Southeast Missouri State at New Mexico State

Southeast Missouri State at New Mexico State - 2024 Matchup Preview

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks at New Mexico State Aggies

Saturday, August 31st 2024 (9:00 PM EDT)
New Mexico State -9.5 (52.5) (0) Open: 0.0
New Mexico State 23 - Southeast Missouri State: 16

Redhawks (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 42 (24 - 42 on Road)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -19 (SP+ NMSU -19)
NMSU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%

Aggies (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tony Sanchez (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (23 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SEMO Players
NMSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Southeast Missouri State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Southeast Missouri State at New Mexico State	+9.5	52.5	L 16 - 23	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southeast Missouri State's Schedule

New Mexico State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	New Mexico State vs Southeast Missouri State	-9.5	52.5	W 23 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/7	New Mexico State vs Liberty	+22.5	54.5	L 24 - 30	U	Y
Sat 9/14	New Mexico State at Fresno State	+19.5	48.5	L 0 - 48	U	N
Sat 9/21	New Mexico State at Sam Houston	+15.5	44.5	L 11 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/28	New Mexico State vs New Mexico	+9.5	54.0	L 40 - 50	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/9	New Mexico State at Jacksonville State	+21.0	58.5	L 13 - 54	O	N
Tue 10/15	New Mexico State vs Louisiana Tech	+12.5	49.0	W 33 - 30	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/29	New Mexico State vs Florida International	+7.0	43.5	L 13 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/9	New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky	+18.0	53.5	L 28 - 41	O	Y
Sat 11/16	New Mexico State at Texas A&M	+38.5	54.5	L 3 - 38	U	Y
Sat 11/23	New Mexico State at Middle Tennessee	+3.5	54.0	W 36 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/30	New Mexico State vs UTEP	-3.5	51.5	L 35 - 42	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SEMO		0%	24	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	42	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NMSU	#29 (.28)	47% (17)	21.6	52% (7)	3.57 (5)	199	42% (61)	214	3.98 (59)	#91 (.22)	45% (103)	27.6	46% (96)	44% (96)	3.73 (63)	58.3	1	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SEMO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NMSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SEMO Offense	1	24	24	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
NMSU Defense	15	27.6	17.7	44.5%	3.73	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	46%	44%	16%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SEMO Defense	1	42	42	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
NMSU Offense	15	21.6	23.2	47.3%	3.98	1	20	412	199	214	5.7	55%	45%	52%	42%	14%	.28

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Southeast Missouri State	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
New Mexico State	15	31:28	20.5	43%	58%	6.2	58.3	1	0.9	5.5	2.1	1	28.2

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SEMO Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
NMSU Defense	15	47% (33)	46% (96)	-	-	-	-	.2 (103)	3.21 (95)	74% (73)	10% (70)	1.02 (80)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SEMO Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
NMSU Offense	15	55% (31)	52% (7)	35.1	198.6	5.7	22 (51)	.27 (11)	3.57 (5)	81% (17)	8% (35)	0.96 (92)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SEMO Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
NMSU Defense	15	52% (108)	44% (96)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.25 (53)	1.5 (20)	29% (114)	30% (67)	.38 (102)	6% (83)	2.3 (121)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SEMO Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
NMSU Offense	15	45% (100)	42% (61)	15.7	26.2	213.7	8.2	13.6	28 (23)	10 (56)	.33 (52)	1.7 (32)	29% (15)	34% (40)	.42 (41)	6% (61)	2 (68)

Southeast Missouri State's Power Ratings
Southeast Missouri State's Power Rating: NR
Southeast Missouri State's Offense Rating: NR
Southeast Missouri State's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Southeast Missouri State's 2024 Expected Record: -
Southeast Missouri State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Southeast Missouri State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Southeast Missouri State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average OVC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Southeast Missouri State: New Mexico State: -19.115

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southeast Missouri State: New Mexico State: -19.0

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -19.115 #129
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 14.52 #111
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 16.79 #119
2024 Talent Rating: 127.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
New Mexico State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
New Mexico State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 177.5
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Southeast Missouri State Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 42 PPG
Defense on Road: 42

Southeast Missouri State's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
New Mexico State 32
Southeast Missouri State 23

Projected Total Points: 55

New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.2
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

New Mexico State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	08/31	New Mexico State	23	Southeast Missouri State	16	New Mexico State -9.5	Southeast Missouri State	52.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico State	1	0	0 Overs
Southeast Missouri State	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) SEMO at (#129) NMSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SEMO	NMSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	#129
SP+SP+	NR	#125
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#126
OffenseOff	NR	#130
DefenseDef	NR	#108
Spec TeamsST	NR	#72
TalentTal	NR	#128
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#53

Southeast Missouri State Injury Report

New Mexico State Notes(10/29) QBs 7-19, 30 yds, 2 INT vs FIU. Pass Off #132
(10/22) Def stop rate 48% (#122) into week 9
(10/16) Better @ home. Rgame good in La Tech upset
(10/9) Team is unbettable. Sanchez is a clown hire
(10/4) Run D allowed 330+ yds (N.M.), Pass Off near worst
(9/29) OC Wright suspended after ugly social media posts
(9/9) Hung w/ Liberty but outgained > 200 yds.
(7/30) Roster decimated by portal & staff TO, 1 Def starter
(7/30) 4/5 OL Return w/ expl. RB's. Only bright spot
(7/30) Forget Kill years, no team will step back more TY
(7/30) 4 way QB battle? Will roster have enough bodies?
(7/30) New HC Sanchez an awful hire, disaster at UNLV
New Mexico State Injury Report

Southeast Missouri State on Offense


CategoryCat	SEMO Off	NMSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	#108
SuccessSuc	NR	#103
ExplosiveExp	NR	#44
PPAPPA	NR	#91
PowerPwr	NR	#119
SP+SP+	NR	#127
Pts POPPO	NR	#63
HavocHav	NR	#83

Southeast Missouri State Run Game


CategoryCat	SEMO Off	NMSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	#103
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#96
Run ExplRExp	NR	#80
PPAExp	NR	#103
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#95
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#87
TackleTak	-	#68

Southeast Missouri State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SEMO Off	NMSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#96
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#96
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#20
PPAExp	NR	#53
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#130
F7 HavocF7	NR	#70
DB HavocDB	NR	#83

New Mexico State on Offense

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	NMSU Off	SEMO Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#130	NR
SuccessSuc	#17	NR
ExplosiveExp	#88	NR
PPAPPA	#29	NR
PowerPwr	#111	NR
SP+SP+	#120	NR
Pts POPPO	#59	NR
HavocHav	#34	NR

New Mexico State Run Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	NMSU Off	SEMO Def
Run GameRun	#102	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#7	NR
Run ExplRExp	#92	NR
PPAExp	#11	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#68	-
OL YdsOLY	#5	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#51	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

New Mexico State Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	NMSU Off	SEMO Def
Pass GamePass	#133	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#61	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#32	NR
PPAExp	#52	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#103	NR
F7 HavocF7	#35	NR
DB HavocDB	#61	NR

Program Comparison
NMSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Up to Poor G5

SEMO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
New Mexico State -9.5 (52.5)
New Mexico State won vs Southeast Missouri State this year (23-16)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico State beat Southeast Missouri State in 2024 (23-16)

SEMO's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Paxton DeLaurent	367	617	60%	4065	33	15	6.6
Carter Hensley	10	14	71%	100	0	0	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Payton Brown	63	310	5	4.9	52
Darrell Smith	69	263	0	3.8	16
Brandon Epton Jr.	61	223	1	3.7	27
Cole Ruble	46	219	2	4.8	65

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dorian Anderson	67	1011	12	15.1	51
Tristan Smith	76	934	6	12.3	54
Cam Pedro (Tr)	83	889	4	10.7	46
Mitchell Sellers	29	256	6	8.8	31

View Southeast Missouri State's Full Roster

SEMO's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Khalani Riddick	11	0	0	0
Bryce Norman	9	1	1	2
McCoy Casey	8	1	1	0
Jared Pedraza	6	1	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryce Norman	9	1	1	2	0
Jeremy Walton	2	1	1	1	1
McCoy Casey	8	1	1	0	0
Mali Walton	6	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
JaQori Williams	4	1	0	0	1
Ty Leonard	6	1	0	0	1
Jeremy Walton	2	1	1	1	1

NMSU's OC Tyler Wright (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Parker Awad	74	159	47%	1079	7	4	6.8
Santino Marucci (Tr)	49	112	44%	519	3	5	4.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Seth McGowan	153	813	3	5.3	38
Michael Washington	158	713	8	4.5	47
Santino Marucci (Tr)	37	131	1	3.5	38
Larenzo McMillan	7	111	1	15.9	84

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
TJ Pride	34	374	2	11.0	53
Glynn Johnson Jr	19	346	2	18.2	54
Seth McGowan	23	277	3	12.0	43
Kordell David	18	191	0	10.6	38

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC Joe Morris (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyler Martinez	94	3	1	0	1
Da'Marcus Crosby	81	2	0	0	3
Tayden Barnes	57	2	0	1	6
Sone Aupiu	55	4	0	2	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Buddha Peleti	20	6	4	6	1
Kale Edwards (Tr)	36	7	4	4	0
Noah Arinze	16	5	3	1	0
Tyler Martinez	94	3	1	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Dakerric Hobbs (Tr)	36	3	1	6
Tayden Barnes	57	2	1	6
Sone Aupiu	55	4	2	5