UNLV at Hawai'i Game Matchup
UNLV logo UNLV Rebels at Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsHawai
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (9:00 PM EST)
UNLV -12.0 (51.5) (-550)  Open: -13.5 | 50.5
UNLV 29 - Hawai'i: 27  (Mountain West)

 
Rebels (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (9 - 5)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Wind: 22.8 MPH
UNLV coming off BYE
HAW is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: UNLV -12   (SP+ UNLV -20)

Projected Score: UNLV: 32 - HAW: 20 (53)
UNLV Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
UNLV Travel: 2756 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Rainbow Warriors (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Timmy Chang (8 - 18)
Avg Score : 22 - 26 (27 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
 
UNLV's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 UNLV at Houston+3.056.0W 27 - 7UY
Sat 9/7 UNLV vs Utah Tech-41.555.5W 72 - 14OY
Fri 9/13 UNLV vs Kansas+7.057.0W 23 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 UNLV vs Fresno State-2.551.0W 59 - 14OY
Fri 10/4 UNLV vs Syracuse-5.555.5L 41 - 44ON
Fri 10/11 UNLV at Utah State-19.067.5W 50 - 34ON
Sat 10/19 UNLV at Oregon State-6.561.0W 33 - 25UY
Fri 10/25 UNLV vs Boise State+4.064.0L 24 - 29UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 UNLV at Hawai'i-12.051.5W 29 - 27ON
Sat 11/16 UNLV vs San Diego State-22.055.5W 41 - 20ON
Fri 11/22 UNLV at San José State-7.559.5W 27 - 16UY
Sat 11/30 UNLV vs Nevada-17.554.5W 38 - 14UY
Fri 12/6 UNLV at Boise State+3.557.5L 7 - 21UN
Wed 12/18 UNLV vs California-3.045.0W 24 - 13UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Hawai'i's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/24 Hawai'i vs Delaware State-38.557.5W 35 - 14UN
Sat 8/31 Hawai'i vs UCLA+13.555.5L 13 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Hawai'i at Sam Houston+3.548.5L 13 - 31UN
Sat 9/21 Hawai'i vs Northern Iowa-10.046.0W 36 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Hawai'i at San Diego State+1.547.5L 24 - 27ON
Sat 10/12 Hawai'i vs Boise State+21.060.0L 7 - 28UY
Sat 10/19 Hawai'i at Washington State+18.555.5L 10 - 42UN
Sat 10/26 Hawai'i vs Nevada-2.542.0W 34 - 13OY
Sat 11/2 Hawai'i at Fresno State+12.045.5W 21 - 20UY
Sat 11/9 Hawai'i vs UNLV+12.051.5L 27 - 29OY
Sat 11/16 Hawai'i at Utah State-2.562.0L 10 - 55ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30 Hawai'i vs New Mexico+6.561.5W 38 - 30OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1

Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV#38 (.27)43% (58)35.440% (101)3.17 (58)17446% (28)2394.19 (40)#115 (.26)42% (65)21.341% (52)43% (93)4.08 (94)61.81.41.9
HAW#94 (.14)41% (82)22.340% (98)2.79 (119)7642% (64)2763.22 (111)#102 (.24)43% (84)2644% (77)43% (88)4.14 (101)56.41.81.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
HAW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Offense1435.428.842.5%4.191.4204131742394.554%45%40%46%13%.27
HAW Defense132619.643.2%4.141.1 - - - - - 57%43%44%43%16%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Defense1421.321.741.7%4.081.9 - - - - - 53%46%41%43%13%.26
HAW Offense1322.327.141%3.221.819352762763.134%65%40%42%18%.14

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UNLV1428:0620.349%45%6.961.81.41.941.4133.1
Hawai'i1329:3919.337%52%6.256.41.81.15.21.7029.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense1454% (36)40% (101)38.4173.54.539 (2).2 (40)3.17 (58)76% (43)8% (29)1.18 (3)
HAW Defense1357% (127)44% (77) - - - - .17 (87)3.16 (83)75% (82)10% (66)1.06 (94)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense1453% (109)41% (52) - - - - .11 (50)3.1 (69)78% (101)8% (113)0.95 (42)
HAW Offense1334% (133)40% (98)24.976.13.16 (133).09 (103)2.79 (119)62% (126)11% (90)1 (67)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense1445% (96)46% (28)17.928.9239.28.313.317 (85)12 (85).37 (30)1.6 (56)32% (81)33% (43).4 (44)5% (42)2.1 (59)
HAW Defense1343% (7)43% (88) - - - - - - 7 (111).38 (114)1.7 (110)31% (89)31% (80).4 (107)6% (58)2.1 (84)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense1446% (24)43% (93) - - - - - - 17 (3).48 (133)1.9 (133)33% (52)29% (55).32 (72)4% (128)2.1 (69)
HAW Offense1365% (2)42% (64)25.941.3276.46.710.727 (25)15 (116).2 (94)1.5 (104)34% (96)32% (62).33 (69)7% (100)2 (84)

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: 4.14 #46
UNLV's Offense Rating: 18.48 #81
UNLV's Defense Rating: 5.05 #27
2024 Talent Rating: 504.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
UNLV's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
UNLV's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #36
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #31
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #55

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: 4.14   Hawai'i: -5.52

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: 9.3   Hawai'i: -10.9




Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -5.52 #84
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 22.60 #45
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 9.27 #68
2024 Talent Rating: 422.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Hawai'i's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Hawai'i's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.9 #107
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #108
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #89

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


UNLV Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

UNLV's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 32
Hawai'i 20


Projected Total Points: 53
Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.1
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Hawai'i's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Hawai'i27UNLV29UNLVUNLV -12.0Hawai'i51.5Over
202309/30UNLV44Hawai'i20UNLVUNLV -10.5UNLV58.5Over
202211/19Hawai'i31UNLV25Hawai'iUNLV -11Hawai'i56.5Under
202111/13UNLV27Hawai'i13UNLVHawai'i -3.5UNLV55.5Under
202012/12Hawai'i38UNLV21Hawai'iHawai'i -19.5UNLV60.0Under
201911/16UNLV7Hawai'i21Hawai'iHawai'i -6.5Hawai'i72.5Under
201811/17Hawai'i35UNLV28Hawai'iHawai'i -6Hawai'i71.0Under
201711/04UNLV31Hawai'i23UNLVUNLV -7UNLV59.5Under
201610/15Hawai'i38UNLV41UNLVHawai'i -10UNLV54.0Over
201511/07UNLV41Hawai'i21UNLVUNLV -6UNLV53.5Over
201411/22Hawai'i37UNLV35Hawai'iHawai'i -8UNLV0
201310/12UNLV39Hawai'i37UNLVUNLV -7Hawai'i0
201211/24Hawai'i48UNLV10Hawai'i
201109/17UNLV40Hawai'i20UNLV
201012/04Hawai'i59UNLV21Hawai'i
200909/19UNLV34Hawai'i33UNLV
200709/15UNLV14Hawai'i49Hawai'i
200609/16Hawai'i42UNLV13Hawai'i
200309/19UNLV33Hawai'i22UNLV
200012/01Hawai'i32UNLV34UNLV
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Hawai'i954 Overs
UNLV1176 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 57 - 54 - 43 - 1
Road Teams5 - 155 - 71 - 34 - 4

(#46) UNLV Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.14 #46
Offense Rating: 18.48 #81
Defense Rating: 5.05 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #31
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #55
Talent Rating: 504.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.26 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.05 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


UNLV Notes
(12/12) Hired HC Dan Mullen? Feels like a lazy hire
(11/25) 3 str W's, beat Nevada = MWC title gm vs Boise
(11/18) Beat Haw,SDSU. Rgame/QB great, Def good
(10/26) Even w/ Boise, Run D good, TO and late D cost
(10/23) WR R White gets 44% of targets, #1 in CFB
(9/28) Killed Fresno, Rgame great, QB Williams eff
(9/25) QB Sluka no longer with team (redshirt/portal)
(9/13) 2-0 vs B12, great W at Kan. Outgained but TOs won
(9/1) Great W @ Houston, bullied lines, 195 (4.1) vs 38 (1.5)
(7/31) New QBs Sluka/Williams (FCS/mobiles) will be great
UNLV     Ratings Matchup     Hawai'i
Power #46
#84
Off #81
#45
Def #27
#68
Talent #96
#113
SP+ #36
#107
SP+ Off #31
#108
SP+ Def #55
#89

Rematch from Week 11
UNLV 12.0 (51.5)
UNLV won at Hawai'i this year (29-27)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Hawai'i last year (29-27)
UNLV beat Hawai'i in 2023 (44-20)
Hawai'i beat UNLV in 2022 (31-25)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 78° - Wind: 23 mph


Team Information
Injuries: UNLV | HAW
Depth Chart: UNLV | HAW
Rosters: UNLV | HAW
(#84) Hawai'i Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.52 #84
Offense Rating: 22.60 #45
Defense Rating: 9.27 #68
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.9 #107
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #108
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #89
Talent Rating: 422.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.81 PPO
Avg Run Success 46%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Hawai'i Notes
(11/3) 2 straight W's, big upset of Fresno. Corner turn?
(11/3) QB Schager was OK, Def outstanding in Fresno W
(10/27) Still Pass 64% Rgame good, 246 yds, 6.3 ypc (Nev)
(10/4) Off awful vs FBS so far. Def has been v good
(8/11) Star WR McBride suspended indefinitely
(7/30) Chang has most exp'd team and needs a good year
(7/30) 15 returning starters. QB Schager JAG+ / mobility
(7/30) WR's really good, OL exp'd, RB's meh
(7/30) 2 FCS games, need 7 wins to bowl in '24
(7/30) Def is exp'd and MW avg LY.


  
UNLV's OC Brennan Marion
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hajj-Malik Williams (Tr)15025260%19411957.7
Matthew Sluka (Tr)214844%318616.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jai'Den Thomas16191575.754
Hajj-Malik Williams (Tr)16185195.371
Kylin James (Tr)8965357.386
Matthew Sluka (Tr)3925316.546
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob De Jesus36512314.243
Jaden Bradley (Tr)9173119.242
Kaleo Ballungay1715268.929
Casey Cain (Tr)7136219.450

View UNLV's Full Roster
UNLV's DC Michael Scherer
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jett Elad845126
Jalen Catalon (Tr)775213
Mani Powell (Tr)589440
Antonio Doyle Jr. (Tr)568743
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fisher Camac4615815
Antonio Doyle Jr. (Tr)568743
Mani Powell (Tr)589440
Marsel McDuffie468214
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jett Elad845126
Fisher Camac4615815
Tony Grimes (Tr)200015

Hawai'i's OC Timmy Chang
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Micah Alejado497070%585608.4
John-Keawe Sagapolutele4757%42026.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Landon Sims7135114.929
Tylan Hines3916204.215
Cam Barfield (Tr)3315804.821
Christian Vaughn1710906.430
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nicholas Cenacle63721611.462
Pofele Ashlock61629610.330
Dekel Crowdus (Tr)16402425.174
Spencer Curtis19244012.828

View Hawai'i's Full Roster
Hawai'i's DC Dennis Thurman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamih Otis555220
Logan Taylor521000
Elijah Robinson5111510
Peter Manuma430003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackie Johnson III205550
Elijah Robinson5111510
Malachi Finau194310
Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina133200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Brown242007
Elijah Palmer325005
Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen331004