UNLV Rebels at Utah State Aggies
Friday, October 11th 2024 (9:00 PM EDT)
UNLV -19 (67.5) (-1100) Open: -18.5
UNLV 50 - Utah State: 34 (Mountain West)
Rebels (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (9 - 5)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Coach Barry Odom (9 - 5)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Our Line: UNLV -15.5 (SP+ UNLV -19.5)
Projected Score: UNLV: 40 - USU: 25 (65)
UNLV Win prob: 91% | Cover: 51%
UNLV Travel: 425 miles, 1 hrs behind
Projected Score: UNLV: 40 - USU: 25 (65)
UNLV Win prob: 91% | Cover: 51%
UNLV Travel: 425 miles, 1 hrs behind
Aggies (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Nate Dreiling (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (39 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
Coach Nate Dreiling (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (39 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
| UNLV's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | UNLV at Houston | +3.0 | 56.0 | W 27 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | UNLV vs Utah Tech | -41.5 | 55.5 | W 72 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Fri 9/13 | UNLV vs Kansas | +7.0 | 57.0 | W 23 - 20 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/28 | UNLV vs Fresno State | -2.5 | 51.0 | W 59 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Fri 10/4 | UNLV vs Syracuse | -5.5 | 55.5 | L 41 - 44 | O | N | |
| Fri 10/11 | UNLV at Utah State | -19.0 | 67.5 | W 50 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | UNLV at Oregon State | -6.5 | 61.0 | W 33 - 25 | U | Y | |
| Fri 10/25 | UNLV vs Boise State | +4.0 | 64.0 | L 24 - 29 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | UNLV at Hawai'i | -12.0 | 51.5 | W 29 - 27 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | UNLV vs San Diego State | -22.0 | 55.5 | W 41 - 20 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/22 | UNLV at San José State | -7.5 | 59.5 | W 27 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | UNLV vs Nevada | -17.5 | 54.5 | W 38 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Fri 12/6 | UNLV at Boise State | +3.5 | 57.5 | L 7 - 21 | U | N | |
| Wed 12/18 | UNLV vs California | -3.0 | 45.0 | W 24 - 13 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Utah State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Utah State vs Robert Morris | -18.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Utah State at USC | +30.5 | 62.5 | L 0 - 48 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Utah State vs Utah | +20.5 | 43.5 | L 21 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Utah State at Temple | -6.5 | 53.5 | L 29 - 45 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Utah State at Boise State | +28.0 | 66.5 | L 30 - 62 | O | N | |
| Fri 10/11 | Utah State vs UNLV | +19.0 | 67.5 | L 34 - 50 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Utah State vs New Mexico | +1.0 | 78.5 | L 45 - 50 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Utah State at Wyoming | -2.5 | 57.0 | W 27 - 25 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Utah State at Washington State | +20.5 | 69.0 | L 28 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Utah State vs Hawai'i | +2.5 | 62.0 | W 55 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Utah State vs San Diego State | -5.0 | 60.0 | W 41 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Fri 11/29 | Utah State at Colorado State | +5.5 | 56.5 | L 37 - 42 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV | #56 (.21) | 42% (84) | 35.4 | 43% (83) | 3.36 (16) | 248 | 40% (90) | 173 | 4.26 (33) | #34 (.11) | 37% (14) | 21.3 | 40% (39) | 36% (14) | 4.05 (97) | 49.2 | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| USU | #34 (.24) | 46% (31) | 31.9 | 48% (24) | 3.41 (12) | 199 | 44% (37) | 269 | 4.42 (24) | #119 (.27) | 47% (122) | 37.8 | 48% (112) | 48% (123) | 4.44 (122) | 73.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV | #56 (.21) | 42% (84) | 43% (83) | 3.36 (16) | 248 | 40% (90) | 173 | 4.26 (33) | #34 (.11) | 37% (14) | 40% (39) | 36% (14) | 4.05 (97) | 49.2 | 0.6 | 1.6 | ||
| USU | #34 (.24) | 46% (31) | 48% (24) | 3.41 (12) | 199 | 44% (37) | 269 | 4.42 (24) | #119 (.27) | 47% (122) | 48% (112) | 48% (123) | 4.44 (122) | 73.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV Offense | 14 | 35.4 | 28.8 | 41.7% | 4.26 | 0.6 | 21 | 420 | 248 | 173 | 5.7 | 61% | 39% | 43% | 40% | 14% | .21 |
| USU Defense | 12 | 37.8 | 30.3 | 47.4% | 4.44 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 49% | 48% | 48% | 15% | .27 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV Defense | 14 | 21.3 | 21.7 | 37.4% | 4.05 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 44% | 56% | 40% | 36% | 19% | .11 |
| USU Offense | 12 | 31.9 | 38.7 | 45.6% | 4.42 | 1.8 | 23 | 468 | 199 | 269 | 5.7 | 46% | 54% | 48% | 44% | 16% | .24 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV | 14 | 29:59 | 21.1 | 40% | 70% | 5.6 | 49.2 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 6.3 | 2.6 | 4 | 34.7 |
| Utah State | 12 | 27:19 | 22.5 | 40% | 50% | 7.8 | 73.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 6 | 2.3 | 1 | 28.1 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV Offense | 14 | 61% (8) | 43% (83) | 43.5 | 247.8 | 5.7 | 29 (18) | .23 (23) | 3.36 (16) | 73% (71) | 9% (58) | 1.16 (9) |
| USU Defense | 12 | 51% (69) | 48% (112) | - | - | - | - | .25 (124) | 3.45 (128) | 76% (85) | 10% (70) | 0.96 (56) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV Defense | 14 | 44% (8) | 40% (39) | - | - | - | - | .11 (63) | 2.63 (19) | 73% (65) | 10% (55) | 1.08 (108) |
| USU Offense | 12 | 46% (102) | 48% (24) | 35.1 | 199.3 | 5.7 | 21 (59) | .26 (13) | 3.41 (12) | 65% (117) | 8% (39) | 1.11 (18) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV Offense | 14 | 39% (127) | 40% (90) | 12.7 | 22.1 | 172.6 | 7.8 | 13.6 | 25 (31) | 6 (10) | .2 (94) | 1.7 (32) | 30% (43) | 29% (93) | .26 (97) | 5% (25) | 2.1 (58) |
| USU Defense | 12 | 49% (64) | 48% (123) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (31) | .32 (106) | 1.5 (30) | 27% (129) | 32% (97) | .32 (75) | 5% (99) | 1.8 (21) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV Defense | 14 | 56% (128) | 36% (14) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 17 (5) | .13 (25) | 1.5 (47) | 36% (17) | 25% (7) | .19 (24) | 8% (9) | 2.2 (106) |
| USU Offense | 12 | 54% (36) | 44% (37) | 24.5 | 38.2 | 269.1 | 7.1 | 11 | 29 (12) | 17 (127) | .25 (69) | 1.5 (118) | 29% (30) | 33% (54) | .4 (38) | 8% (124) | 2.1 (31) |
UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: 4.14 #46
UNLV's Offense Rating: 18.48 #81
UNLV's Defense Rating: 5.05 #27
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
UNLV's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
UNLV's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #36
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #31
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #55
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
UNLV's Power Rating: 4.14 #46
UNLV's Offense Rating: 18.48 #81
UNLV's Defense Rating: 5.05 #27
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
UNLV's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
UNLV's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #36
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #31
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #55
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: 4.14 Utah State: -8.715
SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: 9.3 Utah State: -10.4
UNLV: 4.14 Utah State: -8.715
SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: 9.3 Utah State: -10.4
Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -8.715 #105
Utah State's Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Utah State's Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Utah State's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Utah State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Utah State's Power Rating: -8.715 #105
Utah State's Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Utah State's Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Utah State's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Utah State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
UNLV Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7
UNLV's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7
UNLV's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 40
Utah State 25
Total Points: 65
UNLV 40
Utah State 25
Total Points: 65
Utah State Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3
Utah State's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3
Utah State's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/11 | Utah State | 34 | UNLV | 50 | UNLV | UNLV -19 | Utah State | 67.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 09/24 | Utah State | 24 | UNLV | 34 | UNLV | UNLV -3 | UNLV | 61.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 10/16 | UNLV | 24 | Utah State | 28 | Utah State | Utah State -7.5 | UNLV | 64.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/13 | Utah State | 59 | UNLV | 28 | Utah State | Utah State -27 | Utah State | 65.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 10/21 | UNLV | 28 | Utah State | 52 | Utah State | UNLV -3.5 | Utah State | 60.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 10/25 | Utah State | 34 | UNLV | 20 | Utah State | Utah State -18 | UNLV | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/09 | UNLV | 24 | Utah State | 28 | Utah State | Utah State -13 | UNLV | 0 | |
| 2012 | 09/29 | Utah State | 35 | UNLV | 13 | Utah State | ||||
| 2008 | 08/30 | UNLV | 27 | Utah State | 17 | UNLV | ||||
| 2007 | 08/30 | Utah State | 16 | UNLV | 23 | UNLV | ||||
| 2005 | 09/24 | Utah State | 31 | UNLV | 24 | Utah State | ||||
| 2004 | 09/25 | UNLV | 21 | Utah State | 31 | Utah State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utah State | 8 | 3 | 3 Overs |
| UNLV | 4 | 4 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 5 - 7 | 4 - 3 | 1 - 2 | 3 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 7 - 5 | 3 - 4 | 1 - 3 | 2 - 1 |
(#46) UNLV Info
Power Rating: 4.14 #46
Offense Rating: 18.48 #81
Defense Rating: 5.05 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #31
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #55
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.26 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.05 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
UNLV has lost 1 straight
UNLV has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 6 - 1 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
UNLV Notes
(12/12) Hired HC Dan Mullen? Feels like a lazy hire
(11/25) 3 str W's, beat Nevada = MWC title gm vs Boise
(11/18) Beat Haw,SDSU. Rgame/QB great, Def good
(10/26) Even w/ Boise, Run D good, TO and late D cost
(10/23) WR R White gets 44% of targets, #1 in CFB
(9/28) Killed Fresno, Rgame great, QB Williams eff
(9/25) QB Sluka no longer with team (redshirt/portal)
(9/13) 2-0 vs B12, great W at Kan. Outgained but TOs won
(9/1) Great W @ Houston, bullied lines, 195 (4.1) vs 38 (1.5)
(7/31) New QBs Sluka/Williams (FCS/mobiles) will be great
UNLV Highlights
UNLV has Really Good Running Game (#34)
UNLV offense is explosive (#84)
UNLV has a top Offensive Line (#56)
UNLV Defense Sacks the QB a lot
UNLV has a really good defense (#118)
UNLV has a good pass defense (#112)
UNLV Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#40)
UNLV Defensive Line is very good (#47)
UNLV Secondary is very good (#23)
UNLV has a great TO Margin (#28)
UNLV defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#2)
UNLV Deficiencies
Power Rating: 4.14 #46
Offense Rating: 18.48 #81
Defense Rating: 5.05 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #31
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #55
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.26 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.05 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
UNLV has lost 1 straight
UNLV has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 6 - 1 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
UNLV Notes
(12/12) Hired HC Dan Mullen? Feels like a lazy hire
(11/25) 3 str W's, beat Nevada = MWC title gm vs Boise
(11/18) Beat Haw,SDSU. Rgame/QB great, Def good
(10/26) Even w/ Boise, Run D good, TO and late D cost
(10/23) WR R White gets 44% of targets, #1 in CFB
(9/28) Killed Fresno, Rgame great, QB Williams eff
(9/25) QB Sluka no longer with team (redshirt/portal)
(9/13) 2-0 vs B12, great W at Kan. Outgained but TOs won
(9/1) Great W @ Houston, bullied lines, 195 (4.1) vs 38 (1.5)
(7/31) New QBs Sluka/Williams (FCS/mobiles) will be great
UNLV Highlights
UNLV has Really Good Running Game (#34)
UNLV offense is explosive (#84)
UNLV has a top Offensive Line (#56)
UNLV Defense Sacks the QB a lot
UNLV has a really good defense (#118)
UNLV has a good pass defense (#112)
UNLV Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#40)
UNLV Defensive Line is very good (#47)
UNLV Secondary is very good (#23)
UNLV has a great TO Margin (#28)
UNLV defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#2)
UNLV Deficiencies
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | USU | UNLV |
| OverallOver | #83 | #13 |
| OffenseOff | #81 | #19 |
| DefenseDef | #103 | #21 |
| Special TeamsST | #30 | #41 |
| PassingPass | #71 | #51 |
| RushingRush | #16 | #14 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #75 | #36 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #67 | #7 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #86 | #35 |
| TacklingTkl | #92 | #69 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #110 | #37 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #80 | #50 |
| Coverage DefCov | #67 | #13 |
Rematch from Week 7
UNLV 19.0 (67.5)
UNLV won at Utah State this year (50-34)
Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Utah State last year (50-34)
UNLV beat Utah State in 2022 (34-24)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Romney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: UNLV | USU
Depth Chart: UNLV | USU
Rosters: UNLV | USU
(#105) Utah State Info
Power Rating: -8.715 #105
Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Good Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.44 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Utah State has lost 4 straight
Utah State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (4 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Utah State Notes
(11/29) Rgame great vs CSU, 296/6.0. Pass D torched in L
(11/18) 5 INT's vs Hawaii, Rgame great (321, 7.6 ypc)
(11/9) Top WR Jalen Royals out for season (foot)
(10/22) Def stop rate 39% (#130) into week 9
(10/20) Petras 360 yds (NM), forced 4 TOs in near upset
(10/16) Monitor for quit watch. Def/Int Coach/Bad vibes
(10/11) Def is likely worst in CFB. #130+ all metrics
(10/10) Def is awful. Worst 2nd quarter D (nearly 21 ppg!)
(10/10) QB now Petras, hasn't been as awful as expected
(8/4) Portal lost #2 WR Davis (Ole Miss) this late??
Utah State Highlights
Utah State has a top Offensive Line (#112)
Utah State offense is good in red zone (#21)
Utah State Deficiencies
Utah State has a bad TO Margin (#11)
Utah State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#129)
Utah State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Utah State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Utah State has a bad defense (#115)
Utah State has a bad defensive line (#83)
Utah State has a bad red zone defense (#130)
Power Rating: -8.715 #105
Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Good Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.44 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Utah State has lost 4 straight
Utah State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (4 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Utah State Notes
(11/29) Rgame great vs CSU, 296/6.0. Pass D torched in L
(11/18) 5 INT's vs Hawaii, Rgame great (321, 7.6 ypc)
(11/9) Top WR Jalen Royals out for season (foot)
(10/22) Def stop rate 39% (#130) into week 9
(10/20) Petras 360 yds (NM), forced 4 TOs in near upset
(10/16) Monitor for quit watch. Def/Int Coach/Bad vibes
(10/11) Def is likely worst in CFB. #130+ all metrics
(10/10) Def is awful. Worst 2nd quarter D (nearly 21 ppg!)
(10/10) QB now Petras, hasn't been as awful as expected
(8/4) Portal lost #2 WR Davis (Ole Miss) this late??
Utah State Highlights
Utah State has a top Offensive Line (#112)
Utah State offense is good in red zone (#21)
Utah State Deficiencies
Utah State has a bad TO Margin (#11)
Utah State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#129)
Utah State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Utah State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Utah State has a bad defense (#115)
Utah State has a bad defensive line (#83)
Utah State has a bad red zone defense (#130)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hajj-Malik Williams (Tr) | 150 | 252 | 60% | 1941 | 19 | 5 | 7.7 |
| Matthew Sluka (Tr) | 21 | 48 | 44% | 318 | 6 | 1 | 6.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jai'Den Thomas | 161 | 915 | 7 | 5.7 | 54 |
| Hajj-Malik Williams (Tr) | 161 | 851 | 9 | 5.3 | 71 |
| Kylin James (Tr) | 89 | 653 | 5 | 7.3 | 86 |
| Greg Burrell | 66 | 370 | 3 | 5.6 | 42 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky White | 79 | 1041 | 11 | 13.2 | 55 |
| Jacob De Jesus | 36 | 512 | 3 | 14.2 | 43 |
| Jaden Bradley (Tr) | 9 | 173 | 1 | 19.2 | 42 |
| Kaleo Ballungay | 17 | 152 | 6 | 8.9 | 29 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Woodard | 135 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 12 |
| Jett Elad | 84 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| Jalen Catalon (Tr) | 77 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Johnathan Baldwin | 68 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fisher Camac | 46 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 5 |
| Antonio Doyle Jr. (Tr) | 56 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Jackson Woodard | 135 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 12 |
| Johnathan Baldwin | 68 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Woodard | 135 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 12 |
| Johnathan Baldwin | 68 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| Cameron Oliver | 33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Petras (Tr) | 214 | 327 | 65% | 2315 | 17 | 11 | 7.1 |
| Bryson Barnes (Tr) | 77 | 126 | 61% | 856 | 12 | 6 | 6.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rahsul Faison | 198 | 1109 | 8 | 5.6 | 37 |
| Bryson Barnes (Tr) | 68 | 530 | 5 | 7.8 | 63 |
| Herschel Turner | 79 | 405 | 4 | 5.1 | 43 |
| Derrick Jameson | 15 | 140 | 2 | 9.3 | 72 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Royals | 55 | 834 | 6 | 15.2 | 75 |
| Kyrese Rowan | 44 | 526 | 3 | 12.0 | 57 |
| Otto Tia | 44 | 434 | 7 | 9.9 | 51 |
| Jack Hestera (Tr) | 24 | 340 | 4 | 14.2 | 32 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Vincent (Tr) | 117 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Ike Larsen | 80 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Jon Ross Maye | 57 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| John Miller (Tr) | 52 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cian Slone | 49 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| Bronson Olevao | 23 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Lawrence Falatea (Tr) | 28 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| John Miller (Tr) | 52 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ike Larsen | 80 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Avante Dickerson | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| D.J. Graham | 42 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |