Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Friday, December 6th 2024 (7:00 PM EST)
Jacksonville State -4.5 (58.5) (-185) Open: -4.0 | 58.5
Jacksonville State 52 - Western Kentucky: 12 (Conference USA Championship)
Hilltoppers (8 - 6) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (40 - 26)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (25 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 6 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Tyson Helton (40 - 26)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (25 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 6 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
JVST is playing their 7th straight game
WKU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Jacksonville State -4.5 (SP+ JVST -1)
Projected Score: WKU: 27 - JVST: 31 (58)
JVST Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
WKU Travel: 222 miles
WKU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Jacksonville State -4.5 (SP+ JVST -1)
Projected Score: WKU: 27 - JVST: 31 (58)
JVST Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
WKU Travel: 222 miles
Gamecocks (9 - 5) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (18 - 6)
Avg Score : 36 - 26 (39 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (18 - 6)
Avg Score : 36 - 26 (39 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
| Western Kentucky's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Western Kentucky at Alabama | +31.0 | 60.0 | L 0 - 63 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Western Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky | -18.5 | 59.5 | W 31 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee | -10.5 | 53.5 | W 49 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Western Kentucky vs Toledo | +2.0 | 60.5 | W 26 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Western Kentucky at Boston College | +7.5 | 48.0 | L 20 - 21 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/10 | Western Kentucky vs UTEP | -19.0 | 55.5 | W 44 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Wed 10/16 | Western Kentucky at Sam Houston | +1.5 | 55.0 | W 31 - 14 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/30 | Western Kentucky vs Kennesaw State | -24.0 | 49.0 | W 31 - 14 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Western Kentucky at New Mexico State | -18.0 | 53.5 | W 41 - 28 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech | -11.5 | 52.5 | L 7 - 12 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Western Kentucky at Liberty | +1.0 | 56.5 | L 21 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Western Kentucky vs Jacksonville State | +0.5 | 62.5 | W 19 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Fri 12/6 | Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State | +4.5 | 58.5 | L 12 - 52 | O | N | |
| Wed 12/18 | Western Kentucky vs James Madison | +7.5 | 50.5 | L 17 - 27 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 6
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 6
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
| Jacksonville State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Jacksonville State vs Coastal Carolina | -3.5 | 54.5 | L 27 - 55 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Jacksonville State at Louisville | +27.5 | 56.5 | L 14 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Jacksonville State at Eastern Michigan | -2.5 | 53.5 | L 34 - 37 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Jacksonville State vs Southern Miss | -6.0 | 59.5 | W 44 - 7 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/4 | Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State | -17.5 | 49.5 | W 63 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Wed 10/9 | Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State | -21.0 | 58.5 | W 54 - 13 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/23 | Jacksonville State vs Middle Tennessee | -20.5 | 64.5 | W 42 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Wed 10/30 | Jacksonville State at Liberty | +2.5 | 64.0 | W 31 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Jacksonville State at Louisiana Tech | -10.0 | 55.5 | W 44 - 37 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Jacksonville State vs Florida International | -12.5 | 58.5 | W 34 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Jacksonville State vs Sam Houston | -5.5 | 57.5 | W 21 - 11 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky | -0.5 | 62.5 | L 17 - 19 | U | N | |
| Fri 12/6 | Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky | -4.5 | 58.5 | W 52 - 12 | O | Y | |
| Fri 12/20 | Jacksonville State vs Ohio | +6.5 | 57.5 | L 27 - 30 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 7
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Predictions for Jacksonville State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 7
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU | #66 (.19) | 42% (83) | 24.9 | 38% (117) | 2.78 (108) | 110 | 45% (33) | 265 | 3.83 (78) | #95 (.21) | 45% (102) | 24.6 | 48% (113) | 40% (60) | 3.66 (54) | 41.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| JVST | #22 (.27) | 45% (35) | 36 | 49% (18) | 3.36 (17) | 254 | 40% (95) | 189 | 4.85 (3) | #55 (.14) | 43% (84) | 26.1 | 44% (79) | 43% (85) | 3.81 (70) | 58.4 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU | #66 (.19) | 42% (83) | 38% (117) | 2.78 (108) | 110 | 45% (33) | 265 | 3.83 (78) | #95 (.21) | 45% (102) | 48% (113) | 40% (60) | 3.66 (54) | 41.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | ||
| JVST | #22 (.27) | 45% (35) | 49% (18) | 3.36 (17) | 254 | 40% (95) | 189 | 4.85 (3) | #55 (.14) | 43% (84) | 44% (79) | 43% (85) | 3.81 (70) | 58.4 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Offense | 14 | 24.9 | 24.9 | 41.8% | 3.83 | 1.7 | 19 | 374 | 110 | 265 | 3.5 | 45% | 55% | 38% | 45% | 16% | .19 |
| JVST Defense | 14 | 26.1 | 21.3 | 43.2% | 3.81 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 46% | 44% | 43% | 16% | .14 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Defense | 14 | 24.6 | 33.9 | 44.7% | 3.66 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 63% | 36% | 48% | 40% | 13% | .21 |
| JVST Offense | 14 | 36 | 39.1 | 45.2% | 4.85 | 1.1 | 23 | 443 | 254 | 189 | 5.5 | 64% | 36% | 49% | 40% | 11% | .27 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Kentucky | 14 | 27:52 | 19.3 | 41% | 59% | 4.1 | 41.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 0 | 29.7 |
| Jacksonville State | 14 | 26:57 | 22.6 | 41% | 54% | 6 | 58.4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 5.6 | 1.7 | 1 | 28.5 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Offense | 14 | 45% (105) | 38% (117) | 31.1 | 109.7 | 3.5 | 14 (98) | .01 (121) | 2.78 (108) | 69% (100) | 11% (87) | 0.95 (75) |
| JVST Defense | 14 | 54% (108) | 44% (79) | - | - | - | - | .09 (52) | 3.01 (72) | 63% (20) | 10% (59) | 0.88 (22) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Defense | 14 | 63% (134) | 48% (113) | - | - | - | - | .19 (103) | 3.36 (116) | 77% (93) | 9% (88) | 0.9 (35) |
| JVST Offense | 14 | 64% (4) | 49% (18) | 45.9 | 253.6 | 5.5 | 51 (1) | .25 (15) | 3.36 (17) | 67% (107) | 8% (23) | 1.07 (32) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Offense | 14 | 55% (26) | 45% (33) | 22.1 | 33.5 | 264.6 | 7.9 | 12 | 28 (15) | 12 (85) | .36 (28) | 1.6 (59) | 33% (91) | 30% (91) | .29 (89) | 6% (56) | 1.9 (100) |
| JVST Defense | 14 | 46% (27) | 43% (85) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (39) | .21 (55) | 1.5 (56) | 30% (102) | 33% (105) | .36 (92) | 6% (63) | 2 (45) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Defense | 14 | 36% (1) | 40% (60) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (66) | .29 (99) | 1.8 (128) | 28% (116) | 29% (47) | .23 (37) | 3% (132) | 2.1 (92) |
| JVST Offense | 14 | 36% (131) | 40% (95) | 13.4 | 22.3 | 189.4 | 8.5 | 14.1 | 14 (108) | 7 (26) | .33 (35) | 1.9 (5) | 27% (10) | 32% (65) | .33 (72) | 3% (8) | 2.1 (51) |
Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -8.09 #92
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 19.32 #71
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 11.86 #86
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Western Kentucky's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 6.0
Western Kentucky's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #78
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #101
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #62
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -8.09 #92
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 19.32 #71
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 11.86 #86
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Western Kentucky's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 6.0
Western Kentucky's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #78
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #101
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #62
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -8.09 Jacksonville State: -0.895
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -2.2 Jacksonville State: -1.0
Western Kentucky: -8.09 Jacksonville State: -0.895
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -2.2 Jacksonville State: -1.0
Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: -0.895 #85
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 24.74 #21
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 10.35 #76
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Jacksonville State's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Jacksonville State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #57
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: -0.895 #85
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 24.74 #21
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 10.35 #76
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Jacksonville State's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Jacksonville State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #57
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.9
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.9
Western Kentucky's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.9
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.9
Western Kentucky's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Jacksonville State 31
Western Kentucky 27
Total Points: 58
Jacksonville State 31
Western Kentucky 27
Total Points: 58
Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.1
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3
Jacksonville State's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.1
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3
Jacksonville State's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/30 | Western Kentucky | 19 | Jacksonville State | 17 | Western Kentucky | Jacksonville State -0.5 | Western Kentucky | 62.5 | Under |
| 2024 | 12/06 | Jacksonville State | 52 | Western Kentucky | 12 | Jacksonville State | Jacksonville State -4.5 | Jacksonville State | 58.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 10/17 | Jacksonville State | 20 | Western Kentucky | 17 | Jacksonville State | Western Kentucky -7.5 | Jacksonville State | 60.5 | Under |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville State | 2 | 2 | 1 Overs |
| Western Kentucky | 1 | 1 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 3 - 0 | 3 - 0 | 1 - 0 | 2 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 3 | 0 - 3 | 0 - 2 | 0 - 1 |
(#92) Western Kentucky Info
Power Rating: -8.09 #92
Offense Rating: 19.32 #71
Defense Rating: 11.86 #86
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #78
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #101
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #62
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.66 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Western Kentucky has won 1 straight
Western Kentucky has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 4 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Western Kentucky Notes
(12/2) Veltkamp good in Jax St upset, great 3rd down D
(11/25) 2 str L's as R Def mauled by Lib. Likely out race
(11/18) Shocking L to La Tech, Off esp Rgame awful
(11/18) Def all. 209 yds, 4.3 ypc to La Tech? 2-11 on 3rd
(11/1) Beating CUSA teams by 3 TD's, 20 ppg margin Oct
(10/16) Even w/ SHSU until backup QB. Vetlkamp great W
(10/10) Def #'s skewed by Bama game. Not great but Avg
(10/4) QB Veltkamp has WR options, Rgame v bad so far
(9/28) Outgained/played BC. 3 TOs killer. Veltkamp OK
(9/23) Big W over Tol. 3-12 on 3rd but forced 4 TOs
Western Kentucky Highlights
Western Kentucky commits very few Penalties (#75)
Western Kentucky Deficiencies
Western Kentucky has a bad TO Margin (#82)
Western Kentucky Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Western Kentucky Can Not Run the Ball (#117)
Western Kentucky Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#114)
Western Kentucky run game is really bad (#112)
Western Kentucky has a bad defense (#37)
Western Kentucky Does Not Stuff Runs (#80)
Western Kentucky has a bad defensive line (#94)
Power Rating: -8.09 #92
Offense Rating: 19.32 #71
Defense Rating: 11.86 #86
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #78
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #101
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #62
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.66 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Western Kentucky has won 1 straight
Western Kentucky has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 4 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Western Kentucky Notes
(12/2) Veltkamp good in Jax St upset, great 3rd down D
(11/25) 2 str L's as R Def mauled by Lib. Likely out race
(11/18) Shocking L to La Tech, Off esp Rgame awful
(11/18) Def all. 209 yds, 4.3 ypc to La Tech? 2-11 on 3rd
(11/1) Beating CUSA teams by 3 TD's, 20 ppg margin Oct
(10/16) Even w/ SHSU until backup QB. Vetlkamp great W
(10/10) Def #'s skewed by Bama game. Not great but Avg
(10/4) QB Veltkamp has WR options, Rgame v bad so far
(9/28) Outgained/played BC. 3 TOs killer. Veltkamp OK
(9/23) Big W over Tol. 3-12 on 3rd but forced 4 TOs
Western Kentucky Highlights
Western Kentucky commits very few Penalties (#75)
Western Kentucky Deficiencies
Western Kentucky has a bad TO Margin (#82)
Western Kentucky Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Western Kentucky Can Not Run the Ball (#117)
Western Kentucky Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#114)
Western Kentucky run game is really bad (#112)
Western Kentucky has a bad defense (#37)
Western Kentucky Does Not Stuff Runs (#80)
Western Kentucky has a bad defensive line (#94)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | JVST | WKU |
| OverallOver | #46 | #45 |
| OffenseOff | #29 | #50 |
| DefenseDef | #65 | #62 |
| Special TeamsST | #109 | #66 |
| PassingPass | #42 | #22 |
| RushingRush | #11 | #83 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #19 | #65 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #79 | #5 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #83 | #46 |
| TacklingTkl | #22 | #5 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #48 | #77 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #102 | #37 |
| Coverage DefCov | #57 | #73 |
Rematch from Week 15
Jacksonville State -4.5 (58.5)
Jacksonville State won vs Western Kentucky this year (52-12)
Previous Matchups
Jacksonville State beat Western Kentucky last year (52-12)
Jacksonville State beat Western Kentucky in 2023 (20-17)
Weather Forecast
Playing in JSU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: WKU | JVST
Depth Chart: WKU | JVST
Rosters: WKU | JVST
(#85) Jacksonville State Info
Power Rating: -0.895 #85
Offense Rating: 24.74 #21
Defense Rating: 10.35 #76
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 36%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.85 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.81 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Jacksonville State has lost 1 straight
Jacksonville State has won 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (5 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Jacksonville State Notes
(12/2) Rgame good, Pass bad, 2-13 on 3rd, QB Huff hurt
(12/2) L to WKU, held to 13 1st downs (season low)
(12/1) QB Huff inj (ankle) in finale. ? in CUSA title gm
(11/25) Rgame mauled Sam H, clinched CUSA title game
(11/18) Fight w/ FIU? Def awful esp Run, Rgame great
(11/1) 4-0, avg 28 ppg margin in Oct, although lowering
(10/30) RB Steward 232 yds, 8.6, 4 TD in Liberty upset
(10/30) Won five straight after bad 0-3 start to '24
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 15 Def TO's, 3rd in CFB
(10/4) Killed S Miss. Off improving, QB Huff dual threat
Jacksonville State Highlights
Jacksonville State has Really Good Running Game (#12)
Jacksonville State offense is explosive (#46)
Jacksonville State has a top Offensive Line (#46)
Jacksonville State offense is good in red zone (#67)
Jacksonville State defense does not give up big plays (#134)
Jacksonville State Deficiencies
Jacksonville State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#16)
Power Rating: -0.895 #85
Offense Rating: 24.74 #21
Defense Rating: 10.35 #76
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 36%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.85 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.81 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Jacksonville State has lost 1 straight
Jacksonville State has won 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (5 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Jacksonville State Notes
(12/2) Rgame good, Pass bad, 2-13 on 3rd, QB Huff hurt
(12/2) L to WKU, held to 13 1st downs (season low)
(12/1) QB Huff inj (ankle) in finale. ? in CUSA title gm
(11/25) Rgame mauled Sam H, clinched CUSA title game
(11/18) Fight w/ FIU? Def awful esp Run, Rgame great
(11/1) 4-0, avg 28 ppg margin in Oct, although lowering
(10/30) RB Steward 232 yds, 8.6, 4 TD in Liberty upset
(10/30) Won five straight after bad 0-3 start to '24
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 15 Def TO's, 3rd in CFB
(10/4) Killed S Miss. Off improving, QB Huff dual threat
Jacksonville State Highlights
Jacksonville State has Really Good Running Game (#12)
Jacksonville State offense is explosive (#46)
Jacksonville State has a top Offensive Line (#46)
Jacksonville State offense is good in red zone (#67)
Jacksonville State defense does not give up big plays (#134)
Jacksonville State Deficiencies
Jacksonville State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#16)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Veltkamp | 258 | 389 | 66% | 3108 | 25 | 10 | 8.0 |
| TJ Finley (Tr) | 48 | 75 | 64% | 490 | 1 | 2 | 6.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Young | 201 | 883 | 3 | 4.4 | 30 |
| George Hart III (Tr) | 44 | 204 | 2 | 4.6 | 30 |
| Caden Veltkamp | 113 | 150 | 7 | 1.3 | 25 |
| LT Sanders | 21 | 103 | 1 | 4.9 | 31 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kisean Johnson (Tr) | 75 | 925 | 7 | 12.3 | 51 |
| Easton Messer | 55 | 793 | 4 | 14.4 | 64 |
| Dalvin Smith | 30 | 397 | 4 | 13.2 | 65 |
| K.D. Hutchinson | 26 | 392 | 3 | 15.1 | 74 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonte' Mathews (Tr) | 99 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Keyshawn Swanson (Tr) | 63 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Hosea Wheeler | 62 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Chandler Matthews (Tr) | 59 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Thomas | 54 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Sebastian Benjamin | 56 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Kylan Guidry | 45 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Kent Robinson (Tr) | 33 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Johnson Jr. | 48 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Kent Robinson (Tr) | 33 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Keyshawn Swanson (Tr) | 63 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Huff (Tr) | 178 | 293 | 61% | 2543 | 14 | 7 | 8.7 |
| Logan Smothers | 11 | 19 | 58% | 123 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Stewart | 279 | 1636 | 25 | 5.9 | 75 |
| Tyler Huff (Tr) | 227 | 1344 | 15 | 5.9 | 51 |
| Logan Smothers | 22 | 175 | 3 | 8.0 | 72 |
| Andrew Paul (Tr) | 38 | 166 | 4 | 4.4 | 28 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Vaughn | 49 | 804 | 5 | 16.4 | 75 |
| Michael Pettway | 25 | 454 | 3 | 18.2 | 92 |
| Brock Rechsteiner | 16 | 241 | 2 | 15.1 | 85 |
| Tre Stewart | 17 | 233 | 1 | 13.7 | 50 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Perry | 109 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Antonio Carter II (Tr) | 103 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Reginald Hughes (Tr) | 83 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| Laletia Hale | 80 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reginald Hughes (Tr) | 83 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| Laletia Hale | 80 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Jaylen Swain | 44 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Fred Perry | 109 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Mack | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| Zechariah Poyser | 77 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Geimere Latimer | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |