Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at New Mexico State Aggies
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (6:00 PM EST)
Western Kentucky -18.0 (53.5) (-950) Open: -17.5 | 51.5
Western Kentucky 41 - New Mexico State: 28 (Conference USA)
Hilltoppers (8 - 6) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (40 - 26)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (25 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 6 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Coach Tyson Helton (40 - 26)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (25 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 6 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Our Line: Western Kentucky -14 (SP+ WKU -17)
Projected Score: WKU: 35 - NMSU: 21 (54)
WKU Win prob: 91% | Cover: 49%
WKU Travel: 1195 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Projected Score: WKU: 35 - NMSU: 21 (54)
WKU Win prob: 91% | Cover: 49%
WKU Travel: 1195 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Aggies (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tony Sanchez (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Coach Tony Sanchez (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
| Western Kentucky's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Western Kentucky at Alabama | +31.0 | 60.0 | L 0 - 63 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Western Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky | -18.5 | 59.5 | W 31 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee | -10.5 | 53.5 | W 49 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Western Kentucky vs Toledo | +2.0 | 60.5 | W 26 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Western Kentucky at Boston College | +7.5 | 48.0 | L 20 - 21 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/10 | Western Kentucky vs UTEP | -19.0 | 55.5 | W 44 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Wed 10/16 | Western Kentucky at Sam Houston | +1.5 | 55.0 | W 31 - 14 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/30 | Western Kentucky vs Kennesaw State | -24.0 | 49.0 | W 31 - 14 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Western Kentucky at New Mexico State | -18.0 | 53.5 | W 41 - 28 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech | -11.5 | 52.5 | L 7 - 12 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Western Kentucky at Liberty | +1.0 | 56.5 | L 21 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Western Kentucky vs Jacksonville State | +0.5 | 62.5 | W 19 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Fri 12/6 | Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State | +4.5 | 58.5 | L 12 - 52 | O | N | |
| Wed 12/18 | Western Kentucky vs James Madison | +7.5 | 50.5 | L 17 - 27 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| New Mexico State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | New Mexico State vs Southeast Missouri State | -9.5 | 52.5 | W 23 - 16 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | New Mexico State vs Liberty | +22.5 | 54.5 | L 24 - 30 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | New Mexico State at Fresno State | +19.5 | 48.5 | L 0 - 48 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | New Mexico State at Sam Houston | +15.5 | 44.5 | L 11 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | New Mexico State vs New Mexico | +9.5 | 54.0 | L 40 - 50 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/9 | New Mexico State at Jacksonville State | +21.0 | 58.5 | L 13 - 54 | O | N | |
| Tue 10/15 | New Mexico State vs Louisiana Tech | +12.5 | 49.0 | W 33 - 30 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/29 | New Mexico State vs Florida International | +7.0 | 43.5 | L 13 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky | +18.0 | 53.5 | L 28 - 41 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | New Mexico State at Texas A&M | +38.5 | 54.5 | L 3 - 38 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | New Mexico State at Middle Tennessee | +3.5 | 54.0 | W 36 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | New Mexico State vs UTEP | -3.5 | 51.5 | L 35 - 42 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 4, Poor: 2
Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 4, Poor: 2
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU | #47 (.22) | 40% (92) | 24.9 | 38% (119) | 3.07 (78) | 107 | 41% (70) | 295 | 4.95 (6) | #81 (.2) | 44% (98) | 24.6 | 48% (121) | 41% (53) | 4 (87) | 36.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| NMSU | #29 (.28) | 47% (17) | 21.6 | 52% (7) | 3.57 (5) | 199 | 42% (61) | 214 | 3.98 (59) | #91 (.22) | 45% (103) | 36.3 | 46% (96) | 44% (96) | 3.73 (63) | 58.3 | 1 | 0.9 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| NMSU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Offense | 13 | 24.9 | 24.9 | 40% | 4.95 | 1.8 | 20 | 402 | 107 | 295 | 3.9 | 38% | 61% | 38% | 41% | 16% | .22 |
| NMSU Defense | 15 | 36.3 | 34.8 | 44.5% | 3.73 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 52% | 46% | 44% | 16% | .22 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Defense | 13 | 24.6 | 33.9 | 44% | 4 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 47% | 48% | 41% | 14% | .2 |
| NMSU Offense | 15 | 21.6 | 30.5 | 47.3% | 3.98 | 1 | 20 | 412 | 199 | 214 | 5.7 | 55% | 45% | 52% | 42% | 14% | .28 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Kentucky | 13 | 29:32 | 20.2 | 43% | 62% | 4.5 | 36.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 4.4 | 2 | 1 | 28.2 |
| New Mexico State | 15 | 31:28 | 20.5 | 43% | 58% | 6.2 | 58.3 | 1 | 0.9 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 28.2 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Offense | 13 | 38% (128) | 38% (119) | 27.5 | 106.6 | 3.9 | 12 (116) | .06 (117) | 3.07 (78) | 76% (45) | 8% (23) | 0.93 (99) |
| NMSU Defense | 15 | 47% (33) | 46% (96) | - | - | - | - | .2 (103) | 3.21 (95) | 74% (73) | 10% (70) | 1.02 (80) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Defense | 13 | 52% (94) | 48% (121) | - | - | - | - | .19 (98) | 3.47 (125) | 73% (65) | 9% (109) | 0.96 (45) |
| NMSU Offense | 15 | 55% (31) | 52% (7) | 35.1 | 198.6 | 5.7 | 22 (51) | .27 (11) | 3.57 (5) | 81% (17) | 8% (35) | 0.96 (92) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Offense | 13 | 61% (6) | 41% (70) | 26.4 | 41.5 | 295.2 | 7.1 | 11.2 | 38 (3) | 14 (107) | .35 (42) | 1.7 (29) | 33% (90) | 31% (69) | .39 (46) | 9% (128) | 2.4 (4) |
| NMSU Defense | 15 | 52% (108) | 44% (96) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (111) | .25 (53) | 1.5 (20) | 29% (114) | 30% (67) | .38 (102) | 6% (83) | 2.3 (121) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Defense | 13 | 47% (37) | 41% (53) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 15 (15) | .27 (64) | 1.6 (69) | 31% (80) | 32% (99) | .37 (97) | 6% (81) | 1.9 (26) |
| NMSU Offense | 15 | 45% (100) | 42% (61) | 15.7 | 26.2 | 213.7 | 8.2 | 13.6 | 28 (23) | 10 (56) | .33 (52) | 1.7 (32) | 29% (15) | 34% (40) | .42 (41) | 6% (61) | 2 (68) |
Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -8.09 #92
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 19.32 #71
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 11.86 #86
2024 Talent Rating: 406.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Western Kentucky's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 6.0
Western Kentucky's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #78
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #101
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #62
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -8.09 #92
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 19.32 #71
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 11.86 #86
2024 Talent Rating: 406.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Western Kentucky's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 6.0
Western Kentucky's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #78
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #101
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #62
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -8.09 New Mexico State: -19.115
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -2.2 New Mexico State: -19.0
Western Kentucky: -8.09 New Mexico State: -19.115
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -2.2 New Mexico State: -19.0
New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -19.115 #129
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 14.52 #111
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 16.79 #119
2024 Talent Rating: 260.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
New Mexico State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
New Mexico State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -19.115 #129
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 14.52 #111
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 16.79 #119
2024 Talent Rating: 260.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
New Mexico State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
New Mexico State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.9
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.9
Western Kentucky's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.9
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.9
Western Kentucky's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 35
New Mexico State 21
Projected Total Points: 54
Western Kentucky 35
New Mexico State 21
Projected Total Points: 54
New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.8
New Mexico State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.8
New Mexico State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/09 | New Mexico State | 28 | Western Kentucky | 41 | Western Kentucky | Western Kentucky -18.0 | New Mexico State | 53.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/11 | Western Kentucky | 29 | New Mexico State | 38 | New Mexico State | Western Kentucky -4.5 | New Mexico State | 55.5 | Over |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State | 1 | 2 | 2 Overs |
| Western Kentucky | 1 | 0 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 0 - 2 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 1 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 2 - 0 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 1 - 0 |
(#92) Western Kentucky Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.09 #92
Offense Rating: 19.32 #71
Defense Rating: 11.86 #86
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #78
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #101
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #62
Talent Rating: 406.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.66 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Western Kentucky Notes
(12/2) Veltkamp good in Jax St upset, great 3rd down D
(11/25) 2 str L's as R Def mauled by Lib. Likely out race
(11/18) Shocking L to La Tech, Off esp Rgame awful
(11/18) Def all. 209 yds, 4.3 ypc to La Tech? 2-11 on 3rd
(11/1) Beating CUSA teams by 3 TD's, 20 ppg margin Oct
(10/16) Even w/ SHSU until backup QB. Vetlkamp great W
(10/10) Def #'s skewed by Bama game. Not great but Avg
(10/4) QB Veltkamp has WR options, Rgame v bad so far
(9/28) Outgained/played BC. 3 TOs killer. Veltkamp OK
(9/23) Big W over Tol. 3-12 on 3rd but forced 4 TOs
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.09 #92
Offense Rating: 19.32 #71
Defense Rating: 11.86 #86
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #78
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #101
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #62
Talent Rating: 406.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.66 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Western Kentucky Notes
(12/2) Veltkamp good in Jax St upset, great 3rd down D
(11/25) 2 str L's as R Def mauled by Lib. Likely out race
(11/18) Shocking L to La Tech, Off esp Rgame awful
(11/18) Def all. 209 yds, 4.3 ypc to La Tech? 2-11 on 3rd
(11/1) Beating CUSA teams by 3 TD's, 20 ppg margin Oct
(10/16) Even w/ SHSU until backup QB. Vetlkamp great W
(10/10) Def #'s skewed by Bama game. Not great but Avg
(10/4) QB Veltkamp has WR options, Rgame v bad so far
(9/28) Outgained/played BC. 3 TOs killer. Veltkamp OK
(9/23) Big W over Tol. 3-12 on 3rd but forced 4 TOs
Power #92
#129Off #71
#111Def #86
#119Talent #116
#129SP+ #78
#125SP+ Off #101
#120SP+ Def #62
#127Rematch from Week 11
Western Kentucky 18.0 (53.5)
Western Kentucky won at New Mexico State this year (41-28)
Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat New Mexico State last year (41-28)
New Mexico State beat Western Kentucky in 2023 (38-29)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 62°
Team Information
Injuries: WKU | NMSU
Depth Chart: WKU | NMSU
Rosters: WKU | NMSU
(#129) New Mexico State Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -19.115 #129
Offense Rating: 14.52 #111
Defense Rating: 16.79 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127
Talent Rating: 260.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.8 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
New Mexico State Notes
(10/22) Def stop rate 48% (#122) into week 9
(10/16) Better @ home. Rgame good in La Tech upset
(10/9) Team is unbettable. Sanchez is a clown hire
(10/4) Run D allowed 330+ yds (N.M.), Pass Off near worst
(9/29) OC Wright suspended after ugly social media posts
(9/9) Hung w/ Liberty but outgained > 200 yds.
(7/30) Roster decimated by portal & staff TO, 1 Def starter
(7/30) 4/5 OL Return w/ expl. RB's. Only bright spot
(7/30) Forget Kill years, no team will step back more TY
(7/30) 4 way QB battle? Will roster have enough bodies?
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -19.115 #129
Offense Rating: 14.52 #111
Defense Rating: 16.79 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127
Talent Rating: 260.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.8 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
New Mexico State Notes
(10/22) Def stop rate 48% (#122) into week 9
(10/16) Better @ home. Rgame good in La Tech upset
(10/9) Team is unbettable. Sanchez is a clown hire
(10/4) Run D allowed 330+ yds (N.M.), Pass Off near worst
(9/29) OC Wright suspended after ugly social media posts
(9/9) Hung w/ Liberty but outgained > 200 yds.
(7/30) Roster decimated by portal & staff TO, 1 Def starter
(7/30) 4/5 OL Return w/ expl. RB's. Only bright spot
(7/30) Forget Kill years, no team will step back more TY
(7/30) 4 way QB battle? Will roster have enough bodies?
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Veltkamp | 258 | 389 | 66% | 3108 | 25 | 10 | 8.0 |
| TJ Finley (Tr) | 48 | 75 | 64% | 490 | 1 | 2 | 6.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Hart III (Tr) | 44 | 204 | 2 | 4.6 | 30 |
| Caden Veltkamp | 113 | 150 | 7 | 1.3 | 25 |
| LT Sanders | 21 | 103 | 1 | 4.9 | 31 |
| Jalen Hampton (Tr) | 11 | 57 | 0 | 5.2 | 14 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kisean Johnson (Tr) | 75 | 925 | 7 | 12.3 | 51 |
| Easton Messer | 55 | 793 | 4 | 14.4 | 64 |
| K.D. Hutchinson | 26 | 392 | 3 | 15.1 | 74 |
| River Helms | 19 | 228 | 2 | 12.0 | 33 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonte' Mathews (Tr) | 99 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Keyshawn Swanson (Tr) | 63 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Hosea Wheeler | 62 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Chandler Matthews (Tr) | 59 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Thomas | 54 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Kylan Guidry | 45 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Hosea Wheeler | 62 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Deante McCray | 55 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Johnson Jr. | 48 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Kent Robinson (Tr) | 33 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Zach Edwards (Tr) | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Awad | 74 | 159 | 47% | 1079 | 7 | 4 | 6.8 |
| Santino Marucci (Tr) | 49 | 112 | 44% | 519 | 3 | 5 | 4.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth McGowan | 153 | 813 | 3 | 5.3 | 38 |
| Michael Washington | 158 | 713 | 8 | 4.5 | 47 |
| Santino Marucci (Tr) | 37 | 131 | 1 | 3.5 | 38 |
| Larenzo McMillan | 7 | 111 | 1 | 15.9 | 84 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Pride | 34 | 374 | 2 | 11.0 | 53 |
| Glynn Johnson Jr | 19 | 346 | 2 | 18.2 | 54 |
| Seth McGowan | 23 | 277 | 3 | 12.0 | 43 |
| Jordan Smith | 8 | 110 | 0 | 13.8 | 21 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Martinez | 94 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Da'Marcus Crosby | 81 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Tayden Barnes | 57 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Sone Aupiu | 55 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kale Edwards (Tr) | 36 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Noah Arinze | 16 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Tyler Martinez | 94 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Malaki Ta'ase | 33 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayden Barnes | 57 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Dakerric Hobbs (Tr) | 36 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Sone Aupiu | 55 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 |