Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at New Mexico State Aggies
Tuesday, October 15th 2024 (9:00 PM EDT)
Louisiana Tech -12.5 (49.0) (-470) Open: -11.5
New Mexico State 33 - Louisiana Tech: 30 (Conference USA)
Bulldogs (5 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (6 - 18)
Avg Score : 21 - 21 (16 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 8 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (6 - 18)
Avg Score : 21 - 21 (16 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 8 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Our Line: Louisiana Tech -4 (SP+ LT -7.5)
Projected Score: LT: 27 - NMSU: 23 (50)
LT Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
LT Travel: 821 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Projected Score: LT: 27 - NMSU: 23 (50)
LT Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
LT Travel: 821 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Aggies (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tony Sanchez (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Coach Tony Sanchez (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
| Louisiana Tech's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Louisiana Tech vs Nicholls | -17.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/14 | Louisiana Tech at NC State | +20.5 | 47.5 | L 20 - 30 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Louisiana Tech vs Tulsa | -3.0 | 56.5 | L 20 - 23 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Louisiana Tech vs Florida International | -2.0 | 49.0 | L 10 - 17 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/10 | Louisiana Tech vs Middle Tennessee | -5.0 | 48.0 | W 48 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Tue 10/15 | Louisiana Tech at New Mexico State | -12.5 | 49.0 | L 30 - 33 | O | N | |
| Tue 10/22 | Louisiana Tech vs UTEP | -6.5 | 49.0 | W 14 - 10 | U | N | |
| Tue 10/29 | Louisiana Tech at Sam Houston | +10.5 | 45.5 | L 3 - 9 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Louisiana Tech vs Jacksonville State | +10.0 | 55.5 | L 37 - 44 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Louisiana Tech at Western Kentucky | +11.5 | 52.5 | W 12 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Louisiana Tech at Arkansas | +23.5 | 48.5 | L 14 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Louisiana Tech vs Kennesaw State | -13.5 | 41.5 | W 33 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 12/28 | Louisiana Tech vs Army | +15.0 | 44.5 | L 6 - 27 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
| New Mexico State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | New Mexico State vs Southeast Missouri State | -9.5 | 52.5 | W 23 - 16 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | New Mexico State vs Liberty | +22.5 | 54.5 | L 24 - 30 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | New Mexico State at Fresno State | +19.5 | 48.5 | L 0 - 48 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | New Mexico State at Sam Houston | +15.5 | 44.5 | L 11 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | New Mexico State vs New Mexico | +9.5 | 54.0 | L 40 - 50 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/9 | New Mexico State at Jacksonville State | +21.0 | 58.5 | L 13 - 54 | O | N | |
| Tue 10/15 | New Mexico State vs Louisiana Tech | +12.5 | 49.0 | W 33 - 30 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/29 | New Mexico State vs Florida International | +7.0 | 43.5 | L 13 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky | +18.0 | 53.5 | L 28 - 41 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | New Mexico State at Texas A&M | +38.5 | 54.5 | L 3 - 38 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | New Mexico State at Middle Tennessee | +3.5 | 54.0 | W 36 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | New Mexico State vs UTEP | -3.5 | 51.5 | L 35 - 42 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 3, Poor: 1
Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 3, Poor: 1
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LT | #91 (.15) | 42% (64) | 20.9 | 43% (66) | 2.74 (122) | 125 | 42% (63) | 261 | 3.91 (67) | #111 (.25) | 43% (78) | 21 | 48% (117) | 36% (15) | 4.63 (128) | 62.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| NMSU | #29 (.28) | 47% (17) | 21.6 | 52% (7) | 3.57 (5) | 199 | 42% (61) | 214 | 3.98 (59) | #91 (.22) | 45% (103) | 36.3 | 46% (96) | 44% (96) | 3.73 (63) | 58.3 | 1 | 0.9 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LT | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| NMSU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LT Offense | 12 | 20.9 | 15.8 | 42.3% | 3.91 | 1.5 | 20 | 384 | 125 | 261 | 3.9 | 45% | 54% | 43% | 42% | 18% | .15 |
| NMSU Defense | 15 | 36.3 | 34.8 | 44.5% | 3.73 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 52% | 46% | 44% | 16% | .22 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LT Defense | 12 | 21 | 22.8 | 42.8% | 4.63 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 58% | 41% | 48% | 36% | 15% | .25 |
| NMSU Offense | 15 | 21.6 | 30.5 | 47.3% | 3.98 | 1 | 20 | 412 | 199 | 214 | 5.7 | 55% | 45% | 52% | 42% | 14% | .28 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Tech | 12 | 29:44 | 20.1 | 30% | 50% | 6.8 | 62.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 29.3 |
| New Mexico State | 15 | 31:28 | 20.5 | 43% | 58% | 6.2 | 58.3 | 1 | 0.9 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 28.2 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LT Offense | 12 | 45% (102) | 43% (66) | 31.8 | 124.6 | 3.9 | 20 (61) | .11 (90) | 2.74 (122) | 74% (73) | 12% (107) | 0.97 (88) |
| NMSU Defense | 15 | 47% (33) | 46% (96) | - | - | - | - | .2 (103) | 3.21 (95) | 74% (73) | 10% (70) | 1.02 (80) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LT Defense | 12 | 58% (132) | 48% (117) | - | - | - | - | .29 (129) | 3.29 (109) | 84% (121) | 10% (83) | 1.15 (119) |
| NMSU Offense | 15 | 55% (31) | 52% (7) | 35.1 | 198.6 | 5.7 | 22 (51) | .27 (11) | 3.57 (5) | 81% (17) | 8% (35) | 0.96 (92) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LT Offense | 12 | 54% (32) | 42% (63) | 22.4 | 35.2 | 260.9 | 7.4 | 11.6 | 16 (92) | 11 (68) | .23 (87) | 1.6 (78) | 32% (70) | 25% (113) | .22 (103) | 6% (76) | 2.3 (13) |
| NMSU Defense | 15 | 52% (108) | 44% (96) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (111) | .25 (53) | 1.5 (20) | 29% (114) | 30% (67) | .38 (102) | 6% (83) | 2.3 (121) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LT Defense | 12 | 41% (2) | 36% (15) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 (126) | .23 (43) | 1.9 (132) | 32% (71) | 31% (83) | .36 (94) | 6% (79) | 2.3 (125) |
| NMSU Offense | 15 | 45% (100) | 42% (61) | 15.7 | 26.2 | 213.7 | 8.2 | 13.6 | 28 (23) | 10 (56) | .33 (52) | 1.7 (32) | 29% (15) | 34% (40) | .42 (41) | 6% (61) | 2 (68) |
Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -18.16 #119
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 7.48 #133
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 7.55 #49
2024 Talent Rating: 508.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Louisiana Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 8.0
Louisiana Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.6 #110
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.9 #128
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -18.16 #119
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 7.48 #133
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 7.55 #49
2024 Talent Rating: 508.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Louisiana Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 8.0
Louisiana Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.6 #110
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.9 #128
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -18.16 New Mexico State: -19.115
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -11.6 New Mexico State: -19.0
Louisiana Tech: -18.16 New Mexico State: -19.115
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -11.6 New Mexico State: -19.0
New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -19.115 #129
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 14.52 #111
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 16.79 #119
2024 Talent Rating: 260.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
New Mexico State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
New Mexico State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -19.115 #129
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 14.52 #111
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 16.79 #119
2024 Talent Rating: 260.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
New Mexico State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
New Mexico State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.8
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.8
Louisiana Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.8
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.8
Louisiana Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Louisiana Tech 27
New Mexico State 23
Projected Total Points: 50
Louisiana Tech 27
New Mexico State 23
Projected Total Points: 50
New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.8
New Mexico State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.8
New Mexico State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/15 | New Mexico State | 33 | Louisiana Tech | 30 | New Mexico State | Louisiana Tech -12.5 | New Mexico State | 49.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 10/24 | Louisiana Tech | 24 | New Mexico State | 27 | New Mexico State | Louisiana Tech -3 | New Mexico State | 55.0 | Under |
| 2012 | 10/27 | New Mexico State | 14 | Louisiana Tech | 28 | Louisiana Tech | ||||
| 2011 | 11/26 | Louisiana Tech | 44 | New Mexico State | 0 | Louisiana Tech | ||||
| 2010 | 11/13 | New Mexico State | 20 | Louisiana Tech | 41 | Louisiana Tech | ||||
| 2009 | 10/17 | Louisiana Tech | 45 | New Mexico State | 7 | Louisiana Tech | ||||
| 2008 | 11/22 | New Mexico State | 31 | Louisiana Tech | 35 | Louisiana Tech | ||||
| 2007 | 10/13 | Louisiana Tech | 22 | New Mexico State | 21 | Louisiana Tech | ||||
| 2006 | 12/02 | New Mexico State | 50 | Louisiana Tech | 23 | New Mexico State | ||||
| 2005 | 10/01 | Louisiana Tech | 34 | New Mexico State | 14 | Louisiana Tech |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State | 3 | 2 | 1 Overs |
| Louisiana Tech | 7 | 0 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 6 - 4 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 1 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 4 - 6 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 1 - 0 |
(#119) Louisiana Tech Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -18.16 #119
Offense Rating: 7.48 #133
Defense Rating: 7.55 #49
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.6 #110
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.9 #128
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 508.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 5.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.09 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Awful Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Louisiana Tech Notes
(10/23) Lucky W (UTEP), Rgame abysmal, QB Bullock OK
(10/16) Horrible loss @ NMSU. Rgame awful, QB bad TW
(10/10) Cumbie taking over playcalling duties (10/10)
(10/10) QB Bullock/Run game better-Cumbie playcalling
(10/4) Bottom 10 Off both Pass/Run. Def shockingly good
(10/4) Avg nearly 3 TO's per game, & can't move the ball
(9/25) Even w/ Tulsa, but 3 TOs cost them in OT loss
(9/15) Played w/ NC St. Off succ #130, near worst
(9/1) Dog fight W over Nicholls? Rgame awful, QBs meh
(8/17) Cumbie-reporter incident LY says all about him
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -18.16 #119
Offense Rating: 7.48 #133
Defense Rating: 7.55 #49
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.6 #110
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.9 #128
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 508.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 5.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.09 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Awful Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Louisiana Tech Notes
(10/23) Lucky W (UTEP), Rgame abysmal, QB Bullock OK
(10/16) Horrible loss @ NMSU. Rgame awful, QB bad TW
(10/10) Cumbie taking over playcalling duties (10/10)
(10/10) QB Bullock/Run game better-Cumbie playcalling
(10/4) Bottom 10 Off both Pass/Run. Def shockingly good
(10/4) Avg nearly 3 TO's per game, & can't move the ball
(9/25) Even w/ Tulsa, but 3 TOs cost them in OT loss
(9/15) Played w/ NC St. Off succ #130, near worst
(9/1) Dog fight W over Nicholls? Rgame awful, QBs meh
(8/17) Cumbie-reporter incident LY says all about him
Power #119
#129Off #133
#111Def #49
#119Talent #95
#129SP+ #110
#125SP+ Off #128
#120SP+ Def #64
#127Rematch from Week 8
Louisiana Tech 12.5 (49.0)
New Mexico State won vs Louisiana Tech this year (33-30)
Previous Matchups
New Mexico State beat Louisiana Tech last year (33-30)
New Mexico State beat Louisiana Tech in 2023 (27-24)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 78°
Team Information
Injuries: LT | NMSU
Depth Chart: LT | NMSU
Rosters: LT | NMSU
(#129) New Mexico State Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -19.115 #129
Offense Rating: 14.52 #111
Defense Rating: 16.79 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127
Talent Rating: 260.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.8 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
New Mexico State Notes
(10/22) Def stop rate 48% (#122) into week 9
(10/16) Better @ home. Rgame good in La Tech upset
(10/9) Team is unbettable. Sanchez is a clown hire
(10/4) Run D allowed 330+ yds (N.M.), Pass Off near worst
(9/29) OC Wright suspended after ugly social media posts
(9/9) Hung w/ Liberty but outgained > 200 yds.
(7/30) Roster decimated by portal & staff TO, 1 Def starter
(7/30) 4/5 OL Return w/ expl. RB's. Only bright spot
(7/30) Forget Kill years, no team will step back more TY
(7/30) 4 way QB battle? Will roster have enough bodies?
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -19.115 #129
Offense Rating: 14.52 #111
Defense Rating: 16.79 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127
Talent Rating: 260.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.8 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
New Mexico State Notes
(10/22) Def stop rate 48% (#122) into week 9
(10/16) Better @ home. Rgame good in La Tech upset
(10/9) Team is unbettable. Sanchez is a clown hire
(10/4) Run D allowed 330+ yds (N.M.), Pass Off near worst
(9/29) OC Wright suspended after ugly social media posts
(9/9) Hung w/ Liberty but outgained > 200 yds.
(7/30) Roster decimated by portal & staff TO, 1 Def starter
(7/30) 4/5 OL Return w/ expl. RB's. Only bright spot
(7/30) Forget Kill years, no team will step back more TY
(7/30) 4 way QB battle? Will roster have enough bodies?
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Bullock | 199 | 302 | 66% | 2107 | 14 | 3 | 7.0 |
| Jack Turner | 40 | 76 | 53% | 471 | 2 | 2 | 6.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omiri Wiggins | 111 | 527 | 4 | 4.7 | 35 |
| Amani Givens | 75 | 319 | 2 | 4.3 | 20 |
| Marquis Crosby | 57 | 224 | 1 | 3.9 | 31 |
| Jimmy Holiday (Tr) | 48 | 182 | 4 | 3.8 | 29 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tru Edwards | 85 | 989 | 6 | 11.6 | 86 |
| Jimmy Holiday (Tr) | 39 | 476 | 2 | 12.2 | 32 |
| Eli Finley | 25 | 314 | 2 | 12.6 | 53 |
| Jay Wilkerson | 13 | 262 | 2 | 20.2 | 55 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kolbe Fields | 71 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Blake Thompson (Tr) | 60 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jacob Fields | 54 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| David Blay | 45 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Blay | 45 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Sifa Leota (Tr) | 42 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| J'Dan Burnett | 21 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Jayden Gray | 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedric Woods | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Jacob Fields | 54 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Jhamal Shelby Jr. | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Awad | 74 | 159 | 47% | 1079 | 7 | 4 | 6.8 |
| Santino Marucci (Tr) | 49 | 112 | 44% | 519 | 3 | 5 | 4.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth McGowan | 153 | 813 | 3 | 5.3 | 38 |
| Michael Washington | 158 | 713 | 8 | 4.5 | 47 |
| Santino Marucci (Tr) | 37 | 131 | 1 | 3.5 | 38 |
| Larenzo McMillan | 7 | 111 | 1 | 15.9 | 84 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Pride | 34 | 374 | 2 | 11.0 | 53 |
| Glynn Johnson Jr | 19 | 346 | 2 | 18.2 | 54 |
| Seth McGowan | 23 | 277 | 3 | 12.0 | 43 |
| Jordan Smith | 8 | 110 | 0 | 13.8 | 21 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Martinez | 94 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Da'Marcus Crosby | 81 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Tayden Barnes | 57 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Sone Aupiu | 55 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kale Edwards (Tr) | 36 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Noah Arinze | 16 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Tyler Martinez | 94 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Malaki Ta'ase | 33 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayden Barnes | 57 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Dakerric Hobbs (Tr) | 36 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Sone Aupiu | 55 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 |