Syracuse at UNLV - 2024 Matchup Preview
Syracuse logo Syracuse Orange at UNLV RebelsUNLV logo
Friday, October 4th 2024 (9:00 PM EDT)
UNLV -5.5 (55.5) (-218)  Open: -4.0
Syracuse 44 - UNLV: 41

 
Orange (10 - 3) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Fran Brown (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 29 (29 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
UNLV 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: UNLV -2   (SP+ UNLV -4)

Projected Score: SYR: 29 - UNLV: 31 (59)
UNLV Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
SYR Travel: 2110 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Rebels (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (9 - 5)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (46 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
 
Syracuse's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Syracuse vs Ohio-17.547.5W 38 - 22ON
Sat 9/7 Syracuse vs Georgia Tech+2.560.5W 31 - 28UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/20 Syracuse vs Stanford-9.556.5L 24 - 26UN
Sat 9/28 Syracuse vs Holy Cross-31.559.5W 42 - 14UN
Fri 10/4 Syracuse at UNLV+5.555.5W 44 - 41OY
Sat 10/12 Syracuse at NC State-1.051.5W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/24 Syracuse at Pittsburgh+5.062.5L 13 - 41UN
Sat 11/2 Syracuse vs Virginia Tech+3.554.0W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/9 Syracuse at Boston College+5.551.5L 31 - 37ON
Sat 11/16 Syracuse at California+10.558.0W 33 - 25UY
Sat 11/23 Syracuse vs UConn-10.053.0W 31 - 24ON
Sat 11/30 Syracuse vs Miami+12.565.5W 42 - 38OY
Fri 12/27 Syracuse vs Washington State-19.058.5W 52 - 35ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule
UNLV's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 UNLV at Houston+3.056.0W 27 - 7UY
Sat 9/7 UNLV vs Utah Tech-41.555.5W 72 - 14OY
Fri 9/13 UNLV vs Kansas+7.057.0W 23 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 UNLV vs Fresno State-2.551.0W 59 - 14OY
Fri 10/4 UNLV vs Syracuse-5.555.5L 41 - 44ON
Fri 10/11 UNLV at Utah State-19.067.5W 50 - 34ON
Sat 10/19 UNLV at Oregon State-6.561.0W 33 - 25UY
Fri 10/25 UNLV vs Boise State+4.064.0L 24 - 29UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 UNLV at Hawai'i-12.051.5W 29 - 27ON
Sat 11/16 UNLV vs San Diego State-22.055.5W 41 - 20ON
Fri 11/22 UNLV at San José State-7.559.5W 27 - 16UY
Sat 11/30 UNLV vs Nevada-17.554.5W 38 - 14UY
Fri 12/6 UNLV at Boise State+3.557.5L 7 - 21UN
Wed 12/18 UNLV vs California-3.045.0W 24 - 13UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SYR#28 (.25)48% (14)34.145% (57)2.88 (98)8750% (5)3354.23 (38)#107 (.23)43% (91)29.242% (58)45% (114)4.29 (112)55.31.21.1
UNLV#56 (.21)42% (84)35.443% (83)3.36 (16)24840% (90)1734.26 (33)#34 (.11)37% (14)21.340% (39)36% (14)4.05 (97)49.20.61.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SYR#28 (.25)48% (14)45% (57)2.88 (98)8750% (5)3354.23 (38)#107 (.23)43% (91)42% (58)45% (114)4.29 (112)55.31.21.1
UNLV#56 (.21)42% (84)43% (83)3.36 (16)24840% (90)1734.26 (33)#34 (.11)37% (14)40% (39)36% (14)4.05 (97)49.20.61.6



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SYR Offense1334.12948.1%4.231.224422873353.137%62%45%50%16%.25
UNLV Defense1421.322.537.4%4.051.6 - - - - - 44%56%40%36%19%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SYR Defense1329.232.243.5%4.291.1 - - - - - 46%53%42%45%17%.23
UNLV Offense1435.445.841.7%4.260.6214202481735.761%39%43%40%14%.21

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Syracuse1331:0623.850%67%6.555.31.21.152129
UNLV1429:5921.140%70%5.649.20.61.66.32.6434.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SYR Offense1337% (130)45% (57)28.387.13.120 (67).07 (98)2.88 (98)78% (30)8% (30)0.81 (128)
UNLV Defense1444% (8)40% (39) - - - - .11 (63)2.63 (19)73% (65)10% (55)1.08 (108)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SYR Defense1346% (23)42% (58) - - - - .12 (71)3.05 (77)82% (119)10% (54)1.1 (115)
UNLV Offense1461% (8)43% (83)43.5247.85.729 (18).23 (23)3.36 (16)73% (71)9% (58)1.16 (9)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SYR Offense1362% (5)50% (5)28.443.4335.27.711.829 (12)12 (85).37 (18)1.5 (89)31% (58)38% (4).34 (70)8% (117)2 (83)
UNLV Defense1456% (128)36% (14) - - - - - - 17 (5).13 (25)1.5 (47)36% (17)25% (7).19 (24)8% (9)2.2 (106)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SYR Defense1353% (111)45% (114) - - - - - - 9 (76).35 (113)1.5 (26)31% (87)33% (101).43 (113)7% (44)2.1 (76)
UNLV Offense1439% (127)40% (90)12.722.1172.67.813.625 (31)6 (10).2 (94)1.7 (32)30% (43)29% (93).26 (97)5% (25)2.1 (58)

Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: 8.66 #35
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 26.38 #12
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 11.10 #80
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #44
Syracuse's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Syracuse's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #14
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #83

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: 8.66   UNLV: 9.22

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: 5.5   UNLV: 9.3




UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: 9.22 #46
UNLV's Offense Rating: 18.48 #81
UNLV's Defense Rating: 5.05 #27
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
UNLV's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
UNLV's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #36
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #31
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #55

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

Syracuse's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 31
Syracuse 29


Total Points: 59

UNLV Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

UNLV's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/04UNLV41Syracuse44SyracuseUNLV -5.5Syracuse55.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UNLV001 Overs
Syracuse110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#35) Syracuse Info
Power Rating: 8.66 #35
Offense Rating: 26.38 #12
Defense Rating: 11.10 #80
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #83
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #44
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Great Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.29 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Syracuse has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Syracuse Notes
(12/1) Great season, sched bad but 9 W is great stuff
(11/25) Rgame awful, McCord torched UConn, Def v bad
(11/18) Rgame better, McCod good, Def meh in Cal W
(11/13) Bad BC L, Zero Rgame Off, Def horrific (300+ yds)
(11/2) Huge W vs VT. Still 11 flags, 2 TOs but came back
(10/24) McCord 5 Ints in brutal outing, killed by Pitt
(10/13) McCord torched NC St, Rgame bad, Run D better
(10/2) WR & TE are real weapons. Meeks/Pena v good
(9/20) Rgame simply awful, Run D bad. Off/McCord good
(9/8) McCord torched GT in big W, Run D played great

Syracuse Highlights
Syracuse offense is efficent (#35)
Syracuse offense is good on 3rd downs

Syracuse Deficiencies
Syracuse Can Not Run the Ball (#119)
Syracuse Commits a Lot of Penalties (#38)
Syracuse has a bad red zone defense (#82)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUNLVSYR
OverallOver#13#34
OffenseOff#19#13
DefenseDef#21#82
Special TeamsST#41#92
PassingPass#51#8
RushingRush#14#67
Run BlockRBLK#36#51
Pass BlockPBLK#7#43
Route RunningWR Rt#35#5
TacklingTkl#69#93
Run DefenseR Def#37#75
Pass Rush DefPRush#50#60
Coverage DefCov#13#82

Rematch from Week 6
UNLV -5.5 (55.5)
Syracuse won at UNLV this year (44-41)

Previous Matchups
Syracuse beat UNLV last year (44-41)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Allegiant Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: SYR | UNLV
Depth Chart: SYR | UNLV
Rosters: SYR | UNLV
(#46) UNLV Info
Power Rating: 9.22 #46
Offense Rating: 18.48 #81
Defense Rating: 5.05 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #31
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #55
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.26 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.05 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

UNLV has won 4 straight
UNLV has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

UNLV Notes
(12/12) Hired HC Dan Mullen? Feels like a lazy hire
(11/25) 3 str W's, beat Nevada = MWC title gm vs Boise
(11/18) Beat Haw,SDSU. Rgame/QB great, Def good
(10/26) Even w/ Boise, Run D good, TO and late D cost
(10/23) WR R White gets 44% of targets, #1 in CFB
(9/28) Killed Fresno, Rgame great, QB Williams eff
(9/25) QB Sluka no longer with team (redshirt/portal)
(9/13) 2-0 vs B12, great W at Kan. Outgained but TOs won
(9/1) Great W @ Houston, bullied lines, 195 (4.1) vs 38 (1.5)
(7/31) New QBs Sluka/Williams (FCS/mobiles) will be great

UNLV Highlights
UNLV has Really Good Running Game (#34)
UNLV offense is explosive (#84)
UNLV has a top Offensive Line (#56)
UNLV Defense Sacks the QB a lot

UNLV has a really good defense (#118)
UNLV has a good pass defense (#112)
UNLV Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#40)
UNLV Defensive Line is very good (#47)
UNLV Secondary is very good (#23)
UNLV has a great TO Margin (#28)
UNLV defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#2)

UNLV Deficiencies


  
Syracuse's OC Jeff Nixon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyle McCord (Tr)39159266%477934128.1
Michael Johnson Jr. (Tr)2367%310010.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lequint Allen2281021164.530
Yasin Willis3613013.626
Will Nixon (Tr)197604.012
Trebor Pena127216.017
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jackson Meeks (Tr)781021713.141
Trebor Pena84941911.250
Oronde Gadsden II72922712.839
Darrell Gill Jr.31562218.153

View Syracuse's Full Roster
Syracuse's DC Elijah Robinson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Barron8510243
Darian Chestnut604115
Alijah Clark594014
Devin Grant (Tr)518223
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fadil Diggs (Tr)4213731
Marlowe Wax427510
KingJoseph Edwards73310
Denis Jaquez Jr.223310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clarence Lewis (Tr)3610012
Jayden Bellamy341006
Darian Chestnut604115

UNLV's OC Brennan Marion
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hajj-Malik Williams (Tr)15025260%19411957.7
Matthew Sluka (Tr)214844%318616.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jai'Den Thomas16191575.754
Hajj-Malik Williams (Tr)16185195.371
Kylin James (Tr)8965357.386
Greg Burrell6637035.642
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ricky White7910411113.255
Jacob De Jesus36512314.243
Jaden Bradley (Tr)9173119.242
Kaleo Ballungay1715268.929

View UNLV's Full Roster
UNLV's DC Michael Scherer
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Woodard135174412
Jett Elad845126
Jalen Catalon (Tr)775213
Johnathan Baldwin6894010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fisher Camac4615815
Antonio Doyle Jr. (Tr)568743
Jackson Woodard135174412
Johnathan Baldwin6894010
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Woodard135174412
Johnathan Baldwin6894010
Cameron Oliver3311010