Louisiana Tech at Western Kentucky - 2024 Matchup Preview
Louisiana Tech logo Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Western Kentucky HilltoppersWestern Kentucky logo
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Western Kentucky -11.5 (52.5) (-440)  Open: -14.5
Louisiana Tech 12 - Western Kentucky: 7  (Conference USA)

 
Bulldogs (5 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (6 - 18)
Avg Score : 21 - 21 (16 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 8 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
LT is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Western Kentucky -12  (SP+ WKU -9)

Projected Score: LT: 18 - WKU: 30 (49)
WKU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
LT Travel: 467 miles
Hilltoppers (8 - 6) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (40 - 26)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (26 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 6 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
 
Louisiana Tech's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Louisiana Tech vs Nicholls-17.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Louisiana Tech at NC State+20.547.5L 20 - 30OY
Sat 9/21 Louisiana Tech vs Tulsa-3.056.5L 20 - 23UN
Sat 9/28 Louisiana Tech vs Florida International-2.049.0L 10 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/10 Louisiana Tech vs Middle Tennessee-5.048.0W 48 - 21OY
Tue 10/15 Louisiana Tech at New Mexico State-12.549.0L 30 - 33ON
Tue 10/22 Louisiana Tech vs UTEP-6.549.0W 14 - 10UN
Tue 10/29 Louisiana Tech at Sam Houston+10.545.5L 3 - 9UY
Sat 11/9 Louisiana Tech vs Jacksonville State+10.055.5L 37 - 44OY
Sat 11/16 Louisiana Tech at Western Kentucky+11.552.5W 12 - 7UY
Sat 11/23 Louisiana Tech at Arkansas+23.548.5L 14 - 35OY
Sat 11/30 Louisiana Tech vs Kennesaw State-13.541.5W 33 - 0UY
Sat 12/28 Louisiana Tech vs Army+15.044.5L 6 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 3

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule
Western Kentucky's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Western Kentucky at Alabama+31.060.0L 0 - 63ON
Sat 9/7 Western Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky-18.559.5W 31 - 0UY
Sat 9/14 Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee-10.553.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 9/21 Western Kentucky vs Toledo+2.060.5W 26 - 21UY
Sat 9/28 Western Kentucky at Boston College+7.548.0L 20 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/10 Western Kentucky vs UTEP-19.055.5W 44 - 17OY
Wed 10/16 Western Kentucky at Sam Houston+1.555.0W 31 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/30 Western Kentucky vs Kennesaw State-24.049.0W 31 - 14UN
Sat 11/9 Western Kentucky at New Mexico State-18.053.5W 41 - 28ON
Sat 11/16 Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech-11.552.5L 7 - 12UN
Sat 11/23 Western Kentucky at Liberty+1.056.5L 21 - 38ON
Sat 11/30 Western Kentucky vs Jacksonville State+0.562.5W 19 - 17UY
Fri 12/6 Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State+4.558.5L 12 - 52ON
Wed 12/18 Western Kentucky vs James Madison+7.550.5L 17 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LT#130 (.02)37% (119)20.937% (122)2.62 (125)10938% (111)2113.09 (124)#26 (.1)37% (13)2139% (36)35% (11)3.72 (61)46.71.51.2
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)24.938% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)24.648% (113)40% (60)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LT#130 (.02)37% (119)37% (122)2.62 (125)10938% (111)2113.09 (124)#26 (.1)37% (13)39% (36)35% (11)3.72 (61)46.71.51.2
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)38% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)48% (113)40% (60)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LT Offense1320.915.837.5%3.091.5173191092113.149%51%37%38%17%.02
WKU Defense1424.613.544.7%3.661.5 - - - - - 63%36%48%40%13%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LT Defense132122.837.2%3.721.2 - - - - - 56%43%39%35%15%.1
WKU Offense1424.926.341.8%3.831.7193741102653.545%55%38%45%16%.19

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisiana Tech1329:3417.240%35%4.946.71.51.25.21.6033.2
Western Kentucky1427:5219.341%59%4.141.31.71.54.91.6029.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LT Offense1349% (78)37% (122)35.2108.53.114 (98)-.09 (134)2.62 (125)66% (114)12% (116)0.69 (134)
WKU Defense1463% (134)48% (113) - - - - .19 (103)3.36 (116)77% (93)9% (88)0.9 (35)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LT Defense1356% (121)39% (36) - - - - .09 (54)2.9 (50)70% (48)11% (52)1.01 (82)
WKU Offense1445% (105)38% (117)31.1109.73.514 (98).01 (121)2.78 (108)69% (100)11% (87)0.95 (75)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LT Offense1351% (56)38% (111)18.829.8210.97.111.218 (68)7 (26).13 (115)1.7 (35)33% (103)26% (117).15 (127)5% (22)2.1 (27)
WKU Defense1436% (1)40% (60) - - - - - - 10 (66).29 (99)1.8 (128)28% (116)29% (47).23 (37)3% (132)2.1 (92)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LT Defense1343% (9)35% (11) - - - - - - 5 (117).15 (26)1.6 (72)35% (20)29% (46).28 (56)5% (112)1.9 (30)
WKU Offense1455% (26)45% (33)22.133.5264.67.91228 (15)12 (85).36 (28)1.6 (59)33% (91)30% (91).29 (89)6% (56)1.9 (100)

Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -18.16  #119
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 7.48  #133
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 7.55  #49
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2%  #82
Louisiana Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 8.0
Louisiana Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.6  #110
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.9  #128
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3  #64

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -18.16   Western Kentucky: -2.645

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -11.6   Western Kentucky: -2.2




Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -2.645  #92
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 19.32  #71
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 11.86  #86
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #82
Western Kentucky's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 6.0
Western Kentucky's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2  #78
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1  #101
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1  #62

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.8
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.8

Louisiana Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 30
Louisiana Tech 18


Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Kentucky 30
Louisiana Tech 18

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
Western Kentucky 24
Louisiana Tech 19

Total Points: 43
Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.3
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.5

Western Kentucky's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/21Louisiana Tech27Western Kentucky28Louisiana Tech -5.5Western Kentucky49.5Over
202411/16Western Kentucky7Louisiana Tech12Western Kentucky -11.5Louisiana Tech52.5Under
202310/05Louisiana Tech28Western Kentucky35Western Kentucky -6Western Kentucky59.0Over
201811/24Louisiana Tech15Western Kentucky30Louisiana Tech -10.5Western Kentucky49.0Under
201709/16Western Kentucky22Louisiana Tech23Western Kentucky -4.5Louisiana Tech62.0Under
201610/06Louisiana Tech55Western Kentucky52Louisiana Tech -1Louisiana Tech69.0Over
201612/03Western Kentucky58Louisiana Tech44Western Kentucky -7.5Western Kentucky78.5Over
201509/10Western Kentucky41Louisiana Tech38Western Kentucky -3Push62.5Over
201411/01Louisiana Tech59Western Kentucky10Louisiana Tech -3Louisiana Tech0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Kentucky545 Overs
Louisiana Tech443 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 53 - 53 - 40 - 1
Road Teams5 - 45 - 31 - 04 - 3

(#119) LT at (#92) WKU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLTWKU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #119 #92
SP+SP+ #110 #78
Perf GradeGrade #113 #64
OffenseOff #113 #60
DefenseDef #94 #81
Spec TeamsST #93 #79
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #82 #82
Louisiana Tech Notes
(11/18) Upset WKU, Rgame 200+, Run Def great.
(10/23) Lucky W (UTEP), Rgame abysmal, QB Bullock OK
(10/16) Horrible loss @ NMSU. Rgame awful, QB bad TW
(10/10) Cumbie taking over playcalling duties (10/10)
(10/10) QB Bullock/Run game better-Cumbie playcalling
(10/4) Bottom 10 Off both Pass/Run. Def shockingly good
(10/4) Avg nearly 3 TO's per game, & can't move the ball
(9/25) Even w/ Tulsa, but 3 TOs cost them in OT loss
(9/15) Played w/ NC St. Off succ #130, near worst
(9/1) Dog fight W over Nicholls? Rgame awful, QBs meh
(8/17) Cumbie-reporter incident LY says all about him
(8/3) This is a roster that gets coaches fired
Louisiana Tech Injury Report
Western Kentucky Notes
(12/18) Zero Rgame/OL bad in bowl. QB Vetkamp great
(12/2) Veltkamp good in Jax St upset, great 3rd down D
(11/25) 2 str L's as R Def mauled by Lib. Likely out race
(11/18) Shocking L to La Tech, Off esp Rgame awful
(11/18) Def all. 209 yds, 4.3 ypc to La Tech? 2-11 on 3rd
(11/1) Beating CUSA teams by 3 TD's, 20 ppg margin Oct
(10/16) Even w/ SHSU until backup QB. Vetlkamp great W
(10/10) Def #'s skewed by Bama game. Not great but Avg
(10/4) QB Veltkamp has WR options, Rgame v bad so far
(9/28) Outgained/played BC. 3 TOs killer. Veltkamp OK
(9/23) Big W over Tol. 3-12 on 3rd but forced 4 TOs
(8/3) TO luck big LY, regression? Off Great, D Awful
Western Kentucky Injury Report
Louisiana Tech on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
LT OffWKU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #113 #81
SuccessSuc #119 #102
ExplosiveExp #113 #36
PPAPPA #130 #95
PowerPwr #133 #86
SP+SP+ #128 #62
Pts POPPO #124 #54
HavocHav #83 #122
Louisiana Tech Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
LT OffWKU Def
Run GameRun #107 #98
Run SuccessRSuc #122 #113
Run ExplRExp #134 #35
PPAExp #134 #103
Run BlockR Blk #129 -
OL YdsOLY #125 #116
Stuff RateStuff #119 #128
TackleTak -  #6
Louisiana Tech Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
LT OffWKU Def
Pass GamePass #91 #90
Pass SuccessPSuc #111 #60
Pass ExplPExl #35 #128
PPAExp #115 #99
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #53 #42
F7 HavocF7 #116 #88
DB HavocDB #22 #132
Western Kentucky on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatWKU OffLT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #60 #94
SuccessSuc #83 #13
ExplosiveExp #33 #57
PPAPPA #66 #26
PowerPwr #71 #49
SP+SP+ #101 #64
Pts POPPO #78 #61
HavocHav #73 #76
Western Kentucky Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
WKU OffLT Def
Run GameRun #114 #56
Run SuccessRSuc #117 #36
Run ExplRExp #75 #82
PPAExp #121 #54
Run BlockR Blk #82 -
OL YdsOLY #108 #50
Stuff RateStuff #103 #41
TackleTak -  #96
Western Kentucky Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatWKU OffLT Def
Pass GamePass #26 #97
Pass SuccessPSuc #33 #11
Pass ExplPExl #59 #72
PPAExp #28 #26
Pass Block/RushP Blk #5 #118
F7 HavocF7 #87 #52
DB HavocDB #56 #112
Program Comparison
WKU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'24 Profile: Remains Top G5

LT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 62° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 12
Western Kentucky -11.5 (52.5)
Louisiana Tech won at Western Kentucky this year (12-7)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana Tech beat Western Kentucky last year (12-7)
Western Kentucky beat Louisiana Tech in 2023 (35-28)

  
LT's OC Scott Parr (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Evan Bullock19930266%21071437.0
Jack Turner407653%471226.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Omiri Wiggins11152744.735
Amani Givens7531924.320
Marquis Crosby5722413.931
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)4818243.829
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tru Edwards85989611.686
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)39476212.232
Eli Finley25314212.653
Jay Wilkerson13262220.255

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

LT's DC Jeremiah Johnson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zach Zimos846151
Kolbe Fields719231
Blake Thompson (Tr)603003
Jacob Fields546004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Blay4510620
Sifa Leota (Tr)426411
Jessie Evans406340
J'Dan Burnett213321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cedric Woods300005
Demarcus Griffin-Taylor532005
Jacob Fields546004

WKU's OC Will Friend (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Caden Veltkamp25838966%310825108.0
TJ Finley (Tr)487564%490126.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijah Young20188334.430
George Hart III (Tr)4420424.630
Caden Veltkamp11315071.325
LT Sanders2110314.931
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kisean Johnson (Tr)75925712.351
Easton Messer55793414.464
Dalvin Smith30397413.265
K.D. Hutchinson26392315.174

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC Tyson Summers (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devonte' Mathews (Tr)992000
Keyshawn Swanson (Tr)632002
Hosea Wheeler624220
Chandler Matthews (Tr)593031
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darius Thomas547430
Sebastian Benjamin566450
Kylan Guidry457301
Kent Robinson (Tr)334204
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Johnson Jr.485016
Kent Robinson (Tr)334204
Keyshawn Swanson (Tr)632002