0.9 (111)
WYO Defense	13	48% (47)	42% (58)	-	-	-	-	.13 (64)	3.17 (86)	71% (55)	7% (130)	0.94 (38)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SDSU Defense	12	46% (22)	53% (130)	-	-	-	-	.27 (126)	3.44 (123)	83% (114)	8% (118)	0.93 (36)
WYO Offense	13	56% (28)	44% (60)	36	158.5	4.4	19 (69)	.17 (53)	3.25 (41)	82% (11)	9% (53)	1 (66)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SDSU Offense	12	43% (112)	41% (77)	16.8	26.6	171.8	6.5	10.2	10 (120)	10 (56)	.21 (91)	1.4 (125)	32% (69)	27% (100)	.1 (128)	5% (28)	1.6 (133)
WYO Defense	13	51% (87)	44% (104)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.28 (79)	1.5 (25)	32% (74)	31% (81)	.33 (77)	6% (59)	2 (64)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SDSU Defense	12	52% (110)	43% (86)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.27 (68)	1.5 (33)	28% (128)	32% (100)	.34 (80)	8% (18)	2 (40)
WYO Offense	13	44% (106)	43% (59)	14.5	23.4	168.5	7.2	11.6	20 (70)	6 (14)	.23 (86)	1.5 (101)	29% (23)	32% (61)	.3 (80)	5% (20)	2 (85)

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: -20.06 #122
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 12.55 #117
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 15.20 #109
2024 Talent Rating: 297.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
San Diego State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
San Diego State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4 #119
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 259.75
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: -20.06 Wyoming: -13.155

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: -15.4 Wyoming: -13.6

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -13.155 #117
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 11.64 #122
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 11.59 #84
2024 Talent Rating: 213.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Wyoming's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Wyoming's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.6 #115
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #127
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 190
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.2
Defense: 15.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.3

San Diego State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Wyoming 23
San Diego State 18

Projected Total Points: 41

Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 16 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.7
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Wyoming's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	San Diego State	24	Wyoming	7	San Diego State -10	San Diego State	42.5	Under
2024	10/12	Wyoming	24	San Diego State	27	Wyoming -1.5	San Diego State	43.0	Over
2019	10/12	San Diego State	26	Wyoming	22	San Diego State -3.5	San Diego State	38.5	Over
2016	11/19	Wyoming	34	San Diego State	33	San Diego State -7.5	Wyoming	54.5	Over
2016	12/03	Wyoming	24	San Diego State	27	San Diego State -7	Wyoming	57.5	Under
2015	11/14	San Diego State	38	Wyoming	3	San Diego State -19	San Diego State	49.0	Under
2012	11/24	Wyoming	28	San Diego State	42
2011	10/29	San Diego State	27	Wyoming	30
2010	10/30	Wyoming	38	San Diego State	48
2009	11/14	San Diego State	27	Wyoming	30
2008	11/01	Wyoming	35	San Diego State	10
2007	11/03	San Diego State	27	Wyoming	24
2006	11/04	Wyoming	27	San Diego State	24
2005	11/19	San Diego State	34	Wyoming	21
2004	10/09	Wyoming	20	San Diego State	10
2003	10/25	San Diego State	25	Wyoming	20
2002	10/19	Wyoming	20	San Diego State	24
2001	11/17	San Diego State	38	Wyoming	16
2000	10/06	Wyoming	0	San Diego State	34

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wyoming	6	2	3 Overs
San Diego State	13	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 8	5 - 1	3 - 1	2 - 0
Road Teams	8 - 11	1 - 5	0 - 2	1 - 3

(#122) SDSU at (#117) WYO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SDSU	WYO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#122	#117
SP+SP+	#119	#115
Perf GradeGrade	#108	#105
OffenseOff	#91	#118
DefenseDef	#116	#69
Spec TeamsST	#24	#94
TalentTal	#75	#112
Blue ChipsBC%	#97	#102

San Diego State Notes(11/18) Rgame only 2 guys, one the QB O'Neil? L to Rebs
(11/3) Fought vs Boise, Pass D torched. QB/Rgame bad
(10/30) Playing better and still fighting hard for Lewis
(10/27) Off is just awful, Success, Expl, Poss Time bad
(10/27) Good fight vs Wazzu, Run D was good, Off better
(10/13) QB O'Neil good, Rgame meh, 9 more penalties
(9/26) Most penalized CFB team, 116 YPG in Wk 5.
(9/8) Shutout, only 180 yds by Oreg St. Run D bad
(7/30) Over bet shots esp. early, will play tempo
(7/30) QB Duffy (FSU)/FR O'Neil, RB/TE/WR's from portal
(7/30) Total roster turnover, 24 in, 37 out via Portal
San Diego State Injury Report

Wyoming Notes(11/25) Fight w/ Boise, Off awful, Def fought hard in L
(11/18) Off abysmal vs CSU, WR drops all over. Awful TY
(11/15) HC Sawvel is a f'ing idiot, punts down 14 late
(11/3) Off much better, QB Anderson lit up N. Mex in W
(10/20) 310 yds & 3 TOs vs SJSU. Forced 4 TOs in L
(10/17) Running more tempo in '24, Overs are 5-1
(10/13) QB Svoboda awful, Rgame better in L SDSU
(9/20) Off is near worst in CFB. WR awful, QB bad
(9/8) Lost @ home to Idaho? QB awful, penalties
(9/1) Mauled @ ASU, DL 241 yds rushing, run game awful
(8/11) DL may be best in MWC, OL exp'd and rising
(7/31) Exp'd team, great at home, can Off rise up?
Wyoming Injury Report

San Diego State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	SDSU Off	WYO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#91	#69
SuccessSuc	#70	#77
ExplosiveExp	#130	#29
PPAPPA	#96	#76
PowerPwr	#117	#84
SP+SP+	#122	#95
Pts POPPO	#116	#40
HavocHav	#49	#118

San Diego State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	SDSU Off	WYO Def
Run GameRun	#118	#46
Run SuccessRSuc	#69	#58
Run ExplRExp	#111	#38
PPAExp	#85	#64
Run BlockR Blk	#76	-
OL YdsOLY	#77	#86
Stuff RateStuff	#50	#100
TackleTak	-	#96

San Diego State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	SDSU Off	WYO Def
Pass GamePass	#62	#85
Pass SuccessPSuc	#77	#104
Pass ExplPExl	#125	#25
PPAExp	#91	#79
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#63	#75
F7 HavocF7	#67	#130
DB HavocDB	#28	#59

Wyoming on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	WYO Off	SDSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#118	#116
SuccessSuc	#56	#127
ExplosiveExp	#103	#22
PPAPPA	#71	#108
PowerPwr	#122	#109
SP+SP+	#127	#104
Pts POPPO	#60	#30
HavocHav	#30	#79

Wyoming Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	WYO Off	SDSU Def
Run GameRun	#125	#126
Run SuccessRSuc	#60	#130
Run ExplRExp	#66	#36
PPAExp	#53	#126
Run BlockR Blk	#60	-
OL YdsOLY	#41	#123
Stuff RateStuff	#42	#121
TackleTak	-	#125

Wyoming Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	WYO Off	SDSU Def
Pass GamePass	#122	#90
Pass SuccessPSuc	#59	#86
Pass ExplPExl	#101	#33
PPAExp	#86	#68
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#112	#87
F7 HavocF7	#53	#118
DB HavocDB	#20	#18

Program Comparison
WYO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'24 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

SDSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'24 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in War Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
Wyoming -1.5 (43.0)
San Diego State won at Wyoming this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
San Diego State beat Wyoming last year (24-7)
San Diego State beat Wyoming in 2024 (27-24)

SDSU's OC Sean Lewis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Danny O'Neil	209	330	63%	2181	12	6	6.6
Javance Tupou'ata-Johnson	20	39	51%	222	2	2	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marquez Cooper (Tr)	292	1274	12	4.4	47
Danny O'Neil	74	89	1	1.2	34
Cam Davis	14	76	0	5.4	38
Jaylon Armstead	13	42	0	3.2	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Louis Brown	38	620	3	16.3	44
Ja'Shaun Poke (Tr)	50	459	1	9.2	46
Jordan Napier	43	440	4	10.2	53
Nate Bennett (Tr)	22	314	1	14.3	48

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC Eric Schmidt (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tano Letuli (Tr)	67	4	2	2	0
Chris Johnson	59	0	0	1	3
Kyle Moretti (Tr)	58	3	1	0	0
Trey White	56	19	13	5	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey White	56	19	13	5	1
Tupu Alualu	21	5	4	0	0
Marlem Louis (Tr)	10	4	4	0	0
Ryan Henderson	12	3	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deshawn McCuin	26	2	1	1	5
Chris Johnson	59	0	0	1	3
Eric Butler	44	3	0	0	3

WYO's OC Jay Johnson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Evan Svoboda	111	226	49%	1308	5	8	5.8
Kaden Anderson	70	120	58%	955	6	3	8.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sam Scott	92	435	3	4.7	43
Harrison Waylee	63	323	1	5.1	36
Jamari Ferrell	80	318	1	4.0	62
Evan Svoboda	109	237	5	2.2	51

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaylen Sargent	23	480	2	20.9	70
Johnmichael Gyllenborg	30	425	3	14.2	63
Chris Durr Jr.	31	348	1	11.2	40
Tyler King (Tr)	17	236	0	13.9	36

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Aaron Bohl (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shae Suiaunoa	87	10	1	3	2
Connor Shay	76	8	2	2	3
Isaac White	57	2	0	0	2
Wrook Brown	48	1	0	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Tyce Westland	41	6	3	0
Sabastian Harsh	41	9	3	1
Braden Siders	20	4	2	0
DeVonne Harris	21	5	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Tyrecus Davis	42	1	8
Keany Parks	41	1	7
Wrook Brown	48	1	6