New Mexico State Aggies at Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Wednesday, October 9th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Jacksonville State -21 (58.5) (-1600) Open: -20.5
Jacksonville State 54 - New Mexico State: 13 (Conference USA)
Aggies (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tony Sanchez (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (13 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
Coach Tony Sanchez (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (13 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
NMSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Jacksonville State -20.5 (SP+ JVST -18)
Projected Score: NMSU: 19 - JVST: 39 (58)
JVST Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
NMSU Travel: 1217 miles, 1 hrs behind
Our Line: Jacksonville State -20.5 (SP+ JVST -18)
Projected Score: NMSU: 19 - JVST: 39 (58)
JVST Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
NMSU Travel: 1217 miles, 1 hrs behind
Gamecocks (9 - 5) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (18 - 6)
Avg Score : 36 - 26 (39 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (18 - 6)
Avg Score : 36 - 26 (39 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
| New Mexico State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | New Mexico State vs Southeast Missouri State | -9.5 | 52.5 | W 23 - 16 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | New Mexico State vs Liberty | +22.5 | 54.5 | L 24 - 30 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | New Mexico State at Fresno State | +19.5 | 48.5 | L 0 - 48 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | New Mexico State at Sam Houston | +15.5 | 44.5 | L 11 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | New Mexico State vs New Mexico | +9.5 | 54.0 | L 40 - 50 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/9 | New Mexico State at Jacksonville State | +21.0 | 58.5 | L 13 - 54 | O | N | |
| Tue 10/15 | New Mexico State vs Louisiana Tech | +12.5 | 49.0 | W 33 - 30 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/29 | New Mexico State vs Florida International | +7.0 | 43.5 | L 13 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky | +18.0 | 53.5 | L 28 - 41 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | New Mexico State at Texas A&M | +38.5 | 54.5 | L 3 - 38 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | New Mexico State at Middle Tennessee | +3.5 | 54.0 | W 36 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | New Mexico State vs UTEP | -3.5 | 51.5 | L 35 - 42 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
| Jacksonville State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Jacksonville State vs Coastal Carolina | -3.5 | 54.5 | L 27 - 55 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Jacksonville State at Louisville | +27.5 | 56.5 | L 14 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Jacksonville State at Eastern Michigan | -2.5 | 53.5 | L 34 - 37 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Jacksonville State vs Southern Miss | -6.0 | 59.5 | W 44 - 7 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/4 | Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State | -17.5 | 49.5 | W 63 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Wed 10/9 | Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State | -21.0 | 58.5 | W 54 - 13 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/23 | Jacksonville State vs Middle Tennessee | -20.5 | 64.5 | W 42 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Wed 10/30 | Jacksonville State at Liberty | +2.5 | 64.0 | W 31 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Jacksonville State at Louisiana Tech | -10.0 | 55.5 | W 44 - 37 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Jacksonville State vs Florida International | -12.5 | 58.5 | W 34 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Jacksonville State vs Sam Houston | -5.5 | 57.5 | W 21 - 11 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky | -0.5 | 62.5 | L 17 - 19 | U | N | |
| Fri 12/6 | Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky | -4.5 | 58.5 | W 52 - 12 | O | Y | |
| Fri 12/20 | Jacksonville State vs Ohio | +6.5 | 57.5 | L 27 - 30 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Predictions for Jacksonville State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU | #119 (.08) | 39% (106) | 21.6 | 46% (41) | 3.33 (21) | 179 | 30% (132) | 143 | 3.8 (82) | #115 (.26) | 41% (64) | 36.3 | 43% (69) | 40% (68) | 3.7 (60) | 48.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| JVST | #22 (.27) | 45% (35) | 36 | 49% (18) | 3.36 (17) | 254 | 40% (95) | 189 | 4.85 (3) | #55 (.14) | 43% (84) | 26.1 | 44% (79) | 43% (85) | 3.81 (70) | 58.4 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU | #119 (.08) | 39% (106) | 46% (41) | 3.33 (21) | 179 | 30% (132) | 143 | 3.8 (82) | #115 (.26) | 41% (64) | 43% (69) | 40% (68) | 3.7 (60) | 48.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 | ||
| JVST | #22 (.27) | 45% (35) | 49% (18) | 3.36 (17) | 254 | 40% (95) | 189 | 4.85 (3) | #55 (.14) | 43% (84) | 44% (79) | 43% (85) | 3.81 (70) | 58.4 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU Offense | 12 | 21.6 | 12.6 | 39.3% | 3.8 | 1.9 | 19 | 322 | 179 | 143 | 4.4 | 58% | 42% | 46% | 30% | 18% | .08 |
| JVST Defense | 14 | 26.1 | 21.3 | 43.2% | 3.81 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 46% | 44% | 43% | 16% | .14 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU Defense | 12 | 36.3 | 38.4 | 41.3% | 3.7 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 50% | 43% | 40% | 12% | .26 |
| JVST Offense | 14 | 36 | 39.1 | 45.2% | 4.85 | 1.1 | 23 | 443 | 254 | 189 | 5.5 | 64% | 36% | 49% | 40% | 11% | .27 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State | 12 | 29:26 | 19.3 | 38% | 38% | 5.4 | 48.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 1 | 27 |
| Jacksonville State | 14 | 26:57 | 22.6 | 41% | 54% | 6 | 58.4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 5.6 | 1.7 | 1 | 28.5 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU Offense | 12 | 58% (20) | 46% (41) | 41.3 | 179.3 | 4.4 | 16 (90) | .11 (81) | 3.33 (21) | 77% (37) | 11% (103) | 0.98 (61) |
| JVST Defense | 14 | 54% (108) | 44% (79) | - | - | - | - | .09 (52) | 3.01 (72) | 63% (20) | 10% (59) | 0.88 (22) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU Defense | 12 | 50% (55) | 43% (69) | - | - | - | - | .18 (98) | 3.17 (93) | 58% (5) | 7% (134) | 1.04 (95) |
| JVST Offense | 14 | 64% (4) | 49% (18) | 45.9 | 253.6 | 5.5 | 51 (1) | .25 (15) | 3.36 (17) | 67% (107) | 8% (23) | 1.07 (32) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU Offense | 12 | 42% (116) | 30% (132) | 11.8 | 26.7 | 143.2 | 5.4 | 12.2 | 12 (118) | 12 (85) | .05 (128) | 1.8 (17) | 33% (100) | 30% (87) | .13 (131) | 7% (104) | 1.7 (132) |
| JVST Defense | 14 | 46% (27) | 43% (85) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (39) | .21 (55) | 1.5 (56) | 30% (102) | 33% (105) | .36 (92) | 6% (63) | 2 (45) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU Defense | 12 | 50% (76) | 40% (68) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (76) | .36 (118) | 1.9 (132) | 31% (80) | 29% (42) | .42 (107) | 6% (78) | 2.3 (126) |
| JVST Offense | 14 | 36% (131) | 40% (95) | 13.4 | 22.3 | 189.4 | 8.5 | 14.1 | 14 (108) | 7 (26) | .33 (35) | 1.9 (5) | 27% (10) | 32% (65) | .33 (72) | 3% (8) | 2.1 (51) |
New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -24.23 #129
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 14.52 #111
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 16.79 #119
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
New Mexico State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
New Mexico State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -24.23 #129
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 14.52 #111
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 16.79 #119
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
New Mexico State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
New Mexico State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -24.23 Jacksonville State: -0.895
SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -19.0 Jacksonville State: -1.0
New Mexico State: -24.23 Jacksonville State: -0.895
SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -19.0 Jacksonville State: -1.0
Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: -0.895 #85
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 24.74 #21
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 10.35 #76
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Jacksonville State's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Jacksonville State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #57
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: -0.895 #85
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 24.74 #21
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 10.35 #76
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Jacksonville State's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Jacksonville State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #57
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.4
New Mexico State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.4
New Mexico State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Jacksonville State 39
New Mexico State 19
Total Points: 58
Jacksonville State 39
New Mexico State 19
Total Points: 58
Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.1
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3
Jacksonville State's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.1
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3
Jacksonville State's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/09 | Jacksonville State | 54 | New Mexico State | 13 | Jacksonville State | Jacksonville State -21 | Jacksonville State | 58.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/25 | New Mexico State | 20 | Jacksonville State | 17 | New Mexico State | New Mexico State -2 | New Mexico State | 48.5 | Under |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville State | 1 | 1 | 1 Overs |
| New Mexico State | 1 | 1 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 2 - 0 | 2 - 0 | 2 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 2 | 0 - 2 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 2 |
(#129) New Mexico State Info
Power Rating: -24.23 #129
Offense Rating: 14.52 #111
Defense Rating: 16.79 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.8 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
New Mexico State has lost 4 straight
New Mexico State has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
New Mexico State Notes
(10/22) Def stop rate 48% (#122) into week 9
(10/16) Better @ home. Rgame good in La Tech upset
(10/9) Team is unbettable. Sanchez is a clown hire
(10/4) Run D allowed 330+ yds (N.M.), Pass Off near worst
(9/29) OC Wright suspended after ugly social media posts
(9/9) Hung w/ Liberty but outgained > 200 yds.
(7/30) Roster decimated by portal & staff TO, 1 Def starter
(7/30) 4/5 OL Return w/ expl. RB's. Only bright spot
(7/30) Forget Kill years, no team will step back more TY
(7/30) 4 way QB battle? Will roster have enough bodies?
New Mexico State Highlights
New Mexico State has a top Offensive Line (#136)
New Mexico State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#136)
New Mexico State Deficiencies
New Mexico State has a bad TO Margin (#107)
New Mexico State Fumbles a Lot (#89)
New Mexico State offense is really bad (#128)
New Mexico State pass game is really bad (#73)
New Mexico State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
New Mexico State does not Sack the QB (#80)
New Mexico State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#57)
Power Rating: -24.23 #129
Offense Rating: 14.52 #111
Defense Rating: 16.79 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.8 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
New Mexico State has lost 4 straight
New Mexico State has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
New Mexico State Notes
(10/22) Def stop rate 48% (#122) into week 9
(10/16) Better @ home. Rgame good in La Tech upset
(10/9) Team is unbettable. Sanchez is a clown hire
(10/4) Run D allowed 330+ yds (N.M.), Pass Off near worst
(9/29) OC Wright suspended after ugly social media posts
(9/9) Hung w/ Liberty but outgained > 200 yds.
(7/30) Roster decimated by portal & staff TO, 1 Def starter
(7/30) 4/5 OL Return w/ expl. RB's. Only bright spot
(7/30) Forget Kill years, no team will step back more TY
(7/30) 4 way QB battle? Will roster have enough bodies?
New Mexico State Highlights
New Mexico State has a top Offensive Line (#136)
New Mexico State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#136)
New Mexico State Deficiencies
New Mexico State has a bad TO Margin (#107)
New Mexico State Fumbles a Lot (#89)
New Mexico State offense is really bad (#128)
New Mexico State pass game is really bad (#73)
New Mexico State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
New Mexico State does not Sack the QB (#80)
New Mexico State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#57)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | JVST | NMSU |
| OverallOver | #46 | #91 |
| OffenseOff | #29 | #106 |
| DefenseDef | #65 | #88 |
| Special TeamsST | #109 | #60 |
| PassingPass | #42 | #108 |
| RushingRush | #11 | #72 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #19 | #53 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #79 | #87 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #83 | #107 |
| TacklingTkl | #22 | #59 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #48 | #80 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #102 | #109 |
| Coverage DefCov | #57 | #77 |
Rematch from Week 7
Jacksonville State -21.0 (58.5)
Jacksonville State won vs New Mexico State this year (54-13)
Previous Matchups
Jacksonville State beat New Mexico State last year (54-13)
New Mexico State beat Jacksonville State in 2023 (20-17)
Weather Forecast
Playing in JSU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: NMSU | JVST
Depth Chart: NMSU | JVST
Rosters: NMSU | JVST
(#85) Jacksonville State Info
Power Rating: -0.895 #85
Offense Rating: 24.74 #21
Defense Rating: 10.35 #76
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 36%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.85 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.81 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Jacksonville State has won 2 straight
Jacksonville State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (5 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Jacksonville State Notes
(12/2) Rgame good, Pass bad, 2-13 on 3rd, QB Huff hurt
(12/2) L to WKU, held to 13 1st downs (season low)
(12/1) QB Huff inj (ankle) in finale. ? in CUSA title gm
(11/25) Rgame mauled Sam H, clinched CUSA title game
(11/18) Fight w/ FIU? Def awful esp Run, Rgame great
(11/1) 4-0, avg 28 ppg margin in Oct, although lowering
(10/30) RB Steward 232 yds, 8.6, 4 TD in Liberty upset
(10/30) Won five straight after bad 0-3 start to '24
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 15 Def TO's, 3rd in CFB
(10/4) Killed S Miss. Off improving, QB Huff dual threat
Jacksonville State Highlights
Jacksonville State has Really Good Running Game (#12)
Jacksonville State offense is explosive (#46)
Jacksonville State has a top Offensive Line (#46)
Jacksonville State offense is good in red zone (#67)
Jacksonville State defense does not give up big plays (#134)
Jacksonville State Deficiencies
Jacksonville State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#16)
Power Rating: -0.895 #85
Offense Rating: 24.74 #21
Defense Rating: 10.35 #76
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 36%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.85 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.81 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Jacksonville State has won 2 straight
Jacksonville State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (5 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Jacksonville State Notes
(12/2) Rgame good, Pass bad, 2-13 on 3rd, QB Huff hurt
(12/2) L to WKU, held to 13 1st downs (season low)
(12/1) QB Huff inj (ankle) in finale. ? in CUSA title gm
(11/25) Rgame mauled Sam H, clinched CUSA title game
(11/18) Fight w/ FIU? Def awful esp Run, Rgame great
(11/1) 4-0, avg 28 ppg margin in Oct, although lowering
(10/30) RB Steward 232 yds, 8.6, 4 TD in Liberty upset
(10/30) Won five straight after bad 0-3 start to '24
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 15 Def TO's, 3rd in CFB
(10/4) Killed S Miss. Off improving, QB Huff dual threat
Jacksonville State Highlights
Jacksonville State has Really Good Running Game (#12)
Jacksonville State offense is explosive (#46)
Jacksonville State has a top Offensive Line (#46)
Jacksonville State offense is good in red zone (#67)
Jacksonville State defense does not give up big plays (#134)
Jacksonville State Deficiencies
Jacksonville State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#16)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Awad | 74 | 159 | 47% | 1079 | 7 | 4 | 6.8 |
| Santino Marucci (Tr) | 49 | 112 | 44% | 519 | 3 | 5 | 4.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth McGowan | 153 | 813 | 3 | 5.3 | 38 |
| Michael Washington | 158 | 713 | 8 | 4.5 | 47 |
| Santino Marucci (Tr) | 37 | 131 | 1 | 3.5 | 38 |
| Larenzo McMillan | 7 | 111 | 1 | 15.9 | 84 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Pride | 34 | 374 | 2 | 11.0 | 53 |
| Glynn Johnson Jr | 19 | 346 | 2 | 18.2 | 54 |
| Seth McGowan | 23 | 277 | 3 | 12.0 | 43 |
| Kordell David | 18 | 191 | 0 | 10.6 | 38 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Martinez | 94 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Da'Marcus Crosby | 81 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Tayden Barnes | 57 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Sone Aupiu | 55 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddha Peleti | 20 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| Kale Edwards (Tr) | 36 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Noah Arinze | 16 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Tyler Martinez | 94 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dakerric Hobbs (Tr) | 36 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Tayden Barnes | 57 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Sone Aupiu | 55 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Huff (Tr) | 178 | 293 | 61% | 2543 | 14 | 7 | 8.7 |
| Logan Smothers | 11 | 19 | 58% | 123 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Stewart | 279 | 1636 | 25 | 5.9 | 75 |
| Tyler Huff (Tr) | 227 | 1344 | 15 | 5.9 | 51 |
| Logan Smothers | 22 | 175 | 3 | 8.0 | 72 |
| Andrew Paul (Tr) | 38 | 166 | 4 | 4.4 | 28 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Vaughn | 49 | 804 | 5 | 16.4 | 75 |
| Michael Pettway | 25 | 454 | 3 | 18.2 | 92 |
| Brock Rechsteiner | 16 | 241 | 2 | 15.1 | 85 |
| Tre Stewart | 17 | 233 | 1 | 13.7 | 50 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Perry | 109 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Antonio Carter II (Tr) | 103 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Reginald Hughes (Tr) | 83 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| Laletia Hale | 80 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reginald Hughes (Tr) | 83 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| Laletia Hale | 80 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Jaylen Swain | 44 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Fred Perry | 109 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Mack | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| Zechariah Poyser | 77 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Geimere Latimer | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |