Eastern Kentucky at Western Kentucky - 2024 Matchup Preview

Eastern Kentucky Colonels at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Saturday, September 7th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky -18.5 (59.5) (-1400) Open: -20.5 | 59.5
Western Kentucky 31 - Eastern Kentucky: 0

Colonels (0 - 2) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 12 - 45 (12 - 45 on Road)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

EKY 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ WKU -2)
WKU Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%

Hilltoppers (8 - 6) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (40 - 26)
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (35 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 6 (#42)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
EKY Players
WKU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Eastern Kentucky's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Eastern Kentucky at Mississippi State	+26.5	61.5	L 7 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/7	Eastern Kentucky at Western Kentucky	+18.5	59.5	L 0 - 31	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Eastern Kentucky's Schedule

Western Kentucky's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Western Kentucky at Alabama	+31.0	60.0	L 0 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/7	Western Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky	-18.5	59.5	W 31 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee	-10.5	53.5	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Western Kentucky vs Toledo	+2.0	60.5	W 26 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Western Kentucky at Boston College	+7.5	48.0	L 20 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/10	Western Kentucky vs UTEP	-19.0	55.5	W 44 - 17	O	Y
Wed 10/16	Western Kentucky at Sam Houston	+1.5	55.0	W 31 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/30	Western Kentucky vs Kennesaw State	-24.0	49.0	W 31 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/9	Western Kentucky at New Mexico State	-18.0	53.5	W 41 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/16	Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech	-11.5	52.5	L 7 - 12	U	N
Sat 11/23	Western Kentucky at Liberty	+1.0	56.5	L 21 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/30	Western Kentucky vs Jacksonville State	+0.5	62.5	W 19 - 17	U	Y
Fri 12/6	Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State	+4.5	58.5	L 12 - 52	O	N
Wed 12/18	Western Kentucky vs James Madison	+7.5	50.5	L 17 - 27	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
EKY		0%	12	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	44.5	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WKU	#47 (.22)	40% (92)	29.5	38% (119)	3.07 (78)	107	41% (70)	295	4.95 (6)	#81 (.2)	44% (98)	22.8	48% (121)	41% (53)	4 (87)	36.8	1.8	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
EKY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WKU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
EKY Offense	2	12	12	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
WKU Defense	13	22.8	18.8	44%	4	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	48%	41%	14%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
EKY Defense	2	44.5	44.5	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
WKU Offense	13	29.5	35	40%	4.95	1.8	20	402	107	295	3.9	38%	61%	38%	41%	16%	.22

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Eastern Kentucky	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Western Kentucky	13	29:32	20.2	43%	62%	4.5	36.8	1.8	1.8	4.4	2	1	28.2

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
EKY Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
WKU Defense	13	52% (94)	48% (121)	-	-	-	-	.19 (98)	3.47 (125)	73% (65)	9% (109)	0.96 (45)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
EKY Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
WKU Offense	13	38% (128)	38% (119)	27.5	106.6	3.9	12 (116)	.06 (117)	3.07 (78)	76% (45)	8% (23)	0.93 (99)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
EKY Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
WKU Defense	13	47% (37)	41% (53)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.27 (64)	1.6 (69)	31% (80)	32% (99)	.37 (97)	6% (81)	1.9 (26)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
EKY Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
WKU Offense	13	61% (6)	41% (70)	26.4	41.5	295.2	7.1	11.2	38 (3)	14 (107)	.35 (42)	1.7 (29)	33% (90)	31% (69)	.39 (46)	9% (128)	2.4 (4)

Eastern Kentucky's Power Ratings
Eastern Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Eastern Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Eastern Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Eastern Kentucky's 2024 Expected Record: -
Eastern Kentucky's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Eastern Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Eastern Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Atlantic Sun Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Eastern Kentucky: Western Kentucky: -2.645

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Eastern Kentucky: Western Kentucky: -2.2

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -2.645 #92
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 19.32 #71
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 11.86 #86
2024 Talent Rating: 203.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Western Kentucky's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 6.0
Western Kentucky's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #78
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #101
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #62

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 177.5
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Eastern Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 12 PPG
Offense on Road: 12
Defense: 44.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 44.5

Eastern Kentucky's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Western Kentucky 38
Eastern Kentucky 16

Projected Total Points: 54

Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 35
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Western Kentucky's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/07	Western Kentucky	31	Eastern Kentucky	0	Western Kentucky -18.5	Western Kentucky	59.5	Under
2017	09/02	Western Kentucky	31	Eastern Kentucky	17	Western Kentucky -39	Eastern Kentucky	0
2008	09/06	Eastern Kentucky	13	Western Kentucky	37
2007	09/15	Western Kentucky	26	Eastern Kentucky	6

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Western Kentucky	4	1	0 Overs
Eastern Kentucky	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 3	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#) EKY at (#92) WKU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	EKY	WKU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	#92
SP+SP+	NR	#78
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#64
OffenseOff	NR	#60
DefenseDef	NR	#81
Spec TeamsST	NR	#79
TalentTal	NR	#114
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#82

Eastern Kentucky Injury Report

Western Kentucky Notes(12/18) Zero Rgame/OL bad in bowl. QB Vetkamp great
(12/2) Veltkamp good in Jax St upset, great 3rd down D
(11/25) 2 str L's as R Def mauled by Lib. Likely out race
(11/18) Shocking L to La Tech, Off esp Rgame awful
(11/18) Def all. 209 yds, 4.3 ypc to La Tech? 2-11 on 3rd
(11/1) Beating CUSA teams by 3 TD's, 20 ppg margin Oct
(10/16) Even w/ SHSU until backup QB. Vetlkamp great W
(10/10) Def #'s skewed by Bama game. Not great but Avg
(10/4) QB Veltkamp has WR options, Rgame v bad so far
(9/28) Outgained/played BC. 3 TOs killer. Veltkamp OK
(9/23) Big W over Tol. 3-12 on 3rd but forced 4 TOs
(8/3) TO luck big LY, regression? Off Great, D Awful
Western Kentucky Injury Report

Eastern Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	EKY Off	WKU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	#81
SuccessSuc	NR	#98
ExplosiveExp	NR	#41
PPAPPA	NR	#81
PowerPwr	NR	#86
SP+SP+	NR	#62
Pts POPPO	NR	#87
HavocHav	NR	#114

Eastern Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	EKY Off	WKU Def
Run GameRun	NR	#98
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#121
Run ExplRExp	NR	#45
PPAExp	NR	#98
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#125
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#118
TackleTak	-	#6

Eastern Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	EKY Off	WKU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#90
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#53
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#69
PPAExp	NR	#64
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#42
F7 HavocF7	NR	#109
DB HavocDB	NR	#81

Western Kentucky on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	WKU Off	EKY Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#60	NR
SuccessSuc	#92	NR
ExplosiveExp	#8	NR
PPAPPA	#47	NR
PowerPwr	#71	NR
SP+SP+	#101	NR
Pts POPPO	#6	NR
HavocHav	#74	NR

Western Kentucky Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	WKU Off	EKY Def
Run GameRun	#114	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#119	NR
Run ExplRExp	#99	NR
PPAExp	#117	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#82	-
OL YdsOLY	#78	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#19	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Western Kentucky Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	WKU Off	EKY Def
Pass GamePass	#26	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#70	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#29	NR
PPAExp	#42	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#5	NR
F7 HavocF7	#23	NR
DB HavocDB	#128	NR

Program Comparison
WKU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'24 Profile: Remains Top G5

EKY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Western Kentucky -18.5 (59.5)
Western Kentucky won vs Eastern Kentucky this year (31-0)

Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat Eastern Kentucky in 2024 (31-0)

EKY's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Eastern Kentucky's Full Roster

EKY's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	PD
Sam Robertson	17	0
Jordon Thomas	9	1
Jacquez McGowan	8	1
Kyle Kelly	8	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS
Gabe Fletcher	1	1	1
Kaden Smith	3	1	0
Zach Russell	1	1	0
Brody Wells	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	PD
Jacquez McGowan	8	1
Kyle Kelly	8	1
Jordon Thomas	9	1

WKU's OC Will Friend (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Caden Veltkamp	258	389	66%	3108	25	10	8.0
TJ Finley (Tr)	48	75	64%	490	1	2	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elijah Young	201	883	3	4.4	30
George Hart III (Tr)	44	204	2	4.6	30
Caden Veltkamp	113	150	7	1.3	25
LT Sanders	21	103	1	4.9	31

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kisean Johnson (Tr)	75	925	7	12.3	51
Easton Messer	55	793	4	14.4	64
Dalvin Smith	30	397	4	13.2	65
K.D. Hutchinson	26	392	3	15.1	74

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC Tyson Summers (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Devonte' Mathews (Tr)	99	2	0	0	0
Keyshawn Swanson (Tr)	63	2	0	0	2
Hosea Wheeler	62	4	2	2	0
Chandler Matthews (Tr)	59	3	0	3	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darius Thomas	54	7	4	3	0
Sebastian Benjamin	56	6	4	5	0
Kylan Guidry	45	7	3	0	1
Kent Robinson (Tr)	33	4	2	0	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Anthony Johnson Jr.	48	5	0	1	6
Kent Robinson (Tr)	33	4	2	0	4
Keyshawn Swanson (Tr)	63	2	0	0	2