New Mexico at San Diego State - 2024 Matchup Preview
New Mexico logo New Mexico Lobos at San Diego State AztecsSan Diego State logo
Friday, November 8th 2024 (10:30 PM EST)
San Diego State -1.5 (65.5) (-120)  Open: -3.0 | 67.5
New Mexico 21 - San Diego State: 16  (Mountain West)

 
Lobos (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 38 (31 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
UNM is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: San Diego State -1   (SP+ UNM -0.5)

Projected Score: UNM: 31 - SDSU: 32 (62)
SDSU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
UNM Travel: 622 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Aztecs (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Sean Lewis (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (22 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
New Mexico's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/24 New Mexico vs Montana State+10.554.0L 31 - 35OY
Sat 8/31 New Mexico at Arizona+28.060.0L 39 - 61OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 New Mexico at Auburn+25.558.5L 19 - 45ON
Sat 9/21 New Mexico vs Fresno State+12.061.0L 21 - 38UN
Sat 9/28 New Mexico at New Mexico State-9.554.0W 50 - 40OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 New Mexico vs Air Force-7.056.0W 52 - 37OY
Sat 10/19 New Mexico at Utah State-1.078.5W 50 - 45OY
Sat 10/26 New Mexico at Colorado State+3.562.0L 6 - 17UN
Sat 11/2 New Mexico vs Wyoming-7.560.5L 45 - 49ON
Fri 11/8 New Mexico at San Diego State+1.565.5W 21 - 16UY
Sat 11/16 New Mexico vs Washington State+10.572.5W 38 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30 New Mexico at Hawai'i-6.561.5L 30 - 38ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 2

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
San Diego State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 San Diego State vs East Texas A&M-16
Sat 9/7 San Diego State vs Oregon State+5.554.5L 0 - 21UN
Sat 9/14 San Diego State at California+18.548.5L 10 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 San Diego State at Central Michigan+2.547.5L 21 - 22UY
Sat 10/5 San Diego State vs Hawai'i-1.547.5W 27 - 24OY
Sat 10/12 San Diego State at Wyoming+1.543.0W 27 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 San Diego State vs Washington State+17.056.5L 26 - 29UY
Fri 11/1 San Diego State at Boise State+24.555.5L 24 - 56ON
Fri 11/8 San Diego State vs New Mexico-1.565.5L 16 - 21UN
Sat 11/16 San Diego State at UNLV+22.055.5L 20 - 41OY
Sat 11/23 San Diego State at Utah State+5.060.0L 20 - 41ON
Sat 11/30 San Diego State vs Air Force+6.543.5L 20 - 31ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM#15 (.31)48% (12)33.550% (13)3.31 (31)19347% (23)2184.11 (49)#127 (.32)48% (130)3850% (126)47% (127)4.23 (109)89.41.30.7
SDSU#96 (.14)42% (70)21.343% (69)3.08 (77)15441% (77)1723.2 (116)#108 (.24)47% (127)29.653% (130)43% (86)3.38 (30)441.41.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SDSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Offense1233.530.748.3%4.111.3234111932185.352%47%50%47%21%.31
SDSU Defense1229.623.346.9%3.381.5 - - - - - 46%52%53%43%16%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Defense123837.448.4%4.230.7 - - - - - 52%48%50%47%17%.32
SDSU Offense1221.322.341.9%3.21.4173261541724.156%43%43%41%15%.14

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico1232:2623.241%64%9.889.41.30.73.91.3024.5
San Diego State1232:4717.235%57%4.9441.41.54.11.5131.6
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Offense1252% (53)50% (13)36.7192.75.326 (30).26 (16)3.31 (31)79% (23)12% (110)1.02 (54)
SDSU Defense1246% (22)53% (130) - - - - .27 (126)3.44 (123)83% (114)8% (118)0.93 (36)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Defense1252% (101)50% (126) - - - - .21 (106)3.35 (115)63% (18)10% (80)0.88 (20)
SDSU Offense1256% (22)43% (69)37.8154.34.116 (89).12 (85)3.08 (77)74% (66)10% (67)0.9 (111)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Offense1247% (83)47% (23)16.529.4217.97.413.217 (85)10 (56).42 (23)1.6 (57)32% (75)33% (44).39 (47)9% (129)2 (72)
SDSU Defense1252% (110)43% (86) - - - - - - 12 (37).27 (68)1.5 (33)28% (128)32% (100).34 (80)8% (18)2 (40)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Defense1248% (41)47% (127) - - - - - - 4 (131).45 (128)1.8 (118)24% (133)40% (132).46 (122)7% (28)1.8 (14)
SDSU Offense1243% (112)41% (77)16.826.6171.86.510.210 (120)10 (56).21 (91)1.4 (125)32% (69)27% (100).1 (128)5% (28)1.6 (133)

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -18.10 #118
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 23.67 #30
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 20.73 #128
2024 Talent Rating: 262.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
New Mexico's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
New Mexico's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #116
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #64
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #132

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -18.10   San Diego State: -15.23

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -14.8   San Diego State: -15.4




San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: -15.23 #122
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 12.55 #117
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 15.20 #109
2024 Talent Rating: 596.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
San Diego State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
San Diego State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4 #119
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.7
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

New Mexico's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
San Diego State 32
New Mexico 31


Projected Total Points: 62
San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.3
Defense: 29.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3

San Diego State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/08San Diego State16New Mexico21New MexicoSan Diego State -1.5New Mexico65.5Under
202211/18New Mexico10San Diego State34San Diego StateSan Diego State -15San Diego State36.0Over
202110/09San Diego State31New Mexico7San Diego StateSan Diego State -19.5San Diego State42.5Under
201811/03New Mexico23San Diego State31San Diego StateSan Diego State -12New Mexico45.5Over
201711/24San Diego State35New Mexico10San Diego StateSan Diego State -20.5San Diego State48.5Under
201410/10New Mexico14San Diego State24San Diego StateSan Diego State -6San Diego State0
201311/02San Diego State35New Mexico30San Diego StateSan Diego State -17New Mexico0
201111/05San Diego State35New Mexico7San Diego State
201010/23New Mexico20San Diego State30San Diego State
200910/31San Diego State23New Mexico20San Diego State
200810/18New Mexico70San Diego State7New Mexico
200710/20San Diego State17New Mexico20New Mexico
200611/25New Mexico41San Diego State14New Mexico
200510/22San Diego State24New Mexico47New Mexico
200410/23New Mexico19San Diego State9New Mexico
200310/18San Diego State7New Mexico30New Mexico
200211/09New Mexico15San Diego State8New Mexico
200111/03San Diego State15New Mexico20New Mexico
200011/03New Mexico16San Diego State17San Diego State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
San Diego State1042 Overs
New Mexico933 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 103 - 42 - 21 - 2
Road Teams10 - 94 - 32 - 12 - 2

(#118) New Mexico Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -18.10 #118
Offense Rating: 23.67 #30
Defense Rating: 20.73 #128
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #116
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #64
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #132
Talent Rating: 262.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 49%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Great Run Success 53%
Good Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.64 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


New Mexico Notes
(12/14) Hired HC Jason Eck (Idaho, FCS OL/OC)
(12/14) HC Eck rose Idaho (26-13) after P Pentrino meh
(11/18) Big W vs Wazzu, Rgame 360 yds, QB bad
(11/3) Def allow 600+ yds, 49 pts at home vs Wyoming?
(10/22) Def stop rate 36% is #132 into week 9
(10/20) Off 550 yds (Ut St), Dampier 3 Int almost cost em
(10/19) Dampier is NM best QB in a while, Over bet team
(10/12) Rgame great, Def awful in W (AFA). Theme of '24
(10/4) Off good, Def worst in CFB? 100 yds penalties pg
(10/4) Run game stats top 20. OL yds, 5.9 ypc, 200 ypg
New Mexico     Ratings Matchup     San Diego State
Power #118
#122
Off #30
#117
Def #128
#109
Talent #128
#75
SP+ #116
#119
SP+ Off #64
#122
SP+ Def #132
#104

Rematch from Week 11
San Diego State -1.5 (65.5)
New Mexico won at San Diego State this year (21-16)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat San Diego State last year (21-16)
San Diego State beat New Mexico in 2022 (34-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Snapdragon Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 55°

Team Information
Injuries: UNM | SDSU
Depth Chart: UNM | SDSU
Rosters: UNM | SDSU
(#122) San Diego State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.23 #122
Offense Rating: 12.55 #117
Defense Rating: 15.20 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4 #119
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104
Talent Rating: 596.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.28 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


San Diego State Notes
(11/3) Fought vs Boise, Pass D torched. QB/Rgame bad
(10/30) Playing better and still fighting hard for Lewis
(10/27) Off is just awful, Success, Expl, Poss Time bad
(10/27) Good fight vs Wazzu, Run D was good, Off better
(10/13) QB O'Neil good, Rgame meh, 9 more penalties
(9/26) Most penalized CFB team, 116 YPG in Wk 5.
(9/8) Shutout, only 180 yds by Oreg St. Run D bad
(7/30) Over bet shots esp. early, will play tempo
(7/30) QB Duffy (FSU)/FR O'Neil, RB/TE/WR's from portal
(7/30) Total roster turnover, 24 in, 37 out via Portal


  
New Mexico's OC Jason Beck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Devon Dampier22639058%276812127.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devon Dampier1561152197.485
Eli Sanders (Tr)147106497.275
NaQuari Rogers (Tr)7438255.229
Javen Jacobs (Tr)4027736.950
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luke Wysong69840112.253
Ryan Davis54747313.855
Caleb Medford18336318.747
Nic Trujillo16305119.143

View New Mexico's Full Roster
New Mexico's DC Nick Howell
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Ellis934824
Noah Avinger (Tr)822005
Randolph Kpai (Tr)805153
Dmitri Johnson775212
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Ellis934824
Moso'oipala Tuitele356420
Dmitri Johnson775212
Jayden Wilson323220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryson Taylor5620010
Noah Avinger (Tr)822005
Christian Ellis934824

San Diego State's OC Sean Lewis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Danny O'Neil20933063%21811266.6
Javance Tupou'ata-Johnson203951%222225.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marquez Cooper (Tr)2921274124.447
Danny O'Neil748911.234
Cam Davis147605.438
Jaylon Armstead134203.215
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Louis Brown38620316.344
Ja'Shaun Poke (Tr)5045919.246
Jordan Napier43440410.253
Nate Bennett (Tr)22314114.348

View San Diego State's Full Roster
San Diego State's DC Eric Schmidt
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tano Letuli (Tr)674220
Chris Johnson590013
Kyle Moretti (Tr)583100
Trey White56191351
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey White56191351
Tupu Alualu215400
Marlem Louis (Tr)104400
Ryan Henderson123320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshawn McCuin262115
Jelani Whitmore100003
Chris Johnson590013