Nevada Wolf Pack at UNLV Rebels
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (8:00 PM EST)
UNLV -17.5 (54.5) (-1000) Open: -18.5 | 55.5
UNLV 38 - Nevada: 14 (Mountain West)
Wolf Pack (3 - 10) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Jeff Choate (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (18 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 10 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Coach Jeff Choate (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (18 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 10 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
UNLV is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UNLV -23.5 (SP+ UNLV -25)
Projected Score: NEV: 16 - UNLV: 39 (54)
UNLV Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
NEV Travel: 345 miles
Our Line: UNLV -23.5 (SP+ UNLV -25)
Projected Score: NEV: 16 - UNLV: 39 (54)
UNLV Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
NEV Travel: 345 miles
Rebels (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (9 - 5)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (46 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Coach Barry Odom (9 - 5)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (46 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
| Nevada's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/24 | Nevada vs SMU | +28.0 | 55.5 | L 24 - 29 | U | Y | |
| Sat 8/31 | Nevada at Troy | +7.5 | 44.5 | W 28 - 26 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Nevada vs Georgia Southern | -1.5 | 56.5 | L 17 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Nevada at Minnesota | +17.5 | 44.5 | L 0 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Nevada vs Eastern Washington | -13.5 | 54.5 | W 49 - 16 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Nevada at San José State | +7.0 | 51.5 | L 31 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Nevada vs Oregon State | +3.0 | 47.0 | W 42 - 37 | O | Y | |
| Fri 10/18 | Nevada vs Fresno State | +3.0 | 50.0 | L 21 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Nevada at Hawai'i | +2.5 | 42.0 | L 13 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Nevada vs Colorado State | +2.0 | 45.5 | L 21 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Nevada at Boise State | +23.5 | 60.5 | L 21 - 28 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Nevada vs Air Force | -3.0 | 44.5 | L 19 - 22 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Nevada at UNLV | +17.5 | 54.5 | L 14 - 38 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 5, Poor: 1
Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 5, Poor: 1
| UNLV's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | UNLV at Houston | +3.0 | 56.0 | W 27 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | UNLV vs Utah Tech | -41.5 | 55.5 | W 72 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Fri 9/13 | UNLV vs Kansas | +7.0 | 57.0 | W 23 - 20 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/28 | UNLV vs Fresno State | -2.5 | 51.0 | W 59 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Fri 10/4 | UNLV vs Syracuse | -5.5 | 55.5 | L 41 - 44 | O | N | |
| Fri 10/11 | UNLV at Utah State | -19.0 | 67.5 | W 50 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | UNLV at Oregon State | -6.5 | 61.0 | W 33 - 25 | U | Y | |
| Fri 10/25 | UNLV vs Boise State | +4.0 | 64.0 | L 24 - 29 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | UNLV at Hawai'i | -12.0 | 51.5 | W 29 - 27 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | UNLV vs San Diego State | -22.0 | 55.5 | W 41 - 20 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/22 | UNLV at San José State | -7.5 | 59.5 | W 27 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | UNLV vs Nevada | -17.5 | 54.5 | W 38 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Fri 12/6 | UNLV at Boise State | +3.5 | 57.5 | L 7 - 21 | U | N | |
| Wed 12/18 | UNLV vs California | -3.0 | 45.0 | W 24 - 13 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 4, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 4, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEV | #128 (.04) | 35% (129) | 23.1 | 39% (116) | 2.67 (127) | 125 | 32% (132) | 175 | 2.54 (132) | #101 (.24) | 46% (122) | 28.8 | 47% (110) | 47% (126) | 3.83 (71) | 58.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| UNLV | #38 (.27) | 43% (58) | 35.4 | 40% (101) | 3.17 (58) | 174 | 46% (28) | 239 | 4.19 (40) | #115 (.26) | 42% (65) | 21.3 | 41% (52) | 43% (93) | 4.08 (94) | 61.8 | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEV | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| UNLV | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEV Offense | 12 | 23.1 | 17.8 | 35.4% | 2.54 | 1.7 | 17 | 300 | 125 | 175 | 3.4 | 55% | 45% | 39% | 32% | 22% | .04 |
| UNLV Defense | 14 | 21.3 | 22.5 | 41.7% | 4.08 | 1.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 53% | 46% | 41% | 43% | 13% | .26 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEV Defense | 12 | 28.8 | 31.3 | 46.5% | 3.83 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 14% | .24 |
| UNLV Offense | 14 | 35.4 | 45.8 | 42.5% | 4.19 | 1.4 | 20 | 413 | 174 | 239 | 4.5 | 54% | 45% | 40% | 46% | 13% | .27 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada | 12 | 30:19 | 16.7 | 30% | 43% | 6.8 | 58.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 1.3 | 3 | 26.8 |
| UNLV | 14 | 28:06 | 20.3 | 49% | 45% | 6.9 | 61.8 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 4 | 1.4 | 1 | 33.1 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEV Offense | 12 | 55% (33) | 39% (116) | 36.9 | 124.8 | 3.4 | 14 (106) | .08 (107) | 2.67 (127) | 55% (132) | 16% (133) | 0.98 (78) |
| UNLV Defense | 14 | 53% (109) | 41% (52) | - | - | - | - | .11 (50) | 3.1 (69) | 78% (101) | 8% (113) | 0.95 (42) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEV Defense | 12 | 51% (81) | 47% (110) | - | - | - | - | .19 (97) | 3.28 (107) | 67% (30) | 9% (99) | 1.07 (104) |
| UNLV Offense | 14 | 54% (36) | 40% (101) | 38.4 | 173.5 | 4.5 | 39 (2) | .2 (40) | 3.17 (58) | 76% (43) | 8% (29) | 1.18 (3) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEV Offense | 12 | 45% (102) | 32% (132) | 15.9 | 28.8 | 175.2 | 6.1 | 11 | 6 (133) | 12 (85) | .02 (132) | 1.5 (88) | 34% (107) | 26% (109) | .06 (132) | 6% (89) | 1.7 (130) |
| UNLV Defense | 14 | 46% (24) | 43% (93) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 17 (3) | .48 (133) | 1.9 (133) | 33% (52) | 29% (55) | .32 (72) | 4% (128) | 2.1 (69) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEV Defense | 12 | 48% (52) | 47% (126) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (87) | .32 (99) | 1.6 (83) | 30% (102) | 30% (68) | .28 (50) | 5% (99) | 2 (37) |
| UNLV Offense | 14 | 45% (96) | 46% (28) | 17.9 | 28.9 | 239.2 | 8.3 | 13.3 | 17 (85) | 12 (85) | .37 (30) | 1.6 (56) | 32% (81) | 33% (43) | .4 (44) | 5% (42) | 2.1 (59) |
Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -13.37 #109
Nevada's Offense Rating: 22.53 #46
Nevada's Defense Rating: 14.97 #108
2024 Talent Rating: 430.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Nevada's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 10.0
Nevada's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #117
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #113
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Nevada's Power Rating: -13.37 #109
Nevada's Offense Rating: 22.53 #46
Nevada's Defense Rating: 14.97 #108
2024 Talent Rating: 430.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Nevada's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 10.0
Nevada's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #117
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #113
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -13.37 UNLV: 9.22
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -15.2 UNLV: 9.3
Nevada: -13.37 UNLV: 9.22
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -15.2 UNLV: 9.3
UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: 9.22 #46
UNLV's Offense Rating: 18.48 #81
UNLV's Defense Rating: 5.05 #27
2024 Talent Rating: 504.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
UNLV's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
UNLV's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #36
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #31
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #55
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
UNLV's Power Rating: 9.22 #46
UNLV's Offense Rating: 18.48 #81
UNLV's Defense Rating: 5.05 #27
2024 Talent Rating: 504.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
UNLV's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
UNLV's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #36
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #31
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #55
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Nevada Scoring
Offense: 23.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.3
Nevada's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Offense: 23.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.3
Nevada's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 39
Nevada 16
Projected Total Points: 54
UNLV 39
Nevada 16
Projected Total Points: 54
UNLV Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5
UNLV's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5
UNLV's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/30 | UNLV | 38 | Nevada | 14 | UNLV | UNLV -17.5 | UNLV | 54.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 10/14 | Nevada | 27 | UNLV | 45 | UNLV | UNLV -7.5 | UNLV | 51.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 11/26 | UNLV | 27 | Nevada | 22 | UNLV | UNLV -12.5 | Nevada | 49.0 | Push |
| 2021 | 10/29 | Nevada | 51 | UNLV | 20 | Nevada | Nevada -19 | Nevada | 58.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 10/31 | UNLV | 19 | Nevada | 37 | Nevada | Nevada -10.5 | Nevada | 0 | |
| 2019 | 11/30 | Nevada | 30 | UNLV | 33 | UNLV | Nevada -6.5 | UNLV | 52.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/24 | UNLV | 34 | Nevada | 29 | UNLV | Nevada -14 | UNLV | 60.5 | Over |
| 2017 | 11/25 | Nevada | 23 | UNLV | 16 | Nevada | Nevada -3 | Nevada | 70.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/26 | UNLV | 10 | Nevada | 45 | Nevada | UNLV -7 | Nevada | 59.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 10/03 | Nevada | 17 | UNLV | 23 | UNLV | Nevada -11.5 | UNLV | 57.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/29 | UNLV | 27 | Nevada | 49 | Nevada | Nevada -10 | Nevada | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/26 | Nevada | 22 | UNLV | 27 | UNLV | Nevada -3.5 | UNLV | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/13 | UNLV | 37 | Nevada | 42 | Nevada | ||||
| 2011 | 10/08 | Nevada | 37 | UNLV | 0 | Nevada | ||||
| 2010 | 10/02 | UNLV | 26 | Nevada | 44 | Nevada | ||||
| 2009 | 10/03 | Nevada | 63 | UNLV | 28 | Nevada | ||||
| 2008 | 09/27 | UNLV | 27 | Nevada | 49 | Nevada | ||||
| 2007 | 09/29 | Nevada | 27 | UNLV | 20 | Nevada | ||||
| 2006 | 09/30 | UNLV | 3 | Nevada | 31 | Nevada | ||||
| 2005 | 09/17 | Nevada | 22 | UNLV | 14 | Nevada | ||||
| 2004 | 10/02 | UNLV | 48 | Nevada | 13 | UNLV | ||||
| 2003 | 10/04 | Nevada | 12 | UNLV | 16 | UNLV | ||||
| 2002 | 10/05 | UNLV | 21 | Nevada | 17 | UNLV | ||||
| 2001 | 10/06 | Nevada | 12 | UNLV | 27 | UNLV | ||||
| 2000 | 10/06 | UNLV | 38 | Nevada | 7 | UNLV |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV | 12 | 6 | 4 Overs |
| Nevada | 13 | 6 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 12 - 13 | 4 - 8 | 3 - 5 | 1 - 3 |
| Road Teams | 13 - 12 | 8 - 4 | 3 - 1 | 5 - 3 |
(#109) Nevada Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -13.37 #109
Offense Rating: 22.53 #46
Defense Rating: 14.97 #108
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #113
Talent Rating: 430.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 3.0 - 10.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Avg Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.33 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Nevada Notes
(10/19) 2nd H vs Fresno, 4 Punts, 2 loss of downs
(10/19) Rgame abysmal, 84 yds (2.2 ypc) vs Fresno in L
(10/19) QB Lewis benched for Purdy in Fresno game
(10/12) QB Lewis/RB Red almost 300 rush yds over Oreg St
(9/23) Choate a huge upgrade over prev staff
(9/1) QB Lewis v mobile, better passer than anticipated
(9/1) Played w/ SMU, W @ Troy. Nev vastly improved TY
(7/30) Worst team in CFB in '23, fired everyone
(7/30) Off near worst in '23, QB Purdy (Neb)?, WR ?
(7/30) OL has 3 back, RB actually decent. Lost AA Kicker
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -13.37 #109
Offense Rating: 22.53 #46
Defense Rating: 14.97 #108
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #113
Talent Rating: 430.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 3.0 - 10.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Avg Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.33 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Nevada Notes
(10/19) 2nd H vs Fresno, 4 Punts, 2 loss of downs
(10/19) Rgame abysmal, 84 yds (2.2 ypc) vs Fresno in L
(10/19) QB Lewis benched for Purdy in Fresno game
(10/12) QB Lewis/RB Red almost 300 rush yds over Oreg St
(9/23) Choate a huge upgrade over prev staff
(9/1) QB Lewis v mobile, better passer than anticipated
(9/1) Played w/ SMU, W @ Troy. Nev vastly improved TY
(7/30) Worst team in CFB in '23, fired everyone
(7/30) Off near worst in '23, QB Purdy (Neb)?, WR ?
(7/30) OL has 3 back, RB actually decent. Lost AA Kicker
Power #109
#46Off #46
#81Def #108
#27Talent #112
#96SP+ #117
#36SP+ Off #106
#31SP+ Def #113
#55Rematch from Week 14
UNLV -17.5 (54.5)
UNLV won vs Nevada this year (38-14)
Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Nevada last year (38-14)
UNLV beat Nevada in 2023 (45-27)
UNLV beat Nevada in 2022 (27-22)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Allegiant Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: NEV | UNLV
Depth Chart: NEV | UNLV
Rosters: NEV | UNLV
(#46) UNLV Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.22 #46
Offense Rating: 18.48 #81
Defense Rating: 5.05 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #31
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #55
Talent Rating: 504.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.26 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.05 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
UNLV Notes
(12/12) Hired HC Dan Mullen? Feels like a lazy hire
(11/25) 3 str W's, beat Nevada = MWC title gm vs Boise
(11/18) Beat Haw,SDSU. Rgame/QB great, Def good
(10/26) Even w/ Boise, Run D good, TO and late D cost
(10/23) WR R White gets 44% of targets, #1 in CFB
(9/28) Killed Fresno, Rgame great, QB Williams eff
(9/25) QB Sluka no longer with team (redshirt/portal)
(9/13) 2-0 vs B12, great W at Kan. Outgained but TOs won
(9/1) Great W @ Houston, bullied lines, 195 (4.1) vs 38 (1.5)
(7/31) New QBs Sluka/Williams (FCS/mobiles) will be great
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.22 #46
Offense Rating: 18.48 #81
Defense Rating: 5.05 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #31
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #55
Talent Rating: 504.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.26 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.05 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
UNLV Notes
(12/12) Hired HC Dan Mullen? Feels like a lazy hire
(11/25) 3 str W's, beat Nevada = MWC title gm vs Boise
(11/18) Beat Haw,SDSU. Rgame/QB great, Def good
(10/26) Even w/ Boise, Run D good, TO and late D cost
(10/23) WR R White gets 44% of targets, #1 in CFB
(9/28) Killed Fresno, Rgame great, QB Williams eff
(9/25) QB Sluka no longer with team (redshirt/portal)
(9/13) 2-0 vs B12, great W at Kan. Outgained but TOs won
(9/1) Great W @ Houston, bullied lines, 195 (4.1) vs 38 (1.5)
(7/31) New QBs Sluka/Williams (FCS/mobiles) will be great
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendon Lewis | 211 | 312 | 68% | 2290 | 16 | 7 | 7.3 |
| Chubba Purdy (Tr) | 18 | 25 | 72% | 239 | 1 | 1 | 9.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendon Lewis | 157 | 775 | 8 | 4.9 | 67 |
| Savion Red (Tr) | 119 | 687 | 8 | 5.8 | 69 |
| Pat Garwo III | 55 | 246 | 5 | 4.5 | 25 |
| Sean Dollars | 47 | 165 | 0 | 3.5 | 26 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Smith | 62 | 849 | 7 | 13.7 | 62 |
| Cortez Braham | 56 | 724 | 4 | 12.9 | 57 |
| Marcus Bellon | 39 | 522 | 4 | 13.4 | 63 |
| Caleb Ramseur | 8 | 106 | 1 | 13.3 | 44 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kitan Crawford (Tr) | 76 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Drue Watts | 65 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Tongiaki Mateialona | 61 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Stone Combs | 58 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Ikahihifo | 43 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Kristopher Ross | 29 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Tongiaki Mateialona | 61 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Jonathan Maldonado | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Coats Jr. | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Kitan Crawford (Tr) | 76 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Chad Brown | 47 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hajj-Malik Williams (Tr) | 150 | 252 | 60% | 1941 | 19 | 5 | 7.7 |
| Matthew Sluka (Tr) | 21 | 48 | 44% | 318 | 6 | 1 | 6.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jai'Den Thomas | 161 | 915 | 7 | 5.7 | 54 |
| Hajj-Malik Williams (Tr) | 161 | 851 | 9 | 5.3 | 71 |
| Kylin James (Tr) | 89 | 653 | 5 | 7.3 | 86 |
| Matthew Sluka (Tr) | 39 | 253 | 1 | 6.5 | 46 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob De Jesus | 36 | 512 | 3 | 14.2 | 43 |
| Jaden Bradley (Tr) | 9 | 173 | 1 | 19.2 | 42 |
| Kaleo Ballungay | 17 | 152 | 6 | 8.9 | 29 |
| Casey Cain (Tr) | 7 | 136 | 2 | 19.4 | 50 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jett Elad | 84 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| Jalen Catalon (Tr) | 77 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Mani Powell (Tr) | 58 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Antonio Doyle Jr. (Tr) | 56 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fisher Camac | 46 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 5 |
| Antonio Doyle Jr. (Tr) | 56 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Mani Powell (Tr) | 58 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Marsel McDuffie | 46 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jett Elad | 84 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| Fisher Camac | 46 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 5 |
| Tony Grimes (Tr) | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |