Southeast Missouri State at New Mexico State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Southeast Missouri State logo Southeast Missouri State Redhawks at New Mexico State AggiesNew Mexico State logo
Saturday, August 31st 2024 (9:00 PM EDT)
New Mexico State -9.5 (52.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
New Mexico State 23 - Southeast Missouri State: 16

 
Redhawks (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 16 - 23 (16 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -19  (SP+ NMSU -19)
NMSU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
Aggies (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tony Sanchez (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Southeast Missouri State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Southeast Missouri State at New Mexico State+9.552.5L 16 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southeast Missouri State's Schedule
New Mexico State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 New Mexico State vs Southeast Missouri State-9.552.5W 23 - 16UN
Sat 9/7 New Mexico State vs Liberty+22.554.5L 24 - 30UY
Sat 9/14 New Mexico State at Fresno State+19.548.5L 0 - 48UN
Sat 9/21 New Mexico State at Sam Houston+15.544.5L 11 - 31UN
Sat 9/28 New Mexico State vs New Mexico+9.554.0L 40 - 50ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/9 New Mexico State at Jacksonville State+21.058.5L 13 - 54ON
Tue 10/15 New Mexico State vs Louisiana Tech+12.549.0W 33 - 30OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/29 New Mexico State vs Florida International+7.043.5L 13 - 34ON
Sat 11/9 New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky+18.053.5L 28 - 41OY
Sat 11/16 New Mexico State at Texas A&M+38.554.5L 3 - 38UY
Sat 11/23 New Mexico State at Middle Tennessee+3.554.0W 36 - 21OY
Sat 11/30 New Mexico State vs UTEP-3.551.5L 35 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SEMO0%160%000%000%230%0%0000
NMSU#119 (.08)39% (106)21.646% (41)3.33 (21)17930% (132)1433.8 (82)#115 (.26)41% (64)36.343% (69)40% (68)3.7 (60)48.11.90.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SEMO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NMSU#119 (.08)39% (106)46% (41)3.33 (21)17930% (132)1433.8 (82)#115 (.26)41% (64)43% (69)40% (68)3.7 (60)48.11.90.8



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SEMO Offense116160%00000000%0%0%0%0%
NMSU Defense1236.334.841.3%3.70.8 - - - - - 50%50%43%40%12%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SEMO Defense123230%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
NMSU Offense1221.630.539.3%3.81.9193221791434.458%42%46%30%18%.08

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Southeast Missouri State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
New Mexico State1229:2619.338%38%5.448.11.90.83.81.2127
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SEMO Offense10%0%000000%0%0
NMSU Defense1250% (55)43% (69) - - - - .18 (98)3.17 (93)58% (5)7% (134)1.04 (95)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SEMO Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
NMSU Offense1258% (20)46% (41)41.3179.34.416 (90).11 (81)3.33 (21)77% (37)11% (103)0.98 (61)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SEMO Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
NMSU Defense1250% (76)40% (68) - - - - - - 9 (76).36 (118)1.9 (132)31% (80)29% (42).42 (107)6% (78)2.3 (126)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SEMO Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
NMSU Offense1242% (116)30% (132)11.826.7143.25.412.212 (118)12 (85).05 (128)1.8 (17)33% (100)30% (87).13 (131)7% (104)1.7 (132)

Southeast Missouri State's Power Ratings
Southeast Missouri State's Power Rating: NR
Southeast Missouri State's Offense Rating: NR
Southeast Missouri State's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Southeast Missouri State's 2024 Expected Record: -
Southeast Missouri State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Southeast Missouri State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Southeast Missouri State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average OVC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Southeast Missouri State:    New Mexico State: -19.115

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southeast Missouri State:    New Mexico State: -19.0




New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -19.115  #129
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 14.52  #111
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 16.79  #119
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6  #53
New Mexico State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
New Mexico State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0  #125
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8  #120
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1  #127

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Southeast Missouri State Scoring
Offense: 16 PPG
Offense on Road: 16
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Southeast Missouri State's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico State 31
Southeast Missouri State 21

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
New Mexico State 37
Southeast Missouri State 16

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Southeast Missouri State 26
New Mexico State 24

Total Points: 50
New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.8

New Mexico State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202408/31New Mexico State23Southeast Missouri State16New Mexico State -9.5Southeast Missouri State52.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
New Mexico State100 Overs
Southeast Missouri State011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#NR) SEMO at (#129) NMSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSEMONMSU
Power RatePwrNR #129
SP+SP+NR #125
Perf GradeGradeNR #126
OffenseOffNR #130
DefenseDefNR #108
Spec TeamsSTNR #72
TalentTalNR #1
Blue ChipsBC%NR #53
New Mexico State Notes
(10/29) QBs 7-19, 30 yds, 2 INT vs FIU. Pass Off #132
(10/22) Def stop rate 48% (#122) into week 9
(10/16) Better @ home. Rgame good in La Tech upset
(10/9) Team is unbettable. Sanchez is a clown hire
(10/4) Run D allowed 330+ yds (N.M.), Pass Off near worst
(9/29) OC Wright suspended after ugly social media posts
(9/9) Hung w/ Liberty but outgained > 200 yds.
(7/30) Roster decimated by portal & staff TO, 1 Def starter
(7/30) 4/5 OL Return w/ expl. RB's. Only bright spot
(7/30) Forget Kill years, no team will step back more TY
(7/30) 4 way QB battle? Will roster have enough bodies?
(7/30) New HC Sanchez an awful hire, disaster at UNLV
New Mexico State Injury Report
Southeast Missouri State on Offense
CategoryCat
SEMO OffNMSU Def
Perf GradePerfNR #108
SuccessSucNR #64
ExplosiveExpNR #127
PPAPPANR #115
PowerPwrNR #119
SP+SP+NR #127
Pts POPPONR #60
HavocHavNR #128
Southeast Missouri State Run Game
CategoryCat
SEMO OffNMSU Def
Run GameRunNR #103
Run SuccessRSucNR #69
Run ExplRExpNR #95
PPAExpNR #98
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #93
Stuff RateStuffNR #66
TackleTak -  #68
Southeast Missouri State Pass Game
CategoryCat
SEMO OffNMSU Def
Pass GamePassNR #96
Pass SuccessPSucNR #68
Pass ExplPExlNR #132
PPAExpNR #118
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #130
F7 HavocF7NR #134
DB HavocDBNR #78
New Mexico State on Offense
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatNMSU OffSEMO Def
Perf GradePerf #130NR
SuccessSuc #106NR
ExplosiveExp #95NR
PPAPPA #119NR
PowerPwr #111NR
SP+SP+ #120NR
Pts POPPO #82NR
HavocHav #112NR
New Mexico State Run Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
NMSU OffSEMO Def
Run GameRun #102NR
Run SuccessRSuc #41NR
Run ExplRExp #61NR
PPAExp #81NR
Run BlockR Blk #68 -
OL YdsOLY #21NR
Stuff RateStuff #28NR
TackleTak - NR
New Mexico State Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatNMSU OffSEMO Def
Pass GamePass #133NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #132NR
Pass ExplPExl #17NR
PPAExp #128NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #103NR
F7 HavocF7 #103NR
DB HavocDB #104NR
Program Comparison
NMSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

SEMO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 82°
Rematch from Week 1
New Mexico State -9.5 (52.5)
New Mexico State won vs Southeast Missouri State this year (23-16)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico State beat Southeast Missouri State last year (23-16)

  
SEMO's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Paxton DeLaurent36761760%406533156.6
Carter Hensley101471%100007.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Payton Brown6331054.952
Darrell Smith6926303.816
Brandon Epton Jr.6122313.727
Cole Ruble4621924.865
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dorian Anderson6710111215.151
Tristan Smith76934612.354
Cam Pedro (Tr)83889410.746
Mitchell Sellers2925668.831

View Southeast Missouri State's Full Roster

SEMO's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khalani Riddick110000
Bryce Norman91120
McCoy Casey81100
Jared Pedraza61000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Norman91120
Jeremy Walton21111
McCoy Casey81100
Mali Walton61100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JaQori Williams41001
Ty Leonard61001
Jeremy Walton21111

NMSU's OC Tyler Wright (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Awad7415947%1079746.8
Santino Marucci (Tr)4911244%519354.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Seth McGowan15381335.338
Michael Washington15871384.547
Santino Marucci (Tr)3713113.538
Larenzo McMillan7111115.984
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
TJ Pride34374211.053
Glynn Johnson Jr19346218.254
Seth McGowan23277312.043
Kordell David18191010.638

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC Joe Morris (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Martinez943101
Da'Marcus Crosby812003
Tayden Barnes572016
Sone Aupiu554025
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Buddha Peleti206461
Kale Edwards (Tr)367440
Noah Arinze165310
Tyler Martinez943101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dakerric Hobbs (Tr)363016
Tayden Barnes572016
Sone Aupiu554025